XPDUSD - Palladium Surplus?Analysis:
When we take a look at the technicals we can see that price is in a downwards trend. We're seeing lows get broken showing us the bearish momentum. Price has recently broken below a key level of previous support which we now expect will hold as resistance. We don't really have any other added confluences to this setup like a trendline or fib retracement levels which is why this isn't one of our favourite setups but still one that we are looking at. To add more clarity to this setup we need to look at the fundamentals. The USD is very strong at the moment and each week we see the USD getting stronger so this isn't something that we want to be going against. One of the main uses of palladium is for catalytic converters in car exhaust systems but with EV cars taking over the market we're starting to see less demand for palladium and it seems like there could be a surplus of palladium which would push price down further. With all of the confluences factors that we have we see price continuing its downwards trend that it is in.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Weakness
XCUUSD - Copper Demands On The Decline?Analysis:
Looking at the technicals on Copper we can see a clear downwards trend. Price is forming lower lows and lower highs which confirms that we are in a downwards trend. Price has also been respecting a downwards trendline which again shows us that we are in a downwards trend. We're currently sat at an area that we're interested in as price has held this area multiple times in the past so we expect that it will again. To give us more confidence with this setup, at our area we also have the 50% fib retracement level which we suspect bears will be wanting to hold and push price to the downside which favours our idea. We've also got the downwards trendline close by which if price reaches we'd expect to hold and to further help push price to the downside as bears will be waiting at this area. Fundamentally the USD is gaining a lot of strength in recent times and it continues to, until we see this change we are bullish on the USD, so this goes with our idea. Copper demands have decreased recently meaning that Copper prices will decrease. Comparing the decreasing demand for Copper against the strengthening USD it's clear to see that we want to be shorting this pair which is why we have a short bias.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
AUDCAD - CAD Strength On The Horizon?Analysis:
Price has been in this downwards trend for a while now and we're expecting this to continue. Price has been forming a series of lower highs and lower lows which confirms our thesis that price is trending to the downside. Recently we saw price break below a key level of support and we're now seeing that same level get retested for resistance and we suspect that it will hold, as support can quite often become resistance and this level has held as resistance in the past before. To add to our idea we've also got the 50% fib retracement level at our area which we expect bears will be sat at wanting to push price to the downside which works with our idea. We've also got a downwards trendline which again we expect sellers will be waiting at, holding and pushing price down further. When we look at the fundamentals the AUD and CAD are both very similar in strength and weakness so there isn't any real bias here however we do still favour the CAD over the AUD as more institutions are exiting out of their short positions on the CAD and are in fact going long instead where as for the AUD we're seeing an increase in both long and short positions by institutions. Another factor why we prefer the CAD over the AUD is the the CAD is heavily related the oil prices. With Canada being the 4th largest oil exporter in the work and with the possibility of oil prices being on the rise again we could see the CAD start to gain some more strength. The AUD did have some positive news that came out yesterday however we don't see this bullishness continuing, especially after the AUD news release later on tonight which we expect will be bearish for the AUD. With all of the confluences factors that we have we get a short bias on this pair at this level so this is a pair that we are interested in.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
SPY Failed Continuation.. Where to Next?$SPY is so far chopping sideways without true direction. However, the lack of continuation from recent gap ups is a major sign of weakness. Personally, I'd like more upside to take a brief yet lucrative short position but overall I'm expecting a near-term move to the 390 mark.
GBPAUD distributionThe pound had rallied against the Aussie for a while. But then we went into a large consolidation pattern. This looks to have fake'breaked to the upside and now is making moves lower.
We could get a continuation pattern at a break of this morning's lows. The best thing to do would be to overlay a Wyckoff schematic and see if it could be the end of a distribution period.
GLD is repeating the same bullish setup it had in March 2021Recently GLD has followed a set of movements which have an uncanny resemblance to what happened in 2021. The last time this set of movements happened, it was bullish and returned around 13% in a month. This is combined with a strong support level at ~$158, a bullish inverted hammer on the previous bar, and two recent doji stars, which indicate that the downtrend may be weakening, and so I'm bullish overall on GLD, with the idea in mind that the trend will reverse.
I am going long at around $159.3 a share, with a profit target of 5.51% to the nearest resistance level, with a tight stop loss at around 2%.
AUDCAD: The Main Supply 💣The more touches at supply made the zone weak, it had to be liquidated at some point.
Now that we have successfully liquidated the supply sellers with compression delivery, we may see a continued sell-off.
I will be locating a sell with my team later in the day depending on the rejection.
URA - 4:1 opportunity. Year long distribution patternWhat the market is presenting:
Neckline kiss setup
Daily view shows one year distribution pattern
Weekly view shows massive double top pattern
You don't need to know what's going to happen next to make money ~Mark Douglas
Anything can happen ~Mark Douglas
Luke, Use The FlowDo you hear nothing that I say.
But moving a single stock around is one thing, moving the entire market is totally different.
No, No Different, Only in your mind. You Must Un-Learn what you have learned.
Alright, I'll give it a try
No, Try Not. Do, Or Do Not. There is no Try
I Can't. The Market is too Big.
Size Matters Not. Judge me by my size do you, hrm?
Where you should not. For My Ally is the Flow, and a powerful Ally it is.
QE makes it grow. Its Liquidity Surrounds Us. It Binds Us.
You Must Feel The Flow Around You.
Here between You and the Qs, The Dow and the Rusty.
You want the Impossible.
Following up from my previous chart.
I wanted to illustrate the VANNA and CHARM flows and how BOTS and EU traders front run the strong VANNA and CHARM flows.
VOL UP, Selling Futures Overnight.
VOL DOWN, Buying Futures Overnight.
JULY 13AM is Vixperation that opens a Window of Weakness.
This type of front running let to the 19th DIP from last year if some of you remember my By The Dip Trend Ideas
GBPUSD: Rallies should be capped!GBPUSD
Intraday - We look to Sell at 1.2350 (stop at 1.2415)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower. The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns. We look to sell rallies.
Our profit targets will be 1.2170 and 1.2155
Resistance: 1.2410 / 1.2545 / 1.2670
Support: 1.2155 / 1.2015 / 1.1840
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
SBIC - Resisting 800 levelsSbi card is moving with lower highs and lower lows formation since August 2021.
The stock has broken its important support levels around 800 and is resisting it for the past two weeks.
This week it opened with the gap on the downside and saw follow-up weakness.
Going ahead, the 770- 800 zone would act as a strong resistance for the stock and we could also see it moving towards 600 levels in the coming months, considering its weak price structure.
Lower prices for EurUsd Watching the level between 1.0460 and 1.0445 for a potential bounce, If we trade through that level we could get a trade back to it and offer a sell to take out the 1.0340 level. I'm Also watching the 1.0571 - 1.0544 if we trade back to it we might get a selling opportunity to take out the 1.0340 level.
GBPUSD: Sterling highs capped!?GBPUSD
Intraday - We look to Sell at 1.2637 (stop at 1.2760)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower. The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 1.2300 and 1.2210
Resistance: 1.2800 / 1.3000 / 1.3160
Support: 1.2210 / 1.2000 / 1.1500
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre
Dash (DASH) Sell ZoneDash (DASH) Sell Zone
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BIAS
Short-Term : Bearish
Risk : Medium
On lower timeframe Dash is showing short-term weakness and could easily tp gp for retest in this zone.
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$DASH/USDT SHORT SETUP
Leverage : x3 - x5
Entry Price : 56.1 - 56.9
TP 1 : 54.8
TP 2 : 53.8
TP 3 : 52.2
TP 4 : 51.1
TP 5 : 49.9
TP 6 : 48.8
TP 7 : 47.2
TP 8 : 45.7
Stop Loss : 58.3
*Maximum 3% of Portfolio.
*Unload 12.5% at each TP. Whenever TP 2 hits, Move stop loss to entry.
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