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Wave Analysis

US2000 – Bullish Continuation Setup Confirmed on 4H ChartThe US2000 (Russell 2000 Index) is showing a clear sign of bullish continuation after forming a Bullish Engulfing Candle on the daily timeframe. This candle acts as a strong entry confirmation signal, indicating that buyers are stepping back into control following a period of consolidation. Key Technical Points: Daily Bias: Overall bullish structure, supported by recent higher highs and higher lows. 4H Confirmation: A strong bullish engulfing candle formed right above a key support zone (highlighted in purple), confirming rejection of lower prices and renewed bullish momentum. Structure Respect: Price successfully retested the previous resistance area (now turned support), showing clean structure respect before the bullish reaction. Entry Zone: The entry was based on the engulfing confirmation within the retest zone, aligning perfectly with higher-timeframe bullish sentiment. Target Objective: The projection area sits around the 2,600.00 level, which represents the next key resistance zone and potential profit-taking area for swing traders. Invalidation: A 4H candle close below the support region around 2,475.00 would invalidate this setup and suggest possible short-term weakness. Trade Narrative: This setup exemplifies the power of waiting for multi-timeframe alignment—daily trend bias first, followed by a 4H entry confirmation. The Bullish Engulfing Candle serves as both a momentum and sentiment shift indicator, showing that buyers have absorbed recent selling pressure. Patience and disciplined execution remain key. As long as price holds above the 2,475 support, bullish momentum is expected to persist toward 2,600 and beyond.
FX:US2000Long
by Kingdom-Trader
XAUUSD Direction Outlook: October 21, 2025XAUUSD Direction Outlook: October 21, 2025 Gold prices (XAU/USD) are experiencing a notable pullback today, correcting lower from recent record highs amid profit-taking and a strengthening US Dollar. As of midday, the pair is trading around $4,255-$4,327, down approximately 2% from Friday's peak near $4,380. This downward movement reflects short-term bearish pressure, with technical indicators signaling exhaustion in the prior rally and potential for further declines if key supports break. Key Influencing Factors - **US Dollar Strength and Trade Optimism**: A rebounding USD, with the DXY near one-week highs at 98.84, is weighing on gold as a non-yielding asset. Hopes for de-escalation in US-China trade tensions, including avoidance of steep tariffs and positive developments from the APEC Summit, have boosted risk appetite and reduced safe-haven demand. - **Federal Reserve Expectations**: Markets are pricing in a near-certain 25-basis-point rate cut at the October 29-30 Fed meeting, alongside another in December, which broadly supports gold by lowering opportunity costs. However, the ongoing US government shutdown has delayed key data releases, adding uncertainty. - **Upcoming Data Catalyst**: Traders are eyeing the delayed US CPI report on October 24, forecasted at 3.1% year-over-year. A softer-than-expected reading could reinforce dovish Fed bets and spark a gold rebound, while hotter inflation might extend the current correction. - **Broader Market Sentiment**: Despite today's dip, central bank demand, lower bond yields, and lingering geopolitical risks (e.g., trade wars, equity hedging) maintain an underlying bullish backdrop. Recent X discussions highlight dip-buying interest, with analysts targeting recoveries to $4,365-$4,395 if supports hold. Technical Analysis and Levels The daily chart shows an intact uptrend with higher highs and lows, but overbought momentum indicators suggest a healthy consolidation phase. A double top pattern has emerged on shorter timeframes, with the price breaking below the 21-period SMA, confirming near-term weakness. RSI displays bearish divergence and is dipping toward 50-55, while the price has fallen below the ascending channel's midline. | Level Type | Price (USD) | Significance | |------------|-------------|--------------| | Resistance | 4,373-4,380 | Recent highs; breakout could resume uptrend | | Resistance | 4,400-4,430 | Psychological barriers; extension targets | | Support | 4,266-4,313 | 50-EMA and immediate downside buffer | | Support | 4,200-4,220 | Key neckline; bulls' defense line | | Support | 4,180-4,187 | Deeper correction zone if breached | Today's Direction and Forecast For October 21, the primary direction is **bearish with a corrective bias**, potentially testing supports at $4,266 or lower toward $4,200 if selling persists. However, this appears as a temporary reset within a larger bullish structure, with no major reversal signals yet. Bulls remain in control above $4,200, and a close above $4,378 could invalidate the bearish setup, aiming for new highs near $4,400. Expect volatility around economic news, but the path of least resistance leans upward longer-term unless CPI surprises hotter. Traders should monitor for dip-buying opportunities, as recent sentiment on X emphasizes rebound potential.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DCAChampion
1
Momentum Revival Near Support – BTCUSD Swing SetupBitcoin rebounded sharply from a defined support zone, showing renewed buyer strength after a period of consolidation. The recent bullish candle closing above short-term resistance suggests that momentum is shifting toward the upside, hinting at a possible continuation toward the next resistance zone. Key Levels: Buy Entry : Around 109,400 Take Profit: 111,260 Stop Loss: 108,950 Reasoning: The structure highlights clear support confirmation at the lower boundary, where price previously rejected multiple times, forming a base for potential recovery. The break above the resistance channel and transition from red to green cloud on the indicator suggest improving trend strength. Volume spikes near reversal levels support bullish sentiment. If momentum sustains, price could target the higher resistance zone around 111,000. Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational and informational purposes only. I
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
Inverse Head & Shoulders on Bitcoin – Breakout or Bull Trap?Right now, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving within its Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) . Over the past couple of days, it tried twice to break this area but couldn’t. One big reason is that recently, there was news that Japan is considering allowing banks to invest in crypto . Also, yesterday, Trump confirmed he’ll meet with China’s president on October 31st , which the market took as a positive sign that US-China tensions might ease. Previously, the market dropped on news of potential tariffs, and now it’s reacting to the possible easing of those tensions. In the last 24-48 hours , Bitcoin has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern , which could signal a short-term bullish reversal. However, there are still important resistance levels and cumulative short liquidation areas overhead. We need to see if Bitcoin can break through those. From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin still seems to be in a corrective structure, and until it gets above around $116,000 , there’s still a risk of further downside. So we shouldn’t get too excited about the recent 48-hour bounce. In short, I expect Bitcoin might push up to those Resistance lines , the Resistance zone($114,300-$113,000) , and Cumulative Short Liquidation($115,241-$113,454) , thanks to the inverse head and shoulders, but it could face resistance there and possibly drop again. Note: It seems that we may see an increase in Bitcoin with the opening of the US market, but because the SPX500 index( SP:SPX ) is in a correction situation, we can expect Bitcoin to fall again. Note: Crypto market conditions depend on many parameters these days, and be sure to observe capital management. New CME Gap: $107,690-$107,220 Cumulative Long Liquidation: $107,000-$105,782 Cumulative Short Liquidation: $112,241-$111,398 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
31
Bearish Outlook: Completion of Wave 5 Based on Elliott Wave and We're currently observing the end of Wave 3, based on Elliott Wave Principle, leading us to expect a downward shift towards Wave 5 completion. The bearish target is set at the 161.8% Fibonacci level, as measured from the height of Wave 3. Despite a seemingly clear path to a bearish scenario, it's essential to incorporate risk management strategies and keep an eye on other contributing market factors, adjusting trade positions as necessary. Trade wisely and remember that market indicators are guides, not guaranteed predictions. (Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for educational purposes; it's crucial to do your own research before making investment decisions.)
by ayad2019omar
EURUSD📊 EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Summary: Price is approaching a strong demand zone with EMA confluence and a rising trendline, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. ✅ Entry: From the demand zone after confirmation. 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 1.15430 (previous swing low). 📈 Confirmation: Break and close above 1.17291 signals a structural shift and bullish momentum. 🎯 Targets: TP1: 1.18501 TP2: 1.20041 This setup offers a strong 3:1 risk-to-reward. Wait for the structural breakout above 1.17291 before entering for higher probability.
Long
by al_bloushy1992
GBPUSD 📊 GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Summary: The pair is approaching a strong demand zone near the EMA cluster, showing potential for a bullish reversal. A break and close above 1.34083 (confirmation level) would signal strength and a possible trend shift. ✅ Entry: From the demand zone after confirmation. 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 1.32516 (previous swing low). 🎯 Targets: TP1: 1.35385 TP2: 1.36647 TP3: 1.38023 This setup offers a high risk-to-reward ratio (~3:1). Wait for structural breakout above the descending trendline before entering for higher probability.
Long
by al_bloushy1992
Silver (XAG/USD) Outlook: Bearish Momentum Dominates Amid CorrecSilver (XAG/USD) Outlook: Bearish Momentum Dominates Amid Correction Silver prices have experienced a sharp decline today, dropping over 4.8% to hover around $49.88 after opening near $52.40. This pullback follows a recent surge that pushed the metal to all-time highs above $54 last week, driven by safe-haven demand and dovish Federal Reserve signals. However, profit-taking and reduced geopolitical tensions appear to be spurring the current reversal, with technical indicators pointing to further downside potential in the short term. Key factors influencing today's movement include: - **Technical Breakdown**: The price has broken below a short-term ascending channel and key support at $50, signaling a shift from the prior bullish trend. Resistance now sits at $50.25–$51.50, while immediate support levels are at $49.20, with deeper targets around $47.50–$48 if selling pressure persists. A close below $49.80 could accelerate declines toward $45.50–$46 in the coming sessions. Overbought conditions from the rapid rally—evident in indicators like RSI dipping below 50 and a bearish MACD crossover—support this corrective phase. - **Market Sentiment**: Real-time trader discussions highlight expectations of a multi-week correction after the historic bull run, with some eyeing a retest of $45 before any resumption of upside. Broader risk-off flows, including softer equity markets and a strengthening USD, are adding headwinds, though upcoming US economic data like the Leading Index could provide minor relief if it surprises positively. - **Fundamental Context**: While long-term drivers like industrial demand (e.g., in solar and electronics) and inflation hedges remain intact, near-term forecasts suggest easing from peaks. Analyst views lean bearish for the session, with overall ratings classifying the pair as a "Strong Sell" based on moving averages and oscillators. For the remainder of October 21, 2025, the direction appears downward, with potential for continued selling unless a rebound above $50 materializes by close. Traders should monitor for volatility around support zones, as a failure to hold could extend losses, while a false breakdown might trigger a quick recovery to $51–$52.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by DCAChampion
BTC - Predicting Scalps with Order Blocks Here’s another practical example of “Will Bitcoin Move Up or Down?” Will Bitcoin Move up or down from 108,500? In this example we will be taking a trade from the consolidation point of 108,500 In my previous posts I’ve taught you how to draw order blocks of stop loss orders and use them to predict movement. We draw green boxes for BUY orders ABOVE price and red boxes for SELL orders BELOW price. Note how this is opposite to how we are told to look at charts - with limit buys below and limit sells above. Stop Loss orders only full when price crosses the level and buys are above, sells are below. In this example we will factor in Consolidation Time / Duration to predict price. Although there are significant gaps of short stop losses above, the time of consolidation that collects the long stop loss orders is much larger in duration. I’ve drawn the boxes here in widths to show length of time price has consolidated to attract these orders. The more time in consolidation without a recovery of these order blocks, the more orders are accumulated and therefor more buying or selling power. Because there are much more long stop loss orders accumulated: Bitcoin will DROP from 108,500 and we can set a take profit on the short at the end of this order block range at 78,000
Short
by DickDandy
BTC - History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Rhymes!Bitcoin has always been a market of patterns, and when you zoom out, the weekly chart tells a familiar story. 🏹 Each major bull cycle follows a similar rhythm : a strong rally, a sharp correction, a fakeout below support, and then another impulsive leg higher. We’ve seen this movie before. In 2023, BTC broke its structure briefly before continuing its climb. Again in 2024, the market dipped below the trendline, shaking out late buyers, only to bounce and push to new highs. Now, in 2025, we’re testing that same rising trendline once again, showing another possible “fakeout before takeoff” scenario. 🔄If history continues to rhyme, this pullback could mark the final correction before BTC resumes its journey toward the upper boundary of the rising channel - possibly into the 150K–160K zone over the next phase. But if this time is different and BTC fails to reclaim the trendline, we could witness a longer consolidation phase before the next major impulse. The key remains the same: watch the weekly close around the trendline. Each time BTC dipped below and reclaimed it, the next move was explosive. History might not repeat perfectly - but it tends to rhyme beautifully. 📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
10
USDJPY: Waiting for a pullback signal on the lower timeframe * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. George Vann @ ZuperView
Long
by ZuperView