X-indicator
META Dec 12. Coiling at a Major Decision Zone. Big Move LoadingMETA continues to climb inside an ascending channel on the 15-minute timeframe, but price is now compressing into the upper boundary near 654–656. This zone has acted as intraday supply, and each test has produced smaller candles with decreasing momentum. When price moves like this—tight range, rising structure, slowing impulse—it often signals a larger move coming.
The lower boundary of the channel sits around 648–650, which held as the intraday demand zone multiple times today. Every pullback into this area was absorbed quickly, showing that buyers are still active as long as META stays above this pivot.
Now the question becomes: does this structure break upward or fail back toward the mid-channel? Let check GEX option data chart below.
This is where the options landscape becomes extremely useful.
The GEX levels show how options positioning is influencing price behavior, and today they lined up almost perfectly with META’s price structure. The 654–656 area, where price has been stalling, corresponds with a cluster of positive gamma levels. When price approaches these upper gamma zones, dealer hedging typically suppresses volatility, which explains the repeated slowdowns and rejections near that region.
Just above it, the next set of gamma resistance levels sits around 660–665. If price can break the 654–656 supply and hold above it, the hedging landscape shifts. Dealers would begin adjusting positions in a way that allows momentum to expand, opening room for META to test the 660 area first, then 665 if momentum continues.
On the downside, the 645–640 zone shows up as a negative gamma pocket. These levels align with the mid-channel and lower demand regions. If META loses the 650 pivot and slips under the rising channel, hedging flow begins to work in the opposite direction—volatility expands instead of compressing. That would naturally draw price toward 645–640, and a deeper break exposes the 635 zone where negative gamma becomes even more influential.
The correlation between price structure and options positioning makes the current setup straightforward:
• Holding the channel above 650 gives buyers room to challenge 654–656 again
• Clearing 656 shifts both structure and GEX alignment toward 660–665
• Losing 650 flips the structure bearish and aligns with negative gamma flow toward 645–640
When both the chart structure and options landscape point to the same levels, it gives the setup much more conviction. META is approaching one of those moments where the next breakout or breakdown could set the tone for the entire day.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
MARKET CONTEXT IN H1 CHART I 12/12📌 MARKET CONTEXT
Price is currently in a short-term uptrend, shown by the ascending trendline from Dec 11.
However, the market is approaching a major distribution zone around the POC (4,275–4,276) and VAH (4,285–4,286), where selling pressure typically increases.
The Volume Profile shows a High Volume Node around 4,275 → indicating price may gravitate back to this area.
👉 Overall: Uptrend, but moving into strong resistance.
📌 PRICE ANALYSIS (Technical Overview)
1. VAH Zone – 4,285 to 4,286
This is the highest value area of the session – usually a distribution region.
Price is slowing down here → early signs of absorption and weakening momentum.
2. POC Zone – around 4,275.64
The area with the highest traded volume.
POC often acts like a magnet, pulling price back for a retest.
3. VAL Zone – 4,220 to 4,221
The session’s lowest value area → natural downside target if the market breaks lower.
4. Trendline Support
Trendline from Dec 11 remains intact.
A break below it may trigger a deeper correction into VAL.
📌 PRICE SCENARIOS
🔵 Scenario 1 – Price bounces from POC → retests VAH (Most likely)
Conditions:
Trendline holds.
Price stays above 4,272–4,275 (POC zone).
Expectation:
A move back toward 4,285–4,286.
Weak volume here may trigger rejection.
👉 Best short-term SELL zone if price rejects VAH.
🔴 Scenario 2 – Break of trendline → deeper correction to VAL (Moderate probability)
If price breaks:
ThE trendline
And 4,270
Targets:
First target: 4,250
Main target: VAL zone – 4,220 to 4,221
This is a logical pullback according to the Volume Profile structure.
🟡 Scenario 3 – Clean breakout above VAH → bullish continuation (Low probability for now)
If price breaks 4,286 with strong volume:
Targets:
4,300
4,315
But at the moment, momentum does not strongly support this scenario.
📌 SUMMARY
✔ Market is bullish but hitting a strong resistance cluster (VAH + POC).
✔ Trend remains bullish as long as the trendline holds.
✔ Price is likely to retest the POC area (currently happening).
✔ Most probable move: retest VAH → potential bearish reaction.
✔ If the trendline breaks → price will likely drop toward VAL (4,220).
🎯 Final Take
Best buys: At trendline or POC retest.
Best sells: At VAH 4,285–4,286 if price rejects.
If the trendline breaks: Expect a move straight toward VAL.
USOIL Trading Idea Key Levels Tested No Fly Zone Defined For the past several weeks USOIL has been compressing around a critical structure level creating a slow tightening range that now sits at the center of a major decision point. Price has repeatedly tested 58.47 to 58.74 which has acted as the battlefield between buyers and sellers. This zone is highlighted in red on the chart the No Fly Zone because any setup taken inside it lacks clear directional advantage. We have been waiting for clean price action outside this zone before committing to either bias.
Bullish Key Levels Upside Scenario
A break and daily close above the upper boundary of the No Fly Zone 58.74 would open the path toward the next key levels
61.55 first major reaction zone previously rejected price with force
67.45 structural target where prior rallies topped out
69.13 full extension bullish target and the top of the measured move
These levels form the broader upside structure we have mapped for weeks. If bulls reclaim 5874 convincingly the momentum window toward 61.55 becomes extremely attractive with higher targets following if energy markets continue stabilizing.
No Fly Zone Indecision Structure
58.47 to 58.74
This is where price has consolidated for weeks. Trading inside this zone means no momentum edge no clear liquidity exit and unreliable follow through. This is the zone where traders get trapped on both sides which is why we intentionally avoided taking new positions until price committed.
Bearish Levels Downside Scenario
If price rejects the No Fly Zone from above and closes below 5847 bearish continuation becomes highly probable. Our next downside structural level is
49.57 major demand zone and the full downside extension of the current structure
The green area on the chart illustrates the asymmetric opportunity on a break beneath 58.47 targeting the deeper liquidity pool around 49.57.
This setup becomes especially compelling because repeated rejections at the red zone show that sellers have been defending this level aggressively.
Trade Summary
Bull Bias Above 58.74 Targets 61.55 then 67.45 then 69.13
Bear Bias Below 58.47 Target 49.57
No Trades Inside 58.47 to 58.74 the No Fly Zone
This framework has allowed us to remain patient while price compresses. Now as USOIL tests the lower boundary again we are watching closely for either a decisive breakdown or a sharp reversal back into bullish structure.
The next daily close should reveal the true direction.
XAUUSD in Uptrend, Awaiting Technical PullbackHi everyone, Domic here. Let’s take a closer look at gold today!
Overall, both news and technicals favor buyers. Gold has surged to around $4,270/oz, up $32 from yesterday, reaching its highest level in over a month. The Fed’s 0.25% rate cut, lowering the benchmark to 3.5–3.75%, has clearly weakened the USD — a positive catalyst for gold. Meanwhile, silver also hit a new high around $64.22/oz. According to Edward Meir, silver’s strong momentum is lifting gold and other precious metals, signaling a return of capital to safe-haven assets.
Looking ahead, the market eyes the Nonfarm Payrolls report on December 16 for clues on the next rate moves. Discussions over the next Fed chair, with front-runner Kevin Hassett supporting rate cuts, further strengthen expectations of a prolonged low-rate environment, keeping gold in a favorable position among safe-haven assets.
On the H4 chart, XAUUSD’s uptrend is clear. Price sits above both EMAs, with the short EMA (red) near 4,221 and the long EMA (blue) near 4,188, confirming the medium–long-term uptrend. The recent breakout pushed gold to 4,270–4,280 with rising volume, indicating active buying rather than a random spike. However, the gap between price and the short EMA is wide, making a technical pullback likely.
Preferred scenario:
Gold may retrace to a nearby support zone before resuming its uptrend. The first support is around 4,240–4,250, where price previously consolidated before the breakout — a potential shallow pullback before bouncing higher.
If selling intensifies, the 4,220–4,225 zone near the red EMA offers a good retest point, aligning with the broken resistance. In a stronger pullback, the long EMA (blue) near 4,188 acts as the next safety net, preserving the medium-term uptrend.
→ As long as price stays above this zone on H4, any dips are just pullbacks within the uptrend.
Wishing you successful trades!
The #1 Re-entry On Sell Shorting OilCrude oil has found a good re- entry
to a short sell this is something you
really need to look into.
On the press you will see that the president of
the USA recently captured
an oil tanker vessel on the sea port.
It belonged to Venezuela
Which has the largest oil reserves in the world
AM not sure of the details.
But the president Donald Trump
told the media
that it was a huge ship
carrying lots of oil reserves.
Understand that a oil tanker is
so huge approximately
about 16 blocks of
an average neighbourhood
This means if you was on an oil
tanker you would need a car to drive from
one end of the ship to the other end
This drive would take you about 20 mins at a slow speed.
Thats how big these ships are.
I got this concept from Robert Kiyosaki
who was once a ship officer
Having oil reserves allows countries
with this commodity to control
the price of oil which is transported via the sea
ports
Oil is the life blood of the economy
since the beginning of time.
The country that has oil
will gain political and economy power
all around the world
Some speculators say
that the oil price is cheap relative
to the price of bottled water.
this is a signal to note
that the best short price is
in the price of oil NYMEX:CL1!
Trade safe.
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer:Trading is risky please learn risk
management and profit taking strategies
also feel free to use a simulation trading account
before you trade with real money,.
XAUUSD | Gold Signal |Dec 12,2025📌 MARKET ASSESSMENT
When policy signals change, large institutions are forced to rebalance quickly:
• Increase their gold holdings
• Reduce their USD positions
• Restructure their exchange rate hedging holdings, which have been very costly over the past two years.
This explains the surge in gold and silver trading volume during the session. In addition, US jobless claims rose sharply to 236,000, the highest level since 2021. This further confirms that the labor market is cooling down and the Fed is justified in easing monetary policy.
Gold is maintaining a sustainable bullish structure, as the price continues to cling to the lower edge of the ascending channel (channel b) and hold firm above the key support zone of $4,216 - $4,245. This is the confluence of the MA21, the edge of the ascending channel, and the 0.236 Fibonacci level ($4,128), forming a solid base for a new uptrend.
Notably, gold has absorbed the entire November correction and returned to test the $4,300 - $4,330 resistance zone, indicating active buying pressure. The RSI, after a period of "cooling down," has bounced up and still has room to move higher, supporting the continuation of the uptrend.
If gold decisively breaks above $4,330, the extended wave pattern will trigger the next upside target at:
• Target 1: $4,380 (previous wave extension peak)
• Target 2: $4,450 - $4,480 (Fibonacci extension zone and upper edge of the ascending channel)
The main risk of a correction comes from the price failing to hold the $4,245 zone, in which case gold could retest further at $4,128 - $4,050 before the major uptrend continues.
DOCU - Cup and Handle pattern on Weekly chartDOCU has completed a Cup and Handle pattern. Hopefully, a breakout will occur in the near future. This is a weekly chart, so it is suitable for long-term investment.
However, a stop-loss should still be considered because anything can happen.
The price closed today (12.11.2025) is $70.23.
Target $107.86/ $131.91/ $177.66.
Stop loss $63.41.
IMO, an amateur trader.
Good luck!
The #1 Reason Apple is in A Buy Position Still...Apple is still very much a very good stock to
buy my entry was yesterday...And i
was very scared of this entry
Because i thought it will gap up.
This is what didn't happen. Even though
am humbled to witness that there is still
time to catch Apple.
This is because if you look below you will notice
that the momentum in the trade is yet
to reverse itself or crossover .
So this is an early entry
Thats why i got whipsawed..Even though
am still positive in the position
If my eyes where glued to the screen during the market
open i would have sold my position
out of fear.
This is why you have to trust your trading system
no matter what.
Maybe i trust my trading system to
the point that i don't have to look at
the screen for at-least 24 hours.
If you can position your mind
in the place where you
don't have to look at your screen
for at-least 24 hours then you know
that you have found a powerful
trading system.
So remember the point is that
on this price action we are waiting for a reversal
on the momentum
it hasn't yet happened so if you
enter now.You will be trading
a position
So expect to get whipsawed and
calculate you risk management accordingly.
Trade safe.
Rocket Boost this content
to learn more
Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk management
and profit taking strategies.
Also feel free to use a simulation
trading account before you trade with real money
EURUSD Pauses at 1.1600 as Traders Await FED SignalsHello everyone,
EURUSD remains in a delicate consolidation around 1.1600, with the market awaiting the outcome of the upcoming FED meeting. The Volume Profile highlights 1.1650 as a key resistance due to concentrated sell orders, while 1.1550 provides immediate support with increased buyer activity. Fair Value Gaps around 1.1580–1.1650 suggest potential retests before a clear direction emerges. Despite hovering above the Ichimoku cloud, the thin red cloud ahead signals weak bullish momentum.
Fundamentally, USD pressure persists following weaker US labor data and slowing PMI, while ECB hesitance supports EUR moderately. Short-term sentiment swings are limited by macro uncertainties, keeping the pair trapped in the current range. The most plausible scenario is a minor retracement towards 1.1570–1.1590 before buyers push EURUSD toward 1.1650–1.1670. A break below 1.1550 could see a deeper correction, yet as long as higher lows hold, the medium-term uptrend remains intact.
GBPUSD SellGBPUSD
Sell
Entry / Current Price: 1.33910
Stop Loss: 1.34380
(≈ 47 pips)
Take Profit 1: 1.33680
(≈ 23 pips)
Take Profit 2: 1.33350
(≈ 56 pips)
Take Profit 3: 1.33050
(≈ 86 pips)
• Strong rejection near 1.3438 high
• Lower timeframe showing distribution / consolidation
• Overall move looks like a pullback after impulsive push
• NY close → Asia often gives continuation or liquidity sweep down
The Trading Range is about to be testedTomorrow we should see all time highs, but I'm thinking it will not stick and so the trading range play may be in effect. Vix also about to test it's previous channel under 14. Gold, possibly a false breakout, seems to be following the general market. Oil may have bottomed, but nothing definitive. Nat Gas is very oversold, but should eventually go lower.
25.12.12 Nasdaq AnalysisWelcome to Acid Trade.
Hello everyone, as of December 12th, 2025, I will be analyzing the Nasdaq chart today.
This is Acid.
15 Minute Chart Analysis
Let’s first review yesterday’s results.
In the previous video, I mentioned that a long position should be taken once the resistance trendline and the 25,566 level were broken.
That breakout occurred at the white circle, and from that entry, the market climbed approximately 152 points, resulting in a $3,000 profit.
For the short-side opportunity, the entry occurred when the rising trendline after the market opened was broken.
This sell signal appeared at the blue circle and led to a 186-point decline, giving a $3,720 profit.
Therefore, the total profit for December 11th was $6,720.
Daily Chart Analysis
Looking at yesterday’s candle (December 11), the price tapped the daily 20-EMA and bounced back, leaving a long lower wick.
Nasdaq is currently trading inside a previous volume zone, with the downside open toward 25,120 and potentially 24,945 if momentum continues lower.
Today’s Strategy
Today, Nasdaq temporarily broke below the short-term rising trendline, but this happened due to a pre-market gap-down, creating the yellow-box gap zone.
Because the sell-off was not strong and price action remains sideways, the market is effectively consolidating.
At the moment, Nasdaq is forming a larger box range:
Top: 25,879 forming a double top
Bottom: 25,400 forming a double bottom
A breakout from either side will likely determine the next major trend direction.
Today’s trading strategy should focus on identifying that breakout level and reacting once confirmation appears.
Conclusion
Nasdaq is moving within a key range between 25,879 and 25,400, and a breakout will define the next major trend direction.
Watch for a confirmed break with supporting volume before taking a position.
Today’s session is all about timing the breakout and reacting quickly.
USDJPY SellUSDJPY
Bias: Sell (pullback short)
Sell
Entry / Current Price: 155.70–155.80 zone
(sell on rejection / failure to break above)
Stop Loss: 156.05
→ 35 pips
Take Profit 1: 155.30
→ 40 pips
Take Profit 2: 154.95
→ 75 pips
Take Profit 3: 154.50
→ 120 pips
⸻
🧠 Reasoning (quick)
• Strong selloff earlier → current move looks like a retracement
• Price sitting under prior structure + liquidity zone
• JPY pairs often fake up before London continuation
• Clean R:R if rejection holds
⸻
⏱️ Estimated Time to TP1
• London open: ~30–90 minutes
• Tokyo continuation: could be slower (1–3 hours)
⸻
📊 Confidence Level
7.5 / 10
(Higher confidence if London fails to break above 155.80–156.00)
Market Is Reloading, Not ReversingThe macro backdrop continues to favor gold’s broader uptrend: the Fed has cut rates for three consecutive meetings, the dollar is losing momentum, labor data is cooling, and geopolitical tensions keep safe-haven demand elevated. ETF flows have also stabilized, suggesting that recent pullbacks are simply pauses for accumulation rather than signs of exhaustion.
On the chart, the bullish structure remains intact with higher lows and consistently filled FVGs — clear evidence that institutional flows are still steering the market. Price is currently reacting around the 4,260–4,270 FVG, making a deeper dip toward a more attractive liquidity pocket likely. The 4,240–4,250 area stands out as an ideal accumulation zone, while 4,200–4,220 forms the strongest confluence support given the larger FVG and previous swing lows.
Primary scenario: rejection near 4,275–4,280 followed by a pullback toward 4,240–4,250 to reload. Strong reaction here could propel gold toward 4,290–4,310, with potential extension to 4,330 if catalysts such as CPI or jobless claims align. A secondary scenario is a liquidity sweep down to 4,200–4,220 before a sharp recovery.
BTCUSD on 4H PerpectiveMarket Structure
Bitcoin is currently maintaining a bullish market structure on the 4H timeframe, characterized by consistent higher lows and higher highs since the rebound from the 82K–84K region.
The ascending channel remains valid, indicating a healthy uptrend rather than an impulsive spike.
Key Price Levels
Resistance Zone
98,900 – 100,000
-
Major psychological level
Previous strong resistance now being tested
Short-term consolidation around this zone is technically normal
Support Zones
92,000 – 93,000 → Primary structural support
88,500 – 89,000 → Lower channel support (secondary)
84,000 – 85,000 → Trend invalidation zone
As long as price holds above 92K, the bullish structure remains intact.
Momentum Analysis
Stochastic RSI has rebounded from lower levels and is not yet in extreme overbought territory.
This suggests bullish momentum still has room to expand, even if a minor pullback occurs.
Momentum behavior aligns with a continuation trend rather than exhaustion.
Volume Observation
Volume remains controlled with no significant spike.
This indicates no strong distribution and suggests that smart money is still holding positions rather than exiting aggressively.
Market Context
Price action reflects a controlled accumulation and expansion phase, not emotional FOMO-driven movement.
This type of structure often precedes continuation rather than reversal.
Scenarios
- Bullish Continuation (Primary Scenario)
Price consolidates above or slightly below 100K
Clean breakout opens targets at: 103K, 106K,
110K (psychological extension)
Preferred approach: wait for pullbacks instead of chasing breakouts.
- Healthy Pullback Scenario
Rejection near 100K
Retracement toward 95K – 93K
Followed by bullish continuation
This would be considered a normal corrective move, not a trend reversal.
- Invalidation Scenario
A 4H close below 88K would weaken the current bullish structure and require reassessment.
Conclusion
BTCUSD remains structurally bullish on the 4H timeframe.
Momentum, structure, and volume all support the case for continuation, with pullbacks viewed as opportunities rather than threats.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Always manage risk properly and make independent trading decisions based on your own research and risk tolerance.
New Name, New Year, New War: Venezuelan invasion coming soon? The Trump administration has made its intentions toward Nicolás Maduro clear. Removing the Venezuelan president is a stated goal, but the path the administration is willing to take remains uncertain.
A former U.S. ambassador to Venezuela has described the deployment of American ground troops as a “last option”, but anything is possible with Trump and his newly named Department of War.
Washington has already seized a tanker carrying Venezuelan crude and is preparing to intercept additional shipments. Also, the U.S. has carried out more than twenty strikes on vessels it claims were involved in drug-smuggling operations. Each step raises the risk of a broader confrontation.
Metal markets might rally on escalation. Silver remains in a strong vertical trend. The move above 63 pushed price into fresh record territory before a modest pullback. Gold has broken through the recent range and printed a new swing high near $4,285 before pulling back.
Any significant development in Venezuela, such as a new seizure or a military operation, could trigger a higher open in metals when markets resume.
RSI Beta Test Access (Invite-Only)I’m opening a limited beta test for my upgraded RSI V2 indicator, built specifically for scalpers and intraday traders who want earlier confirmation and cleaner momentum reads.
If you’d like free access during the beta phase and can provide feedback, send me a DM here on TradingView and I’ll add you to the invite-only list.
This version will remain private while it’s being tested.
Thanks in advance to everyone who participates.
EURUSD Monthly Chart w/Out NoiseBias then look left for liquidity levels.
It’s why traders are stopped out up to 9/10 times.
What if there was another way?
Look at the monthly high in September the EURUSD makes.
Then, breakout long traders are taken out buying too high after such a big move already made.
Look left.
The liquidity zone is around the middle of those big candles.
See in Oct, Nov, and Dec price sweeps those big candles, that’s where the smart money is buying, lower, much lower.
Then a buying spree is complete and price is now topped to the brim with buy side liquidity making the next move up more possible.
My analogy, & the pilots amongst us might understand me,
Example 1,
when a big jet aircraft in emergency circumstances has to dump some fuel in order to complete its flight.
I have other examples but I’ll leave it there.
EURUSD has a strong path to 1.19 now. 30 minute chart shows the building blocks as it rejects 1.17 and lower.
* Trading is risky, brokers and market makers can easily manipulate price in the short term, not always in the negative “I’m out to get you way” we think, to balance orders and create sell liquidity when everyone is loaded on buying.”
Protects price and the asset.
* Then news can tip sentiment very quickly. This can be real news like a massive war starting or fake news to cause short term panic and gear, institutional greed but often it’s reasons stated above.
Look left at the previous candles, 4hr and above, yr Bias is right, but following bullish extended moves, if low lying liquidity exists, FVG’s, OB’s , price sweeps Lower to key support areas, and this ensures the maximum amount of liquidity it scoops up, dumping longs and then swooping on the new buy orders. It’s refueled and aims for recent high.
Are U.S. Dollar Bears getting exhausted?Still holding on to my EUR/USD short positions since late June/early July and it’s been quite a game of patience at this point but as I have been analyzing the U.S. Dollar for the past few months, from a purely technical analysis perspective, I’m currently still seeing the U.S. Dollar potentially carving out a bottom here and make a run to re-visit the 100 - 102 price zone.
I know markets are highly anticipating a Federal Reserve rate cute in September but with inflation still sticking around, it may not be such a sure thing just yet.
All eyeballs and ears will be on tap for Powell’s speech on Friday.
Technical analysis signals:
• Descending Broadening/Expanding Wedge (Bullish Pattern)
• MACD Histogram showing a sign of potential bearish exhaustion






















