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Wave Analysis

GBPUSD The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on GBPUSD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 1.3533 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.3470 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDNZD My Opinion! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the AUDNZD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1094 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 1.1083 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.1117 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Will gold prices continue to rise on September 8th? I. Fundamental Analysis The release of the US non-farm payroll data for August, released on Friday (September 5th), caused a significant market turmoil and provided strong fundamental momentum for gold's rise. The data was extremely weak: only 22,000 new non-farm payrolls were added, far below the expected 75,000. More notably, the June data was significantly revised downward to -13,000, indicating that the labor market's weakness is not a fluke but rather a trend of stalling. At the same time, the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, the highest level since 2021, further confirming that the momentum of the US economy is slowing down. Expectations of a Fed rate cut have sharply increased: Such weak data has significantly strengthened market bets on a Fed rate cut. Currently, the market generally believes a September rate cut is a foregone conclusion, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut approaching 100%, and even discussions of a 50 basis point cut are emerging. This strong expectation of easing is the core driver of gold prices. Potential Risks and Uncertainties: While the prospect of a rate cut is positive, investors should remain vigilant to potential uncertainties. Inflationary pressures have not yet been fully overcome. If the CPI data released next week unexpectedly rises, it could constrain the Fed's easing efforts. Furthermore, the outlook for the US election and related tariff rhetoric could create new inflationary uncertainties, limiting gold's short-term upside potential. Fundamental Conclusion: The non-farm payroll data has solidified strong market expectations for a rate cut, creating an overall environment that is extremely bullish for gold. Any weak or dovish economic data would boost gold prices, while an unexpected rebound in inflation could trigger short-term volatility. II. Technical Analysis Trend Positioning: Gold is currently in a strong, unilateral upward trend, with the overall technical structure intact and targeting all-time highs. Key Support (Long-Term Support): The 5-day moving average has now moved up to the 3545-3550 area. This is the first key support level maintaining the extremely strong short-term trend. As long as gold prices close above this moving average, the upward trend will remain intact. Even if there is a false move to break down this position during the trading session (to lure a short), there is no need to panic as long as the price can be recovered in the end. 4-Hour Bollinger Band Middle Line: Currently moving up to around 3555. This level is the watershed between short-term bullish and bearish strength. If the middle line holds, prices will maintain a relatively strong upward trend. A break below it could trigger a deeper correction, but this will provide a better opportunity to "get on board" for further gains. Key Resistance: The upper short-term target resistance level is 3600-3610, a key area to overcome in the near term. A break above will open up further upside potential. Technical Conclusion: The technical pattern resonates with the fundamentals, indicating a clear bullish trend. Operationally, the key strategy should be to follow the trend, focusing on looking for opportunities to buy at low levels. III. Trading Strategy for Next Week Key Strategy: Focus on buying on dips to lows, and be cautious about rallies to higher levels. Long Strategy (Main Strategy): Ideal Long Range: 3560-3570. If gold prices pull back into this range and show signs of stabilization (such as a pin bar or bullish engulfing candlestick on the 4-hour chart), this could be considered a good dip-buying opportunity. Aggressive long position: around 3555 (4-hour middle candlestick). As long as this support holds, it can be considered an entry point during a strong rally. Stop-loss: Recommended stop-loss: Below key support, around 3540. Targets: First target: 3600; second target: 3610 or above. Short strategy (secondary strategy): Only when gold prices first rebound to the strong resistance zone of 3600-3610 and show clear signs of resistance (such as a long upper shadow or bearish engulfing candlestick), consider a short-term short position with a small position, entering and exiting quickly to capitalize on a technical pullback. Remember: Shorting against the trend is risky, so strictly control your position size and stop-loss (place the stop-loss above 3615). The core strategy remains to go long with the trend. Risk Warning: Pay close attention to next week's US CPI data, as its results could trigger a market repricing of the extent of the Fed's interest rate cuts, causing significant gold price fluctuations. Investors are advised to manage their positions prudently and exercise effective risk control.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Gold_Mastermind
The gold price is over 3630. Have you caught up with it?A new week has begun, and gold has achieved a strong opening. The price of gold has successfully broken through the previous high of 3600 as expected and is currently hovering around 3635. The recent strategies have been centered around the bulls. Today, TG has again given a buy signal at 3580. Currently, there is a profit of over 40 dollars. For conservative operations, keeping the profits in hand is your own responsibility. The long position bought at 3580 can be closed out with profits. Look for an appropriate entry point and we will provide a reminder. Those who haven't followed the operation or have no strategy, please stay tuned, give a like and support. We will notify you of suitable entry points. FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
TVC:GOLD
by Martin_transaction
GOLD DailyElliott Wave Structure The market is currently forming an impulsive pattern labeled (1)–(5). Wave (3) has already completed around 3634–3637. Price is now likely entering a Wave (4) correction before heading into the final Wave (5) upward move. Wave (4) Correction Zones: First support: 3501–3520 Next support: 3420–3435 (Fibonacci 0.786 & strong support zone) Deeper correction: 3120–3020 (extreme scenario). Wave (5) Potential: Initial target: 3775–3780 Extended targets: 3985 (Fibo 2.272) and 4116 (Fibo 2.618) Conclusion: As long as price holds above 3420, the bullish trend remains intact. The best strategy is Buy on Dip at support areas, aiming for 3775–3780, with extended potential toward 3985–4116.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by BgAjie
CART: Amazon Pressure = More Downside Before Any BounceThe key fundamental driver now is Amazon’s expansion into same-day grocery delivery. That’s a strong negative for Instacart and should keep pressure on the stock. The business model is also less sophisticated compared to peers. In Germany, for example, Knusper runs its own warehouses with automated, AI-driven logistics and in-house software. Instacart by contrast still relies on sending gig workers into partner stores to shop and deliver. That setup looks weaker when Amazon is scaling with its own logistics backbone. With that backdrop, I expect a drift down into the $39–40 zon e, where a rebound attempt might show up. Until then, the smoother path is lower. Institutional stance: funds are mainly in hold/sell mode , not buyers. Motivations can differ across players, but broadly the expectation is that institutions either hold or sell here. So when the price moves up in the short term, it can often be explained by shorts covering or other technical flows, not by new buying. Nobody expects them to accumulate more shares right now. That makes any short-term pop more likely a short opportunity than a bullish sign . Near-term fundamentals are quiet. The only item ahead is a Goldman Sachs fireside chat on Sep 10 , which historically hasn’t moved the stock much unless management says something unexpected. Trade idea: buy puts expiring Sep 19 or Sep 26. Strike around current stock price or slightly higher. Willing to pay about $1 premium . Targeting downside into 39–40, then reassessing for rebound.
NASDAQ:CARTShort
by litwizard
Will gold prices continue to rise on September 8th? I. Fundamental Analysis The release of the US non-farm payroll data for August, released on Friday (September 5th), caused a significant market turmoil and provided strong fundamental momentum for gold's rise. The data was extremely weak: only 22,000 new non-farm payrolls were added, far below the expected 75,000. More notably, the June data was significantly revised downward to -13,000, indicating that the labor market's weakness is not a fluke but rather a trend of stalling. At the same time, the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, the highest level since 2021, further confirming that the momentum of the US economy is slowing down. Expectations of a Fed rate cut have sharply increased: Such weak data has significantly strengthened market bets on a Fed rate cut. Currently, the market generally believes a September rate cut is a foregone conclusion, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut approaching 100%, and even discussions of a 50 basis point cut are emerging. This strong expectation of easing is the core driver of gold prices. Potential Risks and Uncertainties: While the prospect of a rate cut is positive, investors should remain vigilant to potential uncertainties. Inflationary pressures have not yet been fully overcome. If the CPI data released next week unexpectedly rises, it could constrain the Fed's easing efforts. Furthermore, the outlook for the US election and related tariff rhetoric could create new inflationary uncertainties, limiting gold's short-term upside potential. Fundamental Conclusion: The non-farm payroll data has solidified strong market expectations for a rate cut, creating an overall environment that is extremely bullish for gold. Any weak or dovish economic data would boost gold prices, while an unexpected rebound in inflation could trigger short-term volatility. II. Technical Analysis Trend Positioning: Gold is currently in a strong, unilateral upward trend, with the overall technical structure intact and targeting all-time highs. Key Support (Long-Term Support): The 5-day moving average has now moved up to the 3545-3550 area. This is the first key support level maintaining the extremely strong short-term trend. As long as gold prices close above this moving average, the upward trend will remain intact. Even if there is a false move to break down this position during the trading session (to lure a short), there is no need to panic as long as the price can be recovered in the end. 4-Hour Bollinger Band Middle Line: Currently moving up to around 3555. This level is the watershed between short-term bullish and bearish strength. If the middle line holds, prices will maintain a relatively strong upward trend. A break below it could trigger a deeper correction, but this will provide a better opportunity to "get on board" for further gains. Key Resistance: The upper short-term target resistance level is 3600-3610, a key area to overcome in the near term. A break above will open up further upside potential. Technical Conclusion: The technical pattern resonates with the fundamentals, indicating a clear bullish trend. Operationally, the key strategy should be to follow the trend, focusing on looking for opportunities to buy at low levels. III. Trading Strategy for Next Week Key Strategy: Focus on buying on dips to lows, and be cautious about rallies to higher levels. Long Strategy (Main Strategy): Ideal Long Range: 3560-3570. If gold prices pull back into this range and show signs of stabilization (such as a pin bar or bullish engulfing candlestick on the 4-hour chart), this could be considered a good dip-buying opportunity. Aggressive long position: around 3555 (4-hour middle candlestick). As long as this support holds, it can be considered an entry point during a strong rally. Stop-loss: Recommended stop-loss: Below key support, around 3540. Targets: First target: 3600; second target: 3610 or above. Short strategy (secondary strategy): Only when gold prices first rebound to the strong resistance zone of 3600-3610 and show clear signs of resistance (such as a long upper shadow or bearish engulfing candlestick), consider a short-term short position with a small position, entering and exiting quickly to capitalize on a technical pullback. Remember: Shorting against the trend is risky, so strictly control your position size and stop-loss (place the stop-loss above 3615). The core strategy remains to go long with the trend. Risk Warning: Pay close attention to next week's US CPI data, as its results could trigger a market repricing of the extent of the Fed's interest rate cuts, causing significant gold price fluctuations. Investors are advised to manage their positions prudently and exercise effective risk control.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Gold_Mastermind
The Game Series | Who Wins on GBPUSD?The market is never random — it’s a game of traps and liquidity hunts played by institutions against the crowd. On GBPUSD, the story unfolds clearly: 🔻 First came the down wave, pulling traders into shorts and building liquidity at the lows. 🔺 Then, price flipped into an upside wave, climbing toward a major liquidity pool sitting above Equal Highs (EQH) and the Intraday High (IDM). Now here’s where the real game begins. Institutions don’t move without collecting fuel. That’s why a fake push down into the SSL zone near 1.3330 is likely — designed to trigger stop-losses and shake weak hands out of the market. From there, the stage is set for the strong upside push. The crowd gets trapped, liquidity gets harvested, and the real move is launched. 💡 Takeaway: Liquidity isn’t just numbers on a chart — it’s the scoreboard of the market game. The side that controls liquidity controls the outcome. 👉 Question to you: After the sweep, will the Bulls 🟢 finally secure the win, or do the Bears 🔴 still have a surprise move left?
by Nath26770
1
GOLD 3 DRIVE Pattern Observed IN 30 MINS TIME FRAME🔹 Pattern Observed You’ve marked a 3-Drive Bearish Pattern (classic reversal structure). Price has just completed the third drive up near 3,621–3,625 zone. Immediate support marked: 3,575. Below that, expectation is for impulsive fall. 🔹 Short-Term Outlook Bearish Bias: The 3-Drive is a reversal pattern, so once the last drive completes, probability is for sharp downside. Trigger Level: Below 3,575 → breakdown confirmation. Immediate Target: Around 3,475 (as you marked). That’s ~100 pts drop = ~2.8% downside. Intermediate Support: 3,511 zone. Extended Target: 3,390 (double confirmation level). Final: ~3,316 (deeper harmonic support). 🔹 Trading Plan (Intraday/Short-Term) Entry: Below 3,575 on breakdown candle. Stop Loss: Above recent high 3,625 (risk ~50 pts). Target 1: 3,511 (risk:reward ~1:1.2). Target 2: 3,475 (risk:reward ~1:2). Target 3 (Extended): 3,390 (risk:reward ~1:3+). 🔹 Key Notes If price does not break 3,575 and consolidates → pattern can fail, leading to sideways or even new high. Need to watch for strong bearish impulse candle with volume to confirm. Pattern failure above 3,625 = stop out. ✅ Conclusion: Gold has completed a 3-Drive Bearish Pattern. Below 3,575, expect an impulsive fall first to 3,475, then possibly 3,390–3,316. SL should be kept above 3,625 to protect capital. ⚠️ Disclaimer: The above analysis is provided purely for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, index, commodity, or derivative. Trading in options, futures, and commodities carries significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Please do your own due diligence or consult with a registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by shiva560060
5
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 8th.Gold Technical Analysis Daily chart resistance: 3650, support: 3510 Four-hour chart resistance: 3650, support: 3577 One-hour chart resistance: 3620, support: 3589 Gold News Analysis: Gold entered a bullish consolidation phase during the European session on Monday (September 8th), breaking above 3600 and currently trading around $3616/oz. Last Friday's US NFP employment report showed only 22,000 jobs added in August, significantly below market expectations. Furthermore, revisions to previous data showed a decrease of 13,000 jobs in June, the first monthly decline since December 2020, indicating deteriorating US labor market conditions. The market is currently gauging the magnitude and likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. Furthermore, market participants believe the Fed is more likely to cut three times before the end of the year, which is driving gold prices higher. The market now looks forward to the latest US inflation data later this week for fresh momentum. Gold Trading Recommendations: Based on current market analysis, support is expected to be near the 3589-3600 level on the one-hour chart, with the highest retracement support near 3577 on the four-hour chart. Upward pressure is expected to be near the 3620-50 level. The 3600/3589 level is the short-term dividing line between bulls and bears. If the one-hour chart stabilizes at this level, continue to buy on dips and be bullish. BUY: 3600near BUY: 3589near BUY: 3577near
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold (XAU/USD) is hovering just below or at all-time highsFundamental Drivers Record highs near $3,600/oz: Gold (XAU/USD) is hovering just below or at all-time highs around $3,600. Weak U.S. jobs data (just 22,000 added in August) has heightened expectations of aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts, fueling gold’s rally. Reuters Financial Times FXEmpire Dovish Fed outlook and global uncertainty: The confluence of expected rate cuts, a weaker dollar, and global instability has pushed gold sharply higher, attracting both speculative traders and central bank buyers. FXEmpire FX Leaders Barron's Forecasts trending higher: Analysts see more upside. Estimates range from $3,700 soon to a year-end target near $4,000, possibly even $5,000 by 2026 under certain scenarios. Barron's Trading News FX Leaders Technical Signals Momentum strong, but stretched: Technical readings (RSI, MACD, Stochastic etc.) largely signal a strong bullish bias—but many show overbought conditions. Investing.com +1 Key levels to watch: Resistance: ~$3,640–3,650 zone—break here could open the path to new highs. TradingView +1 Support: ~$3,580–3,600—crucial area for holding bullish structure. TradingView +1 Scenarios vary from continued rally to a short-term correction if resistance holds. TradingView RoboForex Strategic sentiment: Many technical analysts remain bullish, recommending long entries on dips near support, while a few caution of a pullback given the sharp rise. TradingView +1 RoboForex
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Themba_PM
The Trapdoor Series | USDJPY and the Illusion of StabilityHello traders, "Markets often build structures that look strong from the outside, but inside they hide a trapdoor waiting to open. On this chart, USDJPY is trading within a rising channel, showing strength at first glance. Yet, multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) points reveal that momentum is fragile every rise carries a hidden weakness. 📌 What stands out here: Middle Zone has acted as a deceptive balance point, pulling price back again and again, but never giving clear continuation. Liquidity Pool below, where sell-side orders remain untouched, acts as the hidden floor that price could test at any time. Gap Fill reaction shows how quickly the market closes imbalances before deciding on its next move. BSL vs SSL battle highlights how traders are tricked between the highs and lows of the channel, unsure which side will truly break. This structure is like walking on a floor that looks solid but has a trapdoor hidden beneath. Each candle is a step some are firm, some are fragile and traders who rush forward risk falling through the false ground. 💡 Lesson: A trapdoor only opens when enough weight is placed on it. Similarly, in markets, the real move only happens after enough liquidity has been built to justify a breakout. Until then, what looks like stability can simply be a false stage covering the real path. 👉 The question is: will USDJPY’s next move reveal the hidden trapdoor below 🔻, or will it defy expectations and climb higher 🔺 before the floor gives way? Share your perspective — every view adds another piece to the puzzle."
Long
by Nath26770
1
XAUUSD (Gold Spot USD) – OutlookGold has exploded north out of a multi-month accumulation channel. The breakout was clean, with momentum building since early September. Price surged past key resistance with strong impulsive leg, targeting a potential exhaustion zone near the 0.618 Fib extension. 📣 Fed policy speculation is driving safe haven demand. Chinese demand for physical gold also spiking. Rising geopolitical tensions and inflation hedging fueling Gold. 📈 Technical Breakdown 🟩 Trend Analysis Price is riding a steep ascending channel. Momentum is intact, but vertical angle suggests overheating.! 0.618 Fib Extension suggests upside exhaustion near 3,726 🟥 Supply & Demand Zones First Demand Zone: 3,589 - 3,579 Second Demand Zone: 3,553 - 3,540 📉 RSI Divergence Potential Bearish RSI Divergence building on 1H Price making HH, RSI failing = watch for correction pullback 📌 Trade Setup Idea (Swing Trade) Long Entry at DZ1 (Confirmation Entry) Entry 3589 (Pullback into 1st Demand Zone) Stop Loss 3578 (Below 1st demand) Take Profit 3640 (Top of the Channel) Risk/Reward ~1:4 Long Entry at DZ2 (If DZ1 did not hold) Entry 3554 (Pullback into 2nd Demand Zone) Stop Loss 3538.7 (Below 2nd demand) Take Profit 3639.5 (Top of the Channel) Risk/Reward ~1:5.5 🛡️ Risk Management "Max risk: 1-3% of your capital per trade." Adjust position size accordingly. 🧩 Trade Management SL to BE (Break Even) when price hits 1:1 RR zone (~3,615). Be prepared to scale out 50% at TP1, trail rest to ride extension. "The trend is your friend until it bends at the end ." ⚠️ Disclaimer This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before trading. Trading carries risk of capital loss.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DubaiTradersHub