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Waveanalyses

Netflix: Key Support Zone in sightNetflix shares have continued to decline since our last update. We have now provided additional detail on the ongoing turquoise wave 4, which is subdivided into a magenta three-part structure. Within this structure, wave is expected to push price further down into the turquoise Target Zone, between $962.77 and $845.22. The low point of the larger wave 4 is anticipated within this range. Only after reaching this level should wave 5 drive price back above the $1,341 mark. As such, the turquoise Target Zone presents long entry opportunities, which can be protected with a stop set 1% below the lower boundary of the zone. However, if price rises directly above the aforementioned resistance at $1,341, our alternative scenario would be triggered, and we would initially need to prepare for a higher wave alt.3 top (probability: 30%).
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by MarketIntel
AMD: Wave [iv] Low AMD shares have recently gained upward momentum as anticipated, confirming the low of wave in magenta. In light of this, we have added a new resistance level at $223.50 to the chart. The primary outlook is for the stock to continue completing the magenta five-wave sequence to the upside, thereby finishing the larger magenta wave (1). Afterward, wave (2) is expected to pull price back toward support at $164.53. Alternatively, AMD could see a direct sell-off, which would bring the alternative wave alt.(2) to an early conclusion. In this scenario, wave alt.(1) would already be complete, with a probability of 27%.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by MarketIntel
Microsoft: New Target Zone in PlaySince our last update, Microsoft shares have continued to decline, but there is still potential for an upside move. We do not yet consider the turquoise wave X to be complete. Once its high is established below the resistance at $562.17, we expect price to head lower toward the wave Y low. Our revised magenta long Target Zone is set between $477.87 and $451.84. The formation of this low should also mark the completion of magenta wave (4). Afterward, we anticipate the start of a new upward impulse within wave (5), which should push the stock above the $562.17 resistance and complete the larger blue wave (I). Alternatively, we assign a 36% probability to a scenario in which the recent high at $562.17 marked the end of beige wave alt.III . In this case, a decline below the support at $392.97 would be expected, forming the low of wave alt.IV .
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by MarketIntel
MSTR: Trend ContinuesSince our last update, MSTR extended its sell-off. We still expect the low of this wave to form above the support level at $153.49. Once wave 2 is complete, we anticipate a strong wave 3 rally pushing above resistance at $674.18. Our alternative scenario assumes a different wave count: in this case, price may currently be developing the magenta wave alt. to the upside (probability: 30%). This count would be confirmed by a direct move above resistance at $430.50.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by MarketIntel
Fiserv: Slips Below SupportFI shares have recently continued to move as anticipated, further into our green long Target Zone between $147.45 and $119.30. We primarily expect ongoing sell-offs within the current wave (B), with its low likely to form near the lower boundary of this range. Once this low is established, the final wave (C) of the magenta three-part structure should begin, driving price significantly higher and completing the larger green wave . As a result, the green Target Zone continues to present opportunities for short- to medium-term long entries to capitalize on the upcoming (corrective) upward move. Depending on individual risk tolerance, long positions can be protected with a stop 1% below the lower edge of the zone.
NYSE:FIShort
by MarketIntel
Berkshire: Pulling BackBerkshire shares have recently surrendered some of their hard-earned gains. Despite this pullback, we continue to place the stock within magenta wave (X), which still offers some upside potential. A more pronounced downward move is likely only once the stock transitions into magenta wave (Y). At that point, we expect a retracement into our green Target Zone ($444.68–$415.61). Alternatively, it’s possible that the correction of wave alt. has already concluded. In this scenario, price would break above resistance at $571.83 directly, without first retesting the green zone—a development we assign a 35% probability.
NYSE:BRK.B
by MarketIntel
S&P500: Rebound Offers Relief, But Downtrend Likely to ContinueThe S&P 500 managed to recover somewhat, which helped to partially offset the recent sell-offs. However, we continue to expect the ongoing wave (4) in magenta to extend further to the downside. We anticipate that the low of this wave will be reached within the similarly colored long Target Zone (6,055 points – 5,822 points), before a new upward move begins that should push the index above resistance at 6,812 points. At that level, the magenta five-wave sequence should be completed, and the high of the higher-level wave (III) in blue should be established. Given recent price action, we have added a bearish alternative scenario to the chart. This scenario suggests that the most recent high has already marked the end of the large wave alt.(III) in blue, and that the index has since entered the corrective wave alt.(IV) . If support at 5,528 points is breached, this scenario will be triggered. Long positions within the magenta Target Zone could therefore be protected with a stop set 1% below the lower edge of the zone to limit risk.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by MarketIntel
Coinbase: Top Is In!We now view the top of blue wave (b) as established. Wave (c) is expected to drive further sell-offs below support at $291.50, ultimately completing magenta wave , specifically within our magenta Target Zone between $255.42 and $173.05. From there, the upward impulse should then continue past resistance at $444.65. On the other hand, we assign a 33% probability to blue wave alt.(b) reaching a higher high; in that scenario, the anticipated declines would be postponed by a detour above resistance at $444.65.
NASDAQ:COIN
by MarketIntel
2
Boeing: Target Zone AheadOver the past two weeks, Boeing shares have seen several upward moves, but each rally was quickly met with selling pressure. In our primary scenario, we anticipate further declines as part of turquoise wave 2, which is expected to conclude within our turquoise Target Zone of $184.84 to $151.76. Looking ahead, wave 3 offers potential for gains above resistance at $254.22. A direct breakout above this level would initially signal a higher high within turquoise wave alt.1 before the anticipated correction occurs (probability: 33%).
NYSE:BA
by MarketIntel
Apple: Rally Has a Bit More Room to RunApple’s upward momentum has clearly slowed at the $260.10 resistance level, though the stock has already come very close to this mark. As a result, we’re allowing for a bit more room for green wave to run in the near term, with the possibility that AAPL could slightly surpass the $260.10 level. However, a sustained breakout above this resistance is likely only after a pullback in wave . At the same time, there remains a 34% probability that the next peak will mark the end (or has already marked the end) of the corrective upward move in the beige wave alt.b . In this case, we would expect significant sell-offs, with a new corrective low for blue wave alt.(IV) forming between the two support levels at $212.94 and $168.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by MarketIntel
Nvidia: Bullish DistractionAmid bullish momentum, Nvidia edged closer to resistance at $196.45 before settling into sideways action late last week. As a result, there remains a 37% probability that the stock will bypass a new low and instead break directly above the $196.45 level. However, our primary expectation is for the stock to turn lower, targeting our green Target Zone between $163.09 and $139.58 to complete green wave . Only after this move do we anticipate a sustained advance above $196.45, which would mark the completion of beige wave III. Following a wave IV pullback below this threshold, we ultimately expect gains into the blue Target Zone between $227.38 and $260.60, where beige wave V should complete not only blue wave (V), but also the larger neon green wave .
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarketIntel
1
Tesla: Top Established!Tesla initially hit a new high before quickly reversing course with a notable move to the downside. As a result, we now view the corrective upward movement of beige wave x as complete and anticipate further sell-offs as part of wave y. The stock is expected to gradually break below the support levels at $297.83 and $215.01, ultimately reaching our blue Target Zone between $157.88 and $46.70, which we have identified for the final corrective low of blue wave (II). However, there remains a 40% chance that TSLA will not reach the blue zone at all but instead will break out directly above resistance at $532.92. In this case, we would consider blue wave alt.(II) already complete and locate the stock in a sustained (magenta) upward impulse. Even in our primary scenario, the new uptrend of the regular wave (III) is ultimately expected to surpass the $532.92 resistance.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by MarketIntel
1
PepsiCo: Approaching the Target ZonePepsi shares have traded mostly sideways within a broader range over the past two weeks. Our primary outlook is that the ongoing magenta wave (B) will continue to move lower, eventually bottoming within the similarly colored long Target Zone between $136.05 and $131.06. From that point, we expect the broader upward trend to resume. However, a sustained move below the $127.60 support level would trigger our alternative scenario (probability: 32%). In this case, the larger beige wave alt.a would remain incomplete, suggesting the correction phase could be deeper and longer than projected in the primary scenario.
NASDAQ:PEP
by MarketIntel
PayPal: Trading Sideways Amid VolatilityPayPal has recently experienced notable volatility but has continued to trade sideways within a certain range. Our primary expectation is that further downward momentum will dominate, potentially driving price below both support levels at $54.78 and $50.18 to complete the correction of beige wave II. However, there is also a 37% chance that PYPL has already finished beige wave alt.II at $54.78. In that scenario, the stock would already be building a sustained magenta upward impulse and could break out above the resistance levels at $80.65 and $94.97 during wave alt. .
NASDAQ:PYPL
by MarketIntel
SUI: Alternative Scenario in Play as SUI Breaks Key SupportSUI has continued its downward trend since our last update, breaking below the $3.11 support level and triggering our alternative scenario. As a result, we now place the altcoin in the beige wave (C). We primarily expect this downward wave to drive price lower, with a bottom likely to form within the green long Target Zone between $2.76 and $2.30. This low should also mark the end of the larger wave 2 in bright green, which we had previously considered finished. From this price range, we anticipate a new upward impulse: green wave 3 is expected to push the coin above resistance at $4.44. Accordingly, prices within this zone could be considered for long entries.
BINANCE:SUIUSDShort
by MarketIntel
Google: Uptrend StallingFor Google, upward momentum has faded recently, with price edging closer to support at $236.25. If the stock drops below this level, we will need to consider magenta wave alt.(3) as already complete and anticipate an earlier—and lower—wave alt.(4) low (probability: 38%). However, our primary expectation remains for a higher high as the regular wave (3) progresses, with the wave (4) retracement holding above $236.25. With wave (5), waves in green and I in beige should ultimately conclude at new all-time highs.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by MarketIntel
Coca-Cola: Support BreachedAfter nearly two weeks of indecision, Coca-Cola shares have now slipped below the $66.05 support level. In the near term, we expect further declines as part of the final wave (c) of the blue three-wave pattern, which should complete the broader corrective wave X in turquoise, just above the $60.62 support. After this, we anticipate a trend reversal, with the stock advancing in the final upward leg of the large beige wave III, targeting the beige short zone between $76.58 and $81.51. The peak of this third wave is likely to be established within this range before a significant correction sets in. Alternatively, it’s possible that beige wave alt.III has already concluded (probability: 39%). This scenario would be confirmed by a break below the $60.62 level.
NYSE:KO
by MarketIntel
S&P500: More Upside Likely Before PullbackThe North American Mass Index kicked off the new week with some momentum, extending its climb within the ongoing magenta wave (3). For now, we anticipate this upward trend could continue before reaching a new high. Afterward, we expect a pullback as part of the subsequent wave (4), likely bringing the index into the magenta long Target Zone between 6,283 and 5,781 points. In our view, this price range offers attractive opportunities for long positions, as wave (5) is expected to follow—potentially pushing the index significantly higher and completing the larger blue wave (III). To protect newly established long positions, a stop can be set 1% below the lower boundary of the Target Zone.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MarketIntel
Salesforce: Trading SidewaysSalesforce has struggled to gain clear momentum in either direction over the past two weeks, which has resulted in mostly sideways trading. Looking ahead, we continue to anticipate renewed downward pressure in the near term, which could push the stock into our blue Target Zone between $187.75 and $150.42, thereby completing the broader correction of blue wave (II). After this move, we expect a new upward trend to emerge, which makes the blue zone an attractive entry point for long positions. For risk management, a stop can be placed 1% below the lower boundary of the zone. However, there remains a 36% chance that CRM will not reach our Target Zone and instead will break out directly above resistance at $312, potentially surpassing the higher $378.16 level as well. In that scenario, we would place the stock in a broader (green) upward impulse.
NYSE:CRM
by MarketIntel
1
Solana: Target Zone in FocusSOL has dropped more than 20% from last Thursday’s high. In light of this, we now believe that last week’s high—reached on Thursday—marked the top of wave i in orange, and that price is currently undergoing a wave ii corrective phase. This correction should play out as a downward, three-part move labeled - - in green, ultimately targeting our orange zone between $155.80 and $113.20. We expect the low of this wave ii to occur within that Target Zone, which should set the stage for a bullish reversal. The following wave iii in orange is projected to push SOL to new all-time highs, breaking through resistance at $295.31.
BINANCE:SOLUSD
by MarketIntel
S&P 500: Rally Stalls, but Further Upside LikelyMidweek, the S&P 500 struggled to find the momentum needed to extend its climb within the magenta wave (3). However, our primary outlook still calls for this wave to reach a somewhat higher high. Afterward, wave (4) of the same color is expected to take over, guiding the index into the magenta Target Zone between 6,283 and 5,781 points. In wave (5), another upward phase is anticipated, which should ultimately complete the broader uptrend of the blue wave (III) at an even higher price level.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MarketIntel
1