XLM/USDT — A Tense Standoff Between Bulls and Bears!XLM is currently sitting at a critical inflection point after a sharp mid-year rally, followed by a structured descending corrective channel. This setup signals that while bearish pressure remains dominant, quiet buying activity is emerging in the background.
Price is now consolidating right above the major support block around 0.29 – 0.32 USDT (yellow zone) — the same area that sparked a massive vertical breakout back in July. This zone has once again become a battleground between buyers and sellers.
In recent weeks, every dip into this region has triggered quick buy reactions, suggesting potential accumulation by larger players. However, the upper boundary of the descending channel continues to act as dynamic resistance, keeping the market in a tense balance awaiting a decisive move.
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Key Technical Structure
Pattern: Descending Parallel Channel (structured correction after impulse move)
Major Support Zone: 0.29 – 0.32 USDT
Crucial Resistance: 0.351 USDT
Upside Targets if Breakout: 0.408 / 0.452 / 0.497 / 0.561 / 0.633 USDT
Downside Targets if Breakdown: 0.235 and 0.21 USDT
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Bullish Scenario — “The Silent Accumulation Play”
If XLM successfully defends the 0.29–0.32 support zone and breaks above 0.351 with convincing daily volume, it could signal the start of a trend reversal.
A breakout from this descending channel could ignite a local short squeeze, pushing price toward 0.408 – 0.497, and potentially up to 0.63 USDT if bullish momentum strengthens.
Such a move would confirm the end of the corrective phase and mark the beginning of a new impulsive wave for XLM.
> “As long as this support holds, the potential for a reversal remains quietly alive.”
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Bearish Scenario — “Break the Floor”
Conversely, if the demand block at 0.29–0.32 fails to hold, XLM could enter another capitulation leg, targeting 0.235 – 0.21 USDT.
This would confirm the continuation of the downtrend, with the descending channel acting not as a correction, but as a bearish continuation pattern.
Losing this critical support would give full control to sellers and expose the price to thin liquidity areas not revisited since early 2025.
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Strategic Conclusion
XLM is standing at a make-or-break zone.
The longer the price holds above the yellow block, the stronger the case for a potential reversal wave. But one decisive daily close below 0.29 would likely shift the entire market structure back into a dominant downtrend.
> This quiet phase is where the next big move is being decided.
Don’t react — anticipate.
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Analyst Notes
Volume remains muted, signaling potential accumulation.
RSI shows a mild bullish divergence (early signs of momentum shift).
Price structure is still locked within the channel; direction will be confirmed only upon a daily breakout.
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#XLM #Stellar #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalOutlook #CryptoMarket #Altcoins #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #SupportZone
XLM
XLMUSDT - This Classic Bearish Setup Could Trap Late LongsYello, Paradisers! Are you prepared for what could be the next leg down in XLMUSDT? Many are still looking for long setups, but this clean bearish formation could catch them completely off guard.
💎XLMUSDT has officially broken below its key ascending support trendline, and price action has since retested this breakdown level—right where it meets a strong resistance zone. This area is further reinforced by the 200 EMA, which has historically acted as a powerful dynamic resistance in trending markets. What adds even more weight to the bearish case is the textbook Double Top-pattern that has formed right at this confluence.
💎To make matters worse for the bulls, we’re seeing clear bearish divergence across multiple indicators, including the MACD, RSI, and Stochastic RSI. When these divergences align with a structural breakdown and a resistance retest, the probability of a bearish continuation significantly increases. This is not the kind of setup smart traders ignore.
💎For those looking to enter this move, aggressive traders could consider a position from the current price area. However, a more disciplined approach would be to wait for a clean pullback into the resistance zone, followed by a clear bearish candlestick confirmation. This not only offers a better entry, but also significantly improves the risk-to-reward ratio by allowing tighter risk placement above the invalidation level.
💎That said, if the price breaks out and closes a full candle above the resistance zone, the current bearish outlook would be invalidated. In that scenario, it would be best to stand aside and wait for clearer price action to develop before making any further decisions. Chasing moves after invalidation is never worth it.
🎖This is how professional traders separate themselves from the crowd—by waiting for high-probability setups and protecting capital when the market proves them wrong. Discipline and timing will always outperform emotion and FOMO in the long run. Stay sharp, Paradisers, and remember: consistency, strategy, and patience are the only way you’ll make it far in this market.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
XLM/USDT Is Testing Its Last Line of Defense — Breakout ImminentOverview
XLM is currently sitting at a critical inflection point on the daily timeframe. The chart reveals a clear Descending Channel structure that has persisted since August — a sign of sustained selling pressure, but also a classic setup for a major bullish reversal if price breaks out decisively.
Right now, XLM is reacting from the key demand zone at $0.31–$0.28, which previously triggered a strong upward move. How price behaves here will likely determine the trend direction for the remainder of the year.
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Pattern Explanation
Descending Channel (Yellow)
This pattern shows consistent lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish control. However, each touch of the lower boundary has sparked a strong bounce, suggesting that buyers are gradually defending the lower levels.
Critical Demand Zone ($0.31–$0.28)
This zone has historically acted as a strong accumulation area. The recent long wick below this zone signals a liquidity sweep, often seen when institutional players absorb sell orders before pushing price upward.
Pivot Level $0.351
Acts as a psychological and mid-range pivot. A confirmed daily close above this level could trigger a short-term momentum shift in favor of the bulls.
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Bullish Scenario
If XLM breaks and closes above the channel resistance and confirms a move above $0.351, it could mark the beginning of a trend reversal phase. Potential upside targets include:
Target 1: $0.408 — first local resistance after breakout.
Target 2: $0.452 – $0.497 — secondary resistance and trend validation zone.
Target 3: $0.562 – $0.633 — major resistance cluster and pre-expansion level.
Key confirmation: daily close above channel + volume breakout.
Additional signal: strong bullish candle (Marubozu or engulfing) with high volume.
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Bearish Scenario
If price fails to hold above $0.31–$0.28 and closes below the channel support, the bearish continuation may extend further:
Target 1: $0.25 — next minor demand area.
Target 2: $0.18–$0.20 — final liquidity zone before potential macro reversal.
A breakdown below this zone may trigger panic selling, but could also represent the final capitulation phase before long-term accumulation begins.
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Market Dynamics
The long lower wick seen recently indicates liquidity absorption by larger players (whales). This suggests that smart money might be accumulating positions while retail traders exit in fear.
If this pattern continues, XLM could be preparing for a macro reversal, similar to previous recovery structures seen in mid-2025.
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Conclusion
XLM is currently at a decision zone:
A breakout above $0.351 would confirm a reversal setup and open room for a rally toward $0.40+.
A breakdown below $0.31 would confirm bearish continuation toward deeper liquidity levels.
Traders should wait for confirmation and volume before taking major positions. The $0.31–$0.28 zone remains the most attractive accumulation area, while a breakout above the channel could spark a trend shift with strong momentum.
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#XLM #Stellar #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #DescendingChannel #BreakoutSetup #AltcoinAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #MarketStructure
The 2017 and 2025 $XLM structures are strikingly similar.The 2017 and 2025 CRYPTOCAP:XLM structures are strikingly similar.
In 2017, a breakout occurred following a prolonged descending wedge formation, which then began a parabolic run after a brief accumulation phase above the demand zone.
The 2025 structure also forms a similar technical foundation.
Technical reflections of historical cycles.
Same structure, different cycle. However, market psychology and price behavior are shaped similarly.
While times may change, the recurrence of technical patterns is the clearest indicator of cyclical nature.
Dynamics that worked in the past are returning to the scene in the new cycle.
XLM is once again recapturing its historical rhythm.
XLM is the inseparable shadow of XRP.
If XRP runs, XLM will surely follow.
XLM/USDT Technical AnalysisHello guys!
It looks like a clear double top has formed on the chart, signaling potential bearish pressure. The neckline of this pattern has already been broken to the downside, confirming the reversal structure and adding weight to a potential move lower.
Currently, the price is sitting right on the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This is a key decision area, as long as the channel support holds, there’s still a chance for a short-term bounce. However, if this bottom trendline gives way, it would likely trigger a continuation of the bearish momentum that started after the double top confirmation.
If the breakdown happens, the next logical target sits around 0.3698 , which aligns with previous structure support. A sustained move below that level could open the door for further downside, possibly toward the 0.3450–0.3500 zone.
In short:
✅ Double top confirmed → neckline broken
⚠️ Price testing channel support
🔻 Break below = potential short setup toward 0.3698 and lower
$XLM \ Stellar running itThe 2017 and 2025 structures on XLM weekly chart are strikingly similar.
In both periods, a breakout occurred after a prolonged descending wedge formation.
The breakout in 2017 was followed by an aggressive rally. The 2025 structure is forming a similar technical foundation.
Technical reflections of historical cycles.
XLM/USDT — Daily Chart Analysis !!XLM/USDT — Daily Chart Analysis
The price is currently trading around $0.40, holding firmly above the demand zone ($0.36–$0.34).
The chart shows a falling channel breakout, which is a bullish reversal pattern.
The Ichimoku Cloud is showing early signs of a bullish trend as the price is attempting to hold above the cloud base.
The moving average (MA) at $0.38 is acting as dynamic support – a positive sign for further upside.
📈 Long Setup:
Entry Zone: $0.38–$0.40
Stop-Loss: Below $0.34 (clear invalidation level)
Targets:
🎯 $0.46 → First Target
🎯 $0.51 → Main Swing Target
DYOR | NFA
XLM trade idea. October 2025Hello this is my first ever trade idea what I have shared. I am here to learn , so any constructive feed back is more than welcome :)
After an impulsive move, I identified a bull flag with inverse H&S pattern. After price broke the neckline I decided to open the long position at the level 0,3974 with TP $0,85 and SL $0,29.
With overall market uptrend and correlation with XRP movements in the past I expect a bullish scenario to happen after XRP ETF decision will be made by SEC on 26th of October.
XLMUSDT → End of correction. One step away from a rally BINANCE:XLMUSDT follows the flagship currency in forming a rally and breaking out of the correction. The trend is bullish, but news is ahead. Will the bulls be able to keep the price above the risk zone?
Bitcoin's growth is provoking a rally in altcoins. The price of XLM is breaking through the resistance of the downtrend and trying to consolidate in the bullish zone.
Stellar is breaking through the resistance of the correction and entering a new trading range of 0.3847 - 0.4142, respectively, after the rally, a correction is forming. The market may test support and the liquidity zone before rising.
Resistance levels: 0.4142, 0.4288, 0.433
Support levels: 0.3847, 0.3806
As part of the correction, I expect a retest of the 1/2 zone of the formed impulse or the support zone of 0.385 (previously broken consolidation and descending wedge border).
If the bulls keep the price from falling even after the news, the coin may continue its medium-term bullish run to 0.4685.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XLMUSD getting ready for an explosive break-out.Stellar (XLMUSD) has been trading within a Descending Triangle since the July 18 High and currently is ranging within its Support level and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
A similar Ascending Triangle back in May - June, rallied aggressively to its 2.0 Fibonacci extension (the July 18 High) after breaking above both its Lower Highs trend-line and the 1D MA50. Even the 1D RSI sequences among the two fractals are similar.
As a result, if the price breaks above the 1D MA50 - Lower Highs trend-line, we will turn bullish, targeting 0.78000 (Fib 2.0 ext).
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XLM/USDT — Critical Decision Zone at the Golden Confluence!XLM is currently trading at a make-or-break level. The daily chart shows the formation of a descending triangle, with sellers consistently pushing down the highs (lower highs) while buyers are defending a horizontal support zone between 0.3618 – 0.3295 USDT.
This zone acts as a “battle ground” due to several strong confluences:
Fibonacci 0.5 (0.3618) and 0.618 (0.3295) — the golden retracement area.
A historical demand zone (yellow box) that previously triggered strong rallies.
Multiple rejection wicks indicating buyers are still active around this level.
On the other hand, persistent lower highs reflect continuous seller pressure, shaping the descending triangle pattern which typically signals bearish continuation — unless a breakout occurs.
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🔼 Bullish Scenario
If XLM manages to break above the descending trendline and daily close above 0.4052 USDT with strong volume, it will be a major bullish signal. Potential upside targets:
0.4520 USDT (first resistance / TP1)
0.5047 USDT (TP2)
0.5610 USDT (TP3)
0.634 – 0.637 USDT (psychological resistance, extended target)
Such a breakout could confirm the end of the accumulation phase and open the door for a stronger bullish trend.
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🔽 Bearish Scenario
Conversely, if price fails to hold and we get a daily close below 0.3295 USDT, the descending triangle would be validated as a bearish continuation pattern. Downside targets include:
0.3295 USDT (first support at Fib 0.618)
0.2190 USDT (measured move projection of the triangle)
0.1997 USDT (historical low, last key support)
A breakdown below this golden pocket would suggest buyers are losing control and XLM may enter a deeper distribution phase.
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📌 Pattern Summary
Descending Triangle → highlights dominant selling pressure, with buyers holding the base.
Golden Fibonacci Confluence + Demand Zone → makes 0.3618–0.3295 a critical decision zone.
Volume confirmation is key — without strong participation, both breakout and breakdown moves could be false.
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🎯 Conclusion
XLM is at a crucial crossroads:
Breakout above 0.4052 → potential rally toward 0.452 – 0.505.
Breakdown below 0.3295 → triangle confirmation, targeting 0.22.
Traders should wait for daily close + volume confirmation before entering, and always apply strict risk management with stop-loss placement.
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#XLM #XLMUSDT #Stellar #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins #CryptoTrading #DescendingTriangle #Fibonacci
XLM - Waiting for the Wedge × Support RetestXLM is drifting inside a falling wedge and approaching the 0.34–0.32 blue support. I’m waiting for a retest of the intersection between the wedge’s lower trendline and this support to look for longs.
If buyers defend that confluence, I’ll look for a move toward 0.39–0.41, then 0.46–0.52 into the upper supply. A daily close below 0.32 invalidates and puts 0.24–0.23 back in play.
What’s your plan => bid the retest at the intersection, or wait for a clean wedge break first? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
XLM Weekly Market Update – Long Setup📊 CRYPTOCAP:XLM Weekly Market Update – Long Setup
As we can see on the weekly chart, CRYPTOCAP:XLM has formed a bullish double bottom pattern ✅
👉 After the pullback, it broke out of the black resistance zone, confirming a bullish structure.
🔼 Trade Idea:
📈 Entry Price (Current): 0.4002
🎯 Targets:
Target 1 → 0.4804
Target 2 → 0.6186
Target 3 → 0.7414
Target 4 → 0.8694
Target 5 → 0.9615
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.3370
⚠️ Risk: ~15.80%
💰 Potential Reward: ~140.19%
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~8.87
📌 Trade Type: Long
👉 If you’re holding CRYPTOCAP:XLM , these are the weekly targets & stop-loss to watch.
You will ask yourself, "how did he know Xlm would do that"?On Aug 30th I suggested that Xlm would drop lower into my T2, then bounce to my "take profit 1". I am grateful this played out perfectly.
Now the question remains, will we get a pullback or continue up to my T2? What are your thoughts? I'd like to hear from you and get a sense of sentiment.
XLM — Correction Ending, Rally Loading?XLM recently found support at the 0.55 Fib retracement, in confluence with the 21 EMA/SMA on the weekly timeframe, triggering a bounce. The ideal 0.618 long entry unfortunately did not come into play.
Support Confluence
21 EMA (weekly): $0.3536
21 SMA (weekly): $0.3384
200 EMA (daily): $0.33425
200 SMA (daily): $0.3136
This cluster around $0.35–$0.31 forms a strong dynamic support zone and a great range for DCA laddering.
Resistance Confluence (Take Profit Zone $0.63–$0.65)
20B Market Cap Resistance: ~$0.63
Key High (Buy-Side Liquidity): $0.6374
0.786 Fib retracement: $0.6426
1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension: $0.648
1.618 Fib Extension: $0.6296
Together, these create a stacked resistance cluster between $0.63–$0.65 → ideal take-profit zone and potential short setup.
🟢 Trade Plan
Best Entry: Laddering (DCA) from current levels down toward $0.31
Stop-Loss: Flexible depending on DCA strategy, clear invalidation below $0.31
Target (TP Zone): $0.63–$0.65
Technical Insight
The bounce from the 0.55 Fib retracement + weekly 21 EMA/SMA shows bulls defending this zone.
With strong dynamic support below and a stacked resistance confluence cluster at $0.63–$0.65, XLM may be setting up for a 70%+ rally.
DCA remains the best approach, as laddering down toward $0.31 allows flexible positioning.
Key Levels to Watch
Support: $0.35–$0.31 (EMA/SMA cluster, DCA zone)
Resistance / TP: $0.63–$0.65 (Fib, extensions, market cap confluence)
🔍 Indicators used
Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the weekly 21 EMA/SMA.
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
The Black Hole Swallowing $XLMStellar Lumens is showing clear signs of a bearish structure despite recent volatility. The chart suggests that price action may attempt a relief rally toward the $0.47 zone, but this move looks more like a corrective upswing within a broader downtrend.
Unless CRYPTOCAP:XLM can establish strong support above that level, the probability remains high that it will resume its descent, with a decisive move back below $0.34 on the horizon. In short, the gravitational pull of the broader market trend appears stronger than any short-term bounce.
Patience and risk management are critical here..this is less of a breakout and more of a classic bull trap in the making.
Stellar (XLM) Market Outlook — September 02, 2025Sergio Richi Premium ✅
#Stellar CRYPTOCAP:XLM — Market Outlook — September 02, 2025.
Current price : $0.3620
Charts:
Let’s be real: Stellar isn’t just another alt. It’s got actual utility — fast cross-border payments, cheap fees, and big-name partners (Visa, PayPal, MoneyGram, even Telegram wallets). That’s not meme-coin hype, that’s infrastructure.
Why It Matters
➖ Protocol 23 Upgrade (September 3, 2025): A major network enhancement focusing on scalability for tokenization and RWA use cases, including improved smart contract performance and data handling. This is expected to boost institutional adoption and could drive XLM toward $1.27-$2.39 if bullish momentum holds.
➖ Archax Partnership (August 18, 2025): Collaboration with institutional-grade exchange Archax to accelerate RWA tokenization, including fractional real estate and yield-bearing assets.
➖ PayPal PYUSD Integration (July–August 2025 Impact): PayPal's stablecoin on Stellar triggered a 5% price surge earlier, with ongoing effects into August. PayPal's Digital Currencies SVP joining SDF further strengthens ties.
➖ Telegram Wallet Integration: Enables seamless XLM transfers within chats, boosting mass adoption.
➖ ZARC Stablecoin Launch (Ongoing 2025): TD Markets' South African Rand-pegged asset on Stellar, ideal for remittances.
➖ Visa Stablecoin Settlement Support: Visa added Stellar for settlements with PYUSD, USDG, and EURC, enhancing global payment rails.
➖ UNDP Partnership and SDG Accelerator: Stellar joins for pilots in climate finance and social protection.
➖ RWA and DeFi Milestones: Q2 2025 saw $4 billion in RWA payments, with tokenized assets rising from $15.2B to $24B. DeFi TVL growth across protocols signals real-world utility.
The Trade
XLM is sitting at $0.36 after a choppy summer. In my book, it’s coiling for the next leg of the global bull run.
🎯 Targets:
➡️ Take Profit 1: $1.27 (+250%)
➡️ Take Profit 2: $2.39 (+560%)
Final Take
Stellar’s building the rails while half the market’s still arguing about ETFs. At these levels, risk/reward screams long.






















