XAU/USD: Holding Above 4,000 with Bullish Momentum IntactXAU/USD continues to climb within the upward channel, holding firmly above the key 4,000 support after a clean rebound. The structure remains bullish, with higher lows supported by the upward trendline, reflecting strong buyer interest.
As long as 4,000 holds, a push toward 4,100 and potentially higher levels remains likely. Price action suggests buyers are consolidating before the next trend extension.
Trend Lines
CHFJPY Wave Analysis – 8 October 2025- CHFJPY broke key resistance level 187.50
- Likely to rise to resistance level 192.00
CHFJPY currency pair recently broke the key resistance level 187.50 (which stopped the previous impulse wave 1 at the end of September) intersecting with the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from August.
The breakout of the resistance level 187.50 accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (5) from the middle of August.
Given the clear daily uptrend and the strongly bearish yen sentiment seen today, CHFJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 192.00 (target for the completion of the active short-term impulse wave 3).
#USDJPY: From +1100 Pips To +1350 Pips A Possible Swing BuyDear Traders,
I hope you’re all having a great trading week!
The USDJPY is currently trading in a 152 price range and is experiencing extreme bullish momentum. The price is rallying without making any corrections, primarily due to the collapse of the Yen. We may see it fall further below. Given this market condition, it’s much riskier to trade with USDJPY.
Here are two approaches you may consider:
1. Take the entry at the current trading price with an accurate stop loss while using a smaller timeframe.
2. Wait for the price to return to the liquidity gap area, where it’s expected to fill.
Good luck, and thank you for your support throughout.
We appreciate your support.
Team Setupsfx_
BTCUSD: Is This the Breakout to a New All-Time High?Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price action for Bitcoin has been complex, culminating in a powerful breakout. After a fake breakdown below the 108800 Support level, the price reversed strongly, broke out of its consolidation range, and also pushed above a major trend line.
This series of events shows significant bullish strength. Currently, after this strong breakout, the price is in a natural corrective phase, pulling back to retest the broken structures from above.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the idea that this breakout is valid and the uptrend will continue. I see the current pullback as a classic retest, offering a potential opportunity to join the new bullish momentum.
I'm looking for the price to complete its correction to the broken trend line. A confirmed and strong bounce from this line would be the key signal for me that the pullback is over and the primary trend is ready to resume.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful defense of the trend line would validate the long scenario. My new target for the next impulsive wave higher is 128000, which would be a new ATH.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
NZDCAD: Bullish Move From Trend Line 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD may bounce from a strong falling trend line that
I spotted on a daily time frame.
As a confirmation, the price formed a double bottom
pattern on an hourly time frame and violated its neckline.
Goal - 0.8051
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
EURUSD: Buying Interest Builds at 1.1610 as Shutdown DragsHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 1.16100 zone. The pair remains in a broader uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching a strong daily support area at 1.16100 that aligns with the ascending trendline.
Structure: The market has been maintaining higher highs and higher lows, with the current retracement offering a potential continuation setup within the bullish structure.
Key level in focus: 1.16100 — a critical zone of confluence between daily support and trend structure, where buyers have previously shown strong interest.
Fundamentals: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is nearing the 98.800 daily resistance while facing headwinds from the ongoing US government shutdown. Extended fiscal uncertainty and a weakening DXY backdrop strengthen the bullish case for EURUSD.
Next move: Watching price reaction at 1.16100 for potential bullish continuation — sustained buying pressure here could pave the way for a move toward recent highs.
Trade safe,
Joe.
USDJPY: CCI divergence and pullback from supply zoneUSDJPY forms a bearish divergence on the CCI indicator (4H chart), signaling a potential loss of momentum. The pair is testing the supply zone 153.70–154.50, where large players previously took profits.
A confirmed reversal could lead to a decline toward 152.00 → 149.70 → 146.65, aligning with Smart Money structure and liquidity zones.
Fundamentally, the yen may strengthen amid possible Bank of Japan interventions and stabilizing U.S. bond yields.
The USD remains fundamentally strong due to rate differentials but is short-term overbought.
Bearish CCI divergence and approach to a key supply zone suggest a potential correction lower.
4015 can go long, 3990 is bullish if not brokenAs expected, gold continued its strong upward momentum, breaking through the 4,000 mark in the Asian session and nearly reaching 4,040. But from the news point of view, gold has now come to a critical moment. According to information revealed by U.S. Senator John Thune, the Senate will vote again on two short-term appropriations bills on the 8th and discuss the progress of the government shutdown. This will be the Senate's sixth attempt to pass a temporary spending bill to end the federal government shutdown. The previous government shutdown sparked market panic, leading many investors to flock to the gold market. If the government can be reopened this time, it will effectively alleviate risk aversion and cause gold prices to correct. On the contrary, the impact of continued closures and geopolitical factors may even cause gold to rise again.
Judging from the current gold trend, a new upward channel has been formed. Our trading strategy still focuses on long gold and short gold as a supplement. Then we should first focus on the small support of 4015-4010. When it falls back to here for the first time, we can try to go long with a light position. If it breaks, stop loss in time and pay attention to the important support of 4000-3900 to go long on gold. But it is worth noting that we must be wary of the possible rise and fall of gold today. The first reason is whether the US government shutdown issue can be resolved. The second reason is that China’s holiday is about to end. As a major gold holder, once it returns, the impact on the market will definitely be significant. On the upside, focus on the channel resistance level of 4050-4060. If gold rises near this resistance level, consider shorting it appropriately based on market conditions.
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DXY 1D - dollar waking up, but patience is keyOn the daily chart, the US Dollar Index is showing the first signs of recovery: a falling wedge breakout and trendline breach hint that bulls are slowly reclaiming control. Price has moved above the EMA, a short-term bullish signal.
Still, MA200 remains above, reminding us that the broader trend is not yet flipped. The ideal play here - wait for a retest of the breakout trendline to confirm buyers’ strength before jumping in.
If price holds above 99.70, the next upside targets sit around 100.19, 101.31, and 102.63.
But keep in mind - DXY loves to test patience. False breakouts are its favorite sport.
Right now, the dollar looks ready to wake up, but maybe hit the snooze button one last time before the real move begins.
US100: Imbalance rejection – Bears back in control
🧠 SKILLING:US100 Technical Analysis
🧱 Resistance Zone (Imbalance)
• The 24,900 – 24,950 area acts as a strong resistance, overlapping with a supply/imbalance zone.
• Price has reacted bearish from this level, showing clear selling pressure.
• This is a potential area to look for short (Sell) setups.
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📉 Current Market Structure
• After a sharp bullish retracement, price formed a rising channel 🔵.
• However, inside the highlighted circle, price has broken down from the channel — indicating weakening bullish momentum.
• This breakdown supports a short bias in the short term.
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💡 Trade Plan
• Bias: Look for Sell setups near the resistance zone.
• Confirmation: Wait for a small pullback and a new lower high before entering short.
• Target (TP): Toward the Support zone 24,740 – 24,868 (previous bottom).
• Stop Loss (SL): Above resistance at around 24,950 – 25,000.
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🟢 Support Zone
• The 24,740 – 24,780 area is the previous bottom, where price previously bounced strongly.
• This level might attract profit-taking from sellers or temporary buying interest.
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⚠️ Risk Notes
• If price closes above 25,000 (H1 candle), the bearish scenario becomes invalid.
• Manage position sizing carefully and wait for clear confirmation before entering a trade.
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🧭 Summary
• Short-term Trend: 🔻 Bearish correction
• Mid-term Trend: 🔄 Sideways – waiting for a breakout of either 24,740 or 25,000.
• Current Opportunity: Sell from resistance → Target support zone
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
US30: Consecutive breakouts signal an emerging downtrend
SPREADEX:DJI – When price rejects the high, the market begins to shift
On the 30-minute chart, price action is clearly signaling a loss of bullish momentum and a transition toward a bearish structure.
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🧠 Price Action Analysis
1. First Failed Breakout
Price initially broke above the ascending trendline that had held since early October — but failed to hold the breakout.
➤ A classic early warning of buyer exhaustion, often seen during distribution phases.
2. Multi-Layered Resistance Zone
The 46,725 – 46,779 region has become a clustered resistance zone, rejecting price repeatedly.
➤ Multiple rejections here suggest dominant selling pressure, with strong supply overhead.
3. Second False Breakout
A more subtle second breakout attempt followed — but again, price was swiftly rejected.
➤ Consecutive failed breakouts typically indicate a lack of conviction and precede sharp reversals.
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📉 Trend Structure Has Shifted Bearish
• Lower highs and lower lows now visible
• Price broke below the previous trendline
• Pullback attempts failed to reclaim broken support
• Market is respecting resistance instead of support
➡ These are clear signs of a short-term downtrend emerging.
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🔻 Trading Strategy: Favoring Sell Setups in the New Bearish Context
✴️ Scenario 1: Sell at Retest of Proven Resistance Zone
• Optimal Sell Zone: 46,700 – 46,750
• This area has already triggered two failed breakouts — a third touch could be the ideal trap for late buyers
• Watch for bearish rejection candles (pin bars, bearish engulfing, etc.)
Suggested Sell Limit Order:
→ Entry: 46,730
→ Stop Loss: 46,830 (above prior swing high)
→ TP1: 46,500
→ TP2: 46,300
→ Risk-Reward: At least 1:2
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✴️ Scenario 2: Momentum Sell on Breakdown of Local Support
• Trigger Level: 46,580 — if price breaks below with strong momentum (long red candle, increased volume)
• Confirms trend continuation after consolidation
Suggested Sell Breakout Order:
→ Entry: 46,580
→ Stop Loss: 46,680
→ Target: 46,350 – 46,200
→ Tip: Use smaller position size if breakout appears weak to avoid getting trapped in a fakeout
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🎯 Trade Management
• Only enter trades with clear price rejection or momentum confirmation
• Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is hit to lock in safety
• Exit the trade if price closes above 46,830 — that would invalidate the bearish thesis
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False breakouts leave a trail — for those who know how to read it. It's not a failure. It’s the market whispering that direction has changed.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
CHAINLINK October Trade PlanWe're approaching what could possibly be the last 2-4 weeks of the 4y cycle (October 17th - derived as 546 days from Halving to Top in prior two cycles). This time might be different, but this trade plan assumes the timing remains valid - until proven otherwise.
Throughout this cycle LINK has been responsive to HTF rejections from 3W order blocks and the 0.786 / 0.705 Fib Area (in March'24, and December '24), as shown.
When we extend a connecting trend line between these two pico tops, there is confluence with another 3W order block, the 0.705 / 0.786 area again AND our suggested cycle top date. This gives a Price Target and potential Short entry from $38-$42.
In the immediate short term, on the Long side, I'm looking for price to reach an 18H HOB at around $19.11 / 0.705 Fib, at the lower end of MTF channel trend support. There is an additional high probability support area (2D OB) at $17.91 for a potential lower entry.
Summary:
LONG from $19.11 (add at $17.91), Targets above $38
SHORT (Hedge or Isolated) from $38.77, Targets below $16
XAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: TRULY INSANE FOR TRADERSXAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: TRULY INSANE FOR TRADERS
Gold has officially surpassed the $4000 mark, marking one of the most robust rallies in recent history.
Let's take a look at key price zones and short-term opportunities 👇
🔻 SELL Scenario
SELL 4025–4027 → SL 4033 → TP 4015 – 4000 – 3980
SELL 4042–4044 → SL 4049 → TP 4030 – 4015 – 4000 – 3980
🟩 BUY Scenario
BUY 3993–3995 → SL 3988 → TP 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040
BUY 3980–3983 → SL 3975 → TP 3998 – 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040
📈 Technical Analysis
The medium-term uptrend channel continues to be maintained steadily.
Rising lows indicate that buying pressure remains very strong.
The nearest psychological resistance is around the 4043 area, coinciding with the Fibonacci extension.
The expected buying zone is at the POC Volume Profile area — a high liquidity zone, previously where many traders expected gold prices to be rejected, but now could become a strong demand area.
🧭 Macro Perspective
If the Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to cut interest rates, the market could aim for the next milestone – 5000 USD/ounce.
Although short-term fluctuations may occur (such as temporary ceasefires in the Middle East or Ukraine), the core drivers of this trend remain unchanged:
US public debt is increasing
Central banks are diversifying foreign exchange reserves
The USD is weakening
All support the medium-term uptrend of gold.
⚡️Summary
Gold remains in a solid bullish structure, even as it approaches overbought territory.
There may be strong corrections, but as long as the uptrend structure is maintained, buyers remain in control.
EURAUD: DowntrendKey Observations
Daily Timeframe
EMA20 is slightly lower than EMA60 and price is below both to indicate weak downtrend
However, price is also holding below a daily HTL so buying pressure also remains weak or non-existent
H1 Timeframe
Price is exiting away from the EMA band and below both EMA20 and EMA60 to indicate high probability of downside momentum
If price crosses below the ATL, that's a further indication of downside momentum
Privi Specialty Chemicals – Trendline Breakout in ActionPrivi Specialty Chemicals – Trendline Breakout in Action
NSE:PRIVISCL
📈Pattern & Setup:
Privi Specialty Chemicals is displaying a **descending trendline breakout** on the daily chart. After weeks of consolidation near the 2300–2500 range, the stock has now broken above its trendline resistance with strong bullish momentum and healthy volume — a solid technical confirmation of breakout strength.
This breakout follows a **rounding base formation**, where the stock first paused, built strength, and is now resuming its prior uptrend. The price structure indicates that supply is getting absorbed and fresh demand is pushing prices higher.
Once the stock sustains above 2520, it can extend its move toward 3000+ levels — marking a potential 20% upside.
📝 Trade Plan:
Entry: Above 2520 with strong volume confirmation.
🚩Stop-Loss: 2400 (below recent swing low).
🎯Targets:
Target 1 → 2750 (short-term move).
Target 2 → 3010 (measured move target, ~20.7% potential).
💡Pyramiding Strategy:
1. Enter 50% position on breakout above 2520.
2. Add remaining position above 2600 after retest confirmation.
3. Trail stop-loss to 2470 once price sustains above 2650.
🧠Logic Behind Selecting this Trade:
The breakout setup is clean — long consolidation, higher lows, volume support, and a decisive trendline breach. This kind of breakout generally attracts momentum traders and institutional flows, making it ideal for a swing trade setup.
Keep Learning. Keep Earning.
Let’s grow together 📚🎯
🔴Disclaimer:
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and not a buy/sell recommendation. Always consult your financial advisor or do your own research before investing.
Tesla's New Range. Hello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we are revisiting Tesla (TSLA).
Last article we identified the Key seller before this big extension. Today I have identified the last key seller, and how you can capitalize.
Price has now entered into the Light Supply Zone , a place where sellers will try to slow things down.
It is likely that you will want to play TSLA at the Extremes. Strong Supply , and Strong Demand levels are going to give you the best chance at a stronger reaction. So if you are playing the short term, These two plays marked on the chart will be your best bet.
If the Strong Buyers hold at around 417, This will put a lot of pressure on that last strong seller at 461. A push through them should see you ATH's (not without a strong reaction from the Strong Supply first).
Missed out on the move and want to add TSLA to your long term?
Long Term
These Prices should match your conviction on TSLA:
Aggressive : 409 - 419.50 (Top of Demand, even better if you get into those strong buyers)
Value : 333-344
Extreme Value : 288-294 or the Conservative Trendline.
Expect big things from TSLA in the coming years. I would not be surprised to see TSLA reach over 1,000 again.
Happy Trading,
@thecafetrader