RBOB Gasoline Future Macro Bearish 5-0Gasoline Futures is very near the PCZ of a Bearish 5-0 but is actually showing a very notable amount of weakness at the 0.382 and is Bearishly Diverging if this keeps up we will see Gasoline Breakdown out of the Bearish Consolidation and probably go back to pre-2020 Levels.
WTI (Crude Oil)
USOIL: Likely Setting Up For a Bearish Harmonic FailureThe WTICO has been trading up and down within this channel due to a pause in the bearish price action that it's found at this .886 Bullish Bat PCZ but looking at slightly lower timeframes and the current Fed Condition i do not believe this Bullish Harmonic will perform; I instead expect for it to eventually fail and bearishly breakdown out of the consolidation channel and flush down to the nearest potential support levels of $50-$40 then maybe even $30-$12 which would line up with the 0.886 of the entire trend and would then satisfy all the Macro Bearish Shark Harmonic Targets that can be seen in a much earlier post below:
It should also be noted that we are trading around the 89 Day EMA and that price has bearishly reversed from the 89 EMA everytime it has hit it since the bear trend began.
USOIL Continues To Struggle at the Bearish Butterfly HOP LevelLast week i entered a trade at the PCZ of the Bearish Butterfly and it went a bit higher but found resistance at the HOP Level after diverging on the RSI and is coming back below the 800EMA so i have held and added to my entry and am still targeting the full ABCD Breakdown Movement down to $70 or lower.
US OIL- Pt.2- Patience is the keyIn our previous post we explained how we believe that oil still needs to complete a cycle wave 2 in the area 57-60, where the 61.8% fibo retracement and the upper trendline of a big descending broadening wedge stand.
We then took a potential short opportunity at 75.8@, but we were kicked out at entry and we believe that the correction in wave ii of C of (Z) still has to complete higher, when the golden fibo level of i coincides with the level for which a=c. We are then waiting 78.14 to restrike.
Bearish Crab on USOIL: Bearish Continuation Expected This WeekWe have a Bearish Crab with MACD Bearish Divergence at Last Week's high on USOIL after a reaction to the PCE report. I'm expecting that we have reached a top for the week and that we will continue to make the bigger move to the downside to continue the trend started by the 4HR Bearish Bat Trade Below.
I will be waiting for the stock market to actually open before taking the trade if it's still within the Pattern Completion Zone by then.
oil 11-24 update.good evening,
---
remember in my last oil post when i called the top?
there was some really salty humans in the comment section who were most likely bag holders from the absolute peak of the bull run.
this is an update for them.
---
last post:
---
i feel like oil has entered into a quatervois here, which is basically "crossroad" in french.
currently seeing two potential trajectories:
1.
-oil runs up to 100ish through an expanded flat (green targets most probable, grey are weak, and red is unlikely, but always possible).
-after which, a swift downturn to my $57 target from the original post.
2.
-oil simply see's a dead-cat bounce, creates another hidden bearish divergence, and rolls over yet again - continuing it's bearish trajectory to my original target.
---
all paths lead down there, potentially even deeper - but the question as always is: which path's it gonna take?
ps. no offense to all the people who talk smack on my posts, you're always welcome if you have a proper argument.
just keep in mind, "fundamentals, is not a proper argument".
WTI Crude Oil: Are we following BTC's previous top? 18/05/22 Shown is an overlay of Bitcoin's previous top ~$69k. We are showing very similar price action of a wide, heavy range at highs, with the micro lower highs on the underside signalling a continuation / blow off top spike is possible.
Product supply is increasing from several refineries opening from maintenance alongside seasonal demand, allowing for the current upward pressure. Longer term problems for crude oil range from high consumer energy prices to a declining SP while $ strengthens. Several COVID spikes globally also once again pose a risk.
This is a fractal that I have been keeping my eye on for quite some time, and is one that I have seen on several assets, across several timeframes.
WTI by KarolTWRopa w słabym trendzie spadkowym ale nadal ten trend trwa. Wzrost jaki się budował w ubiegłym tygodniu jest jeszcze naturalnej wielkości w stosunku do korekt poprzednich w trendzie. A więc jeżeli cena uderza w dół z układu 1:1 warto przyjąć scenariusz że zaczniemy nadal budować niższe dołki. Lokalnie zakładam iż dostaliśmy pierwszy impuls w dół i trwa korekta tego impulsu. Pierwsza strefa w której szukałbym sygnału spadkowego to zakończenie fali "C" k.prostej oznaczone kolorem czerwonym. Pozdrawiam KarolTW
Oil Forecast and Analysis for ending Sept. 21WTI crude futures were trading around the $80 per barrel mark, pressured by persistent concerns over a demand-sapping global economic slowdown, while a stronger dollar supercharged the bearish momentum. The US oil benchmark is poised to decline for the fourth straight month while heading for its first quarterly loss in more than two years as markets were worried that aggressive interest rate hikes could hit the global economy and energy demand. Still, an escalating energy standoff between the European Union and Russia threatened to disrupt supply further. At the same time, weaker crude prices prompted speculation that OPEC+ could announce another production cut next week.
Resistance could prove difficult to breakdown on WTICOUSWTICOUS - Intraday - We look to Sell at 85.83 (stop at 88.00)
The medium term bias remains bearish. We are assessed to be in a corrective mode higher. Previous support at 86.00 now becomes resistance. Resistance could prove difficult to breakdown. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 80.06 and 78.00
Resistance: 86.00 / 97.20 / 112.00
Support: 80.00 / 66.00 / 44.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.'