30-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate FRED:​DGS30

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poppop6 poppop6 DGS30-DGS10, 1W,
DGS30-DGS10: 30's - 10's spread predictor of future $spy direction
12 0 1
DGS30-DGS10, 1W
30's - 10's spread predictor of future $spy direction

When this spread gets close to or below 0, we should start becoming more risk adverse in our trading. While conditions may persist for a period of time, the change in direct of spread usually leads to a change in direction of $spy. Something to watch

poppop6 poppop6 DGS30-DGS10, W,
DGS30-DGS10: 30 yr - 10 yr spread vs spy
8 0 3
DGS30-DGS10, W
30 yr - 10 yr spread vs spy

Do you notice any similarities in this chart? Whenever this spread approaches zero, the market is at risk of a market shock/correction. Especially when it gets this weak of a reading in RSI.

Tuscarora Tuscarora DGS30, W, Short ,
DGS30: Short Term Treasury Yields Rise = Pain to come
78 0 6
DGS30, W Short
Short Term Treasury Yields Rise = Pain to come

I feel that the bond market is the greatest indicator of the stock market's future. Who else is more concerned about their money than ultra-conservative bondholders? We see in the graph as the short-term Treasury yield rises (in red) from lack of demand and selling off. The sell-off in the short-term treasuries indicates that investors are worried about the future ...

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