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Wave Analysis

Going Short On Gold (XAUUSD). I Will deadlift 500 kg If I winGold has already swept today’s high, clearing liquidity from traders holding sell positions above that level. After that sweep, price has shifted to the downside and is currently moving away from the high of the day. With the broader structure still bearish since last Friday, price is now heading toward last Friday’s low. From that point, price may either continue its bearish expansion or find support and reverse. For now, the momentum remains on the downside, and sellers maintain control until proven otherwise.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by JudeOseiBonsu
USDJPY Intraday AnalysisUSDJPY Intraday Analysis – Market Rejects Premium Zone, Bearish Momentum Building The market is showing clear signs of distribution after rejecting the premium supply zone near the weak high. Price continues to break short-term structure, forming consecutive BOS signals on the lower timeframe and sliding below the EMA clusters. This behavior indicates weakening bullish momentum and an increasing probability of a deeper retracement into demand. During the latest pullback, USDJPY tapped directly into the EMA 20–50 stack and failed to create a new high. The bearish candle close below the micro-range suggests a shift in order flow as liquidity gets pulled toward the discounted zone. This aligns with the broader market narrative as price gravitates toward unmitigated demand levels. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Zones • 0.006460 – 0.006470: Premium supply area, weak high region • 0.006448 – 0.006453: EMA rejection cluster and intraday distribution zone Support Zones • 0.006428 – 0.006436: First major demand zone; strong reaction expected • 0.006398 – 0.006408: Unmitigated demand with strong low • 0.006382 – 0.006392: Extreme discount zone if momentum continues lower Technical Confluence Trendline: Price is trading below the short-term ascending trendline, confirming a loss of bullish structure. EMA System: EMA 20, 50, and 100 have flattened and are beginning to fan downward. This typically signals early-stage trend reversal. BOS and ChoCH: Multiple BOS signals to the downside reveal shift in market control from buyers to sellers. Liquidity Zones: Liquidity has been taken above the weak high, indicating smart money may be distributing and preparing for a deeper move into demand. Intraday Trading Scenarios Scenario 1: Sell-Side Continuation (High Probability) If price remains below 0.006447 and continues rejecting EMA 20–50, the next rotation aims toward: • Target 1: 0.006436 • Target 2: 0.006428 • Target 3: 0.006408 (primary liquidity pool) Break and close below 0.006428 opens the way toward the extreme discount at 0.006398. Scenario 2: Reversal Buy from Demand (Speculative but Valid) Watch for a bullish ChoCH inside 0.006428 – 0.006436. If confirmed, potential rebound targets: • 0.006444 • 0.006453 • 0.006468 (full mitigation of supply) This scenario requires strong bullish confirmation due to current overall bearish pressure. Trading Strategy Recommendation Sell on retracements into EMA 20–50 zones while price stays below 0.006447. Stops should remain above the weak high structure. Buys only considered from deep discount demand with a clear shift of structure. This structure-focused approach aligns with institutional order flow and supports consistent short-term execution.
by Henrybillion
USDCAD Will Go Higher! Long! Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.382. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.392 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
2
EURAUD Will Go Down! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for EURAUD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 1.756. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.750 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
MORPHO Analysis (1D)It appears that MORPHO is currently in wave B. This wave forms a bearish triangle, and it now seems to be in wave D of that triangle. The price may move toward the green box, provided that the red box is maintained. A daily candle close above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
Short
by behdark
Gold holds within a bullish channel formation; support is locate We have seen spikes in both directions for the last four days. Although this highlights investor indecision at current levels, the intraday chart shows a Wyckoff Accumulation zone. This would suggest that after a continued period of consolidation, Gold continues to trend higher. Prime support is located at $4,168. To the upside, we have a supply zone from October 20 at $4,337. A full AB=CD pattern will take us to $4,367 Conclusion: there is ample scope for further accumulation. I look for dips to find buyers at $4,168
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by IanColeman
GBP/USD holds within a 4th correction; support at 1.3248 The rally was sold in the dip was bought resulting in GBP/USD posting mild net daily gains by the close. The overnight rally has found sellers. Big-picture analysis suggests that we are currently training within the CD leg of a Crab pattern. This will be completed upon reaching 1.3760. We have a 161.8% extension level at 1.3344. The Elliott Wave theory highlights that we are currently correcting lower within the 4th wave. Substantial support is located at 1.3248. Conclusion: 4th waves tend to be mixed and volatile. The preferred stance is to buy into dips
Long
by IanColeman
USD/JPY expecting a period of intraday volatility; resistance Although USD/JPY posted initial losses during the Asian session, buyers emerged at 154.34. Follow-through bullish momentum resulted in all the initial daily losses being recaptured. The dip lower was seen as the completion of a bullish Butterfly formation. Intraday resistance is located at 155.50. The issue that I have with calling a buy trade is the fact that I expect both single currencies to continue to move to the downside. Conclusion: although the medium-term outlook is for higher levels, signals are not strong enough to result in a buy trade. In fact, **we could see a continued intraday volatility**
by IanColeman
AUD/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT Hello, Friends! We are going short on the AUD/USD with the target of 0.659 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
Elliott Wave or NEoWave? Which on is better?A common question people often ask is: Should I learn Elliott Wave or NEoWave? Which one is better? And do I need to study Elliott Wave first before moving on to NEoWave? Let’s break it down. The classic Elliott Wave theory originates from the book Elliott Wave Principle, written and compiled by Robert Prechter and A.J. Frost. Both authors were not the original creators of the theory .. they simply collected and organized the works of Ralph Nelson Elliott, whose ideas were scattered across various sources, and compiled them into a single book. Given the context of that era .. the trading environment, technology, and available tools .. it’s fair to say R.N. Elliott developed the theory to a level that was almost complete for his time. Back then, there were no PCs, no laptops, no internet… and charts had to be drawn by hand. In that sense, Elliott was genuinely a genius. But despite its impact and popularity, the classical version still contains many weaknesses. And someone eventually stepped in to identify those flaws .. a passionate young man named Glenn Neely, who dedicated himself to studying wave theory seriously and wanted to eliminate the criticism that Elliott Wave was nothing more than “a subjective theory that doesn’t work in real trading.” Because he was born in an era where computers were emerging and technology was accelerating, he had the thought of applying science and mathematics to make wave analysis more accurate and repeatable. After more than seven years of work, Neely published an extremely complex .. and extremely difficult .. book: Mastering Elliott Wave. This book essentially became the foundation of early NEoWave, because nearly all of the first-generation NEoWave concepts were packed inside it. So… which one is better? The answer, without hesitation: Mastering Elliott Wave wins by a landslide. Yes, it’s difficult. But that difficulty comes with benefits: – Higher accuracy – Clearer structure – Much stronger logic These are things classical Elliott Wave simply cannot do. The blue book (Elliott Wave Principle) lacks something crucial that the red book (MEW) provides: a practical and functional Degree system. (The truth is, even MEW’s Degree system isn’t perfect .. which is why I eventually built my own system on top of it.) Neely also introduced time and price principles to calculate Degrees .. determining which waves are major, which are minor, etc. This method does not exist in the classical version at all, which only provides extremely abstract degree labels. So, do you need to learn Elliott Wave first before studying NEoWave? Let me give you a simple analogy. Elliott Wave = manual transmission car NEoWave = automatic transmission car The question is: “If you buy an automatic car, do you need to learn manual first?” The answer: Absolutely not. Even though NEoWave originated from Elliott Wave, the internal logic has diverged significantly. (And in today’s world, NEoWave has already moved far past the classical version.) In fact, I personally believe you shouldn’t study both at the same time .. especially if you’re a beginner .. because the rules of the two systemas will conflict with ech other and waste your time. For example, some patterns that classical Elliott Wave strictly prohibits, NEoWave has tested and proven to be possible. In summary: NEoWave takes the material from classical Elliott Wave and develops it into a far more precise, detailed system. But even NEoWave still has flaws that make real-world trading difficult .. which is exactly why I’m working on improving and modernizing it. At the end of the day, no theory lasts forever, because markets are driven by humans. The psychology of today’s generation isn’t the psychology of people 100 years ago. And modern markets influenced by AI-driven trading are not the same as Elliott’s era or Neely’s era. This is why we need new-generation theories built for new-generation data. - written by me(brainiak/ew-lab) thanks for reading!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by brainiaks
ZEN - 12H - Correction Almost Done ?BINANCE:ZENUSDT Price appears to be completing what looks like a Wave ii structure within the larger Wave 3. The recent decline developed into a clean A-B-C corrective pattern and retraced into a deep correction zone - which aligns with typical Wave ii behavior. Momentum has been slowing, and price has been consolidating inside a descending channel, a common sign that the correction may be entering its final stage. There is still no confirmed reversal yet, but the recent price behavior suggests the market may be getting close to a potential turning point. A clean breakout above the channel would be the first meaningful indication that Wave iii may be forming. From an indicator standpoint, momentum is beginning to shift: selling pressure is fading, compression is forming, and early bullish signals are appearing - although confirmation has not triggered yet. - Not financial advice .... Update soon ..
by DhAr1TA
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to MAX of wave "3" of 6928.Colleagues, we continue the previous scenario of upward movement in the impulse “12345”. I expect a small correction in the middle order wave “2” approximately to the area of 38.2%-50% Fibonacci levels (6675). Then I expect a continuation of the upward movement to the maximum of the wave "3" of the higher order 6928.4. It is possible that the first wave may be stretched, which may mean a correction-free movement to the target. Fundamental Context. Market sentiment remains cautiously bullish ahead of this week’s US data releases. Investors continue to price in a softer Fed policy path for 2026, which supports the equity market after the recent correction. US Treasury yields remain under pressure, and the latest macro indicators — especially labor market cooling and weaker business activity components — reinforce expectations of an economic slowdown. This backdrop typically favors equity upside as markets look ahead to potential policy easing. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
4
ADAUSDT → Correction (hunt for liquidity) before the fall BINANCE:ADAUSDT is pausing in the 0.41 area and entering a correction phase, during which it may test the zone of interest in a bearish market. Bitcoin failed to overcome resistance at 92K, with economic data intensifying bearish pressure, resulting in another decline. The market is stagnant within the trading range, and any correction could quickly turn into a sharp decline... ADA is forming a halt in the 0.41 zone and is entering a phase of local correction. The zone of interest is 0.426 - 0.434 (the area of local trend support breakdown). A retest of resistance may end in a false breakout... Resistance levels: 0.421, 0.426, 0.434 Support levels: 0.409, 0.392 A false breakout of the resistance zone or a retest of the previously broken support of the uptrend may end in pressure from the bears. The correction may be followed by a continuation of the downtrend and the zone of 0.421 - 0.434 Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
16
M3 (2413) — Wave 4 Completion and Long-Term StructureM3 (2413) — A Decade-Long Correction May Have Ended | The Architecture of a Potential Supercycle Wave 5 This study examines M3 (TSE:2413) through a deep-time structural lens, highlighting what may be the most technically significant inflection point in the stock’s modern history. By contextualizing the price evolution since 2005 within an Elliott Wave framework, this analysis aims to illuminate the broader architecture that could guide the next multi-year phase. 🔹 Why This Moment Matters For nearly a decade, M3 has been navigating an extended W–X–Y corrective structure following its major Wave 3 peak. This was no ordinary pause—it was one of the longest and most complex retracements ever recorded in this symbol. Despite its depth, the correction respected the higher-timeframe trend impeccably: Termination at the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci cluster Structure consistent with a completed higher-degree Wave 4 Price stabilization occurring precisely where long-term cycles often reset Such convergence across timeframes is rare and often meaningful. 🔹 A Framework for What Comes Next If Wave 4 has indeed completed, M3 may be entering the foundational phase of Supercycle Wave 5 , historically the most structurally powerful leg in an established growth trend. This chart outlines two macro trajectories: Primary Path (Institutional Scenario) A measured, sustainable advance toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension , aligning with classical Wave 5 proportion and long-term market symmetry. Extended Path (Innovation Cycle Scenario) A more ambitious arc projecting into the 3.618–5.618 zone , reflecting behavior seen in past secular expansion phases—particularly in companies whose growth reaccelerates after prolonged consolidation. Both paths are illustrated with curvature rather than straight-line projections to better represent the non-linear acceleration patterns commonly observed in late-cycle impulsive structures. 🔹 What the Chart Shows The completed W–X–Y pattern marking the Wave 4 trough A multi-year prior impulse (Wave 3) whose Fibonacci relationships remain intact Historical highs and structural inflection zones for orientation Two potential long-term trajectories, color-coded for clarity A convergence of geometry, momentum stabilization, and structural completion—all aligning at the current price region This confluence forms a compelling technical environment rarely seen on high-timeframe charts. 🔹 Strategic Perspective This analysis does not make deterministic predictions. Instead, it provides a macro-structural framework for institutions, portfolio strategists, and long-horizon investors seeking to understand where M3 may be positioned within its secular growth cycle. Episodes of prolonged corrective unwinding often precede decisive shifts in trend character. If this framework proves correct, M3 may be transitioning from one of its largest consolidations into one of its most expansionary cycles. 🔹 Final Note This chart is for educational and analytical purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. If you found this useful, feel free to comment with your interpretation of the Wave 4 structure.
TSE:2413Long
by fibcos
XAUUSD Correction toward the strong 4160–4130 zoneXAUUSD Scenarios Current Price: 4208 Gold is in a very strong long-term uptrend (Wave 3 of the Elliott structure on the monthly and weekly charts), but is currently in the corrective phase of Wave 4 (H4 and lower time frames). The rejection from the upper Monthly Golden Bollinger Band, combined with a Daily Doji signal and the breakdown of the H4 regression channel, suggests a deeper correction before Wave 3 resumes. Most Likely Scenarios based on current data in Order of Probability : 1. Correction toward the strong 4160–4130 zone (70% probability) (overlap of Monthly MSZ + Weekly Support + Daily Trendline) → followed by continuation of Wave 3 toward targets 4330 → 4438 2. A direct breakout of the 4245–4255 resistance zone (20% probability) and continuation of the uptrend without a deep pullback 3. Breakdown of the 4130 support (probability less than 10%) would activate a short-term bearish scenario toward 4050–4000
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Alirezamehdipour
US30 Dow Jones Weekly Open Retest Strategy’m watching US30 (Dow Jones) closely right now, and it’s been in a strong bullish trend over the last two weeks. 📈🔥 We’ve seen two powerful drives to the upside, and there’s a good chance we could get that classic third drive completing a three-drive pattern before the week ends. As price pushed higher, it’s already dipped back down into sell-side liquidity, clearing out those resting lows. That kind of move often sets the stage for another leg higher, so it’s definitely possible we see US30 continue north from the current levels. ⬆️💰 At the same time, it wouldn’t surprise me to see price pull back a bit more, possibly dipping below the weekly open to rebalance before making its next move. Either way, my focus is on the weekly open. I want to see price break through it, come back, retest it, and show me that the level is now acting as support. That retest is the zone where I’d be interested in looking for long opportunities. 🟩📊 Stay patient and wait for clean structure. Not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by fxtraderanthony
Brainiak | Bitcoin at an in-between stageBitcoin is showing a strong likelihood of pushing up to test the 94,160 level. It’s almost there already. Once price reaches that zone, the next thing to watch is whether it can hold above 94,160. Ideally, it should consolidate and continue higher... not break slightly above the level only to slam back down with force. If that kind of rejection happens, price would likely swing inside the 94,160–83,910 range again, and that scenario isn’t very promising. The dominant trend that sent price down earlier was bearish, and the current structure is leaning more sideways than decisively bullish, which usually signals continuation to the downside. But here’s the conflict: the current S1–S2 formation (large degree) is sitting right inside what can only be described as a true “buy the dip” zone .. the same large demand area that previously launched Bitcoin into its prior ATH. It’s a region where buyers naturally step in, and volume can spike hard. The long-term trend still favors the bulls. This creates a tension between two forces: - Short-term behavior and Sideways movement hinting at downward continuation. - Macro context and Price sitting in a deep discount zone aligned with the major uptrend. With the idea that trend is your friend, the primary bias leans toward looking for buy setups rather than sells .. even though the short-term structure looks messy. There are three main buy zones I’m watching: 88,350 86,685 83,910 The second and third zones (86,685 and 83,910) are especially attractive because they sit deeper in the range .. meaning the reward-to-risk becomes heavily favorable if price bounces there. But 88,350 also shouldn’t be ignored. Price could easily retest that level and rally straight from there. It’s a legitimate buy area as long as you keep a proper stop-loss. If you want to be even more conservative, wait for the 15-minute structure to develop a bit more. The current small S1/S2 sequence on the far right looks a little compressed, and it may need more formation before a clean upward leg. If price breaks below 83,910, step aside. Let it form a new structure. Right now, trading within the range gives the most advantage: buy near the lower boundary and take profit near the top of the box around 94,160. Another thing to note is the Up-Trendline. A trendline is just a guiding framework .. if it breaks, the probability of a continued move upward decreases, but it doesn’t drop to zero. It only becomes zero once price breaks below the key zone I mentioned earlier (83,910). If that level fails, I’ll step aside and wait, because sometimes it can still turn out to be a false break. That’s the outlook for now. Thanks to everyone who commented and showed support. I’ll keep updating the chart as things unfold.
by brainiaks
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 8/12/20251. Momentum D1 timeframe: D1 momentum is turning upward from the oversold zone. If today’s daily candle closes bullish, the reversal will be confirmed, and we may see an upward move lasting 4–5 days. H4 timeframe: H4 momentum is preparing to turn upward from the oversold zone, suggesting an upcoming bullish push on H4. H1 timeframe: H1 momentum is in the overbought zone and preparing to turn down. Therefore, H1 may produce a short pullback to bring momentum back into the oversold zone. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1 timeframe: Price remains inside the green ABC structure of the purple X wave. The market may continue completing the purple X wave. • Targets for green wave C: 4329 or 4396. H4 timeframe: On Friday, price rallied to the top of green wave 3, then pulled back. This suggests a potential Flat or Triangle correction may be forming. Once the structure completes, price is expected to continue upward to finish green wave 5, which aligns with D1 momentum turning up. → Expect wave 4 green to complete today, followed by a rise to form green wave 5 of green wave C. H1 timeframe: After touching the wave high at 4245 and pulling back, the structure shows potential for a Flat or Triangle correction. • If a Flat forms: o Wave C typically equals wave A or extends to 1.618 of wave A. o The 1.618 extension violates wave 1 territory → invalid. → The appropriate target is wave A equality at 4168, forming the Buy Zone. • If a Triangle forms: o Price respects the red trendline and moves sideways between it and 4260. o Trading approach: Wait for a breakout above 4260 to enter long. • Invalidation level: If price closes below 4134, it violates green wave (1), invalidating all scenarios above. ________________________________________ 3. Trade Plan Buy Zone: 4169 – 4167 SL: 4148 TP1: 4190 TP2: 4245 TP3: 4329
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX