Silver Near PRZ – Bearish Reversal Incoming?Today I want to share with you an analysis of SILVER ( OANDA:XAGUSD ). In my opinion, in terms of technical analysis , Silver has a more regular chart than Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) these days.
Silver is currently trading near the Resistance line , Important Resistance lines , Yearly Resistance(2) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Silver has managed to complete microwave 3 of the main wave 5 , and after the support lines are broken, we can expect a decline and completion of microwave 4 . The end of microwave 4 could follow Fibonacci levels .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Silver to fall to at least $40.51(First Target) AFTER breaking the support lines .
Second Target: $39.81
Stop Loss(SL): $42.18
Note: Today's US data release could cause a shock to Silver, but ultimately, Silver will continue its downward trend (at least to the first target).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Silver/ U.S. Dollar Analyze (XAGUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
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XAG USD (Silver / US Dollar)
XAGUSD H1 | Price retracing into support levelSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 41.20, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 40.76, which is a pullback support level.
Take profit is at 41.64, which is a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Silver Pullback Ahead? A Buying Opportunity in the MakingSilver is in an uptrend channel both in the short term and the medium term. Significant bullish pressure is coming from gold, rising technology investment that boosts demand for silver, persistent inflation risks, and the Fed being on the verge of cutting rates. Fundamentally, everything supports silver, and upward pressure is likely to continue.
However, in the short term, upward momentum has started to ease despite the push from gold, which could be an early signal of a small correction. The upward move is still expected to continue, but if the green trendline and the 40.50 support both fail, there is a zone between 39.10 and 40.50 with previous low trading volume that could be filled by a selloff. Such low-volume zones often behave similarly to gaps, though not always.
In either case, silver has stronger potential over the medium term, and any sudden selloffs are likely to remain buying opportunities.
Silver (SIL1!): Bullish! Buy The Dip!Silver is at the highest its been since 2011.
There is no reason to short this market. A short term pullback should be seen as a long opportunity.
Price has taken the External Range Liquidity, and a move back to Internal Range Liquidity is naturally expected. The +FVG (blue) looks like a great place to look for high probability buys.
It is intersected by the old high, adding to the confluence of support at that level.
What do you think? Comment down below!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Silver shines on a mix of financial momentum and industrial streSilver shines on a mix of financial momentum and industrial strength
Technical Perspective
XAGUSD is consolidating within an ascending triangle, a continuation pattern that implies a bullish breakout post accumulation phase.
Bullish alignment of EMA cross also reinforces the positive outlook within consolidation.
Currently, XAGUSD is testing the upper boundary of the sideways range. A close above the 41.50 upper bound resistance would confirm a bullish continuation, with the next upside target at 44.80 based on the 261.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
However, failure to break above 41.50 may trigger a pullback toward the ascending trendline. A breakdown below this line would expose the key psychological support at 40.00.
Fundamental Perspective
Silver maintains a high correlation with gold, often rallying alongside it when gold prices rise.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts reduce the opportunity cost of holding silver, boosting demand.
Industrial demand remains robust, especially in solar panels, electric vehicles, and electronics, with China driving consumption. Meanwhile, years of persistent supply deficits have tightened the market, providing strong fundamental support.
Geopolitical risks and safe-haven flows attract capital into broadly precious metals including silver.
In summary, silver’s latest rally is supported by monetary easing expectations, strong industrial demand, and heightened geopolitical tensions that reinforce safe-haven demand.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
XAG/USD Technical + Macro Analysis ¦ Bullish Layer Strategy⚡ XAG/USD Silver Swing & Scalping Trade | Thief Layer Strategy
🛠️ Trade Plan (Bullish Pending Order)
Entry (Breakout Trigger): $41.400 ⚡
Layered Entries (Thief Strategy):
$41.000
$41.200
$41.400
(You can increase/reduce limit layers based on your own plan — confirm after breakout. Set TradingView alarms for alerts.)
Stop Loss (Thief SL): $40.600 (after breakout confirmation)
⚠️ Adjust your SL according to your own risk tolerance.
Target (Exit Zone): $42.200 🎯
Resistance + overbought + trap zone = take profit opportunity.
💡 Thief Strategy = Using multiple buy limit orders (layering style entries) to scale into position at breakout confirmation levels.
🔎 Why This Plan (Thief Style)
✅ Technical breakout aligned with resistance test.
✅ Fundamentals & sentiment confirm upside bias.
✅ Layering entries reduce risk & capture volatility.
✅ Plan respects upcoming macro events → CPI & Fed.
📊 XAG/USD Real-Time Data
Daily Change: +0.56% (▲ +0.23)
Day’s Range: $40.54 – $41.34
52-Week Range: $27.70 – $41.49
Year-to-Date Performance: +42.32% 🚀
😰😊 Fear & Greed Index
Stock Market Sentiment: Greed (53/100) 📈
Crypto Sentiment: Neutral (0/100)
Drivers:
Weak US labor data → boosting Fed rate cut expectations.
S&P 500 above 125-day MA → bullish momentum.
Low VIX → reduced fear.
📉📈 Trader Sentiment Outlook
Retail Traders:
Bullish (Long): 60% 😊
Bearish (Short): 40% 😰
Institutional Outlook:
Technical Bias: Strong Buy ✅
🌍📉 Fundamental & Macro Drivers
Fed Rate Cut Probability (Sep 2025): 100% ✅
US Dollar Weakness → supports precious metals.
Upcoming Events:
📅 Sep 11: CPI Report (volatility risk).
📅 Sep 16–17: Fed Meeting (critical rate decision).
Industrial Demand: Electronics + solar keeping silver in steady demand.
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
Bias: Bullish (Long) 🐂
Score: 75/100 (Strong upside potential).
Why Bullish?
Technical indicators = Strong Buy signals.
Fed dovish stance → USD weakness.
Geopolitical risks → safe-haven demand.
Risks: Hot CPI data → possible USD rebound.
💎 Key Takeaways
Silver is up +42% YTD → momentum intact.
Breakout levels align with Thief Layer Strategy.
Fed meeting (Sep 16–17) = major catalyst.
CPI data (Sep 11) = short-term volatility watch.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
AMEX:SLV (Silver ETF)
COMEX:GC1! (Gold Futures)
COMEX:SI1! (Silver Futures)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#Silver #XAGUSD #ThiefTrader #SwingTrade #Scalping #Commodities #Breakout #LayerStrategy #Fed #CPI #Metals
Silver uptrend sideways consolidation supported at 4067The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a consolidation within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4067 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4067 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4181 – initial resistance
4224 – psychological and structural level
4260 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4067 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4042 – minor support
4014 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 4067. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAGUSD Overextended: Watching 40.50 NecklineIn the past months I argued that Silver should rise and reach 40, and the market not only achieved that but even exceeded the level, printing a high at 41.50.
However, just like Gold, this move looks overextended and vulnerable to correction.
📌 Technically, price has tapped 41.50 twice. While it cannot yet be called a confirmed double top, the possibility exists. The neckline of this potential pattern is at 40.50.
• A break below 40.50 could trigger a deeper correction.
• First target: under 40, toward the 39 technical support zone.
🔑 Trading Plan: I remain cautious at these levels.
If 40.50 gives way, I will look for shorts targeting the 39 area. Counter-trend trades carry very high risk, but the setup is worth monitoring. 🚀
SILVER H1 | Price signals a potential bearish dropBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 40.93, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 41.37, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 40.36, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GAMMA SQUEEZE: Why Gold Prices will hit 5 000 + USDBottom line
If 1% of Treasuries ($278B) rotates into gold, $5,000/oz is not only plausible—it sits inside the low end of what flow math + today’s market microstructure can deliver. The path (and whether we print $8k+ spikes) hinges on how much of that flow shows up as short-dated calls—because that is what turns steady demand into a self-feeding gamma loop.
________________________________________
Executive summary
• A 1% rotation out of U.S. Treasuries is roughly $278B of new gold demand (using SIFMA’s latest estimate that Treasuries outstanding ≈ $27.8T).
• At today’s context (gold ~$3.53k/oz on Sep 2–5, 2025), $278B buys ~79.4M oz ≈ 2,471 tonnes; at $5k/oz it buys ~55.6M oz ≈ 1,729 tonnes. For scale, annual mine supply ≈ 3,661 t and total above-ground stocks ≈ 216,265 t (bars/coins+ETFs ≈ 48,634 t).
• That flow is huge relative to both quarterly demand value (Q2’25 ≈ $132B) and typical daily trading turnover (~$290B/day across OTC, futures & ETFs). Even spread out, it materially tilts the tape; if concentrated and routed via options, it can produce dealer hedging feedback—i.e., a gamma squeeze.
• Price targets (framework, not prophecy):
o Conservative flow-only: +40–60% → $4,900–$5,600/oz
o Base case (flow + some options reflexivity): +70–110% → $6,000–$7,500/oz
o Squeeze/overshoot window (short-dated calls heavy): episodic spikes >$8,000/oz possible, but hard to sustain without continued flow.
These bands come from scaling prior ETF-driven episodes (notably ~877 t ETF inflow in 2020 alongside a ~+36% price run) and sizing against current market depth, while layering a realistic options-hedging multiplier (details below).
________________________________________
1) What a “gamma squeeze” in gold means (and why it can happen)
Definition (in one line): When call buying concentrates near-dated, near-the-money strikes, dealers short gamma must buy futures as price rises (and sell if it falls) to keep neutral—this feedback accelerates upside (“gamma squeeze”).
Why it’s plausible in gold right now:
• The listed derivatives stack is large. As of Fri, Sep 5, 2025, CME’s daily bulletin shows COMEX gold options open interest ~0.80M contracts (calls ~0.49–0.69M; puts ~0.30–0.38M depending on line item), each on 100 oz—i.e., option OI notionally ties to ~2,400–2,800 t of gold. That is the powder keg a call-wave can act on.
• Implied vol is moderate (GVZ ~18 for 30-day GLD options), so vega is “affordable,” gamma is punchy in the front end.
• CME’s CVOL framework and open-interest tools confirm where strikes/expiries cluster; when OI stacks close to spot and near expiry, market-wide gamma becomes most sensitive.
Back-of-envelope hedging math (illustrative):
For a 30-day, at-the-money option with σ≈18%, the Black-Scholes gamma is about
Γ≈ϕ(0)SσT≈0.399S⋅0.18⋅30/365\Gamma \approx \frac{\phi(0)}{S\sigma\sqrt{T}} \approx \frac{0.399}{S\cdot 0.18 \cdot \sqrt{30/365}}.
At S=$3,500/oz, that’s ~0.0022 per $. A +1% move (+$35) bumps delta by ~0.077 per option. If just 150k near-ATM front-tenor calls are held by customers (dealers short gamma), hedge buying ≈ 150,000 × 100 oz × 0.077 ≈ 1.16M oz ≈ 36 t—per 1% price pop. That’s only a slice of total OI; a broader crowding raises this number. Compare with ~2,500 t/day of global turnover and you can see how concentrated dealer hedging can move price intraday.
________________________________________
2) Sizing a 1% Treasury → gold rotation
Treasury base: latest SIFMA comment put U.S. Treasuries outstanding ≈ $27.8T (Q1’25). 1% → $278B.
Gold the rotation would buy:
• At $3,500/oz: $278B → ~79.4M oz → ~2,471 t
• At $5,000/oz: $278B → ~55.6M oz → ~1,729 t
For scale:
• Annual mine supply (2024): ~3,661 t; total supply (incl. recycling): ~4,974 t. A $278B buy ticket equals 47–67% of a year’s mine output (depending on price), or ~35–50% of total annual supply.
• ETF precedent: In 2020, ~877 t net ETF inflow (~$48B) coincided with a ~+36% move from Jan→Aug 2020. Today’s $278B is ~5–6× that dollar size (and ~2–3× the tonnes, depending on price), hinting at large flow-driven upside even before any options reflexivity.
• Turnover lens: WGC puts average daily trading across OTC/futures/ETFs at roughly $290B/day recently. A $278B program is ~one day’s global turnover. Pushed quickly (or skewed to options), that’s impactful; stretched over months, the price impact softens but still accumulates.
Futures-only lens (capacity check):
At $3,500/oz, one COMEX GC contract notionally = $350k (100 oz). $278B equals ~794k GC contracts. Current futures OI is ~0.49M contracts, so this exceeds all COMEX OI—you cannot push that much via futures quickly without major repricing. Even at $5,000/oz (~$500k/contract), it’s ~556k contracts, still comparable to the entire OI.
________________________________________
3) Price-target framework (with the math that gets you there)
Think of the price in layers: (A) base flow impact + (B) options-gamma reflexivity + (C) second-round effects (short-covering, momentum, FX, central banks).
A) Flow-only impact (calibrated to 2020)
• 2020 anchor: 877 t ETF inflow ↔ ~+36% price. Using a simple proportionality, 1,729–2,471 t (your $278B) maps to ~+71% to +101%.
• Apply to spot ≈ $3,532/oz (early Sep 2025):
o +71% → ~$6,050/oz
o +101% → ~$7,100/oz
Caveat: 2020 had unique macro tailwinds, so I treat this as upper-middle of base range.
B) Options reflexivity / gamma squeeze overlay
If 20–30% of the $278B rotation expresses via short-dated calls (common for levered macro expressions), dealer hedging can amplify flow impact:
• From the OI math earlier, a mere 1% up-move can demand ~20–40 t of dealer hedge buying if near-ATM OI is thick. A 3–5% multi-day grind can easily cascade into 100–200 t of incremental buying from hedgers alone. That’s non-trivial vs. mine supply pace, and it pulls forward upside.
• Result: add another +10–20% to the flow-only levels during a squeeze while it lasts.
C) Second-round effects
• Central banks: still persistent net buyers (>1,000 t/yr pace in recent years), tending to fade dips rather than rallies—a structural bid.
• FX & rates: the GVZ ~18 regime means bursts of vol aren’t “expensive”; a weakening USD or policy shocks can tilt the target higher.
Putting it together—scenario bands
Scenario Assumptions Implied move Target
Conservative $278B spread over 6–9 months, mostly physical/ETFs; limited options +40–60% $4,900–$5,600
Base case 50–70% to physical/ETFs, 30–50% to futures/options; moderate dealer short-gamma +70–110% $6,000–$7,500
Squeeze / overshoot Short-dated call concentration, dealers persistently short gamma; flow bunches in weeks +120–>150% (episodic) >$8,000 (brief spikes)
$5,000 target is well within the conservative band if any meaningful fraction of the $278B pushes through quickly, even without a full-blown gamma loop.
________________________________________
4) Why the market could mechanically gap higher
• Market size vs. flow: Q2’25 total demand value = $132B. Dropping $278B into this ecosystem is a 2× quarterly shock.
• Trading capacity: $278B ≈ one full day of global turnover; price impact is convex when the risk-absorption (dealers, miners, recyclers) cannot scale linearly day-by-day.
• Derivatives gearing: With ~0.8M options contracts OI outstanding and futures OI ~0.49M, even a partial shift into calls forces hedge-buys on the way up, the hallmark of a squeeze.
________________________________________
5) Key risks / reality checks
• Time profile of the rotation matters. A slow, programmatic shift spreads impact; a front-loaded move can overshoot then mean-revert as gamma decays.
• Elasticity is asymmetric. Jewelry/fabrication falls at high prices (demand destruction), recycling rises, both cushioning extremes. That moderates how long >$7k can persist without continued flow.
• Volatility regimes change. If GVZ spikes to high-20s/30s, option premia jump, slowing new call demand; conversely, put demand can flip net gamma long for dealers, dampening squeezes.
________________________________________
References (most load-bearing)
• Treasury base: SIFMA—Treasuries outstanding $27.8T (Feb 2025).
• Gold supply & stocks: WGC—Above-ground stock 216,265 t (end-2024); bars/coins+ETFs 48,634 t; mine supply 2024 ≈ 3,661 t.
• Trading turnover: WGC—gold trading ≈ $290B/day.
• ETF precedent: WGC—2020 ETF inflows 877 t (~$47.9B) alongside major price rise.
• Current price context: Reuters—record highs $3,532/oz set in early Sep 2025. (
• Options/hedging plumbing: CME daily bulletin (Sep 5, 2025) showing gold options OI ~0.8M contracts; CME CVOL/tools; Cboe GVZ ~18 as 30-day IV.
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Silver | H1 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders.
Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod.
🧐 Market Overview:
I’m watching silver closely for a potential short setup. Price action suggests a possible head and shoulders formation, but I’m still waiting for confirmation from key variables before committing. For example:
- I’d like to see the current 1H candle close within my range
- Lower volume on the right shoulder compared to the left.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/reward = 3.0
Entry price = 40.88
Stop loss price = 41.14
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 40.17
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 39.77
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Patience is a trading edge. Waiting for confirmation before entering means fewer trades, but higher-quality ones.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts – I would like to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Silver Unfolds A New Impulse Within 5th WaveSilver is moving higher as expected, pushing even beyond 39, but since the market also broke to new highs, it’s clear that higher degree wave four is finished as a flat correction back at 36.20, so be aware of even further continuation higher into wave five while makret trades above 39. We need five subwaves now in this blue wave 5 cycle, so more gains can follow after some intraday setbacks. But keep in mind that we are in the final leg of the higher-degree fifth wave impulse that could come to an end around 42/43 this year.
XAGUSD H1 | Bearish reversal off pullback resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is reacting off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 40.96, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 41.37, which is a swing high resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 40.22, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SILVER, MONSTER RISE AHEAD targeting 3 digit pricing!!! SEED NOWFirst things first. Chart is based on reverse metrics of GOLD/SIVER.
SILVER, is usually the supporting actor of the main star GOLD for months. During GOLD's relentless series of rise from 1900 -- silver has been pretty much on the low key state in terms of volume exposure and media mileage but that is about to change soon.
Recent long term data metrics is hinting of a massive reversal to the upside after that elusive 14-year downtrend break. This event does not come often, so THIS IS VERY SPECIAL -- a once in a lifetime opportunity.
Based on our diagram, we are seeing some expanding upside pressure this past few weeks rendering a strong break of this long standing resistance trend that lasted years -- which started from 0.033 on April 2011 to finally tapping an extreme lows at 0.09 on January 2025. This HUGE SHIFT is giving some clues already of whats about to transpire in the next few months -- to break barriers.
Now things are shifting BIG TIME for SILVER as recent price surge this past few weeks has depicted a very significant net long positioning on a grand time scale (long term).
Since the start of 2025, SILVER has already risen almost 40% from its lows. An impressive feat.
This yearly percentile growth is hinting of a bigger picture as we move forward -- to rise further, and explore new high HIGHS in the next few seasons.
This recent massive break -- 14 years in the making should warrant significant positioning already both in retail and institutions.
I'm expecting SILVER to supercede gold in terms of percentile growth metrics % because of the wide price difference ratio.
SILVER will continue to grab good attention from hereon as increasing demand of this metal will just inflate its prices -- moreso, with apparent depleting supplies.
To add to this, US has proposed adding silver to its Critical Minerals List, reflecting its vital industrial, technological, and national security importance, especially for renewable energy, electronics, and medical applications. The draft 2025 list by the USGS and Department of the Interior includes silver for the first time, aiming to boost domestic supply security and reduce reliance on imports by providing incentives for mining and recycling.
With all these factored in, SILVER should be a no-brainer part of your portfolio starting today.
Rewards will be far greater than you will ever imagine.
Current price: 39.0
Target 100.
Long term Target 200-400.
TAYOR. Trade safely.
SILVER’S SUPERCYCLE: $40 Retest Could Ignite a Moonshot to $66Silver OANDA:XAGUSD ) has finally broken out of a multi-year resistance zone, soaring past $40 for the first time since 2011. With technical momentum building and macro tailwinds in place, this could be the beginning of a supercycle rally in precious metals.
Trade Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone: Watching for a pullback to $40.00 – a former resistance turned key support
🔹 Stop Loss: $38.00 (below support, invalidates breakout if breached)
🔹 Targets:
• TP1: $44.00 – $48.00
• TP2: $58.00 – $66.00
Why This Setup?
✅ Breakout from multi-decade cup & handle formation
✅ Bullish momentum driven by inflation hedging, weak USD, and rising industrial demand
✅ Historical precedents suggest that confirmed breakouts in silver often move fast and far
Watchlist:
🕵️ Keep an eye on volume, RSI divergence, and how price reacts near $40. A healthy pullback and strong bounce would validate the setup.
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#BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #MetalsTrading #SpotSilver #TradingSetup
#MacroTrading #SafeHavenAssets #InflationHedge #SilverSqueeze #Supercycle
Silver Trade Insights: Supply Levels, Seasonality and COTI have initiated a short position in silver as the price approaches a significant weekly supply zone. This entry was strategically determined based on an intra-day supply level identified on the daily chart. My outlook is primarily bearish, supported by seasonal patterns suggesting a potential downward trend. Additionally, non-commercial traders and institutional investors have been increasing their short positions, while retail traders continue to build long positions. I'm anticipating a possible trend reversal, but I also remain cautious of a retest of my designated supply area before any decisive move. As always, I recommend conducting thorough personal research before making any trading decisions.
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Silver Price Retreats from a 14-Year HighSilver Price Retreats from a 14-Year High
As the XAG/USD chart shows, yesterday silver climbed above $41.40 per ounce. The last time silver traded at this level was in September 2011. The rise in XAG/USD was supported by gold surging to a record high, which we reported yesterday.
Furthermore, Goldman Sachs analysts have issued a gold price forecast for mid-2026, according to which XAU/USD could rise to:
→ $4,000 under the base case;
→ $5,000 if 1% of the private US Treasury market flows into gold. This scenario would imply a loss of Federal Reserve independence, higher inflation, and the US dollar weakening as a so-called reserve currency.
Technical Analysis of XAG/USD
Analysing XAG/USD fluctuations, we can identify two ascending channels:
→ Medium-term (shown in blue): in play since early summer;
→ Short-term (shown in purple): reflecting increased demand over the past two weeks.
Within this context, it is evident that silver has encountered a resistance cluster formed by the upper boundaries of these channels. For short- and medium-term traders, this suggests that XAG/USD may be considered overvalued → potentially triggering a wave of profit-taking on long positions.
Signs of demand exhaustion include:
→ A bearish divergence on the RSI indicator;
→ The aggressive decline from the upper channel boundary (highlighted by the orange arrow).
Bulls may find support at the median line and lower boundary of the purple channel.
Given the above, we might assume that the purple channel could still sustain silver’s upward momentum by inertia. At the same time, the formation of a bearish reversal pattern (e.g. a double top) near the upper blue boundary could occur, followed by a correction towards the psychological $40 level (where a buyer imbalance was previously observed).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Silver is once again on a path that will lead to higher goals!Given the trend that began at the beginning of 2020, it seems that this precious metal has found a special place among investors and is consolidating itself in this position.
It should be noted that for whatever reason this consolidation occurs, the goals above $ 100 per ounce of silver are achievable.
The lagging behind the price of silver in comparison to the growth of the price of gold indicates attractive investment opportunities and, to quote us "noble Iranians", "maybe too soon is too late!"