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$VRT — Cup & Handle at Prior Highs: Is a Breakout Next?Thesis: Price is pressing the 154.4–155 strong-high. I’m tracking a daily close >154.5 and a retest-hold for confirmation. Measured move points to 165 → 178–180 → 200 if momentum + volume align (Bulkowski, 2012; Edwards et al., 2013). Key Catalysts (near-term relevance): AI data-center CAPEX tailwind accelerating: Nvidia’s new multiyear push (up to $100B tied to AI data-center build-out) underscores demand for power/cooling infrastructure suppliers like Vertiv. (Reuters, 2025; Business Insider, 2025; WSJ, 2025). Direct NVIDIA alignment: Vertiv highlighted 800 VDC power architecture and collaboration across the NVIDIA ecosystem—positioned for next-gen AI factories. (Vertiv IR, 2025a; NVIDIA blog, 2025). Fundamentals still supportive: Q2’25 showed strong orders/sales/EPS with raised FY guidance, confirming secular demand. (Vertiv IR, 2025b). Vertiv Capital return signal: Ongoing dividend (declared Sept 3, 2025) signals confidence. (Simply Wall St., 2025). Next checkpoint: Earnings window late Oct ’25 (est.)—sizing/hedging prudent into that event. (TipRanks; MarketChameleon). Levels & Plan: Trigger/confirmation: Daily close >154.5 or intraday retest-hold of 154.5 as support. Stops: Below handle low (<148) or ATR(14)×1.5 below entry (whichever is farther). Targets: 165 / 178–180 / 200 with scale-outs (30/40/30). If reject: Watch 138–132 demand for a higher-low setup. Options alt: 30–60 DTE 160/180 call debit spread or 145/135 bull put spread (defined risk). Risk Notes: Index beta (QQQ/SOX), earnings gap risk, and headline sensitivity from AI-CAPEX cycles; avoid low-volume breakouts. Not financial advice. For education only. Manage risk.
NYSE:VRTLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
eth long 15min -long The market is showing strength, trading above key dynamic support, and is poised for a potential continuation higher following a successful retest. 1. Bill Williams' Alligator: The Trend Framework The Alligator indicator is giving us a crucial, albeit subtle, bullish signal. The Setup: The lines are tightly coiled and bullishly aligned: the Lips (Green, 4,164.9) is above the Teeth (Red, 4,162.7), which is above the Jaw (Blue, 4,164.4). While the Jaw and Lips are nearly equal, the alignment is correct. The Interpretation: This configuration suggests the Alligator is "awakening" from sleep. The tight coiling indicates a period of consolidation, often preceding a strong directional move. The fact that price is currently trading above all three lines is a sign of underlying bullish strength. The Alligator's "mouth" (the Teeth and Lips) now acts as a consolidated support zone. 2. ICT & SMC Concepts: The "Why" and "Where" This framework helps us identify the strength of the move and key levels for continuation. Market Structure Shift (MSS): The price has clearly broken above a previous significant swing high, shifting the structure from bearish to bullish. Break of Structure (BOS): The push above the resistance zone (likely around the 4,200-4,225 area) was the BOS that confirmed buyer dominance. Change of Character (CHoCH): The move up from the lows, breaking past key levels, represents a clear CHoCH, indicating a shift from sellers in control to buyers in control. Current Retracement & Support Confluence: The price has pulled back from its high of 4,194.5 and is finding support precisely at a critical confluence zone: The Alligator's Mouth (4,162 - 4,165): Dynamic support. Previous Resistance Turned Support: The level around 4,177.6 and the general zone now acts as support. Fair Value Gap (FVG): The chart is annotated with "4hr fys" (assumed to be FVG). This 4-hour FVG below the current price, if it exists in the 4,150 - 4,170 zone, would create a "liquidity vacuum" that price retraced to fill. This is a classic ICT setup for longs—price fills the FVG and then resumes the trend. 3. Synthesis: The Trading Plan for Followers Here’s how it all comes together for a potential long entry or continuation: The Trend (Alligator): The trend is turning bullish (Alligator awakening). We favor long setups. The Retracement (ICT/SMC): The dip from ~4,194 to the current ~4,188 is a healthy retracement into a key confluence support zone. The Confluence Support Zone: The 4,162 - 4,177 area is our High-Probability Buying Zone. This zone contains: The entire Alligator indicator (dynamic support cluster). A Previous Resistance level turned support. A potential 4-Hour FVG. Entry Trigger: We look for a bullish confirmation signal at this support zone. This could be a bullish engulfing candle, a strong rejection wick, or a simple momentum candle breaking back above 4,185. Targets: Immediate Target (T1): The recent high at 4,194.5. A break above this confirms continuation. Next Target (T2): The swing high towards 4,225 - 4,250. Expanded Target: The larger resistance zone near 4,295 - 4,325. Invalidation: The bullish thesis is invalidated if price sustains a break below the entire Alligator support cluster, particularly the Jaw at 4,164.4, and more decisively below the 4,126.1 level. This would signal a failure of the breakout and a potential trap for buyers.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by origami_capital33
RELIANCE — The MONSTER WAVE 3 Isn’t Over Yet!📈 Summary: Reliance isn’t done yet — the structure shows a powerful Wave 3 still unfolding with institutional strength behind it. Expect a controlled Wave 4 retracement (₹800–₹500) before the next super rally — Wave 5 toward ₹10,000 (3.618%) . 📈 Elliott Wave count + SMC + Fundamentals all scream continuation! Smart money is accumulating , not distributing — this is the calm before the storm. 🔥 Wave 3 builds wealth. Wave 5 creates history. 📊 Elliott Wave Confluence: The stock remains within Wave 3 , unfolding with strong impulsive momentum and clean internal sub-waves. Wave 3 is expected to mature around the 2.618 extension (~₹2,875) , but structure still supports further upside before exhaustion. A Wave 4 correction will likely retrace toward the 0.382–0.5 Fib zone (₹800–₹500) , forming a deep yet healthy reset. The grand finale — Wave 5 — targets the 3.618 Fibonacci extension (~₹10,000) , aligning with long-term macro growth and structural expansion. 🚀 💰 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Insight: Institutional order flow remains bullishly displaced — no evidence of full distribution yet. Expect Wave 4 to be the “smart money re-entry zone,” with liquidity sweeps and accumulation before the final push. Wave 5 could trigger the euphoric phase where late retail chases and institutions start scaling out at premium valuations. 🧠💵 📈 Price Action Perspective: Trend remains structurally bullish — higher highs and higher lows dominate. A break above ₹1,600–₹1,700 confirms Wave 3 continuation. Once the market consolidates into Wave 4, watch for equal lows, demand absorption, and BOS confirmations to catch early Wave 5 entries. Wave 5 is expected to be sharp, emotional, and momentum-driven — classic of late-cycle impulsive waves. ⚙️📊 🌍 Fundamental Confluence: Reliance’s expansion across energy, telecom, AI, green tech, and retail supports this wave count perfectly. The next decade’s growth catalysts — digital ecosystem scale-up, Jio financial inclusion, and renewables — align with Wave 5’s “valuation explosion” narrative. Fundamentals mirror Elliott psychology: Wave 3 = justified growth, Wave 4 = consolidation, Wave 5 = euphoria-driven expansion . 💹🌏 🔮 Expectations Ahead: 📍 Wave 3 Target: ₹2,800–₹3,000 range (2.618 fib). ⚠️ Wave 4 Retracement: ₹800–₹500 (accumulation & re-entry zone). 🚀 Wave 5 Target: ₹10,000 (3.618 extension — the ultimate cycle peak). 💎 Final Thought: Reliance is still in the driver’s seat of its Wave 3. Wave 4 will give patient bulls one final golden entry before Wave 5 — the ₹10,000 super cycle — rewrites market history. Traders & Analysts "This might be the mega move of the decade — and it’s happening right in front of us. 🔥 Reliance (RELIANCEIND) is still charging through a powerful Wave 3, and there’s plenty of air above before any major correction even begins. 🚀 Our Elliott Wave models show Wave 3 has not peaked yet — momentum, structure, and institutional flow all confirm that the current rally could still extend toward the ₹2,800–₹3,000 zone before any Wave 4 cooldown. But here’s the big picture: after Wave 4’s healthy reset, the final Wave 5 explosion could drive prices to a massive ₹10,000 target (3.618 extension) — a potential super-cycle top years in the making. 💎 📈 Smart money isn’t exiting — it’s riding Wave 3 and preparing for the ultimate Wave 5 payoff. Timing this phase could define your decade in trading. ⚡ So, traders — how far do you think Wave 3 can run before the big reset? Drop your targets below 👇 and let’s see who rides this wave all the way to ₹10,000! 💰🌊” — Team FIBCOS #Reliance #ElliottWave #NSE #SmartMoney #PriceAction #WaveTheory #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #Investing #StockMarketIndia #RelianceIndustries #SwingTrading #LongTermInvesting #Wave3 #Wave5 #BullishIndia #ChartAnalysis #WealthBuilding #MarketStructure #Fibonacci #Wave4Accumulation
NSE:RELIANCELong
by fibcos
USOIL Market Direction: Bearish Tilt Amid Downward Momentum?USOIL Market Direction: Bearish Tilt Amid Downward Momentum? Current Price Snapshot As of October 15, 2025, USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) is trading around $58.20 per barrel, reflecting a modest intraday uptick of approximately 0.9% from yesterday's close at $58.66. This follows a 1.39% decline on October 14, extending a broader monthly drop of over 7%. The price has been consolidating in a descending channel, with recent lows testing the $57.29–$57.60 support zone, prompting a short-term corrective bounce. Technical Indicators - **Trend Structure**: USOIL remains below a key descending trendline on shorter timeframes (H1–H4), signaling sustained downward pressure. A breakdown below $57.65 could accelerate the slide toward $56.00 or lower, aligning with a potential descending flag pattern. - **Momentum Oscillators**: The RSI (14-period) is climbing from oversold territory around 31, currently near 35–40, suggesting a temporary relief rally but lacking conviction for a full reversal. The ADX at 41.78 confirms a strong prevailing downtrend. - **Moving Averages**: Price is below the 50-day SMA ($61.55) and 200-day EMA ($59.15), with bearish crossovers reinforcing the negative bias. Key resistance clusters at $60.44–$60.75 (Fibonacci retracement levels) cap upside potential. - **Support/Resistance**: Immediate support at $57.29–$57.80; breach targets $56.00. Overhead resistance at $60.75, with a pivot at $61.50. A close above $60.75 would invalidate the bearish setup, but current action shows rejection at these levels. Fundamental Drivers - **Supply Dynamics**: OPEC+ is gradually unwinding production cuts, adding ~0.6 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2025, while non-OPEC output (led by the US at 13.5 million b/d) surges by 2.0 million b/d. This floods the market, driving global inventories higher and exerting downward force on prices. Recent US inventory builds (e.g., +1.8 million barrels in commercial crude) further signal softening demand. - **Demand Outlook**: Resurfacing US-China trade tensions are clouding economic recovery prospects, capping industrial fuel needs. Global growth slowdowns, coupled with accelerated renewable energy investments, are projected to weaken crude consumption through 2026. - **Geopolitical Factors**: While sanctions on Russia and Middle East risks provide occasional support, they are outweighed by ample supply. EIA forecasts Brent (closely correlated to WTI) averaging $62/bbl in Q4 2025, dropping to $52/bbl in 2026, implying further WTI weakness toward $56–$59 by year-end. - **Macro Influences**: A strengthening USD (amid Fed hawkishness) makes oil less attractive to non-US buyers, adding to the bearish case. Broader forecasts from Reuters and LongForecast see WTI averaging $64.65 for 2025 but ending October near $52.76, a 15.5% monthly decline. Sentiment from Market Chatter Real-time discussions on platforms like X highlight mixed but predominantly cautious views. Some traders eye short-covering bounces toward $60, citing oversold RSI and potential OPEC data surprises, but consensus leans bearish, with calls for sub-$60 targets due to inventory builds and trade war fears. Retail signals show sporadic buy setups, but institutional positioning favors shorts. Overall Direction and Outlook **Bearish** – USOIL's trajectory today points downward, with the corrective uptick likely fizzling at $60 resistance. Expect continued pressure toward $57–$56 unless a decisive break above $60.75 emerges, which would shift bias to neutral. Monitor upcoming EIA inventory data and US-China headlines for volatility spikes. Position sizing should account for low ATR (0.40), indicating subdued near-term swings. This assessment draws from a synthesis of price action, indicators, supply-demand fundamentals, and market sentiment for a comprehensive view.
TVC:USOIL
by DCAChampion
AUD/USD Analysis: Upward Momentum Amid USD Weakness?The AUD/USD pair has shown upward momentum today, trading at around 0.6522 after opening at 0.6487, marking a gain of about 0.54%. This follows a rebound from recent lows near 0.6440, supported by a dovish tone from the Federal Reserve that has pressured the US dollar, alongside resilient commodity prices boosting the Australian dollar. Key technical levels include support around 0.6480-0.6500, where the pair has found buying interest, and resistance near 0.6535-0.6600, which could cap further advances if tested. Fundamental drivers include ongoing US-China trade tensions, which introduce downside risks for the AUD due to Australia's economic ties to China, though softer US data and potential rate cut expectations have offset some pressure. No major high-impact economic releases are flagged for today, leaving market focus on broader sentiment and upcoming Australian employment figures later in the week. From a technical perspective, indicators like RSI point to buy signals with the pair recovering from oversold conditions, and a bullish hammer pattern suggests potential for continued gains if it holds above the 200-day SMA. However, some views highlight bearish risks if it breaks below 0.6439, targeting lower supports. Market sentiment leans positive for the session, with recovery noted in real-time discussions and a grind higher amid USD weakness. Expect the direction to remain upward unless fresh negative catalysts emerge, with a bias toward testing higher levels like 0.6535.
by DCAChampion
BTC: Unveiling Over 40% UndervaluationBTC: Unveiling Over 40% Undervaluation – SWOT and Intrinsic Value Deep Dive Introduction 📊 As of October 27, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC), the pioneering cryptocurrency often regarded as digital gold, is experiencing a surge amid broader crypto market momentum driven by AI infrastructure demand and institutional adoption. Macroeconomic factors, such as anticipated Federal Reserve rate stability and growing ETF inflows, are bolstering positive sentiment in the digital asset space. Sector dynamics include heightened trading volumes and halving-induced scarcity, with public data indicating year-to-date gains of approximately 21.2% and quarterly revenue analogs in mining and transaction fees reflecting resilience in a volatile environment. This overview draws from verifiable metrics without endorsing any trading action. SWOT Analysis Strengths 💹 BTC's decentralized nature and limited supply of 21 million coins provide inherent scarcity, akin to gold, fostering its role as a store of value. Strong network effects, with a market cap exceeding $2 trillion and daily transaction volumes in the billions, underscore its global adoption and liquidity. Institutional interest, evidenced by ETF approvals, enhances credibility and price stability over time. Weaknesses ⚠️ High volatility remains a core issue, with price swings often exceeding 10% daily, deterring mainstream use as a currency. Energy-intensive mining processes raise environmental concerns, while scalability limitations, such as slow transaction speeds, hinder broader utility. Lack of intrinsic cash flows, unlike traditional assets, complicates fundamental valuation. Opportunities 🚀 BTC's undervalued position relative to scarcity models presents appeal for long-term holders, with analyst forecasts projecting prices up to $250,000 by year-end amid AI and institutional tailwinds. Opportunities include further ETF expansions, regulatory clarity in major markets like Japan, and integration into payment systems, potentially driving 30%+ growth in adoption metrics. Emerging trends in DeFi and NFTs could amplify network value. Threats 🛑 Regulatory risks, including potential bans or strict oversight in regions like China, could suppress demand. Competition from altcoins and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) may erode market dominance, while cybersecurity threats like hacks pose existential risks. Macroeconomic downturns or shifts in investor sentiment could trigger sharp corrections. Intrinsic Value Calculation 💰 For cryptocurrencies like BTC, value investing adapts traditional methods to models emphasizing scarcity, such as the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) ratio, which treats BTC like a commodity by comparing existing supply (stock) to new production (flow). The S2F model formula is Price = exp(-1.84) * (S2F)^3.36, incorporating a margin of safety for volatility by discounting projections. Using recent data: Current stock ≈ 19.8 million BTC, annual flow post-2024 halving ≈ 164,250 BTC, yielding S2F ≈ 120. Assume conservative growth adjustments for adoption trends. Calculation: - S2F = Stock / Flow ≈ 19,800,000 / 164,250 ≈ 120 - Intrinsic Value ≈ exp(-1.84) * (120)^3.36 ≈ $222,000 (based on model outputs) Compared to the current price of approximately $115,000, BTC appears undervalued by over 40%, offering a substantial margin of safety (e.g., 30-50% discount to buffer risks like regulation). 📉 No traditional debt flags apply, but volatility metrics (beta >1) and on-chain indicators support sustainability with projected 2025 growth to $200,000+ if institutional inflows continue. Annotate intrinsic value lines in green on the chart, with current price in red for visual comparison. Entry Strategy Insights 🔍 Institutional-style entries focus on bottom-extreme zones, such as oversold conditions near historical support levels (e.g., post-halving dips), for unleveraged, long-term positions. A dollar-cost averaging (DCA) framework mitigates timing risks by scaling in gradually during pullbacks, using non-repainting price action signals to confirm reversals without bias. For BTC, monitor zones around $100,000 amid surge trends, prioritizing fundamentals like hash rate strength over short-term noise. Risk Management ⚠️ Position sizing should be capped at 1-5% of portfolio capital to contain volatility-induced drawdowns. Diversify across asset classes to offset crypto-specific risks, with long-term holds aligned to BTC's scarcity narrative. Track on-chain metrics like active addresses in real-time data, and establish exit rules for severe regulatory shifts or prolonged bear markets. Conclusion This analysis spotlights BTC's scarcity-driven strengths and institutional opportunities, tempered by volatility and threats, with S2F-based intrinsic value indicating significant upside for strategic holders. Always verify independently via on-chain tools and consult professionals. This is educational content only; not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by DCAChampion
BIANRENSHENG Analysis (1H)This coin is listed on Binance under the name 币安人生 From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, it seems that the bullish phase for this coin has begun. We can observe an expanding bullish pattern forming on this asset. We should wait for a correction on this symbol to have a low-risk entry opportunity. Currently, it appears to be in wave C of this expanding pattern. At the end of wave D, where we have marked the entry zones, we can look for buy/long positions. Project nature: This token is a cultural meme coin representing the Chinese-speaking Binance community. Its main purpose is entertainment, humor, and reflecting trading culture in China rather than offering any specific technical or economic utility. It has no official connection with Binance; it simply draws inspiration from the brand’s name and atmosphere. It was created on the BNB Chain, and its growth has been driven by social hype and the meme coin trend. Important notes and risks: It carries a very high risk due to the lack of technical foundation or real-world utility. It is highly dependent on market sentiment and temporary trends. There is a strong possibility of pump-and-dump movements because of concentrated liquidity and whale activity For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
Bitcoin Overall: Bullish...we'll know more soonAfter holding the parabola, BTC is moving in the opposite direction to the recent flash crash. Depending on how it behaves in this area gives clues as to whether we can expect an all time high or not in the near future. In the case this does happen, a significant retracement (yet again) is likely!!--before a much better move up. Alternatively, it is still possible of course to visit the lower levels indicated, it's simply not the most likely scenario for the near future. Breaking below the shown "invalidation leg" would strongly suggest a move to those lower levels.
by Ian_Carsen
BIANRENSHENG Looks Bearish (2H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section Note: Manage your risk | this is a new and risky coin. It seems that wave C has finished, which was a bearish triangle, and the price is now entering wave D. Everyone is blindly expecting a pump on this new coin, but its chart looks a bit risky for buying! We’ve marked the main supply and demand zones on the chart, and the targets are also indicated there. A 4-hour candle close above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
TOTAL2 Elliot Wave BREAKOUT ALERT - Altseason Incoming ? TOTAL2 Elliott Wave BREAKOUT ALERT: Altseason Incoming? 🚀📈 Alright, folks—checking in on the TOTAL2 chart (total crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin) as of Sep 27, 2025. We're sitting at about 1.155T USD after a 6.93% dip. I've been diving into Elliott Wave Theory here, and it's painting a pretty clear picture. Quick primer: Elliot Wave ( EW ) is all about crowd psychology driving prices in repeating patterns—5-wave "impulses" for the main trend (usually up in bulls like this), followed by 3-wave "ABC" corrections to reset before the next leg. Here's how I see it unfolding on this weekly chart: The Big Rally (Impulse Waves 1-5): Kicked off from the 2022 bear bottom around 200B. Wave 1: Strong startup climb to ~800B by mid-2023. Wave 2: Quick zigzag pullback to ~500B—classic shallow correction. Wave 3: The beast—explosive surge to ~1.4T in early 2024, longest and strongest as EW rules predict. Wave 4: Flatter, sideways dip to ~800B mid-2024, alternating with Wave 2's sharpness. Wave 5: Final push topping out at ~1.65T early 2025. Boom—full impulse complete, guided by that blue channel. Now: The Correction (ABC in an Ascending Triangle): Post-peak, we've entered a 3-wave pullback inside a bullish ascending triangle (rising green support from the A low, flat resistance at ~1.64T, orange line squeezing it). Wave A: Sharp drop to ~1T mid-2025. Wave B: Bouncy rebound to ~1.5T. Wave C: Ongoing downleg—right now midway, testing lower supports around 1T or below. Where's it heading? I think we're wrapping up this Wave C correction in the next few weeks—could dip a bit more for a final shakeout. But that ascending triangle screams bullish: Once we bottom and break above 1.64T resistance, expect a breakout thrusting us into the next impulse wave up. Targets? Could hit 2T+ in a fresh altseason rally, especially if BTC chills and lets alts shine. Risks: If we smash below the green support, correction drags on—watch out for that. Stay vigilant, DYOR, and let's ride this wave! 📈 Thanks for reading my idea, let me know your thought ! If you want me to check on any trading pair let me know in the comments bellow and thanks for your support, this motivates me to do more.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by TPAog
5
"LLY's Bear Market Mode ON | Crash Incoming"“ LLY is gearing up for a sharp correction down to the $35–$17 zone — a critical reset that could flush out weak hands before the next explosive bull run. Stay sharp, this is where big opportunities form. ⚠️ 🔥 Summary: Eli Lilly (LLY) looks ready for a major market reset after completing a historic five-wave climb. This could be the start of a long-term corrective Wave 2 , potentially wiping out years of gains before the next explosive super-cycle takes off. The bull run isn’t over — but it’s taking a serious pause. ⚠️📉 🌊 Wave Theory Outlook LLY’s multi-decade Elliott structure shows a completed Cycle Wave 1 peaking near the 2.618 extension zone around $1029. Historically, such extensions often mark exhaustion. Next comes Wave 2 , which could retrace deep into the $35–$17 zone (the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci region and prior structural base). Expect a complex W-X-Y pattern , shaking weak hands before a powerful Wave 3 bull expansion later this decade. 📉 Price Action & Smart Money Context The chart shows exhaustion wicks, momentum divergence, and slowing volume — classic signs of distribution . Smart money is likely off-loading near the highs , preparing to reload at discount levels once liquidity below 2020–2022 lows is taken. Expect liquidity sweeps, imbalance fills, and a long-term accumulation base forming near the orange demand zone before the next breakout. 💰 Fundamental Alignment Despite incredible fundamentals — obesity and diabetes drug leadership, global demand growth, and innovation — valuation gravity always returns . A deep correction would align price with sustainable earnings and provide institutional re-entry opportunities at fair value. 🧠 Traders , "the charts are whispering — a major LLY correction is loading. Our projections highlight the $35–$17 zone as the key accumulation region before the next super-cycle. Stay alert, plan your levels, and don’t fight the wave. 🌊📉 Where do you think LLY bottoms out? Share your thoughts below 👇” — Team FIBCOS #LLY #EliLilly #BearMarket #Correction #WaveTheory #SmartMoney #ElliottWave #Fibcos #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Investing #PharmaStocks #StockMarket #MarketCycle #ChartAnalysis #Bearish #Wave2 #TradingView #StockAlert #MarketReset
NYSE:LLYShort
by fibcos
10
GBP/USD | Inflation Softens as Cable Forms a TriangleThe pound continues to drift lower as softer UK inflation data fuels expectations that the Bank of England could begin easing policy sooner than markets anticipated. The stronger dollar backdrop and fiscal uncertainty in the UK add further weight to Cable. Technical Lens: On the daily chart, GBP/USD appears to be completing a contracting triangle within a larger corrective leg. I’m watching for one more push lower once this structure resolves, with the 1.3150 support zone standing out as the key area to test. That region also aligns with prior cycle lows and the potential termination of wave (y). Scenarios: If 1.3150 holds: price could base out and begin forming a recovery phase toward 1.34–1.35. If 1.3150 breaks: the next downside extension could confirm a broader continuation toward the 1.30 handle. Catalysts: Upcoming BoE commentary and next week’s UK GDP and CPI readings may provide the trigger for a break from the current consolidation. Takeaway: 1.3150 is the inflection point to watch as Cable completes its triangle against a softer UK macro backdrop.
by Alchemy Markets
Gold Pullback or Reversal? Key Zone Ahead!As I expected , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to drop thanks to the Double Top Pattern and reached its target at the Support zone($4,011 – $3,981) . Now, do you think Gold will start dropping again, or will it resume its recent weeks’ uptrend? Today, I’m going to do a short-term 15-minute analysis of Gold , so stay tuned. At the moment, Gold is approaching a Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,137) —also a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) —and moving within an ascending channel . Overall, the recent moves in Gold over the past couple of days look like a pullback to the previous Support zone($4,192 – $4,137) . From an Elliott Wave perspective , it seems that Gold , given the momentum of its recent drop, is completing corrective waves, and we should expect another decline . I expect Gold to start dropping again from the Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,137) and PRZ , and AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel , it could fall at least down to around $4,039(First Target) . Second Target: Support zone($4,011 – $3,981) Stop Loss(SL): $4,222 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
23
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for October 27.Gold Technical Analysis Daily Resistance: 4210, Support: 4000 4-Hour Resistance: 4140, Support: 4005 1-Hour Resistance: 4100, Support: 4015 After hitting a record high last week, gold prices have retreated, dropping over $300. Friday's close confirms the onset of a weekly downturn. In terms of indicators, the RSI has begun to fall back below the 80 level, and on the daily chart, it has even broken through the 4050 bull-bear dividing line. The MACD fast and slow lines have formed a death cross, and the green momentum bar is declining with increasing volume. In short, it's clear that the broader cycle is quietly turning, or more accurately, the upward trend is pausing. From the hourly chart, today's Asian session opened sharply lower. This is partly a reaction to weekend news, and partly due to the inherent weakness of the market, which requires adjustment. The subsequent rebound failed to even break the upward closing gap, and then began a rapid decline. This is the result of bearish dominance. The 1-hour chart is currently in a bearish flag consolidation pattern. The 4000 level is likely to be retested or even broken, so today's strategy is to sell high and buy low. SELL: near 4100 SELL: near 4140 BUY: near 4005 More Analysis →
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ