AUDCHF - Pullback Into Structure, Watching the ReactionAUDCHF remains overall bullish, trading cleanly inside the rising blue channel. After the recent push higher, price is now pulling back into a very interesting area.
We’re approaching the intersection of the demand zone and the lower blue trendline. This is exactly the kind of confluence I like to see in a trending market.
As long as this intersection holds and price respects the lower boundary of the channel, I’ll be looking for trend-following long setups, with confirmation coming from lower timeframes.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Wave Analysis
USDCHF - Let the Market Come to YouUSDCHF remains overall bullish, and price is now doing exactly what we want to see in a healthy trend.
We’re currently retesting a key intersection:
– the lower blue trendline
– and the green structure support
As long as this intersection holds, my focus stays on trend-following long setups. I want to see buyers step in again from here and defend structure before considering any entries.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
AUD/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
AUD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.680
Target Level: 0.677
Stop Loss: 0.682
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAUUSD 1H Outlook: Bullish Continuation After PullbackXAUUSD 1H Outlook: Bullish Continuation After Pullback (Key Support/Resistance + Trade Plans)
Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1H chart remains in a clear bullish market structure after breaking higher from the previous range. Price rallied aggressively into the 4,886 swing high, then pulled back and is now stabilizing around 4,826, suggesting a pause/consolidation before the next directional leg.
The key question for today is simple: does price hold the higher-low zone (dip-buy continuation), or does it lose the pullback support (deeper retracement toward prior breakout levels)?
Market Structure and Price Action
The chart shows a strong impulsive leg up from the 4,697 breakout area toward 4,886.
The pullback from 4,886 looks corrective rather than a full reversal: sharp drop, quick recovery, then sideways grind.
As long as price holds above the breakout supports, the bias stays buy-the-dip.
Key Levels to Watch Today
Resistance Zones
4,886: current swing high / supply reaction point. First major resistance.
4,920 – 4,960: upside continuation zone (psychological + projected path on chart).
5,000: psychological magnet if momentum accelerates after a clean breakout.
Support Zones
4,814 – 4,792: first “dip-buy” zone (Fib confluence from 4,697 → 4,886).
4,769: deeper pullback support (often the “last defense” of a bullish continuation).
4,697: prior breakout base / key demand. Losing this would weaken the bullish structure.
4,641 and 4,516: higher-timeframe supports if the market shifts into a broader retracement.
Fibonacci Map (Swing 4,697 → 4,886)
Using the impulse leg low-to-high:
0.382 retracement: ~4,814
0.50 retracement: ~4,792
0.618 retracement: ~4,769
This is your highest-probability “reaction cluster” if price dips again.
EMA and RSI Confirmation
To refine entries and avoid chasing:
EMA Trend Filter (1H): Bullish continuation is favored when price holds above EMA20/EMA50, or reclaims them quickly after a pullback.
RSI Behavior (1H): In a healthy uptrend, RSI often finds support near the midline (around 50). A bounce from that area supports long continuation; sustained weakness below it warns of deeper retracement.
Intraday Trade Setups (High-Probability Plans)
Setup A: Buy the Dip (Primary Trend Strategy)
Best used if price revisits the pullback zone and shows rejection.
Entry zone: 4,814 – 4,792 (Fib 0.382–0.50)
Trigger: bullish rejection candle / higher low formation on 15m–1H
Stop-loss: below 4,769 (Fib 0.618) or below the pullback swing low
Targets:
TP1: 4,860 – 4,886
TP2: 4,920 – 4,960
TP3: toward 5,000 if breakout momentum holds
Logic: trade with the trend, buy where liquidity typically gets absorbed during pullbacks.
Setup B: Breakout Continuation Above 4,886 (Momentum Strategy)
Only valid on a clean break and hold, not a wick.
Entry: 1H close above 4,886, then retest/hold
Stop-loss: back below 4,860–4,850 (or below breakout retest low)
Targets: 4,920 – 4,960 first, then 5,000
Logic: confirmation reduces false breakouts; retest entry improves risk-to-reward.
Setup C: Short Scalp (Counter-Trend, Tactical Only)
This is not a “trend reversal call,” just a tactical trade if 4,886 rejects hard.
Entry: rejection at/near 4,886 with bearish follow-through
Stop-loss: above the rejection high
Targets: 4,825 then 4,814/4,792
Logic: only take it if the rejection is clear; otherwise, the dominant flow is bullish.
Invalidation Conditions
Bullish continuation weakens if price loses 4,769 and fails to reclaim it.
Structure damage becomes more serious below 4,697 (breakout base), opening the door toward 4,641 and potentially 4,516.
Summary
XAUUSD on 1H is still biased bullish as long as pullbacks remain supported above the breakout zones. The cleanest plan for today is to buy dips into the Fib cluster (4,814–4,792–4,769) or trade the confirmed breakout above 4,886 toward 4,920–4,960 and potentially 5,000.
GOLD at immediate support? holds or not??#GOLD.. perfect move as per our last idea regarding gold and now market made a new n current supporting area that is around 4820 21
keep close and if market hold it in that case we can expect a further bounce otherwise not at all.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 4819 on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
EURGBP Long: Expanding Flat Correction & 0.618 RejectionThe H1 structure on EURGBP has presented a high-probability continuation setup following a classic Expanding Flat Correction (A-B-C pattern). After the initial bullish impulse, price corrected deep into the discount zone, sweeping the internal liquidity below the B-wave lows.
We are currently seeing a strong reaction from the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement level, which aligns perfectly with a H1 Fair Value Gap (FVG). This confluence acts as a "hard floor" for the correction. The market has rejected the 0.8695 region and is now reclaiming the 0.8700 psychological support, signaling that the C-wave is complete and the next impulsive leg higher is beginning.
The Trade Setup:
Direction: Long (Buy)
Entry: 0.87070 (Buying the reclamation of the 0.8700 figure).
Stop Loss: 0.86913 (Placed strictly below the C-wave swing low and the FVG invalidation point to survive standard market noise).
Target: 0.8745 (Targeting the clean Equal Highs / Liquidity Pool resting above the current range).
Fundamental Context: While the "Tariff" headlines are creating noise for both the Euro and Pound, this setup relies on the technical floor holding at 0.8700. As long as this structure remains intact, the liquidity above 0.8745 is the magnetic draw for price.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and represents my own view of the market. Trading involves significant risk. Please manage your risk according to your own capital rules.
#PEOPLE/USDT Good moment for try to Buy PEOPLE#PEOPLE
The price is moving within a descending channel on the hourly timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards a breakout, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a downward trend, approaching the lower boundary, and an upward bounce is anticipated.
There is a key support zone in green at 0.00890. The price has bounced from this level several times and is expected to bounce again.
The RSI is showing a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching, supporting the upward move.
Entry Price: 0.00961
Target 1: 0.00984
Target 2: 0.01023
Target 3: 0.01071
Stop Loss: Below the green support zone.
Remember this simple thing: Money management.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
GOLD: Profit-Taking Risk in Gold as Geopolitical Tensions EaseGOLD: Profit-Taking Risk in Gold as Geopolitical Tensions Ease
Yesterday in Davos:
U.S. President Donald Trump abruptly stepped back on Wednesday from threats to impose tariffs as leverage to seize Greenland, ruled out the use of force and suggested a deal was in sight to end a dispute over the Danish territory that risked the deepest rupture in transatlantic relations in decades.
It is likely that the euphoria to push gold to 5000 has faded after the new comments made by Trump.
It is possible that ARRI will experience a sell-off from profit-taking, given that the main catalyst for the bullish move is no longer there.
We could see gold make a downward correction to 4780 and 4730.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
#APT/USDT – Stablecoin-heavy, swing long from local base#APT
The price is moving within a descending channel on the hourly timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards a breakout, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a downward trend, approaching the lower boundary, and an upward bounce is anticipated.
There is a key support zone in green at 1.51, and the price has bounced from this level several times. Another bounce is expected.
The indicator shows a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching, supporting the upward move.
Entry Price: 1.57
First Target: 1.624
Second Target: 1.70
Third Target: 1.80
Stop Loss: Below the green support zone.
Remember this simple thing: Money management.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
EURUSD H4 | Elliott Wave OverviewOn EURUSD, the prior bullish impulse appears to have been followed by a completed A-B-C corrective structure. Price has reacted from the (C) leg low and is now developing a new structure.
In my current view, the move off the lows can be labeled as 1–2, with price now trading in the reaction phase after wave 2.
The 0.382 – 0.50 Fibonacci retracement zone (roughly 1.1670 – 1.1700) stands out as a key decision area.
If price holds above this zone:
• The bullish structure remains valid
• The move may expand into an impulsive wave 3
If price shows acceptance below this area:
• The rebound is likely corrective only
• The bullish scenario weakens and requires reassessment
At this stage, I remain patient and focus on how price reacts within this key zone.
Microsoft - Finishing the OwlWe consider the move from April 2025 to July 2025 as a completed five -wave impulse.
From August 2025 to the present, price has been in a corrective phase.
Starting in October 2025, the correction has been developing through zigzag structures.
We expect one more impulse to complete the correction - either as a larger zigzag or a double zigzag. The exact form is not critical for the overall scenario.
Intermediate levels with potential pullbacks:
436 - current level
428
416
Main target:
Move toward the 400 area
Estimated downside potential from current levels:
Approximately 10%
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Coinranger|EURUSD. Uncertainty at 1.17375🔹DXY has finally decided to fall and has already reached the potential pullback area of 98.3. A non-pullback down to 98.1 is still possible. We'll have to watch what happens next.
🔹Davos continues.
🔹During the DXY decline, the euro made a wave set and its first extension. The second is at 1.17375 - potential pullback point.
Levels:
Below:
Levels are tentatively calculated; it's difficult to say more precisely until the uptrend is complete.
1.16510 - first potential wave down
1.16267 - complete set down
Above:
1.17375 - second extension of the upward waves set, we'll likely take it.
1.17658 - 1.17788 - first potential wave in a new uptrend. This is a new, complete set for M15.
We're waiting for the DXY to behave from 98.1. For now, it's time to wait.
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Share your thoughts in the comments.
Coinranger| GBPUSD. Uncertainty around 1.34730🔹DXY has finally decided to fall and has already reached the potential pullback area of 98.3. A non-pullback downside to 98.1 is still possible. We'll have to see what happens next.
🔹Davos continues.
🔹The pound has completed a full set of upward waves during the DXY decline. It could also begin to decline again, but more on that below.
Level:
Below:
The levels are tentatively calculated; it's difficult to say more precisely until the uptrend is complete.
1.34350 - first potential downward wave
1.34083 - full downward set
1.33590 - first downward set extension
Above:
1.35269 - this is the first extension of the upward wave set. Whether we come there depends heavily on the DXY's performance.
Both the dollar and the pound are at important levels, but there's no clear direction at the moment. We're keeping an eye on the DXY.
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Share your thoughts in the comments.















