SUI: Toward All-Time Low?SUI broke the support at $1.97 and tested it once again from below with yesterday's brief countermovement. It should now proceed downward so that the turquoise corrective wave 2 can be properly completed. Subsequently, the turquoise impulse wave 3 should provide new upward momentum, racing toward new all-time highs. The resistance at $5.36 should only be a milestone.
Waveanalyses
Innovative Industrial Properties: Low AheadThe stock of Innovative Industrial Properties managed to stabilize somewhat at the upper edge of our green Target Zone (coordinates: $53.48 – $16.80) but should soon initiate the next downward impulse. In the short term, we expect a final corrective movement deeper into our green Target Zone to establish the low of the overarching wave in green. Once the wave low is settled, the impulsive wave in green should take over and carry the stock beyond the resistance at $137.90.
SOL (Weekly timeframe): Trend structure Price is approaching a key macro support zone. However, as long as it remains below the $148 level, I cannot rule out the possibility of one more corrective leg toward the $76–$55 range before a medium-term bottom is established and a potential resumption of the broader uptrend begins.
A breakout and sustained close above the $148 level would serve as the first technical signal that either:
- a corrective wave B (preceding a deeper correction toward the macro support zone) is unfolding, or
- a new long-term bullish trend aiming for all-time highs is beginning.
Monthly outlook:
My previous idea from November 2024 has fully realized its structure:
Thanks for reading and wishing you successful trading and investing decision!
VeChain: Struggling…VeChain is struggling to stay above the key support at $0.018, but the anticipated low of the orange corrective wave ii should form above this red line – or may have already done so. Once the bottom is indeed settled, we expect the orange wave iii to break out impulsively, pushing well beyond the $0.08 resistance, where the entire orange five-wave move should ultimately complete the blue wave (iii). However, if VET falls below $0.018, the broader green wave alt. will reach a new bear market low (probability: 38%). Primarily, we consider wave as already finished.
LTC/USDT: at important resistance Until the price closes below 100, the current trend structure suggests a one more leg down toward the 76–70 macro support zone.
However, if the price successfully clears the 100 resistance level - rising and closing above it with strong volume - the odds will shift in favor of a correction ending and the potential start of a new uptrend toward the 210–270 macro resistance zone.
Macro-structure:
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Tencent: Significant Decline!Tencent's stock took a significant hit, creating a noticeable gap in the chart. Nevertheless, for now, our primary assumption remains that the price is currently working on the turquoise wave 3 and will soon move toward the resistance at HK$715. Afterward, a corrective movement should follow during wave 4. However, if the stock falls below the support at HK$364.80, downward pressure will mount significantly and make it increasingly likely that the price will drop to new lows below the nearest marks at HK$261 and HK$188.60 to develop a new low of the large wave alt. in green (probability: 36%).
NKE: Macro structure [Monthly time frame]Price reached the top of the macro support: 56-27.
The correction from Nov'21 top has a picture perfect three-wave structure that has reached area of an ideal extension to finish itself (60-44 support).
Although, within the context of todays market uncertainty, recovery from this support zone, might still be a larger bounce before one more leg-down deeper into macro support
Best of trading and investing decision and thank you for you attention!
Polkadot: Shaky SupportPolkadot remains weak, barely holding onto the round $4 mark on Friday. Primarily, we soon expect another sell-off below the support at $3.67 and into the orange Target Zone between $2.40 and $1.07. Once the low of the magenta wave is reached down there, the next major impulsive movement can start and carry the price back above the resistance at $5.38. If Polkadot turns sustainably upward now and directly breaks through the $5.38 mark, the next magenta impulse wave alt. will begin prematurely. In this 20% likely alternative scenario, the corrective structure (still ongoing according to the primary scenario) would have already been completed with the low of March 11.
Decentraland: Summer FlashbackWith the recent sell-off, Decentraland's MANA reached its lowest level since early August of last year. The selling pressure should now intensify further to push the price down to the anticipated new bear market low of the green corrective wave . From there, the next magenta five-wave upward sequence is expected to begin and finally break through both resistance levels at $0.59 and $0.85 during wave . However, according to our 33% probable alternative scenario, the price could reverse upward now and directly start the impulse wave alt. . In this case, the precursor wave alt. of the same color would conclude at the current price level.
S&P500: Persistent SupportThe S&P 500 continued its recovery following its reaction to the support at 5509 points. However, in our primary scenario, we expect the index to fall below this mark to ultimately complete wave in green within our color-matched Target Zone (coordinates: 4988 points – 4763 points). Within this range, there are entry opportunities for long positions, which could be hedged with a stop 1% below the Zone’s lower boundary. Once the corrective movement has reached its low, the final upward movement of the green wave structure should commence. In the process, the index should gain significantly and reach the high of wave above the resistance at 6166 points. If this mark is surpassed prematurely, our alternative scenario with a 30% probability will come into play.
ExxonMobil: Toward the ResistanceExxonMobil: Toward the Resistance
As planned, XOM recently continued to rise with the magenta wave . We give this movement a bit more room, but another smaller corrective movement of wave should start below the resistance line at $126.34 before XOM ultimately surpasses this mark. Once the upward movement stalls below $126.34, it is important that the price doesn't fall too deeply afterward. After all, there is a 40% probability for our alternative scenario, where not wave in magenta but wave alt.2 in turquoise would develop its high – confirming an already established top of the overarching wave alt.(B) and, thus, a generally corrective scenario.
Aurora: Bottom FormationThe Aurora stock continues to trade within the orange Target Zone (coordinates: C$6.84 – C$5.51) and should soon reach the low of the ongoing wave ii in orange. With the completion of this corrective movement, the foundation should be set for a sustainable rise in the corresponding wave iii. However, there is still a 38% probability that the stock will head for a new low below the support level at C$3.84 in the green wave alt. .
Render: Running on Empty?Render has climbed nearly 50% since the low in the second week of March but lost notable ground recently. The price remains within our magenta Target Zone between $5.43 and $1.81 and could still dip toward the lower boundary as it works toward completing the turquoise wave 2. Once a sustainable bullish reversal takes hold, we expect a strong rally in the turquoise impulse wave 3, which should target new all-time highs. The resistance at $11.88, which marks the top of the magenta wave from early December, should be surpassed decisively as momentum builds.
Cardano: New Low or Off We Go?In line with our primary scenario, Cardano’s ADA should develop a new low as part of the blue wave (ii). However, this corrective move should conclude with sufficient distance from the $0.31 support so that the blue wave (iii) can take over afterward and drive the price decisively above the $1.32 resistance. That said, our 40% likely alternative scenario suggests that the low of wave alt.(ii) in blue may have already been settled back in February. Confirmation of this alternative trajectory would arise with a clear breakout above $1.32.
Palantir: Successful!PLTR effectively initiated a directional change within our now-gray Target Zone, and potential long trades opened within this range should already be significantly in the black. We locate the price in the corrective movement of the green wave , which should develop through the magenta waves (A) to (E) within a pink triangle formation. Ideally, the stock should remain above the low of wave (A), which has just been settled in our Target Zone. Only after the corrective movement has concluded do we expect the transition into the green wave , which should lead the stock to new highs. A premature breakout above the $125.40 mark is possible in our alternative scenario, but it is only rated with a 33% probability.
eBay: (Corrective) Upside AheadAfter a month marked by elevated volatility, EBAY has recently stabilized. We anticipate a continued rise above the $71.51 resistance, where the beige wave b should ultimately form its high. Afterward, the matching beige wave c should take over, triggering declines toward the support at $49.63. However, if the stock fails once again at the $71.51 resistance and then drops directly below the upper support at $61.55, the magenta wave alt.(4) will carve out a new low near the $49.63 level. Thus, this 40% likely alternative scenario would delay the completion of beige wave b.
Meta: Further DownwardWe locate the META in a broader wave IV correction, which should unfold in a three-part - - structure. The current wave should push the price below the key support at $547.57. Once that level is broken, we anticipate a corrective rebound during wave , which should temporarily lift the price back above $547.57. The wave top should be followed by wave , which is expected to complete the overall correction with a final low inside the beige Target Zone between $491.53 and $414.50. This bottom should mark the end of wave IV. However, if the stock instead breaks out to the upside and overcomes the resistance at $740.91, we will have to expect a new high in wave alt.III before wave IV resumes its downward course (30% probability).
American Express: Room to Fall FurtherWhile it’s possible that we’ve already seen the low of the beige wave a, we’re not fully convinced. For now, we prepare for another potential decline toward the support at $222.03. That said, the stock should reverse well above this level and begin to rise again as part of the beige wave b, which should provide strong upward pressure. Once this corrective rebound is complete – well below the resistance at $345.03 – the final leg of the wave (IV) correction should bring the stock down into our blue Target Zone, which spans from $205.35 to $167.99. This price range is well-suited for long entries. However, reaching this Target Zone is not guaranteed. We still have to account for the possibility that the upcoming (or perhaps already settled) low may mark the end of the blue wave alt.(IV). But this 31% likely alternative scenario would only be confirmed by a breakout above the resistance at $345.03.
Johnson&Johnson: Rejected AgainJohnson&Johnson has now been rejected at the $168.75 resistance level for the second time, pulling back more noticeably in response. However, in our primary scenario, we still expect an imminent breakout above this level, which should allow the turquoise wave X to establish its high well above it. Afterward, the turquoise wave Y should drive the stock sharply lower again, as we anticipate the low of the larger green wave in the corresponding long Target Zone between $138.78 and $125.75. That said, reaching this Zone is not a certainty. There remains a 35% chance that the low of the green wave alt. is already settled. Under this alternative scenario, the stock would break through $168.75 without resistance and continue its impulsive move higher.
Visa: Bottom Already Established?Visa might have already reached the low of the magenta wave ; however, for now, we allow slightly more room for the downside. Nonetheless, once this interim correction has concluded, the price should proceed higher during the magenta wave and surpass the resistance at $366.34. We currently consider it 34% likely that the stock will break above this level to form a fresh high with the magenta wave alt. . But primarily, we view the regular wave as already complete.
Hedera Hashgraph: Balancing ActHedera Hashgraph’s HBAR continues to hover just above the $0.17 support level, moving within an increasingly narrow sideways range. If the price breaks sustainably below this red line (38% probable), the green corrective wave alt. will establish a new low. Our primary assumption, however, remains that the green wave was already completed with the late February low, at the upper boundary of our now grayed-out Target Zone. If this assumption holds and buying pressure returns soon, HBAR should rally above the $0.39 resistance during the green impulse wave .
Zscaler: BalancedZS has seen buyers and sellers largely balancing each other recently, preventing any significant moves in either direction. As a result, we continue to place the stock in a corrective rally as part of the magenta wave , with its high anticipated above the $259.61 resistance. However, if the price falls below the $153.70 support, the ongoing corrective structure will extend further, with the turquoise wave alt.X establishing a new low. This alternative scenario carries a 35% probability.
Solana: Precision Landing?!Solana extended its sell-off and reached our blue long Target Zone between $117.73 and $40.43. The price then reacted right at the $109.89 support level, indicating that the low of the green wave 2 has been settled. Thus, the next step should involve a strong rally driven by the green wave 3, ultimately pushing SOL well beyond the $295.31 resistance and past its current all-time high. However, our Target Zone remains active, as there is a 40% chance that the price could revisit this range to complete the blue alternative wave (ii) below the $109.89 mark.
Coca-Cola: As PlannedAs primarily anticipated, Coca-Cola has recently established the peak of wave in magenta just below the resistance at $73.53. The stock then dropped by approximately 5%. We now expect the low of wave in magenta to occur soon, and afterward, wave should bring significant gains, thus completing the large wave III in beige. Our Target Zone for this wave III top lies between $75.42 and $78.88. It provides opportunities to either close existing long positions or to open new short trades.