BTC Accumulates and Recovers, Rate Cut Near💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE – Early Week (09/08 )
BTC Analysis (D1 timeframe)
Main trend:
BTC is in a recovery phase after breaking out of the downtrend channel (blue).
Currently, the price is hovering around 112K–113K, approaching a key resistance zone.
Key levels:
• Near resistance: 113,590 – 114,124 (confluence of Fib 0.382 and EMA 34).
• Stronger resistance: 116,150 – 117,600.
• Near support: 111,200 (Fib 0.5) and the rising trendline.
• Deeper support: 108,400 – 104,800 (previous lows + Fib 0.618–0.786).
Possible scenarios:
• Scenario 1 (preferred): Price tests resistance at 113,590 → pulls back to 111K–110K → then bounces upward again.
• Scenario 2: If strong buying pushes through 113,590 and holds above 114K, the next target will be 116K–117K.
Overall outlook:
The short-term trend is leaning towards recovery.
However, the 113K–114K resistance zone will determine whether BTC continues higher toward 116K–117K, or drops back to retest supports below 111K.
👉 In summary: BTC is recovering, but 113K–114K is the key zone. A successful breakout could open the way to 116K–117K. A rejection could bring price back to test 111K or even deeper at 108K.
X-indicator
ASRUSDT 1D#ASR has bounced off the support zone and the SMA200 on the daily chart. The chart looks promising. If the upward move continues, the following targets can be considered:
🎯 $3.087
🎯 $3.855
🎯 $4.293
🎯 $4.792
🎯 $5.549
⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and follow proper risk management.
Nvidia - the bigger pictureNVIDIA is in a short-term correction within a healthy long-term uptrend
In the short term, NVDA is undergoing a healthy correction, pulling back toward the $150 area—a level close to July’s low. Such a retracement is well within normal bounds and may offer an attractive entry point for those bullish on the stock’s longer-term trajectory.
Looking at the medium and long term, the technical and fundamental picture remains firmly bullish. The stock is still riding a strong uptrend supported by its leadership in AI, solid earnings, and innovation-driven growth.
Critically, if NVDA closes a weekly candle decisively below $150 (i.e., below the July low), it would no longer fall into the "healthy correction" category and could signal a deeper technical shift—one that warrants increased vigilance.
Why this makes sense:
Healthy pullback zone: The $150–July low area represents a typical retracement level, likely serving as support before a continued climb higher.
Long-term strength remains intact: Broad trend dynamics and fundamentals are still supportive of further upside
Weekly close below $150 is key: Only a breakdown on the weekly timeframe would prompt a reassessment of the trend’s integrity.
What I’m Watching Next:
Break Above $173
A daily candle closing above $173 resistance would serve as a trend continuation signal, suggesting renewed bullish momentum and likely reopening the move higher toward previous highs.
Breakdown Below $165
Conversely, a close under $165 would most likely extend the correction toward $150, marking a deeper retracement into the support area.
QQQ Market Preview for Monday, September 8Price Action & Market Structure
* QQQ is trading around 577.7, stabilizing after a sharp morning dip toward 569.0 and a bounce back.
* Price is now consolidating between 576–578, showing indecision after recovering.
* Structure remains bullish above 576 HVL support, but bears will try to push it back toward 572–569 if that zone breaks.
Key Levels
* Resistance (Upside Caps):
* 578–580 → Immediate resistance / Gamma Wall.
* 582–583 → Next resistance cluster.
* Support (Downside Floors):
* 576 HVL → Key pivot support.
* 575–572 → Minor Put support zone.
* 569.0 → Strong support (recent low).
* 567 → Deeper Put Wall support.
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Bearishly skewed with Puts at 86.6%, suggesting hedging flows lean downside.
* IVR: 14.3, moderate but not extreme, showing some expected volatility.
* Gamma Walls:
* 580 = Major Call Resistance.
* 576 HVL = Key balance level.
* 572 / 569 = Put-heavy support.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Rolling over after bounce, showing fading short-term momentum.
* Stoch RSI: Near oversold after pullback → could allow another push higher if 576 holds.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (if 576 holds):
* Hold above 576 HVL, reclaim 578–580.
* Targets: 582–583 Gamma Wall zone.
Bearish Case (if 576 breaks):
* Drop back to 575–572 zone.
* If weakness persists → test 569.0, deeper downside toward 567.
Trading Thoughts
* Longs: Favor dip entries at 576–575 with bounce confirmation, targeting 580–582.
* Shorts: Fade rejection at 578–580, stops above 582.5.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 572.0.
* Shorts → above 582.5.
Summary
QQQ sits at a key balance zone (576 HVL). If support holds, bulls can push back to 580–582, but heavy Put exposure plus resistance at 580 may cap upside. A break below 576 flips bias bearish, targeting 572–569. Options sentiment is defensive, suggesting upside will be a grind unless bulls take control early.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage risk carefully.
SIL ETF US- Silver Miners Mid Term ideaFollow us and don't miss a next idea on global markets
According to Mining Visuals Silver deficit is expected of 118 million ounces. At the same time strong industrial demand - driven by solar, electronics and green technologies.
Historically, mining stocks outperform the growth rates of the metals themselves. This hypothesis is confirmed by the fact that, starting in 2024, ETF SIL (silver miners) has outperform the metal itself.
From a technical point of view, ETF SIL has emerged from a long-term consolidation and there is a high probability of growth to the $80.
DIA Market Preview for Monday, September 8Price Action & Market Structure
* DIA is trading near 455.6, modestly down from Friday’s levels after rejecting 458.5.
* Price is consolidating between 452.5–458.5, forming a triangle structure.
* Intraday momentum is softening, but bulls are still holding the 455 HVL support zone.
Key Levels
* Resistance (Upside Caps):
* 456.9–458.5 → Immediate resistance zone.
* 461–463 → Gamma resistance cluster.
* 466 → Strong Call Wall (upside cap).
* Support (Downside Floors):
* 455.0 → HVL + intraday anchor support.
* 452.5 → Minor support.
* 450.0–448.0 → Strong Put Support.
* 443.0 → Secondary Put Wall support.
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Skewed toward Puts (80.9%), suggesting downside hedging flows.
* IVR: Low at 6.3, meaning options market isn’t pricing large volatility.
* Gamma Walls:
* 466 = Heavy Call resistance.
* 450 = Strong Put support.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Bearish crossover, momentum fading after early push.
* Stoch RSI: Near oversold, possible relief bounce if 455 holds.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (if 455 holds):
* Hold above 455 HVL, push through 457–458.5.
* Targets: 461 → 463, possible extension to 466 Gamma Wall.
Bearish Case (if 455 breaks):
* Lose 455, quick drop to 452.5.
* Further weakness → 450–448 Put Wall zone.
Trading Thoughts
* Longs: Favor bounce entries near 455–452.5, targeting 458–461.
* Shorts: Fade rejection at 458–461, stops above 463.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 452.0.
* Shorts → above 463.0.
Summary
DIA is at a decision zone around 455 HVL. Holding this support favors upside toward 458.5–461, but failure opens downside to 452.5 → 450. Options sentiment leans defensive (Put heavy), suggesting capped upside unless buyers reclaim momentum.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage risk carefully.
PLTR Market Preview for Monday, September 8Price Action & Market Structure
* PLTR is trading around 153.6, down nearly -2% after a sharp pullback from the 160 rejection zone.
* Price is consolidating sideways after defending the 152 support area.
* Trendline from earlier lows still holding, but momentum remains weak in the short term.
Key Levels
* Resistance (Upside Caps):
* 154.3–156.1 → Near-term rejection zone.
* 160.0 → Major Gamma resistance + Call Wall.
* 162.5–167.5 → Upper resistance cluster with stacked Call Walls.
* Support (Downside Floors):
* 152.3 → Key intraday support.
* 150.0 → HVL + strong Put Support.
* 145.0 → 140.0 → Secondary Put Walls (deeper cushion).
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Leaning mildly bullish, but with strong resistance near 160 Gamma Wall.
* IVR: 14.2, slightly elevated, meaning options are pricing moderate volatility.
* Gamma Walls:
* 160 = Heavy Call resistance cap.
* 150 = Strong Put support anchor.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Bearish crossover active, momentum fading.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and attempting to turn upward → possible bounce setup if 152 holds.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (if 152 holds):
* Bounce from 152–153 support, push through 154.3–156.1.
* Next upside targets: 160 test, then extension to 162.5–167.5 if squeeze develops.
Bearish Case (if 152 breaks):
* Breakdown below 152 brings price to 150 support.
* If 150 fails, extension to 145.0–140.0 Put Walls.
Trading Thoughts
* Longs: Favor entries near 152–153 support, targeting 156 → 160.
* Shorts: Fade rejections at 156–160, stops above 161.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 150.0.
* Shorts → above 161.0.
Summary
PLTR is in a neutral-to-bearish short-term setup, holding just above 152 key support. If bulls can defend this zone, upside retest toward 156–160 Gamma Wall is possible. A failure under 152 shifts bias bearish, exposing 150–145 downside. Options flow shows capped upside at 160, but solid downside protection at 150.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Manage risk carefully.
SOFI Market Preview for Monday, September 8
Price Action & Market Structure
* SOFI is trading near 25.6–25.7, bouncing back after a strong dip recovery.
* Price broke above a falling wedge, now consolidating right at resistance levels.
* As long as 25.3–25.0 holds, structure favors upside continuation toward higher gamma walls.
Key Levels
* Resistance (Upside Caps):
* 25.7–26.0 → immediate resistance zone.
* 26.5 → local supply level.
* 27.0–27.5 → Major Gamma Wall & Call resistance.
* 28.0 → Higher Call Wall.
* Support (Downside Floors):
* 25.3 → intraday breakout retest level.
* 25.0 → HVL + Put support (strong anchor).
* 24.2–24.0 → secondary Put Wall support.
* 23.5–23.0 → deeper downside cushion.
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Skewed toward Calls (45.6%), showing bullish option positioning.
* IVR: Low at 13.0, meaning options market isn’t pricing aggressive volatility.
* Gamma Walls:
* 27.0 = Highest Call Wall resistance.
* 25.0 = Strong Put Support.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Bullish crossover, momentum still supportive.
* Stoch RSI: Cooling from overbought, suggesting possible small pullback before continuation.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (favored if 25.3–25.0 holds):
* Hold support above 25.3, push through 25.7–26.0.
* Targets: 26.5 → 27.0 Gamma Wall, with possible extension to 27.5–28.0 if volume expands.
Bearish Case (if 25.3 fails):
* Breakdown below 25.3 drags price back toward 25.0 HVL.
* If 25.0 fails, deeper retrace to 24.2–24.0 zone.
Trading Thoughts
* Longs: Favor dip entries near 25.3–25.0, targeting 26.5–27.0.
* Shorts: Fade rejections at 26.0–26.5, stops above 27.0.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 24.8.
* Shorts → above 27.0.
Summary
SOFI is showing bullish recovery momentum, consolidating just below 26.0 resistance. Options sentiment favors upside, with bulls targeting 27.0–27.5 Gamma Wall. As long as 25.0 holds as support, bias stays bullish; a breakdown flips bias to bearish with risk toward 24.0–23.5.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always confirm setups with live order flow.
Bitcoin (BTC): Eyes on Middle Line of Bollinger Bands | BounceSeptember has started pretty bullish, with buyers managing to secure the bullish weekly candle last week, when we bounced from the middle line of the Bollinger Bands.
The game plan remains the same for us here; we are treating each dip like a fire sale and a better entry for the upcoming bullish movement that we are expecting!
Swallow Academy
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) Powers U.S. Steel ProductionCleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) is the largest flat-rolled steel producer in North America and a major supplier of iron ore pellets. Serving industries like automotive, construction, and appliances, the company provides essential materials for manufacturing and infrastructure. Cleveland-Cliffs’ growth is driven by strong demand for domestic steel, vertical integration from mining to steelmaking, and its strategic focus on serving U.S. industrial and infrastructure needs.
On the chart, a confirmation bar with rising volume shows bullish strength. The price has entered the momentum zone after breaking above the .236 Fibonacci level. A trailing stop can be placed just below this Fibonacci mark using the Fibonacci snap tool, helping traders protect gains while leaving room for additional upside.
AAPL Market Preview for Monday, September 8Price Action & Market Structure
* AAPL is trading around 239.8, consolidating after multiple rejections near 240.5–241.3.
* Price is still within a rising channel, but short-term momentum is softening.
* Structure remains constructive as long as price holds 239–238.5 support.
Key Levels
* Resistance (Upside Caps):
* 240.6–241.3 → Immediate resistance.
* 245.0 → 2nd Call Wall resistance.
* 247.5–250 → Heavy Gamma resistance zone.
* Support (Downside Floors):
* 239.0 → Key intraday support.
* 238.0–238.5 → Secondary support buffer.
* 232.5–227.5 → HVL + Put Support anchor.
Options Sentiment (GEX & IV)
* GEX: Tilted slightly bullish, with Calls outweighing Puts.
* IVR: Low at 11.6, showing options are pricing muted moves.
* Gamma Walls:
* 245–250 = Strong upside cap.
* 232.5–227.5 = Strong downside support zone.
Indicators
* MACD (15m): Slight bearish momentum showing, indicating short-term consolidation.
* Stoch RSI: Resetting near oversold, which could allow another push higher if buyers step in.
Scenarios for Today
Bullish Case (if 239 holds):
* Hold above 239.0, push through 240.6–241.3.
* Targets → 243.0 → 245.0, with possible extension to 247.5–250 Gamma Wall.
Bearish Case (if 239 breaks):
* Lose 239.0, test 238.0–238.5.
* If weakness accelerates, deeper pullback toward 235.0 → 232.5 HVL zone.
Trading Thoughts
* Longs: Favor dip entries near 239.0–238.5 with bounce confirmation, targeting 241–243.
* Shorts: Fade rejection at 241–243, stops above 244.5.
* Stops:
* Longs → below 238.0.
* Shorts → above 244.5.
Summary
AAPL sits at a pivotal 239–240 zone. Holding this support opens upside to 243–245, with Gamma resistance capping higher at 247.5–250. If 239 fails, expect a quick dip into 238–235, with stronger support at 232.5–227.5. Low IVR suggests controlled moves, but GEX positioning favors mild bullish bias unless support breaks.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk properly.
ONEOK, Inc. (OKE)Company Overview
ONEOK, Inc. is one of the largest U.S. operators of midstream energy infrastructure, with assets spanning natural gas gathering, transportation, processing, and storage, as well as oil and petroleum product pipelines and storage. Founded in 1906, the company is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma, and derives 100% of its revenue from the U.S. market.
Key Investment Drivers
1. Seasonal Strength in Natural Gas Demand
Natural gas and condensate sales accounted for roughly 86% of ONEOK’s revenue in the first half of 2025. With the onset of the heating season, demand and pricing are expected to firm.
The U.S. Department of Energy projects gas consumption will increase 16% month-overmonth in November and another 16.6% in December.
LNG exports are also forecast to rise by 2.5% in November and 7.1% in December.
We estimate U.S. natural gas prices could climb to around $4 per MMBtu in November (a ~30% increase from current levels), which would be a clear positive catalyst for OKE shares.
2. Attractive Dividend Profile
Management maintained the quarterly dividend at $1.03 per share in Q2 2025, translating to a yield of ~5.7% at current prices.
A likely Fed rate cut in 2025–2026 should increase the relative appeal of high-yield equities while also easing ONEOK’s sizable interest expense burden. As of Q2 2025, total debt stood at $32.5 billion.
Valuation & Recommendation
Target price for OKE shares – $81.7, representing 12.5% upside. Recommendation – Buy. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $66.7 per share.