FTSE This chart shows a clear change.
The upside swing has lost the 90 degree angle.
The bearish swing was volatile.
The bullish swing was, until it wasnt.
Clear 4hr change in delivery.
Momentum lost .
Volatility
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/5/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25648.75
- PR Low: 25608.50
- NZ Spread: 90.0
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | Core PCE Price Index (MoM|YoY)
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 438.85
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 306K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26636
- Mid: 25410
- Short: 23426
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/4/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25658.75
- PR Low: 25633.75
- NZ Spread: 56.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 450.27
- Volume: 19K
- Open Int: 304K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26636
- Mid: 25410
- Short: 23426
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
How to Identify Liquidity in Chart with VOLUME Indicator
Smart Money Concept is all about finding the liquidity .
Liquidity analysis is the essential element of profitable trading SMC.
In this article, I will teach you how to use volume indicator to identify liquidity - supply/demand clusters and hidden zones that move the market.
First, let's discuss what exactly we mean by liquidity.
Analysing any forex pair, you should know that orders of the market participants are not equally distributed among all the price levels.
While some levels and the zones will lack the interest of the market players, some will attract huge trading volumes.
We will call such zones - liquidity zones.
To find these zones, you can execute volume analysis.
By using volume indicator, we will look for volume spikes - it will indicate strong buying and selling activity.
Examine NZDUSD chart on a daily time frame with default volume indicator being added.
I highlighted a recent volume spike.
The elevated volume level confirms that there was strong institutional participation in the formation of this candle.
But you can see that this particular candle has quite a wide rage.
So how do we know where exactly and on what levels liquidity concentrates?
We will need to use another indicator to find liquidity zones - a volume profile.
Here is what this indicator does.
Think of the chart as a battlefield. The Volume Profile shows you exactly where the major fighting between buyers and sellers is taking place. It reveals the price levels where the most orders have been executed.
While a classic volume indicator shows when volume occurred, it lights up the specific price levels where the most trading activity is concentrated.
Analyzing Volume Profile on NZDUSD, we can easily find the exact zone where liquidity was concentrated.
We simply take the entire range of a high volume candle and look for a volume profile spike within.
To identify other liquidity zones, continue searching for volume spikes in Volume indicator.
By the way, adding a Simple Moving Average on your Volume indicator will help you find these spikes easier.
Here are 4 significant liquidity zones that I found using this method.
Please, note that there are 3 high volume candles that were formed within the same liquidity zone.
A combination of a classic Volume indicator and Volume Profile will help you to accurately identify the exact moments of volume increase and the price levels where this rise occurred.
That will be a reliable strategy to find important liquidity zones.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/3/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25633.50
- PR Low: 25610.00
- NZ Spread: 52.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 469.32
- Volume: 24K
- Open Int: 302K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26636
- Mid: 25410
- Short: 23426
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
XAUUSD | Gold Signal |Dec 3,2025📌 MARKET ASSESSMENT
Gold in yesterday’s session continued to face selling pressure, correcting down to the 4160 zone before bouncing back strongly with a range of roughly 500 pips. Currently, the market is opening above the 4205 level, in a context where gold seems to be widening its volatility range despite previously breaking the short-term uptrend.
However, overall, this may simply be a compression phase of the market.
For today’s session, gold is expected to fluctuate within the 4150–4220 range. Personally, I still prioritize a long-term bullish bias, so I recommend a buy limit around the 4150 zone.
The target is a move back to 4250 or even higher in the near future.
BTC: The 15-Year Prophecy (Hosoda Time & The Diagonal)There is a ghost in the machine.
For the last few months, amidst the noise of breakouts and new highs, a specific signal has been flashing a warning that defies the rules of a standard Bull Market. It is a "glitch" in the data—a silence where there should be noise.
Most are ignoring it. Some are confused by it. Today, we are going to try solving it.
Below is the full evolution of the Bitcoin setup, from the Daily traps to the Macro truth, revealing why the "Silence" is actually the loudest signal we have ever seen.
Part 1: The Micro Trap (1D Chart)
Zooming into the daily timeframe, the structure of the decline is textbook. We are currently navigating Wave (4), but the context provided by the previous move is critical.
The "Extended" Wave 3: The drop we just witnessed wasn't a standard correction; it was an impulsive sell-off where Wave 3 was extended. when the third wave extends, it confirming strong momentum in the direction of the trend. The bears are in control.
Current Status (Wave 4): We seem to be in the middle of a Wave (4) relief rally, potentially unfolding as an ABC correction.
Sub-waves 'a' and 'b' appear complete, with 'b' potentially establishing a local higher low.
What's Next: We are likely waiting for Wave 'c' to expand upwards to potentially complete the structure.
The Potential Resistance ($99k): If this structure holds, Wave 'c' might push towards the resistance confluence around $99,323. This area could serve as a ceiling for this corrective phase.
The Downside Risk ($79k): Traders should remain cautious. If Wave (4) finds resistance near $99k, the Elliott Wave guidelines suggest a Wave (5) decline could follow. If that scenario plays out, the market might target the major support zone near $79,000.
Part 2: The Time Anomaly (1W Chart)
While the daily chart showed us the immediate price action, the Weekly chart reveals the true scale of the move. As discussed in previous updates, we are navigating a large-scale Irregular Flat Correction, and we are currently at the tail end of Wave (1) of the 5-wave impulse that makes up the larger C-Wave.
So, the entire impulsive structure we just analyzed on the Daily chart? That was just the first leg of this Weekly move.
☁️ The Ichimoku Signal: Testing "Senkou Span B" Price action has now entered the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), a critical zone of turbulence.
The Level: you can see candles trading inside the cloud. We have already tested the bottom support, specifically the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B).
The Forecast: Hitting this level signals that Wave (1) is either ending or has already ended. However, the market rarely makes it easy. I am expecting a potential "False Breakout" below the Cloud to trigger panic, followed by a sharp reclamation. That fake-out would likely mark the bottom of Wave (1) and start of Wave (2).
⏳ The Time Anomaly: Why so fast? There is a strange disconnect in the "Time" dimension of this cycle compared to history (see picture).
2021 Cycle: In the previous bull run, the correction for Wave 1 typically took 70 days to cool the RSI down to 37.
Current Cycle: We have smashed down to an RSI of 35.8 in just 42 days.
The Question: Why is the market correcting nearly twice as fast as before? This "Time Compression" indicates the cycle is moving faster and more violently than we are used to.
The "BBWP Mystery" Finally, look at the BBWP (Volatility) in the below picture. This presents a genuine anomaly. Throughout this cycle, we have seen contractions many times, yet the spectrum never reached the extreme 90% expansion levels. Now, at the very end of the cycle, we are seeing another massive BBWP Contractions.
Why is this happening? Is it just noise, or is this contraction actually telling us the truth?
Part 4: The Truth (6-Month Macro Chart)
Why is the market moving so fast? And what is the "BBWP Signal" we mentioned Before? Look at the 6-Month Logarithmic Chart below.
The Big Picture: Elliott Wave Supercycle on 6M Log Scale
On the logarithmic chart, Bitcoin appears to be wrapping up a massive impulse wave that started from its early days:
Wave (I): Peaked around 2013 (~$1,200 high).
Wave (II): Bottomed in 2015 (~$200 low).
Wave (III): Explosive rally to the 2021 all-time high (~$69,000).
Wave (IV): The 2022 bear market low (~$15,500).
Wave (V): Ongoing since late 2022, but here's the twist—it's unfolding as an ending diagonal (wedge pattern with overlapping subwaves: 1-2-3-4-5).
2.Applying Hosoda Time Theory (Ichimoku Time Theory indicate potential future market turning point).
The vertical lines in the chart are not Fibonacci; they are Hosoda Numbers (9, 13, 17, 21...),
9: Marked the 2023 Bull Run start.
13: Exactly Marked the Jan 2025 Top as end of wave 3, which matches the irregular flat analysis on Weekly chart which states that Cycle top was on Jan 2025.
17 (±1): Matches our projection for the next major pivot—the end of wave IV and the start of the final Wave V run on Jul-2026 or Jan-2027.
The "Mystery": The BBWP Anomaly
BBWP is contracting sharply now on weekly chart—at what feels like the end of the cycle, not the start. This flips the script on historical behavior. Why? I tie it back to the higher-degree Elliott count: The ending diagonal's converging nature naturally squeezes volatility, compressing Bollinger Bands as momentum fades. Instead of signaling a fresh bull, this late-cycle contraction could be foreshadowing a reversal—think trend exhaustion rather than accumulation.
A Possible Explanation: If the macro structure is indeed an Ending Diagonal, then this volatility crunch (BBWP contractions) and the market correcting nearly twice as fast as before makes perfect sense. We would be squeezing into the apex of a 15-year wedge. The market might be running out of "oxygen".
The Verdict: With the 6-Month structure potentially squeezing into a corrective Wave IV, the weight of evidence suggests that the path of least resistance is down. Until the market touches the lower boundary of this diagonal (or invalidates the structure), the only logical macro view is bearish.
US 500 – Signs of Fatigue After a Strong Recovery?It’s been an edgy start to December for the US 500 index, a month which is historically one of the strongest. Part of the reason could be that the last 7 trading days of November saw a 5.3% rally from lows of 6508 (Nov 21st) to 6852 (Nov 28th) as markets reacted positively to more dovish commentary from Federal Reserve policymakers, which revived the possibility of a final Fed rate cut at their last meeting of the year on December 10th.
Now Fed speakers are in the blackout period before that meeting where they are banned from publicly discussing current policy and it suddenly feels like a long time to wait to hear the outcome of their deliberations, especially with the US 500 sitting a mere 2% from its record highs of 6925 set on October 30th.
Traders also must contend with a busy data schedule across this week, and it didn’t get off to the best start with yesterday’s US ISM Manufacturing PMI survey showing activity falling further into contraction territory (below 50), with sagging order books and higher prices being paid.
However, while manufacturing activity is important to the US economy, by far the biggest driver is services and the ISM Services PMI survey is due for release tomorrow at 1500 GMT. Last month’s reading sat comfortably in expansion territory (above 50) and US 500 traders will be looking to judge this new release against the previous month. Any disappointment could weigh on sentiment and vice versa.
The available updates on the US labour market could also be important as they could impact the Fed rate decision next week. The ADP monthly private sector payrolls is released tomorrow at 1315 GMT, with the Challenger job cuts due Thursday at 1230 GMT and weekly jobless claims due at 1330 GMT. The shock weaker Challenger job cuts reading last month initiated some extra US 500 volatility and it will be interesting to see if this happens again.
The technical backdrop is also potentially crucial going into such a critical period and the current assessment can be seen below.
Technical Update: Signs of Fatigue After Strong Recovery?
The US 500 index has staged an impressive recovery of more than 5.3% since the November 21st low, as recent price weakness once again found dip buyers. This pattern has been a consistent feature in US equities for some time. However, as the chart below highlights, the latest upside move in price has yet to achieve a close above the potential resistance defined by the October and November highs.
This may be seen by some as the latest buying failing to breach a previous price peak, thereby disrupting the pattern of higher highs and higher lows. In other words, a possible sign of slowing upside price momentum.
Of course, this does not necessarily signal the end of recent price strength. However, it may remain prudent to monitor both support and resistance levels closely, as doing so may help clarify whether the latest activity reflects a slowing of upside momentum that could lead to renewed weakness, or simply a pause in the advance before fresh price strength emerges.
Potential Resistance Levels:
As strong as the rally from the November 21st low appears, it currently remains capped below 6880, the November 12th session high. As the chart below highlights, this 6880 level represents the last recovery high and failure point, where selling pressure was sufficient to reverse the price advance back to the downside. Traders are therefore possibly viewing 6880 as the first potential resistance level to the current rally.
While not a guarantee of continued upside, closing breaks above 6880 may be interpreted as a sign of price strength resuming. If this proves to be the case, closes above 6880 could pave the way for attempts to challenge 6925, the October 30th session high, with possibilities for further gains should that level also give way on a closing basis.
Potential Support Levels:
If resistance at 6680 continues to hold, traders may begin to suspect that upside price momentum is slowing, which in turn could see renewed selling pressure. At the same time, attention may shift to 6751 as the first support. This level is equal to the Bollinger mid‑average.
While much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, closing breaks below 6751 could open scope for further declines. Such moves, if seen, may lead to tests of 6722, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest advance, and potentially even extend toward 6681, the deeper 50% retracement.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/2/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25425.00
- PR Low: 25378.50
- NZ Spread: 104.0
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | JOLTs Job Openings
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 479.80
- Volume: 28K
- Open Int: 299K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -3.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26636
- Mid: 25410
- Short: 23426
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
XAUUSD | Gold Signal |Dec 2,2025BUY TREND TARGET FOR TODAY 📊
The market is pricing in a near-certain rate cut in December. Dovish comments from Fed officials from Waller to Williams, coupled with weak manufacturing data, reinforce the argument that growth risks are rising faster than inflation risks. Gold reacted sensitively to this backdrop, with the dollar falling to a two-week low before recovering slightly. I believe the gold-silver market is entering a period of high volatility, but the bullish structure remains intact.
Rate cut expectations, a weaker dollar, and weak economic data continue to be the three main pillars supporting prices. However, rising bond yields and uncertainty over Fed leadership mean the rally could be interrupted in the short term. Powell’s speech this week will play a guiding role, especially on Q1 2026 interest rate expectations.1
Strategically, investors should keep a close eye on employment, PCE, and bond developments. In an environment where the monetary policy cycle is pivoting, gold plays the role of portfolio insurance, while silver continues to be the asset that responds most strongly to market sentiment and macro expectations, with higher returns but also greater risk.1% The main trend of gold remains bullish in structure.
♾️Gold BUY @ 4215- 4220
💰TP1 - 4225
💰TP1 - 4230
🚨Sl: 4210
Golden Liquidity Sweep & FVG Reversal [XAU/USD]OANDA:XAUUSD Golden Liquidity Sweep & FVG Reversal
Signal: BUY
Entry: 4,203.560
TP1: 4,236.765
TP2: 4,259.639
TP3: 4,280.000
SL: 4,189.322
Insights:
Price swept liquidity below 4,203.560 (red level) and tapped into the 0.618–0.705 Fibonacci zone, aligning with a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and high-volume node on VRVP.
RSI is rebounding from midline (50), MACD histogram shows bullish momentum building, and price is above the 50-period MA.
Market structure shows BOS to the upside, suggesting bullish continuation after liquidity grab.
#FVGReversal #LiquiditySweep #GoldScalpingSetup#HighRR #SmartMoneyConcepts #BreakoutMomentum
🌟 Trade Like Hunter (for professional edge)
✅ High-Probability Setup: Confluence of FVG, BOS, VRVP support, RSI bounce, and MACD crossover
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5 to TP2, 1:4 to TP3
🔑 Liquidity Zone Confirmation: Entry aligns with swept liquidity and imbalance zone
🧠 Market Psychology: Accumulation phase post-sweep, breakout momentum expected
⚡ Probability Score: 80% High Probability
📈 Scalability: Setup aligns across H1 and H4 timeframes for intraday and swing potential
🔒 Risk Disclaimer: Always use proper risk management. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
How to Trade with Bollinger Bands in TradingViewBollinger Bands are a volatility indicator that helps traders identify market extremes, trend strength, and potential breakout setups by measuring how far price moves away from its average.
What You’ll Learn:
• Understanding Bollinger Bands as a volatility-based trading tool built around a moving average
• How the middle band represents the 20-period simple moving average (SMA)
• How the upper and lower bands are calculated as two standard deviations above and below that SMA
• Why expanding bands signal rising volatility — and tightening bands signal market compression
• Recognizing overbought and oversold conditions when price touches or moves beyond the upper or lower bands
• Why these signals aren’t automatic buy or sell triggers, and how to confirm them with other tools like RSI or MACD
• Identifying the “Bollinger Band squeeze,” a setup that often precedes major breakouts
• Spotting potential mean-reversion trades when price closes back inside the bands after moving outside
• How to add Bollinger Bands on TradingView via the Indicators menu
• Understanding the default settings (20, 2) and how adjusting the period or deviation affects sensitivity
• Practical examples using the E-mini S&P 500 futures chart
• Applying Bollinger Bands across daily, weekly, and intraday timeframes for volatility analysis and signal confirmation
This tutorial is designed for futures traders, swing traders, and technical analysts who want to integrate volatility dynamics into their trading approach.
The methods discussed may help you identify breakout conditions, trend continuation signals, and potential reversal zones across multiple markets and timeframes.
Learn more about futures trading with TradingView:
optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only.
Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools — not forecasting instruments.
Gold – Can the Recent Upside Momentum Continue?Gold rallied 3.7% or $150 last week from opening levels on Monday (November 24th) at 4069 to close on Friday (November 28th) at 4219 and in doing so registered its highest weekly close since the middle of October. An impressive rally indeed! The question now is, can this up move continue in December?
To start with, it must be said that since the late sell-off where prices hit a low of 3887 on October 28th, Gold has performed well during a period of broad leveraged risk reduction and dollar strength, two scenarios that can lead to enforced selling of an asset, like Gold, that has performed strongly across 2025. In fact, despite numerous tests of the 4000 level between November 18th and 21st, the shiny metal showed remarkable resilience.
With this price action in mind, it seems that many of the fundamentals supporting the Gold price rally through 2025 may continue to remain in place, namely, central banks buying dips to diversify from their holdings of US dollars, concerns over swelling debt burdens in the major developed economies, highlighted recently by the new stimulus package announced by Japanese PM Sanae Takaichi, as well as on-going issues in the US, France and UK.
Perhaps the most important driver for Gold traders to consider at the start of December could be what the Federal Reserve does regarding interest rates at their next meeting on December 10th. Recent more dovish comments from Fed policymakers over the last 10 days have led the market to currently price an 80% chance of a further 25bps (0.25%) rate cut, a big increase from the middle of November when it was just a 5% chance.
This rate outlook may face its first test early on Tuesday with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell due to speak at 0100 GMT. Although he is restricted from making comments on current policy due to the black out period, traders may react to anything he says that isn’t in line with their current thinking.
His speech is followed by updates on the health of the US labour market in the form of the monthly ADP Private Sector Payrolls which is released at 1315 Wednesday, closely followed on Thursday by the Challenger Job Cuts release at 1230 GMT, and the weekly jobless claims update at 1330 GMT.
How these important events shape the US interest rate outlook, alongside updates on Ukraine ceasefire negotiations and the technical trends, outlined below, could determine whether Gold prices push on towards all-time highs at 4381 or reverse back down to lower levels.
Gold Technical Update: Can Upside Resumption in Price Be Seen?
Since posting its 4381 all-time high on October 20th, Gold has entered a period of choppy sideways activity, as the over-extended upside conditions seen after the sharp price acceleration higher have been unwound.
However, the latest activity has been positive for the shiny metal, which includes posting the highest price (4256) since late October in a move that is now challenging the first possible resistance at 4245, which is the November 13th high.
Traders may be asking themselves if this marks the end of the consolidation activity, or as has proved to be the case in the past, is a limited upside move before further extension of the sideways activity is seen.
To help assess the next directional themes for Gold, it may be worth establishing the potential support and resistance levels to monitor in the week ahead.
Possible Resistance Levels:
After the latest price strength, it could be that the November 13th session high at 4245 is something of a pivot point for traders. Having found sellers around this level previously, they may be found again, so this could continue to be an important resistance focus.
While no guarantee of continued price strength, closing breaks above 4245 may lead to further attempts to develop an uptrend pattern, which in time could see a challenge of the 4381, the October 20th all-time high, and further if this is also broken on a closing basis.
Potential Support Levels:
While resistance at the November 13th high of 4245 continues to cap the current phase of strength on a closing basis, the risk remains that Gold’s choppy sideways activity could persist.
If 4245 holds, fresh weakness may emerge, with traders potentially watching 4098, a level marked by the rising Bollinger mid‑average as the next support. How this level is defended on a closing basis could determine whether consolidation gives way to further downside pressure.
Closing breaks below the support at 4098 could suggest continued declines towards 3998, the November 18th low and if this in turn gives way, it could even open the way for moves towards 3887, the October 28th downside extreme.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/1/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25546.00
- PR Low: 25442.75
- NZ Spread: 230.25
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Manufacturing Prices
20:00 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 508.34
- Volume: 65K
- Open Int: 298.K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -4.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26636
- Mid: 25410
- Short: 23426
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
XAUUSD | Gold Signal |Dec 1,2025BUY TREND TARGET FOR TODAY 📊
☄️ GOLD (XAU/USD) H1 STRUCTURE BREAKDOWN: BULLS IN CONTROL ☄️
The market has decisively confirmed the trend reversal. After navigating the consolidation phase, the price action has established a strong, clear Bullish structure.
📊Key Observations
🔤Clear BOS: We have seen multiple Bullish Break of Structures (BOS), confirming that buyers are in complete control of the H1 timeframe. The initial structural resistance (4140-4150) has been cleared.
🔤Current Price Action: Price is currently pushing into the prior high liquidity zone (around 4220) and shows strong momentum, now trading near 4250.
🔤Unmitigated FVG: The most critical immediate Demand Zone lies around 4150 - 4160 (FVG/Order Block). This is the key zone the price may return to for mitigation before continuing higher.
📊Trading Outlook
🔤The bias remains STRONGLY BULLISH.
🔤Primary Strategy: Look for BUY opportunities on minor pullbacks or when price revisits the nearest Demand Zone/FVG for correction.
🔤Invalidation: A decisive close below the key structural low (the Order Block below 4150) would signal a CHoCH back to bearish pressure.
SPX – MFM Light HUD (Free) shows a clean bullish regimeThis post is an educational example of how to interpret the free MFM Light Context HUD. It does not provide trading signals or directional predictions.
The MFM – Light Context HUD (Minimal) gives a simple view of the structural state of the market. On SPX the model shows a clear bullish regime on the weekly momentum ratio. This does not predict direction. It only shows whether the underlying environment is supportive or restrictive.
The phase is currently neutral. That means SPX is not in a volatile phase, not in a compression field, and not in a drift phase. When no phase is active, price tends to behave without strong internal pressure. It is simply the absence of structural imbalance.
What the phases mean
These phases describe structure, not trade signals.
Volatile (Phase 1): fast movement and unstable conditions.
Compression (Phase 2): contracting conditions with slowing momentum.
Drift (Phase 3): more controlled and persistent movement.
Neutral: no clear structural condition.
This is why the HUD is useful. It removes noise and gives a clean top level reading.
You can still use your own strategy or analysis. The HUD just tells you what kind of environment you are operating in.
What you see in this chart
Weekly regime is bullish
No active phase
No signals or forecasts
Only structural context
Why this matters
In strong bullish regimes markets often react differently to pullbacks, volatility spikes or news events. Context does not replace analysis. It frames it.
Disclaimer
The Market Framework Model (MFM) and this indicator are for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing in this script, its visuals, or any documentation should be interpreted as financial advice or as a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
All examples and historical references are illustrative only and do not imply future results. Trading and investing involve risk, including the potential loss of capital. Users remain fully responsible for their own decisions.
No guarantees are made regarding accuracy, completeness, or reliability. MFM describes structural market context only and should not be used as the sole basis for trading actions.
© 2025 Inratios. Market Framework Model (MFM) is protected via i-Depot (BOIP) – Ref. 155670.
Small Caps Are Entering Their Next Expansion PhaseThesis
Small caps have materially lagged the broader market for two years while capital crowded into mega caps and AI leaders. That phase is now ending. The macro backdrop is shifting, and the price structure across the higher timeframes shows the early development of a new expansion cycle.
Macro Backdrop
Rate cuts are expected as inflation cools and growth stabilizes. Small caps benefit more than any other equity class when financing costs fall because they carry higher leverage and have shorter debt cycles. Lower rates directly lift margins and earnings outlooks.
Foreign investment flows into the United States remain strong. Over the past year most of that flow was absorbed by a handful of large names. When that segment becomes extended, capital naturally rotates down the market cap ladder. This is the exact setup taking place now.
Earnings across smaller companies have quietly turned higher. Revenue revisions have stabilized, and cost pressure is easing. With rate relief approaching, profitability spreads improve faster in small caps than in large caps. Historically this combination of improving fundamentals plus easing financial conditions has led to multi-quarter outperformance.
Technical Structure
The weekly chart shows price breaking above the entire cluster of prior compression bands with multiple strong candles closing above them. That type of reclaim typically marks the beginning of a new trend phase rather than a temporary bounce.
On the same chart, the volume footprint is rising and shows persistent accumulation since the 2024 low. The upward sloping volume trendline confirms steady demand through every pullback.
The multi-wave momentum structure on the weekly chart has flipped from contraction into expansion. This shift generally occurs in the early stage of broader moves that last several months.
On the 3-day chart, price is firmly holding above its prior consolidation zone. Each corrective dip has been absorbed at higher levels, showing strong underlying demand. The volume trend on this timeframe also remains upwards, matching the weekly structure and confirming healthy participation.
Momentum on the 3-day chart mirrors the weekly: prior downside pressure has faded, and the bars are now expanding upward. That is the same setup seen before longer upside cycles in past rotations.
The daily chart provides the clearest confirmation. Price reclaimed multiple stacked levels in one impulsive leg, along with one of the strongest volume days in over a year. Pullbacks have been shallow and immediately bought. There are no signs of distribution.
Overall Structure
Large caps have already completed their expansion wave. Small caps have not. With rate cuts approaching, foreign capital still flowing in, and earnings momentum turning positive, the fundamental and macro drivers now favor small caps.
The multi-timeframe price structure aligns with that backdrop:
Reclaims across all higher timeframes
Expanding momentum after long contraction
Persistent accumulation on volume
No distribution signals on the daily
This is exactly the type of setup that precedes multi-month rotation into smaller names. Small caps remain the last unfinished leg of this cycle, and conditions are in place for that rotation to continue.
Bearish risk remains in a lower high and OBV failing its underside retest
Why Every Investor Should Track the VIXThe VIX measures the market’s expectation of 30-day volatility using SPX option prices.
Because it reflects real-time hedging demand and fear levels, it tends to move violently during stress periods and collapse when investors become complacent.
This behaviour makes the VIX one of the most effective short- and mid-term indicators for equity turning points.
The chart above shows this clearly:
• 🔺 When the VIX spikes sharply (red arrows), the S&P 500 is usually in a capitulation phase driven by forced selling.
• 📉 These spikes almost always align with local bottoms in the index (green arrows), as panic exhausts itself and liquidity stabilises.
• 📈 Once volatility mean-reverts lower, equities typically recover strongly from oversold conditions.
• ⚠️ When the VIX collapses to structural lows, forward returns weaken and the probability of pullbacks increases.
Why this matters for long-term performance:
• 🎯 Buying SPY during volatility spikes has historically delivered superior forward returns compared with adding exposure during low-volatility periods.
• 💰 High VIX readings correspond to discounted prices, elevated risk premia, and stronger 6–12 month forward outcomes.
• 🟡 Low VIX environments, like the current one, signal complacency and a less attractive asymmetry for new entries.
In our view, the present volatility reset — with the VIX back near its lower range while the S&P 500 hits new highs — argues for caution.
It does not imply an immediate top, but it does suggest that the balance of risk favours patience over aggressive entries.
Why Every Investor Should Track the VIXThe VIX measures the market’s expectation of 30-day volatility using SPX option prices.
Because it reflects real-time hedging demand and fear levels, it tends to move violently during stress periods and collapse when investors become complacent.
This behaviour makes the VIX one of the most effective short- and mid-term indicators for equity turning points.
The chart above shows this clearly:
• 🔺 When the TVC:VIX spikes sharply (red arrows), the TVC:SPX is usually in a capitulation phase driven by forced selling.
• 📉 These spikes almost always align with local bottoms in the index (green arrows), as panic exhausts itself and liquidity stabilises.
• 📈 Once volatility mean-reverts lower, equities typically recover strongly from oversold conditions.
• ⚠️ When the VIX collapses to structural lows, forward returns weaken and the probability of pullbacks increases.
Why this matters for long-term performance:
• 🎯 Buying SPY during volatility spikes has historically delivered superior forward returns compared with adding exposure during low-volatility periods.
• 💰 High VIX readings correspond to discounted prices, elevated risk premia, and stronger 6–12 month forward outcomes.
• 🟡 Low VIX environments, like the current one, signal complacency and a less attractive asymmetry for new entries.
In our view, the present volatility reset — with the VIX back near its lower range while the S&P 500 hits new highs — argues for caution.
It does not imply an immediate top, but it does suggest that the balance of risk favours patience over aggressive entries.
SLV | Next Leg Higher Is Here | LONGiShares Silver Trust seeks to reflect generally the performance of the price of silver. The Trust seeks to reflect such performance before payment of the Trust's expenses and liabilities. It is not actively managed. The Trust does not engage in any activities designed to obtain a profit from, or to ameliorate losses caused by, changes in the price of silver.
XAUUSD | Gold Signal |Now 27,2025BUY TREND TARGET FOR TODAY 📊
XAUUSD is maintaining a clear upward trend with price trading above the EMA 34, 89, and 200. These EMAs are stacked in a bullish formation, indicating strong upward momentum. On the Volume Profile, the area near 4160 typically coincides with a high-liquidity zone or a section of the Value Area, where previous trading activity created a natural support base. When price pulls back into this zone during an uptrend, it often represents a healthy correction rather than a reversal—especially if bullish rejection candles or increasing buy volume appear. Given this structure, entering a BUY at 4160 is reasonable because it takes advantage of a Volume Profile support area while aligning with a strong uptrend, increasing the probability that price will bounce and continue its upward movement.
♾️Gold BUY now @ 4162
💰TP1 - 4166
💰TP1 - 4170
🚨Sl: 4155
BTC Short - Structured ScalpingJoin me on the short side.
My trades are based on a personal setup focused on liquidity and supply–demand dynamics
FLNC - BullishFLNC – Volatility Expansion Thesis
The chart shows a multi-year range with two critical Volatility Expansion levels acting as the fulcrum of every major move. Price has repeatedly expanded away from these levels and then reverted back into them. They function as the midpoint of the entire structure.
1. Primary Setup
Price is attempting to reclaim the upper Volatility Expansion band near 17.40–17.76. Historically, every time price reclaimed this zone, it triggered a multi-month expansion leg to the upside (yellow arrow reference). When price failed this zone, the move unwound back into the lower expansion level at 14.83.
This is the same mechanic repeating now.
2. Why This Area Matters
This 17–18 zone is where prior expansions initiated and where prior failures collapsed. It is the single most important decision-making level on the chart. It represents:
• structural acceptance or rejection
• volume re-accumulation or distribution
• volatility compression or release
Holding above it converts the entire multi-year range into bullish continuation.
3. Current Structure
Price swept the lower expansion level at 14.83, held, and impulsively rotated back toward the upper expansion band. The current rejection wick only matters if price cannot reclaim 17.40–17.76. Reclaiming it confirms buyers stepping back into control and signals a new expansion cycle.
4. Expansion Target
The next untested zone is the large inefficiency at 36–38. This is the same grey box drawn on the chart. It is the only clean upside magnet left once price accepts above the expansion band. Liquidity is thin above 22, so the move accelerates quickly once the reclaim is secured.
5. Trigger
The trade is binary:
• Reclaim 17.40–17.76 → expansion toward 36–38.
• Fail the reclaim → mean reversion back toward 14.83.
Price is sitting right under the trigger and volatility is compressing, which usually leads to an expansion move.
