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Wave Analysis

AAL Breakdown Setup — $12.50 PUT Trade Idea! # 🐻 AAL Weekly Bearish Setup — \$12.50 PUT 🎯 (Sep 12 Expiry) 📊 **Summary** * **Momentum:** Daily RSI 53.4 falling, Weekly RSI 64.4 falling → downside tilt. * **Volume:** +30% on a red week → institutional distribution. * **Options Flow:** Call/Put ratio 1.65 (bullish flow) but likely **retail/covered calls**, not confirmation. * **Volatility/Gamma:** Favorable for weekly directionals. --- 🎯 **Trade Plan** * Instrument: **AAL** * Direction: **PUT (short)** * Strike: **\$12.50** * Expiry: **2025-09-12** * Entry Price: **\$0.20** * Profit Target: **\$0.40** (100%) * Stop Loss: **\$0.10** * Size: **1 contract** * Confidence: **70%** --- ⚠️ **Risks** * Heavy call flow could cause short-term squeezes. * Low-priced weekly options = high theta decay. * Exit by Thursday to avoid Friday gamma ramp. --- 📉 **Overall Bias:** Bearish tilt — price action + distribution outweigh bullish options flow. 🕒 **Signal Time:** 2025-09-06 09:15 EDT --- ### 🔑 Tags : \#AAL #OptionsTrading #PutOptions #WeeklyOptions #StockMarket #Bearish #TradingSetup #MomentumTrading #OptionsFlow #TradingView
NASDAQ:AALShort
by quantsignals
2
BTC may get to $98,900 zone Apart from the fact that it is obvious to me that the daily Order Flow on BTC is bearish, I have highlighted 4 different good reasons why I personally will not be buying BTC for now. A lot of BTC fanatics believe that BTC and cryptos in general are driven by Fundamentals, which is absolutely correct but my major challenge is that a lot of them are driven so much by emotions not Price Action. I have been in this market for well over one and half decades and I can tell you that my technical knowledge, which has its strong Foundation on Market Structure & Price Action has seen me make so much money trading technicals. Yes, when strong fundamentals such as US election results and other factors, including hypes and other unexpected events, come, they can change the direction and price can go crazy or either way. This is where your risk management will then play a major role by saving you from unexpected losses or help you minimise your losses. However, do not ignore the importance of market structure and Price Action irrespective of the pairs or assets you trade.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Olajireolapoju
1
CRWV Breakdown Setup — $80 PUT in Play! # 🐻 CRWV Weekly Trade Setup (Sep 6, 2025) 🐻 ### 🔎 Market Consensus * **Momentum:** Daily RSI 35.2 ↓, Weekly RSI 45.4 ↓ → bearish trend. * **Performance:** -13.3% last week → downside pressure. * **Volume:** 0.7x → weak institutional support. * **Options Flow:** C/P = **1.61** → contrarian bearish (likely retail call chasing). * **Consensus:** 📉 Moderate → Strong Bearish Bias --- ### 🎯 Trade Plan * **Instrument:** CRWV * **Direction:** PUT (SHORT) * **Strike:** 80.00 * **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (6 DTE) * **Entry Price:** 0.73 * **Profit Target:** 1.46 (+100%) * **Stop Loss:** 0.37 (-50%) * **Size:** 1 contract (scale risk 2–4% max) * **Entry Timing:** Market Open * **Exit Rule:** Take profits early if hit; hard exit **by Thu Sep 11** (avoid Friday decay). * **Confidence:** 🔥 65% --- ### ⚖️ Key Risks * Call flow heavy (C/P 1.61) → possible squeeze/hedge pops. * Weak volume could limit follow-through. * News/gap risk can reverse quickly. * Theta decay accelerates mid-week — OTM puts decay fast if price stalls. --- 📊 **TRADE DETAILS (JSON)** ```json { "instrument": "CRWV", "direction": "put", "strike": 80.0, "expiry": "2025-09-12", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.46, "stop_loss": 0.37, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.73, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-09-06 10:25:45 EDT" } ``` --- 🔥 \ NASDAQ:CRWV | \ AMEX:SPY | \ NASDAQ:QQQ | #OptionsTrading #BearishSetup #TradingView #PutOptions #GammaSqueeze #StocksToWatch#MarketMoves#EarningsSeason#MomentumTrading#RiskReward
NASDAQ:CRWVShort
by quantsignals
2
EUR/USD Bulls Defend 1.1613 — Next Stop 1.1716?The EUR/USD 1H chart is showing a clear technical battle between buyers and sellers, with well-defined zones highlighted by the plotted buy (B) and sell (S) markers. At the bottom side, we see a series of demand signals (B) clustering around 1.16130–1.16220, which has acted as a reliable support area several times. Notice how every time the price dipped into this zone, buyers stepped in strongly, pushing it back up. That’s why this level is being respected as the “line in the sand” for bulls. On the upper side, there’s a stack of sell signals (S) lining up between 1.17162–1.17428. Historically, whenever price reached this zone, it faced rejection and sellers regained control. This gives us a very clear supply barrier to work with. What stands out is the long position box already drawn on the chart: • The green shaded area marks the potential upside toward 1.17165, which corresponds exactly with the resistance cluster. • The red shaded area shows the stop-loss zone just below 1.16130, protecting against a breakdown of support. • The position has a risk-to-reward ratio of about 3.8:1, meaning the potential gain is almost four times the risk being taken — a favorable setup for swing traders. Another important factor here is market structure: the chart shows recent lower lows, but bulls defended the same demand area twice, creating a potential double-bottom style reaction. If momentum carries through, the next move could be a retest of the resistance cluster above. ________________________________________ 📊 Trade Setup (Long) • Pair: EUR/USD (1H timeframe) • Direction: Long (Buy) • Entry Zone: 1.16220 – 1.16420 (current accumulation area) • Stop Loss: Below 1.16130 (support invalidation) • Take Profit: 1.17165 – 1.17420 (resistance/supply zone) • Risk-to-Reward: ~3.8:1 ________________________________________ 👉 In short, this chart is highlighting a buy-the-dip opportunity as long as price holds above 1.16130. A break below would invalidate the bullish view and could open the door to deeper downside, but for now, bulls have the upper hand with a well-defined setup.
Long
by SupertradeOfficial
ORCL Weekly Call Setup — $240C Targeting Breakout! # 🚀 ORCL Weekly Trade Setup (Sep 6, 2025) 🚀 ### 🔎 Market Consensus * **Momentum:** Weekly RSI strong (67.8 ↑), daily RSI improving (47.4). * **Volume:** 1.5x weekly → institutional activity. * **Options Flow:** C/P = **1.49** → bullish bias. * **Volatility:** Low VIX (\~15) → cheap calls. * **Consensus:** 📈 Moderate Bullish Weekly Bias --- ### 🎯 Trade Plan * **Instrument:** ORCL * **Direction:** CALL (LONG) * **Strike:** 240C * **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (6 DTE) * **Entry Price:** 8.30 * **Profit Target:** 10.40 (+25%) — stretch 12.30–16.40 if momentum holds * **Stop Loss:** 4.95 (\~-40%) * **Size:** 1 contract (scale by risk) * **Entry Timing:** Market Open * **Exit Rule:** Take profits in strength, exit **by Thu Sep 11** (avoid Friday decay/earnings risk) * **Confidence:** 🔥 68% --- ### ⚖️ Key Risks * Earnings risk inside 6-day window → binary volatility. * High weekly volume could mean **distribution** if no follow-through. * Theta/gamma crush into late week. --- ### 🧠 Alternative View * Grok/xAI flags “No Trade” due to binary earnings event risk. * Conservative traders may stay flat. --- 📊 **TRADE DETAILS (JSON)** ```json { "instrument": "ORCL", "direction": "call", "strike": 240.0, "expiry": "2025-09-12", "confidence": 0.68, "profit_target": 10.40, "stop_loss": 4.95, "size": 1, "entry_price": 8.30, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-09-06 12:07:08 EDT" } ``` --- 🔥 \ NYSE:ORCL | \ AMEX:SPY | \ NASDAQ:QQQ | #OptionsTrading #TradingView #UnusualWhales #SP500 #StocksToWatch #UnusualWhales#GammaSqueeze#OptionsFlow#FlowTrading#WeeklyOptions#CallOptions#StockMarket#TradingView #Bullish#SP500Inclusion#StocksToWatch#MarketMoves#EarningsSeason#MomentumTrading#RiskReward
NYSE:ORCLLong
by quantsignals
HOOD S&P 500 Inclusion = Gamma Squeeze Incoming? # 🚀 HOOD Weekly Setup (Sep 5, 2025) 🚀 **Catalyst:** 🔥 S\&P 500 inclusion → forced buying **Options Flow:** 📊 C/P = **3.15** (extreme bullish) **Volatility:** 😴 Low VIX → cheap calls **Technical:** RSI mixed but catalyst > chart --- ### 📈 Trade Idea * 🎯 **Buy \$106C** (Sep 12 Exp.) * 💵 Entry ≈ 2.44 * 🎯 Target: 4.00 (+64%) * 🛑 Stop: 0.98 (-40%) * 📅 Exit: by Thu, Sep 11 * 🔥 Confidence: 75% --- ### ⚡ Bonus YOLO Play * 🎯 \$114C (0.81) → cheap lottery ticket * ⚠️ High risk / lower win rate --- 📌 **Consensus:** ALL models bullish (flow + catalyst) 📊 Heavy OI at 105 → dealer gamma squeeze setup --- \#️⃣ NASDAQ:HOOD AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:IWM #SP500#NASDAQ #OptionsTrading #UnusualWhales#GammaSqueeze#OptionsFlow#FlowTrading#WeeklyOptions#CallOptions#StockMarket#TradingView #Bullish#SP500Inclusion#StocksToWatch#MarketMoves#EarningsSeason#MomentumTrading#RiskReward
NASDAQ:HOODLong
by quantsignals
9
Elliott Wave 4 still in play ?There’s nothing worse than trading a slow, choppy market that doesn’t range far enough in either direction to give a clean read. This past week I’ve been tracking whether Wave 4 has finished or if we’re still stuck in its structure. My bias is that Wave 4 will drag on a little longer. I expect price may test near the 0.382 Fib retrace before we get another leg higher that could still be part of Wave 4. Ideally, I’d like to see a correction down to the 55 EMA (green line), followed by two higher highs, a pullback, and then a breakout above the end of Wave 1. That would confirm the start of Wave 5 on the daily timeframe. Based on my Fib time-cycle analysis (the vertical lines on the chart), Wave 5 might not truly start until late October. In the meantime, I’m scalping shorter timeframes—using Elliott Wave counts on the lower TF and MACD divergence on the slightly higher TF—to secure some overnight trades while waiting for a bigger breakout. Trade with caution. Always check the higher timeframe before entering, and always use a stop loss. Protect your account.
by polarity
1
What Does a Range-Bound Market MeanThe market isn’t always driven by dynamic, trending moves. There are periods when price seems to “freeze” between levels, moving up and down but without a clear direction. This condition is called a range-bound market, or flat (sideways movement). Such phases often become a real test for traders because trend-following strategies stop working, and chaotic trades frequently lead to losses. What Is a Range-Bound Market A range-bound market is a section of the chart where price oscillates within a narrow channel, repeatedly testing support and resistance levels without a decisive breakout. In such phases, the market is essentially “resting” after a strong move, consolidating energy and preparing for the next impulse. From a market psychology perspective, flat conditions represent a balance between buyers and sellers. Some participants wait for a favorable entry point, while others lock in profits or reduce exposure. As a result, price fluctuates within a corridor until an imbalance of forces triggers a breakout. Why Flat Conditions Are Risky At first glance, sideways movement may seem safe: price isn’t crashing or soaring dramatically. But this is exactly where the danger lies for traders. - False breakouts: Price often moves beyond the range briefly, creating the illusion of a new trend, only to snap back. Traders who rushed in usually end up with losses. - Increased transaction costs: Frequent entries and exits within a range lead to numerous small trades, and commissions eat into potential profits. - Emotional burnout: A prolonged sideways market makes it hard to stay focused. Mistakes stem from fatigue and the urge to “make something happen.” That’s why many traders consider a range-bound market the worst state: it offers little directional movement but creates plenty of opportunities to overtrade and lose. How to Trade During Flat Conditions The most common mistake is trying to trade a flat market the same way as a trending one. Instead, a different playbook applies here. - Define the range boundaries: Support and resistance levels become critical. Mark them clearly and pay attention to repeated touches. - Trade from the edges: It’s usually better to enter near support (buy) or resistance (sell) rather than in the middle of the range. - Take profits quickly: Don’t expect large moves. Targets in range trading are much smaller than in trending conditions. - Reduce trade frequency: Avoid reacting to every small price swing. Wait for confirmations at levels and act selectively. - Watch the volume: Breakouts are often accompanied by a volume spike. That can be the first signal of a directional move ahead. When to Expect a Breakout Every range eventually ends. The question is when and in which direction. To avoid guessing, look for signs of preparation: - Price starts compressing within the range, forming a triangle pattern. - Trading volume decreases, followed by a sudden surge. - Support or resistance levels get tested more frequently. A breakout confirmed by price consolidation above resistance or below support usually marks the start of a new trend. These moments often create the best entry opportunities. Why a Systematic Approach Matters Most Most traders lose money in sideways markets not because they lack knowledge, but because they give in to emotions. The urge to chase every move, fear of missing “the breakout,” or frustration from inactivity turn trading into random gambling. A systematic approach changes the picture. When a trader has a clear algorithm—how to spot ranges, which levels to mark, where to take profits, and when to wait for a breakout—the market becomes structured, not chaotic. Discipline is even more important in flat conditions than in trends, because this is where the foundation for the next strong move is laid. The Practical Value of Automation Flat phases are where automation tools are especially helpful. Algorithms that highlight levels, suggest take-profit zones, and manage risk allow traders to avoid guesswork and emotional mistakes. - For beginners, this serves as a navigation tool: they learn to recognize market structure and understand when to act and when to stay out. - For experienced traders, automation supports discipline, speeds up analysis, and reduces emotional bias. Conclusion A range-bound market isn’t the enemy of traders—it’s a natural state of the market. It may be exhausting with its unpredictability and tempting false moves, but these periods build the energy for future trends. Traders who can identify flat conditions and follow a structured system not only protect their capital but also position themselves for strong moves that always follow consolidation. The market will always test traders’ nerves. But with discipline, technical analysis, and automation, even the chaos of a sideways phase becomes a controlled process. And that’s what separates random luck from consistent results.
Education
by CryptoVision
1
Analysis and Strategy for the Latest Gold Trend on September 5: I. Fundamental Analysis The gold market is currently at a critical crossroads after reaching a historic high. Market sentiment is primarily driven by two key factors: the ebb and flow of safe-haven demand and the interplay between the US dollar and Federal Reserve policy expectations. Today's release of the US August non-farm payroll data (NFP) will be a key catalyst in determining the short-term direction. US Dollar and Interest Rate Expectations: Everything Await Non-Farm Payrolls Data Focus: This non-farm payrolls report is one of the most important economic indicators ahead of the Federal Reserve's September meeting. The market will use it to gauge the health of the US labor market and speculate on the Fed's monetary policy path. II. Technical Analysis Trend Positioning: The long-term and primary trend is undoubtedly bullish. After breaking through the historical high, gold prices experienced a sharp one-day correction, but the overall upward structure was not destroyed. Key Price Level Analysis: Upside Resistance: Short-term resistance: $3,568-3,578/oz. This represents the high point of yesterday's rebound and represents the path for gold prices to reach new all-time highs. Historical Highs/Strong Resistance: $3,600 and above (this week's all-time high). Support Below: Bull Lifeline: $3,530-3,520/oz. This represents the low of yesterday's pullback and is also the middle Bollinger Band on the 4-hour chart and key trend support. If this area is intact, the bull trend is intact. Strength Dividing Point: $3,510/oz. The report clearly states that this level is a "critical strength and weakness point." A break below this level would signal a potential phased shift in the current uptrend, with gold potentially seeking deeper support (such as the 3,480-3,450 area). III. Comprehensive Analysis and Trading Strategy Core View: The trend is bullish, but short-term fluctuations are entirely dependent on the non-farm payroll data. The operation is mainly based on following the trend and buying low, but strict risk control is required to guard against unexpected fluctuations caused by data. Strategy 1: Before the Non-Farm Payroll Data Release (Light Position or Wait and See) It is recommended to place a light long position in the 3530-3525 area, with a stop-loss below 3510 (e.g., 3505), and target the 3560-3570 area. If the gold price rebounds directly to the 3565-3575 area, a light short position can be tried with a small stop-loss (e.g., 3585), targeting 3540-3530 (taking advantage of a technical pullback before the data). Strategy 2: Trend-following Trading After the Non-Farm Payroll Data Release (Main Strategy) Scenario A: The data is bullish for gold (actual value < 73,000) Operation: A pullback is a long opportunity. You can enter the market and go long when the gold price first falls back to the 3550-3540 area. Stop-loss: Below 3530. Target: 3575 → 3590 → all-time high. Scenario B: Data negative for gold (actual value > 75,000) Action: Don't rush to short. Monitor gold's testing of key support levels. If the gold price falls rapidly and hits the strong support area of 3520-3510 for the first time, you can try to take long orders to test the bottom and rebound. Stop-loss: Must be set below 3505. Target: 3540-3550 on a rebound. Note: If gold prices fall strongly below 3510 and fail to rebound, abandon long positions and switch to a rebound short strategy, targeting 3480-3450. Scenario C: Data neutral (actual value between 73,000-75,000) Operation: The market may react flatly, continuing technical volatility. We recommend buying low and selling high with Risk Warning: Non-farm payroll data can be volatile, so it's crucial to manage your positions and avoid excessive initial positions. Market liquidity may plummet immediately after the data is released, leading to widening spreads and increased slippage risk. Limit orders are recommended over market orders. Regardless of the data's direction, the gains and losses of the two key points of 3510 and 3575 will be the most important indicator for determining intraday strength.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Golden_Compas
Trading Game of the Day 5 September 2025Trading Plan:- 1-our strategy is dependant on first thing which Bias the bias is bullish , so we look for bullish setup unless there is a signs of bearish without hesitation . The presence of mss plus rejection candles in the direction of bias is the hallmark of our enterance ,so i get bullish with market ,firstly my SL was hit but secondly i compensate my loss 2- Turtle soup is a very beautiful setup in the market and specially when it goes with the bias of the market 3- the best target is the first target the first swing point Thank you
VELOCITY:GOLD
by Antwerp_winning_trader-Maitham
Gold remains bullish next week, poised to reach 3,600! The market is ever-changing, and following the trend is the best path. Trade immediately when the trend emerges; don't try to go against it, or you'll suffer. Remember not to act on impulse when trading; the market is a cure-all for any kind of resentment. I'm sure many of you have experienced this: enduring losses only to see them pile up, leading to sleepless nights and poor sleep, and wasted opportunities. If you need help, I'll always be here, but if you don't even offer a hand, how can I help you? Gold's trend this week is consistent with our analysis from last weekend, with bullish sentiment and long positions decisively winning. Combined with Friday's non-farm payroll data, we also successfully predicted a potential push for gold towards the 3600 level. By the close of the week, gold had reached a high of 3600 before fluctuating back to 3586. Gold still hasn't shown any signs of a significant unilateral decline, and bulls remain strong. Next week, we will continue to prioritize buying on pullbacks. Considering the 3600 level was touched before the close, if bulls continue their upward momentum, 3600 will be difficult to withstand. A break above 3600 is inevitable, but this process may require pullbacks to build momentum before a surge. Next week, we will continue to prioritize buying on pullbacks, as bullish sentiment remains the primary trend. If your current trading is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid investment pitfalls. Welcome to discuss your options! Gold prices this week reached a high of 3600 before fluctuating lower. Downside support is expected at 3558-3563, with 3538-45 as a key support level. The short-term bullish trend line has moved up to 3510. Once it stabilizes above 35530, the trend remains unchanged, with a continued push back to buy low. Avoid counter-trend short positions. I'll provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so stay tuned. Go long on gold if it retraces to 3558-3565, targeting 3595-3600. Continue holding if it breaks below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NormanConrad
4
Bitcoin Maxis - Brace for Impact !!!🚨 Bitcoin Maxis, brace for Impact 🚨 There is clear, recent evidence that Tether is actively diversifying its reserves and investments by both selling some of its Bitcoin holdings and significantly increasing its exposure to gold, including direct investments in gold mining: 1. Selling Bitcoin and Buying Gold Tether has reported substantial profits from both Bitcoin and gold price appreciation. In 2024, the company booked. How does Tether generate its profits beyond Bitcoin and gold investments?" with \5 billion coming from unrealized appreciation of its gold and Bitcoin holdings. However, recent reports indicate Tether has been increasing its gold reserves while adjusting its Bitcoin treasury. For example, Tether disclosed holding $8.7 billion in gold bars in its Q2 2025 attestation report, and its gold-backed stablecoin (XAU₮) is backed by over 7.7 tons of physical gold as of April 2025. 2. Entering Gold Mining Tether is in active discussions to invest in gold mining, aiming to channel its crypto profits into the metals market. CEO Paolo Ardoino has publicly referred to gold as “natural Bitcoin” and expressed a strong affinity for gold as a foundational asset. The company is exploring opportunities across the entire gold supply chain, including mining, refining, and trading. Tether has already invested over $200 million in Elemental Altus Royalties, a Canadian firm that buys future revenue streams from gold mines, giving Tether exposure to multiple mines with less operational risk. 3. Strategic Shift Tether’s move into gold and gold mining is part of a broader diversification strategy, which also includes investments in AI, Bitcoin mining, and other sectors. The company’s leadership has repeatedly emphasized gold’s role as a hedge and a complement to Bitcoin. In summary, Tether is not only selling some Bitcoin and buying gold but is also directly entering the gold mining sector as part of its diversification and profit deployment strategy. Sources: www.zerohedge.com www.coindesk.com www.fxleaders.com bitcoinethereumnews.com BITSTAMP:BTCUSD NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:MSTR TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER VANTAGE:SP500 FX:EURUSD COINBASE:USDTUSD AMEX:NUGT AMEX:GDX
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by CassianDrake
2
Corrective up for BitcoinHi traders, Bitcoin moved exactly as I-ve predicted in my previous outlook. After it finished the first downmove we saw the start of the next corrective upmove. Now we could see the corrective upmove continue to the orange B area. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: This is not the right time to trade Bitcoin. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
The BTC options market is bullish. The BTC options market is bullish, with the $140,000 strike price in focus. Bitcoin derivatives data shows continued activity in the futures and options markets, with open interest and positions shifting. Futures trading is active, with the peak pain point for Bitcoin options at $110,000. Bitcoin traded at $110,894 on Saturday, September 6, 2025, down 1.8% over the past 24 hours, with prices ranging from $110,339 to $113,142. Coinglass.com indicators show open interest in futures contracts at 717,980 BTC ($79.63 billion). CME leads with 136,380 BTC ($15.12 billion), accounting for 18.98% of the market, followed by Binance with 126,540 BTC ($14.03 billion, 17.62%), and Bybit with 89,280 BTC ($9.90 billion, 12.42%). OKX, Gate, and Kucoin followed closely behind, with Gate showing a 1.45% increase in open interest over the 24-hour period. BingX saw the largest decline, dropping 15.84% over the past four hours and 7.03% for the day. Data shows that total open interest in futures contracts has declined since late August, but remains at levels not seen since the beginning of the year. Open interest has consistently tracked Bitcoin's price trajectory, peaking at over $90 billion during the mid-July rally. As of early September, futures open interest approached $80 billion, reflecting a slight pullback from the summer highs. In the options market, total open interest is approaching $60 billion, with activity concentrated on Deribit. Call options account for 59.27% ​​of open interest, or 240,927 BTC, while put options account for 165,572 BTC, or 40.73%. Over the past 24 hours, call options also accounted for 52.19% (15,716 BTC) of trading volume, slightly higher than put options, which accounted for 47.81% (14,397 BTC). The bias toward call options suggests stronger demand for upside, although put options remain quite active. The largest open interest contracts include the $140,000 call option on December 26, 2025 (10,386 BTC), the $140,000 call option on September 26, 2025 (9,989 BTC), and the $95,000 put option on September 26, 2025 (9,918 BTC). Other notable strike prices are concentrated between $115,000 and $150,000, indicating significant demand for both long and short contracts. Trading volume is dominated by contracts with near-term expiration dates, including the $110,000 put option on September 12 and the $116,000 call option on September 26. The maximum pain point, the level at which option holders face the greatest overall loss, is near $110,000 at the September expiration date. This positioning suggests that short-term price pressure may be concentrated at this level as market makers aim to reduce their payouts. With Bitcoin trading just above its maximum pain point on Saturday, derivatives markets appear balanced between demand for call options and defensive put hedging. However, the situation remains delicate.
Long
by NormanConrad
4
September 5th Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy: Key Focus: US Non-Farm Payroll Data I. Core Fundamental Analysis Bullish Factors: Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations: Market expectations of the Fed starting rate cuts at its mid-month meeting are the core driver of gold's consecutive record highs. The prospect of an accommodative monetary policy reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, providing fundamental support for gold prices. Geopolitical Risk: Ongoing geopolitical tensions have enhanced gold's appeal as a traditional safe-haven asset. Bearish/Risk Factors: Technical Profit-Taking: After gold prices reached a record high for seven consecutive days, they accumulated significant short-term profit-taking. Thursday's (September 4th) pullback of over 1% suggests that bulls are partially closing their positions and locking in profits, which is the primary pressure for the price correction. Bond Market Sell-off: Global bond markets experienced a sell-off, sending interest rates (yields) soaring. This typically signals market concerns about inflation or the economic outlook, potentially attracting some funds from non-interest-bearing gold to interest-bearing assets. This diverges from gold's upward trend and presents a significant risk signal. Non-farm Payroll Data Preview: Today's release of the US August non-farm payroll data is the biggest variable of the day. The data's performance will directly impact expectations of a Fed rate cut: Strong data → Cooling rate cut expectations → Bullish for the US dollar, bearish for gold. Weak data → increased expectations of rate cuts → bad for the dollar, good for gold. II. Key Technical Analysis Current Trend: The long-term uptrend remains intact, but a short-term correction from the highs is indicated. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, indicating heavy selling pressure from above. Key Resistance Levels: Primary Resistance: $3555-3560/oz (hourly resistance, yesterday's US rebound high, today's bull-bear watershed) Strong Resistance: $3570-3580/oz (historical high) Key Support Levels: Initial Support: $3530-3520/oz (4-hour mid-line congestion zone, yesterday's Asia-Europe consolidation platform) Important Support: $3510-3508/oz (Thursday's correction low, strong support from the 5-day moving average on the daily chart and a psychological barrier) Ultimate Support: $3490-3480/oz (deep correction target) III. Comprehensive Trading Strategy Core Principle: Exercise caution and trade within a range before data releases; follow the trend after data releases. 1. Pre-Data Strategy (Before the Non-Farm Payrolls Data Release): Range-Bound Trading Sell on Rebounds: If gold prices rebound to the $3555-3565 area and show signs of stagflation (such as a bearish close with a long upper shadow on the hourly chart), try a small short position with a stop-loss above $3570, targeting $3540-3530. Buy on Pullbacks: If gold prices pull back to the $3520-3530 support area and show signs of stabilization (such as a hammer candlestick or bullish engulfing candlestick), try a small long position with a stop-loss below $3515, targeting $3545-3555. 2. Post-Data Strategy (After the Non-Farm Payrolls Data Release): Trade on Breakouts Breakout Scenario: If weak data leads to a strong breakout and consolidation of gold prices above $3560, follow up with a long position, targeting $3570-3580. Breakout Scenario: If strong data causes gold prices to effectively break below the $3,510 support level, short positions can be followed, targeting the $3,500-3,490 area. 3. Conservative Strategy: Primarily wait and see, waiting for the release of the non-farm payroll data to clarify the market direction before entering the market. Avoid the risk of sharp fluctuations and spread widening immediately after the data release. IV. Risk Warning and Position Management Major Risk Event: All operations today must prioritize the non-farm payroll data. The data results are unpredictable and could trigger sharp market fluctuations. Strict Stop-Loss: Regardless of the strategy chosen, a stop-loss must be set to prevent significant losses due to data trends that go against expectations. Light position operation: Before the data, all transactions should be kept light, and sufficient funds should be reserved to cope with the trend market after the data. Summary: Gold's medium- to long-term bullish logic remains unchanged, but it faces short-term technical correction pressure. The key to successful trading today lies in its response to the non-farm payroll data. It is recommended to buy low and sell high with a range-bound approach in the Asian and European sessions, and enter and exit quickly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Gold_Mastermind
Still more upside for goldHi traders, Last week gold moved exactly as I've said in my previous outlook. After the open it continued the upmove to a new ATH. So I hope you've made some profit. Next week we could see a small correction down but after that more upside for this pair. Let's see what price does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EduwaveTrading
SPX500USD is still going up slowlyHi traders, Last week SPX500USD finished the correction (Flat) and went up again just as I've said in previous outlook. Price is not very impulsive. It looks like it forms an ending diagonal. So next week we could see this pair slowly going up some more. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small pullback and a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
1
USOIL Will Explode! BUY! My dear subscribers, USOIL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 61.96 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 63.08 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILLong
by AnabelSignals
2