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Wave Analysis

Correction down and up again for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD slowly went up some more and took the liquidity above. Now it made a Weekly bullish FVG. So nNext week we could see a correction downto fill this and after that more upside for this pair. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a correction down. After a change in orderflow to bullish you could trade longs. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. But I react and trade on what I see in the chart, not what I've predicted or expect. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
EU still going upHi traders, Last week EU slowly went up some more and took the liquidity above as I've said in my previous outlook. Next week we could see more (corrective or impulsive) upside for this pair. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down and look for a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower timeframe to trade longs. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. But I react and trade on what I see on the chart, not what I've predicted or expect. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
BTC Wave 4 Bounce Looks Like a Trap! Is it?BTC is still moving inside a clear corrective channel, with the current bounce likely forming wave 4 before one final drop toward the 1.618 extension near 79,650 . The highlighted red zone shows a potential trap area where price may lure traders into thinking a reversal has started. Until BTC breaks above the channel convincingly, the broader structure still favors a wave 5 decline. The wave count from 1–2–3 supports this final leg down before any major recovery. Stay Tuned! @Money_Dictators
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Money_Dictators
1
USDCAD - Breakout Will Flip the Trend BullishUSDCAD has been sliding inside a well-defined descending channel, completing a full five-wave drop toward the support zone. The structure from the top looks corrective rather than impulsive. That means the downtrend is weakening as it reaches its final leg. Your count shows Wave 3 finishing at the dashed red line zone, followed by a small Wave 4 bounce, and now the market is pushing into the last Wave 5. This final drop is expected to target the Fibonacci levels near 1.3915 and 1.3895 . Nothing suggests strength until those levels are tested. The price is still trapped inside the downward channel, and every bounce has been getting sold. That confirms sellers are still in control for now. Wave (C) is close to completion, but buyers haven’t proven anything yet. The bullish outlook only becomes valid after a clean breakout above the channel. Without that break, any upside move is just noise inside a bearish structure. The breakout must hold with a higher low to confirm a trend reversal. If the channel breaks decisively, a strong bullish reversal toward 1.40+ becomes possible. The entire structure suggests the downtrend is aging, so a major upside swing is likely once sellers exhaust. Until then, downside targets remain open and caution is necessary. Stay Tuned! @Money_Dictators
by Money_Dictators
1
NEXT WEEK INSIGHTS [15-19TH DECEMBER]In this video, we break down what to expect from the upcoming week’s monetary-policy decisions, particularly from Federal Reserve (the Fed), and why it could matter for global markets, investors, and ordinary people alike. We analyze the most recent data — inflation, employment, bond yields — and explain the market’s growing anticipation that the Fed might announce a rate cut around mid-December. 📉 We also explore the potential ripple effects: how changes to interest rates could influence stock markets, borrowing costs, and economic growth. Plus — if the Fed does cut rates — what that could mean for everyday savers, borrowers, and investors. Whether you’re a finance-savvy watcher or simply curious about what’s going on with global economics, this video aims to give you the facts in a clear, straightforward way — and show why the next few days could be pivotal.
by MartketsTitan
GOLD – 4H Trendline Structure Analysis Trend OverviewGOLD – 4H Trendline Structure Analysis Trend Overview Gold is currently trapped between the green descending trendline (bearish pressure) and the red rising trendline (bullish support). Price keeps bouncing inside this box, failing to break above the green trendline and repeatedly holding the white horizontal support. This means: Market is consolidating, preparing for a bigger breakout. Momentum is slowly tilting bearish as long as the green trendline holds. Key Levels Resistance: 4253 Support: 4128 pivot Local support box (white zone): 4170–4180 Red trendline: major bullish support — break = bearish continuation Green trendline: major bearish resistance — rejection = correction Expected Scenario (High Probability) Your drawing is accurate — market is likely forming a lower-high pattern under the green trendline. 1️⃣ Move up → rejection at green trendline Price tries to retest the green trendline (around 4230–4240) → Fails to break → Forms another lower high. 2️⃣ Drop back into the white support box Price returns to 4170–4180. 3️⃣ Break of the white box → test red trendline A clean 4H break and close below the white box will send price toward the red trendline. 4️⃣ Break of the red trendline = full bearish confirmation If the red trendline breaks with confirmation, gold will likely slide toward: First target: 4128 Next continuation level: 4080 Extended target: 4020 area (Your white arrow projection matches this perfectly.) Bias Summary Bearish while below the green trendline. Major bearish trigger = break below white zone + red trendline. Bullish only resumes if price breaks and closes above 4253 — until then, upside is limited.
TICKMILL:XAUUSD
by Avo-Trades
Gold Trading Strategy for Next Week: Trading Strategy Report on Gold Price Movement for December 8th Core Summary: This week, gold prices exhibited intense volatility, influenced by a confluence of multiple factors, with sensitive market sentiment leading to significantly amplified price swings. The current price is fluctuating repeatedly within a critical range, as the market focuses on the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision for clearer directional cues. I. Review of This Week's Market and Driving Factors Price Action Overview The week began with a rapid surge to $4,262 (the weekly high), followed by a swift pullback to $4,225. Selling pressure intensified during Asian and European trading hours, pushing the gold price down to a low of $4,170 (the weekly low). Extreme volatility occurred on Tuesday: a sharp rise of nearly $250 within 15 minutes, followed by a steep plunge triggered by profit-taking, reflecting deep market sensitivity and thin liquidity ahead of major events. Prices surged again to $4,254 on Thursday, but concentrated selling after the North American market open led to a drop of over $50 within minutes. Prices ultimately settled below $4,200 on Friday, approaching a crucial support zone. Primary Influencing Factors Trading Sentiment and Liquidity: Reduced year-end liquidity amplified price movements, and concentrated buy/sell orders triggered sharp fluctuations. Fed Policy Expectations: Markets price in a high probability (87%) of a December rate cut, but disagreement exists regarding the cumulative extent of cuts (1-3 times) through 2026, with this uncertainty curbing aggressive bullish positions. Key Event Preview: Significant internal divergence exists within the Fed regarding rate cuts (5 out of 12 members opposing or expressing doubts). The key driver will be Chair Powell's characterization of the move as "insurance cuts" versus the "start of an easing cycle." Technical Level Contention: Gold failed in three attempts to sustain above $4,220, leading to a shift in market confidence and ongoing high-level tug-of-war. II. Technical Analysis Key Levels Resistance Zones: First Resistance: $4,220 - $4,230 (short-term trendline pressure) Core Resistance: $4,255 - $4,260 (recent highs; maintain bearish view unless breached) Support Zones: First Support: $4,160 - $4,165 (ten-day moving average & key structural support) Breakdown Support: $4,000 (potential test target if hawkish signals emerge) Chart Patterns & Structure Triangle Consolidation: Currently in a small triangular consolidation pattern. Watch for two potential developments: Pennant continuation pattern (trend resumption) Broad range-bound consolidation pattern (continued sideways movement) Trendline Focus: A breach of the rising trendline could trigger bearish momentum; conversely, holding support suggests continued choppy pull-ups. Bull-Bear Line Short-term Pivot: $4,200. Holding effectively above suggests a bias toward a rebound; trading below indicates continued pressure. III. Trading Strategy for the Coming Week Overall Approach Primary Strategy: Favor selling on rallies, with buying on dips as a secondary approach. Core Logic: Market sentiment is cautious ahead of the Fed decision, with high volatility and price swings expected. Await key levels for high-probability entry opportunities. Specific Tactics Short Strategy (Sell on Strength) Entry Zone: $4,220 - $4,230 Stop-Loss: Set at $4,230 - $4,240 (8-10 points) Target Levels: First Target: $4,200 - $4,180 Second Target: $4,160 (hold if breached) Long Strategy (Buy on Weakness) Entry Zone: $4,160 - $4,165 Stop-Loss: Set at $4,150 - $4,155 (8-10 points) Target Levels: First Target: $4,190 - $4,210 Second Target: $4,220 (hold if broken) Risk Management Essentials Position Sizing: Initiate with light positions; avoid heavy, concentrated bets. Strict Stop-Losses: Every trade must have a stop-loss; do not average down on losses. Event Avoidance: Liquidity may be abnormal around the Fed announcement. Consider reducing operations or scaling down position sizes. IV. Key Events and Outlook Focus Next Week: Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (December) Watch Point 1: Number of dissenting votes (≥3 would indicate deepening internal division). Watch Point 2: Tone of Chair Powell's press conference—distinguishing between "insurance cuts" and the "start of an easing cycle." Scenario Analysis: Dovish Signal: Clearer path for rate cuts → Gold may resume its upward trajectory, targeting $4,300+. Hawkish Signal: Downplaying rate cut expectations → Gold could decline to test the $4,000 region for support. Medium-Term Outlook Conditions for Upside: Fed confirms an easing cycle + tame inflation data → Gold is expected to break out of the high consolidation range. Downside Risks: Hawkish Fed decision + tightening liquidity + intensified profit-taking → Potential for a deeper correction towards $4,000 - $4,100.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by The_Golden_Perspective
XAUUSD Analysis TodayXAUUSD Analysis Today – Key Levels, Liquidity Map and High-Probability Trading Plan Gold is currently retracing after a clear fake breakout on the intraday structure, showing strong rejection from the extended premium zone. Price action on H1 reflects a shift from bullish exhaustion to short-term corrective movement, with liquidity sitting below the most recent swing low. Today’s session will likely revolve around sweeps, mitigation, and a return to discounted zones before any meaningful continuation. 1. Market Structure Overview The H1 chart shows: A completed ascending channel with a clear BOS followed by a liquidity sweep. Price rejecting from the upper imbalance and returning toward equilibrium. A notable Fake Breakout around 4214–4218 where liquidity was engineered before the sell-off. The current decline is forming a corrective leg aimed toward the demand range. This price behavior confirms a move into the BUY ZONE 4168–4186, aligning with Fibonacci retracement and trendline confluence. 2. Important Support & Resistance Levels Key Resistance 4252–4257: Major supply and premium zone, strong rejection expected on first touch. 4220–4225: Reaction zone where the fake breakout occurred; a retest here may create another liquidity hunt. Key Support 4201–4208: First reaction demand zone, shallow pullback potential. 4186–4174: Deep discount area, Fibonacci confluence, major BUY ZONE. 4168: Strong low protected by higher-timeframe liquidity. 3. Indicator Confluence EMA Cluster (20/50/100) is compressing downward, confirming short-term correction. RSI shows no bullish divergence yet, meaning the sweep of liquidity is still incomplete. Fibonacci 61.8–78.6% aligns with the 4174–4168 zone, increasing probability of bullish reversal. 4. Expected Price Behavior Today Scenario A (High Probability): Price continues toward 4174–4168, sweeps liquidity, then forms a bullish CHoCH on lower timeframe before aiming for 4208 → 4220 → 4252. Scenario B (Moderate Probability): Price rejects early at 4201, retraces into 4220 supply, then drops again to deeper levels before reversing. Scenario C (Low Probability): Immediate bullish break above 4225 without retesting deeper zones. 5. Trading Strategy (High-Probability Setups) Buy Strategy – Preferred Setup Entry: 4174–4168 (Fibonacci + strong demand) Stop Loss: Below 4160 Take Profit: TP1: 4208 TP2: 4220 TP3: 4252–4257 This zone is optimal due to liquidity, trendline tap, and deep retracement discount. Sell Strategy – Counter-trend Short Entry: 4220–4225 (fake breakout zone retest) SL: Above 4232 TP: 4205 → 4186 This trade targets the inevitable sweep to the BUY ZONE. 6. Summary Gold is in a short-term corrective phase inside a larger bullish macro sentiment. Key liquidity remains below, and the most effective strategy today is waiting for deeper discount zones before looking for strong buys.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 4,198.77. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 4,117.75. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by SignalProvider
2
EURUSD Is Going Down! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.164. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.160 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
$BTCUSD: we may be in Wave B rallyBITSTAMP:BTCUSD : we can count 5 waves from the 2022 bear market low. It looks to me we could have bottomed or $80.5K is A of ABC and we're in Wave B. A itself is an expanded flat. Wave c = 2.618% Wave a, which is a good target for this leg to bottom. If this is just A of ABC and not the entire ABC, then CRYPTOCAP:BTC would have another leg down to perhaps the yellow trendline ($78K-ish) after a relief rally. Either way, I expect $80.5K to hold for now and BTC continues the up move to either finish Wave B up or to resume the uptrend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HeadsUp2021
AUD/CAD LONG FROM SUPPORT Hello, Friends! Bullish trend on AUD/CAD, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 0.921. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
3