Short
S&P500: Eyes 7,100 on multiple bearish signals.S&P500 is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.517, MACD = 23.520, ADX = 18.357), extending the flat price action of practically the last 30 trading days. There are three distinct Sell Signals that have emerged however and are calling for at least a drop below the 1W MA50 next. The price has hit the top of its 4 year Channel Up and remains inside the top Fibonacci Zone of the pattern. In the meantime, the 1W RSI is on a LH Bearish Divergence while the MACD on a Bearish Cross.
All those 3 Sell Signals took place before every major bearish wave of this pattern (Jan 2026, Jan 2025, August 2023) and all broke below the 1W MA50 before rebounding. The 2025 and 2023 sequences even hit the 1W MA100. Technically expect S&P500 to break under the 1W MA50 and 0.5 Fib at least (TP1 = 7,100) and if the midterm elections are a bearish catalysy, extend losses to the 1W MA100 (TP2 = 6,800). Based on the Time Cycles, a 1W MA100 is expected to take place soon anyway.
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SPY / SPX Weekly Outlook – Week 36 of 2026 (SEP 07 -11)SPY / SPX WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
SPY Weekly Recap Outlook
Price came very close to the Demand 1 level we were watching, but missed the target I gave for Long Scenario 2 by just 0.7 cents.
However, according to the CC Model, this setup could have been confirmed through ES.
Once the Flip Level broke, price moved higher exactly as expected.
Overall, it was a successful strategy. We captured a 2% move, equivalent to 15 points, from the confirmation zone.
(For reference, I have included last week's outlook on the right.)
UA CAPITAL Trading Desk Weekly Execution Metrics | WEEK 35
Total Trades Closed: 12
Winning Trades: 8
Losing Trades: 4
Overall Win Rate: 67%
Index Options: 2 Trades (2 Wins)
Futures Desk: 7 Trades (4 Wins / 3 Losses)
Equities (Stocks): 2 Trades (1 Win / 1 Loss)
Precious Metals/Commodities: 1 Trade (1 Win)
Result: A solid Green Week.
This Week's Scenarios / Prediction
Risk Index
This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator I use for both short-term and long-term positioning decisions.
Long term: Risk on
Mid term: Risk on
Short term: Neutral
A warning: Macro liquidity conditions remain fragile, and a negative news catalyst could still trigger a sharp downside flush. Geopolitical risk, particularly the Iran conflict, remains elevated, while the macro environment continues to show significant compression and imbalance.
SPY Technical Look
There are two zones where I expect bullish reactions.
Flip Level: 767.5
Main Bounce Zone: 760
If price finds support and bounces from either of these two levels, I expect the following bullish targets:
Bullish Target 1: 774.5
Bullish Target 2: 779.5
A break below the Flip Level could initiate a move toward the First Key Level below.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice. 
Long
Long 
ES Weekly Outlook – Week 35 of 2026 (AUG 31- SEP 04)ES WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
ES Weekly Recap Outlook
The overarching positional tape on ES missed our primary Demand Zone by just a handful of points.
However, utilizing UA CAPITAL’s proprietary Correlated Confluence Model (CC Model), institutional entry confirmation was clearly signaled through the Nasdaq complex.
• Long Scenario 2: Had positional directional exposure been executed, the setup mapped a massive 130-point (+1.70%) bullish trajectory.
• Long Scenario 3: The Flip Level breakout provided a highly profitable 87-point (+1.10%) upside continuation.
Both scenarios delivered substantial upside opportunities, validating the strength of the broader setup and the effectiveness of the CC Model in confirming directional exposure.
(For reference, I have included last week's outlook on the right.)
UA CAPITAL Trading Desk Weekly Execution Metrics | WEEK 34
Total Trades Closed: 11
Winning Trades: 8
Losing Trades: 3
Overall Win Rate: 73%
Index Options: 1 Trade (1 Win — QQQ)
Futures Desk: 5 Trades (2W 2L on ES | 1W on NQ)
Equities Desk: 1 Trade (1 Win — NASDAQ:MSFT )
Precious Metals: 2 Trades (2 Wins — Silver & Copper)
Forex: 1 Trade (1 Win — EUR Short)
Portfolio Hedge: VIX 17C (Controlled Insurance Premium)
This Week's Scenarios / Prediction
Risk Index
This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator I use for both short-term and long-term positioning decisions.
Long term: Risk on
Mid term: Risk on
Short term: Risk off
A warning: Macro liquidity conditions remain fragile, and a negative news catalyst could still trigger a sharp downside flush. Geopolitical risk, particularly the Iran conflict, remains elevated, while the macro environment continues to show significant compression and imbalance.
ES Futures Technical Look
There are two zones where I expect bullish reactions.
Flip Level: 7695
First Key Level: 7633
If price finds support and bounces from either of these two levels, I expect the following bullish targets:
Bullish Target 1: 7765
Bullish Target 2: 7840
A break below the Flip Level could initiate a move toward the First Key Level below.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
SPY / SPX Weekly Outlook – Week 35 of 2026 (AUG 31 -SEP 04)SPY / SPX WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
SPY Weekly Recap Outlook
Although the early week Demand Zones were not perfectly retested, our structural maps remained highly accurate.
• Demand Zone: Price did not provide the precise retest required for a high conviction entry, so we avoided forcing a trade.
• Long Scenario 3: During Thursday’s AM session, price broke above our predefined Flip Level, officially activating Long Scenario 3.
• Entry Discipline: Since the breakout did not provide the required pullback, we remained patient and did not chase the move.
• Price Expansion: Following the breakout, price delivered a clean 8-point (+1.00%) upward expansion.
• Execution Takeaway: The move validated the strength of our structural mapping and the institutional geometry behind our playbooks, even without a direct entry.
UA CAPITAL Trading Desk Weekly Execution Metrics | WEEK 34
Total Trades Closed: 11
Winning Trades: 8
Losing Trades: 3
Overall Win Rate: 73%
Index Options: 1 Trade (1 Win — QQQ)
Futures Desk: 5 Trades (2W 2L on ES | 1W on NQ)
Equities Desk: 1 Trade (1 Win — MSFT)
Precious Metals: 2 Trades (2 Wins — Silver & Copper)
Forex: 1 Trade (1 Win — EUR Short)
Portfolio Hedge: VIX 17C - L (Controlled Insurance Premium)
This Week's Scenarios / Prediction
Risk Index
This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator I use for both short-term and long-term positioning decisions.
Long term: Risk on
Mid term: Risk on
Short term: Risk off
A warning: Macro liquidity conditions remain fragile, and a negative news catalyst could still trigger a sharp downside flush. Geopolitical risk, particularly the Iran conflict, remains elevated, while the macro environment continues to show significant compression and imbalance.
SPY Technical Look
There are two zones where I expect bullish reactions.
Flip Level: 767.5
Main Bounce Zone: 759
If price finds support and bounces from either of these two levels, I expect the following bullish targets:
Bullish Target 1: 774.5
Bullish Target 2: 779.5
A break below the Flip Level could initiate a move toward the First Key Level below.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
Short 
Long 
SPX500 Bulls vs 7,750 — The Battle Starts Here🚨 US500 / SPX500 — S&P 500 Index CFD | Day & Swing Trade Setup 🚨
"The Big 500 Heist Is ON — Load Up the Getaway Van, Thief OG's!"
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) 🤝
Welcome back to another elite-level market operation — straight from
the Thief Trader war room. Today we're cracking open the vault on the
mighty US500 (SPX500) — the S&P 500 Index CFD, tracking 500 of the
largest publicly listed American companies. This is the benchmark of
benchmarks, the pulse of Wall Street, and right now? The Thief Trader
crew sees a prime opportunity to run the long side of this beast. 🏛️💰
Live market data confirmed as of: 03 September 2026 | London Time (UK)
Last verified US500 / SPX500 price: ~7,668 points (as of 2 Sep 2026 close)
Monthly performance: +0.89% over the past 30 days
Year-on-year performance: +18.92% vs same period last year
The Dow Jones (US30) settled near 53,061 on 2 Sep 2026 close, echoing the
bullish recovery theme. The broad market sighed with relief as tech heavies
returned to form and financials led risk-on flows. Now it's time to plan
our heist on the S&P 500 like the professionals we are.
Let's get into it. 🎯
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
📈 MY MARKET BIAS
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
DIRECTION: 🟢 BULLISH (Long Side Trade)
The Thief Trader crew is positioning on the LONG (Buy) side of the
US500 / SPX500 Index CFD for both day trader and swing trader time frames.
Price action is recovering from a technically-driven pullback. The
broader macro narrative remains intact with AI-sector momentum, strong
corporate earnings, and a market that has been up 18.92% YoY. While
near-term headwinds from geopolitics (US-Iran tensions), elevated energy
prices (Brent crude ~US$89.70/bbl), and FOMC rate uncertainty add noise —
the chart is still constructing higher highs and higher lows at macro scale.
The Thief OG's are executing a layered long setup from current levels up
toward the defined target zones, with discipline on the escape hatch.
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
🎯 TRADE PARAMETERS — THE HEIST BLUEPRINT
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
ASSET : US500 / SPX500 — S&P 500 Index CFD
BIAS : BULLISH — Long / Buy
LIVE PRICE : ~7,668 points (verified 2 Sep 2026 close)
ENTRY : YOU CAN ENTER THE MARKET AT ANY PRICE LEVEL 🚀
Enter on strength, enter on a pullback, enter after a moving
average retest — your entry game is YOUR game. The Thief
Trader crew does not box you in. Trade it YOUR way.
TARGET 1 : 7,750 — Intermediate vault target 🏦
(Ideal for Day Traders — bank it clean and walk away proud)
FINAL TARGET: 7,850 — The MAIN vault 💰🚨
THIS is the zone where the Police Force arrives in FULL FORCE.
Heavy resistance + overbought conditions + institutional trap
potential + mean reversion risk = the ESCAPE point.
🚔 THE POLICE FORCE IS ACTIVE AT 7,850 🚔
Resistance is strong. Overbought signals are flashing. Traps
are being set for late buyers. The smart thief takes profits
before the sirens go off — do NOT overstay your welcome at
the vault door!
STOP LOSS : Thief SL @ 7,550 ⛔ (Escape Hatch Below Price)
This is the Thief's personal escape hatch — where the heist
plan fails and we abort the mission with controlled losses.
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
📝 NOTE ON TARGET & STOP LOSS — READ CAREFULLY THIEF OG'S
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) — I am NOT recommending you
set only my TP levels. It is YOUR own choice. You can make money
then take money at your own risk. Trade with YOUR plan, YOUR
position size, YOUR risk tolerance. Money management is your
personal shield in this battlefield. Protect it wisely. 🛡️
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) — I am NOT recommending you
set only my SL. It is YOUR own choice. You can make money then
take money at your own risk. The stop loss level shared is the
Thief Trader's personal risk reference only — not a signal or
instruction. Your account, your rules. 🔑
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
🌐 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH — THE CREW'S WATCHLIST
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
These related instruments are the Thief OG's extended crew — assets that
move with or against the US500 and give you confirmation signals. Watch
them for alignment before and during your trade.
— — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
📌 CAPITALCOM:US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
Last Known Price: ~53,061 points (2 Sep 2026 close)
Correlation: STRONG POSITIVE — near mirror image to US500
Key Point: The Dow and the S&P 500 move in lockstep during risk-on
regimes. When Dow bounces, S&P follows — and vice versa. The 2 Sep
rebound of +295 points on the Dow directly validated our US500 bullish
thesis. If the Dow breaks higher, watch US500 target 1 (7,750) trigger
faster. If Dow falters at key resistance, consider tightening your TP.
— — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
📌 CAPITALCOM:NAS100 (Nasdaq 100 Index CFD)
Last Known Price: ~29,200-29,300 support zone (Sep 2026)
Correlation: STRONG POSITIVE — Tech-heavy leader
Key Point: The Nasdaq 100 is the tech engine of the US equity market.
Nvidia (+3.2%), Meta (+2.5%), Oracle (+3.1%) all surged on 2 Sep —
fuelling NAS100 recovery flows that lifted the broader S&P 500. When
NAS100 is bullish, mega-cap tech weight drags US500 higher with it.
A NAS100 breakdown below 29,200 would be a WARNING sign for our US500
bullish plan — monitor it closely as a leading indicator.
— — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
📌 FX:US2000 (Russell 2000 Small-Cap Index CFD)
Last Known Price: Range-bound, watching closely (Sep 2026)
Correlation: MODERATE POSITIVE — domestic risk appetite gauge
Key Point: The Russell 2000 tracks 2,000 small-cap US companies and
acts as a domestic economic health barometer. When small-caps rally
alongside large-caps (US500), it signals genuine broad market risk-on
appetite — not just mega-cap hype. A Russell 2000 strength surge
alongside our US500 move confirms the heist is real. Divergence
(Russell 2000 lagging) would be a yellow flag.
— — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
📌 FOREXCOM:GER40 (German DAX 40 Index CFD)
Last Known Price: Watching closely for Europe open levels (Sep 2026)
Correlation: MODERATE POSITIVE — global risk sentiment proxy
Key Point: The GER40 (DAX 40) is Europe's premier equity benchmark
and opens before US markets, giving the Thief OG's an early read on
global risk appetite. When GER40 opens strong, US500 futures often
follow suit at the New York open. GER40 is also sensitive to EUR/USD
— a weaker euro typically boosts German exporters, supporting the index.
Watch GER40 pre-market for early directional clues on the US500.
— — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
📌 FOREXCOM:UK100 (FTSE 100 Index CFD)
Last Known Price: Watching closely (Sep 2026)
Correlation: MODERATE POSITIVE — global macro tone setter
Key Point: The UK100 (FTSE 100) opens alongside European markets and
provides a London-session risk temperature reading. It is also heavily
weighted toward energy and financial stocks — both of which react
sharply to oil prices and rate decisions. With Brent crude elevated
(~US$89.70/bbl), energy sector performance in UK100 can signal
whether inflationary pressures are intensifying. A bullish UK100
open adds tailwind to our US500 long setup.
— — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
📌 PEPPERSTONE:HK50 (Hang Seng Index CFD — Hong Kong)
Last Known Price: ~25,241 (2 Sep 2026, as of 07:38 London equiv.)
Correlation: INVERSE / DIVERGENT — geopolitical sensitivity monitor
Key Point: The HK50 (Hang Seng) acts as a global risk divergence
indicator for US500 traders. On 2 Sep 2026, Asian markets fell
sharply — with HK50 sliding to a low of 24,960 — as oil prices surged
on US-Iran military strikes. This Asian weakness tested but did not
break the US equity recovery. Continued HK50 weakness would signal
global risk-off is spreading and could pressure US500 on the open.
Monitor HK50 overnight session prints as an early warning system.
— — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
📌 TVC:VIX (Volatility Index — Fear Gauge)
Correlation: STRONG INVERSE — the market's fear thermometer
Key Point: The VIX measures expected 30-day volatility of the S&P 500.
Rising VIX = increasing fear = headwind for US500 bulls. Falling VIX
= calming markets = tailwind for our long setup. As geopolitical risk
(US-Iran conflict, elevated oil) remains a live variable, any sharp
VIX spike above key levels should prompt the Thief OG's to re-evaluate
or tighten up. A subdued, declining VIX strongly supports our heist plan.
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
🏦 MY AREAS I AM WATCHING — KEY PRICE ZONES ON THE MAP
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
🔴 RESISTANCE ZONES (Police Force Territory — Proceed With Caution):
→ 7,750 — First target / intermediate resistance level
→ 7,800 — Round number psychological barrier — watch for hesitation
→ 7,850 — THE MAIN VAULT 🚨 Police Force arrives here in full strength
Overbought zone + strong historical resistance + trap territory
EXIT the trade here — do not be the guy left holding the bag!
🟢 SUPPORT ZONES (Thief Safe Houses — Where Bulls Reload):
→ 7,668 — Current market price / recent close (live verified 2 Sep 2026)
→ 7,600 — Short-term support floor / moving average confluence zone
→ 7,550 — Thief SL level / critical structure support — below here = abort
→ 7,500 — Deep support base / last line of bullish defence
The Thief OG's want price to build above 7,668, grind toward 7,750
intermediate, and then push into the 7,850 main vault zone. That's the
heist route. Stick to the route.
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
🌍 POSSIBLE SCENARIO — HOW THIS HEIST PLAYS OUT
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
BULLISH SCENARIO (Primary Heist Plan — Our Play):
Price holds above the 7,600 support area and continues to push higher
on the back of recovering tech momentum, strong Q3 earnings carry-over,
and broader market resilience. Day traders target the 7,750 level first.
Swing traders hold for the run toward 7,850, the Thief OG's main vault.
The moving average structure supports this case as long as price does not
break below 7,600 on a daily close.
BEARISH SCENARIO (The Police Raid — Risk Scenario):
A hawkish FOMC surprise on 16 September 2026 (rate hike instead of hold)
combined with a hot NFP print on 4 September 2026 could push Treasury
yields sharply higher and drag equity valuations. Add in an escalation
in the Middle East conflict (US-Iran) causing an oil spike above $95/bbl,
and the US500 could reject from current levels and test the 7,600 zone
or even 7,550 (Thief SL territory). In this case — the escape hatch
activates and we live to heist another day. No shame in protecting capital.
NEUTRAL SCENARIO (Sideways Consolidation — Patience Required):
Markets consolidate between 7,600 and 7,750 ahead of the NFP on
4 September and the FOMC decision on 16 September 2026. Price chops
back and forth in no-man's land. Day traders may find opportunities
within the range. Swing traders hold positions and wait for the breakout
direction post-catalyst.
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
📰 EDUCATIONAL BREAKDOWN — KNOW YOUR MARKET, THIEF OG'S
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
What IS the US500 / SPX500?
The US500 (also called SPX500 on some platforms) is the CFD instrument
that tracks the S&P 500 Index — one of the most closely followed equity
benchmarks in the world. It covers 500 large-cap companies listed on US
stock exchanges and represents approximately 80% of total US market
capitalisation. The index is market-cap weighted, meaning larger companies
(like Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta) have greater influence on
the price movement. This is NOT the same as the US30 (Dow Jones Industrial
Average), which tracks only 30 blue-chip companies.
Key sectors inside US500:
→ Technology — largest weight, most influential
→ Healthcare — defensive anchor
→ Financials — rate-sensitive, drives flows on Fed decisions
→ Consumer Discretionary — economic growth gauge
→ Industrials — infrastructure and manufacturing proxy
→ Energy — oil-linked, geopolitically sensitive right now
Why does the Fed matter SO MUCH for this trade?
→ The US Federal Reserve (Fed) currently holds rates at 3.50–3.75%
→ The July 2026 FOMC meeting resulted in a 9-3 HOLD vote — 3 members
WANTED to hike. This is a hawkish dissent — the market noticed.
→ The next FOMC decision is 16 September 2026 at 19:00 London Time
→ Markets currently price ~60-66% probability of a 25bps rate HIKE
→ A rate hike would increase borrowing costs → compress equity valuations
→ potential headwind for US500 bulls
→ A hold or softer language would be bullish for equities
Why does NFP matter for this trade?
→ The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report releases on 4 September 2026
at 13:30 London Time — that is TOMORROW from publication date
→ NFP is the single most market-moving US data release
→ A strong jobs number = hotter economy = more likelihood of Fed hike
= potentially bearish for equities in the near-term
→ A weaker jobs number = cooling economy = Fed less likely to hike
= potentially bullish for equities / supportive for risk assets
→ Every Thief OG should be WATCHING this release before/during the trade
CFD Index Trading — The Basics:
→ You are trading a Contract for Difference on the index price movement
→ You do NOT own the underlying stocks — just the price difference
→ Leverage works both ways — amplifies gains AND losses equally
→ Position sizing relative to account size is your greatest risk tool
→ Index CFDs like US500 have OVERNIGHT FUNDING charges — factor in
if you plan to hold multi-day swing positions
Moving Averages as Pullback Targets:
→ The Thief Trader entry framing includes "after a moving average
pullback" — this means waiting for price to dip back toward a key
moving average (e.g. 20 EMA, 50 SMA) and then recover before entering
→ This filters out chasing tops and provides better risk-reward entries
→ The MA pullback entry is a professional technique favoured by
institutional desk traders and is not a random entry method
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
📡 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS — MARKET SAYS WHAT IT SAYS
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
IMPORTANT: The following fundamental data is presented NEUTRALLY — as
the market reports it — reflecting BOTH bullish and bearish drivers.
This section is NOT tailored to support the trade direction above.
The market speaks. The Thief Trader just listens and reports.
CURRENT US MACRO DATA (Verified as of 3 Sep 2026, London Time):
→ US Fed Funds Rate: 3.50–3.75% (Held at July 29, 2026 FOMC, 9-3 vote)
→ Fed Chair: Kevin Warsh (sworn in May 2026)
→ Headline CPI (June 2026): 3.5% — cooled from May's 4.2% energy spike
→ Core CPI (June 2026): 2.6% — still above the Fed's 2% target
→ Brent Crude Oil: ~US$89.70 per barrel (energy inflation risk live)
→ US 30-Year Treasury Yield: ~5.193% (elevated — rate market pressure)
→ US500 YoY Performance: +18.92% — strongly bullish macro trend
→ Dow Jones (US30): ~53,061 on 2 Sep 2026 close — recovering
UPCOMING HIGH-IMPACT EVENTS (All times in London Time / UK):
🔴 4 September 2026 — US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) | 13:30 London Time
Covering August 2026 employment data. This is the #1 market-moving
release of the week. High volatility expected on release. Position
your size accordingly.
🟡 16 September 2026 — FOMC Rate Decision | 19:00 London Time
The Federal Reserve announces its September rate decision. Updated
economic projections and the dot plot are also released at this meeting.
Markets currently pricing ~60-66% probability of a 25bps rate hike.
A hike would be the first since the current cycle — highly significant.
Press conference at 19:30 London Time.
🟡 September 2026 — US CPI Inflation Data (Date TBC)
Consumer Price Index data for August 2026, typically released the
week after NFP. Sticky core CPI above 2.6% would reinforce Fed hike
bets. A cooling print would offer equities relief.
BULLISH DRIVERS FOR US500 (What the bulls see):
→ Headline CPI cooling from 4.2% (May) to 3.5% (June) — disinflation trend
→ AI and technology sector delivering strong Q3 earnings momentum
→ Nvidia nearing $14B acquisition of Hugging Face — AI expansion signal
→ Dell +15.8% post-earnings beat with raised revenue guidance
→ Oracle +3.1%, Meta +2.5% adding breadth to the tech recovery
→ US500 up 18.92% YoY — macro bull cycle clearly intact
→ August closed as the fifth consecutive winning month for the Dow
→ Federal judge ruled Google does NOT need to divest its ad exchange
— relieves Alphabet regulatory overhang, supports tech index weight
BEARISH / RISK DRIVERS FOR US500 (What the bears see):
→ 3 FOMC dissents in July wanting a rate hike — hawkish internal shift
→ Markets fully pricing a 25bps hike by September meeting (~60-66%)
→ Core CPI at 2.6% remains stubbornly above the 2% Fed target
→ Brent crude at ~$89.70/bbl adds renewed energy inflation pressure
→ US-Iran military strikes reigniting geopolitical risk premium
→ Rising US 30-year Treasury yield at 5.193% — competing with equities
→ Risk-reward outlook described as "getting worse" by Citadel Securities
→ September historically the WORST calendar month for US equity markets
→ "Big Tech stocks have lagged the broader market nearly all year"
→ Palo Alto sank 9.3% despite better-than-expected results — showing
market punishing any perceived forward weakness
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
💬 THIEF TRADER WISHES & MOTIVATION — STRAIGHT FROM THE VAULT
───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
"The market doesn't care about your feelings — but it DOES reward
those who show up prepared, disciplined, and consistently sharp.
Be that trader."
"Every master thief plans their exit before they even enter the
building. Know your target. Know your escape. Execute without emotion."
Wishing you all precise entries, smooth scaling, and clean exits.
May your profits flow and your stop losses stay untouched.
Stay sharp, stay disciplined, stay legendary.
— Thief Trader 🕵️♂️📈 Bearish drop off?S&P500 (US500) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse towards the 1st support, which has been identified as a pullback suport.
Pivot: 7,644.68
1st Support: 7,575.55
1st Resistance: 7,727.80
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party. Short 
S&P500 corrects every time to this level in last 17 years.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the March 2009 U.S. Housing Crisis bottom. Within this pattern, the market has periodically peaked and then pulled-back to test at least the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
The first line of Support has been the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), which covered the three more recent and shorter corrections of 2024, 2025 and now early 2026. However, the last time the index made contact with its 1W MA200 was on the October 2022 bottom.
In addition, it is currently on the 2nd longest streak without having the 1M RSI touch the 16-year Buy Zone, which was 228 weeks (1596 days). In May 17 2027 we will again complete 228 weeks since the last RSI Buy Zone test.
Technically, the market has a strong 'need' for another 1W MA200 test and even though it is currently around 5600, history has shown that sharp corrections do take place, like Feb-March 2020, Oct-Dec 2018, May-Oct 2011.
Also, with the exception of 2015 (which hit the 0.236 Fib), the other three 1W MA200 corrections have all tested (at least) the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous bottom.
As a result, even though S&P500 could go a little higher to test the Top of the historic Channel Up, it appears very likely to pull-back and break below the 1W MA100, targeting at least the 0.236 Fib at 6500. By the end of the year/ beginning of next, this price level would also be close to the 1W MA200. If fundamentals (Fed hikes, geopolitics) get even worse, a 1W MA200 test by late Q1 2027 could take place near 6100 coinciding with a 1M RSI touch on its 16-year Buy Zone, but that's a less likely scenario.
Needless to say, if a 1M RSI test on that Zone takes place before any of those Targets, then the S&P500 would turn into a multi-year buy opportunity for us regardless of the price.
As a side-note, notice also how since 2008, the Time Cycles (Sine Waves) have fairly accurately caught the start of every of those major technical corrections. Based on the current Sine Wave, one should have started last year (August 2025), so technically such a Bearish Leg correction seems long overdue.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 Short 
Long 
ES Weekly Outlook – Week 34 of 2026 (24-28 AUG)ES WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
ES Weekly Recap Outlook
None of the directional ES futures scenarios from last week's Weekly Market Outlook were triggered, so we did not take any directional ES trades.
However, we took 3 ES futures scalp trades last week using different strategies, and all 3 were winners.
3 trades. 3 wins. 100% win rate on ES futures.
(For reference, I have included last week's outlook on the right.)
UA CAPITAL Trading Desk Weekly Execution Metrics
Total Trades Taken: 13
Winning Trades: 10
Losing Trades: 3
Win Rate: 77%
Index Options: 0 Trades
Futures Desk: 3 Trades (3 Wins — ES)
Equities / Stocks: 10 Trades (7 Wins / 3 Losses)
Result: Another green week.
This Week's Scenarios / Prediction
Risk Index
This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator I use for both short-term and long-term positioning decisions.
Long term: Risk on
Mid term: Risk on
Short term: Risk on
A warning: Macro liquidity conditions remain fragile, and a negative news catalyst could still trigger a sharp downside flush. Geopolitical risk, particularly the Iran conflict, remains elevated, while the macro environment continues to show significant compression and imbalance.
Scenarios / Strategies
Long Scenario 1
Demand 1 (7650) This is the first major demand zone. If price reclaims this level with a confirmed 1-hour bullish candle close, long exposure can be considered.
Trigger: Price must test the level and produce a bullish 1-hour candle close back above the zone.
Targets: Take partial profits after every 5 pts advance.
Invalidation: 1-hour candle close below 7610.
Long Scenario 2
KEY Level 2 (7567) This is the main demand zone. If price reclaims this level with a confirmed 1-hour bullish candle close, long exposure can be considered.
Trigger: Price must test the level and produce a bullish 1-hour candle close back above the zone.
Targets: Take partial profits after every 5 pts advance.
Invalidation: 4-hour candle close below 7510.
Long Scenario 3
Flip Level (7697) This is the Flip Level for ES to watch. If price breaks above this level with a strong 4-hour candle close and subsequently retests the level, a long setup can be considered.
Trigger: Price must retest the level from above and produce a bullish 1-hour or 15-minute candle close back above the zone for a more aggressive entry.
Targets: Take partial profits after every 5 pts advance.
Invalidation: 4-hour candle close below 7690.
Position Management Rules
1. Entry model: Unique for every scenario. Read each setup carefully before entering.
2. Take profits in stages because market reversals can happen quickly.
3. After the first profit target is reached, move all remaining stop losses to breakeven and convert the position into a risk-free trade.
4. A reaction from the level must be confirmed. We do not predict price. We react to price.
5. Invalidation levels are unique for each scenario. Read them carefully.
6. SPY & QQQ charts use RTH (Regular Trading Hours). ES & NQ charts use ETH (Electronic Trading Hours).
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
Long 
S&P500 Incredible 4-year Cycle points to a strong correction.We talk about Bitcoin's 4 -year Cycle Model frequently and with good proper reason of course. But most neglect to look at and apply the same market dynamics and macro-economic reasoning on the S&P500 (SPX). The two markets are no different.
This multi-decade chart shows that for almost the last half century (the past 44 years are our sample), the S&P500 had a strong correction to either its 1W MA100 (red trend-line) or 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) every 4 years. And this correction started most of the times around July - August. The few remaining times, that correction was completed by July - August of this 4-year Cycle.
Currently, the Sine Waves point that this Cycle closes again in July - August 2026. Since we haven't had a 1W MA100 correction since March 2025, we should expect that this could happen now.
Out of the 11 corrections we've had since 1982, 5 hit the 1M MA50, 5 the 1W MA100 and 1 (July 2002, Dotcom Bubble bottom) was already significantly below both. As a result, the probabilities are even with regards to which MA period the index could target. If it aims the 1W MA100, we expect it to touch at least 6800. If it goes for a stronger 1M MA50 correction, 6200 is a fair estimate.
It is worth noting however, that the last three 4-year Cycle corrections all targeted the 1M MA50. The trend is there.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 Short 
S&P500 declines historically before the MID-TERM ELECTIONS.On November 03 2026 the U.S. goes for its midterm elections. Right now we are a little over 2 months before this rather critical event for the stock market, so let's see how the S&P500 index (SPX) has performed historically around 3 months before its midterm elections since 2002 and the Dotcom Bubble Crisis.
As you can see, we've had 6 midterm elections since 2002. On 4 occasions, the market ended lower (red Rectangles) at the time of the elections and only 2 (green Rectangles) managed to rise. As a result, there are twice as many probabilities for S&P500 to decline and be at a lower price than today, than they are to rise.
The key takeaway here is that out of those 6 midterm elections, SPX broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) in 4 occasions, marginally broke above it on 1 occasion (2010), and sustainably traded above it the whole 3 months without touching it, only once (2006).
Right now the index has been rising strongly after it last touched its 1W MA50 back in April 2026. As a result based on our sample of the past 24 years, it has 5 in 6 probabilities of hitting its 1W MA50 by November. This is why we view targeting 7200 as the highest probability.
In addition, on 2 occasions it even broke below its 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and even touched its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) (2018 and 2022), while it almost hit its 1W MA100 in 2014. As a result, there is almost a 50% chance that the 1W MA100 may even get hit, which could drop the price to as low as 6800 - 6700 but of course an even worse mix of catalysts will be needed.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 Short 
S&P 500 ($SPX) Daily: Pullback Retests 17-EMAS&P 500 ( SPCFD:SPX ) Daily: Pullback Retests 17-EMA Dynamic Support Near Confluent Fibonacci Retracement Zone
### 🇺🇸 S&P 500 Index ( SPCFD:SPX / SPCFD) Daily Technical Matrix (Ref: SPX_2026-08-24_08-36-55.png)
We are issuing an updated Daily (1D) structural matrix for the S&P 500 Index ( SPCFD:SPX ). Following a sharp rejection off the historical peak ceiling at **7,806.20**, price action has entered a controlled healthy pullback, finding dynamic demand along its short-term moving average and testing the key local Fibonacci retracement cluster (highlighted green zone).
The index is currently trading up **+0.43% (+33.21 pts)** at **7,674.37**, holding right on top of its daily **17-period EMA**.
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### 🔍 Technical Architecture & Fibonacci Retracement Nodes:
Our quantitative matrix isolates key structural levels driving the active consolidation phase:
1. **Immediate Dynamic Floor (17-EMA):** Price action is reacting precisely around the **17-period Daily EMA (red line at 7,670.13)**. Maintaining daily acceptance above this dynamic boundary is crucial for short-term buyers to preserve immediate trend momentum.
2. **Confluent Retracement Zone (Highlighted Green Cluster):** Should sell-side pressure extend beneath the 17-EMA, the highlighted green node maps out primary Fibonacci support levels to gather fresh buying liquidity:
* **0.236 Fibonacci Node:** **7,696.82**
* **0.382 Fibonacci Floor:** **7,623.35**
* **0.500 Mid-Point Equilibrium:** **7,543.97**
* **0.618 Golden Ratio Baseline:** **7,464.59**
* **0.786 Deep Retracement Support:** **7,420.05**
3. **Macro Overhead Ceiling & Institutional Baseline:**
* **Major All-Time High Resistance:** **7,806.20** — Primary horizontal barrier to clear for trend expansion.
* **Institutional Macro Floor (200-EMA):** **7,126.30** (purple line).
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### 🛡️ Strategic Operational Scenarios:
* **Scenario A — Dynamic Support Hold & Retest of ATH:** Buyers holding the **7,670.13 (17-EMA)** floor will push price action back toward **7,696.82 (0.236 Fibo)**, setting up a secondary breakout retest of the **7,806.20** All-Time High ceiling.
* **Scenario B — Extended Retracement into Golden Ratio:** A daily close below **7,623.35 (0.382 Fibo)** opens a deeper pullback into the **7,543.97 – 7,464.59 (0.618 Golden Ratio)** green zone, where long-term institutional buyers are expected to defend structural trendlines.
### 📊 Tactical Parameters Summary:
* **Current Bias:** Neutral-Bullish / Retracement Test
* **Immediate Dynamic Support (17-EMA):** 7,670.13
* **Primary Fibonacci Support Cluster (Green Zone):** 7,623.35 – 7,464.59
* **Major All-Time High Resistance Ceiling:** 7,806.20
* **Swing Low Structural Anchor (1.0 Fibo):** 7,312.36
* **Institutional Macro Floor (200-EMA):** 7,126.30
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📊 **ChartPro Data**
*US Equity Market Architecture, Fibonacci Confluences & Systematic Risk Management.*
⚠️ **Disclaimer:** For educational and informational purposes only. This active market study represents a personal trading framework and does not constitute financial or investment advice. SPY / SPX Weekly Outlook – Week 33 of 2026 (17-21 AUG)SPY / SPX WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
SPY Weekly Recap Outlook
We didn't take any trades on SPY this week because none of the key levels or scenarios we had mapped out were triggered.
(For reference, I have included last week's outlook on the right.)
Weekly Execution Metrics
Total Trades Activated: 5 (excluding open running equities)
Winning Trades: 5
Losing Trades: 0
Win Rate: 100% (on closed or partially closed sequences)
Index Options: 1 Trade (1 Win — QQQ)
Futures Desk: 4 Trades (3 Wins — NQ, 1 Win — ES)
Tactical Equities: 4 Plays (1 TP, risk-free runner; 3 Open)
Precious Metals: 1 Play (Silver, Open)
Result: Another green week.
This Week's Scenarios / Prediction
Risk Index
This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator I use for both short-term and long-term positioning decisions.
Long term: Risk on
Mid term: Risk on
Short term: Risk on
The overall market structure remains risk on across all three time horizons.
However, macro liquidity risks remain an important source of downside vulnerability. If negative macro news flow emerges, we could see sharp flushes lower despite the current risk-on structure.
For this reason, we will continue to remain disciplined around key levels and prioritize aggressive profit-taking as the market moves in our favor.
Scenarios / Strategies
Long Scenario 1
Flip Zone (775.25)
This is the first major demand zone. If price reclaims this level with a confirmed 1-hour bullish candle close, long exposure can be considered. An aggressive approach can also be used following a confirmed 15-minute bullish candle close.
Trigger: Price must test the level and produce a bullish 1-hour candle close back above the zone.
Targets: Take partial profits after every $1 advance.
Invalidation: 1-hour candle close below 774.
Long Scenario 2
Demand (770)
This is the second major demand zone. If price reclaims this level with a confirmed 1-hour bullish candle close, long exposure can be considered. An aggressive approach can also be used following a confirmed 15-minute bullish candle close.
Trigger: Price must test the level and produce a bullish 1-hour candle close back above the zone.
Targets: Take partial profits after every $1 advance.
Invalidation: Daily candle close below 767.
Position Management Rules
1. Entry model: Unique for every scenario. Read carefully.
2. Take profits in stages because market reversals can happen quickly.
3. After the first profit target is reached, move all remaining stop losses to breakeven and convert the position into a risk-free trade.
4. A reaction from the level must be confirmed. We do not predict price. We react to price.
5. Invalidation levels are unique for each scenario. Read them carefully.
6. SPY & QQQ charts use RTH (Regular Trading Hours). ES & NQ charts use ETH (Electronic Trading Hours).
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
Long 
ES Weekly Outlook – Week 33 of 2026 (17-21 AUG)ES WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
ES Weekly Recap Outlook
We did not take any trades on ES futures this week because none of the key levels or scenarios outlined in last week's plan were triggered.
(For reference, I have included last week's outlook on the right.)
Weekly Execution Metrics
Total Trades Activated: 5 (excluding open running equities)
Winning Trades: 5
Losing Trades: 0
Win Rate: 100% (on closed or partially closed sequences)
Index Options: 1 Trade (1 Win — QQQ)
Futures Desk: 4 Trades (3 Wins — NQ, 1 Win — ES)
Tactical Equities: 4 Plays (1 TP, risk-free runner; 3 Open)
Precious Metals: 1 Play (Silver, Open)
Result: Another green week.
This Week's Scenarios / Prediction
Risk Index
This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator I use for both short-term and long-term positioning decisions.
Long term: Risk on
Mid term: Risk on
Short term: Risk on
The overall market structure remains risk on across all three time horizons. However, macro liquidity risks remain an important source of downside vulnerability. Any significant deterioration in the macro environment or unexpected negative news flow could trigger a sharp flush lower.
For this reason, despite the current risk-on structure, we will continue to prioritize disciplined execution and aggressive profit-taking around key levels.
Scenarios / Strategies
Long Scenario 1
KEY Level 1 (7800)
This is the first major demand zone. If price reclaims this level with a confirmed 1-hour bullish candle close, long exposure can be considered. An aggressive entry can also be considered following a confirmed 15-minute bullish candle close.
Trigger: Price must test the level and produce a bullish 1-hour candle close back above the zone.
Targets: Take partial profits after every 5-point advance.
Invalidation: 1-hour candle close below 7790.
Long Scenario 2
KEY Level 2 (7750)
This is the main demand zone. If price reclaims this level with a confirmed 1-hour bullish candle close, long exposure can be considered. An aggressive entry can also be considered following a confirmed 15-minute bullish candle close.
Trigger: Price must test the level and produce a bullish 1-hour candle close back above the zone.
Targets: Take partial profits after every 5-point advance.
Invalidation: Daily candle close below 7724.
Position Management Rules
1. Entry model: Unique for every scenario. Read each setup carefully before entering.
2. Take profits in stages because market reversals can happen quickly.
3. After the first profit target is reached, move all remaining stop losses to breakeven and convert the position into a risk-free trade.
4. A reaction from the level must be confirmed. We do not predict price. We react to price.
5. Invalidation levels are unique for each scenario. Read them carefully.
6. SPY & QQQ charts use RTH (Regular Trading Hours). ES & NQ charts use ETH (Electronic Trading Hours).
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
Long 
Short
S&P 500 remains bearish, FOMC minutes due today.The S&P 500 (-0.69%) extended its losing streak to three sessions, with the selloff driven primarily by renewed weakness in chip stocks and growing stagflation concerns. The Philly Semiconductor Index fell -4.98%, while the NASDAQ dropped -1.33%, highlighting continued pressure on the technology and AI trade. The decline was also relatively broad-based, with the equal-weighted S&P 500 falling -0.45%.
The main macro headwind remains the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz, with no progress towards US-Iran negotiations. President Trump said there were no talks scheduled, while Iran indicated the Strait would remain closed until US conditions were met. This pushed oil higher across the futures curve, with the 12-month Brent contract reaching a two-month high of $78.31, reinforcing concerns that elevated energy prices could keep inflation higher for longer and put further pressure on bond yields and equities.
Trading conclusion: The short-term bias for the S&P 500 remains bearish, particularly while the index remains under pressure from technology stocks and rising yields. A break below recent support would increase the risk of a deeper correction, while any stabilisation in bond yields, oil prices or chip stocks could provide a relief bounce. Today’s key catalysts are UK CPI, the FOMC minutes and comments from ECB President Lagarde, with the FOMC minutes particularly important for the outlook on US rates and the next move in the S&P 500.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 7,826
Resistance Level 2: 7,870
Resistance Level 3: 7,924
Support Level 1: 7,670
Support Level 2: 7,624
Support Level 3: 7,580
The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Trade Nation (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk. Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.
Financial Spread Bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73.7% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
S&P500 Dazzling similarities with 2018 correction. Is 6800 next?The S&P500 index (SPX) ever since its April 2025 bottom appears to have been replicating the 2016 - 2018 pattern. As you can see, both fractals started off a near 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) bottom that initiated a +62.80% rally on both.
The pattern that carried a double phase correction in 2018 was a Megaphone, with the first Phase hitting the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and rebounding and the second Phase first bouncing off the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and eventually bottoming on the 1W MA200, very close to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
The 2026 Megaphone has so far had a Phase 1 correction on its 1W MA50 and right now the price has hit the pattern's Top again and seems to getting rejected. If this continues to replicate 2018, we expect a 1W MA100 test around 6800. Due to the greater width of the 2026 Megaphone as opposed to 2018, we may not get the full 1W MA200 Phase 2 correction repeat (which would be around 6300), but a 6800 1W MA100 pull-back towards the end of the year is technically realistic.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 Short 
SPY / SPX Weekly Outlook – Week 32 of 2026 (10-14 AUG)SPY / SPX WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK
SPY Weekly Recap Outlook
Last week, SPY did not provide the retest we were waiting for, so no trade was taken on SPY. However, the bullish move toward all-time highs developed aggressively in the direction outlined in our previous outlook.
(For reference, I have included last week's outlook on the right.)
UA CAPITAL Weekly Execution Metrics
Total Trades Taken: 8
Winning Trades: 6
Losing Trades: 2
Win Rate: 75%
Index Options: 7 Trades (5 Wins / 2 Losses)
Futures Desk: 1 Trade (1 Win — ES)
Tactical Equities: 0 Trades
Result: Another deep green week.
This Week's Scenarios / Prediction
Risk Index
This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator I use for both short-term and long-term positioning decisions.
The Risk Index algorithm is currently signaling the potential for a short-term bounce. However, the broader short to medium-term environment continues to price in the possibility of another meaningful downside flush.
The long-term model remains firmly risk on, while the medium-term outlook continues to lean slightly bearish.
This combination typically creates elevated volatility, with both bulls and bears competing aggressively for control before a larger directional move eventually develops.
Given the potential for acceleration in either direction and increasingly violent reversals, our focus this week will remain on aggressive profit-taking and disciplined risk management.
Scenarios / Strategies
Long Scenario 1
KEY Level 1 (768)
This is the first major demand zone. If price reclaims this level with a confirmed 1-hour bullish candle close, long exposure can be considered.
Trigger: Price must test the level and produce a bullish 1-hour candle close back above the zone.
Targets: Take partial profits after every $1 advance.
Invalidation: 1-hour candle close below 768.
Long Scenario 2
KEY Level 2 (758.5)
This is the second major demand zone. If price reaches this area and confirms support, long exposure can be considered.
Trigger: Price must test the level and produce a bullish 1-hour candle close back above the zone.
Targets: Take partial profits after every $1 advance.
Invalidation: Daily candle close below 755.
Position Management Rules
1. Entry model: Unique for every scenario. Read each setup carefully before entering.
2. Take profits in stages because market reversals can happen quickly.
3. After the first profit target is reached, move all remaining stop losses to breakeven and convert the position into a risk-free trade.
4. A reaction from the level must be confirmed. We do not predict price. We react to price.
5. Invalidation levels are unique for each scenario. Read them carefully.
6. SPY & QQQ charts use RTH (Regular Trading Hours). ES & NQ charts use ETH (Electronic Trading Hours).
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
Long 
