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Wave Analysis

TSLA: Wave 4 Deep Correction – C-Wave Targets 420-400 or Lower?Wave 3 truncated at ATH 498.83. Wave 4 ABC correction is deepening amid negative delivery data and sentiment. Primary Count (60%) : A-wave low ~435.30 (1/2). B-wave weak rebound to 457.80 (short-lived, 1/2). C-wave now in progress, sub-wave 3 accelerating lower. Target: 420-400 (1.0-1.618 × A-wave length). Break below 435 risks extension to 380-400. Timeframe: C-wave completion mid-January. Alternative Count (40%): Break below 380 invalidates impulse, enters larger ABC correction. Target: 346-380 or lower. Key Levels: Resistance: 450-457 (B-top), 470-480, 488-500. Support: 435-450 (short-term), 420-430, 380-400 (final). Trade Idea: Cash position ideal. Wait for reversal signals in 420-400 zone (RSI <30 oversold + volume spike green + engulfing candle) for small entry into potential Wave 5 (550-620). Strict stop below 380. Monitor volume and RSI for bottom confirmation. Patience is key in this volatile correction. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by popcornlux
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. Technical Reasons / Direction — LONG / Reversal 4760 Area ☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body. ☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base. ☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward. ☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break. ☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
72
BABA – Breakout Follow-Through | Wave 5 In ProgressContext - Weekly and daily timeframes - Multi-year base already completed - Prior impulsive advance followed by a controlled Wave 4 retracement - Breakout confirmed last week What I see - Wave 4 pullback resolved cleanly - Breakout last week confirmed the end of the corrective phase - Price has advanced +20% from the breakout area in the last two weeks - Momentum accelerated after price rejected a pullback toward the breakout zone - Yesterday’s near +4% close and strong pre-market action signal continued demand - Structure is now consistent with an active Wave 5 advance What matters now - The 50-day MA and former breakout area near $156 should now act as support - Holding above this level keeps the impulsive structure intact - Next resistance sits at the prior Wave 3 high around $192 - A clean break above $192 confirms Wave 4 completion beyond doubt Buy / Accumulation zone - Initial breakout already played - Ideal adds come only on controlled pullbacks toward support - Risk remains clearly defined against the recent higher low Targets - Wave 5 target remains the $230 area - This level aligns with the next major upside reference within the broader reversal Portfolio note - NYSE:BABA currently represents ~3% of my portfolio - Comfortable holding this position into 2026 - Acts as a solid diversification hedge versus the US market
NYSE:BABALong
by maratteo
Coinbase in Late Wave C Decline, Eyeing Critical Support ZoneCoinbase (COIN) continues its bearish trend, approaching a key earnings-gap support zone that may signal near-term stabilization. As one of the leading cryptocurrency exchanges in the U.S., Coinbase has faced pressure from broader market volatility and regulatory concerns. While the medium-term outlook remains bearish, the earnings-gap support area could present opportunities for traders looking for a technical bounce. Coinbase is continuing its move to the downside, consistent with the bearish wave C pattern we have been tracking. The stock is now showing a pronounced decline, likely extending into the earnings-gap area from May 2025,a zone that could be critical for potential stabilization in the coming weeks. This aligns with the observation that Coinbase appears to be completing a five-wave impulse into wave C from the October 2025 high. Key Levels: Trend: Bearish within wave C Support: 230–208 Resistance: 295–360 (a break above this range would confirm bullish momentum) Note: The earnings-gap zone is crucial for potential near-term stabilization Overall, market participants should watch for signs of stabilization around this critical support zone, which may indicate the end of wave C and the start of a potential recovery.
NASDAQ:COIN
by ew-forecast
BIDU – Wave 3 Progress UpdateThesis NASDAQ:BIDU continues to advance within a developing Wave 3 structure after completing a multi-year corrective phase and confirming a major breakout. Context - Weekly timeframe - Prolonged correction from 2021 into mid-2025 - Transition completed: downtrend → base → breakout What I see - BIDU stood out this week despite a weak and volatile broader market - Higher high printed at the start of the week, followed by another +5% push today - Breakout remains clean, with price holding above former channel resistance - Acceptance above long-term trend support confirms impulsive behavior - Structure remains consistent with an advancing Wave 3 What matters now - Holding above the $155 breakout area is key - A successful hold confirms Intermediate Wave 4 is complete - That opens the path toward the Cycle Wave 3 objective Buy / Accumulation zone - Core accumulation completed earlier between $70–$90 (H1 2025) - Additional buys executed at ~$118 ahead of the breakout - Further adds taken post-breakout after support confirmed outside the channel - Next opportunity comes only on a confirmed higher-degree pullback Targets - Cycle Wave 3 target: 1.618 Fib extension at $225 area - Higher extensions remain possible if momentum persists Execution note - Patience through a 9-month base was rewarded with a +100% move - Recent adds followed rules and structure — discipline is paying off
NASDAQ:BIDULong
by maratteo
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation & Order Block Rejection AnalysisThis chart displays a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) approach to analyzing Gold. It illustrates a transition from a corrective phase into a potential impulsive bullish move. • Market Structure: • CHoCH (Change of Character): The chart highlights several "CHoCH" points where the price shifted from a bearish trend (lower lows) to a bullish structure. • BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple breaks to the upside indicate that the bullish momentum is being maintained. • Weak High vs. Strong Low: The analysis identifies a "Strong Low" near the 4,765 level, which acted as a foundation for the current move, while targeting a "Weak High" above 4,850. • Pattern Recognition: • Falling Wedge/Channel: The blue shaded area shows a corrective descending channel. The price successfully broke out of this channel to the upside, signaling a trend reversal. • Fair Value Gap (FVG): There is a red shaded zone labeled "Fvg." This represents a price imbalance where the market moved too quickly. Traders often look for price to return to these zones to "fill" the orders before continuing the trend. • Trade Setup (Long Bias): • Entry Zone: The green and red box (Long Position tool) indicates a trade entry after the price retested a support level. • Take Profit (TP): The primary target is set at 4,922.836, as indicated by the green price label at the top right. • Stop Loss (SL): Positioned below the recent "Strong Low" to protect against a reversal. Summary of Sentiment The large green arrow reflects a strongly bullish sentiment. The analyst expects Gold to continue its upward trajectory toward the 4,900+ range, provided it maintains its structure above the key support levels identified around 4,817–4,825.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by marcomr
AUDCAD is Breaking Triangle — Bullish Breakout Ahead of CPI?Today, I want to share a long trading opportunity on the AUDCAD pair ( FX:AUDCAD ), so stay tuned! Currently, AUDCAD has successfully broken through its resistance line and is now situated within a heavy resistance zone(0.9585 CAD-0.9247 CAD). From a classic technical analysis perspective, if we look at the AUDCAD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see a symmetrical triangle pattern, which suggests a continuation of the recent bullish trend of AUDCAD. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that AUDCAD has completed microwave 4 of the main wave 5, and we can expect the start of microwave 5 of the main wave 5. The breakout above the upper line of the symmetrical triangle could confirm the end of the microwave 4. Additionally, today’s Canadian CPI data could act as a key catalyst for AUDCAD. Based on recent macro trends, I expect inflation pressures in Canada to remain soft. If CPI comes at or below expectations, it should weaken CAD and support a bullish continuation on AUDCAD. As long as the structure holds, I remain biased to the long side. As a result, I expect that after breaking the upper line of the symmetrical triangle, AUDCAD could rise at least to 0.9357 CAD. First Target: 0.9357 CAD Second Target: 0.9397 CAD Stop Loss(SL): 0.9241 CAD 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌Australian Dollar/Canadian Dollar Analysis (AUDCAD), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Long
by pejman_zwin
17