GOLD - A pullback ahead of the news. Will there be growth?FX:XAUUSD is hitting resistance at 4350-4360 and forming a correction amid expected inflation and initial jobless claims data
Mixed US employment data supports expectations of Fed policy easing. The market is pricing in two rate cuts in 2026 versus one in the Fed's forecasts, which supports the bullish trend for the metal.
Today's US CPI release will be a key trigger for reassessing the Fed's rate trajectory.
Expectations of tighter policy from the Bank of Japan and market reassessment are creating overall caution.
A short-term correction in gold is possible, but the overall uptrend remains intact amid the Fed's dovish monetary policy and global uncertainty.
Resistance levels: 4337, 4353
Support levels: 4311, 4300
Technically and fundamentally, the situation is favorable for continued growth. Corrections allow the market to gather liquidity before movement, however, there is news ahead that will determine further movement. I expect a retest of 4311 - 4300 before growth to 4353 - 4380.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
Triangle
ETHEREUM - Hunting for liquidity before the decline continuesBINANCE:ETHUSDT quickly returned to its decline after a short squeeze based on market manipulation and updated its low to 2805.
Looking at the daily timeframe, we can see that ETH is in a downtrend. An attempt to break the bearish trend resulted in another decline, which has been going on for more than a week.
Bitcoin fell victim to the reverse Christmas rally yesterday and formed a rather interesting daily bar on Wednesday, indicating a weak market.
Global and local trends are downward. Ethereum is pausing after a bearish rally. The 2805 pause zone could trigger a correction to the zone of interest — the border of the previously broken consolidation zone of 2890-2936.
Resistance levels: 2890, 2940, 2975
Support levels: 2805, 2715
A countertrend movement may form a false breakout before a further decline. Given the current technical situation, it is not rational to consider buying. We are looking for opportunities to sell...
Sincerely, R. Linda!
Alibaba May Be Breaking DownAlibaba climbed sharply in September, but some traders may think it’s giving back the gains.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the failed rally after the last earnings report on November 25. BABA has made lower highs since that session, resulting in a potentially bearish descending triangle.
Second, prices closed below the triangle’s bottom yesterday. Could that represent a breakdown?
Third, last month’s peak continued a succession of lower weekly highs. Prices are also below the 50-day simple moving average. Those signals may be consistent with a bearish intermediate-term trend.
Next, MACD is falling and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. Those signals may reflect a bearish short-term trend.
Finally, BABA is an active underlier in the options market. (It’s averaged 166,000 contracts per session in the last month, according to TradeStation data.) That may help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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BTCUSDT: Sellers Defend Resistance - Support Zone at $85,200Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT previously moved inside a clear downward channel, confirming strong bearish pressure. After reaching the lower boundary, price produced a temporary bounce and broke above the channel, but this move failed to develop into a sustainable bullish trend. Instead, BTC entered a consolidation range below the key 88,000 Resistance Zone, showing clear hesitation from buyers. Following the range formation, price developed a descending triangle structure, with lower highs forming along the Triangle Resistance Line and support being tested near the 85,200 Support Zone. Multiple fake breakouts above resistance and below support indicate liquidity grabs rather than true reversals. Recent price action shows rejection from the Resistance Zone and a failure to reclaim the upper range, suggesting seller dominance is returning.
Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 88,000 Resistance Zone and remains capped under the Triangle Resistance Line, keeping bearish pressure intact.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is short-biased as long as BTCUSDT stays below the 88,000 Resistance Zone and the Triangle Resistance Line. I expect price to continue drifting lower toward the Triangle Support Line, with a primary target at the 85,200 Support Zone. A confirmed breakdown below this support would signal continuation of the bearish trend and open the path for deeper downside.
However, if price instead breaks and holds above 88,000 with strong momentum, the short scenario would be invalidated. Until that happens, rallies into resistance are viewed as selling opportunities.
That’s the setup I’m watching. Trade carefully and always manage your risk.
BTCUSD Holds Triangle Support - Bounce Toward 88,500 ExpectedHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTC/USD based on the current chart structure. After a prolonged bearish move inside a downward channel, Bitcoin found a base near the lower boundary and reversed sharply, signaling seller exhaustion and a shift in momentum. This reversal was followed by a breakout above the descending resistance, confirming the end of the bearish phase. Price then entered a consolidation range, where accumulation took place before a confirmed breakout pushed BTC higher. Following the range breakout, the market formed a triangle structure, with price respecting the Triangle Support Line while facing pressure from the Triangle Resistance Line. Recently, BTC revisited the Buyer Zone around 86,300–85,500, which aligns with both horizontal support and the lower triangle boundary. Buyers stepped in at this level, defending the structure and keeping the recovery scenario intact. Currently, BTC is attempting a rebound from the Buyer Zone and is aiming toward the 88,500 Resistance Level (TP1). As long as price holds above the support zone, a move toward this resistance remains likely. A clean breakout above 88,500 would confirm further upside continuation, while rejection could lead to another consolidation or retest of support. For now, the structure favors buyers, with 86,300–85,500 as key support and 88,500 as the main upside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD STRONG BULISH BIAS|LONG|
✅XAUUSD Price is compressing inside a bullish triangle after respecting ascending ICT structure. Liquidity is building below equal lows while buy-side rests above the supply. A clean breakout and displacement above the range opens the path for bullish continuation toward premium targets. Time Frame 2H.
LONG🚀
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EURJPY bearish expectations from here
OANDA:EURJPY we can see BEARISH ENGULFING candle, after bearish engulfing looks like coming descending triangle. We are have constant bullish trend here long period and here after todays events expecting to see point of revers.
SUP zone: 182.500
RES zone: 180.300, 178.900
USDT Dominance% Breakout: Crypto Correction Not Over?Today, I’m going to analyze Market Cap USDT Dominance%( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) on the weekly timeframe for you. The reason I want to analyze USDT.D% is that the crypto market conditions have become a bit complex lately, and many factors are influencing it. Therefore, it’s better to take a look at the weekly chart of USDT.D%.
Currently, it seems that USDT.D% is in the vicinity of a Heavy Resistance zone(6.78%-5.25%), but at the same time, there’s also a Support zone(6.24%-5.57%) that could potentially lead to an increase in USDT.D%.
From a classical technical analysis perspective, we can clearly see on the weekly chart that the upper lines of the symmetrical triangle have been broken, and it seems that USDT.D% is currently pulling back to those upper lines. As long as it doesn’t move below those lines again, we can still expect that the market correction is ongoing and hasn’t ended yet. This is a sign that helps us gauge whether the crypto market correction is complete or still ongoing.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, with the breakout of the symmetrical triangle, it seems that USDT.D% might be starting a new impulsive wave.
Since we’re not seeing Regular Divergence(RD-) at the highs, it indicates that the recent upward movement in the crypto market, especially Bitcoin’s( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) recent gains, is still part of the correction phase.
In conclusion, based on the above analysis, I expect USDT.D% to rise again. If USDT.D% breaks through the resistance lines, we can hope that it will also break through the Heavy Resistance zone(6.78%-5.25%), and that would be a negative sign for the crypto market, potentially leading to deeper corrections in the coming weeks.
So, what do you think? Do you believe the crypto market correction is over, or do you think it will continue? That’s a nice question to leave our analysis with.
Stop Loss(SL): 5.49%
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Market Cap USDT Dominance% Analyze (USDT.D%), Weekly time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
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BTCUSDT Long: Demand Support Fuels Push Toward $92,500Hello, traders! BTCUSDT previously traded within a well-defined Descending Channel, confirming strong bearish pressure and controlled sell-side momentum. Price consistently respected the channel boundaries, producing lower highs and lower lows until a decisive breakdown occurred near the lower channel edge. After this breakdown, Bitcoin reached a clear Pivot Point, where sellers began to lose control and buyers stepped in aggressively. This reaction marked the end of the bearish impulse and initiated a structural shift. From this pivot low, price started forming higher lows, signaling the emergence of demand and the beginning of a recovery phase.
Currently, BTC broke above local resistance and entered a Range phase, where price consolidated between the 88,000 Demand Zone and the 92,500 Supply Zone. Multiple breakout attempts occurred inside this range, confirming active participation from both buyers and sellers. However, each dip toward the demand area was quickly absorbed, showing strong buyer interest and defense of the lower boundary. A rising Demand Line formed beneath price, reinforcing bullish pressure and supporting higher lows within the range. This structure indicates accumulation rather than distribution, suggesting preparation for a directional move.
My primary scenario is bullish as long as BTCUSDT holds above the 88,000 Demand Zone and continues respecting the ascending demand line. The recent pullback into demand appears corrective rather than impulsive, favoring continuation to the upside. I expect price to push back toward the 92,500 Resistance, which represents the upper boundary of the range and a key decision level. A clean breakout and acceptance above 92,500 would confirm bullish continuation and open the path for further upside expansion. Manage your risk!
GOLD → Growth may continue after correction...FX:XAUUSD is trading in a sideways range amid mixed signals: weak macro data and concerns about an AI bubble are supporting the metal, but the moderate strengthening of the dollar is limiting its growth...
Fundamental situation
• Weak data from China: industrial production and retail sales showed the lowest growth in several years.
• Mixed data from the US: NFP for November: +64K (better than forecast), but October revised to -105K. Unemployment rose to 4.6%.
• Expectations of Fed policy easing remain, especially against the backdrop of the possible appointment of a new “dovish” chair (Christopher Waller is being considered).
The fundamental backdrop remains favorable for gold, but new triggers are needed to break out of the range. Attention is shifting to US inflation data, which will set the direction before the end of the year.
Technically, gold may test key support before attempting to rise to retest 4335-4350.
Resistance levels: 4335, 4353, 4380
Support levels: 4311, 4300, 4329
The trend is bullish, and the fundamental background is favorable. If the bulls keep the price above 4320-4310 within the current correction, the growth may continue...
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY - Triangle (consolidation before news) FX:USDJPY formed a false breakout of the symmetrical triangle consolidation support. An ideal maneuver ahead of the news and expectations of a positive outcome for the JPY.
“The Bank of Japan may raise interest rates for the first time in 11 months at its meeting on December 19.” Against this backdrop, the currency pair may test the 156.00 area before a possible decline if the Bank of Japan takes this step. The Japanese national currency may strengthen, putting pressure on the dollar, which has been rising since yesterday's US session...
Technically, the zone of interest for a decline is 156.0. A false breakout is possible before a decline to support.
Resistance levels: 156.10
Support levels: 155.0, 154. 5
The strengthening of the yen may put pressure on the dollar. But again, it is worth paying attention to the context regarding the policy of the Japanese regulator. Further movement depends on the news.
Best regards, R. Linda!
3rd Time May Be The Charm For UJ BearsHere on FX:USDJPY price seems to be working into a Consolidation in the form of a Descending Triangle Pattern after making contact with a strong Resistance Level!
Since the High created on Nov. 20th @ 157.893, price has been falling into a Support Level creating Equal Lows with a Lower High formed on Dec. 10th @ 156.937.
This Lower High creates a Falling Resistance that price seems to be having a strong reaction to!
If price continues to rise from the Support level, we can expect a 3rd test of the Falling Resistance.
Fundamentally, with the Federal Reserve having made a 25 basis point Cut to Interest Rates going from 4% to 3.75% and the BOJ looking to potentially Hike Interest Rates from .5% to .75%, this could strengthen the Bearish scenario and the formation of the Descending Triangle.
LTC: Breakout Before Altcoin SeasonPrice has been moving inside a large 3‑month symmetrical triangle, with lower highs from the 2017 peak and higher lows since the 2018 bottom.
The current candle is compressing between the support and resistance trendlines, suggesting a larger move is getting closer.
A confirmed breakout above the triangle resistance and the 0.5–0.618 Fib would open the way toward the marked profit zone in the 0.65–0.786 area (~185–255 USD), where previous supply sits.
As long as the higher‑low structure holds, the bias remains bullish; a clean weekly/3M close back below the triangle support would invalidate this idea and shift the focus back toward the 40–50 USD zone.
Litecoin often behaves as a “mid‑cap beta play” between Bitcoin and smaller alts: when BTC stabilizes and capital starts rotating out along the risk curve, LTC is one of the first large caps to wake up. A strong, high‑timeframe breakout on Litecoin can therefore be an early sign that market participants are ready to take more risk, paving the way for a broader altcoin season.
GOLD - Retest of key support ahead of newsFX:XAUUSD is falling during the Asian session, retreating from $4,350 — its highest level since late October — amid optimism over a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine and ahead of US employment data.
Trump's statements about the approaching peace agreement are reducing demand for safe-haven assets. The probability of a Fed rate cut in January is about 77%, with two easing measures expected in 2026. Expectations of a dovish Fed chair appointment continue to put pressure on the dollar.
• Today, October NFP data will be released, which may confirm the weakening of the labor market
• On Thursday, US inflation data will be released
The current decline looks like a correction and profit-taking. The uptrend remains intact unless employment data exceeds expectations. Any further decline could be seen as a buying opportunity
Resistance levels: 4292, 4317
Support levels: 4265, 4255
If the news is positive, which will only reinforce expectations of an aggressive rate cut, gold's growth after retesting key support may continue. Otherwise, the correction may continue. However, the 4265-4255 area plays an important role and needs to be monitored.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN - The downward trend may continue. Focus on 88KBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P failed to realize its bullish potential associated with positive news. Is crypto winter getting closer and closer?
Fundamentally, despite the rate cut and a relatively positive overall backdrop, the market continues to fall. Bears held the 95k resistance and the 90k zone. Bitcoin is breaking the consolidation support and entering a distribution phase. The decline has been temporarily halted by support at 85,500, and the market may correct to 87,000-88,000 (the break-even zone) before continuing its decline within the current trend. The target the market may strive for is 84K-80K.
Resistance levels: 87,000, 88,000, 90,000
Support levels: 85,560, 83,800, 80,000
If the market continues to lack support or no bullish driver emerges, the price may fall even lower. I expect a retest of the zone of interest (the support area of the trading range) and a further decline to key levels...
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD: Rejection at Resistance - Support Zone at 4,270 in FocusHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a broader bullish structure, but the current price action suggests a short-term corrective move. After breaking above the descending Triangle Resistance Line, price entered a consolidation Range, where accumulation formed before a bullish Breakout. This breakout pushed XAUUSD higher toward the key 4,350 Resistance, which has acted as a strong reaction zone in the past.
Currently, at this resistance level, price showed clear hesitation and rejection, signaling that sellers are becoming active again. The market is now pulling back from the highs, moving toward the 4,270 Support Zone, which aligns with the previous breakout area and the rising Triangle Support Line. This zone is critical, as it represents the main demand area keeping the structure bullish.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is short-term bearish as long as XAUUSD remains capped below the 4,350 Resistance. I expect a controlled pullback toward the 4,270 Support, where buyers may attempt to defend the trend.A clean breakdown below the support zone would confirm a deeper correction toward the Triangle Support Line.
However, if price holds above 4,270 and shows strong bullish reaction, the broader uptrend remains intact and another attempt toward the highs may follow. For now, the focus is on the pullback phase, with 4,270 as the key level to watch.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTCUSD: Buyers in Control - Resistance Retest AheadHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT is currently trading within a broadly bullish structure, supported by a rising trend line that has been respected after the major sell-off and subsequent recovery. Following the strong decline, price formed a base near the lower levels and initiated a reversal, creating higher lows and shifting market control back to buyers. After the initial rebound, Bitcoin entered multiple Range phases, where price consolidated and built liquidity. Each range was followed by a breakout, confirming sustained buying interest. Some of these moves included fake breakouts, which briefly trapped participants before price continued to respect the broader bullish structure.
Currently, BTCUSDT is holding above the key Support Zone around 89,300, which has repeatedly acted as a demand area. Price is also compressing under a descending Triangle Resistance Line, while the rising trend line continues to support the market from below. This creates a tightening structure, suggesting that a decisive move is approaching. The 92,000 Resistance level remains the main barrier overhead, where sellers have previously stepped in and rejected higher prices.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario remains bullish as long as BTCUSDT holds above the 89,300 Support Zone and continues to respect the ascending trend line. I expect buyers to defend this area and gradually build pressure toward the upper resistance. A clean breakout above the 92,000 Resistance, especially with strong momentum, would confirm bullish continuation and open the path for a move toward higher levels, aligned with the broader trend.
However, if price fails to break the triangle resistance and loses the 89,300 Support, a deeper pullback toward the trend line could occur before buyers attempt another recovery. Until such a breakdown happens, the structure favors buyers. For now, the market remains constructive, with support holding and resistance at 92,000 as the key level to watch.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
XAUUSD Defends Support – Upside Move Toward 4,380 ExpectedHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD based on the current market structure. Gold continues to trade within a well-established bullish trend, supported by a clear ascending Trend Line that has been respected after multiple pullbacks. After an earlier rejection from the upper Resistance Level, price experienced a corrective decline but successfully turned around near the trend line, confirming strong buyer interest at lower levels. Following this reaction, XAUUSD broke above the descending Resistance Line, signaling a shift in momentum back in favor of buyers. The market then entered a Range phase, where price consolidated between the Support Level around 4,260 and the Buyer Zone near 4,300, indicating accumulation and balance before the next impulse move. A confirmed breakout from the range occurred to the upside, with buyers aggressively pushing price above the Buyer Zone. Currently, gold is trading firmly above 4,300, showing sustained bullish strength and acceptance above previous resistance. The next key area of interest is the upper Seller Zone / Resistance Level around 4,380, which has acted as a strong reaction zone in the past. As long as price holds above the 4,260 Support Level and continues to respect the ascending trend line, the bullish scenario remains valid. My primary scenario is a continuation toward the 4,380 resistance, where a reaction or short-term rejection may occur. A clean breakout above this Seller Zone could open the door for further upside expansion, while rejection may lead to a healthy pullback toward the Buyer Zone or trend line support. For now, the structure clearly favors buyers, with 4,380 as the main upside target. Please share this idea with your friends and don’t forget to manage your risk 🚀
EURJPY: High Chance for a Rise 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY is trading in a strong uptrend on a daily.
The price has just retested a recently broken major structure.
Probabilities are high that the market will rise from that
following an occurrence of a bullish imbalance after
a formation of an ascending triangle pattern.
Goal will be 182.5
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EURUSD: Sellers Drive Pullback - 1.1670 Support in FocusHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD remains in a broader bearish structure, and the recent price action is unfolding within a clear downward context. After moving through a prolonged range phase, the pair broke lower and continued to respect the descending trend line, confirming sustained selling pressure. Price later formed a Triangle Support Line, where buyers attempted to reverse the trend, leading to a breakout above the trend line and a retest of the Support Zone around 1.1670. However, after this retest, EURUSD quickly reached the major 1.1760 Resistance, which has repeatedly acted as a strong reaction zone. From this level, a sharp rejection occurred, showing that sellers are still firmly active and protecting this resistance area.
Currently, the market is pulling back from the Resistance Zone and heading back toward the Support Zone, where the ascending structure meets previous breakout levels.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is bearish as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1760 Resistance and continues to move away from this rejection zone. I expect the price to pull back toward the 1.1670 Support, where the next reaction will determine short-term direction.
Therefore, a clean breakdown below the 1.1670 Support Zone would confirm further bearish continuation and open the path toward lower levels. However, if the pair tests the support and shows a strong bounce, a short-term recovery toward the trend line may occur — but the bearish outlook remains valid while price stays under the 1.1760 Resistance. For now, the market favors sellers, with the key objective being a move back into the Support Zone around 1.1670.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
GOLD → Consolidation before reaching ATH FX:XAUUSD has been rising for the fifth consecutive day amid a weakening dollar and expectations of a dovish Fed policy. The market is testing intermediate resistance before reaching ATH.
The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points, but the market expects two cuts in 2026, not one, as stated in the regulator's forecasts. The possible appointment of a new “dovish” Fed chair is putting pressure on the dollar. The increase in US unemployment claims (to 236K) confirms fears of a slowdown in the labor market.
Tomorrow, US employment (NFP) and retail sales data will be released, followed by inflation (CPI) data on Thursday. Friday: Bank of Japan decision.
The results could significantly adjust expectations for interest rates.
The upward trend in gold continues, but its stability will be tested by macro data. Weak employment and inflation figures will support growth, while strong data could trigger a correction.
Resistance levels: 4353, 4380, 4400
Support levels: 4329, 4305
The market may consolidate before breaking through the nearest resistance. Locally - 4333, 4329, 4318. The bullish trend may continue afterwards.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSD Holds Buyer Zone - Push Toward 96,700 LikelyHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTC/USD based on the current market structure. After a prolonged decline, Bitcoin reversed from the Support Level and broke out of the downward channel, shifting momentum in favor of buyers. The price then moved into a consolidation Range, where accumulation formed before a confirmed Breakout pushed BTC higher. Since then, Bitcoin has been respecting the rising Triangle Support Line, forming higher highs and higher lows. Buyers consistently defend this structure, keeping the bullish trend intact despite local corrections. Currently, BTC is holding above the 90,500–88,800 Buyer Zone, which serves as the key demand area maintaining bullish pressure. As long as the price stays above this zone, the upward scenario remains valid. The market is now heading toward the major 96,700 Resistance Level, located inside the broader Seller Zone. A breakout above this level may open the door for further continuation, while rejection could trigger a pullback toward the Triangle Support Line. For now, the structure favors buyers, with 96,700 as the main upside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀






















