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Wave Analysis

AUDCHF Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on AUDCHF and concluded the following: The market is trading on 0.5331 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 0.5345 Safe Stop Loss - 0.5323 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
GBPUSD | Fed Cut Day While Cable Presses a Bull Flag With the Fed expected to deliver a 25 bps cut, GBPUSD is moving into the event with a constructive tone. The USD side of the equation will likely dominate intraday flows, while the market weighs how quickly the Fed is willing to ease from here. Technical Lens: Cable has carved out a clean bull-flag structure after the sharp early-December impulse. Price is now testing the upper boundary of the flag. A break would keep the broader recovery from the November lows intact, while a rejection would maintain the consolidation channel. Scenarios: Scenario A – Hawkish-leaning Fed (USD firmer): If Powell emphasises data dependence and signals limited appetite for rapid easing, GBPUSD may remain capped by the flag’s upper boundary and rotate lower within the structure. Scenario B – Dovish Fed tone (USD softer): If guidance hints at a faster or deeper easing path, GBPUSD could break out of the flag to the upside, re-engaging the broader uptrend from the 1.30s toward the next resistance zone above 1.3450. Catalysts: FOMC decision and statement SEP/dot plot revisions Powell’s press conference tone Takeaway: This bull-flag is the decision zone: rejection keeps GBPUSD in consolidation; a breakout on dovish messaging opens continuation potential.
by Alchemy Markets
Gold is about to rebound, presenting a buying opportunity!Since last week, the gold market has seen a narrowing of trading range, with an overall cautious trend. Current price action shows gold continuing last week's consolidation pattern. While there was a slight upward move after the opening, it encountered resistance near 4220 during the US session and fell back, with the overall volatility largely in line with expectations. From a technical perspective, the hourly chart shows gold in a short-term downtrend. The price has broken below major moving averages and the Bollinger Band's middle band, and is trading below it, reflecting relatively weak bullish momentum. However, the price is currently stabilizing around 4190, showing initial signs of bottoming out. Given the current market environment, short-term trading can still consider buying on dips, with a suggested strategy of building positions in batches within the 4165-4185 range. If the price breaks below 4150, a stop-loss order should be placed immediately, awaiting a clearer entry point. The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or you agree with my ideas, please like and follow to support me! All strategies have a limited lifespan. While referring to them, it's also important to closely monitor market changes. I will respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will provide specific updates in the channel!
FOREXCOM:GOLDLong
by Martin_Trading_Guide
Bitcoin vs. Tech: The "Catch-Up" PlayThe market is whispering a secret: Tech (QQQ) is leaving Bitcoin behind. While the Nasdaq has already smashed through resistance and is sprinting higher, Bitcoin is stuck napping in a descending channel. But in trading, divergence is just opportunity in disguise. The Setup: The Pattern: Bitcoin is painting a textbook Bull Flag—a pause that refreshes. The Signal: Look at the Cyan Diamonds appearing right now on the BTC chart. Historically, these specific algo prints mark the exact moment "smart money" starts accumulating before the next leg up. The macro bull trend is still very much alive despite the short-term noise. The Trade: Bitcoin is coiled like a spring. If the correlation holds, BTC is due to "catch up" to the QQQ breakout. Watch for a break above the upper blue trendline. If that snaps, the nap is over, and the race is back on. Current Status: Loading the next impulse move up.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CustomQuantLabs
DXY | Fed Cut Day Inside an Ascending Channel – What’s Next?The Fed is widely expected to deliver another 25 bps cut today, taking the funds rate down toward the 3.75–4.00% range – the third step lower this year. Markets seem more focused on Powell’s tone and the new dot plot than the cut itself, with a lot of debate inside the FOMC about how fast to ease from here. Technical Lens: On the 1H chart, DXY is grinding higher from the 99.00 area in a neat ascending channel. Price is mid-structure for now, with the upper channel boundary aligning broadly with the prior supply zone around 99.50–99.70, while the lower channel line and recent swing lows cluster just under 99.00 as short-term support. Scenarios: Scenario A – Hawkish-leaning cut (USD bullish): If Powell leans hawkish despite the cut – stressing “data dependence,” limited room for aggressive easing, and concern about still-sticky inflation – DXY could hold the lower half of this channel and work its way toward the upper boundary and that 99.50–99.70 resistance area. Scenario B – Dovish surprise / guidance (USD bearish): If the statement and dots signal a quicker or deeper easing path, or Powell sounds comfortable with looser financial conditions, DXY might lose the channel support (a clean break below ~99.00), opening room for a push back toward the recent lows beneath the structure. Catalysts: FOMC rate decision & statement Updated SEP/dot plot Powell’s press conference Q&A, especially comments on growth risks vs. inflation risks Takeaway: I’m using this little ascending channel as my decision zone: hold the lower bound with hawkish-ish messaging and DXY can keep grinding higher toward 99.50–99.70; lose the channel on a dovish surprise and the downside opens back up.
TVC:DXY
by Alchemy Markets
eth is poised to go below 2k into january.gm, as we near the holidays, and many people begin to believe that the bottom is in, i see a scenario that few are discussing. all i hear these days is how qe is beginning, how rates are getting cut, and how crypto adoption is taking place globally, but the price action does not reflect this sentiment, yet. the main reason for this, in my opinion, is i believe we're in a corrective move; specifically, the 4th wave, of this 5 waves down from the recent all time highs. --- 4th wave are categorized the moves which trap the most amount of traders. they create uncertainty, after an already long downtrend, and people start entering into a state of hopium \ complacency one final time before the last flush out takes place in the trend. that flushout, is designed to push all of the complacency and hopium out of the market by a large institution, who preys on the stops + liquidations of the small traders for liquidity purposes. --- which brings me to my point here; i believe ethereum will sweep the november low one more time, before some sort of sustained uptrend begins. whether that uptrend will be corrective, or impulsive will be determined by how we begin to come up. i have a few theory-crafts about what this move down could be, and even how it could be marking the end of a flat, rather than the beginning of the highly anticipated bear market that everyone keeps talking about. --- 🎯 = low 2k region
CME:ETH1!
by lunarsyndicate9
CHFJPY Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for CHFJPY below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 194.94 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 194.09 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear friends, GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 4196.0 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 4203.1 Recommended Stop Loss - 4192.0 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
BTC/USDT Analysis. News-Driven Activity Hello everyone! CryptoRobotics trader-analyst here, and this is the daily market analysis. Yesterday, Bitcoin surged and reached our resistance zone at $94,000–$97,500 (volume area) after the release of positive U.S. labor market data. At the moment, we are observing signs of buyer weakness: recent local highs are updated without momentum, and after testing the local support at $92,000 (pushing volume), the buyer is not showing initiative. Delta imbalance has shifted back toward sellers. A key area to watch is around ~$93,500, where the highest concentration of absorbed spot-buying volume is located. If the price tests this level and reacts, we consider short positions targeting the 87,800–86,400 support. An additional scenario is a repeated fake breakout of the local high. In this case, the downside potential remains the same. Alternative scenario: a confident breakout of the current high. If this happens, the trading priority shifts fully to longs, and we will look for long setups on a retest, with targets above $100,000. Buy Zones • 87,800–86,400 (volume zone) • $84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies) Sell Zones • $94,000–$97,500 (volume zone) • $101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volume) • $105,800–$106,600 (local resistance) This publication is not financial advice.
Short
by Crypto_robotics
Shorting Gold. ReentryYesterday, we had a clear setup showing accumulation, manipulation, and distribution everything lined up for a sell opportunity. The initial entry was valid, but it looks like there wasn’t enough volume in the market, so price consolidated and eventually knocked us out of the position. So I waited, reassessed, and made a reentry at a better level to fill in the sells properly. Right now, price has been consolidating for a while, which again shows that volume is still weak, so movement is not as aggressive as expected. Let’s see what happens next I'm in the sell, positioned correctly this time, and waiting for volume to kick in so the move can play out.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by JudeOseiBonsu
$MSFT double top into resistance is a loud sell signalGM traders — just re-entered a NASDAQ:MSFT short. The double top into resistance was a loud “sell” signal for me. Fundamental backdrop is lining up too: several outlets citing Reuters/enterprise checks say Microsoft cut AI sales growth targets after reps missed quotas and customers were slower to adopt “AI agents.” That reads as near-term demand friction for parts of Copilot/agent monetization. Even if Azure remains strong, this kind of headline is a sentiment hit — it suggests the AI revenue ramp may be bumpier than bulls were pricing in.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Swing_Trader_Saan
Hedge Fund Secrets in the World Trade Market 1. Information Advantage: The Core Hedge Fund Secret The biggest hedge fund edge is not insider information (illegal), but information asymmetry—getting better data faster. A. Alternative Data Top funds purchase high-quality alternative datasets that retail traders don’t have access to: Satellite imagery (counting cars in parking lots to estimate retail sales) Shipping and cargo movement data Social media sentiment analysis using AI Credit card transaction data Web-scraping of e-commerce prices Weather and climate analytics (commodity trading) These datasets reveal market trends weeks before they appear in official reports. B. Faster News Pipelines Whether through Bloomberg terminals, machine-reading of news, or proprietary data feeds, hedge funds receive market-moving information seconds or minutes before the public, increasing their edge in fast-moving markets. 2. Quantitative Models: The Math Behind Market Domination Hedge funds rely heavily on quantitative trading, using statistical models to predict price movements across global markets. A. Statistical Arbitrage This method identifies price imbalances between related assets: Pair trading (e.g., Coke vs Pepsi) Mean reversion strategies Baskets of correlated stocks When prices deviate from historical relationships, quant funds place trades based on probability, not emotion. B. Machine Learning Models ML models recognize patterns invisible to human eyes: Trend prediction using neural networks Volatility forecasting Natural language processing to analyze corporate statements Large funds like Renaissance Technologies, Two Sigma, and DE Shaw have entire teams dedicated to maximizing machine intelligence. C. High-Frequency Trading (HFT) Some hedge funds use HFT to execute trades in microseconds using: Colocated servers (physically placed next to stock exchange servers) Ultra-low latency networks Algorithmic order-routing This allows them to profit from tiny price discrepancies millions of times per day. 3. Global Macro Strategy: Understanding Forces That Move the World Global macro hedge funds study worldwide events to position trades across currencies, commodities, bonds, and equities. A. Interest Rate Differentials Funds constantly monitor central bank actions (Fed, ECB, BOJ, RBI). For example: If the US Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates → hedge funds buy risk assets. If Japan keeps rates ultra-low → funds borrow yen and invest in higher-yielding currencies (carry trades). B. Geopolitical Intelligence Hedge funds track: Elections Wars and conflicts Trade agreements Economic sanctions Oil supply disruptions A sophisticated geopolitical model helps them anticipate market shocks before they fully unfold. C. Commodity Cycles Macro funds monitor: OPEC decisions (oil) Global demand–supply balance (metals) Weather-based agricultural forecasts They position trades in futures and options accordingly. 4. Liquidity Hunting: How Hedge Funds Trap Retail Traders A key secret: hedge funds focus not on price, but on liquidity pools—areas in the chart where clusters of stop-losses and pending orders accumulate. A. Stop-Loss Hunting Retail traders place predictable: Stop losses below support Stop losses above resistance Hedge funds accumulate positions by pushing price temporarily beyond these levels to capture liquidity before reversing the trend. B. Fake Breakouts (Bull & Bear Traps) Institutions intentionally create: False breakouts above resistance False breakdowns below support This triggers retail entries, then the price sharply reverses. C. Volume Absorption When price stays flat but volume is high, hedge funds often absorb supply quietly before initiating a strong directional move. 5. Short Selling: Turning Market Fear into Profit Hedge funds master the art of short selling—not just betting against stocks, but strategic short positioning. A. Identifying Weakness They analyze: High debt companies Fraud-suspected firms Overvalued growth stocks Firms with deteriorating fundamentals B. Activist Short Selling Some funds publish detailed reports exposing: Accounting manipulation Governance issues Unsustainable debt structures This causes panic selling and boosts their short-side profits. C. Hedging Long Positions Short positions often act as insurance against market crashes. 6. Multi-Asset Diversification: Trading Across the Entire World The world market is not just stocks. Hedge funds trade: Equities Bonds FX Commodities Crypto Real estate derivatives Volatility indices (VIX) Carbon credits Diversification allows them to profit in multiple sectors simultaneously, regardless of market direction. 7. Risk Management: The Most Important Hedge Fund Secret Retail traders lose money because of emotional decisions. Hedge funds dominate because they follow rigorous risk frameworks. A. Position Sizing Based on Volatility Hedge funds adjust trade size based on: Implied volatility Historical volatility Correlation risk B. Stop-Loss Structures They use algorithmically calculated stop levels, not emotional ones. C. Scenario Analysis Risk teams run simulations: What if interest rates spike? What if oil collapses? What if a war breaks out? Positions are adjusted long before crises occur. D. Portfolio Hedging They hedge portfolios using: Options strategies Futures contracts Cross-asset hedges (e.g., long gold when equities look risky) 8. Leverage and Derivatives: Multiplying Profits Hedge funds frequently use leverage in a controlled manner. A. Using Derivatives for Exposure Instead of buying stocks outright, they use: Futures Options Swaps (especially total return swaps) These instruments offer: Higher leverage Lower capital requirement Tax advantages B. Liquidity Leverage Banks extend credit to hedge funds at low interest rates, allowing them to scale positions. 9. Behavioral Finance: Exploiting Human Emotions Hedge funds track psychological patterns in retail traders: Fear of missing out (FOMO) Panic selling Herd mentality Overconfidence after a winning streak Algorithms quantify these emotional patterns and trade against them. 10. Speed of Execution and Adaptive Strategy The final hedge fund secret is adaptability. Retail traders stick to fixed systems, but hedge funds continuously: Update models Add new datasets Monitor global correlations Adjust stop losses based on volatility Shift strategies when patterns stop working Their flexibility allows them to thrive in constantly changing global conditions. Conclusion Hedge funds dominate the world trade market through a combination of: Information advantage Quantitative models High-frequency trading Global macro analysis Liquidity manipulation Derivatives mastery Sophisticated risk management Psychological understanding of retail traders These are not illegal secrets—they are strategic, highly advanced methods enabled by money, technology, and expertise. By understanding these concepts, everyday traders can become smarter, avoid traps, and align their strategies with institutional thinking.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet