ES (S&P 500 E-mini) – January 26 Day Session OutlookES (S&P 500 E-mini) – January 26 Day Session Outlook
Timeframe: 15m
Current Price Area: ~6946
Market Context
ES is trading inside a balanced range after a sharp downside liquidation and recovery. Price is currently rotating around high-volume acceptance near 6945–6950, with clear resistance stacked above 6958–6965 and responsive buyers previously defending 6925–6932.
This is a range-to-range auction day unless we see strong initiative volume outside value.
🔹 Key Levels
Resistance / Supply: 6958 – 6965
Acceptance / Pivot: 6945 – 6950 (POC-like behavior)
Support / Demand: 6930 – 6925
Range Low (failure area): 6915 – 6908
📊 Trade Plan – Day Session
9:30 AM – 12:00 PM (Opening Rotation)
Primary Expectation: Responsive trade off extremes, rotation through value.
Trade Idea 1 – Short from Upper Range
Entry: 6958 – 6965
Target: 6946 → 6935
Stop Loss: 6972
Logic: Prior rejection + heavy volume node → sellers defend value high
Alternate Long (Only if Acceptance Holds)
Entry: 6930 – 6935
Target: 6948 → 6955
Stop Loss: 6922
Logic: Buyers defend prior demand and rotate back to POC
12:00 PM – 4:00 PM (Afternoon Continuation / Fade)
Primary Expectation: Either continuation to range extremes or late-day fade.
Trade Idea 2 – Afternoon Long (If Hold Above Value)
Entry: 6940 – 6946
Target: 6958 → 6968
Stop Loss: 6932
Logic: Holding above value = bullish acceptance into close
Failure Scenario – Breakdown Short
Entry: Acceptance below 6928
Target: 6915 → 6905
Stop Loss: 6940
Logic: Loss of demand → liquidation toward prior lows
This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Wave Analysis
EURUSD: Bearish Pattern Signals Potential Trend ReversalEURUSD: Bearish Harmonic Pattern Signals Potential Trend Reversal
EURUSD has completed a bearish harmonic pattern after an aggressive bullish leg into a strong daily resistance zone around 1.1900–1.1920. This area has previously acted as a major supply zone, and price is now showing clear rejection from that level.
Technically, the completion of the harmonic structure aligns with a loss of bullish momentum, increasing the probability of a corrective or impulsive move to the downside. As long as price remains below the 1.1920 resistance, the bearish scenario remains valid.
Key Levels:
1.1800 → 1.1740 → 1.1635
You may find more details in the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
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EURCHF: Bullish Forecast & Bullish Scenario
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURCHF pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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EURNZD: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
EURNZD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy EURNZD
Entry - 1.9854
Stop - 1.9840
Take - 1.9880
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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ETHUSD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 2,894.86.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 2,786.03 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AUDCHF Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.541.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.539 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Bearish Reversal Setup on XAU/USD (SMC Analysis)The chart depicts a potential short (sell) setup after a significant bullish run. The price is currently trading near all-time highs (marked around $5,091 in this simulation/chart) and is showing signs of exhaustion at a structural resistance level.
Key Technical Elements:
• Trend Context: The price has been moving within an ascending channel (the blue diagonal lines). It recently hit a "Weak Swing High," suggesting the upward momentum may be fading.
• Market Structure: * BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple bullish breaks are visible on the way up.
• CHoCH (Change of Character): Several internal shifts in trend are highlighted in orange, indicating local volatility.
• Supply & Demand Zones: * The red box at the top represents a Supply Zone or a bearish Order Block where the "Smart Money" is expected to enter sell positions.
• The green shaded area below represents the Target/Take Profit zone, aiming for a return to previous support levels around $4,975 - $5,000.
• FVG (Fair Value Gaps): The yellow highlighted areas and text labels indicate gaps in price action that the market often returns to "fill" or rebalance.
• Projected Path: The large pink arrow and the black zig-zag lines predict a breakdown from the current consolidation, moving toward the "Strong Swing Low" identified near the $4,900 handle.
NZD/JPY LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/JPY is trending up which is evident from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 92.530.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GOLD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 5,090.81
Target Level: 5,003.11
Stop Loss: 5,148.67
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
RIOT Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:RIOT
🎯 Price completed wave II of 3, reclaiming the daily 200EMA and pivot. The next challenge is to overcome the High Volume Node resistance. The uptrend is strong.
📈 Daily RSI hit oversold with bullish divergence and has room to grow.
👉 Continued downside has a target of the High Volume Node, $10
Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities
🎯RIOT is behaving as expected in the usual range, sitting above fv, moving along its steady growth path.
👉Fair value is ~$15
safe trading
MSTR Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:MSTR
🎯 Price dropped hard wave Y of 4, invalidating the previous analysis. Wave Y can complete any time in this flat correction pattern, but is approaching the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, a high probability bottom.
📈 Daily RSI printed hidden bearish divergence, suggesting lower to come
👉 Continued downside has a target of the S1 pivot, $136
Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities
🎯MSTR has finally completed its overheated cooldown, dipping below fv. Downside momentum is in control and could continue to push the price down further. SD-2 threshold is $120
👉Fair value is ~$200
Safe trading
MARA Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:MARA
🎯 Previous downside target was hit, $8. Price dropped hard, changing the Elliott wave count completely, stopping at the golden pocket. Wave (Z) of B appears complete, but we need to see ahigher high to confirm
📈 Daily RSI went deep into oversold with bullish divergence and is now printing hidden bearish divergence
👉 Continued downside has a target of the High Volume Node bottom, $7
Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities
🎯MARA dropped to the SD-2 threshold, presenting a good opportunity to buy, below fv.
👉Fair value is ~$22
Safe trading
IREN Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:IREN
🎯 Iren wave 4 hit the daily 200EMA, just above 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. Price is at High Volume Node resistance, but above the daily pivot and 200EMA, showing the uptrend is intact. Continued downside has a target of the daily 200EMA, $26.75
📈 Daily RSI has not reached oversold
👉 Analysis is invalidated only at all time high, for now
Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities
🎯IREN came back down to it’s expected range and jumped back into the SD+2 overbought zone. The incline is steep, reflecting its strong growth, giving strong down days also. Price is above fv
👉Fair value is ~$35
Safe trading
HUT Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:HUT
🎯 Price jumped back up following my path. Wave 4 of V was indeed complete at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node just above the daily 200EMA. The daily R1 pivot has been claimed. The uptrend is well intact.
📈 Daily RSI is showing bearish divergence as price falters
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close below wave 4, $30
Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities
🎯 Hut is in the SD+2 overheated zone, where it is expected to spend <5% of the time. Price has a tendency to rally above the SD+3 threshold before being rejected, characteristic of low-cap assets. Price is well above fv, traders should be cautious
👉Fair value is ~$20
Safe trading
GOOGL Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:GOOGL
🎯 Wave III continued, price looks exhausted but just won’t stop rewarding investors. It may trap late trend-chasing investors, causing them to capitulate lower. Wave (B) of a corrective wave appears complete. Wave (C) has an initial target of the High Volume Node at $277, the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement. This is a likely area for a wave 4 correction to end in a bullish uptrend.
📈 Daily RSI has printed a bearish divergence from overbought for weeks
👉 Analysis is invalidated if price moves above wave III into all-time high
Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities
🎯Google has been overheated for some time above the SD+3 threshold, where it is expected to spend <1% of the time. A large drop would not be surprising, but this sustained rally is reflecting the AI growth and could be setting google on a new, bullish path. Price is well above fv, not something I would be buying at this time
👉Fair value is ~$260
Safe trading
COIN Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:COIN
🎯 Price continued lower, ignoring all bullish divergences, though another is forming. Price has filled the gap and sits in the golden pocket. The bears are in control.
📈 Daily RSI has printed bullish divergence from oversold, a strong bottoming signal.
👉 Analysis is invalidated above $263, suggesting a major bottom is in
Volatility analysis | Expected range & extremities
🎯COIN behaving as expected. Price tested the SD+2 threshold 3 times and was rejected to fv each time. No momentum took hold despite COIN’s big run. Price is at fv.
👉Fair value is ~$225
Safe trading
BTDR Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:BTDR
🎯 Price overcame the daily 200EMA, major High Volume Node and Pivot, showing a strong bullish trend is in play. It has pulled back to test the 200EMA and support node, normal behaviour. Wave C looks underway toward the $25 target.
📈 Daily RSI printed bullish divergence.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if price falls below wave (B), 9.50, and the structure will start to look bearish.
Safe trading
EURUSD - Correction StartsThe move since November 2025 is viewed as a corrective wave B within the fifth wave of the larger structure.
The impulse that started in January 2026 is considered one of the internal impulses of wave B and now appears complete.
We are starting a correction of this impulse.
Main targets:
1.7721
1.7347
1.6972
A possible scenario is that the top of wave B has already been formed, and the market may begin a series of impulsive moves to the downside, forming wave C , as described in an earlier idea.
For now, however, it’s too early to draw conclusions.
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GOLD at Resistance Region? what's next??#GOLD.. market perfectly moved as per our last idea and discussion and now market made a fresh resistance region that is around 5091 to 5095
keep close and sustain below means there is no buying scenarios for the time being.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse above 5095 on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
AUDUSD 15M — Bearish Rejection from Weak HighPrice is rejecting the weak swing high with a clear change of character (CHoCH). Structure favors a bearish move toward the lower liquidity and order block zone around 0.6865–0.6845. Look for sell opportunities on pullbacks, with stops above the recent high and targets at the strong swing low.
This Is Where Smart Money Sells Gold (Not Buys)VANTAGE:XAUUSD
Trade Context (Why SHORT after a big rally)
Price made a strong impulsive bullish move, but then:
momentum stalled near highs
price started moving sideways
buyers failed to push above the high convincingly
📌 This is distribution behavior, not healthy continuation.
1️⃣ Major Resistance & Liquidity Zone (Core Reason)
The 5090–5100 area is a high-liquidity zone:
previous high
equal highs formed
stop orders stacked above
Price already tapped this zone and failed.
➡️ When price cannot expand after grabbing liquidity, institutions often reverse price back to value.
This is why selling near 5090–95 makes sense.
2️⃣ Momentum Failure (Why Buyers Are Weak)
Look at the candles at the top:
smaller bodies
long wicks
no follow-through after spikes
This shows:
buying pressure is exhausted
late buyers are trapped
smart money is distributing
📌 Strong trends don’t behave like this at highs.
3️⃣ Structure Shift on Lower Timeframe
Although HTF is bullish, on the 15-min LTF:
price failed to make a clean higher high
internal structure began shifting
range formed instead of continuation
➡️ This opens room for a mean reversion move.
4️⃣ Why These Targets Make Sense
🎯 Target 1: 5058
Previous support
Range low
First reaction zone
This is where partial profits should be taken.
🎯 Target 2: 4990
Origin of the impulsive move
Liquidity imbalance
Value area re-entry
📌 If price reaches here, the move is no longer a pullback — it’s a rotation.
5️⃣ Stop Loss Logic (Why 5115)
Above the high
Above liquidity grab zone
Above all bearish invalidation
If price trades above 5115:
➡️ Sellers are wrong
➡️ Trend continuation confirmed
➡️ Exit immediately
No revenge trading.
6️⃣ Why This Trade Is Worth Taking (Risk Logic)
Risk ≈ 20–25 pips
Reward ≈ 70–120+ pips
RR ≈ 1:3 to 1:5
📌 Even if this setup wins 40% of the time, it’s profitable.
🧠 Trader’s Mindset (Important)
“I’m not fighting the trend blindly.
I’m selling where buyers fail, at premium prices, with tight risk.”
This is how professionals trade reversals, not by guessing tops.
🔑 Final Verdict
✔️ High-liquidity resistance
✔️ Momentum exhaustion
✔️ Clean invalidation
✔️ Strong RR
This trade is justified — not emotional.
Elise | XAUUSD | 30M – Bullish Continuation Above Key SupportOANDA:XAUUSD
After a strong impulsive rally, price paused and consolidated above prior resistance, which has now flipped into support. This behavior indicates acceptance at higher prices rather than distribution. As long as this support holds, the probability favors continuation toward external liquidity.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Sustained acceptance above support opens the path toward upper resistance.
🎯 Target 1: 5050
🎯 Target 2: 5120
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → A decisive break and close below support would invalidate the bullish continuation and signal a deeper corrective move.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 5050 – 5120
Support 🟢: 4960 – 4900
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.






















