XRPUSD likely we see lower before up.W e are below the 21 daily, weekly EMA. Currently slightly holding above 21 Monthly Ema at 1.90 level. Scenarios are many depending on what the leader bitcoin decides to do first.
A sweep below 1.58 will deem lower levels of 1.20-1.02 levels likely to be visited if and only if we take out 1.58 to downside.
Wave Analysis
USDKES above127.7 I remain a bull.USDKES above127.7 we remain bullish. Above 130.3 adding buys is good since we will be above the monthly 21 ema. Below 127.7,125-120 is probable but less likely putting into consideration of the upward trending slop that has been making higher highs and higher lows since 2011.
GBPJPY Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 210.351.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 212.357 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURUSD 1H Outlook Today: Weak High + CHoCH Signals a Pullback EURUSD just printed a sharp impulsive rally, then stalled inside a premium supply zone and formed a CHoCH on the 1H structure. On this chart, the market is showing classic “run liquidity above, then distribute” behavior: a weak high is marked near the top, price is compressing below it, and the projected path suggests a deeper retracement toward the prior demand area around 1.1750.
This is a high-probability environment for sell-the-rally setups until price proves otherwise.
Market Structure Read (1H)
The prior uptrend delivered a clean BOS and expansion into premium.
Price then failed to continue higher and printed a CHoCH near the current area, hinting momentum is rotating from trend continuation to pullback.
The weak high above price is likely a liquidity pool, but the inability to reclaim and hold above the supply zone increases odds of a move down into discounted demand.
Key Resistance Zones (Sell Bias While Below)
R1: 1.1868 – 1.1875 (Weak High / Supply)
Main sell zone. If price taps here and rejects, sellers typically target the imbalance below.
R2: 1.1855 – 1.1860 (Intra-range supply)
Good area to look for lower-timeframe rejection if price bounces first.
Flip Level: 1.1840 – 1.1845 (CHoCH line / Current pivot)
Holding below keeps pressure bearish.
Reclaiming and holding above shifts the intraday bias back to continuation.
Key Support Zones (Profit Targets and Potential Long Reversal Areas)
S1: 1.1790 – 1.1795 (Fib 38.2 area from the impulse leg)
First meaningful pullback magnet if selling accelerates.
S2: 1.1767 – 1.1770 (Fib 50 area)
Midpoint support where price often pauses.
S3: 1.1743 – 1.1752 (Fib 61.8 + Demand zone on chart)
This is the “main destination” area aligned with the marked demand block.
Expect reaction here; only consider longs if structure flips bullish on lower TF.
S4: 1.1690 – 1.1665 (Strong Low / Deeper demand)
If 1.1750 fails cleanly, this becomes the next major support pocket.
EMA + RSI Confirmation (How to Filter Entries)
Even if you don’t have the indicators plotted, the rules below keep execution consistent:
EMA Filter
Bearish intraday condition: price below EMA20/EMA50 on 1H, rallies into EMA20/50 get sold.
Bullish recovery condition: price reclaims EMA50 and holds above the 1.1845 pivot.
RSI Filter
For shorts: prefer RSI failing to reclaim 50 on pullbacks (bearish regime).
For longs at 1.1750: look for RSI divergence on M15/M5 plus a local CHoCH up.
High-Probability Trade Setups (With Clear Invalidation)
Setup A: Sell the Rally into Supply (Primary Plan)
Entry zone: 1.1855 – 1.1875
Trigger: bearish rejection candle / lower-timeframe CHoCH down
Stop loss: above 1.1875–1.1882 (above weak high and supply)
Take profit 1: 1.1795
Take profit 2: 1.1767
Take profit 3: 1.1752–1.1743
Why it works: you’re selling premium, against a weak high, after a 1H CHoCH, targeting fib retracement + demand.
Setup B: Break-and-Retest Short (Safer Confirmation)
Condition: 1H closes below 1.1840, then retests 1.1840–1.1845 and fails
Entry: on retest rejection
Stop loss: above 1.1855
Targets: 1.1795 → 1.1767 → 1.1750
Why it works: you let structure confirm continuation lower before committing.
Setup C: Demand Reaction Long at 1.1750 (Countertrade, Only If It Flips)
Entry zone: 1.1752 – 1.1743
Trigger: M15 CHoCH up + bullish displacement from the zone
Stop loss: below 1.1735
Targets: 1.1767 → 1.1795 → 1.1840
This is not a “catch the falling knife” buy. It’s a structured reversal entry only after buyers prove themselves.
Invalidation Checklist (Know When You’re Wrong)
Bearish idea weakens if EURUSD reclaims 1.1845 and holds above with a strong bullish 1H close.
Bearish idea is invalid if price breaks and holds above 1.1875, converting the weak high into acceptance.
Trading Notes
After an impulse, the cleanest money is often made on the retracement into fib levels and demand blocks.
Manage risk tightly around the supply zone; if you’re right, the move should leave quickly.
No setup is guaranteed. Always size positions so a stop loss is acceptable.
GBPAUD Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.974.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.969 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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DAX M30: Market Structure & Elliott Wave PerspectiveAfter the strong impulsive decline from the highs, the DAX has completed a clear 5-wave bearish structure, with wave (iv) now likely in development.
Higher Time Frame Context
The move down shows strong momentum and acceleration, typical of a wave (iii).
The low around 24,350 – 24,400 area appears consistent with a wave (iv) termination, followed by a sharp corrective rebound.
Since the rebound, price has entered a sideways corrective structure, suggesting consolidation rather than trend continuation.
Key Levels
Resistance zone:
24,940 – 24,960 (1.0 retracement / prior supply)
Higher targets (if wave v develops):
25,040 (1.382)
25,100 (1.618)
Invalidation / risk level:
Sustained acceptance below 24,680 would weaken the bullish continuation scenario.
Trading Perspective
This is not a chase environment.
Best opportunities will come from:
acceptance above resistance → continuation scenario
rejection and loss of structure → failed wave (iv) and continuation of the broader bearish trend
Dow Jones (US30) holds within an expanding wedge pattern; 50K lWe have seen mixed price action for the last 30 days. This has resulted in a large Expanding Wedge pattern being posted on the four-hour chart. The ‘Gap Open’ of 49,397 from Jan 16 has been closed.
The last dip to the downside can be seen as a liquidity grab.
We are trading close to the 50K big figure. Trendline resistance is located at 50,366. Support is located at 48,336
Conclusion: although the index has an eventual bias to break to the downside, traders like to focus on big figures. I would look for 50K to be taken out
GBP/JPY breaks out of the Expanding Wedge formation to the downThe mild push higher during the early European session is analysed as a liquidity grab. The rally was quickly reversed, and we witnessed an aggressive move lower.
This selloff has continued overnight. We have a gap open at 212.50.
On the downside, the Expanding Wedge pattern offers a measured move target of 210.06. We have a 261.8% extension level at 208.81. We have bespoke supported 208.33.
Conclusion: I can see no clear indication of an immediate change of trend. I would look for the measured move target of 210.06 to be achieved
USD/JPY the selloff stalls close to the 261.8% extension of 154.Although we witnessed mild buying pressure during the Asian session, the rally was quickly and aggressively reversed. The move lower is rumoured to be caused by a ‘rate check’ from the Bank of Japan. There was no confirmation of Yen intervention.
This sell-off has continued overnight.
On the upside, we have a gap open at 155.73. This is followed by a resistance level at 157.12.
On the downside we have a 261.8% extension level located at 154.12. Long-term support is not seen until 151.17.
Conclusion: I find it unwise to sell into the 261.8% extension level. Plus, gaps tend to be closed. The preferred stance would be to sell into rallies
MINA Spot Analysis: 3 Ways to Trade the Upcoming BreakoutWelcome to another Mubite market update. Today we are looking at MINA (MINA/USDT) on the 4H timeframe.
The market structure is compressing within a large Symmetric Triangle pattern. Volatility is tightening, which usually precedes a massive expansion move.
Here is the technical breakdown and three distinct "Models" to trade this setup depending on your risk style.
The Technical Structure
The Triangle Squeeze Price has been respecting both the ascending support trendline and the descending resistance trendline. We are approaching the apex, meaning a decision is imminent.
Key Zones
Red Zone (Resistance / Bearish OB): The immediate hurdle around 0.0895 - 0.0910. Price is currently testing this supply area.
Yellow Zone (Support / Bullish OB): The strong demand zone around 0.0780 - 0.0800. This aligns with the lower trendline support.
The Game Plan: 3 Trading Models
We have designed three specific entry models based on risk tolerance. Choose the one that fits your style.
Model 1: The "Hybrid" Approach (Aggressive)
Strategy: Buy a starter position at Current Market Price (CMP) and DCA lower.
Logic: You don't want to miss the move if it breaks out immediately, but you also want to be safe.
Execution: Enter 30-40% of your size here at CMP (~0.0895). If price drops, add the remaining 60-70% at the Yellow Zone (Bullish OB).
Goal: Secure an entry now while lowering average cost if a dip occurs.
Model 2: The "Breakout" Approach (Conservative Momentum)
Strategy: Wait for confirmation.
Logic: The Red Zone is currently acting as resistance. Buying right into resistance is risky if it rejects.
Execution: Wait for a solid 4H candle close ABOVE the Red Zone (above 0.0915).
Goal: You sacrifice a deeper entry price for a higher probability of success. Momentum is confirmed once this level breaks.
Model 3: The "Sniper" Approach (Best Risk-to-Reward)
Strategy: Limit orders at Support.
Logic: Buying at support gives the tightest stop loss and biggest potential gain (High R:R).
Execution: Set buy orders strictly at the Yellow Zone (~0.0790). If price doesn't dip that low, you miss the trade, but you also take zero risk.
Goal: Maximizing profit margins by catching the absolute bottom of the structure.
Summary
Trend: Neutral-Bullish (Consolidation). Action: Choose your Model (CMP, Breakout, or Dip). Invalidation: A daily close below the white support trendline invalidates the bullish structure.
Disclaimer: This analysis by Mubite is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk.
Which Model are you choosing? 1, 2, or 3? Let us know in the comments!
EUR/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously falling on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 0.926 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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#T - all things come to those who waitSo, this is my new forecast. I believe, that we are now in new 5-wave cycle of growth, that will approximately take over 1 year to perform. Right now we it seems that we are in the third wave with target between 4300-5200. It could take some time to reach this target (6 to 9 months) and this structre will broke if price will drop down to < 2817.
EUR/CAD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
EUR/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.623
Target Level: 1.619
Stop Loss: 1.625
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Dash | 15m | Elliott Wave PerspectiveDash is currently displaying a well-defined corrective structure on the 15-minute timeframe.
Price action suggests that the market may be unfolding the final Wave C of an ABC correction. Within this framework, I am monitoring a potential continuation lower toward the 59–60 zone.
A short-term move higher into the 65.5–66 area remains possible and would still be consistent with the overall corrective count, provided the structure remains intact.
Invalidation:
A move above 66.23 would invalidate this Elliott Wave scenario and require a reassessment of the structure.
As always, execution depends on confirmation and market reaction at key levels.
XAUUSD – Liquidity Sweep → Supply Rejection → Short SetupPrice ran buy-side liquidity above the previous high and tapped into fresh supply. No acceptance above the high—strong rejection with wicks tells us sellers are active. That move up was manipulation, not continuation.
We’re looking to short after price closes back below the supply zone.
Entry: Post-rejection / bearish confirmation under supply
Stop: Above the liquidity sweep high
Target: Down into the discount / imbalance (green zone)
Clean structure, clear invalidation, strong R:R. As long as price stays below supply, bias remains short.
GOLD - Test $5000... Will the rally continue?FX:XAUUSD closes Friday's session with a new record and consolidation after the rally. Focus on 4988 - 4968. The session closed quite favorably for continued growth, everything depends on Asian traders...
Fundamentals:
The tense situation between Trump and the EU over Greenland and tariffs is still present. The Bank of Japan intervened (which strengthened the yen), triggering a fall in the dollar, which in turn is affecting the price of gold. Overall, the market remains aggressively bullish.
New session:
- Fed meeting (January 31) – focus on Powell's tone. Softening rhetoric on inflation could weaken the dollar and support gold.
- Selection of a new Fed chair (announcement possible by the end of January) – candidates Waller or Warsh are perceived as more “dovish,” which could put pressure on the dollar.
- Geopolitics – any escalation with Iran will trigger a new influx into gold
Resistance levels: 4988, 5000, 5024
Support levels: 4967, 4958, 4945
Gold maintains its upward momentum, driven by a weak dollar and geopolitical risks. Any correction is likely to be limited.
Asian traders may buy up all the supply. A breakout and close above 4988 could trigger a continuation of the rally to 5025-5050. However, it is possible that the market may test support at 4958-4945 before rallying...
Best regards, R. Linda!
LTCUSDT - Hunting for liquidity before the fallBINANCE:LTCUSDT is consolidating below 70.0 before a possible continuation of the decline. The global trend is downward, liquidity is low...
After a sharp decline, the coin entered a consolidation phase, during which a cascade of support is observed, which may falsely indicate the presence of a buyer. The goal of such a maneuver may be to capture liquidity at 69.70 before falling to 65.0
Within the context of a downtrend and low liquidity, MM may form a retest of the 69.3-69.7 zone (liquidity area) to continue consolidation and further decline to 67-65.
Resistance levels: 69.30, 69.70
Support levels: 67.0, 65.3
A retest of the resistance and liquidity zone and the absence of bullish momentum may form a false breakout of the upper boundary of consolidation, which in turn may provoke a continuation of the decline towards both local targets and the global bottom...
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSDT - The battle for 90K may end in a decline BINANCE:BTCUSDT , against the backdrop of Trump's speech and various comments, caused a shake-up within the range of 87,800-90,300, but the price is consolidating below key resistance within the current downtrend...
The downtrend may continue if Bitcoin consolidates below 90K. There is a chance of this happening as there is still no fundamental support for the market. Everyone is talking about the "CLARITY Act" on cryptocurrencies, but there is no date for its signing, and there are rumors that the process may be postponed until late winter or mid-spring, leaving the market without a bullish driver.
The market is experiencing a phase of struggle for the 90K resistance zone. Bears are stubbornly resisting, forming a false breakout and consolidation below resistance. The structure could be broken if there is an impulsive breakout of the 90,500 zone and the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone, but the bears have formed a fairly strong resistance zone.
Resistance levels: 90,400, 91,400
Support levels: 87800, 85000
I do not rule out another attempt to retest the 90350 zone, but if the bears keep the price below 90K, the market will have no chance for growth. In this case, a pullback to 89K - 88K can be considered.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD Bullish Flag Breakout | Liquidity Target 5110OANDA:XAUUSD
Strong impulse leg up → confirms buyers in control
Price then formed a bullish flag (controlled, overlapping pullback)
No strong bearish candles inside the flag → sellers are weak
Breakout candle closed above the flag high with expansion
📌 This is classic trend continuation behavior
➡️ Bias remains BULLISH
🎯 Trade Setup (High-Probability Continuation)
✅ Entry (Two Safe Options)
Aggressive Buy: 5,066 – 5,070 (breakout retest zone)
Conservative Buy: 5,058 – 5,060 (minor pullback into structure)
🛑 Stop Loss (Clear Invalidation)
Stop Loss: 5,030
Why here:
Below the flag low
Below last higher low
If price comes here → bullish structure is broken
No guessing. Clean invalidation.
🎯 Take Profit (Liquidity-Based Targets)
TP1: 5,095 (prior high / partials)
TP2: 5,110 (measured move + liquidity)
TP3 (extension): 5,130 if momentum expands
🧠 Why This Trade Works (Trader Psychology)
Flags exist because institutions pause, not exit
Retail sells flags → smart money accumulates
Breakout creates FOMO entries, fueling continuation
This move targets:
✔️ previous highs
✔️ resting buy stops
✔️ clean liquidity pool above 5,100
📊 Risk–Reward Reality
Risk ≈ 35–40 pips
Reward ≈ 80–140+ pips
RR = 1:2.5 to 1:4
📌 This is a trend-following, not predictive trade
🔑 Final Trader Statement
“As long as price holds above 5,060, dips are buys.
Below 5,030 — I’m out, no emotions.”






















