Volatility
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/14/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21273.00
- PR Low: 21249.50
- NZ Spread: 52.5
No key scheduled economic events
Value continues to creep another 2%, increasing distance from weekend gap
- Mechanically, holding previous session highs
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 5/14)
- Session Open ATR: 543.13
- Volume: 33K
- Open Int: 281K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -5.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry Trend is observed from an impulse run’s lowest/highest point and projected outwards in symmetrical fibonacci retracement via price/time from the first reversal candle to the end of the rally, creating crosshairs. These ‘crosshairs’ visually represent the trending ‘price distribution projection’ in price/time symmetry.
Using this concept, I draw a ‘projection trend line’ from the bottom or top of the impulse run thru the projected 78.6% price/time retracement value, to identify the price distribution structure in a linear form.
Now to introduce my STOP LOSS TRIANGLE.
This is a concept of decaying price and time as an underlying move towards our theoretical projection, where if the underlying enters our built faded cross-section, the SL is triggered to avoid sideways consolidation and decaying contract premiums.
This ‘right’ triangle that is ‘sclene’ by nature is created by taking the furthest projection in price/time symmetry (78.6%) and drawing a vertically placed straight line to the highest/lowest point in the rally previously identified. Here, I create a ‘right triangle’ by turning 90 degrees towards my final point, which is made by the nearest projection in price/time symmetry (38.2%). In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle.
Come follow me on X @askHVtobidIV for more!
CHEERS!
Historical Volatility Bottoming on NVDANASDAQ:NVDA HV10 (bi-weekly) printed a coiled low for me on Friday May 9th, where today we saw the spring on great macro news release. I expect volatility to continue its regression journey to quarterly means throughout the company earnings report into the end of the month.
Should be a wild ride before consolidating with the broader markets.
IV on the local monthly closed 50.48% -- this leaves a divergence still from HV10 to IV of 13.05% and is leaving a premium move capture to HV63 of 31%!
This is why I love capturing a volatility sweeping move, because the premium per move is advantageous towards capital. I expect bi-weekly HV to trend up over the following week increasing our volatility range.
CHEERS!
How to use Dynamic Market Structure to track market moves🔍 Idea Overview
This chart demonstrates the effectiveness of the Dynamic Market Structure Indicator in live conditions, capturing key Break of Structure (BoS) and Change of Character (ChoCH) points. Each zone dynamically adapts based on price behavior and helps identify crucial turning points.
📌 Highlights from the Chart
• ✅ Early BoS detection led to accurate identification of the bullish breakout before the major rally starting May 7.
• ✅ Multiple successful ChoCH zones indicated potential reversal areas and pause zones during sideways consolidation.
• ✅ The green (BoS) and red (ChoCH) horizontal zones aligned perfectly with price reaction levels, acting as reliable support/resistance.
• ✅ During the pullback post-high, the indicator caught clear bearish ChoCH before price dropped nearly $2,000, showing high responsiveness.
📊 Summary of Performance
• Rally captured from ~95,000 to ~104,000 with early BoS signals.
• Sideways zones around 103,000–104,000 marked with structural shifts that predicted stalling.
• Post-drop behavior accurately highlighted re-test of ChoCH zones before reversal attempts.
⚙️ Indicator Logic (Brief)
• BoS (Green): Confirms trend continuation when structure breaks in the direction of the trend.
• ChoCH (Red): Signals a potential trend reversal with key level break.
No repainting. Zones are locked once confirmed.
In volatile markets like BTC, accurate detection of structural shifts can define risk and opportunity. This indicator consistently tracked evolving zones and highlighted major inflection points — without lag or overfitting.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/13/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20963.50
- PR Low: 20913.25
- NZ Spread: 112.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | CPI (Core|MoM|YoY)
Weekend gap strongly remains unfilled
- 25% AMP margins increase for expected CPI volatility spike
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 5/13)
- Session Open ATR: 551.55
- Volume: 32K
- Open Int: 275K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -7.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry This is a concept of decaying price and time as an underlying move towards our theoretical projection, where if the underlying enters our built faded cross-section, the SL is triggered to avoid sideways consolidation and decaying contract premiums.
This ‘right’ triangle that is ‘sclene’ by nature is created by taking the furthest projection in price/time symmetry (78.6%) and drawing a vertically placed straight line to the highest/lowest point in the rally previously identified. Here, I create a ‘right triangle’ by turning 90 degrees towards my final point, which is made by the nearest projection in price/time symmetry (38.2%). In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle.
Rules —
1. Enter position with strike of 38.5% retracement in price and expiration of +21 days past 78.6% retracement in time.
2. SL is LOW or HIGH in PRICE from rally. Structure invalidates with new low or high made that expands rally — this protects against price decay.
3. SL is STOP LOSS TRIANGLE cross-sectional zone built. Structure invalidates with horizontal extension into faded cross-section to protect against time decay.
The beauty of this concept is the ability to trade with rules the potential retracement in price/time symmetry distinctively and without emotion, as the underlying trades to potential harmonic reversals.
05/05 SPX Weekly Playbook - GEX Zone Outlook🔮 What-If Scenarios for This Week – Based on GEX Structure until Firday
Last week’s market momentum pushed the S&P 500 up by almost 3%, effectively erasing the price gap left behind on Liberation Day. The index also strung together nine straight days of gains—something we haven’t seen since late 2004.
Meanwhile, implied volatility dropped significantly, with the VIX touching its lowest level since the holiday, falling to around 22.5.
Several factors seem to have fueled this bullish tone, including a more measured approach from Trump on trade policies and strong quarterly results from major tech names like Microsoft and Meta.
Still, the nature of the buying raises questions—was this a thoughtful rotation, or just a broad sweep of optimism?
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
🔄 Chop Zone: 5650 – 5670 (wide transition zone)
🔹 Gamma Flip: 5615
🔺 Key Call Wall: 5725 (5800 potential shift)
🔻 Key Put Wall: 5500 (5400 major support below)
🔼 Upside Path
IF > 5670 → transition cleared →
➡️ 5700 stall / reaction
IF > 5725 → call wall breached →
➡️ Path to 5750 / 5775 → stall at 5800 (largest net call OI)
IF > 5800 → gamma resistance breaks down →
➡️ 5825/5850 zone opens up
🔽 Downside Path
IF < 5615 → gamma flip triggered →
➡️ 5500 = battle zone (massive put wall + high negative GEX)
IF < 5500 → negative gamma squeeze likely →
➡️ Stall zone: 5450 → flush to 5400
IF < 5400 → high-volatility regime →
➡️ Possible acceleration to 5375 / 5340 depending on IV spike
⚖️ Neutral Setup
IF 5650–5670 holds → dealer hedging = balanced →
➡️ Ideal for non-directional spreads / theta plays
➡️ Wait for breakout confirmation above 5670 or below 5615
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
🔍 Final Thoughts
We’ve seen a sharp rally since the Trump trade war scare, with barely any meaningful pullback. The market appears to be looking for one—as a breath. Based on current GEX positioning, there’s significantly more downside hedging than upside, especially in the mid-term May expirations.
That doesn’t necessarily mean we crash—but it does mean that moves lower can accelerate faster, while upward breakouts may require more energy or time. In this environment, consider:
Bearish or neutral spreads (put debit spreads, call credit spreads)
Volatility-based strategies
Avoiding naked upside trades unless we see a strong reclaim of 5725+
Stay safe and adapt—GEX doesn’t tell direction, but it does tell where the fire might start, beacuse of reflexting to hedging activity.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/12/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20474.75
- PR Low: 20376.75
- NZ Spread: 218.75
No key scheduled economic events
Unfilled weekend gap up over 1%
- Gap fills below 20160
- Auction pausing at March 26 pivot
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 5/12)
- Session Open ATR: 551.42
- Volume: 47K
- Open Int: 260K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -10.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry Here we have my STOP LOSS TRIANGLE on our beautiful Bitcoin — if you’re not quite sure what I mean or am doing drop me a follow here and check out a few post! Or come find me on X —
The beauty of this concept is the ability to trade with rules the potential retracement in price/time symmetry distinctively and without emotion, as the underlying trades to potential harmonic reversals.
UVXY shortVIX above regular range
After SPY quick down, VIX is high, there might be sideway consolidation.
Short entry 40
Stop 50,
Target 35
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader.
In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/9/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20182.50
- PR Low: 20137.00
- NZ Spread: 101.5
No key scheduled economic events
Auction maintaining week range, holding in the highs
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 5/9)
- Session Open ATR: 555.12
- Volume: 33K
- Open Int: 260K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -10.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Earnings today with a break out and gap above?I am seeing a clear break of structure with a large liquidity gap above at my red lines.
With benefits to pharma tariffs being lifted it will provide bullish narratives for exporting our pharma production.
I honestly don't know much about the stock, but the technicals add up here.
Bearish thesis is a gap down to grab liquidity for long term.
Wow, Id be dumping my life savings into this.First target is $25 and the $30 once we start to see price move closer to its volume profile gap down at my pink lines.
The key price level I see for support is 12.62$ but honestly, this looks like it could rip any day now.
Im longing until we break below $12
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/8/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19957.25
- PR Low: 19910.75
- NZ Spread: 103.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction
Auction remains inside week range, 19920 to 20200
- Contained inside Friday's range, advertising return to 20280 high
- Strong value increase through Asian hours
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 5/8)
- Session Open ATR: 578.32
- Volume: 43K
- Open Int: 257K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -10.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/7/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20133.75
- PR Low: 19799.50
- NZ Spread: 746.25
Key scheduled economic events:
10:30 | Crude Inventories
14:00 | FOMC Statement
Fed Interest Rate Decision
14:30 | FOMC Press Conference
Temporary AMP margins increase for upcoming FOMC (25%)
- Session open volatility creates 334 point initial range
- Maintaining Friday's range, holding 20200 rotation advertisement
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 5/7)
- Session Open ATR: 592.41
- Volume: 57K
- Open Int: 257K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -11.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
GBP/USD Analysis – Resistance Zone and Possible CorrectionThe GBP/USD pair is currently trading at a significant resistance zone. This level is noteworthy because it has historically been a point of strong selling and because technical indicators are approaching the overbought region.
Additionally, considering the likelihood of the DXY reacting from support, a strengthening of the dollar could lead to a corrective move in GBP/USD. If the pair struggles to break through this resistance zone, an initial correction towards lower support levels may be observed.
EUR/USD Analysis – Difficulty at Resistance and Possible PullbacThe EUR/USD pair is currently trading at a strong resistance level. This area stands out both because it has historically been a zone of intensified selling pressure and because indicators like the RSI are giving overbought signals.
On the other hand, the DXY being at a support area and the potential for an upward response suggests that the dollar may strengthen against the euro. If this scenario occurs, we are likely to see a downward correction in the EUR/USD pair.
Gold - All eyes on Wednesday 08 May - FED🟡 Gold Traders: Nothing Matters Until Wednesday! ⏳💤
Hey traders! 👋
This week, all eyes are on Wednesday... and everything before that? Mostly noise.
Let me break it down for you. 👇
📊 Technical Outlook
Gold is chilling above a key resistance level right now.
Trendlines suggest we won’t see any major moves before Wednesday unless big news drops. 📰
🕐 Asian session is kicking things off above resistance.
If bulls show up there, we could break Trendline 1 (Image below) and head towards the $3300 🎯 target.
📉 RSI across multiple timeframes? Pretty neutral.
If Asia trades flat or slightly bearish, gold might range between $3210–$3250.
Break below $3201, and things could get shaky... but the European session might push us back above that support.
U.S. session on Monday? Likely a sideways snoozefest 😴 (unless surprise news hits).
🎯 Trade Setup (Mon–Wed)
I’m looking to play the range between:
$3261 (Trendline 2) 🔼 and $3169 (Trendline 4) 🔽
That’s a comfy $90 window I’m aiming to trade before Wednesday's fireworks. 🚀
🔮 After Wednesday – The FED Factor 💣
Here’s the real catalyst:
Wednesday, May 7 at 2:00 PM EST – FOMC Rate Decision
If the FED cuts rates (not likely, but possible under pressure), gold could tank hard. 💥
I’m talking a potential drop to $3150 or lower 🕳️📉
That’d be a -$90+ move easy.
FED has been holding the line 💪, resisting pressure (especially from Trump back in the day), but if the economy flashes red, that rate cut might come sooner than expected.
🧠 Final Thoughts
FED paused hikes, but left the door open for 3 rate cuts this year.
Until we get more clarity, no strong bullish signals on gold.
My bias stays: Bearish unless proven otherwise. 🐻💬
Stay sharp out there, and watch those sessions. Wednesday’s the real deal! 💼📉
And last but not least, look at this and let us know what you think about please:
Some would say its impossible but as we know, gold can do everything!
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/6/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20036.75
- PR Low: 20007.00
- NZ Spread: 66.75
Key scheduled economic events:
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
Auction holding around 50% of Friday's breakout range
- Value gradually declining below previous session low
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 5/6)
- Session Open ATR: 598.47
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 255K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -11.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/6/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20201.75
- PR Low: 20108.25
- NZ Spread: 209.0
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global Services
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
Holding previous week's highs
- Advertising ability to break 20400 into Mach 26 daily pivot
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 5/6)
- Session Open ATR: 634.22
- Volume: 43K
- Open Int: 258K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -11.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
GBPUSD Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025🔮 Price Forecast (Main Scenarios)
📈 Bullish Scenario (if price reacts from current level):
Price may bounce from the current 1H LQ Close zone (gray).
It could rally toward the upper 1H LQ Close zone (purple) to retest it and potentially trigger Phase 2 Inducement.
🎯 First target: 1.33150
🎯 Second target: 1.33450 (just below the 4H LQ Close)
📉 Bearish Scenario (if the current zone breaks):
A clean close below 1.32500 could open the path toward the 4H LQ Close zone.
🧲 Expect potential reversal around 1.31600–1.31800 (major buy zone).






















