Significant volatility period: starting around September 6hello?
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(USDT chart)
It touched around 82.959B on the falling candlestick.
Therefore, the rise and fall of candlesticks that do not gap should be interpreted as triggering trades.
That's why you don't have to be afraid of falling candlesticks.
What you should be afraid of is when it drops, creating a gap.
This is because it is seen as a phenomenon of outflow of funds from the coin market.
Around August 7th, we can see that funds have flowed out of the coin market as the gap down begins.
When the take profit period is over, we expect it to start moving sideways and then start to rise.
I don't think there will be a downturn in the coin market unless USDT falls below 80.986B.
However, there is only a slight pain in waiting.
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(USDC chart)
USDC is likely to be funds from US-based investment companies or institutions.
Therefore, when USDC shows an upward trend, I think good news will start to come from the US side.
If the gap rises above 26.525B and is maintained, good news is likely to emerge.
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(BTC.D chart)
Altcoins are bouncing as BTC dominance falls below 50.
However, it is only exciting, but it seems to be returning to its original place.
Therefore, in order to trade altcoins, a quick response is required through day trading or short-term trading.
I think the section where you start to think that the pumping of altcoins has started is when it drops below the 47.64-48.81 section.
The pumping of these altcoins is highly likely to cause a strong downtrend in the coin market soon, so caution is required.
In order to welcome a proper altcoin bull market, BTC dominance must rise above at least 55.01 and then start to decline.
For now, I expect it to rise to around 61.73-68.72.
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(USDT.D chart)
A big rise occurred as it rose above 7.14-7.39.
An increase in USDT dominance means that the coin market is likely to go down.
If it remains above 8.12, it is expected to renew the new high (ATH).
Unless USDT dominance shows a decline, the coin market as a whole will draw a downward trend.
(1D chart)
Accordingly, it is expected that it will be important how it behaves during the volatility period between about 6th and 16th September.
At this time, if it does not fall below the minimum of 7.62, USDT dominance is expected to maintain an upward trend in the end, so caution is required.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** The trading volume indicator is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
Display method (in order of boldest)
More than 3x 10EMA trading volume > 2.5x > 2.0x > 1.25x > trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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USDC-D
The Key Is Whether USDT Can Convert To Gap RiseHello?
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(USDT chart)
We need to see if it can rise above 83.333B.
If not,
1st: 82.959B
2nd: 81.839B
You need to make sure that it is supported in the vicinity of the 1st and 2nd above.
(USDC chart)
We need to see if it can rise above 26.525B.
(BTC.D chart)
We need to see if it can fall below 47.64-48.81.
(USDT.D chart)
Regardless of whether the size of funds changes or where the flow of funds is concentrated, the most important thing is that USDT dominance must decline.
Otherwise, the coin market cannot continue its upward trend.
If USDT dominance remains above 8.12, it is expected to renew the new high (ATH).
Therefore, the key question is whether a decline can be achieved around 7.14-7.39.
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(USDT 1D chart)
After gapping down around June 17th, BTC surged.
It remains to be seen if funds flow into the coin market through USDT after this drop.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** The trading volume indicator is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
Display method (in order of boldest)
More than 3x 10EMA trading volume > 2.5x > 2.0x > 1.25x > trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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Volatility occurs in funds in the coin markethello?
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(USDT 1D chart)
(USDC 1D chart)
(BTC.D 1D chart)
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The volatility shown 2 days ago has been corrected and appears to be displayed correctly.
In this way, market cap charts are often displayed properly after at least 1-2 days have elapsed.
- USDT turned from falling to rising,
- USDC is still on a downtrend,
- BTC dominance shifted from gap down to up,
- USDT dominance also shifted from falling to rising in the gap.
We believe that gaps in the USDT and USDC charts are caused by the inflow or outflow of funds into the coin market.
BTC dominance and USDT dominance can also cause gaps.
However, the dominance chart believes that trends are more important than the occurrence of gaps.
Accordingly,
The upward trend in BTC dominance means that the money in the coin market is concentrating towards BTC.
When funds are concentrated towards BTC
1. When funds are concentrated as the BTC price rises
2. If the BTC price falls, but the fall of the altcoin is greater than the fall
Cases 1 and 2 above.
Therefore, I believe that BTC dominance shows the movement of funds in altcoins rather than movements in BTC.
Therefore, it can be inferred that BTC dominance must be in a downtrend to buy an altcoin.
BTC dominance is expected to rise to around 61.73 from a mid- to long-term perspective, so caution is required when trading altcoins.
USDT dominance must show an unconditional downward trend, so the coin market as a whole is likely to show an upward trend.
Therefore, it is time to start trading when USDT dominance begins to decline.
No matter how much the USDT dominance continues to rise, it creates waves, so trading is possible according to the waves.
Currently, USDT dominance is showing a rise above 7.14-7.39.
So, a support around 7.39 could lead to a rise above 8.12.
Changes in the trend of the coin market are expected as we have seen changes in the money in the coin market.
We would appreciate it if you could refer to the BTC chart description for the timing of the change.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** The trading volume indicator is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
Display method (in order of boldest)
More than 3x 10EMA trading volume > 2.5x > 2.0x > 1.25x > trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
USDC & SVBIn the past 24 hours, the trading volume of the Bybit USDC/USDT perpetual contract pair exceeded an astonishing $380 million, and the annualized funding rate was as high as 740%
After Friday's stunning collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, questions swirled around the exposure of one of crypto's top firms, Circle, the issuer of the second-largest stablecoin, USDC.
In its March attestation, Circle had revealed that part of its $9.88 billion in cash reserves was held at SVB, although it did not disclose the total amount. Following the collapse of SVB, withdrawals from USDC mounted, with the crypto intelligence platform Nansen showing over $1 billion in redemptions from the stablecoin since SVB's shutdown. USDC has a market cap just north of $40 billion.
As USDC lost its $1 peg across different crypto exchanges amid withdrawals, Circle sought to instill confidence, with the company tweeting at 6:50 pm ET that it would continue to operate normally, sharing that SVB was one of the six banking partners it uses for the 25% of its reserves that it keeps in cash, although still not disclosing the amount held at SVB.
As investors continued to move out of USDC, Binance announced it would be temporarily suspending its auto-conversion policy of USDC to its BUSD stablecoin, citing "market conditions" and describing the action as a "normal risk-management procedural step." At 10:11 PM ET, Circle offered more clarity, tweeting that $3.3 billion—or around 8%—of its reserves remained at SVB, revealing that wires initiated on Thursday to remove balances from the bank had not been processed. Dante Disparte, Circle's chief strategy officer, tweeted soon after that Circle was protecting USDC "from a black swan failure in the banking system."
Meanwhile, USDC's peg continued to weaken, with the token trading at $0.92 against tether on Kraken as of 10:40 pm ET. Coinbase announced it would be temporarily pausing conversions from USDC to USD over the weekend while banks are closed, adding that during periods of heightened activity, conversions rely on USD transfers from banks that clear during normal banking hours. Coinbase worked with Circle to create USDC, launching the token in 2018.
After the FDIC placed SVB into receivership on Friday, the weekend will prove an uncertain time as the financial world waits to see if the U.S. government is able to find a buyer for the failed bank or will otherwise backstop losses, with insured deposits only backed up to $250,000. Former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers called for depositors to be paid back in full.
While the crypto industry seems to be safe from SVB contagion for now, with much of the sector moving to Signature Bank and other partners in the wake of Wednesday's voluntary liquidation of Silvergate, Circle could prove the exception. The firm is a fundamental cog in the crypto ecosystem, with USDC serving as a crucial on-ramp into crypto for investors globally.
Some onlookers expressed confidence that Circle would be able to weather the storm. The investor Adam Cochran tweeted that Circle could cover a possible $3.3 billion gap from the interest it collects from reserves, a sale share, or other venture debt. "This is a non-issue in my mind," he wrote.
The hedge fund North Rock Digital CEO Hal Press said that they has continued to buy more USDC at $0.88, having previously bought at $0.935; he believes that USDC will end up fully repegging, a worst case 70% of the cash via asset sales USDC would still be worth 93c.
USDT is looking to enter a new phaseHello?
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(USDT chart)
The OBV, indicated by the 'Vol & Trend' indicator, is about to turn from buying to selling.
Therefore, the possibility of volatility in the coin market is increasing.
Similar to the present situation,
It looks similar to the chart above.
Therefore, if USDT starts to decline, it is expected to show a similar flow to the previous chart when it is supported and rises around 82.959B-83.333B.
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(USDC chart)
If USDC remains below 26.129B or continues to fall, it is expected that a crisis in investment products or stocks related to the stock market will occur.
Therefore, caution is required if you are investing in investment products or items that are related to the stock market and coin market.
Since the funds leading the coin market are likely to be funds inflow through USDT, the continued decline in USDC is not expected to have a significant impact on the coin market.
However, since USDC's continued decline causes the stock market and the coin market to separate, the coin market itself is highly likely to show a different look from the stock market.
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(BTC.D chart)
It is expected that BTC dominance should fall below 47.64-48.80 for the altcoin bull market to start.
Therefore, when BTC dominance shows a decline until then, quick trading is needed from a short-term and day trading perspective.
BTC dominance is expected to rise in the 56.78-61.73 range and form a new trend afterwards.
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(USDT.D chart)
USDT dominance is rising above the 6.85-7.27 range.
Therefore, the coin market is more likely to show a downward trend.
A large trend in the coin market is expected to form when USDT dominance breaks out of the 6.21-8.25 zone.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
The key is whether USDT dominance can fall below 6.85-7.27hello?
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(USDT chart)
A rise in the gap broke the previous latest high.
USDT is renewing all-time highs.
(USDC chart)
If USDC continues to gap down below 26.129B, there could be problems with investment products launched for the coin.
Therefore, caution is required if you are investing in coin-related investment products released on the stock market.
(BTC.D chart)
It needs to fall below 47.64-48.80 to trigger an altcoin bull run.
If not, you need to be careful when trading altcoins.
For Altcoins, when BTC is below 29K, the first round of purchases will be made.
In the second round of buying, BTC buys in the 32K-43K range.
I think the time to buy in earnest is when BTC's HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is supported and trying to rise.
Depending on your investment period and trading strategy, short-term trading is possible by selling the first purchase in the second purchase period.
For reference, BTC dominance is expected to touch around 56.78-61.73.
(USDT.D chart)
During this volatility period of USDT dominance, around July 5th-August 2nd, it is finally showing a rise above 7.27.
In the big picture, USDT dominance is expected to break out of the 6.21-8.25 zone before a new trend is formed.
Therefore, it is likely to deviate from the 6.85-7.27 section and in the direction of movement.
For reference, USDT dominance must fall to indicate an upward trend in the coin market.
The next period of volatility is around August 21-28.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Coin market funds are starting to move againHello?
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(USDT chart)
Looking at the 1D chart,
The gap rose above the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
I think this movement of USDT tells us that funds are flowing back into the coin market.
Therefore, since it has started to move away from this short-term sideways, it is expected that the coin market will experience great volatility in terms of the historical USDT flow.
I think the key interpretation method is to use Bollinger bands as a concept of contraction and expansion.
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(USDC chart)
Below 26.129B may trigger a red flag for USDC, so careful trading is required.
Extreme outflows of funds can be dangerous by disrupting the flow of funds, so caution is required.
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(BTC.D chart)
It seems that the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart will be created at the 49.72 point.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether it is supported or resisted around 49.72.
BTC dominance is expected to rise around 56.78-61.73 and then pick up its direction again.
Therefore, I think it is advantageous to do day trading or short-term trading when trading altcoins.
If you want to trade altcoins from a mid- to long-term perspective, you need to find and observe the altcoins you want to trade in the BTC 29K-32K range.
Then, you should proceed with the second purchase by looking at the flow of altcoins in the BTC 32K-43K section.
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(USDT.D chart)
It is necessary to check which direction the USDT dominance deviates from the 6.85-7.27 range.
Looking at the big picture, it is expected that the trend of the coin market will be formed only when it moves out of the 6.21-8.25 range.
Therefore, rather than looking at the chart from a day trading perspective, I think it is better to look at the chart from a mid- to long-term perspective and reorganize your trading strategy in the future.
The volatility period for USDT dominance is around July 5th - August 2nd.
I think the key is whether there can be a movement out of the 6.21-8.25 section in this volatility period.
USDT dominance must fall so that the overall flow of the coin market will show an upward trend.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Inv h&s on XLMUSD points to a .147 - .15 targetYou can see here on the 1 day chart xlmusd has formed an inverse head and shoulder pattern with it only just recently rounding out the 2nd shoulder and returning now back to the neckline. As always I must wait for a breakout confirmation above the neckline and some confirmation from volume before basing my buys off of this but I anticipate it will likely confirm in the not so distant future considering the recent move by coinbase to use stellar for USDC. I’m hoping to get a retracement too before a full breakout above the neckline in which case I will try to wisely piece meal buys on the dip. I have placed an arbitrary dotted measured move line where I think a potential breakout could occur in which case the target is somewhere aroun 14-15 cents. *not financial advice*
New changes are expected to begin in the near futureHello?
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(USDT chart)
(1D chart)
The possibility of major changes on the USDT chart is increasing.
When the Bollinger Bands (bollinger bands), which have seen the flow of the historical USDT chart, contracted and expanded, it has shown a large upward trend.
It is necessary to confirm whether this time it will show the same appearance as the previous flow.
If it does not, and it shows a decline below 81.839B, it is expected to create a new wave.
USDT is a fund that plays an important role in supporting the coin market.
Therefore, if USDT turns to a downtrend, it is very likely that the coin market will show a large downtrend, so it is necessary to keep an eye on it.
Currently, it is expected to show an upward trend like the previous trend.
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(USDC chart)
USDC also has a high market cap ranking.
Therefore, it can be seen that funds entering the coin market through USDC also play an important role.
However, if you look at the USDC chart, it continues to show a downward trend.
This downward trend can never be seen as having a good effect on the coin market.
Currently, there are not many trading pairs that can be traded with USDC itself.
Therefore, we have reasonable doubts that we are converting the funds that flowed into the coin market through USDC into USDT.
USDC believes that when a coin market investment product is launched on the stock market, it is operated with funds that maintain and manage (?) this investment product.
Therefore, we believe that a rise in the stock market is likely to lead to a fall in USDC.
In any case, it is clear that USDC is not yet having a significant impact on the coin market as a whole.
If the USDC market starts to be created on exchanges around the world, it is expected that USDC will also have an influence over the coin market.
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(BTC.D chart)
What you can tell from the BTC dominance chart is whether the money in the coin market is concentrated in BTC or altcoins.
Therefore, the rise in BTC dominance can be interpreted as meaning that funds are concentrated towards BTC.
If this movement continues, altcoins will gradually move sideways or decline.
BTC dominance is expected to pick up direction again in the 56.78-61.73 zone.
Therefore, if you are currently trading altcoins, a quick response is required from a short-term perspective.
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(USDT.D chart)
USDT has a USDT market formed on exchanges around the world.
As such, USDT has a great influence across the coin market.
In that sense, the movement of USDT dominance allows us to see the flow of the coin market.
Looking at the big picture right now, I would expect a major trend to form depending on which way the 6.21-8.25 area is deviating.
To do so, it is necessary to check what kind of movement is shown in the 6.85-7.27 section.
An increase in USDT dominance is likely to lead to a decline in the coin market.
Therefore, USDT dominance is, in a way, equivalent to the invert chart of the BTC chart.
However, since USDT is involved in the overall flow of the coin market, it is not necessarily related to the BTC chart.
Therefore, when viewing Market Cap charts (USDT, USDC, BTC.D, USDT.D, TOTAL, TOTAL2, OTHERS, etc.), you should look at several related charts together.
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To sum up,
I think the possibility of a new trend in the coin market is increasing due to changes in the USDT chart and changes in USDT dominance.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Mid- to long-term trading strategy with Market Cap chartHello?
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(USDT chart)
As USDT fell below the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart, the likelihood of further declines is increasing.
Therefore, the key is whether the gap can rise above the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
However, since the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at point 82959B, if USDT is maintained around 82.467B-82959B, the coin market is expected to maintain an upward trend.
USDT is a stablecoin that has a huge impact on the coin market.
Therefore, we believe that funds transferred through USDT play an important role in the volatility of the coin market.
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(USDC chart)
Looking at the 1M chart, it is down more than -50%.
Where did so much money go?
USDC is considered an active stable coin by making coins in the coin market into investment products in the stock market.
Therefore, funds using USDC can be understood as funds required to invest in or maintain investment products in the stock market.
Therefore, it is believed that funds are being moved to invest more in the stock market than the current coin market.
Therefore, it is believed that important funds are flowing out of the coin market in starting or maintaining the upward trend of the coin market.
As a result, I believe that the funds flowing into USDT are limiting or reducing the upward trend of the coin market.
No matter how it is, the coin market is expected to maintain an upward trend as long as the funds inflow through USDT are not withdrawn.
Therefore, you should focus on when to proceed with the purchase.
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(BTC.D chart)
BTC dominance is expected to rise around 56.78-61.73.
Accordingly, caution is required when trading altcoins.
An increase in BTC dominance means that funds are concentrated towards BTC.
Therefore, altcoins are more likely to move sideways or decline.
A drop below 50.49 is required to lead to an uptrend for the altcoin, and a drop to or below the 47.64-48.80 range will feel like an altcoin bull market.
In any case, BTC dominance will rise around 56.78-61.73, so it is better to trade the uptrend of these altcoins in the short term.
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(USDT.D chart)
We entered the important section, the 6.85-7.27 section.
Accordingly, it is necessary to see if it can fall below 6.85 by the start of the volatility period around July 5th.
A drop in USDT dominance means an uptrend in the coin market.
This uptrend represents an overall uptrend in the coin market, so it is usually expected that BTC or ETH will show an uptrend.
The most important thing to look at on the USDT dominance chart is whether it falls below 6.21 or rises above 8.25.
If it does not break out of the 6.21-8.25 zone, the coin market is expected to continue sideways.
These sideways are what you'll see when you look at the big picture.
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Since the amount of money (USDT, USDC) supporting the coin market is moving in the opposite direction, in this situation, I think it is better to consider the trading period larger than mid- to long-term rather than short-term trading.
Looking at the coin market from a mid- to long-term perspective, it can be divided based on BTC 29K.
When BTC is below 29K, you should focus on buying BTC or ETH from a mid- to long-term perspective.
And, proceed with the 1st purchase of altcoins to be held in the mid- to long-term.
If it rises above BTC 29K, you should focus on finding time to split and sell BTC or ETH by buying below BTC 29K.
Therefore, you can split the sale when the rate of return per purchase unit price is 30% or more, or split the sale when the rate of return is 100%.
The timing of such split selling can be set according to your investment style, and you may not sell splits.
However, if it rises above 32K, the range of fluctuation is expected to be large, so it is recommended to proceed with split selling because no matter how profitable you are, if your psychological state becomes excited, you may proceed with a wrong transaction.
When an altcoin rises above BTC 32K, you should start looking for the timing of the second purchase of the altcoin you bought the first time.
If you have not made the first purchase, you need to find the time to buy the altcoin to buy in the 29K-32K section.
Since the second buying period of Altcoins is around BTC 43K, you can proceed slowly with split buying.
When BTC rises above 43K or shows support by touching the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart, we proceed to buy all the coins we have in earnest.
This full-fledged purchase refers to the purchase with the remaining funds minus the reserve surplus funds.
A reserve fund should be set aside between 10% and 20% of the total investment.
This is because the psychological pressure caused by price fluctuations after purchase can be relieved to some extent.
Coins (tokens) bought in this way can be sold when BTC rises to around 81K.
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- big picture
A full-fledged uptrend is expected to start when it rises above 29K.
81K-95K is the range we expect to touch in the next bull market.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
🔥 Stablecoins Are Predicting A Massive DumpIn this analysis I want to take a look at the stablecoin (USDT/USDC) dominance. To construct this indicator yourself, simply put "(CRYPTOCAP:USDT+CRYPTOCAP:USDC)/CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL" in the symbol search area.
As seen on the chart, the stablecoin dominance (the stablecoin value / all crypto value) has been steadily rising over the years. There can be a multitude of reasons for the rise, but more important in this analysis is the fact that the stablecoin dominance seems to follow a clear bullish channel pattern, where it bounces from both the top resistance and the bottom support.
The stablecoin dominance is currently closing in rapidly on the bottom support. The last three times that the stablecoin dominance reached this support it always pinpointed a local Bitcoin top and signaled an incoming dump.
Will this happen again in the near future? We can't say for certain, but historically we're getting very close to a moment where Bitcoin can dump. There's definitely more room to grow, but risk is on the horizon.
Best case for the bulls would be that the dominance would fall through the support and continue to go down.
Wandering Coin Market FundsHello?
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-------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
A long lower tail was created and then gapped up.
I think the fact that the formation of candlesticks like this occurs is evidence that many transactions have been conducted.
Therefore, we believe that the possibility of a change in trend has increased as we have passed this period of volatility.
If the gap falls below 82.467B-82.959B, the coin market is expected to be in a sharp decline.
The coin market is expected to remain bullish as it is currently showing a gap increase.
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(USDC chart)
The decline of USDC is interpreted as a continued outflow of funds from US investment institutions.
Therefore, the coin market is expected to show a different flow from that of the stock market.
Since there are few trading pairs that are directly traded with USDC, I think the direct influence on the coin market is weak.
However, it is necessary to be cautious in trading as it increases the possibility of limiting the rise of the coin market or showing a temporary plunge.
In contrast, USDT is a stablecoin that has a direct impact on the coin market.
Therefore, if USDT continues to gap up, the coin market is expected to maintain its uptrend.
Currently, USDT has renewed its previous high (ATH), indicating that there is a lot of money flowing into the coin market.
Therefore, when a start signal occurs, I think it is highly likely to show a sharp uptrend.
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(BTC.D chart)
The support and resistance points shown on the 1D chart and the support and resistance points shown on the 1W and 1M charts are slightly different.
The reason is that when viewed on the 1D chart, the support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W and 1D charts have been reset according to their importance.
The next period of volatility is around July 25th.
As mentioned before, BTC dominance is expected to rise to the 56.78-61.73 range.
If so, it is expected that the direction of departure from the 56.78-61.73 section will determine whether it will form a small bull market or a strange market where only BTC rises.
Accordingly, it is necessary to be cautious when trading altcoins.
If a strange market is formed where only BTC rises, it is time for the second buying of altcoins, so you should pay attention to the coins (tokens) that are expanding the coin ecosystem.
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(USDT.D chart)
Since the flow of funds in the coin market is divided into USDT, USDC, and BTC.D charts, it may be difficult to understand the overall flow.
So, to sum up,
The coin market is overflowing with funds. (Rising trend of USDT)
However, the problem is that the forces leading the upward trend by burning this overflowing funds are leaking funds from the coin market. (USDC downtrend)
Therefore, it can be seen that significant funds contained in USDT are likely to be funds from individual investors.
Funds that account for the largest portion of USDT are expected to be Chinese funds.
Since I think that the current leadership of the coin market has shifted to US funds, I think the rise of USDC will soon lead to the rise of the coin market.
The volatility of USDT dominance plays a good role in confirming changes in the coin market.
The reason is that all coins (tokens) can be directly traded using USDT.
The volatility period for USDT dominance is around July 5th-August 2nd.
So, the question is whether it can break out of the 6.21-8.25 zone during the volatility period starting around July 5th.
Among them, volatility is expected to occur based on the 6.85-7.27 interval.
USDT dominance must fall for the coin market to show an upward trend.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Decreasing USDT inflow (to see if USDT.D falls below 7.14)Hello?
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(USDT chart)
It shows an uptrend due to trading after a gap down.
An uptrend with a candlestick movement without gapping indicates that USDT is increasing due to selling.
I think the rise of the candlestick appears because the USDT that has increased in this way remains held.
As long as it does not fall below the 82.467B-82.959B range, the coin market is expected to maintain its uptrend.
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(USDC chart)
USDC is showing a gap decline.
At the same time, it is falling below the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart.
In order for USDC to turn into an uptrend, it must maintain a rise above at least the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart and the MS-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
The upward trend in the coin market due to the inflow of USDC is expected to begin only when it rises above 33.907B.
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(BTC.D chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart appeared to be created, but disappeared as the volatility period passed.
We believe that the rise in BTC dominance is a fundamental phenomenon that will eventually lead to a major uptrend in the coin market.
Therefore, it can be said that when BTC dominance continues to rise, it is a buying time.
However, you have to think about which coin (token) to buy, but if possible, it is better to buy coins (tokens) that are expanding the coin ecosystem.
The fact that the coin ecosystem is expanding is because it is a coin (token) that many people are paying attention to, so it is highly likely to continue to rise.
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(USDT chart)
We touched the important branch points 78.25 and 7.14.
So, if it falls below 6.85-7.27 and stays there, the coin market is expected to be out of sideways.
If it rises above 8.25, the coin market is expected to plummet.
It is expected that the coin market will need to fall below 6.21 to break out of the critical support and resistance zone.
This move is expected to boost the BTC price by over 35K.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Possibility of trying new challengeshello?
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(USDT chart)
After June 3rd, it is showing a decline as it creates a gap for the second time.
If this decline continues, there is a possibility that the coin market will plunge.
(USDC chart)
The reason is that USDC's continued decline is believed to limit the current uptrend of the coin market.
Therefore, if even USDT shows a downward trend by creating a gap, it is expected that the rate of outflow of funds from the coin market will accelerate and the possibility of a sharp drop will increase.
However, USDT is currently in a state where it has renewed its previous high price (ATH), so it is not at risk yet.
If USDT falls below the previous high of 82.467B, i.e., below 81.839B-82.467B, a red flag is likely to be generated, so you should think about how to respond.
It is possible that these outflows were caused by the uptrend in the stock market.
If so, this phenomenon is likely temporary.
Since a lot of money is currently flowing into the investment market, I think that if an issue is created in any investment market, great volatility can occur.
The size and flow of funds in the investment market alone cannot determine the price fluctuations of individual stocks, coins, or tokens.
However, I think it will be a great reference for creating a trading strategy that can respond according to the importance of the current point or section by chart analysis of individual stocks, coins, and tokens.
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(BTC.D chart)
No matter what anyone says, BTC dominance is expected to remain on the rise.
The uptrend is expected to continue around 56.78-61.73.
Therefore, it is expected to confirm direction again around 56.78-61.73.
I think this phenomenon confirms that the current BTC price is located at the bottom.
Therefore, it is considered that the second wave of the rising wave is in progress for the BTC wave from a long-term perspective.
(USDT.D chart)
If USDT dominance is maintained in the 7.14-8.25 section, it is expected to continue its upward trend.
When that happens, it is expected to renew the declared price (ATH).
Therefore, for the next period of volatility, the move from around July 5 is expected to be significant.
If it falls below the 6.85-7.27 range, it is expected to escape the risk of a sharp decline in the coin market to some extent.
A full-fledged uptrend in the coin market is expected to begin with a decline around 4.97-5.53, so it is important to check for a drop below 6.21.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Detect new changes in USDTHello?
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(USDT chart)
Looking at the 1D chart, the High indicator on the 1D chart was created with an increase, increasing the possibility of forming a new trend.
Accordingly, the key is whether USDT is maintained above the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
If this is not the case and falls below the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart and shows resistance, USDT is expected to fall to around 81.839B-82.467B.
(1D chart)
The Stochastic and RSI indicators, which are included in the 'Strength' sub-indicator, are showing signs of a decline (Stoch > RSI).
Therefore, it can be seen that the possibility of USDT declining is increasing.
Looking at the previous data, it can be seen that USDT recorded a sharp drop once it exited the overbought zone and fell.
-------------------------------------------------- -
(USDC chart)
(1D chart)
The section 26.129B-27.456B is an important branching section.
Therefore, the key is whether you can touch the area around this section and make an upward transition.
If not, I think there is a high possibility of giving a serious blow to the investment products in the coin market.
However, since it is believed that the funds that move the coin market are being made through USDT, the coin market is expected to defend the price if there is no outflow of funds through USDT.
Since the outflow of funds through USDC is highly likely to accelerate the decoupling of the coin market and the stock market, caution is needed when using stock market indicators.
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(BTC.D chart)
Looking at the 1M chart, a new uptrend line has been created.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether it can be maintained below the newly created uptrend line.
If not, I expect it to continue moving towards the 56.78-61.73 area.
The rise in BTC dominance will cause a phenomenon in which funds are concentrated towards BTC as BTC is leading the coin market.
As a result, BTC price fluctuations will have a great impact on the coin market.
However, if BTC dominance rises, we cannot tell if the BTC price will rise or fall.
It just tells you whether the flow of money is going towards BTC or towards altcoins.
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(USDT.D chart)
The overall trend of the coin market can be seen by the movement of USDT dominance.
When USDT dominance rises, the coin market is likely to show a downward trend.
Conversely, when USDT dominance declines, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend.
Therefore, I do not think it is correct to try to confirm the trend of the coin market, that is, BTC or other coins (tokens), with USDT dominance.
USDT dominance is also related to the flow of funds.
Therefore, it is better to recognize it as a flow of funds in the coin market.
If USDT dominance breaks out of the 6.21-8.25 zone, it is expected to break out of the sideways that BTC is currently showing.
So, if USDT rises above 8.25, there is a high chance that BTC will plunge.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether the USDT dominance can be maintained by falling to or below the 6.85-7.27 range.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Winning or losing a trade depends on your state of mind (2)Hello?
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(USDT chart)
Looking at the 1D chart, you can see that after a short but long uptrend, it recorded a pullback, creating the first gap.
In the meantime, the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart rose and was created.
Accordingly, it is necessary to ensure that funds are maintained at 81.839B or higher.
Falling while creating a gap means that funds were outflowed through USDT, so we need to check the future situation.
----------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
USDC is currently in a downtrend.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether the trend turns upside down.
If not, and if it continues to show a downward trend, the coin market will not be able to maintain its upward trend and will likely fall sharply.
Currently, it is judged that the funds that have flowed into the coin market through USDT are defending the price, but if USDT shows a decline, it is necessary to be careful because the withdrawal of funds from the coin market can occur quickly.
The first thing to check is to see if USDC holds above the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart.
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(BTC.D chart)
BTC dominance is good to look at to see if funds are concentrated towards BTC or towards altcoins.
This is because any other method of interpretation will rather complicate your thinking.
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(USDT.D chart)
An increase in USDT dominance can be interpreted as a high possibility of a downward trend in the coin market.
Therefore, it is highly likely that BTC, the number one coin market by market cap, will show a downward trend.
The reason is that when trading on coin exchanges, the USDT market is as large as the BTC market.
Because various coins (tokens) can be directly traded with USDT, changes in USDT dominance can be interpreted as reflecting the overall trend of the coin market.
Therefore, support and resistance points formed on the USDT dominance chart cannot be used to directly trade coins (tokens).
However, since you can know the flow of money in the coin market, you will eventually be able to see the chart of the coin (token) you want to trade and use it as a reference for creating a trading strategy.
This is because you can figure out whether the flow of funds is moving toward buying or selling, so you can find the timing of your trade accordingly.
--------------------------------------------------
Following the DXY chart description, the same explanation is given to the USDT Dominance chart.
If you think these two explanations are different, we recommend that you read them several times in more detail.
The fact that your psychological state is starting to fluctuate due to price fluctuations means that the flow of funds is changing.
That's why, without knowing it, your own psychology starts to fluctuate.
In order to stabilize this psychological state, it can be stabilized through appropriate transactions.
Therefore, if you hold a coin (token), you can get some psychological stability by checking the movement at the support and resistance point and confirming the profit or loss by selling a certain amount.
If you do not own any coins (tokens), you can take your own psychological stability by purchasing a certain amount.
In order to trade, you must make your psychological state stable.
If you proceed with a transaction without achieving this, there is a very high possibility that the transaction will eventually fail.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Market Cap Chart: Money MovementHello?
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(USDT chart)
(USDC chart)
Looking at the USDT chart, it can be seen that a lot of money is flowing into the coin market, rising above the previous high of 82.467B.
However, if you look at the USDC chart, you can see that there is a constant outflow of funds.
I think this movement can be interpreted as individual investors' funds are constantly flowing into the coin market, but institutional investors are leaving their funds out of the coin market.
The reason why USDT is interpreted as an individual investor is that it is used as a channel through which individual investors can easily move funds because USDT supports trading pairs on exchanges around the world.
In particular, the main power of this USDT is expected to be Chinese funds.
USDC is still a stablecoin that has limited support for trading pairs on exchanges around the world.
Therefore, I think it is highly likely that the forces that move funds through this USDC are American funds.
I think the leadership of the coin market has shifted from Chinese capital to American capital.
This move is expected to make the coin market a transparent investment market.
However, as the possibility of being affected by movements in the capital market increases, the volatility is expected to gradually decrease.
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(BTC.D chart)
Looking at the BTC dominance chart, a volume profile is formed in the 47.64-48.80 section and the 56.78-61.73 section.
So, if it rises above 48.80, I would expect it to rise around 56.78-61.73.
I think that the reason why it starts to be affected by the movements of the world economy is because, as explained in USDT and USDC, American capital is leading the coin market.
The variable for this movement is that funds from individual investors are continuously flowing into the coin market.
This influx of funds is expected to drive the upward trend of the explosive coin market at some point.
This explosive rise will drive the rise in BTC price, which is expected to increase BTC dominance.
Therefore, I think we should observe the flow under the premise that BTC dominance will rise around 56.78-61.73.
It is actually unknown whether the price of BTC will rise or fall due to the rise in BTC dominance.
This is because BTC dominance can tell whether funds are concentrated in BTC or altcoins.
This is because the concentration of funds is relative, so if a lot of funds are withdrawn from the altcoin, BTC dominance may rise.
Therefore, I do not think it is correct to interpret that BTC price will rise as BTC dominance rises.
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(USDT chart)
I think the first chart you should come across to understand the Coin Market Cap chart is the USDT chart.
This is because USDT has the highest market cap among stablecoins and has become an important stablecoin that supports trading pairs on exchanges around the world.
Therefore, I think that the change in USDT dominance can be used to understand the overall trend of the coin market.
When USDT dominance declines, the coin market is likely to show an uptrend.
Thus, USDT dominance allows you to know how to proceed with a trade depending on whether it is a rising or falling candle.
Since these movements are likely to move against the BTC price chart, they can help interpret BTC price fluctuations.
If USDT dominance rises above the 7.86-8.25 range, the coin market is likely to plunge.
This is because the current section is an important section.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
USDT vs USDC Reserve BreakdownUSDT (Tether) vs USDC (Circle) reserves☝️
USDT seems to be more diversified then USDC, as they’ve split their reserves into 7 different asset classes. Compared to USDC who are only diversified into 3.
USDT has a healthy 4% of their reserves in Gold, which is up 8% year to date SO FAR. They’re more likely to survive a liquidation process, compared to USDT when the next Crypto crash happens💥
Looking at the Market Cap chart, the coin market trendHello?
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(USDT chart)
The new high (ATH) continues to rise, creating a gap.
(USDC chart)
Contrary to USDT, USDC remains in a downtrend, still gapping.
Therefore, it is necessary to countermeasures against this as it can limit the rise of the coin market or cause a sharp decline.
The countermeasure against this trend is not to find a time to split and sell, but to find a time to buy and sell.
Misunderstanding this and proceeding with split selling or selling 100% and then buying when it fell will increase your psychological anxiety, and you should be careful as you may proceed with a wrong transaction and continue to regret it in the future.
BTC 29K or less is a buy zone from a mid- to long-term perspective.
However, since BTC rose above 29K and then fell below 29K, it is recommended to confirm the trend reversal before proceeding with the purchase.
Otherwise, if you proceed to buy when it is down, this will also increase your psychological anxiety.
In the process of trading, if you focus only on profits without considering your own psychological changes, you will eventually increase the possibility of trading in an erroneous way due to psychological factors.
Therefore, trading to obtain more profits is important, but more importantly, it is important to establish a trading strategy that can minimize the psychological anxiety and burden caused by trading.
(BTC.D chart)
We should think with a focus on the fact that BTC dominance will maintain its upward trend.
The reason is that there is a BTC halving next year.
Therefore, as more people want to trade BTC, it is expected that BTC dominance will rise regardless of BTC price fluctuations.
This uptrend is expected to meet volatility as it rises around 56.78-61.73.
If this volatility turns BTC dominance into a downward trend, it is expected that the coin market will face a period of altcoin pumping cycle.
If that is not the case, and continues to rise, I expect to see volatility again around 70.03.
(USDT.D chart)
It sits near 7.52 as it moves through the May 15-17 volatility period.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether there is a movement out of the 7.27-7.86 section.
Since the USDT dominus once rose in the 6.85-7.27 zone, the key is whether it can be resisted around 7.86-5.25.
If it does not and rises, it is expected to renew the new high (ATH).
A rise in USDT dominance means a fall in the coin market.
At this time, the important thing is to be careful when trading altcoins as the price destruction of altcoins can be serious according to changes in the BTC price.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
The meaning of the sequence is...Hello?
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** Analysis of the BTC chart publishes new ideas once a week.
** However, we publish new ideas when volatility occurs or when we show signs of diverging from our expectations.
** Excluding the above situation, BTC analysis is listed as a daily update.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT.P chart)
(1D chart)
In order for the head and shoulders pattern drawn on the chart to be completed, resistance must be found below 26907.0-27486.4.
If not, it's just an incomplete pattern.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether it rises along the uptrend line around May 10 (May 9-11) and finds support around 27486.4-27976.1.
It is necessary to check whether the M-Signal of the 1W chart and the M-Signal of the 1W chart can be crossed to make a regular arrangement.
This is because the regular alignment signals of these medium- and long-term indicators present important inflection points where new trends can be formed.
Therefore, if it falls below 26907.0 and completes the head and shoulders pattern, there is a possibility of a sharp drop, but from a mid- to long-term perspective, it is expected that the possibility will increase due to the large buying force.
Therefore, the mid- to long-term transition point is
1st: 24294.1-25882.9
2nd: 20853.8-23129.6
It is expected that a direction change will be made by touching the 1st and 2nd vicinity above.
When such a change in direction takes place, it is expected that the 3rd wave of the Elliott wave will proceed.
This move is expected to provide one last good buy point for the medium and long term.
I kept saying that altcoins are not the time to trade now.
In order to invest in altcoins from a mid- to long-term perspective, you should proceed with the first purchase and wait when the value is less than 29K.
Then, when the BTC price soars and rises to around 43K, the altcoins will show a cyclical upward trend, and the second purchase must be made according to the cyclical upward trend.
If not, investing in altcoins will be applied as an insecure factor that amplifies one's own psychological insecurities.
Then, the full-fledged buying period for altcoins is when they show support around 43K.
When the BTC price rises above 43K, the reason why you should proceed with buying altcoins in earnest is because now is the time to intensively buy BTC or ETH.
------------------------------------------
(BTCKRW chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is about to be created at the 37821000 point.
Therefore, it is necessary to make sure that it can rise with support around 37821000.
If it falls below 37243000 and finds resistance, you should check for support around 35539000.
It is important whether the M-Signal of the 1W chart and the M-Signal of the 1M chart can create an orderly arrangement as they intersect, and whether the price can be maintained beyond the range created by the regular arrangement.
This is because these moves come at a critical time for medium and long-term trend reversal.
The next volatility period is around May 15th.
------------------------------
- big picture
A full-fledged uptrend is expected to start when it rises above 29K.
81K-95K is the range we expect to touch in the next bull market.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Money flooding the market, but...Hello?
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(USDT chart)
The declared price (ATH) has been updated.
Therefore, more funds are being concentrated in the coin market.
This concentration of funds will eventually increase the coin market.
---------------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
However, the problem is that USDC has no power to start an uptrend due to the outflow of funds.
USDT believes that individual investors' funds and Chinese funds account for a large proportion.
I think USDC is likely to be funds from American institutional investors.
Therefore, I think that the current coin market is being influenced by American capital.
Therefore, it is expected that the coin market will start to rise only when USDC turns upward.
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(BTC.D chart)
BTC dominance remains bullish.
This decline is starting to show that the Bollinger bands on the 1D chart are contracting.
Therefore, the trend is expected to be determined by whether it finds support or resistance around 47.64.
Since a lot of money is flowing into the coin market through USDT, the coin market is expected to rise.
That uptrend is expected to lead to an uptrend in BTC going forward.
Therefore, BTC dominance is expected to remain bullish.
Rising BTC dominance means funds are concentrated towards BTC, making altcoins more likely to move sideways or trend down.
Therefore, if you currently place a lot of weight on altcoins, you should think about countermeasures.
This phenomenon is expected to continue until BTC nears 43K.
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(USDT.D chart)
Whether funds flow in or out of the coin market, whether the inflow is concentrated towards BTC or altcoins, what matters now is whether USDT dominance is rising or falling.
USDT is supported by all exchanges in the world and is a stablecoin.
Therefore, USDT trading pairs have a great influence because most coins (tokens) are traded in the market.
In this sense, we believe that the rise and fall of USDT dominance reflects the influence of the overall flow of the coin market.
An increase in USDT dominance means that it is likely to proceed with a decline in the coin market.
Conversely, a drop in USDT dominance means that it is likely to lead to an uptrend in the coin market.
This movement can be useful when trading in the coin market.
The question is whether the volatility between May 15th and 17th can lead to a move out of the 7.27-7.86 zone.
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Summarizing the above,
The coin market appears to be on an uptrend.
However, you are not waiting for the starting signal at the starting line.
Therefore, you need to warm up well so that you can make a proper start when you are waiting for the starting signal at the starting line.
A bullish start is the rise of BTC, which will lead the coin market to an uptrend, which will cause most altcoins to move sideways or downtrend.
However, when BTC rises and moves sideways, it is expected that there will be an increase in altcoins, but be careful when trading altcoins because this upward trend is to buy more BTC.
If BTC continues its uptrend, you will naturally look towards altcoins because you think the BTC price is too high.
This mentality leads to buying altcoins, which is likely to result in losses.
This is because it is thought that only the altcoin I bought will not rise.
Therefore, in order to proceed with buying altcoins, you must be able to continue buying over a long period of time.
If not, buying an altcoin now means incurring a potential loss.
Well, if you can buy it and hold it until next year, it will be different.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
Everything is going sidewaysHello?
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(BTCUSDT chart)
(1M chart)
It is necessary to check whether it will be supported in the vicinity of the volume profile section 28465.36-28923.63.
Also, you need to hold the price above the MS-Signal indicator to see if the MS-Signal indicator turns into an uptrend sign, because if these conditions are met, an uptrend is expected.
With such an uptrend, we expect the Stoch indicator to be out of the oversold zone.
Since the StochRSI indicator is located in the overbought zone, we can see that the upside is high.
Therefore, we expect the StochRSI indicator to maintain its uptrend until it breaks out of the overbought zone.
-------------------------------------------------- ---
(1W chart)
The question is whether it can rise above the 1st uptrend channel and maintain its uptrend along the 2nd uptrend channel.
So, if the price holds above 26574.53-27590.60, we expect it to rise above 32259.90.
Since the HA-High indicator formed around 27590.60, finding support around 26574.53-27590.60 is significant.
This important implication is that the possibility of breaking the recent high is increasing.
The StochRSI indicator always makes waves.
It is not easy to predict the direction as the current StochRSI indicator has entered the 30-70 section, that is, the sideways section.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is showing a downtrend, we know that the downtrend is likely to continue.
Therefore, if it shows support around 26574.53-27590.60 mentioned above, it is expected that the direction of the StochRSI indicator will change.
Interpretation of the indicator can be useful when checking whether it is supported or resisted at an important point or section on the price chart.
Therefore, as in the interpretation of the StochRSI indicator, it was expected to lead to a large decline as it moved out of the overbought zone, but as it touches around 26574.53-27590.60 and shows an upward trend, it can be seen that the downtrend is weakening.
Therefore, rather than interpreting the indicators mainly, important support and resistance points on the price chart should be used to confirm movement in the interval.
--------------------------------------------------
(1D chart)
The key is whether you can climb with support in the 28465.36-28923.63 section.
This is because it is important that the 28465.36-28923.63 section is supported as a volume profile section.
if it goes down,
1st: 27496.02-27985.15
2nd: 26574.53
You need to make sure that it is supported in the vicinity of the 1st and 2nd order.
The reason is because it is an important support and resistance section in the mid- to long-term.
If supported in this section, there is a possibility that buying will increase as buying is possible in the mid- to long-term.
All indicators (StochRSI, Stoch, RSI, CCI) are positioned in the sideways section.
Therefore, rather than buying in the current range, it is better to wait for a decline around 27496.02-27985.15 or 26574.53 or for a rise above 30184.24 to show support.
This is because there is no need to worry about buying in advance.
Buying in advance because of the price that is not much different and continuing trading while feeling psychological anxiety should be oriented because it can make you unable to hold on when a big movement comes out.
------------------------------
- big picture
A full-fledged uptrend is expected to start when it rises above 29K.
81K-95K is the range we expect to touch in the next bull market.
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
---------------------------------
USDT: Funds focused on individuals (groups), USDC: Funds focusedhello?
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(USDT chart)
(USDC chart)
I think that USDT and USDC are used as a channel for the inflow and outflow of funds into the coin market.
Among them, USDT has a high market cap, so I think it has as much influence on the coin market.
Looking at the USDT chart, we can see that it has risen to near the previous high.
Therefore, it can be seen that the coin market is overflowing with funds.
However, if you look at the USDC chart, it has fallen a lot, making it look like the funds flowing into USDT are stagnant.
In other words, it can be interpreted that the money inflow through USDT is trying to lead the coin market to rise, but the outflow of money through USDC limits the rise or makes it fall.
Therefore, I think it is better to buy coins (tokens) that you intend to continue investing in until the BTC halving next year.
Otherwise, if you are going to trade in terms of day trading or short-term trading, I think you need to be very careful.
The inflow of new money is expressed as an increase creating a gap.
Therefore, the size of the candle does not matter.
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(BTC.D chart)
Looking at the BTC dominance chart, it is forming a rising channel.
However, the 1M chart has not yet created an upward channel and is showing an expansion.
Therefore, the possibility of a downtrend at any time still exists.
However, if it does not fall below 46.76-46.84, it is expected that it will lead to a move above 50.49 in the near future.
We believe this move is due to the BTC halving next year.
This is because the possibility that funds that are unable to find a place to go in the coin market will be concentrated toward BTC due to an event called BTC Halving next year is increasing.
However, what BTC dominance tells us is whether funds are concentrated in BTC or altcoins.
Any other interpretation can lead to confusion, so it's best not to think about it.
Concentration of funds towards BTC means that BTC is leading the coin market.
Since there is no guarantee that this lead will necessarily lead to a rise in the coin market, you should check the USDT.D chart to see if the coin market is rising.
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(USDT.D chart)
The USDT Dominance Chart is a chart that allows you to see the flow of funds flowing into USDT.
Therefore, when USDT dominance declines, the coin market is likely to show an uptrend.
If USDT dominance is trending down and coins (tokens) with large market caps, such as BTC or ETH, show sideways movements, it is likely that coins (tokens) with lower market caps will pump in the short term. .
If you are not comfortable with day trading or short trading in these markets, we recommend that you do not trade.
Because you may miss a better buying opportunity than this.
USDT dominance is moving sideways in the 6.85-7.27 range.
This means that the direction has not yet been determined.
If you look at the 1M chart, it is in a state where a proper trend line or channel has not been formed.
Looking at the 1W chart, it shows a breakout from the downtrend line, downtrend channel.
Therefore, it can be seen that we have not yet found a direction in the mid- to long-term perspective.
When you can't find a direction like this, I think it's better not to trade or to proceed with a split purchase according to a trading strategy for coins (tokens) that will continue to invest in the mid- to long-term.
The basis for proceeding with the purchase is the movement of the USDT chart mentioned above.
In other words, since a lot of money is flowing into the coin market, it is not strange to see an upward trend at any time.
If you do not take any action when the unit price has risen by 30% or more from the unit price you purchased for mid- to long-term trading, you may end up selling at a lower price level because you keep feeling regretful when the stock fluctuates up and down.
Therefore, you need a strategy to sell a certain portion according to the rate of return or some standard according to your investment style.
This selling strategy is an important strategy because it can lead to a better buying strategy.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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