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NZDCHF Technical Analysis! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for NZDCHF is below: The market is trading on 0.4629 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 0.4649 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
GUBRF Turkish stock In my opinion,Gubrf even if it makes new highs it seems like an under correction...Which in this case it seems like a big Flat correction,in this particular case wave A of the Flat also a flat itself...If that scneraio proven itself correct than it's a huge think...Many people belive small traders get caught up in the downside corrections by manipulations but i don't see it that way.. There are multiple patterns in EWP which repeats itself over and over again...We will see if my analysis is correct or not,i expect a 5 wave move down stongly after it completes wave B of the flat... The other scneraio is that is not a flat but WXY correction means again move to the downside but the difference is it will not go down in 5 waves but 3... Any case people should pay attention those scneraios.
BIST:GUBRF
by ey010
NZDUSD Will Collapse! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for NZDUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.5813 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 0.5796 Recommended Stop Loss - 0.5824 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/USD is positioned at the top of two long-term channelsAs you can see, EUR/USD OANDA:EURUSD is currently testing the upper boundary of two major channels on both the weekly and daily timeframes. 1) Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily chart, the dollar completed a five-wave impulsive move into the channel’s upper resistance. After reaching this level, price has started a correction. Wave A has already finished with a clear five-wave structure. Price is now forming wave B. Based on the current structure, wave B is likely to extend: At minimum, into the Gap Zone, and At maximum, into the Resistance Zone (both areas are clearly marked on the daily chart). From either of these areas, I expect the beginning of wave C, which will likely push the pair down toward the Support Zone. 2) Weekly Timeframe Confirmation In the weekly chart (Chart B), EUR/USD has reached: The top of its major ascending channel, and The 100% extension of the previous leg. This confluence significantly strengthens the bearish scenario. 3) Additional Charts Coming I will also upload the hourly EUR/USD chart on my TradingView page to provide a clearer and more detailed outlook. 4) Follow for More Analysis Feel free to follow me on TradingView to catch all my analyses and live stock trades. I’d be happy to hear your thoughts and feedback.
Short
by AG-Precision-Trading
Swap Trading Secrets1. What Is a Swap? A swap is a contract between two parties to exchange cash flows or financial obligations for a specified period. These exchanges typically involve interest rates, currencies, commodities, or credit risks. Think of a swap like this: You have one type of cash flow. I have another. We exchange them because each of us prefers the other’s structure. This exchange helps both parties balance risk, stabilize cash flows, or lock in profits. Swaps are custom-designed, traded over the counter (OTC), and not listed on exchanges. 2. Major Types of Swaps To understand swap trading secrets, you first need to know the main types used globally: 1. Interest Rate Swaps (IRS) Most common type. Party A pays a fixed rate. Party B pays a floating rate. Useful for: Hedging interest costs. Managing debt efficiently. 2. Currency Swaps Exchange principal + interest in different currencies. Useful for: Reducing currency risk. Accessing foreign loans at cheaper rates. 3. Commodity Swaps Fixed vs floating commodity prices. Useful for: Hedging input costs (oil, metals, agri). Locking profit margins. 4. Credit Default Swaps (CDS) Insurance against bond default. Useful for: Hedging credit risk. Speculating on company survival. 5. Equity Swaps Exchange equity returns for interest or another equity index. Useful for: Gaining exposure without owning the asset directly. 3. Why Swaps Are Considered a “Secret Weapon” Swaps provide powerful advantages that many traders do not see: A. Hidden Leverage Institutions gain exposure to markets: WITHOUT owning assets, WITHOUT large upfront capital. This makes swaps an efficient way to amplify returns. B. Off-Balance-Sheet Benefits Swaps can shift risks without moving assets on books, making financial statements look cleaner. C. Customization Unlike futures, swaps are tailor-made: Amount Duration Payment structure Asset type Currency This gives institutions almost unlimited flexibility. D. Access to Better Pricing Banks and hedge funds use swaps to: Access lower foreign interest rates Reduce borrowing costs Hedge exposures cheaply This pricing advantage is one of the biggest swap trading secrets. E. Tax Optimization Some institutions use swaps to: Receive returns without triggering capital gains Change income types for tax benefits 4. How Institutions Actually Use Swap Trading Now let’s explore the real-world secrets of how swaps are used. Secret 1: Hedging Interest Rate Risk Like a Pro When interest rates rise or fall, companies with loans face huge cost changes. So they use Interest Rate Swaps: If expecting rates to rise → pay fixed, receive floating. If expecting rates to fall → receive fixed, pay floating. This stabilizes their cash flows. Example: A company with a floating-rate loan fears rising rates. They enter a swap to pay 5% fixed and receive floating. If floating rates shoot to 8%, the swap saves them millions. Secret 2: Currency Swaps for Cheaper Global Loans Corporations often borrow in foreign currencies. But banks offer different interest rates in different countries. So companies use currency swaps to borrow where rates are cheaper, then swap back to their local currency. Example: An Indian company might borrow yen at 1% instead of rupees at 7%, then swap obligations with a Japanese firm. This cuts financing cost dramatically. Secret 3: Equity Exposure Without Buying Shares Hedge funds love equity swaps because they: Get full market returns Avoid ownership reporting Avoid voting rights Avoid taxes on buying/selling stocks Can build secret positions This is how some funds take huge equity bets without showing them publicly. Secret 4: Commodity Swaps to Lock Prices Years Ahead Airlines, manufacturers, and refiners use commodity swaps to stabilize costs. Example: An airline may fix jet fuel prices for three years through swaps, eliminating volatility. This ensures consistent profit margins regardless of market swings. Secret 5: Credit Default Swaps for Hidden Speculation CDS contracts let traders “bet” on whether a company will default. Professionals use CDS to: Hedge corporate bond exposure Take leveraged positions on credit quality Profit from market panic or recovery Some hedge funds made billions during the 2008 crisis via CDS trades. 5. Secret Trading Strategies Using Swaps Let’s break down advanced strategies used in swap trading. A. Swap Spread Trading Traders exploit differences between: Swap rates Government bond yields If swap spreads widen or narrow unexpectedly, traders enter opposite positions to profit from mean reversion. B. Curve Steepening / Flattening Strategies Traders use interest rate swaps to bet on the shape of the yield curve. Steepener: receive fixed (long end), pay fixed (short end) Flattener: opposite These are used when expecting macroeconomic shifts. C. Currency Basis Arbitrage Banks exploit differences between: Currency forward rates Interest rate differentials Swap rates This arbitrage generates low-risk profits. D. Synthetic Asset Exposure Traders use swaps to create: Synthetic bonds Synthetic equity positions Synthetic commodities This avoids capital requirements and tax implications. E. Hedged Carry Trades Funds borrow in low-rate currencies and swap into higher-rate currencies while hedging currency risk. This generates predictable “carry” income. 6. Key Risks in Swap Trading Swaps are powerful, but they carry risks: 1. Counterparty Risk If your swap partner defaults, you lose. (This is what happened with Lehman Brothers.) 2. Liquidity Risk Swaps cannot be easily sold like stocks. 3. Interest Rate / Market Risk If the market moves against your swap position, you face large losses. 4. Valuation Complexity Swaps require mark-to-market calculations. 5. Legal & Operational Risk Documentation errors can cause disputes. 7. Why Retail Traders Rarely Use Swaps Swaps require: Large contracts Institutional relationships Legal agreements Creditworthiness Sophisticated pricing models However, retail traders indirectly benefit through: Mutual funds ETFs Banks Derivative products These institutions use swaps behind the scenes to improve performance. Conclusion Swap trading is one of the financial world’s most powerful, secretive, and flexible tools. Institutions use swaps to hedge risk, create leverage, optimize taxes, reduce financing costs, and structure sophisticated trading strategies across interest rates, currencies, commodities, and credit. Even though retail traders rarely trade swaps directly, understanding them gives you insights into how the world’s largest financial players operate. If you understand swap dynamics, you gain a deeper understanding of global money flows, risk management, and institutional market behavior.
TVC:US10YEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
International Market Insights1. What Are International Markets? International markets refer to financial markets operating across countries—where global investors trade stocks, currencies, bonds, commodities, and derivatives. These markets include: a) Global Stock Markets Major exchanges such as: NYSE & Nasdaq (USA) London Stock Exchange (UK) Tokyo Stock Exchange (Japan) Shanghai & Hong Kong Stock Exchange (China) Euronext (Europe) India's NSE & BSE (Emerging Markets) International stock markets reflect global corporate earnings, economic health, and geopolitical stability. b) Forex (Foreign Exchange Market) The largest financial market globally, trading: Major pairs (EUR/USD, USD/JPY) Cross pairs (EUR/JPY) Emerging market currencies (INR, BRL) Forex movements show real-time global economic sentiment. c) Commodity Markets Global commodities such as: Crude oil Gold & silver Natural gas Base metals (Copper, Zinc) Agricultural products (Soybean, Wheat) d) Bond Markets Sovereign and corporate bonds traded internationally reflect interest rates, inflation expectations, and risk appetite. 2. Why International Markets Matter International markets provide insights into global: Liquidity flow Economic trends Risk appetite Corporate performance Currency stability Commodity cycles For a trader or investor, global markets act like a “leading indicator.” For example: If the U.S. markets fall sharply, Asian markets often open lower. If crude oil prices rise, inflation risk increases globally. If the USD strengthens, emerging markets often see capital outflows. Understanding international markets allows better decision-making in: Equity investing Forex trading Commodity trading Options & derivatives Business planning and imports/exports 3. Major Drivers of International Markets A. Economic Indicators Global markets move on key macroeconomic data such as: GDP growth Interest rates Inflation (CPI, WPI) Unemployment rate Manufacturing PMI Retail sales Trade balance For example: Higher U.S. inflation → Higher chances of Federal Reserve rate hike → Strengthening USD → Weakening global equities. B. Central Bank Policies Central banks such as the Federal Reserve (Fed), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of Japan (BOJ), and Reserve Bank of India (RBI) influence global liquidity. Higher interest rates restrict liquidity → markets fall. Lower interest rates create liquidity → markets rally. C. Geopolitical Events Events such as: wars, sanctions, elections, trade disputes, diplomatic tensions, immediately affect international markets. Example: Russia–Ukraine war → Crude oil and natural gas prices surged globally. U.S.–China trade war → Impact on global supply chains and tech stocks. D. Currency Movement Currency fluctuations affect: Import/export costs, Foreign investment, Commodity prices. If USD rises: Commodities like gold and crude become expensive. Emerging market currencies weaken. E. Corporate Earnings Global companies like Apple, Tesla, Amazon, Samsung, and Toyota influence global investor sentiment. Positive earnings → global market rally Negative earnings → global correction 4. Key Global Market Trends to Track 1. US Market Trends The U.S. market influences almost every other market. Key indices include: Dow Jones S&P 500 Nasdaq 100 Why important? US technology and financial institutions dominate global markets. The USD is the world’s reserve currency. 2. European Market Outlook Important indices: FTSE 100 (UK) DAX (Germany) CAC 40 (France) Europe’s data impacts: Auto sector Banking Energy markets 3. Asian Markets Key markets: Nikkei (Japan) Hang Seng (Hong Kong) Shanghai Composite (China) Nifty & Sensex (India) Asia is crucial for: Manufacturing Global supply chains Technology components Emerging market growth 4. Crude Oil Trends Crude oil affects: Inflation Transportation Trade deficit Currency movement Countries like India are heavily impacted by crude prices. 5. Gold Trends Gold is a “safe-haven asset.” During fear or recession: Gold prices rise Stock markets fall 6. Bond Yields US Bond yield (10-year) is a critical global indicator. Rising yields → risk-off sentiment. Falling yields → risk-on sentiment. 5. How International Markets Impact India India is one of the world’s fastest-growing emerging markets. Global cues directly influence Indian equities, forex, and commodities. a) US Market Impact If the US markets fall: FIIs withdraw from India Nifty & Sensex fall INR weakens b) Dollar Index (DXY) Rising DXY → pressure on emerging markets Falling DXY → relief rally in equities and commodities c) Crude Oil Movement Higher crude = higher inflation = possible RBI rate hike d) Global Risk Appetite If global funds shift to safe assets such as bonds or gold, emerging markets see outflows. 6. Tools Used to Analyze International Markets 1. Economic Calendar Tracks global economic events impacting market volatility. 2. Market Correlation Analysis Example: Nifty is highly correlated with S&P 500. Gold is inversely correlated with USD. 3. Volume Profile & Market Structure You can analyze: Price action Value areas Global liquidity zones (Useful for your interest in volume profile and structure-based trading.) 4. Global Indices Screeners Tools to monitor: Pre-market data Futures International indices Currency heatmaps Commodity charts 5. Central Bank Commentary Federal Reserve statements often drive global markets for weeks. 7. Key Risks in International Markets A. Geopolitical Risk War, terrorism, sanctions. B. Economic Policy Risk Changes in: Taxes Trade tariffs Government spending C. Currency Risk Sudden currency crashes affect global trade. D. Interest Rate Risk Rapid rate hikes cause: Stock market crash Bond market volatility Capital flight from emerging markets E. Commodity Price Shock Crude oil spikes can trigger global recession fears. F. Systemic Risk Banking crisis, global debt crisis, or recession. 8. Future Trends Shaping International Markets 1. AI & Technology Dominance AI, cloud computing, EVs, semiconductors will drive global market cycles. 2. De-dollarization Debate Countries exploring alternative settlement systems could impact USD strength. 3. Supply Chain Realignment Shift from China to India, Vietnam, Mexico. 4. Green Energy Revolution Solar, hydrogen, EV batteries creating new global winners. 5. Digital Currencies CBDCs (Central Bank Digital Currencies) will reshape global payments & forex markets. Conclusion International markets operate like a complex web connecting economies, currencies, commodities, and financial flows worldwide. Understanding these markets provides powerful insights into global opportunities, economic cycles, and risk management. For traders and investors—especially in countries like India—tracking global cues such as US market trends, crude oil, USD movement, geopolitical events, and central bank policies is essential for making informed decisions.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Inflation Impact on the Market1. Impact on Stock Market Inflation influences stock markets in complex ways, creating both opportunities and risks for traders and investors. a. Corporate Earnings and Profit Margins When inflation rises, companies face higher costs for raw materials, labor, transportation, and utilities. If businesses cannot pass these costs to customers through higher prices, their profit margins shrink. Lower profits often lead to a decline in stock prices because investors expect reduced future earnings. b. Investor Sentiment High inflation creates uncertainty. Investors begin to worry about: Reduced consumer spending Declining profitability Increased interest rates Slower economic growth This negative sentiment causes selling pressure in equity markets, especially in growth stocks. c. Sector-Wise Impact Inflation does not affect all sectors equally: Beneficiaries: Energy, commodities, metal, mining, and FMCG often benefit because they can pass on higher costs to customers. Losers: Technology, banking, real estate, and discretionary sectors often struggle because their valuations depend heavily on future growth. When inflation rises, the present value of future earnings decreases. d. Value Stocks vs. Growth Stocks Value stocks generally perform better during high inflation because they have stable cash flows today. Growth stocks tend to underperform because higher inflation reduces the future value of their expected earnings. 2. Impact on Bond Market Bonds are significantly affected by inflation because their returns are fixed. a. Rising Inflation Reduces Bond Value When inflation rises, the real return on bonds falls. For example, if a bond gives 6% interest and inflation rises to 7%, the bond has a negative real return of –1%. As a result, investors sell bonds, causing bond prices to fall and yields to rise. b. Central Bank Response To control inflation, central banks like the RBI typically raise interest rates. Higher interest rates push bond yields upward and reduce the attractiveness of older bonds with lower rates. c. Impact on Long-Term Bonds Long-term bonds suffer more during inflation because they lock in low interest rates for many years. Investors shift to short-term bonds or inflation-protected bonds. 3. Impact on Currency Market Inflation directly influences exchange rates and currency strength. a. Weakening Domestic Currency When inflation rises in a country faster than its trading partners: The domestic currency loses value Imports become costlier Foreign investors withdraw money A weak currency increases inflation even more because imported goods like crude oil, electronics, and chemicals become more expensive. b. Foreign Investment Outflows High inflation reduces real returns for foreign investors. They move money to stable and low-inflation countries like the U.S., causing depreciation of the domestic currency. 4. Impact on Commodity Market Commodity markets are highly sensitive to inflation because commodities are physical goods used in production. a. Commodities Act as an Inflation Hedge During inflation, investors prefer: Gold Silver Oil Natural Gas Metals These commodities usually rise in value, making them a hedge against inflation. b. Cost-Push Inflation When commodity prices rise, the cost of production increases for companies. This leads to: Higher retail prices Reduced consumer spending Lower corporate profits This is known as cost-push inflation, which slows economic growth. 5. Impact on Real Estate Market Inflation influences real estate in multiple ways. a. Rising Property Prices Inflation increases the cost of construction materials like cement, steel, and labor. This results in: Higher property prices Increased rental yields Real estate is often seen as a hedge against inflation. b. Higher Interest Rates Affect Demand When central banks raise interest rates: Home loans become expensive Demand for housing slows Real estate transactions reduce Thus, inflation can both push real estate prices up (due to costs) and reduce demand (due to financing costs). 6. Impact on Consumers Inflation directly hits consumers’ pockets. a. Reduced Purchasing Power Consumers can buy fewer goods and services with the same amount of money. This reduces: Savings Consumption Discretionary spending (luxury items) b. Shift in Spending Patterns Consumers prioritize essentials: Food Utilities Healthcare Transport and reduce spending on: Travel Clothing Electronics Dining out This shift affects sectors differently in the stock market. 7. Impact on Businesses Companies face several challenges during inflation. a. Higher Operating Costs Input costs such as raw materials, transportation, and wages increase. Companies must decide whether to: Pass higher costs to customers Absorb the impact and reduce margins b. Uncertain Forecasting Inflation makes it difficult for businesses to plan: Budgets Future investments Expansion strategies High unpredictability leads to slower business growth. c. Wage Inflation Employees demand higher salaries to maintain living standards. Companies face increased payroll costs, which affects earnings. 8. Impact on Economic Growth Inflation influences the broader economy through multiple channels. a. High Inflation Slows Growth If inflation rises too fast: Consumption decreases Investment slows Borrowing becomes expensive Business expansion reduces This leads to slower GDP growth. b. Risk of Stagflation Stagflation refers to a situation where: Inflation is high Growth is low Unemployment is rising This is considered the worst-case economic scenario. c. Central Bank Intervention To control inflation, RBI raises interest rates and tightens monetary policy. Although this helps reduce inflation, it can slow economic momentum. 9. Impact on Investment Strategies Traders and investors change strategies based on inflation trends. a. Portfolio Rebalancing Investors move money from: Growth stocks → value stocks Bonds → commodities Domestic investments → foreign markets b. Defensive Stocks Become Attractive During inflation, sectors like: FMCG Utilities Pharma perform better because demand for their products remains stable. Conclusion Inflation plays a central role in shaping financial markets, economic conditions, business decisions, and investment strategies. While mild inflation indicates a healthy and growing economy, high or unpredictable inflation can create wide-ranging negative effects—market volatility, currency depreciation, reduced corporate earnings, and slower economic growth. Understanding how inflation impacts different sectors and asset classes helps investors make informed decisions and adapt their strategies based on current economic conditions.
CME_MINI:MES1!Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
#ZRO/USDT could be another strong contender #ZRO The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 1.33. The price has bounced from this zone multiple times and is expected to bounce again. We have a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement. Entry price: 1.40 First target: 1.43 Second target: 1.47 Third target: 1.54 Don't forget a simple principle: money management. Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
GBPJPY Expected Growth! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for GBPJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 208.29 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 208.53 My Stop Loss - 208.16 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
#SEI/USDT - Final Support Before a Major Reversal or Breakdown#SEI The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 0.1330. The price has bounced from this level multiple times and is expected to bounce again. We have a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement. Entry price: 0.1342 First target: 0.1388 Second target: 0.1440 Third target: 0.1508 Don't forget a simple principle: money management. Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
#GALA/USDT — Holding the Last Fortres, Recovery or Final Break#GALA The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 0.00700. The price has bounced from this zone multiple times and is expected to bounce again. We have a trend towards stability above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement. Entry price: 0.00714 First target: 0.00721 Second target: 0.00741 Third target: 0.00763 Don't forget a simple principle: money management. Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
GBPAUD Is Going Down! Short! Take a look at our analysis for GBPAUD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 2.009. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.999 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1