Get started

Volatility

$avax - Bullish pennant & accumulation under Monthly resistanceCRYPTOCAP:AVAX - Bullish pennant & accumulation under 215 days range zone resistance! 📈 Once it will flip & consolidate above the 26.50$ level, I expect to see a 20%+ move upward! 🚀 🎯27.30 🎯28.25 🎯31.10 🎯33.00 🎯35.00 Remember my view, I again called for few green days, even weeks on #alts because stabilize above 110k! Key support to be maintained: 22.0 & 21.00$. Bulls are in full control above. #AVAX #trading
Long
by Cryptojobs
1
Its Non-Farm: How much will ES Move?Hi all - Happy Non-Farm Friday! I haven't done this in a while and thought it might be helpful to share my process for estimating the size of the move that we may get on ES after the Non-Farm Payrolls data is released. I'm not trying to make a prediction on direction here - but more understand where the boundaries could be so I can determine how to trade this (what trading tool I can pull out of my box) once the announcement comes out. Hope it helps and please let me know if you find it useful and I'll create more posts . Cheers, Jeff
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by JeffBoccaccio
2
The Reversal Overture: " Bitcoin's Ascent from the Depths"In the quiet hum of the market's pulse, a story begins to unfold on the 4-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD). Like a phoenix rising from the ashes, the price stirs from the depths of recent lows, hinting at a shift — a new bullish tale whispered through candlelight. The Setup This chart paints a scene of recovery and hope. A descending trendline, once a symbol of persistent decline, has been decisively broken. The price now emerges above it — a clear sign of strength. From the valley of support around $107,270 and a wick low near $105,692, Bitcoin claws its way upward, challenging resistance with fresh momentum. Marked clearly are two destinations: Destination 1: $117,218 — a waypoint on this journey, where price may briefly rest. Destination 2: $123,125 — a higher peak, nestled beneath the looming **Major Resistance** zone that stretches toward $124,517. The trend is now bullish, supported by a clean breakout and the formation of higher lows — the market's silent nod of approval. The Bullish Causes are : 1. Break of the Descending Trendline Like the first light after a storm, this break signals a potential change in character — from fear to optimism. 2. Strong Support Reaction Price bounced with conviction from the $107K–$105K support zone. Buyers stepped in with purpose, defending a key level. 3. Higher Highs & Higher Lows in Formation The rhythm of the market now beats in a bullish cadence — stair-stepping upward, each level stronger than the last. 4. Momentum Builds into Resistance As the chart eyes the major resistance zone, it does so not with hesitation, but with increasing volume and energy — the lifeblood of bullish continuation. Timeless truth: "If there is no managed risk, one cannot take profit." This is no flash-in-the-pan rally. It is a setup for the long run, crafted with patience and vision. The path may be winding, but the direction is clear — Bitcoin is trending, and the bulls are once again writing their chapter in this ever-evolving market tale.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SmartEdgeTrading
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/5/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23713.75 - PR Low: 23691.75 - NZ Spread: 49.0 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings - Nonfarm Payrolls - Unemployment Rate AMP temp margins increase for pre-RTH jobs reports Session Open Stats (As of 1:25 AM 9/5) - Session Open ATR: 296.83 - Volume: 20K - Open Int: 283K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -1.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 24382 - Mid: 23239 - Short: 22096 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
Bitcoin to $500K by 2028–2030Institutional Adoption, Scarcity, and the Devaluation of the Dollar The question of whether Bitcoin could reach the half‑million mark within the next five to seven years is increasingly debated among investors, economists, and institutions alike. While such projections still carry uncertainty, several converging trends suggest that a $500,000 valuation for Bitcoin by 2028–2030 is within the realm of possibility. These drivers include the rapid pace of institutional adoption, Bitcoin’s fixed supply, its growing narrative as a store of value, the potential role of national reserves, and a macroeconomic backdrop defined by inflation and dollar devaluation. Additionally, the long‑term holding behavior of Bitcoin investors has reduced circulating supply, further amplifying the scarcity effect. 1. Institutional Adoption via ETFs and Beyond The approval and growth of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in major financial markets mark a watershed moment in the asset’s mainstream acceptance. These vehicles simplify access for institutional investors that were previously constrained by custody and regulatory hurdles. Pension funds, endowments, and sovereign wealth funds are now able to allocate to Bitcoin through regulated channels. As demand from professional investors grows, the inflows through ETFs act as a continual buy‑side force. Unlike speculative retail buying sprees of previous cycles, institutional allocations are more structured and long‑term oriented, potentially anchoring a more stable demand floor. This steady absorption of supply is expected to become one of the strongest catalysts for Bitcoin price growth this decade. 2. Fixed Supply: The Scarcity Engine Bitcoin’s most unique feature is its hard‑coded supply cap: only 21 million coins will ever exist . This mathematical certainty contrasts starkly with fiat currencies, where central banks can expand money supply indefinitely. Halving events, which reduce the block rewards of mining BTC roughly every four years, further accelerate scarcity. By 2030 , the annual mining of Bitcoin will be minuscule compared to today, limiting fresh supply even as institutional demand scales up. In classical economic terms, a growing demand against a fixed or declining supply can only result in upward price pressure. 3. Store of Value in an Inflationary World The past decade has demonstrated how inflation and monetary expansion distort asset markets. As governments print more money to finance debt and expenditures, investors increasingly seek hedges against the erosion of purchasing power. Historically, gold has played this role. Bitcoin, with its transportability, divisibility, verifiability, and digital-native characteristics, is now increasingly seen as a modern alternative or complement to gold. If Bitcoin even partially captures the $13+ trillion gold market as a store of value, valuations well above $500,000 per coin become mathematically plausible. 4. Bitcoin as a Component of National Reserves While still early, several nations are exploring or experimenting with holding Bitcoin in their reserves. For countries facing dollar dependency or geopolitical pressures, Bitcoin provides a neutral, censorship‑resistant reserve asset that reduces reliance on the U.S. financial system. Should more governments follow El Salvador’s lead or allocate even a small percentage of their foreign reserves to Bitcoin, global reserve demand could represent a massive new buyer base. Even marginal allocations at a sovereign level would create outsized effects due to Bitcoin’s relatively small market capitalization compared to global reserves. 5. The Dollar, Inflation, and Asset Price Revaluation The U.S. dollar, while still dominant, faces structural challenges: ballooning government debt, persistent fiscal deficits, and the need for monetary expansion to sustain growth. Increased money supply historically leads to currency debasement. As purchasing power erodes, asset prices, from equities to real estate to scarce stores of value like Bitcoin, tend to reprice higher in nominal dollar terms. Thus, Bitcoin’s potential ascent to $500,000 is not solely about Bitcoin “going up,” but also about the dollar “going down.” In this sense, the milestone is as much a reflection of fiat devaluation as it is of Bitcoin adoption. 6. The Supply Dynamics: 80% Already Parked On‑chain analytics highlight another critical factor: roughly 80% of Bitcoin supply is currently held by long‑term investors in “dormant” wallets, seldom moved or sold. This indicates that a large portion of the supply is illiquid, effectively taken off the market. When institutions, retail newcomers, or governments try to acquire Bitcoin in size, they will be competing over the thin slice of supply available for trade. This dynamic creates a potential supply squeeze, which historically has been one of the key drivers of Bitcoin’s parabolic price advances. Conclusion: A Plausible Milestone, But With Volatility Along the Way Projecting Bitcoin to $500,000 by 2028–2030 is not simply speculation, it is a thesis grounded in identifiable trends: institutional adoption through ETFs, a mathematically capped supply, Bitcoin’s emerging status as digital gold, the potential for sovereign reserve adoption, and macroeconomic tailwinds fueled by dollar debasement. However, it is important to note that Bitcoin’s journey will not be linear. Volatility, regulatory battles, and shifts in global macro conditions will shape the trajectory. Yet, the combination of structural scarcity and rising global demand makes the possibility of half‑a‑million per coin a credible long‑term scenario. #crypto #bitcoin #finance #defi #economy #portfolio #digital #blockchain #trading #asset
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by signalgo
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/4/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23458.25 - PR Low: 23434.25 - NZ Spread: 53.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims 09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 12:00 | Crude Oil Inventories Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 9/4) - Session Open ATR: 299.73 - Volume: 26K - Open Int: 277K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -2.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 24382 - Mid: 23239 - Short: 22096 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
BTC - WEEKLY PRICE UPDATE🟩 #BITCOIN - Weekly Price Update 🔸 Monthly: Bullish, macro uptrend is intact! 📈 🔸 Weekly: Neutral zone between $116,000 - $110,700 Following my previous outlook and livestream, price tapped the $107,000 area as expected. ✅ Here’s what I’m watching: If CRYPTOCAP:BTC pushes and holds above $110,000 daily, we could see another wave up and potentially new ATHs, trend would stay strong! Currently, the technical setup is bullish📈 →Daily lagging span still above the cloud and SSB →D1 candle just closed inside the KUMO = classic bullish continuation signal! 💡 My expectations: Short-term: →If bulls defend $110,000+ = bullish zone, see a leg to $115,600 - $116,000 next! →If we get a D1 close & breakout above $116,000, expect further upside toward $120K+ 🚀 →Breakdown under $107,000 = negative, could trigger deeper selloff. 📊Big picture: Momentum remains solid above $100,000 and especially $94,000 support. Expect some green days for #alts if we hold above level mentionned as well in the coming sessions!
Long
by Cryptojobs
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/3/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23387.75 - PR Low: 23335.25 - NZ Spread: 117.5 Key scheduled economic events: 10:00 | JOLTS Job Openings Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 9/3) - Session Open ATR: 305.21 - Volume: 29K - Open Int: 276K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 24382 - Mid: 23239 - Short: 22096 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5
XAUUSD (12H) – Bulls Driving Momentum, Testing Supply |ATHFOREXCOM:XAUUSD Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones Gold has completed multiple liquidity sweeps, defended key demand zones, and now surged into 3,531 supply resistance. Bulls are in control, but the next move depends on rejection or breakout confirmation. Market Overview After weeks of sideways trading and repeated liquidity grabs, XAUUSD has shown strong buyer dominance with demand zones around 3,314 – 3,393 holding firm. Current bullish impulse is testing overhead supply at 3,531. This zone will decide if momentum continues or if a pullback occurs. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1: 3,580 🎯 Target 2: 3,620 🎯 Extended: 3,700+ ❌ Bearish Case 📉 → 🎯 Downside Target 1: 3,437 🎯 Downside Target 2: 3,393 🎯 Extended: 3,314 – 3,126 Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 3,531 – 3,580 Support 🟢: 3,437 – 3,393 – 3,314 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by PEAKALPHAFXMARKETS
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/2/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23509.50 - PR Low: 23461.00 - NZ Spread: 108.5 Key scheduled economic events: 09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI - ISM Manufacturing Prices Typical strong volume following long holiday weekend - Contract expiration month Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 9/2) - Session Open ATR: 297.15 - Volume: 114K - Open Int: 279K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 24382 - Mid: 23239 - Short: 22096 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Short
by mv3trader5
Candle Metrics: BSP Guide🏛️ RESEARCH NOTES Buying & Selling Pressure measures the internal dynamics within a candlestick that shapes the trends. It dissects each OHLC range into distinct components made of Body Range, Higher & Lower Wicks, making it possible to quantify bullish & bearish parts of bar range. BSP doesn’t just point direction, it reveals magnitude - how much buyers or sellers injected into the move, and whether that push is accelerating or running out of steam. Unlike Average %Δ , which uses separate conditional averaging by "count", BSP processes candles through periodic averaging that makes it more responsive for important transitions like: divergence from volatility benchmarks. incentive change (spotting early reversals after impulsive move), filtering false breakouts, confirming trend strength, etc. ⚖️ Candle Metrics Buying Pressure (BP) Represents the degree of upward displacement relative to prior reference points. 🟢 Rising BP: Signals growing demand absorption and accumulation, often preceding sustained advances. 🟣 Falling BP: Indicates waning participation from buyers; persistent declines while price rises suggest trend fatigue and elevated risk of retracement. Selling Pressure (SP) Captures downward displacement relative to highs and prior closes. 🔴 Rising SP: Reflects heightened distribution activity, consistent with institutional supply or hedging flows. 🟡 Falling SP: Suggests sellers are withdrawing liquidity; commonly observed near troughs as downside momentum exhausts. Average True Range (ATR) Rising ATR = higher volatility, falling ATR = calm markets. High BP in low ATR = stealth accumulation. Body Range (BR) Large bodies show conviction, small bodies = indecision. Strong BR + rising BP = solid bullish trend. Higher Wick (HW) Long HW means rejection at highs (supply). Falling HW means buyers are holding gains. Lower Wick (LW) Long LW means rejection at lows (demand). Falling LW signals less defense from buyers. Total Wicks (TW) More wick length = intrabar battles. Expansion of TW with small bodies often precedes reversals. Average Wick (AW) Rising AW = more volatility both ways. Falling AW = cleaner, directional trend. Darkened Tops Tracks the strongest side (BP or SP) over the lookback period. Its primary function is to dynamically highlight moments of extreme pressure. When either the Buying or Selling Pressure value reaches the level, the tops would . This provides an immediate visual cue for: Black Colored Plot: A signal that the current buying or selling pressure has hit a significant level relative to recent history, often pointing to climactic activity or a potential exhaustion point. ◇ Practical Interpretation Trend Confirmation BP ↑, SP ↓, BR ↑, ATR steady → sustainable directional advance. Exhaustion BP ↓, SP steady or rising, HW ↑ = buyers tiring at resistance, overextended into supply. Accumulation BP ↑, LW ↑, TW ↑ but ATR low = stealth buying before breakout. Distribution SP ↑, HW ↑, TW ↑ = sellers unloading into strength. supply emerging into strength, caution warranted.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by fract
4
Anticyclical VIX Futures Trade – Calendar SpreadVIX has drifted into complacency territory with stretched short positioning, steep front-end contango, and seasonal factors lining up. Instead of outright longs, a VX1–VX2 Calendar Spread offers cleaner exposure to rising volatility and curve normalization. Setup • VIX near equilibrium range (12–15%), entering complacency. • Futures curve in steep contango → negative carry on outright longs. • Short positioning at multi-year highs, vulnerable to squeeze. • Seasonality favors higher VIX. • Index volatility suppressed, single stocks trading erratically. Trade Idea • Long VX1 / Short VX2 (multiplier = 100). • Benefits from both rising volatility and front-end curve flattening. • VX1 outperforms VX2 in a spike; VX2 cushions VX1 in grind-lower scenarios. Entry Triggers • VIX9D > VIX. • VIX crossing EMA20/EMA50. • RSI(14) on VIX > 50. • SPX daily short setup. Target • Target zone to be reached before VX1 expiration. • Target zone 1: VIX in range 20 - 22, target zone 2: VIX in range 28 – 30 Exit • On VX1 expiry: VX1 converges to the VIX. VX2 becomes front month. If the position is left open, it effectively becomes a short front-month future and must be re-evaluated. • Alternatively, close at VIX Index in specified target zone or discretionary, depending on SPX price action (i.e. SPX bouncing back after a dip). Risk • Do not over-leverage.
CBOE:VIX
by parsifaltrading
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/29/2025 Session (Correct)CME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23762.00 - PR Low: 23735.00 - NZ Spread: 60.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (YoY|MoM) 09:45 | Chicago PMI Month end ahead of early close Monday Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 8/29) - Session Open ATR: 283.13 - Volume: 16K - Open Int: 286K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -1.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 24382 - Mid: 23239 - Short: 22096 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5
1
Asymmetric Conditional Averaging⚖️ Research Notes Documenting other features of "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change" indicator where Bar Metrics is set to Full Capacity. Asymmetric Conditional Averaging For a quick example, I'll leave bulls at default 10 and change number of past bearish candles to 100. Since the indicator targets candles by classification which is divided by the previous price (to work out the change) before averaging, that makes the data scalable. (So no matter how high we increase the averaging number, it still will preserve the scaling laws of that historic range that comes with output) When opposite market force is averaged at higher number of past candles, it becomes a threshold, giving a unique perspective when comparing phases of uptrend at bigger scales.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by fract
Crypto Investing in 2025: Advanzia Group’s Safe Profit TacticsThe cryptocurrency market in 2025 continues to impress with its momentum, innovation, and—most importantly—its earning potential. Despite high volatility, crypto remains one of the most profitable investment instruments. However, more and more investors are seeking balanced strategies that allow them to earn with minimal risk. In this article, Advanzia Group experts share practical strategies that have proven effective throughout 2025. Why Is Crypto Still Attractive? In 2025, the total crypto market capitalization surpassed $4 trillion, and the number of active users reached 500 million. This is no longer a niche market—it's a full-fledged financial sector with massive potential. Key growth drivers: A successful Bitcoin halving in 2024 triggered a new bull cycle Mass adoption of blockchain in traditional finance Expansion of decentralized platforms (DeFi), stablecoins, and Web3 infrastructure Entry of institutional investors deploying billions Bottom line: the crypto market is maturing, but still offers high returns when paired with smart risk-management strategies. Strategy #1: Staking — Passive Income Without Trading What it is: Locking up crypto on a Proof-of-Stake blockchain to support the network and earn rewards. Example coins: Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), Polkadot (DOT), Cardano (ADA) Average returns in 2025: Ethereum — ~4.5% APY Solana — ~7% DOT & ADA — up to 10% Why it’s low-risk: You’re not selling your asset or trading based on market fluctuations — your crypto works for you. Tip from Advanzia Group: Use reputable platforms and diversify across several assets. Strategy #2: Long-Term Holding (HODL) What it is: Buying promising cryptocurrencies and holding them for 1–3 years. Top assets to consider in 2025: Bitcoin (BTC) — the institutional-grade foundation asset Ethereum (ETH) — core of the DeFi and NFT ecosystems Avalanche (AVAX), Arbitrum (ARB), Chainlink (LINK) — strong tech-driven projects Performance example: An Advanzia Group investor who bought Ethereum at $1,600 in January 2025 saw a 120% return by August—without making a single trade. Strategy #3: Smart Asset Allocation How it works: 60% — large-cap coins (BTC, ETH, SOL) 20% — high-potential altcoins 20% — stablecoins (USDT, USDC) for liquidity and downside protection This type of portfolio reduces drawdown risk while capturing market upside. Tip: Rebalance your portfolio monthly. In 2025, market leaders can lose 50% in weeks—constant adjustment is key. Strategy #4: Investing in DeFi Platforms How DeFi earns you money: Liquidity farming Lending protocols Algorithmic asset strategies Example: Platforms like Aave, Compound, Lido, and GMX offer 8–15% APY in stablecoins with relatively low volatility. Important: Always review smart contract security. Advanzia Group monitors DeFi projects to select only trusted protocols. What Should Beginners Avoid? Going all-in on a single coin — even the most promising asset carries risk Margin trading & futures — high reward comes with high risk Unverified tokens & pump schemes — hype can lead to major losses Lack of strategy — investing is not gambling; it requires planning and analysis How Investors Are Really Making Money in 2025 On the Advanzia Group platform in the first 8 months of 2025: 74% of clients achieved positive returns 38% grew their capital by over 60% The most successful approach: a combination of HODL + Staking + DeFi, with regular rebalancing Case example: An investor allocated $10,000 in January using Advanzia’s recommended strategy. By August, the portfolio reached $21,800—a +118% return with low risk and no active trading. Why Investing with Advanzia Group Is a Smart Choice Personalized investment plans based on market analytics Support in selecting secure DeFi protocols Reliable analytics and full transparency Automation tools (stop-losses, alerts, portfolio rebalancing) Conclusion In 2025, crypto investing is no longer just for speculators. With the right technology and strategies—available through Advanzia Group—earning in the crypto market is possible even with minimal risk. Investors succeed when they think strategically, apply balanced approaches, and partner with professionals
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by CryptoLifeone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/29/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23550.25 - PR Low: 23498.00 - NZ Spread: 116.75 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - GDP Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 8/29) - Session Open ATR: 285.83 - Volume: 26K - Open Int: 278K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -2.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 24382 - Mid: 23239 - Short: 22096 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5
US 100 – All Eyes on the NVIDIA Earnings UpdateLast week was a challenging one for US 100 traders who had to negotiate a period of increased volatility caused by concerns of the development of an AI bubble leading to over extended valuations for key technology companies, and then a headline speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium where he hinted at the potential for rate cuts later in the year. This saw prices drop 3% from opening levels at 23745 on Monday August 18th down to lows of 22970 on August 20th, before rebounding strongly on Friday, back up to current levels around 23545 (0730 BST). While the potential for Fed rate cuts may still be an important driver for the US 100 index, traders are waiting for key future economic data updates to provide more clarity on whether a 25bps (0.25%) cut is possible when the Fed meet next on September 17th. Before then traders will be waiting on the Friday August 29th PCE Index release, (Fed’s preferred inflation gauge), Friday September 5th Non-farm Payrolls release, especially given how Chairman Powell indicated a link between the health of the US labour market and potential rate cuts, and then the next US CPI update on Thursday September 11th. This data waiting game means volatility for the US 100 index could be determined this week by details provided by NVIDIA in their Q2 earnings update which is due after the market close later today. NVIDIA is the world’s biggest company by market capitalisation (circa $4.4 trillion) and is considered the bellwether for AI demand and revenue performance. While traders may be focused on judging actual earnings performance against expectations, they could also be looking for reassurance regarding the strength of AI spending, as a more cautious outlook for future earnings could bring a negative reaction to AI stocks in the US 100. Being prepared for an extended period of volatility in the US 100 index may be a wise move. Technical Update: Still Positive Sentiment into NVIDIA Earnings? Although the US 100 index entered a correction phase from the August 13th high of 23986 to the August 20th low of 22970, the overall positive trend that began at the April 7th low of 16290, appears to remain intact. As the chart above shows, since the April 7th low, the US 100 index has traced out a pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price. This suggests positive sentiment, with buyers appearing at higher levels after each pullback. As long as this pattern of rising lows continues, the outlook could be viewed as skewing risks toward further attempts at upward movement in price. While positive sentiment does currently appear to remain in place, NVIDIA’s upcoming earnings report has the potential to shift market sentiment. Therefore, it’s important to identify and monitor the next key support and resistance levels to be prepared in case an increase in volatility develops. Potential Support Levels: After finding support at 22970 on August 20th, traders are likely still watching this level. As long as prices continue to close above 22970, a more positive outlook could still be viewed as valid. However, a negative reaction to NVIDIA earnings if seen, may result in closes below this support level, even signal a sentiment shift toward the possibility of further price declines. While a break below 22970 doesn’t guarantee further price weakness, it could open the door toward a test of 22678, the August 1st low, and potentially even 21375, which marks the June 23rd downside extreme. Potential Resistance Levels: Following the recent rebound from the August 20th low of 22970, the first key resistance is likely to be the all-time high of 23986 set on August 13th. A close above this resistance level at 23986 could signal improving momentum and the potential for further attempts at price strength. If this break is sustained, traders may start to focus on levels at 24,421 and 24,665, corresponding to the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci extension levels, respectively. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/28/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23622.75 - PR Low: 23601.25 - NZ Spread: 48.0 No key scheduled economic events Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 8/28) - Session Open ATR: 284.71 - Volume: 15K - Open Int: 280K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -1.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 24382 - Mid: 23239 - Short: 22096 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5