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Trend Line Break

GOLD-XAUUSD vs. The FED: Technicals or Fundamentals?Good Morning Traders, Let’s break down what gold is showing us on the 1-day chart: - **Resistance:** 3,378 - **Support:** 3,282 - There’s a noticeable **head and shoulders pattern** on the chart. Under normal conditions, gold’s target sits at **3,170**. Gold is highly sensitive to fundamental factors. Sudden war news or events like last week’s rumors about Trump firing the Fed Chair can trigger serious volatility. That’s why I always combine **technical and fundamental analysis** in my approach. For gold to reach the 3,170 target, the **3,282 support level must first be broken**. Since that hasn't happened yet, we can't confirm a bearish move—fundamentals play a key role here. Keep in mind: this is a **swing trade** setup based on a 1-day chart. Reaching the target could take time. I want to sincerely thank everyone who’s been supporting my analyses with likes—your support is my biggest source of motivation when it comes to sharing content. Much love and respect to you all.💛
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by TraderTilki
GOLD → Retest of consolidation resistance. Chances of a breakoutFX:XAUUSD bounces off support at 3312, forming a false breakdown at 3320. The price is heading towards consolidation resistance. The chances of continued growth are increasing... Gold rebounded from its low amid statements by Fed member Waller about a possible rate cut in July. However, strong US sales and labor market data strengthened the dollar and held back XAU/USD growth. Despite statements by some Fed members about maintaining a tight policy, traders continue to expect rate cuts before the end of the year. The focus is on new economic data that could affect the dollar and gold prices. Technically, consolidation is narrowing, which could lead to distribution. Gold is feeling market support, and after retesting resistance at 3365, we need to watch the price reaction to the level. A pullback and quick retest could increase the chances of a breakout and growth to 3400. Resistance levels: 3365, 3375 Support levels: 3332, 3320, 3312 There is a high probability that there will be an attempt to break through the consolidation resistance amid expectations of a rate cut. This phase may be accompanied by either a correction to retest and return for a breakout, or a breakout and consolidation of the price above the level. Today, Friday, I expect a retest and correction, as there may not be enough local potential for a breakout of this level, and the price has already lost some of its momentum since the opening of the session... Best regards, Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
GBPCHF → Retest of resistance to the global downtrendFX:GBPCHF is facing resistance from the local trend, which is aligned with the global bearish trend. The trend may continue... A retest of resistance is forming within the global downtrend. As part of the correction, the price is testing the zone of interest and, after a false breakout of 1.7935, is returning to the selling zone. The currency pair is rebounding from the resistance of the local trend, which coincides with the global trend. Consolidation of the price below 1.078 may trigger a continuation of the decline Resistance levels: 1.07932, 1.0823 Support levels: 1.07744, 1.07255 Price consolidation in the selling zone followed by a break of the local structure could strengthen the bearish sentiment, which could trigger a further decline overall. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
EURAUD → Correction for accumulation before growthFX:EURAUD reaches the zone of interest during a correction and forms a false breakdown of local support. Traders can switch to the buy side to support the trend. Against the backdrop of a global bullish trend and a correction in the euro, the currency pair is following this movement, the essence of which is to consolidate funds for further growth. Liquidation is forming in relation to the liquidity zones of 1.785, 1.78, and 1.773, and the market imbalance is changing. The current movement is bringing the price to the zone of interest: the liquidity area of 1.773 and the order block. The capture of liquidity relative to 1.773 leads to the formation of a false breakdown and a pullback to the area of interest for buyers. Accordingly, price consolidation above 1.776 and 0.7 Fibonacci could support the main trend and allow the price to strengthen. Support levels: 1.776, 1.773, 1.763 Resistance levels: 1.786, 1.795 The euro clearly demonstrates an upward trend, the structure of which has not been broken during the correction. Correction is a perfectly healthy movement within a trend, allowing positions to be opened at more favorable prices. If the bulls hold their defense above 1.776, momentum towards the specified targets may form. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
GOLD → The triangle is contracting. Retest of support...FX:XAUUSD tested a local high of 3375 but quickly returned to consolidation. The reason is manipulation by the US administration related to Powell, inflation, and interest rates... Demand for gold has risen sharply amid global risks: Trump's aggressive tariff plans, strong inflation, and uncertainty about the Fed's actions have increased interest in defensive assets. Despite the temporary strengthening of the dollar, gold remains a popular hedging instrument. Technical analysis also points to a bullish outlook. However, growth potential is limited until the Fed clarifies its interest rate policy Technically, on the D1 chart, it is clear that the price is consolidating, with the range continuing to narrow. Due to the bullish factors listed above, we can expect growth to continue. However, it is difficult to say where and when the growth will begin due to the uncertainty factor. All attention is on the support at 3320-3312, the triangle support, as well as the consolidation support at 3287. Resistance levels: 3365, 3375 Support levels: 3320, 3312, 3287 Since the opening of the session, the price has spent part of its daily range, so there may not be enough potential for the decline to continue. A false breakdown of support and consolidation of the price above the key zone may attract buyers, which will trigger growth towards resistance. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
ALGOUSDT Daily Chart Analysis | Continuational patternsALGOUSDT Daily Chart Analysis | Momentum Picks Up on Higher Timeframe 🔍 Let’s break down the latest ALGO/USDT daily chart, highlighting a shift in market structure and key bullish signals. ⏳ Daily Overview A decisive breakout above the long-standing descending trendline has flipped the narrative for ALGOUSDT. Increased volume during the breakout points to robust bullish momentum, suggesting buyers are regaining control at this multi-month inflection point. 🔔 Flag Pattern & Chart Structure - Bullish flag pattern is emerging after the recent breakout, as price consolidates in a tight range—a classic continuation formation. - Former trendline resistance is now acting as support, confirming a notable shift on the higher timeframe. 📐 Fibonacci & Target Levels - The 0.236 Fibonacci retracement at $0.2771 is providing immediate support, with price consolidating above this anchor level. - Upside targets: - First resistance at $0.3080, which aligns with horizontal supply and previous pivot highs. - If the flag pattern resolves upward, the next Fibonacci extension points to $0.4900, marking a significant confluence and potential for further gains. 📊 Key Highlights - Strong daily candle and surging volume confirm momentum shift. - Watch the developing flag pattern for breakout confirmation. - Major trendline break on the daily signals structural reversal. - $0.3080 is the immediate target; $0.4900 is the extended objective from the flag/Fibonacci alignment. 🚨 Conclusion ALGOUSDT is setting up a compelling bullish scenario—keep a close eye on price behavior at the flag and $0.3080 level. A breakout may trigger the next impulsive move toward $0.4900.
Long
by AtresCryptoAcademy
GOLD → Borders are shrinking. Consolidation continues...FX:XAUUSD is adjusting amid controversial CPI data and confirming the local bearish market structure. The PPI is ahead, and gold is consolidating, with its boundaries continuing to narrow... Gold is recovering slightly but remains under pressure amid rising bond yields and a stronger US dollar. Higher inflation in the US reduces the chances of a quick Fed rate cut. Traders are cautious ahead of the PPI data release. If producer inflation exceeds forecasts, the dollar may rise again, putting further pressure on gold Technically, we see consolidation in a symmetrical triangle pattern. Trading within the consolidation has a negative side - low volatility and unpredictable movements. The purpose of such movements is accumulation. However, decisions can be made based on relatively strong levels. In the current situation, we are seeing a rebound from 0.5 Fibonacci (I do not rule out a retest of the 0.7 zone before correction). The price may head towards the liquidity zone of 3322 before rising to the upper boundary of the consolidation and the zone of interest of 3350-3360. Resistance levels: 3345, 3353, 3369 Support levels: 3322, 3312, 3287 The problem is that the price is in a consolidation phase. That is, technically, it is standing still and moving between local levels. You can trade relative to the indicated levels. Focus on PPI data. At the moment, gold is in the middle of a triangle and is likely to continue trading within the boundaries of a narrowing channel due to uncertainty... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
41
NZDCHF → Pre-breakdown consolidation on a downtrendFX:NZDCHF is forming a pre-breakout consolidation amid a downtrend. Focus on support at 0.4759. Global and local trends are down... On July 10-11, the currency pair attempted to break out of the trend. In the chart, it looks like a resistance breakout, but technically it was a short squeeze aimed at accumulating liquidity before the fall. We can see that the price quickly returned back and the market is testing the low from which the trap formation began. The risk zone for the market is 0.4759 - 0.475. In simple terms, this is a bull trap against the backdrop of a downtrend. The NZD has passed through the risk zone. At this time, the currency pair is forming a pre-breakout consolidation relative to the support level of 0.4759 with the aim of continuing its decline. Support levels: 0.4759, 0.4753 Resistance levels: 0.477, 0.4782 A breakout of the 0.4759 level and consolidation in the sell zone could trigger a continuation of the decline within the main and local trends. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
Gold 30-Min OB Analysis – Bounce or Drop..?Gold is showing a break of structure after a big sell-off 🔻. We have marked a 30-Minute Order Block (OB) 📍 which can act as a possible reaction zone. 📌 Two Scenarios We Are Watching: ✅ Scenario 1 (Bullish): If price taps into the 30M OB and shows bullish rejection 🟢, we can look for buy opportunities, targeting the previous highs near 3335-3340 🎯. ❌ Scenario 2 (Bearish): If price fails to hold the OB, we will watch for a liquidity sweep (marked with $$$) and expect price to move lower towards the next demand zone near 3285 📉. ⚠️ Key Notes: Always wait for confirmation before entry. Patience is the key 🧘‍♂️ — let the market come to us.
TVC:GOLD
by Erin_Gold_Vault
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of CPI. Chances for growth?FX:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating amid a correction in the dollar ahead of important news. Consumer price index data is due later today. The market is stagnant and will not move prematurely. On Tuesday, gold rose slightly amid profit-taking ahead of the US CPI release. Investors are waiting for a signal from inflation: weaker data could strengthen bets on a Fed rate cut and support gold, while strong inflation would strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the metal. The situation is exacerbated by Trump's new tariff threats and his criticism of the Fed chair. Let me remind you of Trump's pressure on regulators regarding inflation and interest rate cuts. Technically, gold is trading above the previously broken “symmetrical triangle” consolidation. Bulls are trying to hold their ground above 3340-3350. Focus on the current range of 3340-3373 Resistance levels: 3373, 3394 Support levels: 3350, 3340 Favorable news for gold could boost interest in the metal, which would generally lead to growth. However, there is a factor of unpredictability, and against this backdrop, gold may test support at 3350-3340. If the bulls manage to keep the price above this zone, we may see growth in the medium term. Otherwise, the price may drop to 3310-3280. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
GOLD → Consolidation. Long squeeze before growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD has broken through resistance at 3353-3357 since the session opened, and bulls are currently trying to keep the market in the buying zone. Should we expect a long squeeze before growth? Gold is in local consolidation after breaking through a key level. The price is still in the consolidation phase formed during a week-and-a-half correction. The price reached a three-week high of $3,374 on Monday but fell after the EU's conciliatory statements. Investors are awaiting US inflation data and Chinese GDP figures as they assess the prospects for a Fed rate cut. Heightened geopolitical and trade tensions are keeping demand for safe-haven assets high. Technically, gold has entered a local buying zone, but there is a fairly complex resistance zone above it, and consolidation is needed to break through it. Such patterns could include a retest of support and a liquidity grab before growth. Resistance levels: 3373, 3394 Support levels: 3357, 3353, 3345 There is a possibility of a retest of eql 3353 in a long squeeze format and a return to resistance at 3373 for a breakout. I also do not rule out a retest of the key level of 3345. The global trend is bullish, with the price locally in a fairly wide range, with an emphasis on the support zone of 3345-3355. If the bulls can hold this zone overall, the market will have a good chance of rising to 3400-3450 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
24
GOLD Buy Setup – OB Zone in FocusCurrently, gold is respecting the ascending trendline and maintaining a bullish structure 🟢. Price hasn’t tapped into the 30 Min Order Block (OB) yet, but we are expecting a potential pullback into this OB zone 📍. ✅ Our Plan: We will wait patiently for price to mitigate the OB. After the tap, we will look for bullish confirmation (rejection wick, bullish engulfing, or break of minor structure) before entering a buy position 🚀. As long as the trendline holds, we remain bullish on gold. 📝 Invalidation: If price breaks and closes below the trendline and OB zone, we will stay out or re-evaluate the setup ❌. Stay disciplined and follow the plan! 💪
TVC:GOLDLong
by Erin_Gold_Vault
GBPUSD → Correction amid a global bullish trend...FX:GBPUSD is testing the 1.345 - 1.35 area as part of a correction. The price is closing the imbalance zone and testing support, which may trigger a reaction. Further developments will largely depend on the dollar, which is testing resistance. The daily market structure is quite strong. The correction against the backdrop of a strong trend is within acceptable limits, and bulls should fight to keep the price away from risk zones. GBPUSD, as part of the correction, closes the imbalance zone of 1.34 - 1.35 (0.7 - 0.79f) and forms a false breakdown of the intermediate support level of 1.3476. If buyers hold their ground in the 1.347-1.35 zone, the currency pair will be able to return to the global trend. Support levels: 1.3476, 1.345, 1.3382 Resistance levels: 1.3511, 1.359, 1.375 Price consolidation above 1.349 - 1.350 will confirm the market's intentions. In this case, we can expect growth to 1.36 - 1.374. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
13
BITCOIN → Stopping after the rally? What next? 125K or 110K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT rose and updated its historical maximum to a new record of 118K with “kopecks” (different prices on different exchanges). Now the price has supposedly stopped and entered a consolidation phase, but it is too early to draw any conclusions based on this alone... Fundamentally, Bitcoin rose following the SP500 and NQ100 indices. The reasons are clearly geopolitical. The correlation level is not high, but the flagship is following the stock indices, which are also updating their historical highs. Technically, Bitcoin has emerged from a two-month consolidation and entered a realization phase. So what's next? Continuation of the phase or correction? Let's take a look. On the daily chart, I would highlight two zones. The risk and sell zone is below 117,500. If the price closes below this zone today/tomorrow, we will most likely be able to look for signals for a possible correction. As part of the correction, we can expect a decline to 115,500, 114,300, or even to the old ATH of 112K. The second zone is the buying zone. A closing price above 118,400–118,900 and consolidation with the gradual formation of a breakout of structure may hint at a possible continuation of growth toward psychological targets. Resistance levels: 118,400, 118900 Support levels: 117100, 116700, 115500 In the chart above, I have highlighted the situations, levels, and zones that interest me more precisely. Now I am waiting for Bitcoin to retest resistance or support and confirm certain levels, based on which decisions can be made. I think that in the near future, Bitcoin will show us where it is headed. Updates will be published as something interesting emerges... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
50
NATURAL GAS - REBOUND FROM THE MAJOR TRENDLINE AND ANOTHER LONG CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS Last week on Wednesday and Thursday we observed the false breakout of the major trendline. Eventually, Thursday ended up bullish, gaining 4.8% day-to-day. On Friday the asset has been trading majorly sideways, retesting the major trendline (pic 1). Technically, looks like the divergence on RSI, MACD and Momentum works out as well as the bullish wedge (pic 2). Fundamentally, we still have warm temperature weather forecasts in the U.S. and bullish Thursday's EIA report. Additionally, today the market opened with a bullish gap and continues to grow, which is a good signal for the buyers. Considering major levels here, I decided to open long positions: 🔼 a market buy order at 3.4556 with ❌a stop loss at 3.2995 and 🤑a take profit at 3.7927 At 3.6000 would be reasonable to reduce long position on a half. Thank you for the attention!
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
SOLUSDT → Countertrend correction and hunt for liquidityBINANCE:SOLUSDT looks quite promising on the bullish side. The price is testing one of the key resistance levels within the local trend rally. A correction is forming. Is it beneficial for us? On the higher timeframe, we see a change in character, a breakout of the trend resistance, and the formation of an upward trend support line. Bitcoin is still bullish (locally) at this time, but it is consolidating, which generally provokes a correction in SOL as well. Focus on the 150-149 area. If the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone after the retest, followed by the formation of momentum, this can be considered a positive medium-term sign. Locally, the price within the trading range of 149.36 - 158 is heading towards the area of interest and liquidity (eql) at 149.36. The current sell-off is most likely triggered by a large player seeking a more favorable entry into the market. Resistance levels: 154.75, 156.8 Support levels: 149.36, 147.93 In the current situation, it makes the most sense to consider an intraday trading strategy. A countertrend correction and a retest of support could attract buyers... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
12
GOLD → Retest of consolidation resistance. Breakout?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern. The price is stabilizing amid a falling dollar and uncertainty... Gold is recovering after falling to $3,283 thanks to a weaker dollar and lower bond yields amid concerns over Trump's new tariff threats. The announced tariffs against seven countries, including Brazil and the Philippines, have heightened tensions, partially offsetting the Fed's hawkish signals. Markets are now awaiting new data from the US and speeches by Fed officials, which could influence the further dynamics of gold. Technically, gold is squeezed between the resistance and support of a symmetrical triangle. The price is being aggressively pushed away from support within a bullish trend, but at the same time, gold is testing resistance for the fifth time, which only increases the chances of a breakout. Resistance levels: 3330, 3345, 3358 Support levels: 3308, 3295 If gold continues to storm the local resistance at 3330 and the triangle resistance during consolidation, we will have a good chance of catching the breakout and growth. An additional scenario could be growth after a shake-up of the triangle support and the global trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
29