Double Top Confirmed! Is Gold About to Fall Deeper?As expected from my previous idea , Gold touched its target of $4,183 ( the double top pattern’s target(Small) ). Before reaching that target, it had some ups and downs over the past few days, mainly due to the ongoing US-China tensions .
Gold is trading near a Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) .
From a classical technical analysis perspective, it’s forming a clear double top pattern on the 1-hour timeframe . There’s also a regular bearish divergence (RD-) visible between the two peaks of the double top.
From an Elliott Wave theory standpoint, it looks like Gold has started its corrective wave. If the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) and the double top pattern’s neckline break , we can expect further downside .
I expect that after breaking the Support zone($4,193 – $4,156) and the neckline , Gold could drop at least to around $4,083(First Target) .
Second Target: $4,057
Stop Loss(SL): $4,385(Worst)
Note: Keep in mind that given the ongoing US-China tensions, any news could invalidate this analysis. So it’s more important than ever to manage your risk carefully these days.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Wave Analysis
XAUUSDPrice Action Trading is a method of financial market analysis where traders make buying and selling decisions solely based on the asset's price movements over time, without relying on technical indicators.
It's essentially the art of reading a "naked" or clean chart to understand the psychology and behavior of market participants.
EURNZD: Expecting Bullish Continuation! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of EURNZD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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$BTC (WEEKLY): DARK CLOUD COVER bearish candlestick patternCRYPTOCAP:BTC has got a text-book DARK CLOUD COVER candlestick pattern nearly completely formed on the WEEKLY.
It's a form of a bearish engulfing pattern, just without one single red candle but rather a series of a few. This way, we get to see a few red volume candles in order to assess the validity of a pattern.
In addition to the CLOUD COVER pattern, it occurred precisely at the double top and at the CUP & HANDLE long-term target ($125k). All this adds to a bearish bias, and again, closing above $109k is a MUST this week, once again, for a bullish narratives to make any sense.
Some ETF inflows into both #btc and CRYPTOCAP:ETH yesterday, so that's a bit of hopium, right there.
For now, my targets based on the ELLIOT'S WAVE count: $100.3k or 94.3k. BITCOIN must not lose the $94k or it's #cryptowinter time.
💙👽
XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE Gold is facing strong resistance after a recent bullish move. Price is struggling to break higher, showing signs of seller dominance in this zone.
If price continues to hold below resistance, a bearish reversal can be expected.
Sellers are likely to take control if support levels break, leading to a possible downward continuation.
POSSIBLE BUY SETUP ON GBPJPYAnalysis
>previous week price action closed as an inside range(the week commencing on 13th)
>The week commencing on 6th closed as first green week closing in breakout and showcasing bullish momentum
>First green day(fgd) last week on wed and managed to close the week in close in breakout on friday(cib)
>anticipating buy setups with targets at 205.165
Gold nowGold broke the MA liquidity line so it accept MA 2-5-6 only and now he in short term sell Direction level that means possible to short and long in the supply and demand zone but no long before it reverse the momentum at moving average and CCI or rest in the daily demand zone around 4000 - 4040
#MA_Strategy
GOLD: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 4048.5
Stop Loss - 4029.6
Take Profit - 4083.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Boeing (BA) – Final Leg of Macro Bull Run✈️ Boeing (BA) – Final Leg of Macro Bull Run | Wave 5 to 1.618 Extension ($1200) 🚀
📅 Timeframe: Monthly (Macro Cycle Outlook)
📍 Current Price: $217
🎯 Wave 5 Target : ~$1200 (1.618 Extension)
🌀 Wave Theory Structure
Boeing appears to be entering Wave 5 of a long-term Elliott Wave cycle:
✅ Wave 1: Multi-decade rise until the early 2000s
✅ Wave 2: Complex correction (W–X–Y) into 2009 lows
✅ Wave 3: Powerful rally through 2019, completed with an extended 5-wave subdivision
✅ Wave 4: A large-scale triangle correction (ABCDE) — now completed, as price has broken structure upward
🚀 Wave 5: Projected move toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (~$1200) from the 1–3 wave distance
This is a textbook impulsive wave structure playing out on the monthly macro scale — with a final bullish leg now unfolding.
📐 Fibonacci Confluence
Wave 2 retraced ~0.236 of Wave 1 (shallow, bullish corrective behavior)
Wave 4 retraced ~0.5 of Wave 3 — typical for triangle patterns and expanded flats
Wave 5 target at 1.618 Fib extension measured from Wave 1–3 aligns around $1200 , completing the 5-wave macro cycle 🔺
🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
🔹 Accumulation Phase (2020–2024): After COVID crash and multi-year consolidation, price has shown strong accumulation characteristics
🔹 Final Sweep of Lows (E leg) flushed out late longs and retail stops before institutional re-entry
🔹 Break of Structure (BOS) confirms transition from reaccumulation to markup phase 📈
🔹 Price is now in a reprice phase — a classic SMC trait where value is rapidly adjusted after institutional positioning completes
📊 Price Action Analysis
Bullish breakout from triangle structure
Monthly higher low established at E-wave base
Strong bullish candle from demand zone — early confirmation of trend continuation
Break above $260 would open clean skies toward the next major resistance at ATH ($446) and beyond 🧭
💼 Fundamental Outlook
Boeing is regaining strength after multiple challenging years:
✈️ Rebound in global aviation demand
📦 Growing defense & aerospace contracts amid rising geopolitical tensions
💰 Expected recovery in cash flows, backlog, and profitability
🌐 Expansion in space and unmanned systems (future growth verticals)
Although regulatory and delivery risks remain, Boeing’s turnaround story is gathering steam — aligning with the technical forecast of Wave 5 acceleration.
🔍 Summary
Boeing is entering what could be the final and most explosive leg (Wave 5) of its macro Elliott Wave cycle. Key confluences include:
✅ Elliott Wave triangle completion
✅ Fibonacci 1.618 extension to ~$1200
✅ Institutional accumulation confirmed
✅ Price Action breakout from multi-year structure
✅ Improving long-term fundamentals
This setup favors long-term swing positions , with pullbacks offering buying opportunities until the final cycle target is approached. 🧠📈
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Always do your own due diligence and manage risk responsibly. 🛡️
#Boeing #BA #ElliottWave #SmartMoney #PriceAction #Fibonacci #Wave5 #TriangleBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #LongTermInvestment #MacroTrading #StockMarket #BullishOutlook #Aerospace #WaveTheory #SwingTrading #AviationRecovery #FibonacciTargets #TradingStrategy
EURUSD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1581
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1630
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDCAD is below:
The market is trading on 1.4027 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.4012
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.4037
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NEAR Testing Key Support: Bulls Preparing for a ReboundNEAR Testing Key Support: Bulls Preparing for a Rebound
NEAR has established a strong support zone around 1.85, which has been tested multiple times in the past. Each test of this zone has resulted in a strong bullish rebound, showing that buyers remain active and well-positioned at this level.
Currently, the price is approaching this key area again, and if the support holds, a bullish reversal could follow.
In the short term, NEAR could target 2.62 as a quick move. A confirmed breakout above this level would open the way toward 3.18, 3.73, and potentially 4.75 in the medium to long term.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
BlackRock (BLK) – Wave 3 in Motion📢 BlackRock (BLK) – Wave 3 in Motion | Institutional Strength + Fibonacci 3.618 Target Ahead 💥
📅 Timeframe : Monthly (Long-term Outlook)
📍 Current Price: $1,130
🎯 Wave 3 Target: ~$3,710 (3.618 Fibonacci Extension)
🧭 Structure: Wave 3 of a larger 5-wave cycle in progress
🌀 Wave Theory Confluence
BlackRock is currently unfolding a strong impulsive structure as part of a long-term Elliott Wave cycle:
Wave 1: The early-stage rally from 2000 to 2007
Wave 2: A textbook 0.382 Fibonacci retracement during the 2008 financial crisis
Wave 3: The current wave, extended and projected to reach 3.618x the Wave 1 length (~$3,710) — a typical signature of a strong institutional-driven Wave 3 impulse ⚡
Wave 4 & 5: Projected after this major expansion, with intermediate corrections expected
This fractal symmetry suggests BLK is nowhere near a cycle top yet , with significant upside potential over the next several years 📈
📐 Fibonacci Levels & Projections
🔹 Wave 2 respected the 0.382 retracement , a classic spot for shallow corrections during strong trends
🔹 Wave 3 Extension Target sits at 3.618 — ~$3,710 — backed by both Fibonacci math and historical wave behavior
🔹 Mid-channel resistance may create short-term corrections before final push to the target
🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
✅ Reaccumulation Phases: Price consolidations in 2015–2016 and 2022–2023 reflect institutional reloading zones, not distribution
✅ BOS (Break of Structure): Recent break above 2021 ATH confirms new markup phase 🔥
✅ No major supply zones above, indicating price could expand freely until price discovery finds new resistance closer to the projected 3.618 extension
📊 Price Action Analysis
Clean higher highs and higher lows on the monthly chart
Large-bodied bullish candles show strong trend momentum
Minor corrections respecting prior resistance-turned-support zones = confirmation of demand ✅
Breakout from compression range suggests volatility expansion and strong directional bias
💼 Fundamental Tailwinds
BlackRock remains the world’s largest asset manager , positioned at the heart of global capital flows:
AUM over $9T 📦
Massive institutional & ETF exposure (iShares)
Strong penetration into passive investing & ESG funds
Beneficiary of rate cut cycles and equity bull markets
Strategic leadership in tokenized assets, AI-enhanced portfolio management , and climate investing
These macro and innovation-driven tailwinds align with the explosive potential of Wave 3 , fueled by both capital inflows and earnings expansion 🧮
🎯 Summary
BlackRock is in a textbook macro Wave 3 expansion , with all signs aligning:
✅ Elliott Wave Impulse
✅ Fibonacci Extension to 3.618
✅ Institutional Accumulation Confirmed
✅ Price Action Breakout
✅ Rock-solid Fundamentals
A correction (Wave 4) may develop later around or after $3,700 — but for now, the path of least resistance remains up . Long-term investors and swing traders should monitor retracements for potential add-on positions before price enters Wave 5 later in the decade.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly. 🛡️
#BlackRock #BLK #ElliottWave #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #WaveTheory #InstitutionalTrading #SwingTrade #LongTerm #StockMarket #AssetManagement #Breakout #Wave3 #BullishOutlook #Fundamentals #TradingStrategy #MacroView
#KDA/USDT bullish structure formed at the chart#KDA
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 0.0800, representing a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.0876
First target: 0.1016
Second target: 0.1160
Third target: 0.1321
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Double top resistance has pulled back as expected.Based on the 4-hour market trend, short-term resistance is currently at 4380-4383 on the upside, while support is at 4280-4293 on the downside. If bulls fail to achieve a sustained breakout, a period of volatile correction is imminent. Trading strategies should prioritize range-bound trading. In the middle, be cautious about buying orders and wait patiently for key entry points. I'll provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so stay tuned.
Short gold with a light position at 4375-4383, targeting 4295-4303. Hold if it breaks through!
Go long on gold if it retraces to 4285-4293, targeting 4365-4370. Hold if it breaks through!
A "bad day" for gold!Despite no significant fundamental shifts, gold still had a bad day. The US dollar rose slightly, Treasury yields barely budged, and the stock market showed no significant shift in risk appetite or aversion. Furthermore, a potential meeting between Trump and China in South Korea next week remains "up in the air" (Trump expressed some skepticism about the prospect of such a meeting). So, why did gold have such a bad day?
Gold prices fell over 5% during the European/US trading session as profit-taking began to evolve into a larger sell-off in the precious metal. Understandably, traders are highly motivated to profit at unprecedented price levels in the gold market.
With the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which could have a significant impact on the number of Federal Reserve rate cuts in the coming quarter, investors are more inclined to liquidate their positions. Following gold's record-breaking run, a correction of this nature is not unexpected, especially given some overbought indicators. From a technical perspective, support around $4,000 may be crucial if gold still hopes to reach $4,500 in the short term. Looking ahead, the key macroeconomic event of the week is Friday's US CPI report. We're expected to see a 0.4% monthly increase, bringing the annual rate to 3.1% (up from 2.9%). If we see inflation data that exceeds expectations, this could cause discomfort for Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve as they balance the risks of higher inflation against a weak labor market.
Global markets are facing several potential flashpoints, including but not limited to US-China trade tensions and the ongoing US government shutdown. The only factor providing some safety net for risky assets is the expectation of two more rate cuts by year-end, so a strong CPI report on Friday could disrupt risk appetite.
Gold prices plummeted, analysis for next week!Gold market analysis for next Monday:
Gold finally experienced a sharp pullback. Yesterday, gold hit a high of 4379, then fluctuated back and forth, rising to a low of 4278 before rebounding to the intraday high. This is a typical extreme move driven by a short-term sell-off at high levels. This week, there seemed to be a series of one-way plunges of more than 80 points, followed by a rebound to offset the decline. While the Asian session rebounded, the US market presented a different picture! After the Asian session's correction, there was a V-shaped rebound, followed by a one-way decline after a high. The US market continued its decline, with a relatively wide range. The low reached 4186, a maximum difference of 193 points from the high of 4379. The 1-hour chart saw a second upward move, but pressure was applied at 4379, forming a double top. A sharp sell-off in the US market lowered the price to 4186. The daily chart recorded a large, real-body bearish candlestick. While a single candlestick pattern alone is insufficient to signal a reversal, the rapid pace of the previous rally suggests a technical correction is needed. The weekly chart support is far from support, so a short position at 4379 is still a viable option.
I saw a significant bearish trend on the daily chart, with a single bearish candlestick covering a bullish candlestick. The 4-hour chart also saw three large bearish candlesticks, resulting in a $170 drop. This indicates the presence of upward pressure, and this week's bullish rally has also led to a technical correction. Gold's pullback in the US market did not lead to a rebound, but instead broke down and fell. Short-term resistance has formed at 4280. If gold rebounds and finds pressure at 4280, short-term short positions are warranted. Gold may begin to adjust.
Yesterday, we repeatedly emphasized the importance of the 4280 area for gold. If it falls below this level, a direct short position could target the 4200-4180 area. Indeed, gold plummeted. This is the rhythm. Next Monday, consider shorting gold at the neckline resistance level of 4275-80. Overall, our short-term trading strategy for gold next Monday is to prioritize shorting on rallies, with a secondary focus on long positions on pullbacks. Focus on resistance at 4275-4280 in the upper short term, and support at 4180-4090 on the lower side. Be sure to keep up with the market. Specific price levels will be determined by real-time intraday data. Welcome to discuss real-time market trends.
Next Monday's gold trading strategy:
Selling strategy:
Short (sell) 20% of your position in batches when gold rebounds near 4275-4280, targeting the 4230-4200 range. A break below targets the 4180 level.
Buying strategy:
Buy (buy) 20% of your position in batches when gold pulls back near 4175-4180, targeting the 4230-4250 range. A break below targets the 4275 level.
SAP SE – Wave 3 Macro Rally in Progress🚀 SAP SE – Wave 3 Macro Rally in Progress | Fibonacci Targets & Institutional Accumulation in Play 💼
📅 Timeframe : 3W (Macro Outlook)
📍 Current Price: 238.85
🎯 Wave 3 Target: ~1743 (2.618 Fibonacci Extension)
📊 Wave Structure & Elliott Theory
SAP SE appears to be mid-way through a major Elliott Wave cycle , where:
Wave 1 formed during the late 90s tech boom 📈
Wave 2 brought a deep correction post-2000 crash, respecting the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement
Wave 3 now underway, projected toward the 2.618 extension at ~1743 , suggesting a strong impulsive leg fueled by fundamentals and institutional accumulation
Wave 4 and 5 to come, but we are early in the Wave 3 journey – historically the most powerful wave in terms of price growth and investor sentiment ⚡
🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
✅ Reaccumulation Range: After an extended period of sideways price action (2001–2019), the chart shows clear signs of Smart Money accumulation – long-term positioning by institutions.
📈 Break of Structure (BOS): Clean break above prior macro highs indicates the end of reaccumulation and the start of a markup phase . This aligns with the SMC concept of entering trades after BOS and mitigation of supply zones.
📦 Liquidity Grab: Previous dips served to collect liquidity before major impulsive moves – a classic institutional playbook.
📐 Fibonacci Confluence
🔹 0.5 Retracement from Wave 1 → Wave 2 provided a textbook correction
🔹 2.618 Extension from Wave 1–2 projects a long-term Wave 3 target of ~1743 , giving this move macro-level significance
🔹 No visible divergence yet – momentum is supporting continuation 🌀
🔎 Price Action
Higher Highs & Higher Lows structure confirmed on multi-year view 📶
Strong bullish candles breaking historical resistances
No major supply zones overhead on the macro chart until much higher levels – suggests room for exponential upside
Pullbacks remain shallow, indicating strong buy-side pressure
🧾 Fundamental Outlook
SAP SE is Europe’s largest software company and a global ERP leader. It’s undergoing a digital transformation into cloud-based SaaS, improving recurring revenue and margins. 💻☁️
Strong balance sheet
Growing enterprise customer base
Cloud revenue growing YoY
Excellent positioning in AI and digital infrastructure themes going forward 🔮
Fundamentals support a multi-year bullish cycle , aligning perfectly with the current Wave 3 structure.
📌 Conclusion:
SAP is entering a potentially parabolic phase as part of a long-term Wave 3 impulse, supported by:
📈 Elliott Wave alignment
🔁 Institutional reaccumulation (SMC)
🔍 Strong technical structure & price action
📐 Fibonacci confluence
💼 Solid fundamental trajectory
As long as price holds above previous structure highs and no macroeconomic shock disrupts the tech cycle, SAP could be heading for an exponential breakout over the coming years.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Always manage risk and use proper position sizing. 🛡️
#SAP #SAPSE #ElliottWave #WaveAnalysis #Fibonacci #SmartMoney #PriceAction #LongTermInvestment #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #MacroView #FibonacciExtensions #StockMarket #TradingStrategy #InstitutionalTrading #Breakout #Reaccumulation #ChartPattern #Fundamentals
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 22, 2025)
🔹 1. Momentum
D1:
The D1 momentum is preparing to turn bullish, signaling the start of a new upward trend.
→ We can expect at least 3–5 consecutive bullish days ahead.
H4:
We need to wait for the H4 candle to close to confirm the reversal signal.
If confirmed, there’s a strong possibility that today will form an intraday uptrend.
H1:
H1 momentum has already turned upward, but it’s now in the overbought zone.
Therefore, the current rise won’t be strong, and a minor pullback is needed to bring momentum back to the oversold area — creating a foundation for a more stable bullish move.
________________________________________
🔹 2. Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe:
Yesterday saw a sharp decline, but D1 momentum is now preparing to reverse upward.
Counting the correction candles, we already have five candles, suggesting that the market may soon enter a new bullish phase lasting 3–5 days or more.
During this recovery phase, we need to monitor two key scenarios:
• If wave movements overlap and lack strength, and when D1 momentum returns to the overbought zone but price fails to break the previous high, then the Wave 4 (yellow) scenario is still in play.
• If price rises sharply and decisively, the recent correction might only be part of Wave 3 (yellow), meaning the bullish trend is continuing.
H4 Timeframe:
Yesterday’s structure was identified as a Flat correction, and it remains valid.
Price has retraced into the Wave 4 zone of the smaller degree structure, reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of Wave A.
If Wave 5 (purple) is now developing, the ideal target would be around 4476.
However, if price rises with overlapping waves, this could instead represent a corrective move within Wave 4 (yellow), targeting the previous high zone between 4381 and 4476.
H1 Timeframe:
Within Wave W, there is a small Flat correction, where Wave C extended to twice the length of Wave A.
Now, Wave Y (blue) has also declined to 2× Wave W, suggesting weakening buying power.
Even so, in the short term, we still expect an intraday bullish move today.
→ The trading bias remains buy-side until H4 momentum reaches the overbought area and reverses.
________________________________________
🔹 3. Trading Plan
Buy Zone: 4101 – 4098
Stop Loss (SL): 4088
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 4190
________________________________________
🔹 4. Notes
Liquidity and resistance zones are already marked on the chart.
→ Wait for price to break and retest those areas to confirm a valid Buy setup.






















