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$SPX — WEEK 49 TREND REPORTSPX — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT Ticker: SP:SPX — 12/01/2025 @ 6812.63 Timeframe: WEEKLY This is a reactive structural classification of SPX based on the weekly chart as of this timestamp. Price conditions are evaluated as they stand — nothing here is predictive or forward-assumptive. ⸻ 1) Current Trend Condition • Trend Duration: +2 weeks (bullish) • Trend Reversal Level ( Origin ): 6,721 • Trend Reversal Level ( Confirmation ): 6,432 ⸻ 2) Structure Health Retracement Phase: • Uptrend (operating above 78.6%) Position Status: • Healthy (price above both structural layers) ⸻ 3) Temperature: Warming Phase ⸻ 4) Momentum: Bullish ⸻ 5) Market Sentiment: Bullish ⸻ Author’s Note This analysis is fully reactive, not predictive. Market conditions, trend structure, and behavior are classified as they appear in real time. The objective is to identify where directional shifts first occurred, where structural integrity remains intact, and where it would begin to weaken if key levels were breached. Predictive analysis projects outcomes that do not exist yet. Without price confirmation, prediction is built on baseless assumptions. This framework avoids that entirely by responding only to verified structural changes and live conditions. The levels shown simply identify where the current trend structure first shifted and where it would begin to lose integrity if breached. Recognizing these boundaries allows for clearer interpretation of market behavior without relying on forward guarantees, speculative projections, or unsupported assumptions. ⸻ Methodology Overview This classification framework evaluates directional conditions using internal trend-interpretation logic that references price behavior relative to its structural layers. These relationships are used to identify when price movement aligns with the framework’s criteria for directional phases, transition points, or regime shifts. Visual elements or structural labels reflect these internal interpretations, rather than explicit trading signals or preset indicator crossovers. This framework is observational only and does not imply future outcomes.
SP:SPXLong
by GURULifeline
Bitcoin Weekly Technical Analysis Report $BTCBitcoin Weekly Technical Analysis Report BINANCE:BTCUSDT Background Overview Bitcoin (BTC) has become the most influential digital asset globally due to its decentralization, fixed supply, and transparent transactions. At the intersection of traditional finance and the crypto market, Technical Analysis (TA) is a crucial tool for investors to assess price trends and develop trading strategies. Based on the three key assumptions—“history repeats itself,” “price moves in trends,” and “market action discounts all information”—technical analysis uses chart patterns, trend lines, support and resistance levels, volume, and various indicators to make probabilistic forecasts about future price movements. The weekly chart, as a core time frame for medium- to long-term trend analysis, filters out noise from daily and lower time frames, providing a clearer view of the main trend direction, key turning points, and the balance between bulls and bears. The BTC/USDT weekly chart analyzed here (from TradingView) covers price movements from 2023 to the present. It includes annotations such as “Weekly Support of BTC since 2023,” “Past Bottom 2023,” and “2024–2025 Resistance Support,” along with green and pink shaded areas that visually represent different stages of market psychological levels. Currently, Bitcoin is priced at 103,384.25 USDT, with a weekly decline of -6.47% and a weekly volume of 118,000 USDT. From the chart structure, the price is near the 2024–2025 resistance-turned-support zone while being supported by the ascending trend line that has formed since 2023. The battle between bulls and bears is intense in this range, and price movements over the coming weeks will have a decisive impact on the medium- to long-term trend. This report will combine key support and resistance levels, trend lines, volume, and technical indicators from the chart, compare historical patterns with the current market environment, conduct an in-depth analysis from multiple perspectives, and propose corresponding strategic recommendations and risk warnings. Research Support and Evidence Analysis This analysis is strictly based on the technical elements and relevant market data presented in the chart, with the following key supporting points: • Current price and change: 103,384.25 USDT, weekly decline of -6.47%, indicating short-term bearish dominance, but the price has not yet broken key support. • Weekly volume: 118,000 USDT, which has expanded compared to the recent average, suggesting increased market participation and greater divergence between bulls and bears. • Key support levels: – “Weekly Support of BTC since 2023” trend line: An ascending trend line connecting the weekly lows since 2023, currently around 100,000 USDT, providing important support. – “Past Bottom 2023” zone: The 2023 Bitcoin low accumulation area, around 95,000–98,000 USDT, serving as the last line of defense for bulls. • Key resistance levels: – “2024–2025 Resistance Support” level: Previous high points where price repeatedly failed to break through, around 110,000–115,000 USDT, now acting as resistance. – Pink resistance zone: Corresponds to historical accumulation areas and Fibonacci extension levels, around 118,000–122,000 USDT, serving as both a target for bulls and a point for bears to counterattack. • Trend line analysis: – Main ascending trend line: Extending upward from the 2023 low with a moderate slope, reflecting the medium- to long-term bullish trend. – Secondary descending trend line: Connecting the late 2024 and early 2025 highs, forming a short-term descending channel; the price is currently approaching the upper boundary of this channel. • Volume confirmation: – When the 2023 support zone formed, volume gradually decreased, indicating easing selling pressure. – When breaking through resistance in 2024, volume expanded significantly, confirming the validity of the breakout. – During the current pullback, volume has expanded again, requiring vigilance against panic selling. Data Comparison and Detailed Summary To more intuitively present the relationship between key price levels and historical movements, the main support and resistance levels, trend lines, and volume characteristics are summarized as follows: drive.google.com From the table, it is clear that the support system formed in 2023 remains effective, while the resistance zone from late 2024 to early 2025 is pressuring the current price. Volume shows distinct patterns at different stages: decreasing at support zones, expanding on breakouts, and expanding again during pullbacks, reflecting cyclical changes in market sentiment. Source Origin and Citation Interpretation • Data authority: TradingView integrates real-time quotes from major global exchanges, ensuring the accuracy of price and volume data. • Annotation professionalism: The trend lines, support and resistance zones on the chart are drawn by experienced analysts based on classic technical analysis methods such as historical highs and lows, accumulation areas, and Fibonacci retracements. • Time frame representativeness: The weekly chart filters short-term fluctuations and is more suitable for medium- to long-term trend analysis, matching the decision cycles of institutional investors and long-term holders. For labels such as “Weekly Support of BTC since 2023,” “Past Bottom 2023,” and “2024–2025 Resistance Support,” their origin is the chart drawer’s summary of historical key price levels. Although somewhat subjective, they align with the general definitions in technical analysis for “significant highs and lows” and “accumulation areas.” Therefore, interpretation should combine multiple verifications (such as volume and indicator confirmation) to reduce the risk of bias from single labels. In-depth Insights and Independent Thinking Combining the above data and chart features, deeper market insights can be gained from the following perspectives: The medium- to long-term trend remains healthy – The main ascending trend line has been extending upward from the 2023 low, and each pullback has not broken below it, indicating that the bullish structure is intact. – The current price is approaching this trend line. If it can stabilize and rebound here, it will validate the effectiveness of the trend support and lay the foundation for the next upward wave. The importance of the resistance-turned-support zone – The 110,000–115,000 USDT zone repeatedly acted as resistance from late 2024 to early 2025. After being recently broken, it has turned into support. – If the price can stabilize above this zone, it will further consolidate the bulls’ advantage and challenge the pink resistance zone (118,000–122,000 USDT). Volume signals reveal market sentiment – Volume decreased at the 2023 bottom, indicating exhausted selling pressure and paving the way for the subsequent rebound. – Volume expanded during the resistance breakout, confirming increased market participation, while the current pullback’s expanded volume requires vigilance against panic selling. – Future signs of stabilization with decreasing volume will present a better opportunity for bulls to enter. Risks and opportunities coexist – Short-term bears dominate, and the price is approaching the main ascending trend line. A breakdown below could trigger larger-scale stop-losses, targeting the 95,000–98,000 USDT zone. – If the trend line support holds, combined with oversold signals from technical indicators, a wave of buying opportunities will emerge, with an initial target of 110,000–115,000 USDT. Macro environment and market structure – Global liquidity, regulatory policies, and institutional capital flows are exogenous variables affecting Bitcoin’s medium- to long-term trends. – Although technical analysis can provide probabilistic judgments on price paths, it still needs to be combined with fundamental analysis and market sentiment to improve decision-making success rates. Extended Discussion / Related Topics In the current technical context, the following topics can be further explored: • Multi-dimensional verification of technical indicators – Relative Strength Index (RSI): Whether the weekly RSI is in overbought or oversold territory, and any divergence with price. – Moving Averages (MA): The arrangement and divergence of the 50-week, 100-week, and 200-week MAs, and their confirmation of trend direction. – MACD histogram and signal line: Weekly golden crosses and death crosses, as well as momentum changes in the histogram, indicating trend continuation or reversal. • Fibonacci retracement and extension – The role of Fibonacci retracement levels (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) from the 2023–2024 main upward wave in the current pullback. – If the price breaks above the pink resistance zone, the next targets can be referenced by Fibonacci extension levels (161.8%, 261.8%). • Market sentiment and capital flows – Can data such as futures open interest, funding rates, and exchange net inflows/outflows resonate with chart patterns? – The impact of continuous buying by institutions like Grayscale and MicroStrategy, compared with the long-short ratio of retail leveraged funds, on medium- to long-term support and resistance. • Risk management strategies – Near key support and resistance levels, how to set stop-loss and take-profit to optimize risk-reward ratios. – When volatility surges, should position size be adjusted, or derivatives like options be used for hedging? • Future trend outlook – If the price stabilizes above 110,000–115,000 USDT, the bullish target could extend to 130,000–150,000 USDT. – If it breaks below the main ascending trend line and loses the 95,000 USDT support, a larger-scale correction may begin, with a downside target around 80,000 USDT. Through in-depth exploration of the above topics, a more comprehensive investment decision framework can be constructed. On the basis of technical analysis, combining market structure and macro factors will improve the ability to predict price movements.
by ProfessorXtrader
Gold chart showing Technical Analysis at its bestTA doesn’t get much more exact than this. Gold beautifully displayed why TA is such a powerful manifestation device. Look how perfectly Gold broke up and then used the dotted measured move line as a staircase to climb its way to the full breakout target. Perfection. Those who’s off at TA as just imaginary or arbitrary lines, have not seen this kind of accuracy play outthe and time again as I have during my time as a technical analyst. Posting this as a prime example for posterity. *not financial advice*
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DrDovetail
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 4 - 8 AugustMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: BoE Interest Rate, Canada Jobs Data & Earnings Reports In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets. 👉 Key topics covered in this episode: — BoE Interest Rate Decision — Unemployment Rate in Canada — Corporate Earnings Statements — Trade Tensions Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge. This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 21 - 25 JulyMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: RBA Minutes, BoJ Speech, ECB Decision, UK Sales, Earnings Reports In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets. 👉 Key topics covered in this episode: — RBA Meeting Minutes — BoJ Deputy Governor Uchida Speech — ECB Interest Rate Decision & Press Conference — UK Retail Sales — Corporate Earnings Statements Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey. This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Total2 wants to inv h&s its way into completing its cup’s handleShould break above the neckline of this lemon lime colored inverse head and shoulder pattern in the upcoming 1-3 weekly candles here, and we are likely less than a week a way from the daily chart golden cross (not shown here). The breakout target from this inverse head and shoulder pattern will take price above the rimline of the larger cup and handle pattern and upon triggering the breakout from that we head to the light blue erasure move target which fro where price action currently is is about a 100% gain for the alt racket which should confirm alt season. *not financial advice*
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by DrDovetail
Ascending Inverse H&S on the BTC weekly chartThe longer it takes to break above this neckline the higher the breakout target will be. I have arbitrarily placed the measured move line at July 18th 2025. If the breakout were to happen on that day the measured move target is around 208k, which could take quite awhile to reach or if we entered a truly hyperparabolic blow off top we could reach such a target way quicker than when the dotted measured move line reaches it. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
1
EUR/GBP – Bearish Triangle Breakdown in Play (Long-Term Setup)This EUR/GBP weekly chart is flashing a long-term bearish triangle pattern that has finally broken down, signaling potential for a major move to the downside. This setup is packed with high-confluence signals that traders should not ignore. 🔍 Pattern Breakdown: 📐 Bearish Triangle Pattern The pair has been forming lower highs while maintaining a relatively flat support base, forming a descending triangle, a classically bearish continuation pattern. The pressure has been building for over 6 years, with buyers failing to make new highs while sellers stepped in aggressively at lower levels. The triangle support has now been broken, and price is entering a retest phase, which is critical for confirming the breakdown. 🟧 Black Mind Curve Resistance A unique visual tool here is the Black Mind Curve — a curved trendline that mirrors the psychology of long-term resistance. This curve has consistently capped price action since the 2009 peak, reinforcing the dominance of sellers in this zone. Every time price reached this curve, it reversed — confirming it as a dynamic resistance. 🧱 Major Horizontal Resistance Zone The shaded blue zone around 0.92–0.93 represents a long-term resistance area, which has repeatedly rejected price for over a decade. This zone also aligns with the Black Mind Curve, adding to the confluence. The most recent swing high failed to break this area, and the pair rolled over again. 🔄 Retesting in Progress After the recent breakdown of triangle support, price is currently retesting the underside of the broken support line (now acting as resistance). This is a textbook setup: break → retest → continuation. If this retest fails (which is likely based on history), the bearish move should resume. 🎯 Bearish Target Projection The projected move from the triangle breakdown points to the 0.64330 area, which aligns with a major support level from early 2007 and 2008. This level is a high-probability magnet if the pattern plays out in full — giving a long-term swing trade or position-trading opportunity. 🧠 Why This Matters (Pro Insights) This chart is powerful because: It’s on the weekly timeframe – high conviction and larger moves. It shows a long-term squeeze finally breaking. Resistance is reinforced by multiple layers (curve + horizontal zone). Retest confirms possible continuation sell setup. This isn’t a short-term scalp — it’s a position trade idea that could develop over months or even a couple years, with a massive risk-reward potential. ⚠️ Trade Plan Summary Bias: Bearish Pattern: Descending Triangle (broken) Current Action: Retesting broken support Entry Zone: On bearish rejection near 0.8400–0.8450 Stop Loss: Above resistance zone (around 0.9285) Target: 0.64330 Risk/Reward: Potentially >4:1 on a swing basis
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
IO/USDT Weekly Trend Analysis and Reversal OpportunitiesThis analysis offers a detailed review of the IO/USDT weekly chart with a focus on identifying potential reversal zones that may provide attractive trading opportunities. The current market trend is bearish; however, two notable price levels—approximately 0.366 and 0.163—have been identified as potential support zones, suggesting a possibility for trend reversal. Key observations: • Reversal Zones: These levels, clearly marked on the chart, could represent areas where buyers may step in and reverse the price decline. • Consolidation Areas: Horizontal areas of consolidation indicate periods where the price may pause before resuming its movement. • Current Price Dynamics: The asset is trading at 0.664, with a modest weekly increase of +1.68%, offering an intriguing counterpoint to the prevailing downtrend. This organized analysis is intended to provide traders with clear, actionable insights for identifying potential entry points and refining their overall technical evaluation of IO/USDT.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn31908672
BTCUSD. Weekly bull pennantThe daily failing wedge’s top trendline is not as sharp of a trajectory as the the weekly timeframe’s and due to this, the daily time frames wege is noticeably longer, so I thinkI am going to post a follow p idea to this one that shows the longer version of the wedge, not sure which one is more valid yet at this current time. If the weekly 50ma(in orange) can hold support then we should break up from this wedge right around where I have placed the dotted measured move lne, in which case the breakout target would be around 133k, if the longer version of the wedge on the daily time frame is the more valid of the two then we will likely have to correct longer before we see a breakout. Will post the longer version n the very next idea post. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail