Wave Analysis
BRCUUSD BULLISH OR TRAP (READ CAPTION)Hi trader's what do you think about BTCUSD
BTCUSD is currently developing a bullish setup, as the market is holding above key support levels and showing signs of buyer strength. Price is respecting the lower zones, indicating a possible continuation toward higher levels.
🔹 Support: 89,600
This is the primary support level where buyers have reacted previously.
As long as BTC stays above 89,600, bullish sentiment remains intact.
🔹 Strong Support: 89,000
This zone represents strong structural support.
If the market dips into 89,000, it is considered a high-probability demand area for buyers to re-enter.
🔹 Resistance: 92,200
This is the first bullish target, where short-term profit-taking may occur.
A breakout above 92,200 will strengthen bullish momentum.
🔹 Supply Zone: 94,000
This is the major supply zone where sellers may become active.
If BTC breaks above 94,000, the market could shift into a stronger bullish trend.
📈 Market Outlook
Holding above 89,600 / 89,000 → Bullish continuation expected
Break above 92,200 → Opens the way toward 94,000 supply zone
Supply at 94,000 will decide the next major directional move
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ETH ANALYSIS – 1h📊 ETH ANALYSIS – 1h
🔥 1. Key Fact on the Chart
We have a very strong upward impulse that:
Breaked the upper band of the descending channel (blue)
Touched the upper line of the ascending channel (orange)
Was immediately rejected (long wick)
The MACD shows extreme overbought + potential divergence in the making
Such a move usually indicates a short squeeze + profit-taking → i.e., a temporary weakening and a retest of the breakout.
🎯 2. Price areas I see on your chart
Green (resistance/TP for longs):
3479–3490 – structural highs, strong resistance
3420 – local resistance
3375 – first real resistance after the breakout
Red (support/defense levels of the structure):
3338–3348 – first test zone after the breakout
3293 – key level — sustain = trend continuation
3180–3200 – consolidation zone broken (likely retest)
📉 3. What does the current wick mean?
This giant wick signals:
short liquidations
lack of demand for a continuation after the first resistance breakout
high probability of a return to the range
possibility of a retest of the breakout (around 3185–3210)
This doesn't look like a classic breakout with a continuation, but rather a fakeout and the need for a correction.
📈 4. Scenarios
➡️ Bullish (more likely if 3293 holds)
Price falls to the 3338–3293 zone
Builds a local HH/HL
Starts a move to 3375, then 3420
If 3420 breaks → target 3480–3500
➡️ Bearish (if price loses 3293)
Retest from the bottom of 3293
Return to the blue channel
Target: 3185–3200
If this level breaks → 3050–3080 (lower band of the channel)
📟 5. MACD
MACD is:
extremely stretched
signal line begins to collapse
histogram decreases after Explosion
→ This almost always means a local intraday high + a drop to support.
ETH Is Entering the Trap Zone…ETHUSD Market Analysis – Price Is Entering a Make-or-Break Zone
1. Current Market Structure
- ETH has broken the previous downtrend (breakout from the descending trendline).
- After the breakout, price moved into the Moving Price Zone, consolidating inside an expanding channel.
- Price is now touching the RESISTANCE ZONE, showing clear signs of buying exhaustion.
- The SUPPORT ZONE below (green area) remains the key liquidity zone where strong demand has appeared before.
2. Today’s Scenario (Main Outlook)
🔹 Main Scenario – Bearish Reaction From Resistance
- ETH is likely to:
-Continue to move sideways inside the resistance area → a sign of fading bullish momentum.
-Then initiate a strong corrective drop, following the expanding wedge structure.
-Expected downward targets:
+ First support area
+ Or deeper → the main SUPPORT ZONE to collect liquidity.
Reasons:
- The resistance zone is too strong → multiple rejections.
- Price structure resembles a “distribution zone.”
- The current rising channel after breakout is only a temporary recovery.
3. Market Psychology
Traders turn cautious as ETH enters a major resistance area.
Smart money tends to distribute positions at high prices → leading to sideways top formation.
Buying liquidity weakens the closer price moves to resistance.
This hesitation often precedes a sharp correction phase.
4. Trading Outlook (Intraday)
📌 SELL Zone (High Probability)
3380 – 3420
TP1: 3230
TP2: 3050
SL: 3460
📌 BUY Zone (Re-entry – Low Risk)
2720 – 2800
TP: 2980 – 3050
SL: 2660
5. Conclusion
ETH is approaching a critical decision point:
Priority scenario: Sideways at resistance → followed by a downward move to support.
Bullish continuation only becomes valid if ETH breaks above 3440 with strong volume..
Stay patient. Smart money wins by waiting, not chasing. The next big move will reward discipline.
Bitcoin Monitor to take long entry <91000 To 95/96000>The entry trigger is not yet matured. The attached vid explains how to monitor market awaiting trigger to long. Target for 1st leg is <95000-96000>.
Profitable Trading
Summerset
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$BTCUSD: immediate short term target at $98KBITSTAMP:BTCUSD : I believe CRYPTOCAP:BTC will make a new ATH in 2026. However, whether it will sweep the $80.5K low before going up to ATHs is uncertain.
In Elliot Wave terms, we have completed an abc correction. However, this can be just A of a larger degree ABC or this can be the entire ABC correction.
Either way, in the immediate short term, I see CRYPTOCAP:BTC rallying to $98K+ to complete Wave 1 up or Wave B. $98K is the 38.2% retracement of the entire correction from $126.2K to $80.5K. And there is a measured move AB = CD target of $98.1K.
I expect resistance to be very fierce at $98K.
Wave 1/Wave B can go beyond $98K of course.
But let's not get ahead of ourselves. $94K is still a very strong resistance. The two converging trendlines provided resistance to this rally so far. It took the two converging lines to actually converge for CRYPTOCAP:BTC to get above both. Once $94K is overcome, $96K, then $98K.
BTC | 4HCRYPTOCAP:BTC — Quantum Model Projection
4H Zoom-In | Confirming Reversal Structure
As outlined in prior analyses, IG:BITCOIN surged 5.6% directly from the confluence of the support equivalence lines, confirming the development of a Leading Diagonal in the Minor Wave 1 position as the active reversal structure.
Price action has stabilized cleanly along these equivalence lines, which continue to function as dynamic structural support. Internal wave proportions remain precise with no rule violations, keeping the reversal framework fully intact and technically validated.
The reversal thesis remains favoured, with the Leading Diagonal still the most probable early-wave formation—an origin phase of the Primary degree uptrend.
The projected near-term Q-Target of $96,111.11 🎯 remains unchallenged, marking the extreme point at which the diagonal structure would likely reach completion. A move into this level would significantly strengthen the probability of BTC transitioning into the impulsive extension phase of the Primary Wave ⓹, offering strong confirmation of the broader uptrend’s continuation.
Notably, from my perspective, BTC may be in the initiating stage of Primary Wave ⓹ within the 2nd Cycle (the fifth wave of Wave III).
🔖 My monthly analysis is now pinned on my profile.
🔖 This potential reversal has been projected since Nov. 15 during the BTC decline.
🔖 This outlook is based on insights from my Quantum Models framework. Within this methodology, Q-targets are defined as high-probability possibilities generated by the confluence of equivalence lines. These equivalence lines also act as structural anchors, shaping the internal geometry of the model and guiding the evolution of alternative paths as price action progresses.
Monthly Metals Analysis: Gold (XAUUSD), Issue 212 The analyst expects XAUUSD’s price to rise by the specified end time, based on quantitative analysis.
The take-profit level only indicates the potential price range during this period — it’s optional and not a prediction that price will reach it.
You don’t need to go all-in or use leverage to trade wisely.
Allocating just a portion of your funds keeps overall risk minimal.
Our approach follows institutional portfolio principles — not the all-in or blow-up trading style often seen on social media.
Results are measured over the full time window, regardless of whether the take-profit level is hit.
The validity of this analysis is based on a specific time range (until 06 Jan 2025), and after this period, the analysis will be reviewed and updated (once every 28 days).
Next analysis : Monthly Metals Analysis: Silver (XAGUSD), Issue 212
Latest Gold Price Trading Strategies:
Current Market Background
This week, market focus is centered on the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision, which will be the final rate announcement of 2025 and is expected to have a decisive impact on gold trends. Market expectations for the timing of rate cuts have already shifted from March to May, strengthening the correlation between the US dollar and gold prices. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle East tensions continue to provide safe-haven support for gold. Additionally, easing global trade sentiment and attention on US economic data are influencing short-term demand for gold.
Technical Analysis
Overall Pattern
The intraday trend shows a slight oscillation with a downward bias, indicating an overall sideways consolidation phase.
Although gold previously broke below the double-bottom support at 4175, it did not continue declining to the prior low of 4163 or the 4150 level. Instead, it rebounded, suggesting underlying buying support.
Key Levels
Upper Resistance: 4220-4230 (short-term), 4245-4255 (trendline resistance)
Lower Support: 4180-4190 (short-term), 4175 (double bottom), 4163 (prior low)
Trend Logic
Historical data indicates that gold prices often rally ahead of Federal Reserve interest rate decisions.
The current decline may represent a bear trap, setting the stage for a pre-decision rally.
Until the consolidation range is decisively broken, chasing highs is not advisable. A buy-on-dips approach is recommended.
Today's Trading Strategy
Operational Approach
Primary Strategy: Buy on pullbacks
Secondary Strategy: Sell on rallies near resistance
Specific Strategies
Long Strategy (Buy)
Entry Zone: Around 4180-4190 (staggered entry)
Stop Loss: 8-10 USD
Target: 4210-4220
Breakout Extension: If gold decisively breaks above the 4230 resistance, consider adding to positions with targets at 4245-4255.
Short Strategy (Sell)
Entry Zone: Around 4220-4230 (staggered entry)
Stop Loss: 8-10 USD
Target: 4210-4200
Breakdown Extension: If support at 4190 is breached, further downside toward 4180 and below is possible.
Key Observation Points
4230 Breakout: A decisive break above this level would confirm short-term strength, allowing for additional long positions.
4245-4255 Zone: This area represents resistance formed by connecting previous downtrend highs. A breakout here would signal the start of a daily-chart rebound.
4180-4190 Support Zone: This is a critical defense line for bullish sentiment. A break below would weaken the short-term outlook.
Risk Warnings
Fed Decision Risk: The Wednesday announcement may trigger significant volatility. Consider light positions or staying sidelined ahead of the decision.
Strict Risk Control: Always use stop losses and avoid holding losing positions against the trend.
Position Management: Adjust position sizes according to individual risk tolerance.
Flexibility: Adjust strategies promptly if key price levels are breached.
Summary and Recommendations
Adopt a sideways-to-bullish bias for today, focusing on entering long positions in the 4180-4190 zone. If gold stabilizes above 4230, the rebound is likely to extend further. Given the cautious market sentiment ahead of the Fed decision, employ a disciplined approach with staggered entries and strict stop-loss management.
NZDCHF Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.466.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.463 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Nasdaq Outlook: 25,800 Resistance, FOMC, and HolidaysNasdaq redirected gains back toward the 25,800 mark, a level that could confirm another surge to record highs above 26,300, or signal extended consolidation depending on the upcoming FOMC tone and ongoing concerns around tech sector overvaluation.
On the daily time frame, Nasdaq is hovering just below 25,800 resistance — the final barrier before retesting the 26,300 record high. A breakout above that level could unlock upside targets of 27,000 and 27,700.
However:
• If prices fail to hold and bearish sentiment emerges, a drop back below 25,200 is expected to extend declines toward 24,800, 24,400, and 23,900.
• The 23,900 level also acts as a potential double top neckline if prices pull back again from the 26,000 zone. A clean break below 23,900 would confirm a double-top formation, targeting 23,500 and 22,900.
These levels are derived using the Fibonacci extension tool based on the 2025 peak, the 23,900 low, and the 25,800 high.
While individual charts suggest consolidation risks, the divergence between gold and silver, alongside the contracting price action in the Dow Jones since 2020, adds caution regarding further highs until clear confirmations emerge.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,202.78
Target Level: 4,170.08
Stop Loss: 4,224.41
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPNZD: Bullish Forecast & Bullish Scenario
Balance of buyers and sellers on the GBPNZD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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