SPY: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
Looking at the chart of SPY right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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Wave Analysis
Geometrical Projection 2026: a New Bullish Era Sep.2026By early 2026, we anticipate the emergence of a new six-month green candle. Following this, a downward correction is expected, with the possibility—though not certainty—of forming a second peak in May. Ultimately, the projection points toward a retest of the bottom of the current six-month candle, signaling an exit from the five-year descending channel and defining the lower boundary of a new ascending channel. By September 2026, geometric patterns and buyer alignment suggest the potential onset of a new bullish era.
APPLE: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
APPLE
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy EURUSD
Entry - 278.78
Stop- 276.72
Take - 282.17
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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QQQ A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the QQQ next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 625.54
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 612.68
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TECHSTORE - LOOKING for STRONG BULLISH SENTIMENTN wave with V, N & NT projection
Overall medium-term bias: mildly bullish. The chart shows a prior uptrend, a corrective ABC that found support in/near the cloud, and price has bounced back above Tenkan/Kijun.
Ichimoku structure:
- Price is currently around or slightly above Kijun/Tenkan; Tenkan and Kijun are close.
- Kumo is green and flat-to-rising — supportive for higher prices as long as price stays above the cloud.
-Chikou appears mostly above price (from earlier move) which supports a bullish view provided it remains unblocked.
Volume: the recent bullish bar has uptick in volume — supportive for continuation if follow-through appears.
Immediate support / invalidation: NT / Kijun area ~0.300–0.290. A daily close below the cloud (~0.275–0.285) would be a stronger invalidation of the bullish count.
Near resistance: prior swing high area ~0.340–0.350 (B peak zone).
Entry: on daily close above recent local resistance ~0.330–0.335 (confirmation of bullish continuation). Alternatively, enter on intraday breakout above 0.335 with volume confirmation.
Stop-loss: just below NT / Kijun area — e.g., 0.290 (or tighter at 0.300 depending on risk tolerance).
Rationale: breakout on volume with Ichimoku supportive; good risk-to-reward if you keep a tight stop under the kumo/kijun.
Invalidate bullish scenario if price closes decisively below the kumo (below ~0.275–0.285) on strong volume — that would suggest the ABC corrective structure failed and trend may be weakening.
Use position sizing so a stop hit does not exceed your planned percent risk.
Consider trailing the stop to Tenkan/Kijun as the price moves towards targets to lock in profit.
Confirm daily close above local resistance for momentum entry, or bullish confirmation on pullback for conservative entry.
Volume supportive on upward moves (better probability).
Chikou not heavily obstructed by price — clear bullish projection.
No major company announcements or market events that could cause unexpected gaps.
Notes:
1. Analysis for education purpose only.
2. Trade at your own risk.
Latest Gold Price Trading Strategies:
Trading Strategy Report on Gold Price Movement for December 8th
Core Summary: This week, gold prices exhibited intense volatility, influenced by a confluence of multiple factors, with sensitive market sentiment leading to significantly amplified price swings. The current price is fluctuating repeatedly within a critical range, as the market focuses on the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision for clearer directional cues.
I. Review of This Week's Market and Driving Factors
Price Action Overview
The week began with a rapid surge to $4,262 (the weekly high), followed by a swift pullback to $4,225.
Selling pressure intensified during Asian and European trading hours, pushing the gold price down to a low of $4,170 (the weekly low).
Extreme volatility occurred on Tuesday: a sharp rise of nearly $250 within 15 minutes, followed by a steep plunge triggered by profit-taking, reflecting deep market sensitivity and thin liquidity ahead of major events.
Prices surged again to $4,254 on Thursday, but concentrated selling after the North American market open led to a drop of over $50 within minutes.
Prices ultimately settled below $4,200 on Friday, approaching a crucial support zone.
Primary Influencing Factors
Trading Sentiment and Liquidity: Reduced year-end liquidity amplified price movements, and concentrated buy/sell orders triggered sharp fluctuations.
Fed Policy Expectations: Markets price in a high probability (87%) of a December rate cut, but disagreement exists regarding the cumulative extent of cuts (1-3 times) through 2026, with this uncertainty curbing aggressive bullish positions.
Key Event Preview: Significant internal divergence exists within the Fed regarding rate cuts (5 out of 12 members opposing or expressing doubts). The key driver will be Chair Powell's characterization of the move as "insurance cuts" versus the "start of an easing cycle."
Technical Level Contention: Gold failed in three attempts to sustain above $4,220, leading to a shift in market confidence and ongoing high-level tug-of-war.
II. Technical Analysis
Key Levels
Resistance Zones:
First Resistance: $4,220 - $4,230 (short-term trendline pressure)
Core Resistance: $4,255 - $4,260 (recent highs; maintain bearish view unless breached)
Support Zones:
First Support: $4,160 - $4,165 (ten-day moving average & key structural support)
Breakdown Support: $4,000 (potential test target if hawkish signals emerge)
Chart Patterns & Structure
Triangle Consolidation: Currently in a small triangular consolidation pattern. Watch for two potential developments:
Pennant continuation pattern (trend resumption)
Broad range-bound consolidation pattern (continued sideways movement)
Trendline Focus: A breach of the rising trendline could trigger bearish momentum; conversely, holding support suggests continued choppy pull-ups.
Bull-Bear Line
Short-term Pivot: $4,200. Holding effectively above suggests a bias toward a rebound; trading below indicates continued pressure.
III. Trading Strategy for the Coming Week
Overall Approach
Primary Strategy: Favor selling on rallies, with buying on dips as a secondary approach.
Core Logic: Market sentiment is cautious ahead of the Fed decision, with high volatility and price swings expected. Await key levels for high-probability entry opportunities.
Specific Tactics
Short Strategy (Sell on Strength)
Entry Zone: $4,220 - $4,230
Stop-Loss: Set at $4,230 - $4,240 (8-10 points)
Target Levels:
First Target: $4,200 - $4,180
Second Target: $4,160 (hold if breached)
Long Strategy (Buy on Weakness)
Entry Zone: $4,160 - $4,165
Stop-Loss: Set at $4,150 - $4,155 (8-10 points)
Target Levels:
First Target: $4,190 - $4,210
Second Target: $4,220 (hold if broken)
Risk Management Essentials
Position Sizing: Initiate with light positions; avoid heavy, concentrated bets.
Strict Stop-Losses: Every trade must have a stop-loss; do not average down on losses.
Event Avoidance: Liquidity may be abnormal around the Fed announcement. Consider reducing operations or scaling down position sizes.
IV. Key Events and Outlook
Focus Next Week: Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (December)
Watch Point 1: Number of dissenting votes (≥3 would indicate deepening internal division).
Watch Point 2: Tone of Chair Powell's press conference—distinguishing between "insurance cuts" and the "start of an easing cycle."
Scenario Analysis:
Dovish Signal: Clearer path for rate cuts → Gold may resume its upward trajectory, targeting $4,300+.
Hawkish Signal: Downplaying rate cut expectations → Gold could decline to test the $4,000 region for support.
Medium-Term Outlook
Conditions for Upside: Fed confirms an easing cycle + tame inflation data → Gold is expected to break out of the high consolidation range.
Downside Risks: Hawkish Fed decision + tightening liquidity + intensified profit-taking → Potential for a deeper correction towards $4,000 - $4,100.
FPGROUP - LOOKING FOR BULLISH CONTINUATIONN wave with V, N & NT projection.
The stock is forming a bullish continuation N-Wave pattern after completing correction (A-B-C).
Price has respected the NT support (0.350) and rebounded.
Ichimoku structure shows:
- Price above Kuma
- A golden cross just occurred. Tenkan Sen > Kijun Sen
- Chikou above price.
Immediate support: 0.360
Cloud support / stronger support zone: 0.335–0.350. Loss of the cloud would weaken the bullish count.
Resistance targets: 0.435 (first objective), then 0.495 (secondary/extended objective). Also watch intraday supply around prior B peak (~0.415–0.420).
Entry: enter on a daily close above ~0.390–0.395 (confirmation of resumed upward momentum and breakout above local short-term resistance). Alternatively, use an intraday pullback to 0.370–0.380 with price action confirmation (bullish reversal candle) for a better price.
Stop-loss: place a stop below Kijun / immediate support — ~0.345–0.355 (conservative) or tighter at 0.350 if you prefer smaller risk.
Prefer daily timeframe signals for entries and stop placement.
Monitor volume on breakouts — strong volume supports higher probability of reaching projection.
Notes:
1. Analysis for education purpose only.
2. Trade at your own risk.
AMZN : What’s Taking Shape?Amazon’s recent recovery has developed into an interesting emerging structure. After the sharp drop and strong rebound, price is now building a potential continuation pattern. Momentum suggests the market may still be preparing for another upward leg once this consolidation phase completes. With the flow tightening, the next decisive move could unfold sooner than expected, making this setup worth monitoring closely.
**Disclosure:** We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
META: What’s Setting Up Next?META has recovered sharply from its recent drop, and the structure now hints at a developing continuation phase. The current climb may still be part of a broader move forming to the upside, with momentum showing signs of strength. As price builds within this emerging pattern, the next leg could unfold once the short-term consolidation completes, making this an intriguing chart to watch for follow-through.
**Disclosure:** We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
BTCUSD: What’s Loading Here?Bitcoin has extended its drop and is now forming an interesting structure around current levels. The recent slowdown suggests a potential corrective phase developing after the sharp decline. While momentum remains weak for now, the broader flow hints that the market may be preparing for its next significant move once this consolidation completes. With volatility compressing, the next impulsive leg could unfold sooner than expected, making this setup worth watching closely.
**Disclosure:** We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
US30: What’s Forming?US30 has extended its upward move, but the latest slowdown suggests a developing consolidation phase rather than a completed trend. The structure is shaping into a potential corrective pattern, indicating that the market may still be preparing for another push once this pause finalizes. With momentum moderating, the next decisive move could unfold soon, making this an interesting setup to monitor closely.
**Disclosure:** We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
Gold has pulled back after its recent push higher....Gold has pulled back after its recent push higher, and the current structure suggests a developing corrective phase rather than a full reversal. Momentum remains mixed, but the broader flow hints that the market may still be preparing for another upward leg once this consolidation completes. With price movement tightening, the next impulsive move could unfold sooner than expected making this an interesting setup to watch closely.
**Disclosure:** We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
GBPUSD is shaping an interesting structure....GBPUSD is shaping an interesting structure after its recent strong push upward. Price is slowing down and forming what appears to be a developing corrective phase, suggesting the market may be preparing for its next impulsive move. Once this short-term consolidation completes, a clearer direction could emerge, making the coming sessions worth watching closely.
**Disclosure:** We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
EURUSD is shaping a potential corrective phaseThe pair is pulling back after its recent rise, but the overall structure hints that this pause may be temporary. A developing pattern is forming, and the next impulse could unfold once this correction completes. Traders should stay alert momentum could shift quickly as price approaches the next decision point.
**Disclosure:** We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
DXY- A Move Is Loading…The U.S. Dollar Index is showing signs of a shallow corrective move within a broader weakening structure. Short-term upside attempts may remain limited while the overall flow continues to favor the downside, with a potential continuation once this correction concludes.
**Disclosure:** We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
GOLD XAU/USDFrom the previous analysis, price respected the marked bottom and followed through toward the 4222–4250 USD target zone. We now have a clean breakout, a successful retest, and stabilization, with price starting to form a fresh re-accumulation structure above the prior range.
At this stage, the market is showing strong bullish intent, but for the next leg higher, we still require a liquidity sweep—a controlled dip to grab resting orders—before GOLD gears up for the next expansion.
Once liquidity is collected, the structure supports a continuation move toward a new ATH, potentially before year-end if momentum maintains.
Lines dont lie-Sep.2026 we have definitively broken out of the descending channel. Currently, the market is facing two potential upward channels. The breakout from the red triangle will determine which of these channels we will follow. Based on anticipated global economic conditions and the market’s geometric dynamics, channel 2 appears to be the more logical trajectory. Price movement toward the borders of channel 2 has so far respected the integrity of the 6-month candle.
September 2026 is projected to mark the point where buyers will fully align, completing the dynamic termination of the first wave and forming a significant second-wave structure.
Here's why Bitcoin surged ahead of Thanksgiving
The digital asset broke $90,000 on Wednesday afternoon, reflecting strong growth in stocks as well.
What's driving Bitcoin's latest rally?
Cypherpunks and bearded libertarians used to be the epitome of Bitcoin. But after the approval of the first Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) last year, the new image is more likely that of Wall Street executives in navy suits. The ETF now holds over 1.5 million BTC, representing nearly 7.2% of the total supply. The next largest group of holders is publicly traded companies. This is key, as it likely explains why Bitcoin's $90,000 surge on Wednesday followed closely behind the stock market rally.
I'm now watching to see if Bitcoin will break $100,000 again before Christmas!
According to Newhedge, the correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 climbed to 0.87 on Wednesday. In other words, the two asset classes are actually moving in tandem. Therefore, as stocks rose ahead of Thanksgiving due to increased AI hype, Bitcoin followed suit. Oracle, a major cloud infrastructure player, led a surge in large-cap tech stocks after it struck a $300 billion deal with OpenAI in September. This was largely thanks to Deutsche Bank analyst Brad Zelnick, who highly praised the company's revenue potential from the arrangement.
“OpenAI’s backlog of orders represents a solid return on investment business,” Zelnick wrote. “And validates Oracle’s leadership in large-scale deployment of AI cloud infrastructure.”
Oracle rose 4%, while the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones rose 0.77%, 0.86%, and 0.80%, respectively. Bitcoin rose 4%, breaking $90,000 for the first time this week, catching Turkey Day. It needs to be clear that Bitcoin is not always closely correlated with stocks; it often diverges. But as institutional money flows into the ecosystem, the cryptocurrency will inevitably succumb to Wall Street and simply reflect the ups and downs of traditional markets.
According to Coinmarketcap, Bitcoin rose 4.06% on the day, trading at $89,872.10 at the time of the report. Digital assets also rose 1.21% on the week, fluctuating between $86,171.48 and $90,389.93 in the past 24 hours.
Daily trading volume was roughly flat at $65 billion, with a market capitalization of $1.79 trillion. Bitcoin's market dominance rebounded to 58.75%, an increase of 0.41%, as the cryptocurrency regained a small portion of market share from smaller cryptocurrencies.
Coinglass data shows that total open interest in Bitcoin futures rose 2.24% to $60.52 billion, after falling to $59 billion on Tuesday. At the time of writing, liquidations remained slightly higher at $119 million. Short sellers saw $80.58 million in margin wiped out, while long investors were largely unaffected, with only $19.61 million liquidated.
Selena | XAU/USD – Bullish Structure With Fresh Demand SupportPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
Price continues to hold within a rising channel, respecting previous demand points.
Current market sits near 4,207–4,200 fresh demand, which previously produced aggressive upside.
If price retests demand and holds, bullish continuation remains the dominant scenario.
🔹 Bullish Scenario – Primary Setup
• Price pulls back into 4,207–4,200 demand zone
• Confirms support → higher-low formation
• Break of 4,235–4,240 opens clean upside channel
🎯 Upside Target 1 → 4,264–4,265 (liquidity grab point)
🎯 Upside Target 2 → 4,285–4,300 (full continuation objective)
🔸 Bearish Invalidation
• Breakdown & close below 4,200 demand = sentiment weakens
• Next support sits lower inside channel
⚠️ This chart is a technical outlook only – not financial advice.
XAUUSD – Weekly Analysis & Trade ScenarioPrice is currently trading above a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) that aligns with the previous weekly low, forming a strong demand zone.
As long as price stays above this zone, the market structure remains bullish.
Best Scenario:
I’m looking for a retest of the weekly FVG to confirm demand. If price taps back into this imbalance and shows rejection, that would be the ideal long entry.
Trade Idea:
Entry: Inside the weekly FVG
Bias: Buy from demand
Target: Sweep the Weekly High above (major liquidity pool)
Invalidation: A clean break below the weekly FVG
This setup anticipates a retracement ↓ into demand, followed by a continuation ↑ to take liquidity.
Multi-Cycle Alignment Points to Sharp DownturnThe chart presents a sophisticated multi-cycle composite model overlaid on the prevailing Natural Gas trend. Notably, all four cycles will converge during the January–February 2026 window, creating a concentrated alignment that signals the likely emergence of the second major peak.
When multiple cycles reach their highs in unison, this synchronicity often delineates a critical market turning point—especially here, where prices are confronting significant resistance and aligning with the prior peak from September 2021. This formation suggests a heightened probability of a strong downward phase, potentially initiating a broader structural market correction.
Critical Inflection Point for Altcoin DominanceThe crypto dominance excluding the top 10 assets price is sitting directly on a long-term demand zone that has generated strong reversals in previous cycles. After completing a 5-wave advance and forming a complex ABC correction, the market is now testing this structure once again.
A rebound here would support a bullish path back into the supply zone, and a breakout above it could open an extended expansion, with long-term projections pointing toward 152% dominance. This would imply strong capital rotation into mid-cap and smaller altcoins over the coming cycles.
If the demand zone fails, the bearish path becomes active. Breakdowns below this level expose deeper targets around 2.29% and potentially 0.69%, signaling broad weakness and a prolonged risk-off environment for altcoins.
Monthly behavior at this level is decisive. The demand zone remains the key line to watch for the next major trend.
DOGEUSDT → Lack of bullish potential BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P failed to break the trend. Under pressure from resistance and a global downtrend, the coin is reversing and may decline...
Bitcoin is pausing after a news rally based on rumors. The trend remains bearish. Pressure on the crypto market is present...
DOGE faced pressure in the 0.1477 - 0.155 zone. A rebound from 0.1533 is forming and the price is closing below 0.1477, forming a pre-breakout base of 0.1464. The reaction to support is weakening, confirming the weakness of the buyer. A close below 0.1464 could trigger a further decline within the range.
Resistance levels: 0.1477, 0.15337
Support levels: 0.1464, 0.1366
A breakdown of support, closing below the level, and consolidation in the short zone will once again confirm buyer weakness, which in turn may trigger a further decline.
Best regards, R. Linda!






















