Volume
Denison Mines: A very bullish chartDenison Mines is on the verge of breaking a 14 years consolidation.
The whole sector of uranium has been very strong in 2025 but the price of uranium itself hasn't moved that much and neither most of the small and mid cap names in the space. I'm expecting those to start waking up soon and when they do, their moves can be very powerful.
"The longer the range, the bigger the breakout" is a famous quote in trading. Let say how this one plays out above $2.45.
Long XRP to All time highThis morning, I entered a long position on the retest of the weekly Volume Area High, which aligned with the significant imbalance left after Powell’s speech yesterday. I’m considering increasing my position if price breaks above the high at $3.10, and may adjust the stop loss to manage risk accordingly.
T1 is intentionally conservative. Upon reaching this level, I plan to move my stop loss to break-even without taking any partial profits, allowing the entire position to run while minimizing risk.
GL
BTC/USD - Rising Wedge - Reversal Pattern - Short/Sell IdeaBTC/USD - Rising Wedge - Reversal Pattern - Short/Sell Idea📉📉
Bitcoin is forming a rising wedge on the 4H chart, a bearish reversal pattern signaling weakening bullish momentum. Price is currently around $114,700, with wedge resistance near $128,000 and rising support around $112,000. A confirmed break below $112K could trigger a move toward $103K, with the main downside target at the volume Point of Control (POC) near $97K — a major liquidity zone where the highest trading activity has occurred.
A brief retest of $115K–$118K after breakdown is possible before further downside. Invalidation occurs on a decisive breakout above $128K.
MicroStrategy Head And Shoulders Signals further downsideThe H&S pattern on the daily timeframe signals potential further downside relating to this current corrective period. Investors should beware of the diminishing volume on rallies and increasing volume in declines spurring a change in trend.
Targets for the Head And Shoulders pattern is the length of the head to the valley of the right shoulder.
Bitcoin's Exhale: A Short-Term Corrective View Towards $100k
Hello, fellow seekers.
The purpose of this post is not to predict the future with certainty, but to share a perspective—one piece of an infinitely complex and beautiful puzzle. My only goal here is to shine a light on what I see in the charts, hoping it may help illuminate the path for others. What resonates is for you; what doesn't, you may leave behind.
This idea will find the eyes it is meant for.
The Technical Landscape: A Daily Chart Perspective on BTCUSDT
After a significant upward movement, the energy on the daily timeframe for Bitcoin appears to be shifting. I do not believe this is a call for a prolonged bear market, but rather an observation of a healthy and necessary exhale before the next inhale. As I see it, the bulls are simply sharpening their horns and cleaning their hoofs for the next phase.
Here's what the chart suggests to me:
Slowing Momentum: My indicators, which are designed to be aware of higher timeframe context, are showing signs of waning bullish momentum. As you can see in the lower panels, both the MACD and RSI suggest that the initial burst of buying pressure is subsiding for now.
Price Action & Profit Taking: The recent price action shows some indecision, which is expected. This is a natural part of any market cycle. After a strong run, early participants will look to secure gains, creating temporary overhead supply and allowing the market to find a new, more stable equilibrium.
Potential Targets: Based on momentum and market structure, I see a potential retracement to two key areas:
The Psychological $100,000 Level: A natural magnet for price and a common area for a retest before a potential continuation.
The Bu-OB Demand Zone ($80k - $90k): The green box on my chart highlights a previous area of consolidation and order flow. This would be a high-probability area for buyers to step back in with conviction.
A Potential Short Setup
For those whose personal trading plan aligns with this perspective, a favorable short setup appears to be forming with a quality risk-to-reward ratio.
Bias: Short-Term Bearish / Corrective
Entry: Around current levels (~$113,000 - $114,000)
Stop Loss: A defined stop above the recent swing high at ~$126,500 is crucial. Risk management is our anchor in the stormy seas of probability.
Take Profit: Targeting the ~$89,000 - $100,000 area. As shown on the chart, this provides a favorable risk/reward ratio of nearly 1:2.
The Philosophy Behind the Chart
We are not here to force our will upon the market, but to flow with it. This potential downturn is not a negative event; it's the market breathing. By detaching from the outcome—from the ego's need to be "right"—we can focus on a clear process and execute our plan with tranquility.
This analysis is my contribution. It is not an attempt to sell anything or gather followers, but to connect and share a part of my own journey. In doing so, we help each other see the whole picture, the Great Puzzle, more clearly.
Just shine.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
SPY: Are the Bears Preparing for Winter?Greetings again, fellow travelers.
Once more, I am not here to offer a crystal ball, but simply to share the patterns I observe and the story they seem to be telling. This is one perspective, a single lens through which to view the market's vast landscape. Take what serves you on your own path.
SPY: Are the Bears Preparing for Winter?
The narrative for SPY feels similar to the broader market: a moment of pause and potential reversal after a strong run. However, the winds here feel a bit colder. Recent commentary from Jerome Powell suggesting the economy may be more fragile than it appears, coupled with the ongoing tariff situation, provides a fundamental backdrop that warrants extra caution.
It feels like the seasons are changing. The bear claws seem sharp, and as we approach the colder months, they may need to fatten up before hibernation. This is a time when they can be voracious, so we must navigate with awareness and respect for their power.
The Technical Story on the Daily Chart
The chart itself reflects this cautious sentiment:
Fading Momentum: Just as we saw elsewhere, the momentum indicators in the lower panel are showing signs of exhaustion. The energy that propelled this last move up is beginning to wane, suggesting the path of least resistance may soon be shifting downwards.
Market Structure: Price is hovering at a level where it has previously met resistance. A failure to push decisively higher here could invite sellers to step in with more confidence.
Potential Pullback Zones: If sellers do take control, I see two primary areas of interest below:
The first key support level is around the $577.50 mark, which represents a previous market structure break (MSB).
Below that, a larger demand zone sits between $510-$530 , where longer-term buyers might be waiting.
An Illustrative Short Setup
For those whose plan aligns with this cautious view, the current price offers a quality risk/reward setup based on the updated parameters.
Bias: Short-Term Bearish
Entry: Around $642.00
Stop Loss: A clearly defined stop above the recent price action at ~$665.01 protects against a change in the narrative.
Take Profit: Targeting the support level at ~$577.50 . The Risk/Reward for this specific idea is approximately 1:2.8 .
Navigating the River
This potential downturn is not something to fear, but something to understand. It is a cycle. For those who are patient, it could present a fantastic "buy the dip" opportunity later on. The key is not to fight the current.
Don't be a salmon. A salmon fights with all its might to swim upstream, and while noble, it often ends in exhaustion and peril. Right now, the river's current feels bearish. It is wiser to be a leaf, flowing with it, observing from the bank, and waiting for the stream to calm before entering again.
This is my piece of the puzzle. I hope it helps.
Just shine.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
NZD/CHF Short Trade Plan: Sellers Waiting at 0.4760NZD/CHF forms a Volume Accumulation Setup on the 30-minute chart. Heavy volumes before strong trend activity highlight the key zone. The short level is at 0.4760, aligning with the start of a bearish Fair Value Gap. On a pullback, sellers should defend this area and push price lower.
USD/CAD Trading Idea: Short from 1.3914 Volume ClusterUSD/CAD shows a strong resistance at 1.3914, formed after Powell’s speech triggered a sharp sell-off. Volume Profile highlights a heavy volume cluster at this level, marking the origin of aggressive selling. This is a classic Volume Accumulation Setup: wait for a pullback, then enter short. A bearish Fair Value Gap also starts at 1.3914, confirming strong seller presence.
EUR/USD 1.1611: Strong Support Backed by Volume Profile & FVGEUR/USD has a key support at 1.1611, formed after Powell’s speech triggered aggressive buying.
Volume Profile shows a strong volume cluster at this level, where buyers accumulated long positions.If price pulls back, those buyers are likely to defend the zone and push the market higher. A Fair Value Gap also aligns at 1.1611, making this level even more significant for a long setup.
BTCUSDT. When will the buyer appear?Hi traders and investors!
Went exactly by the March 3 scenario.
Who would’ve guessed… and why didn’t anyone warn me?
Weekly candle with declining volume.
No strong buyer at the bottom of the trading range — no reason to go long.
The price will keep pushing lower and lower until it finally meets a strong buyer.
Wishing you profitable trades!
Phased Accumulation on Soybeans; Inverted Head And Shoulders forSoybeans is showing signs of accumulation with volume contraction during price declines and expansion during rallies on the daily range.
The Head And Shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe features a more 'complex' inverted type, featuring a left shoulder, double head and right shoulder. However, volume patterns remain consistent with the typical and ideal inverted head and shoulders formation, with volume diminishing in trade on the left shoulder, with slight expansion on the rally to create the valley, and further diminishing volume on the creation of the head, and the proceding right shoulder with volume and price showing signs of activity during the early stages of the rally indicating, genuine activity.
Eyes are now set on the break of the neckline, for price to contiune higher for a new profound bull market.
GOLD 4 YEAR CYCLEFibonacci Time Zones are a technical analysis tool, depicted as vertical lines on a chart, used by traders to identify potential market reversals based on intervals derived from the Fibonacci sequence. To use them, traders pick a significant high or low point, then plot vertical lines at time intervals corresponding to Fibonacci numbers (1, 2, 3, 5, 8, etc.), with the expectation that major price movements or trend changes may occur at these lines.
How to Use Fibonacci Time Zones
1. Identify a Trend: Find a clear trend, either an uptrend or a downtrend, on your chosen financial asset's price chart.
2. Mark a Starting Point: Select a significant swing high or swing low within that trend as your starting point.
3. Plot the Time Zones: On your chart, draw a series of vertical lines extending to the right from your starting point.
4. Interpret the Zones: The intervals between these lines represent periods based on the Fibonacci sequence (1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, etc.). The goal is to look for potential price reversals, significant movements, or trend changes near these vertical lines.
Key Considerations
Focus on Time: Unlike Fibonacci retracement levels, which focus on price levels, Fibonacci Time Zones are solely focused on the timing of potential market changes.
Ignore Early Zones: The initial zones can be clustered very close together, so traders often suggest ignoring the first few zones and focusing on later, more spread-out zones.
Combine with Other Indicators: To confirm signals, you can use Fibonacci Time Zones in conjunction with other technical indicators for entry and exit points.
NAS100USD Analysis – POC Magnet, Demand Zone🔎 Context
Price action on NAS100USD is currently trading within a clearly defined range between the Value Area High (VAH) and Value Area Low (VAL) . Volume Profile highlights a key Point of Control (POC) around 23150 – the price level where the highest amount of trading volume has accumulated in this range.
In Smart Money terms, we also have a refined demand zone forming below, with the proximal line aligning closely above the POC. This overlap strengthens the case for the POC acting as a "magnet" and a potential support base.
⚡ Key Levels
Value Area High (VAH) : ~23880 – range resistance.
Value Area Low (VAL) : ~23010 – range support.
POC : ~23150 – high-volume node, magnetic level.
Proximal Line : Sitting just above POC, marking the edge of demand.
Refined Demand Zone : 22950 – 23050 region.
🏗 Structural Insights
A major structural failure occurred earlier near 23880, confirming supply above.
Price swept liquidity below 23050 before aggressively reclaiming the range.
Current trading sits just above POC and proximal, showing buyers defending.
A break and acceptance above 23510 (mid-range) opens the path back to VAH at 23880.
✅ Trade Scenarios
Bullish Case (Continuation to VAH)
If price sustains above 23516 and holds above the proximal/POC cluster, we can expect a continuation toward VAH (23880).
Targets: 23880 (VAH) → potential extension toward swing high.
Bearish Case (POC Magnet + Demand Retest)
Failure to hold above proximal/POC may drag price back into the POC magnet zone at 23150.
If momentum weakens further, a retest of the refined demand zone (22950 – 23050) is likely.
Below VAL (23010), imbalance could drive a deeper correction.
📌 Conclusion
The confluence of POC (fair value) and proximal demand (structural support) makes 23150 a pivotal level. Holding above it favors a continuation toward 23880 VAH , while a rejection would likely see price revert back to demand.
This setup showcases how Volume Profile levels (POC/VAH/VAL) can be combined with SMC concepts (demand zones & structural breaks) to create a high-probability framework.
💡 Trade safe, manage risk, and always wait for confirmations around these key levels before execution.
DXY: False Breakout, Targets BelowHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
On the daily timeframe, the Dollar Index is in a sideways range. Upper boundary 98.959, lower boundary 95.906.
We see a familiar false breakout pattern of the upper boundary of the range. The price then returned back into the range with a seller IKC candle (the highest-volume candle within the initiative).
During this false breakout, the price moved above the 50% level of the last seller initiative on the weekly timeframe, which strengthens the pattern.
I am waiting for the first target at 96.66 and the second target at 95.90.
As a reminder, my broader expectation is a move toward 94.6. Indirectly, the likelihood of continued decline in the Dollar Index is supported by the fact that the sideways range has expanded more to the downside than to the upside.
Wishing you profitable trades!
AUD/USD – Possible Bullish Reversal with Volume Profile
The Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) has been consolidating after a strong bearish move. Looking at the Volume Profile (VPVR) , we can see:
🔹 High-Volume Node near 0.6480 – this acts as a strong magnet for price.
🔹 Price Base Formation – market has been ranging, showing signs of accumulation.
🔹 If buyers step in, we could see a move towards 0.6480–0.6500 zone , where liquidity is clustered.
My Bias:
➡️ Short-term bullish outlook as long as price holds above the recent range bottom.
➡️ Potential upside targets: 0.6480 → 0.6520.
➡️ If the breakdown below the box, this outlook is invalid.
✍️ This is not financial advice, just my personal trading analysis based on Volume Profile and structure.
BTCUSDT. Find the differences.Hi traders and investors!
On the left — March 3, 2025.
On the right — August 23, 2025.
Same structure, different time.
👉 What happened after March 3?
Will we see the same outcome now — a pullback all the way to the start of the move — or is the market setting up a different scenario this time?
Wishing you profitable trades!
Globant 4H Double BottomGlobant posted a positive earnings report. On the 4-hour chart, a double bottom can be observed. Considering the recent decline in the stock, applying a Fibonacci retracement followed by an extension shows the lowest extension level at 1.618, which acted as support. Today, the price broke to the upside. It will be important to analyze with caution whether it starts gaining volume to return to previous levels, while adjusting the stop-loss as a precaution.
ZECUSDT Daily Chart Analysis | Symmetrical Triangle BO WatchZECUSDT Daily Chart Analysis | Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Watch
🔍 Let’s dissect the ZEC/USDT daily chart, where price action is nearing a pivotal breakout from a symmetrical triangle—often a precursor to major moves when combined with rising volume.
⏳ Daily Chart Overview
Zcash has been consolidating over recent weeks, forming a clear symmetrical triangle pattern bounded by converging trendlines. This pattern, characterized by lower highs and higher lows, signals that volatility is being compressed and a decisive breakout may be imminent.
🔺 Long Setup:
A daily close above the $45.50 resistance, especially with strong volume, will act as a “safe trigger” and confirm breakout validity. If bulls take charge here, the next upside objectives are $55.00 followed by $73.55. Watch for volume confirmation, ideally on a 4H candle close above resistance, to further add confidence to the breakout.
📊 Key Highlights:
- Symmetrical triangle pattern shows growing pressure for a directional move.
- Recent price tested triangle resistance; a close above $45.50 is the bullish trigger.
- Upside targets post-breakout are $55.00 and $73.55, provided volume supports the move.
- Volume spike serves as crucial confirmation—don’t chase without it.
🚨 Conclusion:
ZEC is coiling within a symmetrical triangle, setting the stage for potential breakout action. Bulls are watching $45.50 for a clean breakout trigger, eyeing $55 and $73.55 as next targets. Always wait for strong volume and confirmed closes before acting—symmetrical triangles can break both ways if conviction is lacking.
a flag breakout can be a bullish trade ideahere as per technical analysis , we can see several factor which can
aide a bullish take on TESLA stock on a very short term time frame .
1) pole and flag
2) prices above 20 Day sma ( h)
3) monthly pivot ( traditional ) crossover upside
Pole and flag : a pole and flag which has a decreasing volume during the flag formation , and not having much of retracement , aides the bullish view here
20 DSMA :till the time prices are above the 20 day sma (high) , we can keep our bullish trade intact ,
Pivot level monthly : recently the stock has crossed over monthly pivot level ( traditional ) , in an assuring manner
prices forming a floor above floor structure , where the prices are showing their initial motive towards upside , and then correcting in a slow manner in a retracement manner . a good time has been spent in the shadow of the impulsive motive ( upside ) , which creates a stronger base for the prices and shows no major selling has been happening here , and the profit booked at the higher levels are being bought out again ( re-entry into the market )
break of structure , the lesser candles demand zone which actually created a break of strcuture was respected recently ,
action plan , as soon as the flag pattern is breached on the upside , with a good volume candle , one can have a bullish entry here .
stoploss level at 330 , target price : 15% after the breakout of the flag.