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S&P500 | Daily rising wedge | GTradingMethodGood morning fellow traders, S&P price action is tightening inside a rising wedge on the daily chart, with volume steadily dropping. Rising wedges often signal potential reversals, but with CPI on deck, volatility could go either way. My guess, price tests top of rising wedge, finds resistance and down we go - a long way down. Keen to hear your thoughts on whether CPI is going to be a catalyst for a breakout or breakdown?
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by GTradingMethod
6
S&P500 reactsd to US Inflation dataUS CPI rose to 2.9% YoY in August (vs. 2.7%), showing inflation is re-accelerating. Markets still expect a 25bp Fed cut next week, but scope for deeper easing is reduced. For equities, this means headwinds for tech and other rate-sensitive growth stocks, while defensives and commodity-linked sectors may hold up better. Overall, the print adds to volatility ahead of the Fed meeting, with equities likely to trade cautiously. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6590 Resistance Level 2: 6610 Resistance Level 3: 6630 Support Level 1: 6440 Support Level 2: 6410 Support Level 3: 6380 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
SPX - 2 Month Bearish DivergenceHello Traders, As shown you can see the two month bearish divergence on the index. My thoughts are it needs resolved soon than later and the inflation data coming up next could be the spark that finally gets it going.... We will find out tomorrow at 8:30 if the data comes in hot the market will not like that.. We could get a selloff in stocks and crypto on no other than 9-11 anniversary. Stay tunes and lets see if I nailed this one or not.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by TheUniverse618
1
$SPX500 Swing Trade: Bullish SMA Setup!📈 S&P 500 CFD: Thief’s Bullish Pullback Plan 🤑💰 🚨 Swing/Day Trade Setup: S&P 500 Index CFDSteal profits with this 200 SMA Pullback Plan using the "Thief" layered entry strategy! 📊💸 Below is a detailed breakdown combining technicals, fundamentals, and market sentiment to help you navigate this bullish opportunity. Let’s dive in! 🐂 🎯 Trading Plan Overview Asset: S&P 500 Index CFD ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) Bias: Bullish 🐂 Strategy: Pullback to 200 SMA with layered "Thief" limit orders for entries Why This Plan? Technicals: The S&P 500 is riding record highs with strong momentum, supported by the 200 SMA as a dynamic support level. Fundamentals: Cooling inflation (PPI -0.1% vs. +0.3% expected), 100% Fed rate cut probability, and robust corporate earnings (+10% in 2025, +13% in 2026) fuel bullish sentiment. Sentiment: Neutral Fear & Greed Index (51/100) with low volatility (VIX ~15.04) and AI-driven institutional flows (e.g., Oracle +30%). 📊 Thief’s Technical Setup Entry Strategy: Use the Thief Layered Entry approach with multiple buy limit orders to catch pullbacks: 🔔 Buy Limit 1: $6,460 🔔 Buy Limit 2: $6,480 🔔 Buy Limit 3: $6,500 🔔 Buy Limit 4: $6,520 💡 Pro Tip: Adjust layer levels based on your risk tolerance and market conditions. You can enter at any price level or add more layers for flexibility! Entry Trigger: Pullback to the 200 SMA for optimal risk-reward. Stop Loss (SL): Suggested "Thief" SL: $6,440 (below key support). ⚠️ Note: Adjust your SL based on your risk management and strategy. Trade at your own risk, dear Traders! Take Profit (TP): Target: $6,700 (near resistance, potential overbought zone, or "police barricade" trap). 🚨 Note: Escape with profits before resistance hits! Set your TP based on your goals—don’t blindly follow mine. Take money at your own risk! 📡 Real-Time Market Data (10 Sept 2025, UTC+1) Daily Change: +37.43 points (+0.57%) YTD Performance: Record highs driven by AI optimism and Fed rate cut expectations. 😰😊 Fear & Greed Index Current Sentiment: Neutral (Score: 51/100) Breakdown: 📈 Market Momentum: Bullish (S&P 500 above 125-day MA). 🌬️ Volatility (VIX): Low (~15.04), signaling calm markets. 🛡️ Safe Haven Demand: Moderate (bonds lagging stocks). 💰 Junk Bond Demand: Slight greed (narrowing yield spreads). ⚖️ Options Activity: Balanced put/call ratio. 🏛️ Macro & Fundamental Analysis Producer Price Index (PPI): August PPI fell -0.1% (vs. +0.3% expected), easing inflation concerns. Fed Rate Cut: 100% probability of a 25-50 bps cut in September 2025. Labor Market: Weaker-than-expected (911K jobs revised down through March 2025). Corporate Earnings: Strong outlook (+10% growth in 2025, +13% in 2026). Key Drivers: 🚀 AI investment surge (e.g., Oracle +30%, Nvidia strength). 🌍 Geopolitical risks (Poland-Russia tensions, Middle East concerns). 📉 Trade policy uncertainties (Trump tariff threats). 🐂🐻 Sentiment Analysis Institutional Outlook: Cautiously optimistic 🏦 Deutsche Bank & Wells Fargo: S&P 500 targets at 7,000+ by 2026. 💡 Focus: AI capex and earnings resilience. Retail Trader Mood: Mixed but leaning bullish 📈 Meme stock activity (e.g., GameStop +10%). ₿ Crypto correlation (Bitcoin at $111.9K, Solana at 7-month highs). ⚡ Why This Plan Stands Out Technical Edge: The 200 SMA pullback is a proven strategy for swing/day traders, offering high-probability entries. Thief Strategy: Layered limit orders maximize flexibility and reduce risk of missing the move. Macro Support: Cooling inflation, Fed rate cuts, and AI-driven earnings create a bullish backdrop. Sentiment Boost: Neutral sentiment with low volatility supports steady upside potential. Risks to Watch: Geopolitical shocks, overvaluation concerns, and seasonal market weakness. 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD) Nasdaq 100 CFD ( NASDAQ:NDX ): Tracks tech-heavy AI stocks driving S&P 500 momentum. VIX ( TVC:VIX ): Monitor volatility spikes for potential reversals. US 10-Year Treasury Yield ( TVC:TNX ): Impacts risk sentiment and stock valuations. FX:USDJPY : Correlates with risk-on/risk-off market moves. Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ): Tracks retail sentiment and risk appetite. 🚨 Key Takeaways 🏆 S&P 500 at record highs, supported by soft PPI and Fed cut expectations. 😎 Neutral sentiment with a greedy tilt if macro data improves. 🤖 AI trade dominates institutional flows, powering bullish momentum. 📅 Watch upcoming CPI data and Fed meeting for next catalysts. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #SPX500 #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #Macro #AI #FedRateCut #TradingIdeas
SP:SPXLong
by The-Thief
ES Supply And demand Break-Out Buy SignalTrading News: - PPI (Producer Price Manufacturing Index) came out -0.1% vs its 0.3% forecasted number, suggesting lower cost of manufacturing and inflation. ES: - Stocks caught a bid from this number as investors use this as a "lock" for FED rate cuts and a higher chance for a 2nd cut before the end of the year. - Over the last 6 months, when the price is expected to open above yesterday's high, the price has a 74% chance of pulling back and hitting yesterday's high. This gives traders an idea for a possible open short OR wait for a pullback back into the previous ATH/Support level and wait for confirmation. - Over the last 6 months, if the first 1hr of the NY session is "green" then 75% of the time price will close green for the day. The same is true for the first 1hr candle of the NY session is "red" then 75% chance of day being red. - Over the last 6 months, Wednesdays have held the highest chance of a "green day", sitting at 69% chance. - Overall, I remain bullish on this market and would not consider shorting this market at this point—aggressive RB break-out level around the 6540 level on the 5-minute TF. Traders can also wait for price to pullback to this level and wait for confirmation.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MoneyballAustin
BTC - Are the bulls looking for a liquidity grab?Market Context Bitcoin is holding strong after bouncing from a higher support zone and is now pressing into an area packed with liquidity. The recent bullish price action has carved out multiple fair value gaps on the way up, each serving as confirmation of demand and strengthening the bullish structure. Above current price lies a major cluster of buy-side liquidity — a magnet for price. Fair Value Gaps & Confirmations On the way up, price created several bullish fair value gaps that have each been respected as support. The first, second, and now third retests into these imbalances show that demand continues to step in, absorbing supply and building pressure upward. Adding to that, a bullish inversion fair value gap (IFVG) has formed, giving extra confirmation that buyers are in control. Liquidity Target Above The most obvious draw for price is the heavy buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs. With so many stops positioned there, the market is incentivized to push higher and sweep that zone. The path toward it could involve another retest into one of the fair value gaps below before expansion takes place, or a direct continuation straight into the liquidity pocket. Final Thoughts This structure is showing textbook bullish strength: stacked fair value gaps, IFVG confirmation, and a clear liquidity pool overhead. Unless the market breaks back below the deeper support zone, the expectation remains a run into buy-side liquidity. If this breakdown sharpened your view, a like is appreciated — and I’d love to hear from you: do you expect a retest first, or do we shoot straight into liquidity?
Long
by Louigi_24
59
S&P | 30min Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders 👋 🧐 Market Overview: The S&P has been pushing into new highs, but a potential double top is forming right at diagonal resistance. This is a key level for me — the confluence of structure and resistance makes this an area worth watching closely. If the double top holds, price might first deviate through my entry range and then retest the diagonal resistance. For me to take a short, I’ll be looking for a 30-minute candle close back within the range as confirmation. 📊 Trade Plan: RR: 3.5 Entry:6 537.4 Stop Loss: 6 543.8 Take Profit 1 (50%): 6 515 Take Profit 2 (50%): 6 511 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: When trading double tops, I always wait for confirmation (like a close back within range). It reduces false entries and adds probability to the trade. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Follow me for more setups and let me know — do you think this double top will hold, or will the S&P push through resistance to fresh highs? 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by GTradingMethod
1
Gold | H1 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders 👋 We’re finally getting a clean pattern to short Gold on. 🧐 Market Overview: The chart is showing signs of exhaustion. We already have negative RSI divergence and decreasing volume on the right shoulder — both pointing to weakening buying momentum. I’m still waiting for confirmation before fully committing, but the setup is looking solid. 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/Reward: 4.0 Entry: 3640.77 Stop Loss: 3652.5 Take Profit 1 (50%): 3602.4 Take Profit 2 (50%): 3581.5 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: When trading reversal patterns like head & shoulders, volume is key. A drop in volume on the right shoulder often strengthens the case for a potential move lower. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me to catch the next setup and let me know what you think — will this H&S confirm, or does Gold still have room to push higher? 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by GTradingMethod
1
S&P500 bullish sideways consolidation Equities: Rate-cut expectations outweighed slowdown fears. S&P 500 (+0.21%) closed just shy of record highs, NASDAQ (+0.45%) hit a fresh record. Defensive sectors lagged, leaving the equal-weighted S&P (-0.04%) slightly lower. In Europe, STOXX 600 (+0.52%) and CAC 40 (+0.78%) gained ahead of France’s confidence vote. Corporate drivers: Apple’s launch event today puts spotlight on iPhone 17 Air, though analysts see the Pro line as the true sales catalyst. Big-ticket M&A and tech deals: Anglo American–Teck merger ($50bn) and Microsoft–Nebius AI cloud contract (~$20bn). Conclusion for S&P 500 trading: Momentum remains positive with the index near record highs, supported by the rate-cut narrative and strong tech sentiment. However, breadth is weak (equal-weighted index flat), suggesting gains are concentrated. Traders may lean bullish into Apple’s event, but need to watch for rotation risk if defensives keep lagging. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6553 Resistance Level 2: 6590 Resistance Level 3: 6630 Support Level 1: 6440 Support Level 2: 6410 Support Level 3: 6380 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P500 Rising Wedge break-out imminent.Last week's (September 02, see chart below) buy signal on the S&P500 index (SPX) hit our 6530 Target, as the price reversed on its 4H MA200, which as we mentioned was the market's medium-term Support: Right now the index is supported by its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and is attempting to break above the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of a Rising Wedge similar to the one at the start of the 4-month Channel Up. As you can see the symmetry between the two patterns is very high and the June break-out led to a +5.70% rise on the 2.5 Fibonacci extension before the next consolidation. A potential +5.70% rise from he recent 4H MA50 Low would now be at 6720 and that is our short-term Target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
S&P500 | 100 year bullish channel | GTradingMethodHello Traders - Happy Monday! I thought this was a very interesting perspective on S&P500. What they don’t want you to see... 👀 The S&P has been moving inside a bullish channel for nearly 100 years (since 1925). Right now, price is breaking out of that channel but is it fakeout? If it’s a fakeout, the implications are huge: we could be looking at a 70% drop back to the bottom of the channel. ⚠️ Chart is on the monthly timeframe with a logarithmic scale. What do you think — breakout or fakeout? Very keen to hear all your thoughts #TradingLife
SP:SPXShort
by GTradingMethod
9
Will Fed rate cut expectations continue to fuel US equity gains? US August job growth missed expectations, highlighting labor market weakness, while rising Fed rate cut odds kept equities higher. Broadcom (AVGO) delivered strong 3Q earnings with robust AI-driven growth and issued an upbeat 4Q revenue forecast. Despite valuation concerns, Morgan Stanley (MS) expects multiple Fed cuts to sustain equity gains and views September dips as buying opportunities. US500 extended its uptrend, briefly setting a new high. The index remains within the ascending channel and above both EMAs, signaling the potential extension of bullish momentum. If US500 holds above EMA21, the index may breach the 6530 high. Conversely, if US500 breaks below EMA21 and the channel’s lower bound, the index could retreat toward the support at 6340.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by inkicho_exness
S&P 500 At Critical Juncture - 6,500 Breakout or Major RejectionUS500 Technical Analysis: 🎯 At Critical Juncture - 6,500 Breakout or Major Rejection? ⚖️ Asset: US500 (S&P 500 CFD) Analysis Date: September 5, 2025 Current Closing Price: 6,480.0 (as of 12:59 AM UTC+4) Timeframes Analyzed: 1H, 4H, D, W Executive Summary & Market Outlook 🧐 The US500 is knocking on the door of a historic milestone, trading within striking distance of the 6,500 level. 🚪 This represents a massive psychological and technical barrier. The index is in a strong bullish trend but is displaying classic signs of short-term exhaustion and overextension. The price action here is critical: a decisive breakout could unleash a new wave of buying towards 6,600+, while a rejection could trigger the most significant pullback in weeks. This analysis provides a clear roadmap for intraday traders 🎯 and swing traders 📈 navigating this pivotal moment. Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis 🔍 1. Trend Analysis (Daily & 4-Hour Chart): Primary Trend: 🟢 Bullish. Price is well above all major Daily Moving Averages, which are sloping upwards in bullish alignment. Short-Term Trend: 🟡 Bullish but Fragile. The rally has been relentless, leaving the price extended and vulnerable to a sharp, news-driven correction. 2. Key Chart Patterns & Theories: Ascending Wedge / Bull Flag? 🤔: The recent consolidation near the highs could be interpreted as a small bull flag (pausing before breakout) or the end of an ascending wedge (bearish reversal). The next major candle will likely resolve this. Elliott Wave Theory 🌊: The rally from the last major low is a clear five-wave impulse. We are likely in the final stages of Wave 5. This suggests the completion of a cycle and warns that a larger corrective phase (Wave 4 or A-B-C) is the next probable move. A typical retracement target is the 38.2% Fibonacci level of the entire Wave 3 move. Ichimoku Cloud (H4/D1) ☁️: Price is trading far above the Cloud on daily charts, confirming the strong bullish trend. However, this also signals a significant over-extension from mean support, increasing mean reversion risk. Gann Theory ⏳: The 6,500 level is a key psychological and mathematical resistance. A decisive break and close above it could open the path to the next Gann angle target. 3. Critical Support & Resistance Levels: Resistance (R1): 6,500 - 6,520 (Key Psychological & Technical Ceiling) 🚨 Resistance (R2): 6,600 (Projected Target) Current Closing Price: ~6,480 Support (S1): 6,400 - 6,420 (Immediate Support & Prior Breakout Zone) ✅ Support (S2) : 6,300 - 6,320 (Major Support - 38.2% Fib & 21-day EMA) 🛡️ Support (S3): 6,200 (50-day EMA & 50% Fib Retracement) 4. Indicator Consensus: RSI (14-period on 4H/D): Reading is between 68 and 72, signaling overbought conditions. 📛 This warns of weakening momentum and increased downside vulnerability. A bearish divergence on the 4H chart would be a strong short-term sell signal. Bollinger Bands (4H) 📏: Price is hugging the upper band, a sign of strong momentum. A move back to the middle band (~6,400) would be a healthy and expected development. Moving Averages: The bullish alignment (EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50) is perfect. The EMA 21 on the 4H chart acts as dynamic support and is a key level for the bullish thesis. Volume & VWAP : Volume has been inconsistent on the most recent push higher, a potential bearish divergence 📉 suggesting a lack of strong conviction from large players at these exact levels. Trading Strategy & Forecast 🎯 A. Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 1H Charts): Bearish Scenario (Rejection Play) ⬇️: Given overbought conditions, this is a high-probability setup. Watch for bearish reversal candlestick patterns (e.g., Bearish Engulfing, Evening Star 🌟, Doji) at or near the 6,500 resistance. Entry: On confirmation of rejection (e.g., a break below a 1H support low). Stop Loss : Tight, above 6,520. Target: 6,420 (TP1), 6,400 (TP2). Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play) ⬆️: If buyers break through with force, wait for a pullback to the breakout level for a better entry. Entry: On a re-test of 6,500 as new support. Stop Loss: Below 6,480. Target: 6,550 (TP1), 6,600 (TP2). B. Swing Trading Strategy (4H - D Charts): Strategy: PATIENCE IS KEY. The risk/reward for new long entries at this resistance is poor. 🚫 Ideal Long Zones: A pullback to 6,320 would be an optimal entry to add long positions for the next leg up in the primary bull trend. A shallower pullback to 6,400 could also offer an opportunity. ✅ Bearish Risk: A daily close below 6,300 would signal a deeper correction is underway, potentially targeting the 6,200 support zone. Risk Management & Conclusion ⚠️ Key Risk Events: High-impact US data (CPI, PPI, NFP) and Fed commentary are paramount. 🔥 The market is highly sensitive to any hint of a shift in monetary policy. Geopolitical events can also trigger flight-to-safety flows. Position Sizing: Due to the potential for explosive volatility at this key level, conservative position sizing is non-negotiable. Risk no more than 1% of capital per trade. Conclusion: The US500 is at a critical inflection point. ⚖️ The bullish trend is intact, but price is exhausted. This is a low-risk-taking zone. Swing traders should be patient for a better entry. Intraday traders can play the range between 6,400 and 6,500 until a decisive break occurs. The most probable outcome is a pullback to recharge before the next major directional move. 📊 Overall Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 6,320 | 🟡 Neutral/Bearish between 6,480-6,500
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by sunya
S&P500 | Daily Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders. Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod. 🧐 Market Overview: I’ve opened a short on the cash500 (S&P 500) at 6521. All GTradingMethod variables have been met, which means this trade setup qualifies under my system. Additional confluences suggesting weaker buying strength include: - RSI making lower highs while price pushed higher highs. - Volume tapering off toward the latter part of the rally. - MACD on sell signal The only hesitation is that money flows have not decreased in the later stages of this move — but rules are rules. My edge is probability-based, so when my variables align, I must take the trade consistently. 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/reward = 9.2 Entry price = 6520 Stop loss price = 6544 Take profit level 1 (50%) = 6370 Take profit level 2 (50%) = 6215 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: A high RR doesn’t make a trade safer — it simply reflects how far the market could move relative to your risk. Always focus on process and probability, not just the potential payout. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts - I would like to hear them. 📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by GTradingMethod
1
Russel 2000 | H4 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders. Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod. 🧐 Market Overview: Since April 2025, this rally has been powering higher, leaving little room for pullbacks. But momentum is starting to show cracks — indicators are flashing signs of exhaustion. This doesn’t mean a sharp drop is guaranteed; markets often pause and drift sideways to shake off overbought pressure. What I’m watching closely now is whether a head and shoulders pattern takes shape. If price steps into and closes in my entry zone, it could mark the start of a deeper pullback, but confirmation is key before jumping in. 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/Reward: 3.9 Entry: 2,359.6 Stop Loss: 2,379.7 Take Profit 1 (50%): 2,292.9 Take Profit 2 (50%): 2,258.7 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: Patience is a trading edge. Waiting for confirmation keeps you aligned with probability and protects you from unnecessary losses. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts - I would like to hear them. 📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:US2000Short
by GTradingMethod
2
SP500 Structure Shift: Sell Zone ActivatedHey Guys 👋 I’ve prepared an SP500 analysis for you. Since the market structure has shifted, I’ll be opening a sell position from my designated sell zone. 📌 Entry: 6,474.90 📌 Stop: 6,522.12 🎯 TP1: 6,459.79 🎯 TP2: 6,425.80 🎯 TP3: 6,371.54 RISK REWARD - 2,21 Every single like you send my way is a huge source of motivation for me to keep sharing these analyses. Big thanks to everyone supporting with a like 🙏
VANTAGE:SP500FTShort
by TraderTilki
22
S&P500 Strong buy signal if the 4H MA200 holds.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been pulling back since the August 28 All Time High (ATH) and is headed for a 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) test. This is a major short-term buy point as since April 25, every contact with this trend-line (6 so far) resulted into a new rally/ Bullish Leg. The last two in particular rose as high as the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. So as long as the 4H MA200 holds, that gives us a 6530 short-term Target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingShot
1
Bearish reversal setup?S&P500 (US500) has rejected off the pivot, which is a pullback resistance, and could potentially drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 6,467.13 1st Resistance: 6,508.59 1st Support: 6,425.16 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Short
by ICmarkets
1
S&P 500 Technical Analysis: Weekly Forecast# S&P 500 (US500) Technical Analysis: Advanced Multi-Timeframe Trading Strategy & Weekly Forecast Current Price: 6,464.4 (As of August 30, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4) Asset Class: US500 / S&P 500 Index Analysis Date: August 30, 2025 --- Executive Summary The S&P 500 continues to demonstrate strong bullish momentum, currently trading near all-time highs at 6,464.4. Our comprehensive technical analysis utilizing Japanese Candlestick patterns, Harmonic analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, Wyckoff methodology, W.D. Gann principles, and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicates a cautiously optimistic outlook with key resistance levels approaching. The index has successfully achieved conservative targets around 6,474-6,504 level, with the next major target zone near 7,000. --- Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis Elliott Wave Analysis The S&P 500 appears to be in the final stages of a major impulse wave (Wave 5) within a larger degree cycle. The wave structure suggests: Primary Count: Currently in Wave 5 of (5) of Target Zone: 6,800-7,000 for wave completion Invalidation Level: Break below 6,147 (July low) Wyckoff Market Structure The current phase aligns with Wyckoff's Distribution Phase characteristics: Phase: Late Markup Phase transitioning to potential Distribution Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume on recent highs suggests weakening demand Price Action: Narrowing trading ranges indicating potential climax conditions W.D. Gann Analysis Applying Gann's comprehensive methodology: Square of 9 Analysis: - Current price 6,464.4 sits at a significant Gann square level - Next major resistance: 6,724 (45-degree angle projection) - Time cycles suggest potential reversal window: September 15-20, 2025 Angle Analysis: - 1x1 angle support from July low: 6,200-6,250 - 2x1 angle resistance: 6,700-6,750 Price & Time Harmonics: - 90-day cycle completion due mid-September - Price squares suggest natural resistance at 6,561 and 6,724 --- Japanese Candlestick & Harmonic Patterns Recent Candlestick Formations (Daily Chart) Spinning Top: August 28-29 showing indecision at highs Long Upper Shadows: Indicating selling pressure at resistance levels Volume Confirmation: Bearish divergence with declining volume Harmonic Pattern Recognition Potential Bat Pattern: Completion zone 6,480-6,520 ABCD Pattern: Active completion at current levels Fibonacci Confluence: 1.618 extension target at 6,756 --- Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Analysis Current Cloud Structure Price Position: Above Kumo (bullish) Tenkan-sen: 6,431 (short-term trend) Kijun-sen: 6,378 (medium-term trend) Senkou Span A: 6,405 Senkou Span B: 6,341 Chikou Span: Positioned above price action (confirming bullish sentiment) Future Kumo: Thinning cloud ahead suggests potential volatility increase --- Key Technical Indicators Analysis RSI (Relative Strength Index) Daily RSI: 68.7 (approaching overbought territory) Weekly RSI: 71.2 (overbought but not extreme) 4H RSI: 72.1 (overbought with bearish divergence forming) Bollinger Bands Analysis Position: Price trading at upper band Bandwidth: Contracting, suggesting low volatility environment Squeeze: Potential breakout setup forming VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) Daily VWAP: 6,442 Weekly VWAP: 6,398 Volume Profile: Low volume acceptance above 6,450 Moving Average Structure 20 EMA: 6,419 (immediate support) 50 SMA: 6,371 (key support level) 200 SMA: 6,198 (major trend support) Golden Cross: 50/200 cross remains intact (bullish) --- Support & Resistance Levels Primary Resistance Levels 1. R1: 6,480 (immediate resistance - Harmonic completion) 2. R2: 6,520 (psychological level) 3. R3: 6,561 (Gann square resistance) 4. R4: 6,724 (Major Gann angle resistance) 5. R5: 6,800-7,000 (Elliott Wave target zone) Primary Support Levels 1. S1: 6,431 (Tenkan-sen support) 2. S2: 6,378 (Kijun-sen support) 3. S3: 6,300-6,150 (Monthly pullback zone) 4. S4: 6,200-6,250 (1x1 Gann angle) 5. S5: 6,147 (July low - critical support) --- Multi-Timeframe Strategy Framework Scalping Strategy (5M & 15M Charts) 5-Minute Timeframe: Entry Signals: Look for pullbacks to 20 EMA with RSI oversold (<30) Profit Targets: 15-25 points per trade Stop Loss: 10-15 points below entry Volume Confirmation: Above average volume on breakouts 15-Minute Timeframe: Range Trading: 6,440-6,480 current range Breakout Strategy: Volume spike above 6,480 for continuation Mean Reversion: Fade moves beyond 2 standard deviations from VWAP Intraday Strategy (30M, 1H, 4H Charts) 30-Minute Strategy: Trend Following: Long above 20/50 EMA confluence Target: 6,520 initial, 6,561 extended Risk Management: 2:1 reward-to-risk minimum 1-Hour Strategy: Pattern Recognition: Monitor for bull flag formations Volume Analysis: Require volume expansion on breakouts Time-Based Exits: Avoid holding through 3:30 PM ET volatility 4-Hour Strategy: Swing Setup: Long on pullbacks to Ichimoku cloud support Momentum Confirmation: Wait for RSI to reset below 50 Position Sizing: Adjust for overnight gap risk Swing Trading Strategy (Daily, Weekly, Monthly) Daily Chart Strategy: Trend Continuation: Long on breaks above 6,480 with volume Pullback Entries: 6,378-6,300 zone for swing longs Profit Targets: 6,724 (primary), 6,800-7,000 (extended) Weekly Chart Strategy: Long-Term Trend: Remains intact above 6,200 Position Management: Scale out at resistance levels Risk Assessment: Monitor weekly RSI for extreme readings --- Daily Trading Plan: September 2-6, 2025 Monday, September 2, 2025 (Labor Day - Markets Closed) Pre-Market Preparation: - Monitor overnight futures for gap scenarios - Review weekend news for market-moving events - Prepare watchlists for Tuesday's session Tuesday, September 3, 2025 Market Outlook: Post-holiday session with potential low volume Key Levels: Resistance: 6,480, 6,520 Support: 6,431, 6,378 Strategy: Morning: Range-bound trading likely; fade extremes Afternoon: Watch for institutional flows post-holiday Entry Zones: Long 6,430-6,440 area, Short above 6,480 Wednesday, September 4, 2025 Market Outlook: Mid-week momentum session Key Events: Monitor for any Federal Reserve communications Strategy: Breakout Play: Above 6,480 targets 6,520-6,561 Volume Confirmation: Required for sustained moves Risk Management: Tight stops in low-volume environment Thursday, September 5, 2025 Market Outlook: Potential volatility increase ahead of Friday Key Levels: Critical Resistance: 6,520-6,561 zone Support: 6,400-6,378 (buy zone) Strategy: Trend Following: Momentum plays above key resistance Counter-Trend: Fade moves on declining volume Friday, September 6, 2025 Market Outlook: Weekly close positioning and potential NFP impact Strategy: Early Session: Position for weekly close Late Session: Prepare for weekend risk management Options Expiry: Monitor for pinning effects at key strikes --- Geopolitical & Macroeconomic Considerations Federal Reserve Policy Impact President Donald Trump has called on the Fed to cut rates by 3 percentage points, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noting that "any model" would put the benchmark federal funds rate at least 1.5 percentage points lower than its current level of between 4.25 percent and 4.50 percent. This political pressure on the Fed could create market volatility as investors weigh the likelihood of aggressive rate cuts. Key Risks to Monitor 1. Federal Reserve Policy Divergence: Potential conflicts between Fed independence and political pressure 2. Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical fragmentation is being fueled by COVID-19, the war in Ukraine, U.S.-China relations and more 3. Economic Data: Any significant deviation from expected economic indicators 4. Market Structure: Elevated valuations increase sensitivity to negative catalysts Earnings Season Considerations - Q3 earnings season approaching in mid-October - Current valuations require strong earnings growth for justification - Sector rotation potential based on earnings guidance --- Risk Management Framework Position Sizing Guidelines Scalping: 0.5-1% risk per trade Intraday: 1-2% risk per trade Swing Trading: 2-3% risk per position Maximum Portfolio Risk: 6-8% total exposure Stop-Loss Protocols Scalping: 10-15 points maximum Intraday: 25-40 points based on volatility Swing: Below key support levels (6,300 for current longs) Profit-Taking Strategy Scale Out Approach: Take 50% at first target, 25% at second target Trailing Stops: Implement once position moves 2:1 favorable Time-Based Exits: Close positions before major news events --- Weekly Outlook Summary Bullish Scenarios (Probability: 60%) - Break above 6,480 with volume expansion - Federal Reserve maintains dovish stance - Strong technical momentum continues Targets: 6,520, 6,561, 6,724 Bearish Scenarios (Probability: 40%) - Failure at resistance with volume decline - Geopolitical shock or Fed hawkish surprise - Technical breakdown below 6,378 Targets: 6,300, 6,200, 6,147 Base Case Expectation: Continued range-bound trading with upward bias, eventual breakout to 6,520-6,561 zone before more significant pullback to test 6,300-6,200 support area. --- For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by sunya
S&P500 Nvidia’s guidance has tempered risk appetiteNvidia’s earnings dampened sentiment overnight, with shares down -3% in after-hours trading after a strong Q2 sales beat was overshadowed by softer guidance and concerns over a potential US plan to tax China AI chip sales. The disappointment weighed on futures, with NASDAQ 100 down -0.29% vs. -0.12% for S&P 500. That said, prior to the results, the S&P 500 (+0.24%) closed at another record high, supported by strength in energy (+1.15%) on firmer oil prices and tech (+0.48%). Small-caps also outperformed, with the Russell 2000 (+0.64%) at an 8-month high, now just 3% below its November 2021 peak. Takeaway for S&P traders: Nvidia’s guidance has tempered risk appetite, but sector rotation into energy and small-caps continues to support breadth, helping the index hold record levels despite tech headwinds. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6516 Resistance Level 2: 6542 Resistance Level 3: 6564 Support Level 1: 6416 Support Level 2: 6400 Support Level 3: 6381 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P500 at Resistance: Nvidia Earnings Could Decide the Next Move📊 US500 (S&P 500) has rallied recently 📈, but it’s still struggling to break through the current highs 🔼🧱. 💡 I believe the next move could hinge heavily on Nvidia’s earnings report tomorrow 🖥️💵. 👉 If the report is positive, watch for a break and retest above the current range to position long 🚀. 👉 If the report is negative, we could see the broader stock market sell off 📉. ⚠️ This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice 📚🔒
EIGHTCAP:SPX500
by fxtraderanthony