Back To SupportI'm back with the EURTRY to do a add-to-position. If you have followed me on the EURTRY, it's an idea to consider an increase of position. Just a moment ago, disappointing quarterly jobless average (dec) figures came out of Turkey. With the EU going somewhat stronger, I trust this one over the next week to continue upwards. Be aware that EU is in a strange place after several EU countries is banning Turkey. Also with Holland having election today, and soon France and eventually Germany. In that light, I have a fairly large SL on EURTRY. Don't necessarily do the same, unless you are comfortable with it.
Try!
Bullish Bat Euro/LiraSince October this pair has entered into an aggressive uptrend! Price is moving in a bat formation, heading towards our PRZ. As per natural behaviour, price may enter slight consolidation at the PRZ before continuing with the original trend; I will be looking for an entry asap once the C-D wave is complete. 1st and 2nd Take Profit levels at 38.2% and 61.8% respectively of the distance from A-D. Stop loss slightly behind the X coordinate.
Bat Ratios:
AB: 0.382-0.5
BC: 0.382-0.886
CD: 1.618-2.618
XD: 0.886
AUDTRY @ daily @ highest H/L-Range of 741 cross-rates this yearThis is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
4XSetUps for next wee - friday close(1482 Cross-Rates)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron
GBPTRY @ daily @ highest H/L-Range of 741 cross-rates last weekThis is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
4XSetUps for next wee - friday close(1482 Cross-Rates)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron
TRYRUB @ daily @ last 10 weeks down (friday by friday)This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
4XSetUps for next wee - friday close(1482 Cross-Rates)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron
EURTRY StraddleDaily time frame suggests an opportunity to capitalize on indecision and/or manipulation in the market.
Sell limit set at 4.06358 with a 461 pip stop. Risk = $12.50 (1/4 of 1% of equity).
Buy limit set at 4.01748 with a 461 pip stop. Risk = $12.50 (1/4 of 1% of equity).
Both orders expire 10 minutes before London close.
No take profit target will be set. Trades ride to stop loss or until I choose to take profit.
AUDTRY @ daily @ only 3 (of 741) pairs performed higher while`17This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
.zip (with PDF`s) @ my Google Drive
Performance in percent while this periods (1482 Cross-Rates)
drive.google.com
Best regards :)
Aaron
TRYRUB @ -17.30% one of (1482) best performer (4th Quarter) !Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
1482 Cross-Rates (4th Quarter Statistics) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron
USDTRY Setting Lower Lows, 61.8% Retracement CompleteCan we expect more decline from this point? I believe so and here is why:
Since it reached all time high, USDTRY was unable to continue that trend and started making lower lows if you look at the 1h graph.
First real decrease happened in the previous few days and 61.8% retrace was completed with the pair unable to continue higher.
RSI bearish, MACD pointing down.
In the short run, traders can benefit from short selling USDTRY.
In the long run, however, I still stick to my idea of an inflationary dollar (ex. EUR/USD going to parity, even lower, USD is to be inflationary and we might see appreciation due to avoiding capital outflows, high bond prices and worryingly low bond yields).
Good luck!






















