UPS 1W - delivery of a trend reversal is on the way?On the weekly chart, UPS is holding strong around the $82–90 support zone - a key level where buyers historically step in. The structure suggests the end of the long corrective channel and the potential start of a bullish reversal.
Technically, a confirmed breakout above the channel could trigger momentum toward $158, $176, and $202 - attractive targets for mid-term traders.
From a fundamental standpoint, UPS continues to streamline operations, improve automation, and prepare for peak season shipping. Growing e-commerce volumes and steady fuel costs may support stronger margins ahead. If earnings start to reflect these improvements, the stock could easily shift gears into a sustainable uptrend.
* UPS announced that it will report its Q3 results on October 28, 2025.
* The company is introducing increased seasonal charges and shipping rates starting October 26 ahead of the holiday season, which may temporarily reduce demand.
* UPS also announced plans to equip 5,000 of its trucks with air conditioning in the hottest regions of the US, a step to improve working conditions but at a cost.
* The high dividend yield (~7.5%) raises questions about sustainability, as the payout is almost equal to free cash flow.
Tactical play: as long as $82–90 holds, bulls have the initiative. Once the breakout is confirmed - the next big delivery might just be profits.
UPS
UPS Swing Long 1H Conservative Trend TradeConservative Trend Trade
+ long impulse
- supporting reaction bar
+ support zone
+ 1/2 correction
+ biggest volume Sp
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily Trend
+ long impulse
= neutral zone"
Monthly CounterTrend
"+ short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support zone
+ biggest volume manipulation bar
- one bar reversal?"
Yearly trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support zone
+ biggest volume manipulation bar"
Update for UPS: Should go up to 100 level.This is an updated chart for NYSE:UPS Trade Idea that was posted few days ago.
If you got in the Buy, make sure to manage your trade and lets wait market to go a bit more higher, give us a correction/pullback for another push up towards 100 level.
WTW 4 Golder Rules:
1) Do not jump in
2) Do not over risk/trade
3) Do not trade without Stop Loss
4) Never ever add to a losing position!
Trade with care
We Trade Waves
WTW Team
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
UPS Swing 1H Long Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
- support bar above JOC level
+ support level
- above 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Sp-
+ weak test
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit above 1H T1 below 1D CREEK
Daily CounterTrend
"= uniderectional balance
+ expanding ICE level
+ support level"
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ biggest volume breaking bar with bad result"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ support level"
UPS: Should go up to 100 level.Based on WTW Concept and from a technical point of view, we will look for buy setups on NYSE:UPS it is ready to go up even if it will go a bit more lower.
We Trade Waves
WTW Team
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
UPS BACK TO 120 BY 2026 See new posts
WRITE A SMALL POST ABOUT TRADING MAG 7 STOCKS ON NYSE
Trading the "Magnificent 7" stocks—Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, and Tesla—on the NYSE offers high potential but comes with unique challenges. These tech giants drive market trends, boasting massive market caps and innovation-driven growth. Their volatility, fueled by earnings reports, product launches, and macroeconomic shifts, creates opportunities for traders. Focus on technical analysis (RSI, moving averages) and stay updated on news like regulatory changes or AI advancements impacting their sectors. Diversify within the group to hedge risks, and use stop-loss orders to manage volatility. Trade smart, stay informed! #Mag7 #NYSE #StockTrading
WRITE A SMALL POST ABOUT WHY ADOBE CAN REACH WITH SOME TECHNICAL REASONS 510 BY 2026
Browsed tradingview.com
Show All (4)
Why Adobe (ADBE) Could Hit $510 by 2026: Technical Breakdown Adobe's trading at ~$365 today, but bullish setups scream upside. Here's why $510 (40% gain) is in play:Bullish Triangle Breakout: ADBE's consolidated in a multi-year ascending triangle since 2020. A recent close above $370 resistance (near 50-day MA ~$383) signals breakout, targeting $510 (measured move from base at $330 low).
RSI Rebound: At 42 (neutral, not oversold), RSI is coiling for momentum shift. Weekly RSI >50 could trigger buy signals, aligning with AI-driven catalysts like Firefly integrations.
MACD Crossover Potential: MACD histogram narrowing (-5.26) hints at bullish crossover by Q4 2025. Paired with 200-day MA (~$420) as next support, this flips sentiment to "Strong Buy" per TradingView.
Analyst Backing: Consensus targets $465–$496 short-term, but long-term forecasts (e.g., LongForecast) eye $577 EOY 2026 on 11% revenue growth to $23B+.
Volatility ahead, but AI tailwinds make this a no-brainer long. What's your PT? #ADBE #StockTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
WITE SOME GOOD REASONS WHY TESLA CAN REACH 450 THEN 500 BY EOY OR 2026
Searched for "reasons Tesla stock to reach $450 $500 by end of 2026"
10 results
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Why Tesla (TSLA) Could Hit $450 Then $500 by EOY 2025 or 2026: Key Catalysts Tesla's hovering around $315 today (as of Sept 23, 2025), down ~20% YTD amid sales dips, but the setup for a rebound to $450 (43% upside) and $500 (59% upside) is primed by execution on autonomy, EVs, and energy. Here's the bull case, blending fundamentals and forecasts:Robotaxi & FSD Rollout Momentum: Tesla's Cybercab unveil in Oct 2025 could catalyze a surge, with unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) v13 hitting highways by year-end. ARK Invest's base case eyes $4,600 by 2026 (driven 60%+ by autonomy), but even conservative models like CoinCodex forecast $453 avg in 2026, with highs to $664 on ride-hailing revenue potentially adding $10T market value.
2 sources
Piper Sandler just hiked their PT, calling TSLA the "top idea" for AV investing.
EV Delivery Rebound & Affordable Models: Post-2025 sales weakness (1.8M deliveries est.), expect 2.3M+ in 2026 with Model 2 launch (~$25K EV) ramping production to 3M+ annually. This counters China/EU headwinds, recaptures 20%+ US market share, and boosts EPS to $0.49 next quarter—fueling a $450 breakout per LongForecast's Q3 2026 path.
2 sources
Morningstar sees a 2026 revival echoing 2016's Model 3 surge.
Energy Storage Boom: Megapack deployments exploding (Q2 2025: 9.4 GWh), with 50%+ YoY growth projected through 2026, diversifying revenue to 15%+ of total. This hedges EV volatility, pushing margins to 20%+ and supporting $500 on 11% revenue growth to $130B.
Optimus Humanoid Robot Sales: External sales kick off late 2025/early 2026, targeting $20K/unit with factory pilots scaling to millions. This could add $1T+ valuation long-term, per ARK, but even modest adoption lifts sentiment to $500 by EOY 2026.
2 sources
Analyst consensus (51 firms) averages $391 short-term, but bulls like Fubon ($1,000) and CoinPriceForecast ($526 EOY 2026) back the push.
2 sources
Risks like Musk drama or tariffs loom, but flawless execution flips this to moonshot territory. Long TSLA? #TSLA #EVRevolution #StockForecast
10 web pages
WRITE A OST ABOUT RDW STOCK REACHING 13 DOLLARS BY 2026
Searched for "RDW stock OR Redwire forecast OR price target since:2025-01-01"
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Why Redwire (RDW) Could Blast to $13 by 2026: Bull Case RDW's trading at ~$9 today (Sep 23, 2025), down post-Q2 earnings miss, but with space infrastructure booming, $13 (44% upside) is conservative amid analyst love and catalysts. Here's the setup:Analyst Consensus Screams Upside: 8 firms rate "Buy" with avg PT $16.56–$18.64 (83–107% gain short-term), max $28—easily clearing $13 by EOY 2026 on execution. Even bears like BofA's $10 see room for rebound; H.C. Wainwright holds $22 Buy post-acquisition.
4 sources
Zacks ABR 1.00 (Strong Buy) backs $26 avg.
NASA & Defense Contract Pipeline: $25M NASA IDIQ award (Aug '25) for space tech, plus prime for Skimsat and Honeywell quantum collab—fuels 20%+ YoY revenue to $550M+ in 2026. Artemis funding stability hedges risks, per Roth MKM Buy.
Edge Autonomy UAS integration adds drone revenue, targeting $100M backlog growth.
Acquisition Synergies & Margin Expansion: Q2's Transformative Acquisition (e.g., Hammerhead integration) boosts EPS from -$1.41 to break-even by Q4 '25, with 132M Q3 revenue est. up 15%. Analysts eye 25% margins by 2026 on in-space manufacturing scale.
2 sources
Space Economy Tailwinds: $1T market by 2040; RDW's solar arrays, 3D printing IP position it for 30% sector growth. CoinCodex forecasts $8.41 avg '26 low-end, but bulls like Canaccord ($17.50) see $13 as floor on 11% EPS ramp.
2 sources
Volatility from govt reliance, but flawless delivery flips this to orbit. Long RDW? #RDW #SpaceStocks #StockForecast
7 web pages
WRITE A SMALL POST ABOUT AMD REACHING 200 THEN 240 LONG TERM BY 2026
Searched for "AMD analyst price targets 2025 2026"
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Why AMD (AMD) Could Surge to $200 Then $240 Long-Term by 2026: AI-Powered Bull Case AMD's trading at ~$160 today (Sep 23, 2025), up 30% YTD on AI tailwinds, but with EPS exploding to $6+ in 2026, $200 (25% upside) then $240 (50% gain) is locked in for patient bulls. Here's the roadmap:AI Datacenter Dominance: MI355X GPUs ramping Q4 '25, capturing 20%+ market share from Nvidia via cost-efficient accelerators (40% better tokens/$). Oracle's Zettascale cluster + Meta/Microsoft deals project $40B+ revenue in '26 (21% YoY), per analysts—fueling $200 breakout as datacenter hits 50% of sales.
2 sources
EPS Acceleration & Valuation Pop: Consensus EPS jumps 54% to $6.01 in 2026 (from $3.90 '25), trading at 27x forward P/E—undervalued vs. peers at 0.49 PEG. At 33x (Nasdaq-100 avg), that's $199 EOY '26; bulls like Truist eye $213 short-term, scaling to $242 on 35% growth.
3 sources
Gaming/Quantum Rebound: Ryzen AI CPUs + IBM quantum collab revive gaming (15% YoY) and edge AI, adding $10B+ revenue. MI400 launch '26 cements leadership, per CoinPriceForecast's $242 avg.
2 sources
Analyst Consensus Backs It: 34 firms avg $188 PT (high $230), with LongForecast hitting $296 mid-'26 on momentum. Export risks loom, but flawless execution = moon.
2 sources
Long AMD for the AI decade? #AMD #AIStocks #StockForecast
6 web pages
DO THE SAME WITH CHIPOTLE 50 DOLLARS
Why Chipotle (CMG) Could Climb to $50 by 2026: Tasty Bull Case Chipotle’s trading at ~$43 today (Sep 23, 2025), down slightly YTD, but with strong fundamentals and operational wins, $50 (16% upside) by EOY 2026 is achievable long-term. Here’s the recipe:Revenue & Same-Store Growth: Q2 '25 comps +11.1% and $3.8B revenue (15% YoY) signal robust demand. Analysts project 13% YoY growth to $12.5B in '26, driven by 300+ new stores and digital orders (30%+ of sales). This supports $1.75 EPS, pushing P/E to 28x for a $50 target.
Operational Efficiency: Chipotlanes (drive-thru) now in 60% of new locations, boosting margins to 28%+. Automation in prep (e.g., Autocado) cuts costs 5%, per management, fueling EPS growth to $2.10 by '26, aligning with $50 at 24x forward P/E.
Analyst Optimism: 27 firms avg $50.24 PT (high $62), with BMO Capital’s $56 Buy rating citing loyalty program strength (35M+ members). CoinPriceForecast sees $53 mid-'26, clearing $50 on 10% comps.
Consumer Resilience: Despite inflation, CMG’s premium positioning (health-focused, customizable menu) retains Gen Z/Millennial traffic, hedging macro risks. LongForecast eyes $54 by Q3 '26.
Price wars or labor costs could bite, but Chipotle’s growth engine is sizzling. Long CMG? #Chipotle #StockForecast #FastCasual
WRITE A POST ABOUT LUNAR STOCK INUTIVE MACHINES BACK TO 20 DOLLARS BY 2026
Searched for "LUNR stock forecast 2026 revenue growth"
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Why Intuitive Machines (LUNR) Could Rocket Back to $20 by 2026: Lunar Bull Case LUNR's trading at ~$9.71 today (Sep 23, 2025), down from its $24.95 peak amid mission hiccups, but with NASA contracts stacking and revenue exploding, $20 (106% upside) is in orbit by EOY 2026. Here's the launch sequence:NASA Contract Avalanche: Fresh $2.5M NextSTEP award (Jan '25) for lunar logistics, plus $4.82B Near Space Network (NSN) for comms/nav through 2029 (extendable to 2034). IM-3 mission in '26 delivers South Pole payloads ($116.9M CLPS), scaling DTE services to $200M+ annually.
5 sources
LTV award mid-'25 adds mobility revenue, hedging risks.
Revenue Hypergrowth: From $217M in '25 to $700M+ in '26 (222% YoY) on dual missions, relay sats, and NSN backlog. EPS flips to $0.03 avg (from -$0.22), trading at 20x forward P/E—undervalued vs. space peers at 30x.
2 sources
Analyst Moonshot Targets: Consensus $15.44 short-term (6 firms, Moderate Buy), but bulls like Canaccord ($26, up from $17.50) and Intellectia ($24.94 Dec '26) eye $20+ on Artemis tailwinds. Highs to $31.88 clear it easy.
5 sources
Artemis & Market Boom: $1T space economy by 2040; LUNR's Nova-C landers + Khon sats position it for 20-30% YoY growth, per Reddit bulls modeling $500M+ revenue at 20x P/S = $100 PT (conservative slice: $20).
Mission delays or funding cuts loom, but flawless IM-3 execution = liftoff. Long LUNR to the Moon? #LUNR #SpaceStocks #LunarEconomy
13 web pages
DO THE SAME WITH UPS
Searched for "UPS stock catalysts 2025 2026"
10 results
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Why UPS (UPS) Could Surge to $100 Then $120 Long-Term by 2026: Logistics Rebound UPS's trading at ~$84 today (Sep 23, 2025), down ~35% YTD on volume softness and Amazon shifts, but with cost cuts unlocking $3B+ savings and e-commerce/reshoring tailwinds, $100 (19% upside) then $120 (43% gain) by EOY 2026 is realistic. Here's the bull thesis:Efficiency Overhaul & Amazon Pivot: Cutting Amazon volumes >50% by mid-2026 frees capacity for higher-margin SMB/premium parcels, boosting domestic margins to 12%+. Network of the Future automation (164 closures, 20K job cuts) delivers $3.5B annual savings by '26, per management—driving $100 on EPS ramp to $7.38 (13% YoY).
3 sources
Revenue & Margin Expansion: Guidance eyes $108-114B revenue in '26 (above $102B est.), with 1% YoY growth accelerating to 4% in '27 on healthcare logistics (Andlauer acquisition) and nearshoring demand in LatAm/Europe. Operating margins hit 13%+, undervalued at 14x forward P/E vs. 5-yr avg 16.5x—pushing to $120 per Goldman Sachs catalysts.
4 sources
EPS Acceleration: Consensus $7.38 EPS in '26 (up 13% from $6.51 '25), with highs to $8.00 on freight recovery and digital investments. At 16x (historical norm), that's $118+; CoinPriceForecast aligns at $114 EOY '26.
2 sources
Analyst Consensus Fuels It: 29 firms avg $104 PT (24% upside, high $145), with "Buy" ratings from Goldman/Raymond James citing mid-'26 profitability inflection. Zacks sees 26% to $112
Pessimistically Optimistic!- NYSE:UPS stock has been a dog in the last 3 years.
- However, worst appears to be behind us.
- Fundamentally,
| Year | Bear EPS | Base EPS | Bull EPS |
| -------- | ---------------- | ---------------- | ------------------|
| 2025. | ~$6.90 (~3%) | ~$7.20 (+7% ) | $7.70 (~15% ) |
| 2026 | ~$7.10 (+3%) | ~$7.70 (+7%) | ~$8.85 (+15%) |
| 2027. | ~$7.30 (+3%) | ~$8.25 (+7%) | ~10.18 (+15%) |
- NYSE:UPS isn't a growth story but a value play. Currently, it is trading at a valuation of bear case and forward p/e of 10.
- However, I am betting on stabilization and upward revision of multiple. In that case, a fair forward p/e would be 12-15x
| Year | Bear Case Price | Base Case Price | Bull Case Price |
| -------- | ------------------ | -------------------------- | -------------------- |
| 2025 | $6.90× 10-12 → $69-83| $7.20× 15-18 → $108-130| $7.70× 20-25 → $154-193|
| 2026 | $7.10× 10-12 → $71-85| $7.70× 15-18 → $116-139 | $8.85× 20-25 → $177-221 |
| 2027 | $7.30× 10-12 → $73-88 | $8.25× 15-18 → $124-149 | $10.18×20-25 → $204-255 |
UPS Support & Resistance Lines for September Month 2025This chart highlights September’s monthly support and resistance bands for UPS, built as “guardrails” around the month's price action. The outer bands mark the expected extremes, while the inner (half-step) lines act as intermediate pivot zones where price often pauses, flips, or accelerates. Think of them as a pre-mapped playbook for the month: upper band = supply, lower band = demand, with the midlines guiding targets and risk.
How I trade it
30-minute for 2–3 day swings
Setup: I wait for a 30-min close into a band (upper or lower) plus a clear reaction (wick rejection, momentum fade, or structure break).
Entry: Fade the move back toward the nearest midline when the reaction confirms; or ride a continuation if price accepts above/below a band and retests it from the other side.
Targets: First target is the nearest half-step line, second is the opposite half-step, final is the far band if momentum persists.
Risk: Stop goes just outside the band (for fades) or just back inside the band (for breakouts). If the 30-min closes back through my line, I’m out—no questions asked.
Management: Scale out at each line; move stops to break-even after TP1.
1–3 hour for weekly swings
Bias: I align 1h/2h/3h trend with where price sits relative to the monthly bands. Acceptance above a midline favors continuation to the next line; rejection at a band favors a mean-revert path.
Entry: Use a retest of the broken line on 1–3h candles for confirmation (close-through → retest → resume).
Targets: Next line on the map; let winners run to the next higher-timeframe band if structure holds.
Risk: Stop beyond the reclaimed line; I tighten weekly as soon as we tag the first target zone.
Playbook cues
Rejection at outer band → look for fades back to midline.
Acceptance and hold beyond a band → trade continuation into the next zone.
Stalls at half-step → take partials or tighten stops; these levels often “decide” the next leg.
Use the bands to plan entries, exits, and invalidations before the move. No predictions—just rules around predefined levels for September.
UPS: From Delivering Packages to Delivering ValueAs you probably know by now, my strategy consists of finding cheap, deep-value, beaten-up, underdog stocks. This is the strategy I've been using for the last 5 years and that allows me to consistently outperform the S&P 500 by 2x to 3x every year.
This does not guarantee that all my analyses are correct. But if I'm correct 6 or 7 times out of 10, then I'm a rich man!
Now back to UPS!
Over the last 3 years, the stock lost 64% of its value. But... did sales or income decline by the same account? Did margins decline? Did the company decrease its fleet by 60%?
The answer to all these questions is NO, and this is why I think the stock is undervalued.
Yeah, the tariff war and Amazon's slowing of the UPS agreement hurt sales, but these are transient.
Overview
UPS stock is down 64% since its ATH in 2022.
P/S ratio is at 0.8, the lowest since 2009.
P/E ratio is at 12.6, the lowest in the history of the stock
The P/B ratio is at 4.58, the lowest since 2006.
Dividend yield is at 7.8%.
The CEO recently bought $1 million worth of UPS stock.
This data gives us some clues. The stock is obviously underpriced, despite the fact that UPS is still one of the market leaders and the sales are stable.
Financial performance
Revenue: TTM $90.69 billion (+1.3% YoY); Revenue is improving, but still 10% down since the $100 billion in 2022.
Profitability: Operating margin 9.4% (TTM), net margin 6.4%;
EPS is now at $7.70, which is a similar level to what it was in 2020 and 2021, when the stock price was at $120. However, now the stock price is at $85.
Balance Sheet: Debt $26 billion, debt-to-equity 1.45x, which is totally fine.
Growth prospects
UPS is cutting costs and jobs, targeting $3.5 billion in savings by 2026 via automation/AI (5-7% annual cost reduction).
E-commerce will sustain long-term growth.
The company is innovating with AI-improved routes, self-driving trucks, and drones.
Technical Analysis
The stock price is right above the $85 resistance level, which has been a support/resistance level since 2005.
My target
Considering the prospects, estimates, etc, I can see UPS going to $110 to $130 range in mid-2026, providing an upside of 30% to 40%. This level also aligns with the Fibonacci 0.236 level.
If the stock continues to drop, I will simply average down. I don't think it can drop much more from here, and it will definitely not go bankrupt.
I'm gonna invest approximately 1% of my wealth into this stock.
Remember, I'm just sharing my journey and this is not financial advice! 😎
DPRO - DRAGONLY High Risk High RewardDragonfly is a very risky investment that has an amazing amount of upside potential.
A low price equity stock that is gaining market share in Canada as a major ecommerce delivery business.
As a resident of Canada its amazing to see how many of these vehicles have now appeared on our roads and delivering packages.
If you expect continued growth from NASDAQ:AMZN and online ordering this company should drastically benefit.
DPRO could easily steal market share from FDX UPS and other areas of the transport delivery market.
Keep in mind this is very speculative.
UPS Here’s the latest on **United Parcel Service (UPS)** stock:
## Stock market information for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)
* United Parcel Service, Inc. is a equity in the USA market.
* The price is 88.82 USD currently with a change of 2.66 USD (0.03%) from the previous close.
* The latest open price was 86.47 USD and the intraday volume is 10230694.
* The intraday high is 89.295 USD and the intraday low is 86.3 USD.
* The latest trade time is Saturday, August 23, 03:58:32 +0400.
---
## UPS Stock — Key Overview
### Company Snapshot
**United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)** is a global leader in package delivery and supply chain management. Originally founded in 1907 as the American Messenger Company, it has evolved to become one of the largest logistics providers worldwide ( ).
UPS operates through three main segments:
* U.S. Domestic Package
* International Package
* Supply Chain & Freight services ( ).
On the stock front, UPS Class B shares (ticker: UPS) are publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Class A shares carry greater voting power (10 votes each) but are **not publicly traded** and are primarily held by employees and retirees ( ).
---
### Performance & Valuation
* On **August 22, 2025**, UPS closed at **\$88.82**, up about **+3.10%**, though it still underperformed peers like FedEx (+5.11%) ( ).
* The stock remains approximately **39% below** its 52-week high of about **\$145** ( ).
* Financially, in 2024 UPS posted **\$91 billion** in revenue (flat year-over-year) and net earnings of **\$5.78 billion** (down \~14%) ( ).
* Valuation-wise, analysts maintain an average recommendation of **“Buy”**, with a **12-month target price** of around **\$112.11**, suggesting \~26% upside ( ).
According to **Bernstein** (as of January 2025):
* Target increased to **\$179**, citing improving cost visibility and expected margin expansion to \~12% by 2026 (up from below 10% in 2024) ( ).
* **Wolfe Research** also upgraded UPS to Buy, setting a target of **\$147**, based on anticipated margin improvements ( ).
---
## Recent Highlights & Challenges
### Earnings Miss & Guidance Concerns
* In **Q2 2025**, UPS missed expectations with **adjusted EPS of \$1.55** (vs. \$1.56 forecast), while revenue came in at **\$21.2 billion**—slightly above estimates but down \~2.8% year-over-year ( ).
* The company **did not issue full-year guidance**, citing uncertainty from low U.S. consumer sentiment and macroeconomic pressures, including tariffs and weak demand in the small-package segment ( ).
* As a result, UPS shares plunged over **10% in a single trading session** ( ).
### Insider Buying as a Confidence Signal
* Following the Q2 downturn, CEO **Carol Tomé** and Chairman **William Johnson** **personally purchased shares** at prices around \~\$85–86, signaling continued belief in UPS’s long-term potential ( ).
* The shares were acquired despite the stock being down \~30% year-to-date, continuing a multi-year decline that included significant drops in 2022, 2023, and 2024 ( ).
---
## Summary Table
| Category | Highlights |
| ---------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------ |
| **Current Price** | \~\$88.82 (as of Aug 22, 2025) |
| **52-Week High Gap** | \~39% below peak of \~\$145 |
| **Revenue & Earnings** | \$91B revenue, \~\$5.8B earnings in 2024 |
| **Analyst Sentiment** | “Buy”; targets range from \$112 to as high as \$179 |
| **Q2 2025 Results** | Missed EPS, revenue slight beat—but no guidance issued |
| **Insider Buying** | CEO & Chair purchased shares after earnings miss |
---
## Final Thoughts
UPS is navigating through a challenging period, marked by weak consumer sentiment and soft demand in key delivery segments. While near-term results have disappointed and guidance is lacking, management’s recent insider buying is a bullish signal that they believe in a turnaround. Analysts remain optimistic, projecting meaningful upside over the next 12–18 months if margin improvements materialize.
UPS Momentum Trade: Buy $88C → Target 100%+ Return by Friday
# 🚚 UPS Weekly Options Setup (8/18 – 8/22)
🔥 **Institutional Flow Signals a Bullish Week** 🔥
All major AI reports (xAI, DeepSeek, Google, Anthropic) are calling **MODERATE BULLISH**, backed by:
* 📊 **Call/Put Ratio = 3.47** → Strong institutional bias
* 📉 **VIX < 22** → Premiums favorable for long calls
* ⚠️ **RSI Bearish** → Risk of reversal, so keep stops tight
---
## 🎯 Trade Setup
* **Instrument**: UPS
* **Direction**: CALL (LONG)
* **Strike**: \$88.00
* **Expiry**: 2025-08-22
* **Entry**: \$0.92
* **Stop Loss**: \$0.46 (-50%)
* **Target**: \$1.38 – \$1.84 (+50% to +100%)
* **Confidence**: 65%
* **Timing**: Enter at open → Exit by Thursday (avoid gamma burn!)
---
## 📈 Breakeven @ Expiry
👉 \$88.92 (Strike + Premium)
UPS must close above **\$88.92 by 8/22** for profit at expiry.
But plan is **exit early** on IV move → don’t hold into Friday risk!
---
## 🧠 Key Risks
* Macro shock headlines 📰
* RSI weakness → possible fakeouts ⚠️
* Volatility spike → premium whipsaw 🎢
---
# ⚡ UPS 88C WEEKLY PLAY ⚡
🎯 In: \$0.92 → Out: \$1.38–\$1.84
🛑 Stop: \$0.46
📅 Exp: 8/22
📈 Flow > RSI → Betting with the whales 🐋
Things are looking UPSUnited Parcel Service served as one of our canaries in the coal mine, signalling that the real economy was much weaker than what the Biden administration was reporting. The figures presented were positively skewed, masking the harsh reality that we were all facing difficult times.
We recognized the head and shoulders topping pattern and warned that an economic disaster was approaching us. This ultimately led to the Trump tariff panic that caused the collapse of equities.
The thesis indicated a lack of confirmation regarding rising index prices; however, consumers were feeling the pressure, which manifested in reduced consumption and, consequently, fewer deliveries.
A modern Dow Theory if you will.
As we near new peaks in the stock market, I am convinced that our economy is on a much more solid foundation, poised to benefit Main Street instead of just a handful of monopolistic tech giants. Since equities are forward-looking, stocks are anticipating an exhilarating 2026!
I believe UPS will confirm this economic recovery as we head towards my long anticipated and forecast DOW JONES price of 64,000 likely by 2030.
United Postal Service | UPS | Long at $92.00The United Postal Service NYSE:UPS finally closed out the last remaining price gap on the daily chart (since 2020) and entered my "crash" simple moving average zone. With a P/E of 15x, earnings forecast growth of 8.12% per year, and a dividend over 6%, NYSE:UPS "may" be a good buy and hold through these tumultuous economic/trade war times. I wouldn't place a continued price drop near $75-$85 out of the question, but I'm not in the game of calling bottoms.
At $92.00, NYSE:UPS is in a personal buy zone. Word of caution: if this stock really tanks due to trade issues and massive recession, $50s...
Targets:
$108.00
$120.00
$133.00
OptionsMastery: In a MONTHLY demand on UPS!🔉Sound on!🔉
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UPS looking DOWNSNice head and Shoulders on the United Parcel Service
#UPS and FEDEX are the new dow transport indicator.
An underlying determinant of how the consumer is faring
Since the US is a consumer economy and Online shopping is the majority of retail
if we see new highs on the Indicies, and the home delivery carriers continue to deteriorate
it would give your non confirmation Top
Similar to Dow theory of new High's in the Industrials , but the transports lagging and indeed falling.
Selling Pressure Ahead as UPS Approaching Key ResistanceUPS, after breaking below the critical support, is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating the potential validity of a long-term downtrend. At present, the price has once again approached the resistance at the 38.2% Fibonacci level. This is expected to generate significant selling pressure, resulting in a downward push in price. Considering the 3-day chart, the drop could be relatively substantial. The final downside target is identified at the 78.6% Fibonacci level, which corresponds to the $120 mark.
However, a breakout above the channel would serve as a strong warning sign for sellers. If the price manages to produce a new higher high thereafter, it is likely that bulls will regain complete control. Nonetheless, at the moment, bears are clearly dominating the market. Therefore, we are currently initiating our short position.
UPS Share Price Plunges to a 4.5-Year LowUPS Share Price Plunges to a 4.5-Year Low
Last week, United Parcel Service (UPS)—one of the world's largest parcel delivery, supply chain management, and courier service companies—released its quarterly report.
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $2.75, Expected = $2.53
→ Total revenue: Actual = $25.4 billion, Expected = $25.3 billion
Despite EPS exceeding forecasts by over 8%, UPS shares plunged to $110, a level last seen in mid-2020 when the US economy was recovering from the pandemic.
Investor Disappointment Over Amazon Cutbacks
The stock decline was driven by UPS’s decision to further reduce its business with Amazon. The company stated that its 2025 revenue would be around $6 billion below analysts’ expectations due to halving the volume of Amazon parcels it processes—despite Amazon being its largest customer.
UPS CEO Carol Tomé explained that the company wants to move away from Amazon as profit margins in this segment are too low, negatively impacting overall profitability.
According to The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), UPS management is under pressure from dissatisfied investors, a significant portion of whom are long-serving company employees. Due to UPS's unique shareholder structure, veteran employees—who control 63% of voting rights—have suffered billions in collective losses due to the stock's decline.
Shortly after releasing the report, UPS announced a quarterly dividend increase from $1.63 to $1.64 per share, though this is unlikely to offset the stock’s 40% decline over the past three years.
Technical Analysis of UPS Stock
UPS shares remain in a downward trend (as indicated by the red channel).
Following the latest drop:
→ The price fell below $124, a key resistance level in 2018–2019.
→ The stock reached the lower boundary of the channel, which may act as a support level, preventing a further decline toward the psychological $100 mark.
Is Now the Time to Buy UPS Shares?
Analysts have lowered their UPS price targets:
→ Stephens revised its target from $140 to $127.
→ DA Davidson downgraded UPS from "Buy/Add" to "Neutral", cutting the target from $154 to $116.
→ Redburn Atlantic reduced its target from $159 to $137.
→ Loop Capital revised its target from $120 to $115.
→ Oppenheimer lowered its target from $146 to $126.
From a technical perspective, reversing the multi-month downtrend seems challenging. However, if UPS reconsiders its Amazon strategy under investor pressure, this could provide an opportunity for buyers.
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Rising Costs & Economic Uncertainty: What January Taught Us and And then there’s UPS. A 20% drop is not just a stock market hiccup—it’s a symptom. The logistics giant, a bellwether for commerce, is struggling under the weight of declining demand, operational cost increases, and shifting consumer behavior. The question is, who’s next? If a company as ingrained in global trade as UPS is faltering, what does that signal for the rest of the economy? Retail? Small businesses? Tech?
February looms with uncertainty. Will we see further price hikes, layoffs, or corporate contractions? Or will there be a recalibration, an attempt to stabilize? If January was a lesson in upheaval, February may well be a test of resilience.
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Opening (IRA): UPS June 20th 90C/March 21st -115C... for a 19.60 debit.
Comments: Buying the back month 90 delta call and selling a front month that pays for at least all of the extrinsic in the long such that the break even is at or below where the stock is currently trading.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 19.60
Break Even: 109.60/share
Max Profit: 5.40
ROC at Max: 27.6%
I generally look to take profit on these at 110% of what I put them on for and/or roll out the short call if my take profit isn't hit.






















