Next stop: Altcoins. Hello traders.
Bitcoin is finally arriving at my point of interest which, if you follow my ideas here will know that the area which I have a keen interest on is anything between FWB:25K -$27k.
Bitcoin candles, once in this zone, will print whatever they want to print. I will set my buy orders within this range. Meanwhile, a bounce in btc from this range means an upward mega rally in AltCoins. Which means I will be buying some of them at the current prices. (Ada, Matic, Eth etc). These coins give a decent return whenever Bitcoin shows a rally up. So this is an excellent opportunity no one wants to miss.
Volumeanalysis
ES1! Fibonacci LevelsES1! Fibonacci Levels on 6wk horizon. Confluence observed with PA in sustained level between Key SMAS 20, 200. Confluence observed with 0.618 and 0.5 with areas of fair value. Reliability of measure supported using linear regression with pearsons r of 0.97554. A bear flag would be confirmed with breach of sigma 2 :3888.50 and KLs 3973.75, 3515.50 (and rediscovery of September 2022 and October 2020 prices). > 4165.75: 4319.25, 4509 (sigma 1 level confluent with fib 0.236); Where RSI of 54.43 x upward slope supports risk on auction // Price at time of study 4140.25// Upcoming earnings will be factored in alongside economic events, breadth, and treasury market volatility// Bias: Neutral to risk on
📊The Effects of Volume Cheatsheet📍 In trading, volume refers to the number of shares or contracts that are traded within a specific period of time. It is a key technical indicator used by traders and investors to analyze the strength and direction of price movements in the financial markets.
The volume of a security can be used to confirm trends, indicate potential reversals, and identify areas of support and resistance. For example, a sudden increase in trading volume for a particular stock may suggest that a significant news event has occurred or that there is an increase in investor interest. On the other hand, a decrease in volume may indicate that investors are losing interest or that a trend is weakening.
Volume is important in trading because it provides information about market activity and helps traders make informed decisions. By analyzing trading volume along with other technical indicators such as moving averages and price patterns, traders can gain insights into market trends and make more accurate predictions about future price movements.
💥Key Takeaway:
When prices are rising or falling with high volume , it suggests that there is strong participation in the market and that the price movement is likely to continue in that direction . Conversely, when prices are rising or falling with low volume, it may indicate that there is not enough market participation to sustain the price movement and that a reversal could occur.
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BTC Weekly Bearish Volume divergenceThis is very simple observation so I will not get too much into it, because chart speaks for itself.
The fact I remain bearish doesn't mean I don't trade along the current trend. I'm saying that despite everyone on social media yelling bull run, I see bulls, but they are not running.
TMF 20 year 3x Leveraged Treasuries ETFTMF completed an uptrend from 3/28 to 4/6 and then a retracement of it.
It is now positioned above the 0.5 Fibonacci level also the VWAP of the anchored
multisession VWAP indicator in the fair value ( and high volatility ) area also
near to and importantly above the POC line of the intermediate-term volume
profile. This high confluence yields strong support for the continuation of
an uptrend targetting $10.00 the pivot high this past February with a stop loss
of $8.92. For those looking for a high reward entree with the requistite
risk appetite a call option with a strike of $9.00 or $ 9.50 expiring 5/19
or 6/16 might be what is on the menu.
ADA Breakout possible, TriangleCurrently, ADA is displaying a triangle pattern, indicating an upcoming breakout. However, given the fundamental background, the likelihood of a downside breakout is higher, particularly as the price approaches the 0.786 level.
Notably, the 0.34 area has seen significant buying interest, suggesting that this may be the target if ADA does break the trendline and FIB level to the downside, as supported by volume data.
MATICUSDT Potential Bullish BreakoutMATIC is currently approaching a crucial Fibonacci level that aligns with a trendline created by higher lows. This price range has seen MOST of the recent trading activity, as shown on the chart. Therefore, there is a possibility for a bullish breakout in the near future, especially after the markets close on the weekend. The trading idea suggests buying Matic on Friday and selling it on Monday, as the weekend closure may trigger positive market sentiment and a potential price increase. However, it's important to monitor the price action and adjust the trading plan accordingly to manage the risk.
US 500 LongIf this is an Inverse Head and Shoulders chart pattern, 4200 is the target.
What we need to see is the price get above the recent POC.
Blood is in the streets.
The Fed needs to get some new expectations out and deliver some news that comforts the market. Or this is their way of creating financial turmoil that gets job losses that crushes the demand. You choose your narrative.
Or, maybe the news is designed to shake everyone's confidence so that the actual money men of this world can buy at a discount.
NASDQ losing momentumReaching the top of the volume shelf profile and weekly expected move. VIX 2hr and 4hr changing momentum on MACD to bullish for VIX while QQQ is turning to negative momentum. 320 on QQQ seems to be a resistance level that will hold. Expecting a pull back in preparation for the March CPI print with a large rally a few days before as we have seen at the previous CPI prints.
Not financial advice just my personal thoughts
Bulls, Turn Up The Volume!Bulls have been shouting ALL last year, that the Bear market is over.
It's fine. Everything is fine.
Don't think about hyperinflation incoming, or the everything crash around the corner, or credit default swaps going vertical, or multiple banks insolvency, or dollar threatened as global currency, or Fed rates still rising all this year, or layoffs increasing, or personal credit usage rising more, or personal savings non-existent, or discretionary spending decreasing to substance vices only... or all the other things that we can see signaling this is the middle of the bear market, only. Not the end of it.
Almost a year since my last post & I still see many Bulls (mainstream media & social media influencers), urging retail to "buy the dip!" & other nonsense. There have been dips last year, & there will be more this year. You can buy low now, & hold the bag soon, for banks & hedge funds that have counted on you todo for generations.
Or wait until we actually crash first, & then buy at the bottom. Volume doesn't lie & VIX doesn't lie. Only when you see both big & strong, then you will see capitulation.
Hold steady in waiting. You can scalp, or catch the small sideways swings, if you like. But don't fool yourself into thinking now is the time to go long. It's not.















