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EURUSD: Rejection From Key Resistance - Support 1.1660 in FocusHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup. Market Analysis EURUSD is trading within a broader corrective structure, and the current price action suggests increasing bearish pressure near key resistance. Earlier, the pair formed a triangle structure, where price respected both the Triangle Resistance Line and the Triangle Support Line. Multiple breakouts occurred during this phase, but they failed to generate sustained bullish continuation, indicating weakening buyer momentum. After breaking out of the triangle, EURUSD moved higher and entered a consolidation range, where price paused and built liquidity. This range was later resolved to the upside, pushing price into the Resistance Zone around 1.1750. However, this move was followed by a fake breakout, signaling that buyers failed to maintain control above resistance. At the highs, a clear Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, with the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder developing directly under the descending trend line and within the resistance zone. This structure highlights strong seller presence and confirms rejection from higher levels. Price is now rolling over from resistance and starting to move lower. Currently, EURUSD is pulling back toward the Support Zone around 1.1660, which aligns with previous breakout levels and horizontal demand. This area is acting as the nearest downside target, and price reaction here will be critical. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is bearish as long as EURUSD remains capped below the 1.1750 Resistance Zone and the descending trend line. I expect continuation to the downside toward the 1.1660 Support Zone, which represents the next key level for buyers to attempt a defense. A clean breakdown below the support zone would confirm further bearish continuation and open the path for deeper downside movement. However, if price reaches support and shows a strong bullish reaction, a short-term bounce or consolidation may occur. For now, the structure favors sellers, with 1.1750 as key resistance and 1.1660 as the main downside target. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Short
by Ratner
15
XAUUSD Demand Holding - Resistance Retest in PlayHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on Gold (XAUUSD, 4H) based on the current chart structure. After a strong bullish impulse from the 3,650–3,700 area, price formed a clear ascending channel, respecting both rising support and resistance. Higher highs and higher lows continue to confirm bullish market control. Previously, Gold reached the Seller Zone around 4,360–4,380, where price entered consolidation and later turned lower. Selling pressure weakened near the 4,270 level, allowing buyers to step back in. Price then broke above 4,270, flipping it from resistance into support and signaling a bullish market structure shift. A corrective pullback followed into the Buyer Zone at 4,260–4,280, aligning with previous resistance turned support and the lower boundary of the ascending channel. Buyers successfully defended this area, keeping the bullish structure intact. Currently, price is consolidating below the Seller Zone (4,360–4,380), showing accumulation rather than strong rejection. My scenario: as long as price holds above the Buyer Zone (4,260–4,280), Gold may continue higher toward the Seller Zone / TP1. A clean breakout above resistance would open the door for further upside, while a failure to hold support could lead to a deeper corrective move. For now, the bias remains bullish. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
43
Bitcoin Tests Resistance - Downside Risk Toward $85,700Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTC/USD based on the current chart structure. After a prolonged bearish move inside a clearly defined descending channel, Bitcoin attempted a recovery and managed to break out of the channel. However, this upside move lacked strong follow-through. Price entered a consolidation range, where multiple reactions and fake breakouts signaled distribution rather than accumulation. This behavior suggested that sellers were still active at higher levels. Following the range, BTC formed a triangle structure, capped by a descending Triangle Resistance Line and supported by a rising Triangle Support Line. Price has been compressing within this structure, but recent attempts to push higher were rejected near the 88,500 Resistance Level (TP1), confirming strong selling pressure at this zone. Currently, BTC is trading near the upper boundary of the triangle, where sellers continue to defend resistance. As long as price remains below the Triangle Resistance Line and fails to reclaim 88,500, the bearish scenario remains in play. My scenario: I expect a rejection from the triangle resistance, followed by a move back toward the 85,700 Support Level, which aligns with both horizontal support and the lower triangle boundary. A clean breakdown below 85,700 would confirm bearish continuation and open the door for a deeper decline. Only a strong breakout and hold above 88,500 would invalidate this short setup. For now, the market favors sellers below resistance, with 88,500 as key resistance and 85,700 as the main downside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by LegionQ8
18
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation SetupXAUUSD – H1 Timeframe Bullish Analysis Overall Trend XAUUSD is respecting a bullish trendline, which confirms that the market is still in an uptrend. Price is forming higher lows, indicating that buyers are in control of the market. As long as the bullish trendline holds, the market bias remains bullish. Demand Zone The confluence of the demand zone and the bullish trendline strengthens the probability of upward continuation. Buyers are likely to defend this zone. Triangle Pattern Price is forming a symmetrical / ascending triangle. This pattern usually acts as a continuation pattern in an uptrend. Price compression inside the triangle indicates that a strong breakout is likely. Breakout Expectation A clean H1 candle close above the triangle resistance will confirm a bullish breakout. After the breakout, price is expected to move toward the next all-time high (ATH) at 4420. MACD Indicator MACD is showing bullish momentum stabilization. The contraction of the histogram suggests that momentum is building and an expansion may follow soon. A bullish MACD crossover or expansion above the zero line will further support the upside move. Trade Plan (Bullish) Buy Entry: now 4327 or after the triangle breakout. Stop Loss: 4305 Take Profit: TP1: Previous high 4355 TP2: Next resistance 4390 Final Target: ATH 4420 Disclaimer This chart is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves high risk; always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Markovic_VascoView
XAUUSD: Resistance Holds Strong - Support $4,270 Retest LikelyHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup. Market Analysis XAUUSD is trading within a broader bullish structure, but the current price action shows signs of a short-term corrective phase after a strong impulsive move higher. Earlier, gold successfully broke above the Triangle Resistance Line, which marked the end of the previous bearish pressure and confirmed a shift in market control toward buyers. Following this breakout, price entered a Range phase, where the market consolidated and built liquidity before the next move. This consolidation was later resolved with a strong breakout above the Range, pushing XAUUSD into a higher price zone and confirming continued bullish momentum. Currently, after the breakout, gold rallied sharply and reached the Resistance Zone around 4,350–4,360, where sellers began to react. This area has historically acted as a strong supply zone, and the current rejection indicates that selling pressure is increasing at these highs. At the moment, price is pulling back from the resistance and moving toward the Support Zone around 4,270, which aligns with the previous breakout structure and the rising Trend Line. This zone represents a key demand area where buyers previously stepped in. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is short-term corrective as long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,350 Resistance Zone and continues to show rejection from this level. I expect price to retrace toward the 4,270 Support Zone, where the next reaction will be critical for short-term direction. A clean breakdown below the 4,270 Support Zone would signal a deeper correction and could open the path toward lower demand levels along the trend line. However, if price reaches support and shows a strong bullish reaction, the broader bullish structure remains intact, and buyers may attempt another push toward the resistance highs. For now, the market is in a pullback phase, with 4,270 as the key level to watch for confirmation of either continuation or deeper correction. That’s the setup I’m monitoring. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ratner
23
XAUUSD 51st Record High of 2025 | Symmetrical Triangle BreakoutHistoric Context - A Record-Breaking Year According to the Wall Street Journal and Dow Jones Market Data released December 19, 2025: Gold futures have closed at record highs 51 times in 2025 Price has surged 66 percent year-to-date to 4387.30 USD per troy ounce This is gold's best annual performance since 1979 Silver has soared 131 percent in 2025, hitting 14 record highs Both metals are on pace for their biggest gains since 1979, the last year they hit this many records This historic context is critical for understanding current price action. We are not in a normal market environment. Gold is experiencing a generational bull run driven by central bank accumulation, geopolitical uncertainty, and monetary policy expectations. Current Market Context - December 20, 2025 Gold experienced volatility following the Federal Reserve December 18, 2025 policy decision. The central bank maintained its hawkish stance, projecting fewer rate cuts for 2026 than markets anticipated. Despite this headwind, gold recovered and hit another record high on December 19. The resilience above 4300 USD despite hawkish Fed rhetoric demonstrates the strength of underlying demand from central banks and institutional investors. Key Events This Week: December 18: Federal Reserve held rates steady, projected only two rate cuts for 2026 versus market expectations of three to four December 18: US Dollar Index surged following hawkish Fed commentary, initially pressuring gold December 19: Gold recovered to close at 51st record high of 2025 at 4387.30 USD according to WSJ December 19: CFTC COT report released showing strong speculative long positioning December 20: Price consolidating near 4338 USD within symmetrical triangle pattern Ongoing: PBOC and Chinese ETF buying continues despite record high prices Ongoing: Physical demand weakness in India and China as discounts widen to multi-year highs Technical Structure Analysis Pattern Identification - Symmetrical Triangle The 45-minute chart displays a textbook symmetrical triangle formation characterized by: Converging trendlines with lower highs and higher lows Decreasing volatility as price compresses toward the apex Volume declining during the consolidation phase Pattern duration of approximately 10-12 days Apex convergence point approaching within the next 24-48 hours Symmetrical triangles are continuation patterns approximately 55-60 percent of the time, but given the preceding choppy price action, this formation could break in either direction. Triangle Boundaries Upper Trendline (Descending Resistance): Connects the highs from December 12-13 around 4380-4390 USD Currently intersecting near 4355-4360 USD A decisive close above this trendline signals bullish breakout Lower Trendline (Ascending Support): Connects the lows from December 9-10 and December 18-19 Currently providing support near 4300-4310 USD A decisive close below this trendline signals bearish breakdown Key Price Levels Resistance Levels: 4355-4360 USD - Descending trendline resistance immediate 4380-4390 USD - Recent swing high and horizontal resistance 4400-4410 USD - Psychological resistance and previous rejection zone 4450-4475 USD - Major resistance from November 2025 highs 4500 USD - Psychological round number and measured move target Support Levels: 4310-4320 USD - Ascending trendline support immediate 4280-4290 USD - Horizontal support from December lows 4250-4260 USD - Previous consolidation zone 4200-4220 USD - Major support and psychological level 4150-4175 USD - Secondary support if breakdown accelerates Moving Average Analysis Price is oscillating around the 20-period moving average indicating indecision The 50-period moving average is relatively flat confirming the consolidation phase The 200-period moving average on higher timeframes remains in uptrend supporting long-term bullish bias A sustained move above the 20 and 50 MAs would confirm bullish momentum A breakdown below both MAs would signal bearish continuation RSI Analysis RSI on the 45-minute timeframe is currently neutral oscillating between 45-55 No overbought or oversold conditions present RSI is forming a similar compression pattern to price suggesting energy building for directional move Watch for RSI to break above 60 for bullish confirmation or below 40 for bearish confirmation Volume Analysis Volume has been declining during the triangle formation typical behavior before breakout Expect volume surge on the breakout candle to confirm validity Low volume breakouts often result in false moves and should be treated with caution Watch for volume at least 150 percent of average on breakout candle Fibonacci Analysis Measuring from the December low near 4200 USD to the December high near 4390 USD: 0.236 retracement: 4345 USD - Currently testing this level 0.382 retracement: 4317 USD - Aligns with triangle support 0.5 retracement: 4295 USD - Key level if support breaks 0.618 retracement: 4273 USD - Strong support zone Current price action around 4338 USD is testing the 0.236 Fibonacci level, a relatively shallow retracement suggesting buyers remain interested. CFTC Commitments of Traders Analysis - December 19, 2025 The latest COT report released December 19, 2025 provides critical insight into market positioning: Gold Futures Only Positions as of December 9, 2025: Open Interest: 432,569 contracts Non-Commercial Long: 268,485 contracts ( 62.1 percent of open interest) Non-Commercial Short: 44,599 contracts (10.3 percent of open interest) Commercial Long: 63,707 contracts (14.7 percent) Commercial Short: 326,286 contracts ( 75.4 percent ) Changes from December 2, 2025: Open Interest increased by 14,079 contracts Non-Commercial Longs added 7,154 contracts Non-Commercial Shorts added only 828 contracts Commercial Shorts added 10,791 contracts COT Interpretation: The positioning data reveals several important dynamics: Speculators (Non-Commercial) are heavily net long with 62.1 percent long versus only 10.3 percent short This represents a 6:1 long to short ratio among speculators - extreme bullish positioning Commercial hedgers (producers and merchants) are heavily short at 75.4 percent, which is normal hedging behavior in a bull market Open interest is increasing alongside price, confirming the uptrend has participation The continued addition of speculative longs suggests momentum traders remain committed to the bull case Warning Signal: Extreme speculative long positioning can precede corrections when longs begin to take profits. However, in strong trending markets, positioning can remain extreme for extended periods. The key is watching for a shift in the weekly changes - if longs start liquidating while price stalls, that would be a bearish signal. Physical Demand Analysis - Asia Market Weakness Reuters reported on December 19, 2025 that physical gold demand in Asia has weakened significantly due to record high prices: India Market: Dealers offering discounts of up to 37 USD per ounce to official domestic prices, up from 34 USD last week Domestic gold prices hit fresh record of 135,590 rupees per 10 grams Demand is roughly one quarter of normal levels according to PN Gadgil and Sons CEO Wedding season jewelry purchases dampened despite being peak demand period Demand expected to remain subdued as prices continue rising China Market: Bullion trading at discounts of up to 64 USD to global benchmark - highest in over five years This is the widest discount since August 2020 during COVID-19 pandemic Wholesale and retail demand described as incredibly weak by analyst Ross Norman However, ETF buying and PBOC purchases continue despite weak physical demand Other Asian Markets: Singapore: Trading from 0.5 USD discount to 2.2 USD premium Hong Kong: Trading from par to 1.8 USD premium Japan: Discounts up to 6.0 USD, though retail shops out of gold bar stocks Physical Demand Interpretation: The divergence between weak physical demand and strong prices is significant: Traditional price-sensitive buyers in India and China are stepping back at these levels However, institutional demand (ETFs, central banks) is offsetting physical weakness PBOC continues accumulating gold as part of reserve diversification strategy This suggests the rally is being driven by institutional and speculative flows rather than traditional jewelry demand A correction could occur if institutional buying slows, as physical demand is unlikely to provide support at current prices Fundamental Analysis Federal Reserve Policy Impact The December 18, 2025 FOMC meeting delivered several key takeaways affecting gold: Interest rates held steady as expected but forward guidance was more hawkish than anticipated Dot plot projections showed median expectation of only two rate cuts in 2026 Fed Chair emphasized data dependency and willingness to maintain restrictive policy longer if needed Inflation concerns remain despite progress with services inflation proving sticky Labor market remains resilient reducing urgency for rate cuts Implications for Gold: Higher-for-longer interest rates are traditionally bearish for gold as they increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. However, gold has shown remarkable resilience to rate expectations in 2024-2025, suggesting other factors are driving demand. US Dollar Dynamics The US Dollar Index strengthened following the hawkish Fed reaching multi-week highs Dollar strength typically pressures gold prices due to inverse correlation However the correlation has weakened in recent months as both assets attract safe-haven flows Watch DXY price action for confirmation of gold direction A reversal in dollar strength would provide tailwind for gold Central Bank Demand Central bank gold purchases remain a crucial support factor despite weak retail demand: Global central banks have been net buyers of gold for consecutive years PBOC (People's Bank of China) continues accumulating gold alongside Chinese ETF buying according to analyst Ross Norman India central bank has increased gold reserves significantly Emerging market central banks continue accumulating gold as reserve diversification from USD This institutional and central bank demand is offsetting weak physical retail demand in Asia Central bank buying provides structural floor under prices even when retail demand weakens Geopolitical Factors Safe-haven demand remains elevated due to: Russia-Ukraine conflict continues with no resolution in sight Middle East tensions remain elevated with ongoing regional instability US-China relations remain strained with trade and technology disputes Global election cycle creating policy uncertainty Debt ceiling and fiscal concerns in major economies These factors support gold safe-haven bid and help explain its resilience despite hawkish Fed policy. Directional Bias Assessment Arguments for Bullish Breakout: Gold has hit 51 record highs in 2025 - momentum clearly favors bulls Best annual performance since 1979 with 66 percent YTD gains Long-term uptrend remains intact on daily and weekly timeframes COT data shows speculators adding to long positions with 62.1 percent long exposure Central bank and ETF demand continues despite weak physical demand PBOC accumulation ongoing according to analyst reports Geopolitical tensions maintaining safe-haven bid Technical measured move target of 4480-4500 USD if triangle breaks higher Arguments for Bearish Breakdown: Extreme speculative long positioning (6:1 ratio) creates correction risk Physical demand in India at one quarter of normal levels China discounts at 64 USD - widest since August 2020 Hawkish Fed policy supporting stronger dollar and higher yields Price has risen 66 percent in one year - mean reversion risk elevated Holiday liquidity reduction could exacerbate any profit-taking Technical measured move target of 4200-4220 USD if triangle breaks lower My Assessment - Cautiously Bullish with Correction Risk: The weight of evidence supports the bull case given the historic momentum and institutional demand. However, several warning signs warrant caution: Extreme speculative positioning creates vulnerability to profit-taking Physical demand weakness in Asia suggests price-sensitive buyers are exhausted The rally is increasingly dependent on institutional flows rather than broad-based demand Short-term (next 1-2 weeks): Neutral to slightly bearish. The combination of extreme positioning, weak physical demand, and holiday liquidity conditions creates correction risk. A pullback to 4280-4320 USD would be healthy and provide better entry for longs. Long-term (1-3 months): Bullish. The structural drivers (central bank buying, geopolitical uncertainty, monetary policy expectations) remain intact. Any correction should be viewed as buying opportunity. Targets of 4500-4600 USD remain valid for Q1 2026. Trade Framework Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Trade Entry Conditions: 45-minute candle closes decisively above 4360 USD upper trendline Volume on breakout candle exceeds 150 percent of 20-period average RSI breaks above 60 confirming momentum Ideally accompanied by dollar weakness DXY declining Trade Parameters: Entry: 4365-4370 USD on confirmed breakout Stop Loss: 4330 USD below triangle midpoint Target 1: 4400-4410 USD previous resistance Target 2: 4450-4460 USD November highs Target 3: 4500-4520 USD measured move target Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2.5 to first target Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Trade Entry Conditions: 45-minute candle closes decisively below 4300 USD lower trendline Volume on breakdown candle exceeds 150 percent of 20-period average RSI breaks below 40 confirming bearish momentum Ideally accompanied by dollar strength DXY rising Trade Parameters: Entry: 4295-4300 USD on confirmed breakdown Stop Loss: 4340 USD above triangle midpoint Target 1: 4250-4260 USD horizontal support Target 2: 4200-4220 USD major support Target 3: 4150-4175 USD measured move target Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2 to first target Risk Management Guidelines Position sizing should not exceed 1-2 percent risk per trade given current volatility Reduce position size during holiday period due to lower liquidity Use hard stop losses do not move stops further from entry Scale out of positions at each target level 33 percent at each target Move stop to breakeven after first target achieved Avoid holding large positions over weekend given geopolitical risks Monitor DXY and Treasury yields for confirmation of gold direction Be prepared for false breakouts wait for candle close confirmation Invalidation Levels Bullish thesis invalidated if: Price closes below 4250 USD on daily timeframe Triangle breaks down with volume confirmation DXY breaks to new highs above 110 Bearish thesis invalidated if: Price closes above 4410 USD on daily timeframe Triangle breaks up with volume confirmation DXY reverses sharply below 106 Conclusion OANDA:XAUUSD has delivered a historic performance in 2025 with 51 record highs and 66 percent gains - the best year since 1979. The precious metal is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle near 4338 USD, setting up for the next directional move. Key Data Points: 51 record highs in 2025 according to Dow Jones Market Data 66 percent YTD gains - best since 1979 COT shows 62.1 percent speculative long positioning (6:1 long/short ratio) India physical demand at 25 percent of normal levels China discounts at 64 USD - widest since August 2020 PBOC and ETF buying continues despite weak retail demand Key Takeaways: The symmetrical triangle is approaching its apex suggesting a breakout is imminent within the next 24-72 hours Historic momentum (51 records) supports bullish bias but extreme positioning creates correction risk Physical demand weakness in Asia is a warning sign that price-sensitive buyers are exhausted Institutional demand (central banks, ETFs) is currently offsetting retail weakness Short-term bias is neutral with correction risk; long-term bias remains bullish Bullish breakout targets 4450-4500 USD; bearish breakdown targets 4250-4280 USD Risk management is critical given extreme positioning and holiday liquidity conditions The optimal approach is to wait for confirmed breakout with volume rather than anticipating direction. Given the extreme speculative positioning, any breakdown could trigger rapid profit-taking. Conversely, a breakout to new highs could accelerate as shorts cover. Trade the breakout, not the anticipation. Let price confirm direction before committing capital. This is not financial advice. Always conduct independent research and manage risk appropriately.
TVC:GOLD
by officialjackofalltrades
Pickup $ROKU ahead of monster breakoutNASDAQ:ROKU is on the cusp of a potential breakout with monster upside targets of 50% and 100%. The weekly chart shows the broader picture with a years long consolidation period pressing at times on the current resistance $110/$111 area. Notably Morgan Stanley has upgraded the stock to overweight, however there's pressure from insider selling to contend with. Recent action shows a tighter consolidation, highlighted on the 4h chart. The slight bearish divergence suggests it may take a bit longer for the price to finally break through resistance so choose call expiries wisely. I'm targeting June of 2026 with my bag.
NASDAQ:ROKULong
by quickshiftinn
GOLD - Consolidation amid a bullish trend. To ATH?FX:XAUUSD , after retesting its ATH (to the 4375 zone), is falling amid weak US inflation data. The dollar is strengthening, but despite this, gold is in a bullish trend. US inflation (CPI) for November was lower than expected, but Trump's statements about the future “dovish” Fed chair are limiting the decline in gold. The market continues to expect the Fed to ease policy in 2026. Today, data on the US consumer confidence index will be released. Short-term pressure remains, but the fundamental background does not allow us to talk about a trend reversal. The market structure is bullish, but there is a magnet zone below: 4310 - 4300. MM is likely to test it before moving towards ATH and updating highs... Resistance levels: 4330, 4353, 4375 Support levels: 4308, 4300, 4291 The dollar is forming a temporary correction due to fundamental factors. A weak dollar will support gold... The 4308-4300 zone is a liquidity pool, and the market may test this area amid the dollar correction. A long squeeze could bring the market back to growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
Gold Near Triangle Top — Correction Phase IncomingBased on yesterday’s U.S. economic data, Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) failed to post a significant bullish move. At the moment, Gold appears to be trading within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern and is currently moving near the upper lines of this pattern. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Gold has completed a Double Three corrective structure near the upper lines of the symmetrical triangle. In addition, a Regular Bearish Divergence (RD−) can be observed between the two most recent highs, which weakens the bullish momentum. I expect that Gold will at least decline toward the lower lines of the symmetrical triangle. If these lower lines are broken, we could even anticipate a breakdown below the Support zone($4,265-$4,240). First Target: Lower lines of symmetrical triangle Second Target: Support zone($4,265-$4,240) Stop Loss(SL): $4,357 Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
9
SOLUSDT - Countertrend correction to resistanceBINANCE:SOLUSDT , after updating its low, is forming a correction to the resistance conglomerate, but will the bears be able to hold back the upward movement? Bitcoin is testing 90K but is currently unable to consolidate above this zone. This is having a negative impact on the entire market. SOL is testing the 125.5 zone of interest after updating its low. If the bears keep the price below this level, SOL may come under pressure. Two key areas of interest: 124.5 and 128.9. If 124.5 does not hold the market, then before falling, within the global downtrend, SOLANA may test the upper resistance. Resistance levels: 124.5, 128.9 Support levels: 120.15, 116.7 Global and local trends are downward. At the moment, a countertrend correction is forming, which may be stopped in the indicated areas. A false breakout could trigger a decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
GOLD - A pullback ahead of the news. Will there be growth?FX:XAUUSD is hitting resistance at 4350-4360 and forming a correction amid expected inflation and initial jobless claims data Mixed US employment data supports expectations of Fed policy easing. The market is pricing in two rate cuts in 2026 versus one in the Fed's forecasts, which supports the bullish trend for the metal. Today's US CPI release will be a key trigger for reassessing the Fed's rate trajectory. Expectations of tighter policy from the Bank of Japan and market reassessment are creating overall caution. A short-term correction in gold is possible, but the overall uptrend remains intact amid the Fed's dovish monetary policy and global uncertainty. Resistance levels: 4337, 4353 Support levels: 4311, 4300 Technically and fundamentally, the situation is favorable for continued growth. Corrections allow the market to gather liquidity before movement, however, there is news ahead that will determine further movement. I expect a retest of 4311 - 4300 before growth to 4353 - 4380. Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
25
ETHEREUM - Hunting for liquidity before the decline continuesBINANCE:ETHUSDT quickly returned to its decline after a short squeeze based on market manipulation and updated its low to 2805. Looking at the daily timeframe, we can see that ETH is in a downtrend. An attempt to break the bearish trend resulted in another decline, which has been going on for more than a week. Bitcoin fell victim to the reverse Christmas rally yesterday and formed a rather interesting daily bar on Wednesday, indicating a weak market. Global and local trends are downward. Ethereum is pausing after a bearish rally. The 2805 pause zone could trigger a correction to the zone of interest — the border of the previously broken consolidation zone of 2890-2936. Resistance levels: 2890, 2940, 2975 Support levels: 2805, 2715 A countertrend movement may form a false breakout before a further decline. Given the current technical situation, it is not rational to consider buying. We are looking for opportunities to sell... Sincerely, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
Alibaba May Be Breaking DownAlibaba climbed sharply in September, but some traders may think it’s giving back the gains. The first pattern on today’s chart is the failed rally after the last earnings report on November 25. BABA has made lower highs since that session, resulting in a potentially bearish descending triangle. Second, prices closed below the triangle’s bottom yesterday. Could that represent a breakdown? Third, last month’s peak continued a succession of lower weekly highs. Prices are also below the 50-day simple moving average. Those signals may be consistent with a bearish intermediate-term trend. Next, MACD is falling and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below the 21-day EMA. Those signals may reflect a bearish short-term trend. Finally, BABA is an active underlier in the options market. (It’s averaged 166,000 contracts per session in the last month, according to TradeStation data.) That may help traders take positions with calls and puts. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options. Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com . TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:BABA
by TradeStation
BTCUSDT: Sellers Defend Resistance - Support Zone at $85,200Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup. Market Analysis BTCUSDT previously moved inside a clear downward channel, confirming strong bearish pressure. After reaching the lower boundary, price produced a temporary bounce and broke above the channel, but this move failed to develop into a sustainable bullish trend. Instead, BTC entered a consolidation range below the key 88,000 Resistance Zone, showing clear hesitation from buyers. Following the range formation, price developed a descending triangle structure, with lower highs forming along the Triangle Resistance Line and support being tested near the 85,200 Support Zone. Multiple fake breakouts above resistance and below support indicate liquidity grabs rather than true reversals. Recent price action shows rejection from the Resistance Zone and a failure to reclaim the upper range, suggesting seller dominance is returning. Currently, BTCUSDT is trading below the 88,000 Resistance Zone and remains capped under the Triangle Resistance Line, keeping bearish pressure intact. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is short-biased as long as BTCUSDT stays below the 88,000 Resistance Zone and the Triangle Resistance Line. I expect price to continue drifting lower toward the Triangle Support Line, with a primary target at the 85,200 Support Zone. A confirmed breakdown below this support would signal continuation of the bearish trend and open the path for deeper downside. However, if price instead breaks and holds above 88,000 with strong momentum, the short scenario would be invalidated. Until that happens, rallies into resistance are viewed as selling opportunities. That’s the setup I’m watching. Trade carefully and always manage your risk.
Short
by Ratner
19
BTCUSD Holds Triangle Support - Bounce Toward 88,500 ExpectedHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTC/USD based on the current chart structure. After a prolonged bearish move inside a downward channel, Bitcoin found a base near the lower boundary and reversed sharply, signaling seller exhaustion and a shift in momentum. This reversal was followed by a breakout above the descending resistance, confirming the end of the bearish phase. Price then entered a consolidation range, where accumulation took place before a confirmed breakout pushed BTC higher. Following the range breakout, the market formed a triangle structure, with price respecting the Triangle Support Line while facing pressure from the Triangle Resistance Line. Recently, BTC revisited the Buyer Zone around 86,300–85,500, which aligns with both horizontal support and the lower triangle boundary. Buyers stepped in at this level, defending the structure and keeping the recovery scenario intact. Currently, BTC is attempting a rebound from the Buyer Zone and is aiming toward the 88,500 Resistance Level (TP1). As long as price holds above the support zone, a move toward this resistance remains likely. A clean breakout above 88,500 would confirm further upside continuation, while rejection could lead to another consolidation or retest of support. For now, the structure favors buyers, with 86,300–85,500 as key support and 88,500 as the main upside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
32
USDT Dominance% Breakout: Crypto Correction Not Over?Today, I’m going to analyze Market Cap USDT Dominance%( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) on the weekly timeframe for you. The reason I want to analyze USDT.D% is that the crypto market conditions have become a bit complex lately, and many factors are influencing it. Therefore, it’s better to take a look at the weekly chart of USDT.D%. Currently, it seems that USDT.D% is in the vicinity of a Heavy Resistance zone(6.78%-5.25%), but at the same time, there’s also a Support zone(6.24%-5.57%) that could potentially lead to an increase in USDT.D%. From a classical technical analysis perspective, we can clearly see on the weekly chart that the upper lines of the symmetrical triangle have been broken, and it seems that USDT.D% is currently pulling back to those upper lines. As long as it doesn’t move below those lines again, we can still expect that the market correction is ongoing and hasn’t ended yet. This is a sign that helps us gauge whether the crypto market correction is complete or still ongoing. From an Elliott Wave perspective, with the breakout of the symmetrical triangle, it seems that USDT.D% might be starting a new impulsive wave. Since we’re not seeing Regular Divergence(RD-) at the highs, it indicates that the recent upward movement in the crypto market, especially Bitcoin’s( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) recent gains, is still part of the correction phase. In conclusion, based on the above analysis, I expect USDT.D% to rise again. If USDT.D% breaks through the resistance lines, we can hope that it will also break through the Heavy Resistance zone(6.78%-5.25%), and that would be a negative sign for the crypto market, potentially leading to deeper corrections in the coming weeks. So, what do you think? Do you believe the crypto market correction is over, or do you think it will continue? That’s a nice question to leave our analysis with. Stop Loss(SL): 5.49% 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌Market Cap USDT Dominance% Analyze (USDT.D%), Weekly time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by pejman_zwin
16
BTCUSDT Long: Demand Support Fuels Push Toward $92,500Hello, traders! BTCUSDT previously traded within a well-defined Descending Channel, confirming strong bearish pressure and controlled sell-side momentum. Price consistently respected the channel boundaries, producing lower highs and lower lows until a decisive breakdown occurred near the lower channel edge. After this breakdown, Bitcoin reached a clear Pivot Point, where sellers began to lose control and buyers stepped in aggressively. This reaction marked the end of the bearish impulse and initiated a structural shift. From this pivot low, price started forming higher lows, signaling the emergence of demand and the beginning of a recovery phase. Currently, BTC broke above local resistance and entered a Range phase, where price consolidated between the 88,000 Demand Zone and the 92,500 Supply Zone. Multiple breakout attempts occurred inside this range, confirming active participation from both buyers and sellers. However, each dip toward the demand area was quickly absorbed, showing strong buyer interest and defense of the lower boundary. A rising Demand Line formed beneath price, reinforcing bullish pressure and supporting higher lows within the range. This structure indicates accumulation rather than distribution, suggesting preparation for a directional move. My primary scenario is bullish as long as BTCUSDT holds above the 88,000 Demand Zone and continues respecting the ascending demand line. The recent pullback into demand appears corrective rather than impulsive, favoring continuation to the upside. I expect price to push back toward the 92,500 Resistance, which represents the upper boundary of the range and a key decision level. A clean breakout and acceptance above 92,500 would confirm bullish continuation and open the path for further upside expansion. Manage your risk!
Long
by heniitrading
10
GOLD → Growth may continue after correction...FX:XAUUSD is trading in a sideways range amid mixed signals: weak macro data and concerns about an AI bubble are supporting the metal, but the moderate strengthening of the dollar is limiting its growth... Fundamental situation • Weak data from China: industrial production and retail sales showed the lowest growth in several years. • Mixed data from the US: NFP for November: +64K (better than forecast), but October revised to -105K. Unemployment rose to 4.6%. • Expectations of Fed policy easing remain, especially against the backdrop of the possible appointment of a new “dovish” chair (Christopher Waller is being considered). The fundamental backdrop remains favorable for gold, but new triggers are needed to break out of the range. Attention is shifting to US inflation data, which will set the direction before the end of the year. Technically, gold may test key support before attempting to rise to retest 4335-4350. Resistance levels: 4335, 4353, 4380 Support levels: 4311, 4300, 4329 The trend is bullish, and the fundamental background is favorable. If the bulls keep the price above 4320-4310 within the current correction, the growth may continue... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
USDJPY - Triangle (consolidation before news) FX:USDJPY formed a false breakout of the symmetrical triangle consolidation support. An ideal maneuver ahead of the news and expectations of a positive outcome for the JPY. “The Bank of Japan may raise interest rates for the first time in 11 months at its meeting on December 19.” Against this backdrop, the currency pair may test the 156.00 area before a possible decline if the Bank of Japan takes this step. The Japanese national currency may strengthen, putting pressure on the dollar, which has been rising since yesterday's US session... Technically, the zone of interest for a decline is 156.0. A false breakout is possible before a decline to support. Resistance levels: 156.10 Support levels: 155.0, 154. 5 The strengthening of the yen may put pressure on the dollar. But again, it is worth paying attention to the context regarding the policy of the Japanese regulator. Further movement depends on the news. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1