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Waveanalyses

Bitcoin: Edges HigherToday, Bitcoin is once again trading slightly higher than it was at the time of our update yesterday. As a result, it remains possible that price could soon make another move into the upper blue Target Zone ($117,553 – $130,891), so green wave B can form its final high. The subsequent wave C is then expected to drive BTC down significantly—ultimately completing the larger wave a and thus the first phase of the three-part wave (ii) correction in the lower blue zone ($62,395 – $51,323). Additionally, our alternative bullish scenario remains relevant. We currently estimate a 32% chance that Bitcoin is still advancing within blue wave alt.(i) and will climb into the orange alternative Target Zone ($148,363 – $168,443) to complete this move.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
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Texas Instruments: Second Leg Down CompleteTexas Instruments has experienced sharp sell-offs, leading us to confirm the top of magenta wave (2). This suggests that the stock has completed the second stage of the ongoing magenta downward impulse. The current wave (3) still presents significant downside potential in the near term. After a brief recovery in wave (4), wave (5) is expected to reach our beige Target Zone between $130.04 and $107.75. A new corrective high in green wave alt. above $221.79 could delay this process. However, in this 30% likely scenario, TXN should reverse course at the latest by the $240.67 level.
NASDAQ:TXN
by MarketIntel
Microstrategy: Further DeclineAfter a brief consolidation, MSTR continued its decline since our last update, further developing turquoise wave 2, where we still see price positioned. We continue to anticipate the low of this wave above the support at $153.49. In the meantime, we have revised the magenta substructure of wave 2 to a - - formation, with the final (wave- ) leg currently unfolding. Once turquoise wave 2 completes, we expect a strong rally above resistance at $674.18, which should significantly advance the broader upward impulse. However, under our new alternative scenario, a different wave count could prevail: price may currently be forming magenta wave alt. to the upside, developing a blue three-part substructure in the process. In this 25% likely scenario, the next move would be for blue wave alt. (b) to finish within the nearby blue alternative Target Zone between $306.60 and $252.67, before wave alt. (c) pushes up toward the top of magenta wave alt. near $674.18. Within this alternative, the blue zone could offer long entry opportunities, though heightened caution is warranted: since this remains only an alternative scenario, risk is elevated, and we consider strict risk management—such as setting a stop 1% below the lower edge of the zone—absolutely essential.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by MarketIntel
S&P500: Short-Term Pullback Before Next RallyS&P futures initially slipped yesterday but managed to stabilize soon. Our primary outlook is that the ongoing turquoise wave B will continue to move higher, likely topping out just below resistance at 6,675 points. After that, we expect wave C to drive the index directly into the magenta long Target Zone between 6,082 and 5,650 points, where the low of the wave (4) correction should be established. From there, the impulsive wave (5) is expected to begin, pushing the index above the 6,675 points resistance and completing the broader blue wave (III). Alternatively, there is a 35% chance that the index could break out directly above 6,675 points without first reaching the magenta Target Zone. In this scenario, the index would already be forming the alternative wave alt.(5) in magenta.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by MarketIntel
Coca-Cola: Uphill Battle Toward Key ResistanceThe climb toward our resistance level at $74.38—and ultimately into our beige Target Zone between $76.58 and $81.51—remains challenging for now. Coca-Cola shares have made little headway over the past two weeks. With the stock swinging both up and down, there’s still no clear direction. We’re maintaining our primary outlook, expecting the stock to move higher and establish the wave III top before a more significant pullback sets in. However, there’s a 38% chance that wave alt.III has already peaked, which could lead to an immediate drop below the $66.05 support level.
NYSE:KO
by MarketIntel
Walmart: On Track for Further DeclinesWalmart shares have recently continued their planned sell-off, further extending magenta wave (C). Although the stock has traded in a narrow sideways range since last Wednesday, a further decline appears likely in the near term. The downward move is expected to bottom out at the low of green wave , within the corresponding Target Zone between $80.18 and $72.42. There is still a 39% chance of a short-term breakout above resistance at $105.68, which would mark a new corrective high.
NYSE:WMT
by MarketIntel
Solana: Stay the Course!Solana started the week with a sharp pullback but quickly bounced back, breaking through resistance at $206.33 for the third time in just two weeks. Our primary outlook points to another push higher, with price expected to clear resistance at $229.22 and complete the ongoing green wave 3 near $295.31. From there, the broader green five-wave sequence should ultimately break above this level and finish the larger orange wave iii. We still assign a 30% probability to the alternative scenario, which calls for a fresh wave (ii) correction low within the blue downside Target Zone between $56.56 and $29.87.
BINANCE:SOLUSD
by MarketIntel
Booking Holdings: Gaining MomentumBooking has regained upward momentum, moving close to resistance at $5,809. We expect prices to break through this level to establish the corrective top of green wave , with potential upside extending to the higher $6,101 mark. However, if $6,101 is decisively surpassed, we will need to anticipate a new cycle high for blue wave alt.(I) , which would once again postpone the expected sell-off phase (probability: 37%). Primarily, we expect the bearish green wave to begin no later than at the $6,101 resistance – it should then provide sell-offs below support at $4,093.
NASDAQ:BKNG
by MarketIntel
Uber: Another Run at $94.10 ResistanceUber has made another attempt to break through resistance at $94.10 – a move that was briefly successful – but persistent downward pressure prevented a sustained breakout. We still expect the stock to move decisively above the $94.10 level to establish the high of turquoise wave 3; only afterward do we anticipate a more significant pullback. However, there remains a 35% probability that Uber has already completed turquoise wave alt.3 with its highest peak above $94.10 so far, and could next decline into our turquoise alternative Target Zone between $65.94 and $57.24 during wave alt.4 .
NYSE:UBER
by MarketIntel
Decentraland: Rally Stalls Below Key ResistanceDecentraland’s MANA is trading between the $0.19 and the $0.40 mark, with downward pressure stalling progress on the upside. As a result, no headway could be made as part of our primary scenario, which calls for prices to break above the $0.85 resistance during an orange five-wave move. Above that level, we anticipate the peak of the larger blue wave (i). Meanwhile, there remains a 25% chance of a new corrective low below the $0.19 mark.
BINANCE:MANAUSD
by MarketIntel
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Google: Facing Key Resistance as Uptrend StallsGoogle has faced continued upward pressure, moving closer to the key resistance at $209.28. Turquoise wave 2 should reach its peak below this level – and indeed, recent bearish signals could suggest the top may already be in. Once wave 2 is confirmed complete, we anticipate a sharp sell-off below support at $138.35 in wave 3. However, if bullish momentum persists and price breaks above the $209.28 resistance, we will expect a new corrective high for magenta wave alt.(B) , which would temporarily delay the anticipated decline (probability: 30%).
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by MarketIntel
1
Avalanche: Poised for BreakoutFor Avalanche’s AVAX, we primarily expect the ongoing orange wave iii to break out to the upside from our magenta Target Zone ($13.31–$24.42). Afterward, the altcoin should clear the resistance levels at $26.83 and $49.95. Our alternative scenario remains unchanged: there is a 29% probability that a new low of turquoise wave alt.2 could occur below the $14.65 support – but still within the Target Zone – before the anticipated upward move. However, we primarily consider the “regular” turquoise wave 2 as already complete.
BINANCE:AVAXUSD
by MarketIntel
Coinbase: Brief Distraction Before Downtrend ContinuesCoinbase has recently experienced a brief uptick but has since resumed its expected downward trajectory. Magenta wave still has some room to push lower in the near term, but it should remain above the support level at $138.45 to allow the upward impulse to eventually break through resistance at $444.65. However, if price falls below $138.45, we will anticipate a new low for turquoise wave alt. 2 , which would delay the expected gains (probability: 33%).
NASDAQ:COIN
by MarketIntel
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Meta: More Room to RunAfter a sharp rally, Meta has taken a more measured approach but continues to build on its upward momentum, even reaching a new all-time high. We’re still allowing for further gains in green wave , with room to run up to the new resistance at $842.87. Ideally, we would expect the price to reverse downward at that level to resume the broader correction. In wave , we’re preparing for potential sell-offs toward support at $471.67, though we still anticipate that the final correction low – and the subsequent trend reversal to the upside – will occur above this level. Looking further ahead, the next bullish cycle, wave V, is likely to drive Meta to new highs above $906.60 over the long term.
NASDAQ:META
by MarketIntel
Starbucks: Fresh Upside MomentumAfter a period of pronounced selling pressure, Starbucks shares have recently stabilized and shifted into an upward trend. We identify the ongoing dark green wave as a magenta three-wave move. In our view, waves (W) and (X) are complete, and we see further upside potential in the final stage of this substructure. However, we then anticipate another downward move to complete the overarching correction, which is likely to push price below the support level at $71.53. There is a 31% probability that dark green wave alt. could take precedence and drive price directly below the $71.53 support level beforehand.
NASDAQ:SBUX
by MarketIntel
1
Nvidia: Extending the RallyThe bulls have maintained their momentum in Nvidia, effectively managing any interim pullbacks and allowing the stock to make further gains within the framework of green wave . We still see some additional upside potential at this stage before an interim correction of wave is likely. Well above support at $136.89, wave should then begin, pushing the stock even higher and completing the larger beige wave III. That said, we still see a 33% chance that NVDA has only recently marked the corrective top of beige wave alt.B and could soon fall below $136.89, setting a new correction low for blue wave alt.(IV) near the $86.62 level. Primarily, however, we believe wave (IV) has concluded.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarketIntel
1
Tesla: Upward Pressure, but Bears May Soon Regain ControlTesla has once again faced upward pressure, which pushed the stock toward resistance at $373.04. However, our primary expectation is that the bears will soon regain control, setting off further sell-offs within the ongoing downward impulse. Step by step, this magenta five-wave move is expected to break below support at $215.01. If price moves above the $373.04 level, our alternative scenario will become significantly more relevant. If the stock even surpasses the higher threshold at $405.54, we will ultimately shift to this alternative view and classify Tesla as being in a sustained uptrend of blue wave alt.(III) , which would extend beyond $488.50. In this 39% likely scenario, wave alt.(II) would already be complete.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by MarketIntel
Microsoft: Wave (3) Complete – Wave (4) Pullback in ProgressAs Microsoft has reached a pronounced peak, followed by a notable move to the downside, er now consider wave (3) finished. Thus, we see price currently in the corrective phase of wave (4), which still has some immediate downside potential but should hold above support at $454. The subsequent wave (5) is expected to mark the high of the broader blue wave (I). At this point, we assign a 36% probability to the scenario where wave alt.(3) makes a higher high above the new resistance at $562.17.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by MarketIntel
₿itcoin: Pushing Higher—But Watch for a Reversal AheadAfter taking a brief pause over the weekend, Bitcoin resumed its upward momentum early this morning, trading within the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. This marks the first time the cryptocurrency giant has traded above the key $120,000 level. Within this zone, and in line with our primary scenario, we continue to anticipate the peak of the corrective wave B rally, followed by a trend reversal to the downside. We expect a significant wave C decline, targeting the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323. As such, prices in the upper blue Target Zone may present an opportunity to take (partial) profits on existing long positions and, where appropriate, to initiate potential short positions as a hedge. These shorts could be protected with a stop 1% above the upper boundary of the zone, given there remains a 35% probability that Bitcoin could break directly above the $130,891 resistance and set a new high as blue wave alt.(i). 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
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