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Should you panic now?TKA took a heavy dip today — and let’s be honest, it probably won’t be the last. The reason lies in the company split: TKMS, its naval division, is now tradable on its own. Naturally, when a split like that happens, market capitalization shrinks, and the price reacts accordingly. Add a few investors who missed the news and panic sold, and you get today’s selloff. But does that mean our 16 € target is dead and we’re all doomed? Not quite. We got rejected cleanly off the resistance line (-0.236 Fib) right as the blue structure completed — a selloff was inevitable. When the market reacts that fast, it often seeks a deeper retracement, and that’s exactly what I’m watching. The 0.618 level is where I plan to reload. I like that zone because it would align with the target line, creating a healthy lower low that still holds as a higher low on the larger structure — a textbook sign of a market that’s simply completing its formation, not collapsing.
XETR:TKALong
by xSamu_TA
Bitdeer BTDR Macro Outlook. Nothing changed, Min 2x to come $54NASDAQ:BTDR is a low-cap volatile asset so traders and investors should expect wild pullbacks like we are seeing and is feature of these type of assets and is why we can make so much money from them when using the right strategy. The macro structure is bullish in an Elliot wave ABC as there are many series of 3 wave structures. Wave (3) of C of (C) is underway with a minimum target of the 1.618 Fibonacci extension $41.17 but price can significantly overextend in these assets. Terminal target is the channel upper boundary and R3 weekly pivot at $55. A break out above this would be very bullish and could see prices as high as $80+ RSI has months left of upside. Analysis is only invalidated below the 200EMA. Safe trading
NASDAQ:BTDR
by Maddox_Metrics
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Liquidity Sweep and Bullish Reversal from Disco🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD) Date: Oct 25, 2025 Main Timeframe: M30 – H1 Strategy: Smart Money Concepts + Liquidity Sweep + OB Confirmation 1. MARKET CONTEXT Price has completed a liquidity sweep around 4059 – 4061, triggering stop losses of early buyers before a strong bullish reaction occurred. The structure then shifted from bearish to bullish, confirming a potential short-term uptrend. 2. SETUPS BUY SCENARIO Entry Zone: 4061 – 4059 (OB + Liquidity Sweep area) Stoploss: 4054 (6-point SL) Take Profit 1: 4067 Take Profit 2: 4097 Bias: Bullish continuation if price respects OB and closes above 4110 SELL SCENARIO Entry Zone: 4136 – 4138 (Premium Zone + Supply OB) Stoploss: 4144 (6-point SL) Take Profit 1: 4125 Take Profit 2: 4067 Bias: Rejection from premium area with clear bearish engulfing candle 3. NOTES Wait for confirmation candle on M15 before executing. Avoid entries during high-impact USD news. Price currently trades in the mid-range; ideal to wait for either discount (buy) or premium (sell) reaction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anneliese_Engel
AI Final Grab IncomingNYSE:AI - AI has been forming a Wyckoff traders dream chart. This did look ready for a bounce (and still may) with the doji candle that printed at the beginning of September, but now, this ascending channel is looking bearish. So, the ascending channel may be hinting that wave C will be bottoming around the 1:1.272 and print a ST (Secondary Test). May 2022 Support is right where a MM would set the liquidity grab, and possibly the last one before the next wave up, and an impulsive wave at that. AI in this area could very well be like NVDA back in 2002, up, up, and away. -Not Financial Advice-
NYSE:AI
by TheGemHunter
Developed Market and Emerging MarketIntroduction The global economy is an interconnected network of nations at different stages of economic development. These stages are generally categorized into developed markets, emerging markets, and frontier markets. Among them, developed and emerging markets play the most significant roles in shaping international trade, investment flows, and financial stability. Understanding these two categories is essential for investors, policymakers, and economists who analyze global financial dynamics, risk profiles, and growth opportunities. Developed markets represent mature, advanced economies with strong industrial bases, high income per capita, and stable political systems. Emerging markets, on the other hand, are countries in the process of industrialization and modernization, showing rapid growth but also facing economic volatility and structural challenges. This distinction helps investors gauge risk, return potential, and diversification strategies in global portfolios. 1. Definition and Concept Developed Market A developed market (also known as an advanced or mature market) refers to a country with a highly industrialized economy, well-established financial systems, and high living standards. These nations have robust infrastructure, sophisticated regulatory frameworks, and stable political environments that promote predictable business operations. Their economic activities are primarily driven by services and advanced manufacturing rather than agriculture or basic industries. International organizations such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank, and United Nations classify developed markets based on indicators like: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita Human Development Index (HDI) Financial market sophistication Industrial diversification Institutional strength and governance quality Examples of developed markets include: United States Canada United Kingdom Germany France Japan Australia South Korea Switzerland These economies form the backbone of global financial systems and often host major stock exchanges such as the NYSE, NASDAQ, London Stock Exchange, and Tokyo Stock Exchange. Emerging Market An emerging market is a nation transitioning from a developing to a developed economy. These countries experience rapid industrialization, urbanization, and integration into the global economy, leading to substantial growth potential. However, they also face higher risks, including political instability, inflation volatility, and weaker institutional frameworks. The term "emerging market" was popularized by economist Antoine van Agtmael in the 1980s to describe countries with growing capital markets that were becoming attractive to foreign investors. Criteria defining emerging markets include: Moderate to high GDP growth rates Expanding middle class Increasing foreign investment Developing infrastructure and technology Improving governance and market reforms Prominent emerging markets include: China India Brazil Russia Mexico Indonesia South Africa Turkey Thailand These countries often form part of groupings such as BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) or MINT (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, Turkey). 2. Key Characteristics Developed Markets High Income Levels: Developed economies have high GDP per capita, reflecting widespread wealth and purchasing power. For example, countries like the U.S. and Switzerland boast per capita incomes exceeding $60,000 annually. Mature Financial Systems: Their banking systems, capital markets, and insurance sectors are well-established and transparent, governed by strong regulatory frameworks. Low Political and Economic Risk: Stable governments, rule of law, and consistent economic policies create confidence among investors. Advanced Infrastructure: Efficient transportation, communication, and energy networks support productivity and competitiveness. Technological Leadership: Developed nations are at the forefront of innovation in industries such as IT, biotechnology, and renewable energy. Stable Currency and Inflation: Their central banks, such as the U.S. Federal Reserve or the European Central Bank, maintain price stability and sound monetary policy. Emerging Markets High Growth Potential: Emerging economies often record faster GDP growth, sometimes exceeding 5–8% annually, driven by industrialization and rising domestic consumption. Expanding Middle Class: Economic development leads to a growing middle-income population, which boosts demand for goods, housing, and financial services. Reform-Driven Economies: Structural reforms, such as privatization and liberalization, make these markets more attractive to foreign investors. Developing Financial Systems: Their capital markets are growing but may still lack depth, transparency, and liquidity compared to developed markets. Currency and Political Volatility: Exchange rates and government policies can fluctuate significantly, affecting investor confidence. Urbanization and Industrialization: Rapid city expansion and manufacturing growth drive job creation and export competitiveness. 3. Economic Indicators Comparison Indicator Developed Markets Emerging Markets GDP per capita High (> $40,000) Moderate ($5,000–$20,000) Growth rate Moderate (1–3%) High (4–8%) Inflation Low and stable Moderate to high Infrastructure Advanced Developing Political stability Strong Varies widely Currency stability High Often volatile Industrial base Services and high-tech Manufacturing and agriculture Income inequality Relatively low Often high Financial markets Deep and liquid Expanding but less liquid 4. Role in Global Economy Developed Markets’ Role Developed economies act as the anchors of global finance and trade. They host the largest multinational corporations, reserve currencies, and financial hubs. The U.S. dollar, euro, and yen serve as international mediums of exchange, influencing global monetary policy. Their advanced financial systems provide capital to the rest of the world through foreign direct investments (FDI) and institutional funds. They also drive technological innovation and research & development, setting global standards in production and governance. Developed markets’ consumer demand fuels global exports from emerging and developing nations, linking their prosperity to world trade flows. Emerging Markets’ Role Emerging economies represent the engine of global growth in the 21st century. They contribute a significant share of global GDP expansion due to large populations, rapid industrialization, and consumption growth. For instance, China and India alone account for over one-third of global economic growth. They are crucial suppliers of raw materials, manufactured goods, and increasingly digital services. Moreover, they offer investment diversification opportunities, as their growth cycles may differ from developed economies. Emerging markets also play an essential role in addressing global challenges such as energy demand, environmental sustainability, and digital transformation. 5. Investment Perspective From an investment standpoint, both developed and emerging markets present distinct risk-reward profiles. Developed Market Investments Investing in developed economies offers stability, transparency, and lower risk. Their stock markets are highly liquid and regulated, making them ideal for long-term investors seeking steady returns. However, growth opportunities may be limited because of market maturity and slower GDP expansion. Common investment vehicles include: Blue-chip equities (e.g., Apple, Microsoft, Nestlé) Government bonds (e.g., U.S. Treasuries) Index funds tracking major benchmarks (e.g., S&P 500, FTSE 100) Emerging Market Investments Emerging markets provide higher growth potential but also higher volatility. Investors are attracted to the potential for strong returns from sectors like infrastructure, consumer goods, and technology. However, risks include political instability, currency depreciation, and weaker governance. Investment opportunities include: Local equities and bonds Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking emerging indices (e.g., MSCI Emerging Markets Index) Direct investment in infrastructure or start-ups Diversifying portfolios across both markets helps balance stability and growth potential. 6. Challenges Faced by Each Market Type Challenges in Developed Markets Slow Growth: Mature economies experience limited GDP expansion due to market saturation and aging populations. High Debt Levels: Many developed nations carry large public debts, creating fiscal pressures. Technological Disruption: Automation and AI may lead to job displacement and inequality. Geopolitical Risks: Trade disputes and policy shifts (e.g., Brexit, U.S.–China tensions) can affect global stability. Challenges in Emerging Markets Political Instability: Government changes and weak institutions can disrupt economic policy. Inflation and Currency Risk: Volatile exchange rates can deter foreign investment. Dependence on Commodities: Many emerging economies rely heavily on exports like oil or minerals, making them vulnerable to price swings. Infrastructure Deficits: Inadequate roads, power supply, and communication networks limit industrial efficiency. Capital Flight: When global interest rates rise, investors often withdraw funds from riskier emerging markets. 7. Interdependence Between Developed and Emerging Markets Globalization has woven developed and emerging markets into a mutually dependent economic fabric. Developed nations invest heavily in emerging markets for higher returns and resource access, while emerging markets rely on developed economies for technology, capital, and demand. For example: U.S. and European companies outsource manufacturing to Asia to reduce costs. China and India import advanced machinery and software from developed countries. Financial crises or interest rate changes in the U.S. can ripple across emerging economies. Thus, while they differ in structure and stability, both market types are interlinked in global trade, investment, and policy networks. 8. The Future Outlook The future of global growth is expected to be driven increasingly by emerging markets. By 2050, countries like China, India, and Indonesia are projected to become the world’s largest economies in purchasing power parity (PPP) terms. Their rising consumer bases, technological adoption, and urbanization will reshape global demand patterns. However, developed markets will continue to dominate in innovation, finance, and governance standards. They will serve as models of economic stability and sustainability, influencing the global economic architecture through institutions such as the IMF, World Bank, and G7. The key to a balanced global economy lies in cooperation between developed and emerging markets, focusing on trade fairness, technology transfer, and sustainable development. Conclusion Developed and emerging markets represent two distinct yet complementary pillars of the global economic system. Developed markets embody stability, efficiency, and innovation, while emerging markets offer dynamism, growth, and transformation. Together, they shape the rhythm of global finance, trade, and investment. For investors and policymakers alike, understanding the interplay between these markets is crucial. Developed economies provide safe, predictable environments for steady returns, whereas emerging markets offer the promise of high growth with commensurate risks. As globalization deepens and digital technologies blur traditional boundaries, the collaboration and balance between these two market categories will define the future of global prosperity.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Global Finance Control on Central BanksIntroduction Central banks are the cornerstone of a nation’s monetary and financial stability. They regulate the money supply, manage interest rates, maintain price stability, and act as lenders of last resort during crises. Examples include the Federal Reserve (U.S.), the European Central Bank (ECB), the Bank of Japan (BoJ), and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). However, in today’s deeply interconnected global economy, the autonomy of central banks is not absolute. They operate within a global financial system heavily influenced by international capital flows, global trade dynamics, foreign exchange markets, and powerful multinational institutions. The control of global finance over central banks is a topic of major debate among economists and policymakers. While central banks are officially independent, their actions are shaped by the pressures and movements within global markets. Understanding this interplay is critical to analyzing how global economic policies are formed and how nations maintain financial sovereignty. 1. The Role and Functions of Central Banks Central banks serve several core functions within national economies: Monetary Policy Implementation – They regulate interest rates and control money supply to achieve economic stability. Price Stability and Inflation Control – Ensuring that inflation remains within target levels protects the value of money and public confidence. Financial Stability and Regulation – Central banks oversee financial institutions to prevent systemic crises. Foreign Exchange Management – They manage exchange rates, foreign reserves, and currency interventions. Lender of Last Resort – During financial distress, central banks provide emergency liquidity to banks and financial institutions. Economic Growth Promotion – By influencing credit availability and investment, central banks indirectly promote growth and employment. In theory, these functions are carried out independently from political or external influences. However, in the era of globalized finance, maintaining such independence has become increasingly difficult. 2. The Global Financial System and Its Influence The global financial system is a web of interconnected markets and institutions, including international banks, hedge funds, multinational corporations, and supranational organizations such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank. It is characterized by: Cross-border capital flows Global investment funds and currency trading Interconnected banking networks International debt and credit markets Global rating agencies and financial intermediaries These elements create a financial ecosystem in which no central bank can act in isolation. The decisions made by one major central bank—particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve—can ripple across the globe, influencing exchange rates, asset prices, and borrowing costs in multiple countries. 3. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s Global Dominance The U.S. dollar is the world’s primary reserve currency, accounting for nearly 60% of global reserves and the majority of international trade settlements. As a result, the Federal Reserve (Fed) exerts substantial indirect control over global financial conditions. When the Fed changes its interest rates or monetary policy stance, the effects are immediate and widespread: Emerging markets experience capital inflows or outflows based on the attractiveness of U.S. yields. Currency values fluctuate as investors shift between the dollar and other currencies. Global borrowing costs rise or fall depending on U.S. Treasury yields. For example, the 2013 "Taper Tantrum" occurred when the Fed announced it would reduce its quantitative easing program. This led to a massive outflow of capital from emerging markets, causing currency depreciation and market volatility worldwide. Central banks in countries like India, Brazil, and Indonesia were forced to raise interest rates or intervene in currency markets to stabilize their economies. Thus, while national central banks manage their domestic economies, their room for maneuver is constrained by decisions made in Washington. 4. The Role of the IMF and World Bank Institutions such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank play a central role in influencing the monetary policies of developing and emerging nations. While these institutions provide financial assistance and development loans, their programs often come with policy conditionalities. For instance, countries seeking IMF loans during balance-of-payment crises are required to implement austerity measures, fiscal discipline, and structural reforms, which often restrict the central bank’s ability to conduct independent monetary policy. Examples include: The Asian Financial Crisis (1997–1998), where IMF intervention imposed tight monetary and fiscal controls on countries like Thailand, Indonesia, and South Korea. Latin American debt crises of the 1980s, where IMF programs demanded strict monetary policies and privatization measures. Such conditions reflect how global financial institutions can indirectly control the policy framework of central banks, particularly in financially vulnerable nations. 5. Global Capital Flows and Market Pressures Modern financial markets operate on a 24-hour global cycle, with trillions of dollars moving across borders daily. These massive flows of “hot money” can destabilize currencies and bond markets, forcing central banks to adjust their policies even if they conflict with domestic economic needs. For instance: A sudden capital outflow can devalue a country’s currency, raise import costs, and fuel inflation. To counter this, the central bank may need to raise interest rates, which can slow economic growth. Conversely, large capital inflows can create asset bubbles and inflationary pressures, requiring monetary tightening. In this sense, global financial markets act as a disciplinary mechanism, rewarding or punishing central banks based on their policies. Nations with high fiscal deficits or loose monetary policies often face downward pressure on their currency or increased borrowing costs in global bond markets. 6. Exchange Rate Systems and Dependence Exchange rate management is another area where global finance limits central bank independence. Most countries today operate under floating exchange rates, meaning their currency value is determined by market forces. However, even floating currencies are vulnerable to speculative attacks and global shocks. Countries that peg their currency to the dollar or euro must align their monetary policies with the anchor currency’s central bank, effectively surrendering policy control. For example, countries in the Eurozone have ceded national control to the European Central Bank (ECB), which sets a unified monetary policy for 20 diverse economies. Similarly, economies with dollar pegs, like Hong Kong or Saudi Arabia, must follow U.S. interest rate trends to maintain currency stability. Thus, through exchange rate mechanisms, global finance exerts control over domestic policy decisions. 7. The Power of Global Financial Institutions and Rating Agencies Global credit rating agencies such as Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s, and Fitch Ratings have significant influence on national monetary conditions. A downgrade in a country’s sovereign rating can lead to higher borrowing costs, reduced investor confidence, and currency depreciation. Central banks must often take preemptive actions—such as tightening monetary policy or maintaining high reserves—to maintain favorable credit ratings. This dependence on external validation further diminishes true policy autonomy. Similarly, international investment banks and hedge funds influence global liquidity conditions. Their collective actions can amplify or counteract central bank policies, shaping market expectations and financial stability. 8. The Challenge of Central Bank Independence Central bank independence is designed to prevent political interference and maintain policy credibility. However, true independence is a relative concept. Central banks must balance domestic economic objectives with global realities, including: Exchange rate volatility Global interest rate movements Commodity price fluctuations Investor sentiment and risk appetite For smaller or developing economies, these external pressures can severely constrain policy options. Even advanced economies are not immune—consider the European Central Bank, which must balance the interests of both strong economies like Germany and weaker ones like Greece or Italy. 9. Global Crises and Central Bank Coordination During periods of global crisis, such as the 2008 Global Financial Crisis or the COVID-19 pandemic, central banks often act in coordination. The Federal Reserve, ECB, Bank of Japan, and others engaged in synchronized interest rate cuts and quantitative easing programs to inject liquidity into global markets. While such cooperation stabilized financial systems, it also highlighted the growing interdependence of global central banks. The Fed’s swap lines—temporary currency exchanges with other central banks—became essential tools to ensure global dollar liquidity, reinforcing U.S. dominance over international finance. This global coordination is beneficial during crises but underscores the reality that national policies are now part of a global financial ecosystem dominated by major economies and institutions. 10. The Digital Era and Future of Central Banking The rise of digital currencies, blockchain technology, and decentralized finance (DeFi) introduces new challenges to central banks’ control. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) are being developed to maintain monetary sovereignty in an era of financial globalization. However, even with digital innovation, global finance remains interconnected. A digital dollar or euro could enhance the global influence of their respective central banks, while smaller nations could find their financial systems further marginalized. 11. Implications for Developing Economies For developing nations, dependence on foreign investment, external debt, and imported inflation makes them particularly vulnerable to global financial forces. When major central banks tighten policy, capital flows reverse, currencies weaken, and debt servicing costs rise. This “financial dependency” limits the ability of central banks in emerging markets to pursue independent monetary policy. The solution often lies in: Strengthening domestic financial markets Diversifying reserves Promoting local currency settlements Building policy credibility and transparency Such measures can help shield national economies from excessive global influence. Conclusion Central banks were originally established to safeguard national monetary stability, but in the 21st century, their independence is constrained by the immense power of global finance. International capital flows, financial institutions, rating agencies, and dominant currencies—especially the U.S. dollar—shape the policy space available to even the most powerful central banks. Global financial control is not always direct or conspiratorial—it operates through market mechanisms, investor sentiment, and institutional interdependence. The challenge for modern central banks is to balance national economic priorities with global financial realities. In an increasingly integrated world, complete autonomy is impossible. Yet, by fostering transparency, coordination, and prudent macroeconomic management, central banks can navigate these global pressures effectively. The key lies not in resisting globalization but in managing interdependence wisely, ensuring that the pursuit of global stability does not come at the expense of national sovereignty and economic justice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Bitcoin (BTC) — Path Toward $115,000Right now, Bitcoin looks like it’s gearing up for a push higher, but it needs a little spark — maybe a strong daily close above $111.5K or some positive market catalyst. Think of $109K as the floor and $115K as the ceiling for this current swing. If BTC keeps grinding higher with decent volume and no sudden macro shocks, a move to $115K feels very realistic in the near term. Entry zone: $110,000 – $110,500 Stop-loss: below $108,000 Target: $115,000 Risk–Reward ratio: roughly 1:2.5
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Trade_Gold_Pro
Ethereum Short-Term Breakdown Imminent | ETHUSD Short Setup🚨 Ethereum (ETHUSD) Market Update – Short-Term Setup 🚨 Ethereum is displaying clear weakness on higher levels, as the recent bounce appears to be a relief move rather than a full trend reversal. The resistance zone between $4074 – $4175 remains crucial — price rejection from this area can offer a high-probability short opportunity. We’re currently holding short positions from $3930, and if ETH extends upward, DCA shorts will activate near $4175 for a better average entry. 📉 Downside targets to watch: 🎯 $3750 🎯 $3636 🎯 $3540 🎯 $3480 Until a confirmed correction forms, avoid aggressive long setups. Market sentiment remains fragile, and bulls may face strong resistance around the upper range. ⚠️ Timeframe: 15-Minute (Scalp / Short-Term Setup) 💡 Tip: Manage risk carefully and trail stops as price moves in your favor. 📊 Follow me on TradingView for more real-time ETH and BTC updates, short-term scalps, and market breakdowns. Your feedback and comments are always welcome!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by Houseofcryptokings
Google Wave Analysis – 24 October 2025- Google broke key resistance level 255.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 270.00 Google broke above the key resistance level 255.00 (which stopped the previous impulse waves 3 and i, as can be seen from the daily Google chart below). The breakout of the resistance level 255.00 accelerated the active minor impulse wave 5 of the daily impulse sequence (1) from April. Given the strong daily uptrend, Google currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 270.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave iii).
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by FxProGlobal
EURNZD Under Pressure! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for EURNZD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.0233 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 2.0208 My Stop Loss - 2.0248 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
XAUUSD 4H🔷 Current Market Structure: Price is in a developing consolidation area between roughly 4010 – 4140. After a strong drop from the previous high (ATH area around 4377), the market has paused, showing sideways movement — classic consolidation before the next major leg. Candles are showing lower highs and higher lows, forming compression. 🧭 Key Levels Noted on Chart: Resistance Zones (Supply Areas): 4140–4236 zone → Strong resistance / potential breakout zone. A break above 4236 could trigger momentum toward ATH 4377. Label: “BUY ABOVE 4236” ✅ Support Zones (Demand Areas): 4010 Weekly Support → Critical line holding price multiple times. 3996 → Clear sell trigger below this level, confirming bearish continuation. Label: “SELL BELOW 3996” ⚠️ 3859 Monthly Support → Deeper downside target if breakdown occurs. ⚖️ Market Bias: Neutral to Reactive Currently neutral, waiting for breakout confirmation: 🔼 Bullish scenario: Break and close above 4236 → targets 4300 → 4377 (ATH) 🔽 Bearish scenario: Break and close below 3996 → targets 3900 → 3860 🧠 Smart Trader Insight: This is a no-trade zone until price breaks the range. Avoid chasing within the consolidation; instead, prepare for breakout trades. Volume and candle structure near 4236 or 3996 will confirm direction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by StressFreeTrading9
$ALUMINIUM (DAILY): LONG position in-play, DOUBLE BREAKOUT onOpened this PEPPERSTONE:ALUMINIUM LONG position this week as the price started closing above the $2800 mark that I had been waiting for. Essentially a mega strong DOUBLE BREAKOUT ongoing, the RECTANGLE and the TRIANGLE, targetting $3165 and $3375, respectively. Stop loss when #aluminium loses its breakout point, simple trade, this one. This WAVE could either be number 3 or 5, but regardless, the momentum has been great, confirmed by a few HIDDEN BULLISH RSI divergences in a row. Commodities season. Crypto sucks this quarter, open your minds. 👽💙
PEPPERSTONE:ALUMINIUMLong
by ColdBloodedCharter
300037.SZ: Unveiling Over 30% Undervaluation 300037.SZ: Unveiling Over 30% Undervaluation – SWOT and Intrinsic Value Deep Dive Introduction 📊 As of October 24, 2025, Shenzhen Capchem Technology Co., Ltd. (300037.SZ), a key player in electronic chemicals and battery materials, is positioned within a rebounding chemicals sector amid emerging market volatility and global energy shifts. Macroeconomic factors, such as China's economic stimulus boosting EV adoption and commodity stabilization, are driving renewed interest in battery supply chains. Sector dynamics include rising demand for lithium-ion electrolytes, with public data from recent filings showing quarterly revenue growth of 8.60% year-over-year, indicating resilience in a dip-driven market. This overview draws from verifiable metrics without endorsing any trading action. SWOT Analysis Strengths 💹 Shenzhen Capchem exhibits solid financial fundamentals, with EBITDA at 1.6B CNY and a profit margin of 11.87%, reflecting efficient operations in high-demand segments like battery electrolytes. The company's low debt-to-equity ratio of 26.22% supports stability, while revenue per share of 11.39 CNY underscores diversified product lines in functional materials. Quarterly earnings growth of 1.30% highlights consistent performance amid sector challenges. Weaknesses ⚠️ Elevated valuation metrics, such as a trailing P/E ratio of 39.84, may indicate sensitivity to market fluctuations and potential margin compression in competitive chemical markets. Return on assets at 4.13% suggests room for improved asset utilization, while levered free cash flow of 152.19M CNY reflects moderate liquidity in expansion phases. Opportunities 🚀 Undervalued indicators, including a forward P/E of 19.61 and price-to-book of 4.01, position the company for investor interest in EV growth. Analyst forecasts project 25.59% revenue growth to 9.85B CNY in 2025, driven by expanding battery and semiconductor markets, with EPS growth at 20.79%. Further upside from 43.67% EPS growth in 2026 amid global green energy transitions. Threats 🛑 Regulatory pressures in China's chemical industry, including environmental standards and trade tensions, could impact operations. Competition from global battery material suppliers and commodity price volatility pose risks to margins, while geopolitical factors may affect supply chains. Intrinsic Value Calculation 💰 Value investing involves estimating intrinsic value to identify assets trading below their fundamental worth, with a margin of safety for uncertainties. We apply: Intrinsic Value = (Book Value per Share × Weight) + (EPS × Growth Multiplier), using a book weight (e.g., 0.5) for asset emphasis and a higher multiplier (e.g., 40) to account for strong growth projections in the sector. Using recent data: Book Value per Share = 13.33 CNY, Forward EPS = 1.53 CNY. Assume a 25% growth rate from revenue forecasts, justifying the elevated multiplier for sustainability. Calculation: - Book component: 13.33 × 0.5 = 6.665 - Earnings component: 1.53 × 40 = 61.2 - Intrinsic Value ≈ 6.665 + 61.2 = 67.865 CNY Compared to the current price of 46.80 CNY, 300037.SZ appears undervalued by over 30%, providing a solid margin of safety (e.g., 30-50% discount for risks like low debt but market volatility). 📉 Debt flags are minimal at 26% D/E, with robust growth (43.67% EPS in 2026) supporting long-term sustainability if expansion continues. Annotate intrinsic value lines in green on the chart, with current price in red for visual comparison. Entry Strategy Insights 🔍 Institutional strategies often target bottom-extreme zones, such as oversold levels from historical supports, for unleveraged long-term positions. A dollar-cost averaging approach allows scaling in during dips. For 300037.SZ, observe zones near 52-week lows amid sector rebounds, focusing on fundamentals like revenue momentum over transient volatility. Risk Management ⚠️ Position sizing should be limited to 1-5% of portfolio to contain risks. Diversify across tech and materials sectors to offset China-specific exposures, with long-term holds tied to growth in EV materials. Track debt and cash flow in quarterly reports, establishing exit points for adverse regulatory or macro changes. Conclusion This analysis spotlights Shenzhen Capchem's operational strengths and growth opportunities, tempered by valuation and external risks, with intrinsic calculations indicating meaningful upside for value-oriented approaches. Always verify independently via latest filings and professional guidance.
SZSE:300037
by DCAChampion
FinVolution Group (FINV) - A Quiet Giant on the Edge of Breakout⚡ FinVolution Group (FINV) — A Quiet Giant on the Edge of Breakout While everyone is chasing the inflated Big Tech bubble, a much quieter — and potentially far more explosive — opportunity is forming right now in the fintech and online lending space. That opportunity is FinVolution Group (FINV) — a Chinese and Southeast Asian fintech player that looks ready to break through its 2021 highs. Once that breakout happens, the move could be massive. 🔸 Fundamentals FinVolution has quietly turned a corner. Recent quarters have been consistently profitable — both revenue and EPS are growing. The most striking part? The forward P/E ratio is just 0.7 — yes, less than one. That’s an extraordinary valuation for a profitable fintech with expanding operations across multiple Asian markets. It’s a risky play, no doubt, but these are exactly the kind of setups that tend to drive portfolio growth over time: low valuation, improving financials, and clear technical breakout potential. 🔸 Technical Picture From a technical perspective, FINV is at the start of what looks like the third major wave of its long-term structure. Since 2021, the price has been consolidating sideways — but that phase seems to be ending now. Key resistance: $11 Current price: around $7 Breakout level: above $11 (with volume confirmation) First targets: $20 → $30 → $40 If the price breaks below $6, the bullish scenario pauses — it doesn’t collapse, but likely extends the sideways phase. That sets up a risk of roughly 10–15%, while the potential upside remains multiple times higher. The risk/reward profile here is exceptionally strong. 🔸 My Strategy I’m already positioned - entered near $7, with a stop-loss around $6. Once we approach $11, I plan to take partial profits and watch for a breakout confirmation. If we get a strong breakout above $11 with solid volume, that’s my next entry trigger. Then I’ll look to add on pullbacks, applying my call stacking strategy - building exposure gradually as the trend confirms and accelerates. 🚀 Summary FinVolution (FINV) shows a rare combination: ✅ Profitable growth ✅ Deep undervaluation ✅ Strong breakout setup It’s one of those asymmetric opportunities — where the downside is limited, but the upside could multiply several times over. If the $11 breakout confirms, this could easily become one of the most powerful fintech moves of the next few quarters. ⚡ Call to Action If you like this type of setup - low-risk, high-upside plays - tap 🚀 to support the idea, and drop a comment with tickers you’d like me to review next. (Full technical breakdown and strategy details are discussed in my latest videos — available via my profile.)
NYSE:FINVLong
by sdk-trading
Gold is unlikely to rebound significantly in the short term： I. Core Logic Analysis Current Market Drivers Bearish Factors: Progress in Ukraine peace talks cools risk aversion sentiment. Profit-taking and technical correction triggered by the previous rapid price increase. Exchanges raising margin requirements, forcing some positions to liquidate. Strengthening US Dollar Index, putting pressure on dollar-denominated gold. Bullish Factors: Underlying support remains from expectations of Fed rate cuts. The trend of global central bank gold buying continues (against the backdrop of de-dollarization). Long-term macroeconomic risks persist, solidifying gold's value as a safe-haven asset. Key Technical Signals Daily Chart: Tuesday's large bearish candlestick engulfed the previous day's gains; the 5-day moving average has turned downward, indicating short-term weakness. However, Wednesday's long lower shadow shows buying support exists below. 4-Hour Chart: A "bullish engulfing" pattern formed, but the price remains in a 4000-4160 range consolidation. A breakout from this range is needed to determine the direction. 1-Hour Chart: Moving averages are converging; MACD shows a golden cross but with limited momentum, suggesting the rebound is a technical correction rather than a trend reversal. II. Long-Short Battle and Operational Approach Short-Term Positioning: Entering a period of consolidation and repair after the sharp drop; low probability of a unilateral trend, but volatility remains high (potentially 100$-300$ intraday). Main Strategy: Buy low and sell high within the range, focusing particularly on the momentum rhythm on the minute chart (30-minute) to avoid holding positions against the trend. Key Price Levels: Resistance Zone: 4160-4185 (yesterday's high + previous high pressure on the 1-hour chart) Support Zone: 4010-4005 (integer psychological level + buffer zone near Tuesday's low) Strong Support: 3950 (potential extension target if 4050 breaks) III. Specific Trading Strategies Short Position Setup (Primary) Entry Zone: 4145-4155 Stop Loss: Above 4165 (to guard against false breakouts) Targets: 4100 → 4080 → 4050 Signal Confirmation: Look for signs like shrinking volume stagnation or small bearish candlesticks showing pressure after a rebound into the resistance zone. Long Position Setup (Secondary) Entry Zone: 4040-4050 Stop Loss: Below 4035 Targets: 4090 → 4130 Important Notes: Consider partial profit-taking near the 4000 integer psychological level; avoid blindly chasing the downside. IV. Risk Control Reminders Position Management: Single position ≤ 5% of capital; Total exposure ≤ 15%. Stop-Loss Discipline: Set strict stop-losses; avoid holding losing positions (increased volatility raises liquidation risk). Pacing: Prioritize tracking 30-minute momentum for entry, following the trend (avoid entering limit orders against the trend). Summary: Gold is in a phase of short-term consolidation amidst a long-term bullish outlook. Intraday strategy favors buying low and selling high within the 4160-4010 range. Follow the trend after a confirmed breakout from this range.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Aureus_Analytics
EURGBP: Bearish Forecast & Outlook Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURGBP pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Short
by UnitedSignals
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