USDJPY Weekly ChartFollow both trend lines. Wait and watach. Wait for brake trend line than retest than we will take position. Let's see.
X-indicator
Analysis of crude oil trend next week.I. Core fundamentals: The contradictory pattern of "short-term geo-political support and long-term oversupply pressure"
(1) Short-term support: Geopolitical sanctions trigger supply concerns (valid for 1-2 weeks)
The implementation of sanctions directly disrupts supply: On October 22, the United States and Europe simultaneously upgraded sanctions against Russia, including including Rosneft and Lukoil, which together account for 50% of Russia's crude oil exports. After the news was announced, major buyers such as India have postponed purchasing Russian oil and instead rushed to buy Middle Eastern crude oil, directly pushing the oil price up by 5% on October 24, from $58.5 to $61.76. The resumption of refinery operations brings a phased increase in demand: The seasonal maintenance of global refineries is coming to an end, and the resumption wave leads to an increase in crude oil purchases, coupled with the gradual start-up of heating oil demand in the Northern Hemisphere, creating a "small peak" in the short-term demand side, which supports the spot price.
(2) Medium- and long-term suppression: Oversupply is inevitable (suppressing force lasts for 3-6 months)
The OPEC+ production increase trend is irreversible: Since April 2025, when it shifted to the "increase production to secure market share" strategy, OPEC+ has cumulatively increased production by nearly 2.5 million barrels per day, and will continue to increase production by 137,000 barrels per day in November, with an additional daily supply of over 430,000 barrels in the fourth quarter. More importantly, Saudi Arabia's exports remain stable at 9 million barrels per day, and Iraq at 4 million barrels per day. The supply from the Middle East remains abundant, coupled with the expansion of production capacity in non-OPEC+ countries, the oversupply pressure further intensifies.
Weak demand + saturated inventory double blow: The IEA has continuously lowered its demand expectations for several consecutive months. It is expected that in 2026, global oversupply will reach 4 million barrels per day (accounting for 4% of global demand), and at the same time, the offshore storage volume has approached the level of the 2020 pandemic, while onshore inventories are approaching saturation. The near and far-month contracts of WTI crude oil in New York have experienced a 5-month-long first-time futures premium, which is the direct reaction of the market to the oversupply.
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Next Week
usoil @buy 60.5-61.0
tp:62-62.5
SL:59.5
Gold Next Week Analysis H1 ChartThis is my technical analysis and not a guaranteed signal. Please take entries at your own risk. Based on the chart, there are two possible scenarios, so proceed with caution.
1. Follow the Trendline:
If gold respects the trendline, we can look for buying opportunities with a target around 4160. However, if gold breaks below the trendline, we should consider selling. Keep in mind that if gold breaks the trendline for the first time, we should wait to observe the next move before entering a trade. If gold fails to break above the trendline afterward, we can then take a sell position.
2. Support at 4053:
If gold reaches 4053, this level may act as support. We can look for buying opportunities from this price as long as gold does not break below it. If gold breaks this support level, we should wait for a retest of the area before making a decision.
For further clarification, please refer to my technical analysis chart.
Thank you.
Analysis of Gold Prices Next WeekThe certainty of the Fed's easing cycle has strengthened: Currently, the market's expectation for the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November continues to rise. From historical patterns, after the start of a rate-cutting cycle, gold often experiences a sustained upward trend. Holding gold does not require payment of interest. A lower interest rate directly reduces the holding cost of gold and weakens the attractiveness of the US dollar, driving funds to flow into non-interest-bearing assets such as gold. This core logic has not changed in any way and constitutes the "policy cornerstone" for the medium- and long-term rise in gold prices.
The bottoming effect of global central banks' gold purchases is significant: Since October, the global central banks' gold reserves have shown a steady growth trend. As of October 25th, the total reserves for the month have reached 6,102.00, a significant increase from 5,545.00 at the end of September. Central banks of emerging markets such as China and India have continued to increase their holdings. This large-scale, long-term buying behavior forms a solid "bottom support", significantly reducing the possibility of a deep correction in the gold price.
The supply shortage will persist in the long term: The growth rate of global gold mine production is sluggish. The output of the top ten gold mining enterprises has grown by less than 2% in the past three years. However, the demand side has continued to expand due to the demand for risk aversion and asset allocation. The contradiction of supply and demand imbalance will support the upward trend of the gold price from a long-term perspective.
Trading strategy for gold next week
xauusd @buy4040-4060
TP:4110-4150-4200
Bullish potential detected for DXSEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:DXS along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI.
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the support level from the open of 2nd December 2024 (i.e.: below $7.30), or
(ii) below the support level from the open of 12th August 2024 (i.e.: below $7.16), or
(ii) below the recent swing lows of 25th September (i.e.: below $7.11), depending on risk tolerance.
Bearish potential detected for MTSEntry conditions (Darvas box failure play):
(i) lower share price for ASX:MTS along with swing up of ADX/DMI indicator and decline in RSI.
Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) above the long term resistance level of $4.00 from 17th April 2023, or
(ii) above the declining 30 day moving average (currently $4.05), or
(iii) above the high of the recently formed Darvas box of $4.16.
Ethereum Short-Term Breakdown Imminent | ETHUSD Short Setup🚨 Ethereum (ETHUSD) Market Update – Short-Term Setup 🚨
Ethereum is displaying clear weakness on higher levels, as the recent bounce appears to be a relief move rather than a full trend reversal. The resistance zone between $4074 – $4175 remains crucial — price rejection from this area can offer a high-probability short opportunity.
We’re currently holding short positions from $3930, and if ETH extends upward, DCA shorts will activate near $4175 for a better average entry.
📉 Downside targets to watch:
🎯 $3750
🎯 $3636
🎯 $3540
🎯 $3480
Until a confirmed correction forms, avoid aggressive long setups. Market sentiment remains fragile, and bulls may face strong resistance around the upper range.
⚠️ Timeframe: 15-Minute (Scalp / Short-Term Setup)
💡 Tip: Manage risk carefully and trail stops as price moves in your favor.
📊 Follow me on TradingView for more real-time ETH and BTC updates, short-term scalps, and market breakdowns. Your feedback and comments are always welcome!
BTC 4H ENG.My kids are scared; they got scared with the October 10th crash. Do you know when they stop being scared? When it goes up! I have my futures take profits at 117k; you're my target. I've had my entry pattern very clear, since I was at 106k. The red box indicates an ideal entry area, although you should already be inside.
QQQ (24 October)QQQ is at the top of its 20d ±3 % envelope, a “momentum, but stretched” setup
Expect minor cooling or sideways action early next week, then potential continuation toward $625-$628 once the moving average catches up
20d MA ~$605 is upward-sloping which confirms a healthy intermediate uptrend
Envelope width is about 36 points (~6%), normal for a trending QQQ environment
Price hugging the upper envelope means momentum is strong, but stretched
In past rallies, when QQQ closed near or slightly above the +3 % band, it tended to consolidate or pull back toward the MA within 3-6 sessions, or trade sideways until the moving average "catches up"
Since May, you can see about 4-5 touches of the upper band
Each touch was followed by a 1-2 % fade lasting a few sessions
The moving average acted as dynamic support; deeper corrections only came after the slope flattened
That rhythm is still intact so this looks like another case where bulls may pause, but not reverse
$618-$620
Upper envelope resistance/overbought
55% chance of stall or mild fade
$610-$612
First support (mean reversion)
30 % chance of retest
$600-$605
20d MA & lower-band base
15 % chance unless news shock
Bias is still bullish; trend intact above the 20d MA, but short-term is slightly overbought so expect digestion rather than acceleration
Taking partial profits or tightening stops near +3% band often pays better than chasing new highs
Theta decay accelerates if price chops sideways here, so shorter-dated calls can flatten out quickly
Waiting for a dip toward $610-$612 offers a higher-reward entry aligned with the 20d MA
$LINK (DAILY): GOLDEN POCKET support / 200 MA fightBIST:LINK on its WEEKLY chart: still a text-book BAT reversal intact, below the 50 MA, and just continuation to the downside. High selling volumes recently and essentially reverting back to its mean (200 MA on 1W at $12.8), although that's a long term chart.
We need a look on the DAILY to get a better idea if a reversal to the upside is an option soon.
1D chart is showing a fight to stay above a combo of crucial pivots:
1) 200 MA at $17.7, key moving average, for many traders, especially institutional: bear/bull boundary
2) horizontal support/former resistance $17.4
3) GOLDEN POCKET of the move that took the price from JUNE lows ($11) all the way up to the AUGUST top ($28).
OBV on the DAILY had two minor HIDDEN BULLISH divergences while the price was finding support in the pocket, that's interesting to see.
Holding the green 200 MA is the most important thing for now, no reversal yet, but if it was to remain a BULL MARKET asset, the BUYERS must step in immediately.
Close below the GOLDEN POCKET and we should see $14.6 and possibly $12.8 if that doesn't hold.
LONGS only above $19.5, I need to see a BULLISH market structure change to do anything here.
👽💙
$0.91 Breaking the ATH.Crypto is in a bull market, maybe a bear trap in these lows.
A backtest on the 200MA is a good indicator and $0.91 WILL BE the 1st price target.
$HTZ Possible Gap Fill And A PUSH UPI previously called out the massive push up we had in NASDAQ:HTZ now I am looking for more or less a scalp play. Looking to fill the gap and get in below $6. If that does not happen we will not get filled. I will update when I can. Good trades to ALL!
$OPEN ready for the next movePure speculative play on NASDAQ:OPEN . If stock moves above $8, I'm adding here.
The huge move up on high volume and then less than average volume for the past few days is consolidation.
Positioning is key here. Either add big and hold a tight loss or take a small position and putting on a wider stop loss.
DXY: 3mo timeline channel, BULLISH
Interest rates (relative to global peers) in the US remain relatively high. Global peers dropping rates at a much quicker pace when compared to the FED.
US GDP growth continues at a fast pace thanks to expanding margins through efficiency thanks to AI. I believe we'll also begin to see small to mid caps perform as well as large caps currently are in the next year or so.
Continued drop in commodity prices like oil
From a technical perspective, on the 3mo timeline, the 50 sma is about to cross above the 200 sma. Current price is also bouncing off bothe the 50 and 200 sma. I believe the DXY is clearly bottoming in a multi decade long channel.
As much tension as there is in the world today, we are still grinding forward. Nothing is perfect, but the sentiment shows clear promise in future growth which would help accelerate DXY value relative to the rest of the worlds currency.
This doesn't mean stocks must come down. We can have both.
...But I'm an optimist.
All the best.
Bitcoin playing games at critical levelsBTC is clearly causing the market to capitulate over time. Price capitulation has already been achieved for the most part. The current sideways chop causes many traders to lose focus and exhaust their patience. This is what the market wants. There are some good signs of support at the current H1 structure, but let your guard down, this PA is CRAZY.
btc price There have been five touches on the channel wall, and most oscillators are showing clear divergence.
Don’t fool yourselves — crypto is entering a strong correction phase.
The next target for Bitcoin will be somewhere between 65K and 75K.
The simpler the interpretation, the more accurate it is — everything is clearly right in front of us.
Gold Bull-Bear Critical Point Game and Structural Breakdown WarnGold Bull-Bear Critical Point Game and Structural Breakdown Warning
Intraday Market Evolution and Key Nodes
Weak Asian and European Sessions: Early trading under pressure and fluctuating downward, with continued weakness in the European session, confirming intraday bearish dominance
US Market Change Window: Be wary of bullish traps during a US market rebound, with 4040 becoming the lifeline for bulls and bears
Critical Points:
Stabilizing 4040: Initiating a rebound (4100→4150)
Breaking below 4040: Confirming continued decline (target 4000→3950)
In-depth Technical Structure Analysis
4-Hour Cycle Core Signals
Moving Average System: 55-period moving average (4065) forms dynamic support, while 21-period moving average (4140) provides resistance
K-line Combination: Consecutive bearish candlesticks break below the previous low. A close below 4040 will form a downward relay.
Momentum Indicators: RSI hovers around 40, MACD lines cross below zero.
Key Price Levels
Defensive Level: 4040 (Bull Lifeline)
Resistance: 4147-4150 (4-hour high + Moving Average Bond Resistance)
Support: 4065-4070 (Intraday Dynamic Support), 4000 (Psychological Level)
Major Fund Movements and Fundamental Anchors
Market Sentiment Monitoring
Safe-Haven Demand: The risk of a delayed US government shutdown will weaken gold's safe-haven premium in the short term.
Dollar Pressure: The probability of a Fed rate cut in November remains at 87%, and the dollar's volatile pattern limits gold's volatility.
Institutional Holdings: Net long positions in COMEX gold futures decreased by 12%, reflecting short-term profit-taking pressure.
Key Events Tonight
22:00 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index
Federal Reserve Board Governor Waller's speech (may signal the path of balance sheet reduction)
Professional trading strategy
Core short position
Entry level: 4147-4150 area (high resistance 4 hours ago)
Stop loss: above 4159 (failed previous high)
Target level: 4085-4090 (level 1) → 4040 (Level 2)
Long-Term Defense Plan
Trigger Condition: US trading stabilizes at 4040 and a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern appears
Reverse Level: 4065-4070 (try a light long position), stop loss at 4050
Target Level: 4100 → 4140
Risk Management Tips
Avoid chasing orders before the US market opens; wait for key levels to be confirmed
Position ratio ≤ 8%, reserve funds to mitigate false breakouts
If it falls below 4040, exit all long positions immediately
Gold is currently navigating a technical correction and fundamental support. A triple-filter strategy is recommended:
Position Filter: Only participate in marginal trades between 4140 + resistance and 4040 - support
Signal Filter: Requires a combination of candlestick patterns and indicator resonance (e.g., RSI divergence + engulfing candlestick pattern)
Time Filter: Focus on momentum confirmation during the US trading session
Key Note: If tonight's close is below 4040, it will confirm the start of a daily correction, and the future strategy should shift to shorting on rallies.
$ALUMINIUM (DAILY): LONG position in-play, DOUBLE BREAKOUT onOpened this PEPPERSTONE:ALUMINIUM LONG position this week as the price started closing above the $2800 mark that I had been waiting for.
Essentially a mega strong DOUBLE BREAKOUT ongoing, the RECTANGLE and the TRIANGLE, targetting $3165 and $3375, respectively.
Stop loss when #aluminium loses its breakout point, simple trade, this one.
This WAVE could either be number 3 or 5, but regardless, the momentum has been great, confirmed by a few HIDDEN BULLISH RSI divergences in a row.
Commodities season. Crypto sucks this quarter, open your minds.
👽💙
XAUUSD: Head & Shoulders Reversal and Current Consolidation1. Major Trend
The price experienced a strong uptrend starting from approximately 4,000 USD up to a high of around 4,380 USD.
This was followed by a sharp and significant downtrend back towards the 4,000 USD level.
2. Market Structure (Head and Shoulders Pattern)
The shaded circles on the chart suggest the presence of a potential "Head and Shoulders" reversal pattern, a bearish formation:
The first peak (left shoulder) is around 4,320 USD.
The highest peak (head) is around 4,380 USD.
The second major peak (right shoulder) is around 4,380 USD (or slightly lower than the head).
The breakdown from this structure led to the sharp decline.
3. Recent Price Action (Consolidation and Potential Breakout)
The sharp decline has slowed down and the price is currently showing signs of consolidation (choppy, sideways movement) in a tight range, specifically highlighted by the yellow box, between approximately 4,080 USD and 4,120 USD.
This consolidation zone is often referred to as a flag or tight-range base.
The chart includes an upward-pointing green arrow, suggesting an expectation or prediction of a bullish breakout from this consolidation range, potentially targeting the prior resistance/highs of the current range.
The price is holding just above the 4,000 USD psychological support level.
Parkin (DFM) – Possible Reversal + Positive Earnings Momentum!Greetings Traders,
The Parkin (DFM) chart is showing signs of a potential reversal setup following an extended downtrend. Let’s break it down:
Key Observations:
A bullish divergence is forming on the RSI, hinting at a possible trend shift.
Price is consolidating near recent lows, forming a falling wedge pattern.
Upcoming earnings are estimated to be positive, which could fuel upside momentum.
A breakout with strong volume above AED 5.70 could confirm the trend reversal.
Take Profit zones: AED 6.15 and AED 6.60.
Stop Loss: around AED 5.25 to manage downside risk.
💡 Strategy: Wait for breakout confirmation supported by volume and earnings results. Enter cautiously and manage positions with defined stop losses.
Happy Trading & Stay Disciplined!
AUDCAD double top pattern -box pattern consolidation short AUDCAD day candle stern formed the double top pattern and now price looks to be consolidating in a box and less chances to go up and price may further go down . Let us see how it plays out
Mean Reversion Setup: UNP1. RSI in oversold region
2. Price likely to rebound back the the mean
Trade Rules:
Entry Trigger - RSI has cross below oversold region, enter limit buy at close price
Exit Trigger - Close at market when close price cross above exit trigger (Red Line)
Multiply Group (ADX) – Bearish Divergence Ahead, Stay Cautious!Greetings Traders,
A bearish divergence has appeared on the Multiply (ADX) daily chart — time to stay alert!
Key Observations:
RSI shows a bearish divergence, signaling possible short-term weakness.
High volumes recently indicate strong participation — a good sign for future momentum.
Price action may move sideways, consolidate, or even push slightly higher before a decisive move.
The buy zone is above the last higher-high (≈ AED 3.45) with confirmation from strong volume.
Stop Loss: around AED 2.75 (below last low).
Take Profit: near AED 4.15, aligning with the upper target projection.
💡 Strategy: Wait and observe the divergence play out. Enter only on confirmed breakout with volume confirmation. Manage risk with tight stop-loss levels.
Happy Trading & Stay Disciplined!
