ETC/USDT Short Set-upMultiple tests of the $15 support level, solid breakdown and consolidation below the 50/200 MA on the daily timeframe (trend reversal), lower highs, and the Bitcoin market index also failed to confirm the short divergence.
— Entry: $16.00 (market sell)
— Stop: $19.10
— Target: $11.00 ✅
Risk is 1% of the account balance RR 1:1,7
X-indicator
BITCOIN BTCUSDTBitcoin is a decentralized digital currency and the first cryptocurrency, created in 2009 by an anonymous entity known as Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a peer-to-peer network using blockchain technology, which is a public ledger that records all transactions securely and transparently without the need for a central authority.
Key Features of Bitcoin
Decentralization: No central bank or government controls Bitcoin, making it resistant to censorship and centralized manipulation.
Limited Supply: Total supply is capped at 21 million bitcoins, which introduces scarcity and potential value appreciation over time.
Pseudonymity: Transactions are publicly recorded but can be conducted without revealing personal identities directly.
Security: Uses cryptographic proof and consensus mechanisms (Proof of Work) to secure transactions and prevent double-spending.
Divisibility: One bitcoin can be divided into 100 million smaller units called satoshis for microtransactions.
Use Cases
Store of Value: Often referred to as "digital gold," Bitcoin serves as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation for many investors.
Medium of Exchange: Used for peer-to-peer payments, remittances, and merchants accepting it for goods and services.
Investment: Trading and holding Bitcoin as an asset for speculative gains or portfolio diversification.
Financial Inclusion: Provides access to financial services for the unbanked and underbanked populations.
Market Overview 2025
Bitcoin continues to hold the largest market capitalization among cryptocurrencies.
It experiences significant price volatility but has shown resilience through macroeconomic uncertainties.
Regulatory frameworks around Bitcoin vary globally, impacting adoption and market dynamics.
Increased institutional adoption, development of Bitcoin ETFs, and integration with traditional finance continue shaping its ecosystem.
TECHNICAL INFORMATION AND TRADING BIAS.
(1) on daily time frame the structure has formed a double bottom a bullish price action ,if you look critically from Friday 17th October 2025 to Thursday 23rd 2025 we have a clear double bottom on daily and if the chart pattern break out of 110k-111k on daily ,it would have broken the neckline and also breakout of the 4hr descending trendline ,if we have this as a new case scenario then we will be looking for buy confirmation by the close of the weekly candle.
(2) if we get a weekly rejection below 110-111k then the double bottom neckline failed and we wont be considering that chart pattern as a bullish price action .the nest thing to do is to allow our daily support to be broken the look for sell opportunity
key watch list 103,408k
key watch list will be 94,022-93500k
key watch list will be 56k-55k on the descending trendline connecting and providing liquidity in the past.
BTC UpdateSo IBIT was red after the CPI pump and dump, and I was looking at IBIT to see if I should buy puts.... then I looked at my BTC daily chart and saw that MFI touched my green line and was moving upwards. Not to mention it held the channel line.
So if it doesn't make sense to short it, I figure I should go long. Just a handful of IBIT calls and 500 shares of IBIT. I figure I can risk my GLD profits, I'm a crypto skeptic, but I also believe my indicators.
Looking at the charts when MFI hits the halfway point is when BTC makes a big up move. Should be a rally next week. Note I said "should". Asia in particular seems bullish on crypto. I usually just day trade cryptos, but I decided to hold over the weekend because of Asia.... same thing I did with gold.
I think the stock market melts up next week so I didn't want to short anything. Also, no point in chasing stocks that are at ATH. So I figured crypto has room to go up because it's teh only thing that hasn't TACOed yet.
QQQ (24 October)QQQ is at the top of its 20d ±3 % envelope, a “momentum, but stretched” setup
Expect minor cooling or sideways action early next week, then potential continuation toward $625-$628 once the moving average catches up
20d MA ~$605 is upward-sloping which confirms a healthy intermediate uptrend
Envelope width is about 36 points (~6%), normal for a trending QQQ environment
Price hugging the upper envelope means momentum is strong, but stretched
In past rallies, when QQQ closed near or slightly above the +3 % band, it tended to consolidate or pull back toward the MA within 3-6 sessions, or trade sideways until the moving average "catches up"
Since May, you can see about 4-5 touches of the upper band
Each touch was followed by a 1-2 % fade lasting a few sessions
The moving average acted as dynamic support; deeper corrections only came after the slope flattened
That rhythm is still intact so this looks like another case where bulls may pause, but not reverse
$618-$620
Upper envelope resistance/overbought
55% chance of stall or mild fade
$610-$612
First support (mean reversion)
30 % chance of retest
$600-$605
20d MA & lower-band base
15 % chance unless news shock
Bias is still bullish; trend intact above the 20d MA, but short-term is slightly overbought so expect digestion rather than acceleration
Taking partial profits or tightening stops near +3% band often pays better than chasing new highs
Theta decay accelerates if price chops sideways here, so shorter-dated calls can flatten out quickly
Waiting for a dip toward $610-$612 offers a higher-reward entry aligned with the 20d MA
$LINK (DAILY): GOLDEN POCKET support / 200 MA fightBIST:LINK on its WEEKLY chart: still a text-book BAT reversal intact, below the 50 MA, and just continuation to the downside. High selling volumes recently and essentially reverting back to its mean (200 MA on 1W at $12.8), although that's a long term chart.
We need a look on the DAILY to get a better idea if a reversal to the upside is an option soon.
1D chart is showing a fight to stay above a combo of crucial pivots:
1) 200 MA at $17.7, key moving average, for many traders, especially institutional: bear/bull boundary
2) horizontal support/former resistance $17.4
3) GOLDEN POCKET of the move that took the price from JUNE lows ($11) all the way up to the AUGUST top ($28).
OBV on the DAILY had two minor HIDDEN BULLISH divergences while the price was finding support in the pocket, that's interesting to see.
Holding the green 200 MA is the most important thing for now, no reversal yet, but if it was to remain a BULL MARKET asset, the BUYERS must step in immediately.
Close below the GOLDEN POCKET and we should see $14.6 and possibly $12.8 if that doesn't hold.
LONGS only above $19.5, I need to see a BULLISH market structure change to do anything here.
👽💙
Markets look stretched, but the S&P 500 rally isn’t over yetLooking at historical trends, there still appears to be roughly 10% more room for the S&P 500 to climb before hitting resistance. Around the 7,300 level could be where the index pauses to catch its breath, or even consolidates before the next move, which will likely be downward.
Good luck!
Analysis of the trend of gold next weekCurrently, the gold market is in a stage of "shock - upward movement driven by news". Although there is a battle between bulls and bears at the $4112 level, the upward opportunities next week are more worthy of attention. It is necessary to lay out in line with the trend and strictly control risks. The specific strategy is as follows:
I. Core Logic: Key Factors Influencing the Gold Price Trend Next Week
1. **The medium - and long - term support foundation remains intact**: The Federal Reserve has already started the interest - rate - cutting cycle. Judging from the meeting minutes, officials tend to gradually continue to loosen policies. As a result, the cost of holding gold is getting lower and lower, and its attractiveness is naturally increasing. Moreover, global central banks are still continuously buying gold. This long - term and large - scale buying can underpin the gold price, making a significant decline highly unlikely. In addition, the output growth rate of the world's top ten gold - mining enterprises has only been 1.8% in the past three years, and the problem of tight supply will also support the price in the long term.
2. **Short - term positive signals are increasing**: There are new signs of tension in the Middle East situation. The Houthi militia in Yemen has attacked the cargo ships in the Red Sea, resulting in 18% of the world's container ships changing their routes, and the shipping costs have soared. The market's safe - haven demand has significantly rebounded. Once such geopolitical risks ferment, they will drive funds to flow into gold. At the same time, the gold price rebounded after falling to around $4000 this week, indicating that the buying support at low levels is very strong, and much of the previous pullback pressure has been released.
3. **Key events next week will determine the direction**: The market is closely watching the changes in relevant news. Whether it is the new dynamics of the Middle East situation or the policy signals from the Federal Reserve, they will directly affect the gold price trend. Judging from the recent fluctuations, as long as the support near $4000 is not broken, the possibility of an upward trend is greater than that of a downward trend.
Trading strategy for gold next week
xauusd @buy4040-4060
TP:4110-4150-4200
ARE TESLA MARKET BULLS BECOMING WEAK?Tesla Analysis (Weekly Timeframe)
Tesla is currently completing its first cycle wave since inception. The market started printing a primary wave 5, which is an ending diagonal in January 2023. Primary wave 5 comprise of 5 3-wave intermediate waves 1,2,3,4 and price is now printing intermediate wave 5. Intermediate wave 5 started printing in March 2025, minor wave A terminated in May 2025 and minor wave B, a running flat terminated in July 2025. The market is now printing an impulse minor wave C to complete the last 3-wave intermediate wave 5 that will complete primary wave 5 that will complete cycle wave 1. Intermediate wave 5 may be truncated, i.e., it does not necessarily have to touch the medium-term bullish resistance line (upper trendline). From here we will see a major primary wave ABC correction that may begin in Q1 of 2026.
Short entries (1) @ 488.93
Short entries (2) @ 511.04
SL @ 533.15
TP @ 321.47
"The big money is not in the buying or selling - but in the waiting" Charlie Munger
#SabaliCapital
#TechnicalAnalysis
ZEC / USDT – Retesting Support Trendline, Preparing for BreakoutZEC is currently retesting a key ascending trendline that has acted as strong support since early October. The price has been forming higher lows, indicating continued bullish structure on the 4H chart.
After multiple rejections around the $290–$300 resistance zone, ZEC is consolidating near $255 and showing signs of accumulation. If the trendline support holds, a potential breakout above $300 could trigger a strong bullish continuation toward $340 and $360.
Key Levels:
- Support: $240–$250
- Resistance: $290–$300
- Targets: $340 / $360
Invalidation: A 4H close below $235 would invalidate this bullish setup.
Overall, ZEC remains in an ascending structure, and a confirmed breakout above the horizontal resistance could mark the start of the next leg up.
$OPEN ready for the next movePure speculative play on NASDAQ:OPEN . If stock moves above $8, I'm adding here.
The huge move up on high volume and then less than average volume for the past few days is consolidation.
Positioning is key here. Either add big and hold a tight loss or take a small position and putting on a wider stop loss.
DXY: 3mo timeline channel, BULLISH
Interest rates (relative to global peers) in the US remain relatively high. Global peers dropping rates at a much quicker pace when compared to the FED.
US GDP growth continues at a fast pace thanks to expanding margins through efficiency thanks to AI. I believe we'll also begin to see small to mid caps perform as well as large caps currently are in the next year or so.
Continued drop in commodity prices like oil
From a technical perspective, on the 3mo timeline, the 50 sma is about to cross above the 200 sma. Current price is also bouncing off bothe the 50 and 200 sma. I believe the DXY is clearly bottoming in a multi decade long channel.
As much tension as there is in the world today, we are still grinding forward. Nothing is perfect, but the sentiment shows clear promise in future growth which would help accelerate DXY value relative to the rest of the worlds currency.
This doesn't mean stocks must come down. We can have both.
...But I'm an optimist.
All the best.
BITCOIN BTCUSDT THE STRUCTURE OF BITCOIN IS STILL BEEN WATCHED, the right direction will hinge on the weekly candle close, buyers are holding a small demand floor at 103,400 which is not strong enough after the break of a demand floor from 107k level
if the weekly candle closes without buy momentum we will look for more bearish correction on 15min.
on technical bitcoin structure suggest more drop in price and am hoping that 94k-95k -finds the impulse/
on daily time frame the ascending trendline will be watched because its acting as dynamic resistance to downswing.
BTC/USD – Market Structure & Momentum Alignment (Research Model)This chart is part of a broader research model studying Bitcoin’s multi-layered market behavior using both technical and on-chain metrics.
The setup integrates volume flow, institutional absorption, and volatility signals to evaluate tactical inflection zones within a broader structural range.
This is not financial advice — the chart is for analytical and educational purposes only, highlighting current market momentum and liquidity dynamics.
Bitcoin playing games at critical levelsBTC is clearly causing the market to capitulate over time. Price capitulation has already been achieved for the most part. The current sideways chop causes many traders to lose focus and exhaust their patience. This is what the market wants. There are some good signs of support at the current H1 structure, but let your guard down, this PA is CRAZY.
APEUSDT 1D#APE is moving inside a descending triangle on the daily chart. In case of a breakout above the daily SMA50 and the triangle resistance, the potential targets are:
🎯 $0.5513
🎯 $0.6467
🎯 $0.7341
🎯 $0.8214
🎯 $0.9457
🎯 $1.1040
⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and maintain proper risk management.
btc price There have been five touches on the channel wall, and most oscillators are showing clear divergence.
Don’t fool yourselves — crypto is entering a strong correction phase.
The next target for Bitcoin will be somewhere between 65K and 75K.
The simpler the interpretation, the more accurate it is — everything is clearly right in front of us.
This is the END(ing diagonal)The ending diagonal has formed. If you check RSI you will see a double daily and fresh WEEKLY divergence. It will crash hard next week. 6480 is the first target, but it can be just a bounce area. 1.618 level from low to top of the diagonal is at 6400 level on SPX and at 6300 level on US500 - I think we can get a flash-crash into this area next week. And if this is a reversal, it can trend down to February peak and lower according to fibs.
Gold Bull-Bear Critical Point Game and Structural Breakdown WarnGold Bull-Bear Critical Point Game and Structural Breakdown Warning
Intraday Market Evolution and Key Nodes
Weak Asian and European Sessions: Early trading under pressure and fluctuating downward, with continued weakness in the European session, confirming intraday bearish dominance
US Market Change Window: Be wary of bullish traps during a US market rebound, with 4040 becoming the lifeline for bulls and bears
Critical Points:
Stabilizing 4040: Initiating a rebound (4100→4150)
Breaking below 4040: Confirming continued decline (target 4000→3950)
In-depth Technical Structure Analysis
4-Hour Cycle Core Signals
Moving Average System: 55-period moving average (4065) forms dynamic support, while 21-period moving average (4140) provides resistance
K-line Combination: Consecutive bearish candlesticks break below the previous low. A close below 4040 will form a downward relay.
Momentum Indicators: RSI hovers around 40, MACD lines cross below zero.
Key Price Levels
Defensive Level: 4040 (Bull Lifeline)
Resistance: 4147-4150 (4-hour high + Moving Average Bond Resistance)
Support: 4065-4070 (Intraday Dynamic Support), 4000 (Psychological Level)
Major Fund Movements and Fundamental Anchors
Market Sentiment Monitoring
Safe-Haven Demand: The risk of a delayed US government shutdown will weaken gold's safe-haven premium in the short term.
Dollar Pressure: The probability of a Fed rate cut in November remains at 87%, and the dollar's volatile pattern limits gold's volatility.
Institutional Holdings: Net long positions in COMEX gold futures decreased by 12%, reflecting short-term profit-taking pressure.
Key Events Tonight
22:00 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index
Federal Reserve Board Governor Waller's speech (may signal the path of balance sheet reduction)
Professional trading strategy
Core short position
Entry level: 4147-4150 area (high resistance 4 hours ago)
Stop loss: above 4159 (failed previous high)
Target level: 4085-4090 (level 1) → 4040 (Level 2)
Long-Term Defense Plan
Trigger Condition: US trading stabilizes at 4040 and a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern appears
Reverse Level: 4065-4070 (try a light long position), stop loss at 4050
Target Level: 4100 → 4140
Risk Management Tips
Avoid chasing orders before the US market opens; wait for key levels to be confirmed
Position ratio ≤ 8%, reserve funds to mitigate false breakouts
If it falls below 4040, exit all long positions immediately
Gold is currently navigating a technical correction and fundamental support. A triple-filter strategy is recommended:
Position Filter: Only participate in marginal trades between 4140 + resistance and 4040 - support
Signal Filter: Requires a combination of candlestick patterns and indicator resonance (e.g., RSI divergence + engulfing candlestick pattern)
Time Filter: Focus on momentum confirmation during the US trading session
Key Note: If tonight's close is below 4040, it will confirm the start of a daily correction, and the future strategy should shift to shorting on rallies.






















