Wave Analysis
There are good opportunities for both long and short positionsGold Midday Analysis
A few hours ago, I suggested opening a long position near 3638. The price rebounded to above 3650. While the profit wasn't significant, the support level I identified was very accurate. The price retraced twice to around 3637, confirming support before continuing its rebound. Gold continues to trade below 3660, which is the resistance level and the point I recommended for opening a short position yesterday.
Currently, gold is oscillating and correcting at a high level, so both long and short positions offer opportunities. While the range and profit margins are limited, trading within this range is easier. Simply monitor the support and resistance levels and trade accordingly—it's simple and easy.
Gold Strategy
In the short term, gold remains in a relatively strong technical formation on the daily chart, with no material changes. Resistance is around 3660, while support is around 3620. A short-term breakout of either level would trigger a broader and more accelerated market. Given the strength of the market, I believe it's safer to open a long position based on a pullback to support. There are opportunities to open short positions currently, and consider opening a short position in the 3650-3660 area. Short-term trading requires quick entry and exit, otherwise profits will be lost due to market fluctuations.
Thank you for viewing my strategy. If your current trading is not satisfactory, I hope my ideas can help you avoid investment pitfalls. We welcome your discussion!
$ADA Breaking resistanceCRYPTOCAP:ADA has been moving sideways as it has been in a tight channel.
we have recently broken above the midline resistance of this trading range and are currently retesting this as support.
next target, $1.22 weekly timeframe local top will need to be flipped into support prior to a move higher.
I am expecting a very fast move from that point, higher, where we test ATH.
num num crayons
GBPJPY: Market of Sellers
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to sell GBPJPY.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPNZD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GBPNZD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GBPNZD
Entry - 2.2780
Stop - 2.2797
Take - 2.2747
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURGBP Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
EURGBP looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.8645 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.8663
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
The Springboard Effect: ETHA's Coiled Energy Release# The Springboard Effect: ETHA's Coiled Energy Release
## Buyer Dominance Established (Points 1→3)
The market structure tells a compelling story: Point 3 created a higher high , decisively surpassing Point 1 sellers. This achievement transforms Point 2 into proven buyer territory - the origin point that launched Point 3's breakout. When price returns to this zone, we can expect these proven buyers to defend their stronghold.
Point 4 marks that critical return - sellers have brought price back to where buyers previously launched their assault. This sets up what I call the "Springboard Effect."
## The Springboard Mechanics
Think of Point 2 as a compressed spring. The first compression (Points 1→2) stored energy. The release (Points 2→3) proved the spring's power. Now at Point 4, we're seeing the second compression of the same spring.
What makes this powerful:
• Buyers already proved they can launch from this level
• The zone has been tested and validated
• Each test that holds adds more coiled energy
## Hidden Bullish Divergence - The Continuation Signal
• RSI: Hidden bullish divergence
• MFI: Hidden bullish divergence
Hidden bullish divergence at proven support is one of the most reliable continuation patterns. Unlike regular divergence that signals reversal, hidden divergence suggests the trend is merely pausing before continuing higher.
## The Micro Pattern Confirmation
At Point 2 support, we're seeing a micro bull pattern - a small-scale bullish formation right at the critical level. This isn't just support holding; it's buyers actively stepping in with conviction.
Micro patterns at macro levels often trigger larger moves as they:
• Confirm buyer presence
• Provide early entry signals
• Show immediate rejection of lower prices
## OBV Breakout - The Volume Story
The OBV downtrend line has been broken , revealing a crucial shift in volume dynamics. While price pulled back to Point 2, volume structure turned bullish - suggesting accumulation during the decline. This divergence between price action and volume flow often precedes explosive moves.
## The Confluence Stack
**Bullish Factors Aligning:**
• Structure: Higher high established, returning to proven support
• Divergence: Hidden bullish on both oscillators
• Pattern: Micro bull formation at macro support
• Volume: OBV breakout showing accumulation
• Psychology: Buyers defending their breakout origin
## Risk Management Protocol
Entry: Current levels (34.35) with micro pattern confirmation
Stop Loss: 30.16 (12.20% risk) - Below Point 2 support
Target: 39.36 minimum (Chaos Theory level) - aiming for 1:5 R:R
Risk/Reward Analysis:
• Risk: 4.19 points (12.20%)
• Minimum Target: 5.01 points (14.58%) = 1.2:1
• For 1:5 R:R: Need 20.95 points up = 55.30 target
Position Advantages:
• Proven support providing clear risk definition
• Multiple confirmations reducing false signal risk
• Trend continuation setup (lower risk than reversal)
• Chaos Theory indicator suggests 39.36 as mathematical target
## The Narrative Arc
ETHA's journey from Points 1→4 shows classic accumulation and markup phases:
1. Accumulation: Points 1-2 (buyers building positions)
2. Markup: Points 2-3 (breakout proves buyer strength)
3. Re-accumulation: Points 3-4 (pullback to reload)
4. Next Markup: Potential launch from Point 4
This is textbook Wyckoff theory in action - a pullback to the "creek" before the next surge.
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Key Insight: When price returns to a level that previously launched a breakout, with hidden divergence confirming trend continuation and volume structure turning bullish, you're witnessing a high-probability springboard setup. The coiled energy from multiple successful defenses often leads to explosive moves higher.
Triple confirmation with early stop for BTCMy trading strategy has been evolving over time after running several backtesting sessions and going through trial and error in real time. Currently, it consists of looking for trades with at least 3 confirmations and an early stop loss.
In this case, we can see that BTC shows the following confirmations for a short position:
-Completed Elliott Wave count, with 5 waves and 5 sub-waves finished.
-Rising wedge (bearish signal).
-Double top on the 1D chart.
-RSI divergence in 1D and 1W.
Additionally, it also meets the condition of having a nearby stop loss at the 1D candle close at 112,550 (meaning that if there’s a daily candle close above 112,550, we exit the trade with a small loss).
These types of trades are the ones I’ve been executing for some time now, and they’ve given me a very good hit rate (with only a few losses).
Options SPY To be or not to beSPY is facing resistance and needs stronger momentum to continue its upward move. The next key target is around $662, followed by a potential pullback toward $645. These price movements are likely to carry strong momentum, influenced by the upcoming interest rate decision on Wednesday, the 17th. The idea lasts approximately 25 days.
EURUSD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1722
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 1.1714
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1741
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
HIFI Coin Hifi Finance Token Price PredictionHIFI/USDT has exploded upward with a sharp breakout, rallying straight through the 0.1154 resistance zone and extending into the 0.1547 supply area before pushing higher. Price is now trading around 0.20, showing strong bullish momentum. If buyers manage to hold above 0.1547, continuation toward higher levels remains likely. However, if price slips back below this breakout level, a retest of 0.1154 demand could occur before another push higher.
📈 Key Levels:
Buy trigger: Retest/hold above 0.1547 support-turned-demand
Buy zone: 0.1154 – 0.1547 region
Target: 0.20+ continuation zone
Invalidation: Daily close below 0.1154 (would weaken bullish outlook)
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PUMP price— Correction or another rally?If bulls manage to keep OKX:PUMPUSDT price above the $0.0046–0.00495 support range, there’s room for another x2 #PumpFun move.
Such a rally would lift market capitalization above $3 billion.
⚠️ However, the 5th Elliott wave is notoriously unpredictable and could drive price impulsively higher.
❓ Which target do you see for #PUMP? $0.01? $0.02? Or even more? Comment below.
______________
◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates!
🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves
🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.
The Escalation Pattern: MSFT's Strengthening Rejection# The Escalation Pattern: MSFT's Strengthening Rejection
## Seller Authority Confirmed (Points 1→3)
The market delivered its verdict when Point 3 closed decisively below Point 1 , establishing Point 2 sellers as the dominant force in the local market structure. This wasn't a minor victory - it was proof of seller superiority. Now at Point 4 , price has returned to test these proven sellers' resolve.
## The Escalation Phenomenon
What makes this setup extraordinary is the escalating rejection pattern . Price has tested this resistance zone three times , and each rejection has been progressively stronger . This isn't random - it reveals sellers gaining conviction, increasingly viewing these levels as attractive short entries.
Think of it as the opposite of accumulation - it's distribution with growing confidence . Each failed attempt emboldens more sellers to defend this zone.
## Hidden Bullish Divergence - The Trap
Here's where it gets interesting:
• Price : Lower high at Point 4
• RSI/MFI : Higher highs (hidden bullish divergence)
• Both oscillators : Oversold territory
Typically, hidden bullish divergence suggests continuation up. But when it appears at proven resistance with escalating rejections , it becomes a trap. The divergence shows buyers trying harder (higher momentum) but achieving less (lower price high) - a sign of exhaustion, not strength.
## The Volume Ceiling Signal
The OBV has pierced the upper Bollinger Band - a rare occurrence that typically precedes reversals. When volume indicators hit extremes while price fails to break resistance, it suggests:
• Buyers exhausting their ammunition
• Sellers absorbing all buying pressure
• Imminent reversal as buying dries up
## VWAP and POC Alignment
Using a local high anchor, price touches the VWAP median line - a mathematical resistance point. More importantly, at trade entry (stop order), we'll be below the Point of Control (POC) , meaning:
• Highest volume node acts as support for shorts
• Majority of traders have positions above current price
• Institutional algorithms defend POC levels
## The Triple Test Rule
In technical analysis, the triple test is significant:
• First test : Establishes resistance
• Second test : Confirms resistance
• Third test : Often breaks OR fails spectacularly
With each test showing stronger rejection , we're seeing the "fail spectacularly" scenario setting up.
## Risk Management Framework
Entry Signal:
• Current rejection from Point 4
• Stop order activation below POC
Stop Loss: 513.69 (1.93% risk) - Above Point 2 (proven seller level)
Target: 496.69 (11.25% reward) - Chaos Theory zone support
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:5.8
Position Advantages:
• POC below entry provides support
• Multiple rejections reduce false breakout risk
• Escalating pattern suggests strong conviction
• Target aligns with mathematical support zone from Chaos Theory indicator
## The Conviction Story
The escalating rejections tell a clear narrative:
1. Sellers defend their territory (first test)
2. Sellers gain confidence (second test, stronger rejection)
3. Sellers become aggressive (third test, even stronger rejection)
4. Sellers dominate completely (fourth test, strongest rejection yet)
5. Buyers exhaust despite trying harder (divergence trap)
This isn't just resistance - it's active, confident distribution .
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Key Takeaway: When resistance strengthens with each test rather than weakens, when divergences appear at proven resistance, and when volume hits extremes without price progress, you're witnessing distribution, not accumulation. The escalation pattern suggests this isn't just a top - it's a top with conviction.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Key Resistance Test AheadBTC is approaching resistance around 117,200 – 117,600 after a strong rally. A rejection from this zone may trigger a pullback into the 114,000 demand area before continuation higher.
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance: 117,200 – 117,600
Support: 114,000 zone
Upside target: New highs if 117,600 breaks
⚠️ This is technical analysis, not financial advice. Always manage your risk accordingly.
WTI Crude Oil – Falling Wedge Near Demand ZoneWTI is approaching a strong demand zone around $60–$61 while forming a falling wedge pattern.
A bullish breakout from this structure could trigger a move toward $68–70 in the coming weeks.
🔑 Key Levels:
Support: $60–61 (demand zone)
Resistance: $68–70 (target zone)
⚠️ This is technical analysis, not financial advice. Always manage risk accordingly.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 12Gold Technical Analysis
Daily Chart Resistance: 3670, Support: 3540
4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3657, Support: 3615
1-Hour Chart Resistance: 3650, Support: 3630
Yesterday, gold bottomed out and rebounded, but did not fall to the 3600 level. Although it still closed lower, it rebounded significantly. This indicates that the downward momentum of gold prices has been absorbed. The market has returned to a volatile pattern.
From the 1-hour chart, gold has once again risen above the 60-day moving average and has broken through the downward trend line today.
I personally believe that there is still a chance that gold will continue to break new highs. Even if it does not break new highs today, the intraday decline and correction will likely be very limited.
Therefore, in terms of trading, we can initially follow the principle of central oscillation. The upper resistance is between 3657 and 3667, and the lower support is between 3630 and 3615.
Sell high and buy low in this range.
EUR/AUD 4-Hour AnalysisOn the 4-hour timeframe, the EUR/AUD pair has recently started to rebound from the key support area at 1.7600, which also aligns with the lower boundary of the descending price channel.
The current price level represents the 61% Fibonacci retracement of the previous broader upward move, with signs of a potential rebound emerging.
Therefore, an upward move is expected, targeting 1.7777 followed by 1.8011.
The bullish outlook remains valid as long as prices continue trading above 1.7444.
BBAI (BigBear.ai Inc.) 1H TF Long Setup
BBAI printed a strong impulsive move back in June–July, rocketing from the $2.30s to highs of ~$8.70. This parabolic leg showed heavy momentum and FOMO-driven inflows. Since topping out in early July, the stock retraced deeply into a corrective descending channel, printing lower highs and lower lows, respecting a key downtrend resistance (dotted red).
Now, price just tagged a confluence demand zone:
Rising long-term trendline from April lows
A bullish engulfing candle just printed at demand, indicating smart money reaction and potential trend reversal. Price broke out of the falling wedge, hinting at the end of the correction.
BBAI is often grouped in with AI sympathy plays (alongside PLTR, C3.ai)
Any defense contracts or AI policy headlines can spark aggressive upside moves
Trend & Breakout Analysis
Downtrend broken (falling wedge breakout)
Currently retesting the breakout level
Bounce from the demand zone aligns with trendline and horizontal support
Key Zones
Demand Zone: $4.60–$4.80 (tested + bounce confirmed)
Supply Zone: $8.00–$8.70 (profit-taking zone / target)
📈 Trade Setup
Entry $5.13 (current breakout retest)
Stop Loss $4.65 (below demand zone + trendline)
Take Profit $8.70 (previous high + supply zone)
Risk/Reward 1:7.35
Capital Risk % Max 1–3% per trade
Trade Management Move SL to break-even at 1:1 RR (~$5.60)
Scale in on confirmation candles above $5.30 (to avoid fakeouts)
Scale out 50% near $7.00, rest near $8.50–$8.70
"The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." – Warren Buffett
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Do your own research and only risk what you can afford to lose.
#BBAI #AIstocks #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrade #ElliottWave #SupplyAndDemand #TrendlineBounce #RiskManagement
EURUSD - counter intuitive short opportunityEURUSD - short opportunity against the trend.
Levels on the chart. If this goes through there will be more downside setups in the coming 1-/2 weeks plus this is a 4 hour setup so we recommend reducing the size to 0.5 % risk.
Levels on the chart trade with care.
Alibaba (BABA) – Breakout in Progress? ER Bullish? 📊 Alibaba (BABA) – Breakout in Progress
After weeks of consolidation, BABA has broken above the 122–124 zone with strong volume confirmation. This move sets the stage for a liquidity sweep higher.
🔹 Key Levels
Support: 118–116 (Equilibrium), 106 (Major Demand)
Resistance: 132–134 (Premium zone), 142.17 (Liquidity pool)
🔹 Bias: Bullish continuation as long as price holds above 118.
🔹 Targets
TP1: 132–134
TP2: 142+
🔹 Macro Context
China’s easing stance, tech-sector rotation, and institutional flows support upside momentum. However, earnings and geopolitical risks remain key catalysts to monitor.
✅ Execution Plan (WaverVanir DSS)
Buy dips into 118–121
Scale out partial at 132
Final target at 142
EUR/USD TRADE SETUP - CHECK NOW📉 EUR/USD TRADE SETUP – CHECK NOW
🔑 Potential Entry Zone: 1.17175 - 1.17258
❌ Stop Loss (Invalidation Level): 1.17128
🎯 Target Levels:
✔️ TP1 – 1.17035
✔️ TP2 – 1.16910
✔️ TP3 – 1.16727
💡 This is my personal market outlook based on chart structure & price action. Always apply proper risk management.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Content is shared for educational and informational purposes only.
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis.
- As I mentioned in my previous idea, we are still moving in this micro correction pink wave X.
- Also, we didn't get the confirmation of the finished wave A, as I mentioned the target of confirmation. So I extended it, and I am still monitoring this wave B. This is all Grey waves ABC is the formation of wave Blue C in this correction Pink X.
- We may return to retest 113k or nearest it for this Grey wave B in my Green Box. In this area, I will also monitor the confirmation of starting the Grey wave C to end this week.
- I will update you soon. Take care, my friends from this area of 117k. We may watch a sudden reversal to deep
>> Reminder:
* For the bigger imagination of the BTC path, we are still moving into the Orange wave A of the final White C for ABC from its beginning.
* For the smaller imagination of the BTC path, we are still moving into the Blue wave B of the final Green C for the upper Orange wave A.
* For the tighter imagination of the BTC path, I think we are still moving into the correction wave X for the upper Blue wave B.
Keep liking and supporting me to continue. See you soon!
Thanks, bros
EURGBP – Battleground of Supply and Demand!EURGBP has been trading between clear supply and demand zones ⚖️, respecting both ends of the range.
After rejecting the 0.8750 supply zone, price turned lower, showing that sellers remain in control. Currently, EURGBP is hovering around the 0.8620 – 0.8640 demand zone, where buyers previously stepped in.
This area forms an important decision point 🔑:
- If demand holds, we could see a bounce back toward mid-range levels.
- If broken, a continuation lower would confirm supply’s dominance 📉.
Patience here is key ⏳ — waiting for confirmation at these zones can help filter out false moves and set up a cleaner trade.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr