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Wave Analysis

AUDUSD - Future OutlookHistorical Retrospective: Feb 2012 - mid-Mar 2020: clear technical five-wave impulsive move down. Mid-Mar 2020 - Feb 2021: wave A , a corrective impulsive move. Feb 2021 - present: wave B , a three-wave correction. Expectation: Wave C - a five-wave corrective impulse upward. Targets: From the current level (wave C underway): 0.84 From the end of the impulsive move: 0.80 Summary: We are close to a reversal or have already completed it, with a strong upward move expected next. --- Please subscribe and leave a comment. You’ll get new information faster than anyone else. ---
Long
by NotBoringTrading
NDIGO (InterGlobe Aviation) – Bearish Elliott Wave Setup (45-MinBias: Bearish | Structure: Impulsive 5-Wave Decline in Progress Final Target (Wave 5): ~4300 Levels Elliott Wave Structure (As per Chart) Completed Waves Wave 1 → Wave 2: Initial decline and corrective retracement. Wave 3: Strong impulsive fall (largest, fastest leg). Wave 4: Corrective structure (ABC) completed near the trendline resistance. Wave 4 termination is well-placed: Near prior breakdown zone Below major resistance Weak upside momentum Overlapping structure (corrective in nature) This confirms Wave 4 completion. Key Levels & Targets Invalidation / Stop Zone Above ~4600 (as marked “STOPLOSS HERE” on your chart) Any sustained move above this level will invalidate the wave count. Downside Targets Intermediate support: 4450–4400 Primary Wave 5 Target: ~4300 Matches Fibonacci projection Prior demand / liquidity zone Psychological support Wave equality & symmetry The highlighted blue zone around 4300 is a high-probability Wave 5 completion area. Summary Trend: Bearish Structure: Elliott Wave 5 in progress Bias: Sell on rise / hold shorts below resistance Target: 4300 Risk: Only above marked stop zone This is a trend-following bearish setup, not a counter-trend trade. Conclusion INDIGO is in the final leg (Wave 5) of an impulsive bearish cycle. The corrective Wave 4 appears complete, and price action supports continuation toward the 4300 zone, where Wave 5 is expected to terminate. Until price reclaims the resistance decisively, bearish bias remains intact. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instruments. Markets are subject to risk, and traders should perform their own analysis and use proper risk management before taking any positions.
NSE:INDIGOShort
by shiva560060
4
XAUUSD | Gold Signal |Dec 16,2025📌 MARKET ASSESSMENT Gold opened the week in a noticeably weaker tone after reaching the 4,350 USD/oz area, as a wave of diplomatic signals related to the Russia–Ukraine situation reduced demand for safe-haven assets. However, gold has not entered a long-term downtrend; it is mainly losing momentum from the fading “fear factor” in the market. In the short term, gold is expected to trade between monetary policy expectations and geopolitical developments, where each statement from the negotiation table can move prices as much as major economic data. Gold is weakening not because it has lost its value, but because the market temporarily believes that major risks can be contained. From a technical perspective, gold is undergoing a healthy corrective pullback after failing to break above the resistance near 4,330 USD. The daily uptrend structure remains intact, with higher lows still holding. The current decline largely reflects short-term profit-taking as prices approached key psychological and technical levels. The critical support zone lies at 4,245 – 4,216 USD, where the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement of the latest rally converges with short-term moving averages. Price holding above this area suggests that institutional money remains patient and positions are being maintained. If gold stabilizes above this support and closes decisively above 4,330 USD, the market would return to a price discovery phase, opening the door to new highs. On the risk side, a clear break below 4,216 USD could extend the correction toward 4,130 – 3,970 USD (Fibonacci 0.236–0.382). This would represent a trend rebalancing move rather than a medium-term trend reversal, unless the higher-low structure is clearly broken. Momentum indicators support this view, with RSI holding above neutral territory. This confirms that the broader uptrend remains under control, although short-term momentum is cooling, consistent with the current consolidation and corrective phase.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Richard1000pipsandmore
#Nifty directions and levels for December 16th:Good morning, friends! 🌞 Market directions and levels for December 16th: > The Dow Jones shows bullish sentiment, while the Indian market indicates a moderately bullish outlook. > Today, the GIFT Nifty is expected to open with a neutral to slightly negative start. What to expect today? > Even though GIFT Nifty shows a negative start, structurally we can expect a bounce back around the immediate support level. This is the basic structure (current view). > However, if the gap down forms a solid candle structure and breaks the support, then it could reach the bottom of the current swing with some consolidation (alternate view).
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
BIKAJI FOODSBikaji Foods International Ltd., incorporated in the year 1995, is a Small Cap company (having a market cap of Rs 18,568.92 Crore) operating in FMCG sector. Bikaji Foods International Ltd. key Products/Revenue Segments include Food Products, Other Operating Revenue and Scrap for the year ending 31-Mar-2025. For the quarter ended 30-09-2025, the company has reported a Consolidated Total Income of Rs 842.61 Crore, up 27.15 % from last quarter Total Income of Rs 662.66 Crore and up 15.57 % from last year same quarter Total Income of Rs 729.11 Crore. Company has reported net profit after tax of Rs 77.67 Crore in latest quarter. The company’s top management includes Mr.Shiv Ratan Agarwal, Mr.Deepak Agarwal, Mrs.Shweta Agarwal, Mr.Sachin Kumar Bhartiya, Mr.Nikhil Kishorchandra Vora, Mr.Pulkit Anilkumar Bachhawat, Mrs.Richa Manoj Goyal, Mr.Siraj Azmat Chaudhry, Mr.Sunil Sethi, Mr.Rishabh Jain, Mr.Manoj Verma, Mr.Rahul Joshi. Company has MSKA & Associates as its auditors. As on 30-09-2025, the company has a total of 25.06 Crore shares outstanding.
NSE:BIKAJILong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit
Weekly Update #48 Dec 15 2025: The 2D CrossWeekly Update #48 Dec 15 2025 BTC has broken below its triangular wedge following consolidation at the Weekly 100 EMA. This supports the earlier analysis for a move toward the secondary buying zone at $77k, unless the Weekly 21 EMA is hit first. Catalyst & Rejection: The approaching 2D Death Cross could trigger volatile sell-offs, accelerating a drop toward $77k. Any subsequent recovery will likely meet significant resistance at the Weekly 21 EMA (estimated 100k-103k), which coincides with the Death Cross point—making this the prime area for a rejection. Summary: Key levels are $77-74k (additional buy zone) and 100k-103k (resistance/rejection zone).
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sen_Crypto
Coin UpdatePrice seems to be headed for another low but unfortunately until it hits that low, we cannot be sure. This could just be another subdivision of minor A of (B). Even if it does make another low though it doesn't change the target for (B) by much. Should it decide to make another low I believe it will be headed for the $203 area at the 1.618. If that does come to pass, I will be taking a decently large position to rise the next move higher. Time will tell and the structure will dictate my decisions. However, a new low would set up an amazing trade opportunity. For now, I maintain my current position but will acquire more if price drops under $229.76. I still plan on selling my shares if price raises to the $300 area as that is the area I expect minor A to terminate if (A) is already complete.
NASDAQ:COIN
by TSuth
EURUSD Rises as the USD Faces HeadwindsHello everyone — let’s discuss FX:EURUSD . At the start of the new week, EURUSD is trading relatively steady, showing little change from the previous session while maintaining its bullish momentum around the 1.173 area. The U.S. dollar (USD) has weakened following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s recent monetary policy decision, which is currently providing a favorable backdrop for the pair’s recovery. From a technical perspective, buyers remain in control. The pair is forming a wedge pattern and is undergoing a healthy correction after the previous strong rally. The first key support lies at 1.172, followed by 1.168. As long as these levels hold, the path of least resistance for EURUSD in the short term remains to the upside. Upside targets are seen at 1.175 and 1.180. What’s your view on the outlook for this pair? Feel free to share your thoughts.
Long
by Trade_and_Chill-
1
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Dec 16, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Dec 16, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines • Delayed jobs + retail combo: Backlogged payrolls and retail sales hit together, shaping growth and soft-landing narratives. • Wages in focus: Hourly earnings and YoY wages matter for inflation stickiness after last week’s Fed messaging. • Flash PMIs: Real-time read on December activity for services and manufacturing. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) 8 30 AM • U.S. Employment Report (Nov, delayed): 45,000 • U.S. Unemployment Rate (Nov): 4.5 percent • U.S. Hourly Wages (Nov): 0.3 percent • Hourly Wages YoY: 3.6 percent • U.S. Retail Sales (Oct, delayed): 0.1 percent • Retail Sales minus autos (Oct): 0.2 percent 9 45 AM • S and P Flash U.S. Services PMI (Dec): 54.0 • S and P Flash U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Dec): 52.5 10 00 AM • Business Inventories (Sept): 0.1 percent ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational use only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #jobs #retailsales #PMI #macro #markets #trading
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
Dec 16, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity 📊 Summary: Yesterday, price reached a high near 4350 but failed to break last week’s high and pulled back toward 4300. For now, treat the 4300–4310 zone as a consolidation range, with the strategy to sell high and buy low inside this area. • If price breaks and holds above 4310, bullish momentum takes control → bias shifts to buying pullbacks into support. • If price breaks below 4300, bearish momentum dominates → bias shifts to selling rallies into resistance. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 4333 – Resistance • 4328 – Resistance • 4318 – Resistance • 4310 – Resistance • 4300 – Key support • 4391 – Support • 4285 – Support • 4272 – Support 📈 Asia Session Intraday Strategy: SELL: If price breaks below 4298 → target 4295, with further downside toward 4291, 4286, 4280 BUY: If price holds above 4310 → target 4314, with further upside toward 4318, 4323, 4328
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
its looking straight at BSL. is it really that simple! the internal BSL is taken on 4hr chart and now its looking straight at Major Resistance zone in 0.66800 to 0.67000. if smart money has to travel and collect order this major POI is closer, though it could go and hunt near internal SSL first which is waiting at .66000 to 66300. reversal can be confirmed on STF Price below BSL zone -.66800 to .67000? ↓ BUY pullbacks ↓ Major BSL swept? ↓ WAIT ↓ Rejection + BOS? ↓ SELL but we have to remember the trend line its coming on higher high since 25th November is breached. even if you discount the recent news on USD ratecut which should have a positive impact not otherwise. just posting what i understand looking at charts, if you differ please post so that i can dig deeper.
Long
by Edgewithvijay
BTC Local Correction Before Further DownsideBitcoin has been under tremendous selling pressure following the announcement that MSCI is considering further limitations on digital asset treasury companies. This development triggered a significant wave of liquidations on October 10th, which marked a critical turning point in market sentiment. Since that event, Bitcoin has remained in a persistent downward trend, showing little evidence of sustained relief rallies or bullish momentum. The trade idea presented here is based on an Elliott Wave technical pattern, specifically the WXY corrective structure. This pattern represents a complex correction composed entirely of three-wave movements, commonly referred to as zigzag formations. In this case, the market appears to be completing a measured 1-to-1 move, which is characteristic of WXY corrections and often signals a temporary pause before continuation of the prevailing trend. From a technical perspective, current price action aligns well with a potential mean reversion toward the VWAP drawn from the all-time high (ATH). This VWAP level acts as a dynamic resistance zone and suggests a possible retracement toward approximately $98,000. If price reaches this level, it would likely represent the completion of the corrective structure rather than a trend reversal. Following this reversion, the broader market structure implies that further downside movement remains the higher-probability outcome, as bearish momentum continues to dominate the larger timeframe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by afurs1
1