USDJPY BULLISHUSDJPY remains bullish on the higher timeframe, we might see corrections or pullbacks on the lower. But the target before a probable reversal is set at 162.
Wave Analysis
Loss on NQTrade made sense and the body closed perfectly, hard to predict near to 10am. Half risk tomorrow. Also I am skeptical of no news mondays and mondays from now on
Wild Friday and the Weekly HammerFrom a technical-geometric standpoint, Natural Gas is approaching a high-confidence inflection zone. The weekly hammer forming into Friday’s close (12.12.2025) signals potential exhaustion of the recent downside leg and early signs of demand stepping back in.
Descending from 5.33 as expected, the move has unfolded cleanly, and the red candle opening on Monday—exactly in line with the anticipated flow—reinforces the directional bias of the current retracement phase
The end-goal for this corrective leg is anchored at 3.90, which stands out as the dominant liquidity objective. The structure shows a high—if not near-certain—probability of a retracement into that zone, consistent with the broader technical roadmap already outlined.
$LCID short, bear flag and they did just cut production guidanceNASDAQ:LCID short, bear flag, should at least got to $10 in the coming weeks/months.
- They just cut production guidance
Lucid lowered 2025 production outlook to ~18,000 vehicles due to supply issues. That’s another reset lower.
- Revenue missed and losses are still huge
Q3 revenue $336.6M vs ~$379M est, and adjusted loss was worse than expected.
Gross margins are deeply negative (improving, but still ugly).
- Cash burn + dilution treadmill
They have liquidity (~$5.5B), but the business is not self-funding yet.
They already used a $1.1B convertible to refinance and support operations, showing ongoing capital needs.
BTC.D 4H – Market Structure OutlookHi fellow traders,
On the 4H BTC Dominance chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a directional scenario for the broader crypto market. After completing the recent downward leg, I expect dominance to move higher in three waves, forming a corrective structure before the larger continuation to the downside can resume.
This is not a trade setup, but a structural roadmap to understand how capital may rotate across the crypto market. As long as BTC.D remains below the invalidation level at 61.32%, my expectation is that dominance will eventually turn lower with TP1, TP2, and TP3 as the downside objectives - signalling increasing strength for ALTcoins.
If dominance breaks above the invalidation level, this scenario is no longer valid.
Good luck and trade safe!
Silent Waves Before the Surge The current BTCUSD structure shows the market completing a major impulsive wave, followed by a corrective phase that is still unfolding. The correction has taken the form of overlapping subwaves, suggesting consolidation rather than a sharp reversal.
Within this corrective movement, smaller waves are building a base that could serve as the foundation for the next impulsive leg. The pattern indicates that the market is preparing for renewed momentum once the corrective sequence is fully exhausted.
The overall wave count continues to favor a bullish continuation scenario, provided the corrective structure resolves in alignment with classical Elliott principles. Traders should watch for the transition from consolidation to impulse as the next defining move.
Monthly Analysis:Ethereum (ETH), Issue 280 The analyst expects Ethereum’s price to decline by the specified end time (countdown timer), based on quantitative analysis.
The take-profit level simply represents a potential price range during this period — it’s optional and not a guarantee that the price will reach it.
You don’t need to go all-in or use leverage to trade wisely.
Allocating only a portion of your capital helps keep overall risk low.
Our approach follows institutional portfolio management principles — not the “all-in or blow-up” style often promoted on social media.
Performance is evaluated over the entire time window, regardless of whether the take-profit level is hit.
The validity of this analysis is based on a specific time range (until 04 Jan 2025), and after this period, the analysis will be reviewed and updated (once every 28 days).
Monthly Analysis:Ethereum (ETH), Issue 280
ADA: Cardano Near Breakout: H&S Reversal Pattern in PlayADA: Cardano Near Breakout: H&S Reversal Pattern in Play
ADA is about to complete and reverse the Head and Shoulders pattern. The price is currently rising to test the neckline of the pattern, which is also the strongest area for buyers.
Once this area is broken, we can see ADA rising in a clear way, it could start an upward movement this time since it is also very oversold.
Targets:
0.46; 0.49; 0.54 and 0.6
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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BTC/USD 1H – Rejection from Supply, Bearish Retest in PlayBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
The rising trendline supports price from below, but buyers are losing traction under higher-timeframe supply. Bears gain control if price breaks and closes below 88,295, exposing the 85,619 → 84,000 demand zone for reaction.
Key Scenarios
❗ Bearish Case (currently more probable)
Breakdown below 88,295 confirms continuation
🎯 Target 1 → 87,000 trendline touch
🎯 Target 2 → 85,600 demand zone
🎯 Target 3 → 84,000 liquidity sweep
🔄 Bullish Recovery (only valid if support holds)
Price must hold above 88,295 & reclaim 90,500
🎯 Upside Re-test → 92,983
🚫 Failure below 88,295 invalidates long structure
Levels to Watch
Sell Trigger: 88,295 break
Demand Reaction Zone: 85,619 → 84,000
Bearish Continuation: Lower highs under 90,500
⚠️ Analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Monthly Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC), Issue 280 The analyst expects Bitcoin’s price to decline by the specified end time (countdown timer), based on quantitative analysis.
The take-profit level simply represents a potential price range during this period — it’s optional and not a guarantee that the price will reach it.
You don’t need to go all-in or use leverage to trade wisely.
Allocating only a portion of your capital helps keep overall risk low.
Our approach follows institutional portfolio management principles — not the “all-in or blow-up” style often promoted on social media.
Performance is evaluated over the entire time window, regardless of whether the take-profit level is hit.
The validity of this analysis is based on a specific time range (until 04 Jan 2025), and after this period, the analysis will be reviewed and updated (once every 28 days).
Brainiak | Gold forming short term Pull-Back?After price managed to break above 4240 yesterday, which had been acting as a cap for a while, it still failed to break 4264. That leaves price stuck within the 4163–4264 range, and this type of behavior is basically sideway in nature.
From a wave-theory perspective, this kind of structure is usually a formation phase that prepares the market to continue its previous trend (unless it turns into a Late Confirmation, which I’m honestly tired of because it takes forever to verify the ending).
If on Monday price reacts around 4194 and holds (forms a HL), the upside is still valid. Whether it can break 4264 is something we’ll need to judge again from the structure. But one thing is clear: if it holds, we can trade it. I’ll be waiting for setups around this zone as well.
If price drops below the area I’m watching, it should ideally find support near 4164 and not much lower, to maintain a clean continuation setup.
$MDB, strong bull flag. Should reach $500 soonBought NASDAQ:MDB , strong bull flag. Should reach $500 in the coming weeks/months.
Recent MongoDB reporting showed a clear beat-and-raise:
Revenue grew ~19% YoY to about $628M, ahead of Street expectations.
Adjusted EPS came in far above estimates (roughly $1.32 vs ~$0.81).
Atlas (cloud) growth ~30% YoY, remaining the main engine.
Management raised full-year guidance and guided Q4 revenue above prior consensus.
$BA. Strong bull flag and it's production is finally ramping GM traders,
Just bought some LSE:BA. Strong bull flag and it's production is finally ramping again.
Boeing's management is guiding to positive free cash flow in 2026.
Watch the VixThe vix broke it's downtrend, but it can easily come back down to test it. The market remains choppy and probably will be until after Wednesday, so don't take any selling or buying too seriously. Gold still bullish over it's 18. Nat Gas looks like a nicer short today. Oil is over it's 18ma, but needs to get over 62 to be bullish. BTC can hit 93-94k before dropping further, I still think it will.
USDCHF: Bears Will Push Lower
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current USDCHF chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
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GBPAUD Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2.007.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2.020.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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NZDCAD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
NZDCAD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long NZDCAD
Entry - 0.7976
Sl - 0.7963
Tp - 0.8000
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold will rise
On Friday, the US September core PEC annual rate unexpectedly fell to 2.8%, a three-month low. The US dollar index ultimately closed down 0.08% at 98.99. US Treasury yields rose to their highest levels in weeks, as investors anticipated a hawkish rate cut from the Federal Reserve. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.1410%, while the 2-year Treasury yield, sensitive to Fed policy rates, closed at 3.5710%.
Spot gold rallied briefly during the session, approaching the $4260 mark, but subsequently retreated from its highs, erasing all of its intraday gains and closing below the $4200 level, ultimately falling 0.27% to $4197.13 per ounce. Spot silver historically broke through the $59 mark, setting a new record high for the second consecutive day, ultimately rising 2.03% to $58.3 per ounce.
The sharp drop in gold prices at the end of last week validated my view that one shouldn't overemphasize the potential for price fluctuations within this cycle, as there might be sweeping price action. Therefore, I didn't chase the upward trend on Friday, thus avoiding the significant drop. The price closed near 4195, which basically confirms that gold will maintain last week's range-bound movement this week. We still need to observe the price action within this range, buying low and selling high, and then assess the continuation or breakout of the trend based on market changes. Therefore, the immediate range for gold remains 4260/4170. A breakout above or below this range could lead to 4300 on the upside and 4120 on the downside.
From a technical perspective, both the daily and H4 charts show a range-bound pattern. The daily chart lacks a strong bullish signal, while the H4 chart shows Bollinger Bands narrowing and moving averages converging, indicating no clear direction. The current H4 range is 4230/4180. This means that at the beginning of the week, traders can buy low and sell high within this range. A breakout in either direction would expand the range to last week's 4260/4170. Gold is currently fluctuating around 4190. Aggressive traders can go long directly, while conservative traders can go long at 4180, waiting for the price action from last week during the European and American sessions.
Investment Strategy: Buy gold at 4170-80, stop loss at 4160, target 4230, hold if it breaks through.
USOIL Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 59.333.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 60.420 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Silver pump vs the Algo - Who will win?COMEX:SI1! COMEX_MINI:SIL1! TVC:SILVER
The algorithm has reached a terminal exhaustion state at the 4.0 Standard Deviation Macro-Extension effectively completing the parabolic expansion cycle initiated from the 2024 lows.
The current price action represents a 'Distribution Node' at the 60.00 psychological event horizon where the Smart Money is actively offloading inventory into late retail buyers before initiating a high-velocity repricing event to the 54.020 algorithmic equilibrium.
Entry: 58.850 (Market Execution / Sell Limit)
Stop loss: 60.150 (1.300 points)
Take profit: 54.020 (4.830 points)
Risk to reward ratio: 3.71R
The Opportunity
The Monthly chart reveals the absolute truth: Price has struck the 4.0 Standard Deviation projection. In the realm of IPDA, this is the 'Statistical Extremity'—a zone where the probability of continued vertical expansion collapses to near zero and the probability of a mean reversion increases exponentially.
The market has left a massive 'Liquidity Void' between 54.00 and 58.00. This is not structural support; it is thin air. The algorithm abhors this vacuum. The 54.020 level identified is not merely a support level; it is the 'Fair Value' origin of the final impulse leg. The market must return here to close the circuit and validate the breakout.
The Entry
Entering short at the 58.850 region capitalizes on the 'bull trap' formed by the failure to displace above 59.50. The 8-hour chart shows a loss of momentum and the formation of a 'Rounded Top' distribution profile.
The algorithm is currently holding price up solely to induce 'Fear of Missing Out' (FOMO) longs. Once the Asian/London liquidity is swept, the floor will be removed, and the price will seek the path of least resistance: down through the vacuum.
The Invalidation
The bearish causal chain is ontologically corrupted if price achieves a daily close above the 60.150 Omega Point.
A breach of this level would imply that the market has entered a 'Hyper-Inflationary' discovery mode, ignoring standard deviation constraints.
This would shift the probability manifold to the Primary Antithetical Chain targeting the 62.00-65.00 vector.
Key Trajectory Waypoints
Target 1: 57.200 | Type: Immediate Structural Low | Probability: 85% | ETA: 24-48 Hours
Target 2: 55.500 | Type: 1.5 SD / Mid-Void | Probability: 70% | ETA: End of Week
Target 3: 54.020 | Type: The Great Rebalance | Probability: 55% | ETA: 1-2 Weeks
The Shadow Reality
A 20% probability exists for the antithetical reality: The Flag Continuation.
In this scenario, the 58.00 level acts as a 'High Tight Flag' support, and the market consolidates sideways to burn time before one final thrust to 61.00.
This reality is confirmed if price refuses to trade below 57.80 for 48 hours.
4250 Breakout is the Key to 4300!based on the chart, the Gold market is currently stuck in a ranging and indecisive phase, moving between 4190 and 4250.
We will likely see a small upward move toward the top of this range, which is 4250.
Main Scenario: If the price manages to stabilize above 4250 with good volume and candlestick confirmation, the main move will start, and the price will go directly toward the 4300 target.
For now, we must wait for this range to break and the market direction to be confirmed. Trade carefully!
EURJPY Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
EURJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 181.28 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 180.92
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBP/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CHF pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.067 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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