Dax to the upside!Hi
on the 4h TF. Dax bounced strongly from the bottom to break a critical resistance level then went to the next resistance then broke through it to the upside and even bounced up from after it settled on with a pin bar 4H candle and that is the big view of the DAX based on the 4H TF.
3 TPs are there, however, if you accept and tolerate the bearish pullbacks on the journey to TP3, as long the last support level or (the above line) will not be broken by a 4H candle (closing price not by a wick) then TP3 will be your main and real target on DAX.
Fundamentally the next week will offer the Fed interest rate decision which has strong expectations of another rate cut! and may we see currently the preparation on the chart for that move!
Note:
Please do not share or copy my own work! It reflects my own vision and view to that index and it is advertised to not be taken as a legal advice for traders to follow, however, it is not more than an own opinion and analysis to be shared with you!
Good luck ;)
Wave Analysis
MIGI - Why Mawson Looks AwesomeMawson Infrastructure Group popped off today, but after hours was a different story. It fell hard, but this makes sense because it's currently on a wave B correction.
What do we know about wave B? 3 subwaves down.
Two subwaves have formed already. What does this mean? There is one more subwave to go in the upward direction.
This subwave will be big in relative proportion to the previous wave A and wave X. It's possible the price could hit $20+. Whatever the case, the trend must continue upward because that's what wave B dictates. After wave B finishes, it will be 5 subwaves down for wave C. The best time to enter is now.
Dec 12, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity 📊 Summary:
Bullish momentum remains strong, and the overall bias continues to favor buying pullbacks into support.
As long as the structure holds above key levels, the trend stays intact.
However, if price breaks below 4262, it may open a downside channel — at that point, the current bullish view would need to be reassessed.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4306 – Resistance
• 4300 – Psychological level
• 4292 – Resistance
• 4286 – Resistance
• 4272 – Support
• 4262 – Key support
• 4255 – Support
• 4245 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 4262 → target 4260, with further downside toward 4256, 4250, 4245
BUY: If price holds above 4280 → target 4285, with further upside toward 4290, 4295, 4300
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Volume Reversal entry Detected )⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 4211Area
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
1210: EURUSD: Mid-Long Term Trading Opportunity This WeekHello traders,
For EURUSD, the 4-hour chart shows a flag correction pattern (bullish continuation setup) consolidating near key support—anchored at the 0.618 Fib retracement level (~1.16100)—following a prior uptrend. This structure signals potential upside, but we’ll avoid pre-FOMC positioning: we’ll trade the post-FOMC reaction instead of pre-empting the Fed’s tone.
This week’s FOMC meeting is the catalyst: After the policy announcement (and press conference), we’ll watch for clear confirmation signals to enter a mid-long term bullish trade:
Trigger: A decisive breakout above the flag’s resistance (near 1.16400) post-FOMC (paired with bullish candlestick confirmation, e.g., a daily close above this level).
Targets:
TP1: 1.17390 (Fib level + prior swing high, 1.29% upside from entry)
TP2: 1.17700+ (extended bullish continuation)
Stop-Loss: Below the flag’s recent low (1.15700) to cap downside risk.
By waiting for post-FOMC price action, we avoid the volatility of pre-meeting speculation and trade only when the market’s reaction validates the bullish setup.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
12.11 Gold (Euro-US Session) - Bearish Trading PlanHello traders,
Core Logic: Fed's hawkish rate cut suppresses gold; bearish sentiment dominates.
I. Bearish Drivers
Key factors for gold weakness:
• Dovish Hopes Crushed: Fed signals only 1 more 2025 cut, dashing easing cycle expectations.
• Policy Uncertainty: Powell's "patient" tone + 3 dissents (most since 2019) boost caution.
• Profit-Taking: "Buy rumor, sell fact" triggered Asian session pullback, extending bearishness.
II. Key Levels
Type Level Rationale
Short Entry 4215-4220 1H EMA13 + rebound resistance
Key Resistance 4227 Asian session pre-dive peak
TP1 4172 Short-term core support
TP2 4153 Medium-term support
TP3 4143 Recent range low support
Stop-Loss 4242 Above intraday high
III. Trading Strategies
1. Primary: Short on Rebound
Enter short at 4218-4220 (4215-4220 range with bearish candles: engulfing/long upper wicks).
• TP Plan: 4172 (cut 40%) → 4153 (cut 40%) → 4143 (close 20%)
• SL: 4242
2. Secondary: Short on Breakdown
Enter short at 4198-4200 if gold breaks 4200 (with 30%+ volume surge).
• TP: Same as primary (4172→4153→4143)
• SL: 4215
IV. Core Risk Rules
• Max position per trade: ≤5%; no averaging down
• Trigger SL → exit immediately; no SL adjustments
• If gold closes above 4242 for 15 mins: close all shorts, no new trades
• Avoid positions during US data/Fed speeches
V. Key Notes
1. Follow Fed-driven trend; use tech levels for entry/exit.
2. Close positions early if price spikes through TPs.
3. Valid for Dec 11 Euro-US session; adjust for market structure changes.
Good Luck!
LESS IS MORE!
classic liquidity-taking + mitigation + reversal concept 1. Premium Array (Upper Zone)
Located near the top of the recent price range.
Labeled as “Here is the zone for Bearish.”
A Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) label is marked above recent highs, suggesting this zone is expected to attract liquidity for potential bearish setups.
2. Discount Array (Lower Zone)
Positioned near the bottom of the current range.
Labeled as “Here is the zone for bullish.”
A Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) mark shows where liquidity could be taken before a bullish reversal.
3. Expected Market Structure Paths
Two projected arrows are drawn:
One arrow shows price possibly dipping into the lower bullish zone before moving upward.
Another arrow suggests a potential move toward the upper bearish zone.
Overall Structure
Price is currently around 4215.
The chart is showing a classic liquidity-taking + mitigation + reversal concept used in ICT/Smart Money trading.
The zones mark premium (sell area) and discount (buy area) regions relative to current price levels.
ZEC Ready for the Next Leg Up: Targets Raised to 540!Hey friends!
Even though my previous idea on ZCash was invalidated due to the breakdown of my invalidation zone, ZCash continues to demonstrate its strong intention to maintain the uptrend.
Moreover, the recent decline turned out to be a perfect bounce from the support zone, which confirms that we can expect ZEC to push even higher than my previous targets.
In my last post, I was confident we’d see ZCash at 480 (with a stretch target of 510), but I had some doubts about the higher one.
Now those doubts are completely gone — I’m convinced we’ll hit 510 and likely go beyond.
I’m raising my targets!📈
🎯Targets:
• Target 1: 480
• Target 2: 510
• Target 3: 540
❌Invalidation zone: 430
If price breaks below this level, the bullish scenario is invalidated.
⚠️Always trade with proper stop-losses and manage your risk!
What do you think — ready for the next leg up? 🚀
XAU/USD Elliott Wave Analysis: Potential Bearish Reversal OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
The chart suggests that Gold Spot/U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) has completed a major correction pattern and is now on the verge of a significant downward move.
Major Correction (A) ➡️ (B):
The price action from the major peak appears to be forming a complex correction, with the current phase completing the major (B) wave.
The sharp drop to the low around November 1st is labeled as a major (A) wave.
The subsequent rally is labeled as the major (B) wave, which is currently subdividing.
Subdivision of Wave (B): The corrective rally (B) is showing signs of completion as a smaller ABC pattern:
o Wave A (of B): A strong 5-wave impulse (labeled 1-2-3-4-5) completed in mid-November.
o Wave B (of B): A correction followed this high.
o Wave C (of B): The current rally is the final leg, Wave C (of B), aiming for the final target.
• Critical Reversal Target for (B) Wave: The chart anticipates the completion of the final Wave C (of B) at a specific price point, coinciding with a key Fibonacci level and trendline resistance:
61.80% Fibonacci Retracement at $4,313.88
This $4,313 zone is the high-probability reversal point before the major downside move begins.
📈 Technical Levels and Trendlines
Major Resistance (The Reversal Zone):
Upper Red Trendline: This descending trendline connects the initial peak with the top of the internal Wave (B), serving as strong dynamic resistance.
Key Price Target: The $4,313.88 level is the projected apex of the rally.
Understood. Here is the full analysis and titles for your post, presented in English, as requested.
📉 XAU/USD Elliott Wave Analysis: Potential Bearish Reversal from $4,313
🌊 Wave Count Interpretation (Elliott Wave)
The chart suggests that Gold Spot/U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) has completed a major correction pattern and is now on the verge of a significant downward move.
Major Correction (A) ➡️ (B): The price action from the major peak appears to be forming a complex correction, with the current phase completing the major (B) wave.
The sharp drop to the low around November 1st is labeled as a major (A) wave.
The subsequent rally is labeled as the major (B) wave, which is currently subdividing.
Subdivision of Wave (B): The corrective rally (B) is showing signs of completion as a smaller ABC pattern:
Wave A (of B): A strong 5-wave impulse (labeled 1-2-3-4-5) completed in mid-November.
Wave B (of B): A correction followed this high.
Wave C (of B): The current rally is the final leg, Wave C (of B), aiming for the final target.
Critical Reversal Target for (B) Wave: The chart anticipates the completion of the final Wave C (of B) at a specific price point, coinciding with a key Fibonacci level and trendline resistance:
61.80% Fibonacci Retracement at $4,313.88
This $4,313 zone is the high-probability reversal point before the major downside move begins.
📈 Technical Levels and Trendlines
Major Resistance (The Reversal Zone):
Upper Red Trendline: This descending trendline connects the initial peak with the top of the internal Wave (B), serving as strong dynamic resistance.
Key Price Target: The $4,313.88 level is the projected apex of the rally.
Major Support (The Target Zone):
Lower Green Trendline: This ascending trendline connects the key lows and represents the potential final target for the upcoming decline.
Target Price Zone: The final target for the major (C) wave is indicated near the $3,826.25 level.
🎯 Trading Strategy Implication
Imminent Move: The price is completing the final internal wave towards the $4,313.88 reversal zone.
Short Entry: The ideal short-entry zone is near the $4,313.88 level, with a tight stop-loss placed just above the upper red trendline to manage risk.
Profit Target: The anticipated sharp decline, labeled as the massive (C) wave, targets the lower green trendline around $3,826.25, offering a substantial risk/reward opportunity.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is based on Elliott Wave Theory and technical indicators. It is not financial advice. Trading foreign exchange, cryptocurrencies, and commodity futures involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always do your own research
MU - Continuing CorrectionWe are evaluating the chart from a technical perspective.
The correction is still in progress, and the structure suggests that wave C should begin forming.
Targets:
• First target: 225.5
• Second target: 192.5
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Intel - This behavior is wonderful!🎉Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) respects all structure:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just in the end of 2024, Intel perfectly retested a major long term horizontal support. After we then witnessed bullish confirmation, it was so obvious, that Intel will create a move higher. Now, Intel rallied +120% and is ready for a shorter term correction now.
📝Levels to watch:
$45
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BNB/USDT1️⃣ Market Structure and Trend
The chart shows a long-term uptrend, confirmed by a very clean ascending trendline (orange), which has been acting as dynamic support for over a year.
After a strong breakout to ~1380, the price began a correction but still hasn't broken the higher low structure → the uptrend is intact.
2️⃣ Key Levels (exactly from your chart)
🟢 Resistance Levels (green):
~1018 USDT
~1150 USDT
~1249 USDT
These are potential targets for a renewed uptrend.
🔴 Support Levels (red):
~879 USDT – the closest important support
~838 USDT – a key defensive level
~683 USDT – deep support / last HTF trendline
The price is currently trading directly above the first support level.
3️⃣ Trendline (orange)
Your trendline is:
strong, multi-point
drawn on the D1 timeframe
currently around 850–880 USDT
➡️ If the price falls, the trendline perfectly aligns with the 838–879 zone, strengthening this zone as a "must defend."
4️⃣ Oscillators – Stoch RSI (bottom)
Currently:
The oscillator is in a high zone (above 80) → indicating local overbought
However, there is no clear downward crossover yet.
Meaning:
👉 Upward momentum is still active, but we are closer to a local high than a low.
5️⃣ Scenarios
🟢 Upside scenario (more likely as long as the trendline holds)
Condition: Maintaining the 879/838 levels and the trendline.
Targets:
1018 USDT – first resistance
1150 USDT – important medium-term resistance
1249 USDT – main HTF target
The longer the price consolidates above the orange trendline, the greater the chance of a renewed attack on 1150–1249.
🔴 Downside scenario (less likely, but crucial)
Condition: Downside breakout of 838 USDT and closing of the D1 candle below the trendline.
Then:
the market could enter a deeper correction phase
the target would be the 683 USDT level – this is also the main support level, where reactions were previously strong
This is a "capitulation" scenario, but it doesn't seem to be dominant given the current price action.
6️⃣ What can we see on the chart "here and now"?
✔️ The price has rebounded from the local low
✔️ It is still between support at 879 and resistance at 1018
✔️ The uptrend is intact
✔️ A potential HTF higher low has formed
✔️ The Stoch RSI shows momentum, but caution is warranted
➡️ The market is consolidating within the uptrend, with a high chance of a breakout upwards – provided support is maintained.
CHFJPY SellCHFJPY
Sell
Entry / Current Price: 195.720
Stop Loss: 196.050
(33 pips)
Take Profit 1: 195.300
(42 pips)
Take Profit 2: 194.900
(82 pips)
Take Profit 3: 194.450
(127 pips)
⸻
Confidence Level: 8.1 / 10
Reasoning:
• Price at a 4H resistance ceiling
• Slowing momentum + rejection wicks
• JPY pairs have been pulling back today
• Trend still bullish overall → this is a counter-trend scalp, not a long-term sell
(which is why confidence isn’t 9 or 10)
⸻
Estimated Time To Hit TP1:
1–3 hours
(Depends on JPY volatility; CHFJPY tends to move fast in waves.)
XAUUSD one more down wave might be comingwe will be talking about 5k next year but today and near future i think correction may continue, for now i am waiting on the sides and look for a short when another big correction wave starts, possible targets 4126-4080-3860 theese targets are for only to start next impulsive wave, market always goes around in same cycle, Impulse-Correction-Impulse-Correction and i intend to be there when next impulse starts, so catious sell when it goes high until next impulse.
Major correctionI'm targetting a drop to 11 000 around Aug to Dec next year and back to more reasonable valuations than currently. This would also arrive at the very long term lower trend line on the log chart. The area around 11 000 looks to me like it need retesting. And it would need to be in this sort of time frame, before we run out of time to get back to such levels on this lower log trend line.
Ok possible, but far fetched, so it still needs a reason.
So why should that happen?
A confluence of factors:
- I believe inflation will stay elevated for some time and even potentially resurge. Trumps tariffs are not helping with disruptions and inefficiency on supply chains.
- I think its unavoidable that AI will destroy jobs. Long term it will balance out, as it always does. But in the interim this will be faster than the labour market can adapt. So a lot of job losses
- Due to the inflation backdrop, the fed's hands will be tied, regarding dropping rates. So they wont be able to rescue markets on this occasion with their Ponzi scheme. THAT will be a big problem. Or if that's not the case, the job losses may still be too much anyway, for their fiddling to prevent.
My only reservation with this analysis, is that the jobs losses may be a bit slower to start showing up, than the this time frame will allow. If so, then it may not make it as far down as11 000, due to missing the window of opportunity to reach this level before it becomes below the lower log trend line. Although if it gets near, i cant believe it will not target it. If it misses by this date, its still possible to break the trend line to reach this area, if conditions became bad enough. But that would be quite extreme. But maybe it will be so.
The final factor is contracting money supply. This could cause the above scenario alone anyway. As ballooning supply is mostly how we got where we are. But certainly if combined with any of the others, it could be nasty. So be very vigilant on this.
Note, that the chart posted is a monthly chart. So this is a longer term view. So dont expect this to happen imminently or on a particular day/week/month. But keep an eye out for the signs.
Lastly, potential labels for the 3 up waves of an elliot wave. The first and third are similar in terms of % gain. Less do in terms of time duration, but still more similar to each other than compared to the middle wave. Elliot waves are extremely discretional however and vary according to time frame. So much variation in delineation is possible. And it could still continue for some time. Mentioned more as a possible point of interest than a useful tool.
EURUSD Bullish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#EURUSD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair broke
The key horizontal level
Of 1.16443 which is now
A support level and the pair
Made a retest and a rebound
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further move up !
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