Stellar (XLM) Market Outlook — September 02, 2025Sergio Richi Premium ✅
#Stellar CRYPTOCAP:XLM — Market Outlook — September 02, 2025.
Current price : $0.3620
Charts:
Let’s be real: Stellar isn’t just another alt. It’s got actual utility — fast cross-border payments, cheap fees, and big-name partners (Visa, PayPal, MoneyGram, even Telegram wallets). That’s not meme-coin hype, that’s infrastructure.
Why It Matters
➖ Protocol 23 Upgrade (September 3, 2025): A major network enhancement focusing on scalability for tokenization and RWA use cases, including improved smart contract performance and data handling. This is expected to boost institutional adoption and could drive XLM toward $1.27-$2.39 if bullish momentum holds.
➖ Archax Partnership (August 18, 2025): Collaboration with institutional-grade exchange Archax to accelerate RWA tokenization, including fractional real estate and yield-bearing assets.
➖ PayPal PYUSD Integration (July–August 2025 Impact): PayPal's stablecoin on Stellar triggered a 5% price surge earlier, with ongoing effects into August. PayPal's Digital Currencies SVP joining SDF further strengthens ties.
➖ Telegram Wallet Integration: Enables seamless XLM transfers within chats, boosting mass adoption.
➖ ZARC Stablecoin Launch (Ongoing 2025): TD Markets' South African Rand-pegged asset on Stellar, ideal for remittances.
➖ Visa Stablecoin Settlement Support: Visa added Stellar for settlements with PYUSD, USDG, and EURC, enhancing global payment rails.
➖ UNDP Partnership and SDG Accelerator: Stellar joins for pilots in climate finance and social protection.
➖ RWA and DeFi Milestones: Q2 2025 saw $4 billion in RWA payments, with tokenized assets rising from $15.2B to $24B. DeFi TVL growth across protocols signals real-world utility.
The Trade
XLM is sitting at $0.36 after a choppy summer. In my book, it’s coiling for the next leg of the global bull run.
🎯 Targets:
➡️ Take Profit 1: $1.27 (+250%)
➡️ Take Profit 2: $2.39 (+560%)
Final Take
Stellar’s building the rails while half the market’s still arguing about ETFs. At these levels, risk/reward screams long.
XLM
Is $XRP ready for another leg higher? After breaking out of a 6 month consolidation, XRP broke out from 2.4 and hit 3.6 in late July - is it ready to test the 3.6 level again after consolidating for about 40 days? 2.85 appears to be a good entry with a stop loss of 2.6. Best of luck if you are following.
The XLM chart looks STELLARSince making a High in January of 2018 at just shy of a dollar.
This Asset has made subsequent higher lows during the following two bear markets for #Altcoins. Suggesting strong accumulation from "smart" money.
The last bear was an extended bear for alts. Which allowed for even more time to accumulate this asset.
Leading to a pressure cooker situation with a clear level that will mark the explosion.
The horizontal level at around 52 cents is clear level for which this asset must close to ignite what could possible be a substantial rally!
XLM/USDT — Descending Triangle at a Key Fibonacci Zone!🔎 Market Overview
Currently, XLM/USDT (Daily, OKX) is trading around 0.3645, testing the golden support zone between 0.3625 (0.5 Fib) and 0.3300 (0.618 Fib).
This area is highly significant because:
It has acted as a historical demand zone, repeatedly holding the price.
It aligns with the Fibonacci golden pocket (0.5 & 0.618 levels), often watched by institutional traders.
Price action forms a descending triangle, where sellers create consistent lower highs while buyers defend a horizontal floor.
In short, we are at a make-or-break decision point: will XLM break down further, or will buyers trigger a strong breakout against the classic bearish setup?
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📐 Structure & Technical Context
Pattern: Descending Triangle → statistically bearish continuation, but strong support zones often trigger bullish fakeouts.
Lower Highs: indicate steady selling pressure.
Horizontal Support: strong cluster around 0.33 – 0.3625, coinciding with golden pocket Fib levels.
Key Resistances Above:
0.4520
0.5047
0.5610
0.6340 – 0.6370 (major supply zone).
A breakout above could flip the triangle into a bear trap and spark a mid-term rally.
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🚀 Bullish Scenario
Main condition: price must break above the descending trendline with a convincing daily close + high volume.
Conservative entry: wait for breakout + retest (price breaks the trendline, then retests as support).
Upside Targets:
TP1 = 0.4520
TP2 = 0.5047
TP3 = 0.5610
TP4 = 0.6340 – 0.6370 (major resistance zone).
Invalidation: daily close below 0.33 (breakdown confirmed).
📊 Example Risk/Reward:
Entry = 0.3645
Stop = 0.33
TP1 = 0.4520
→ Risk = 0.0345 | Reward = 0.0875 → R:R ≈ 2.5 : 1
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🩸 Bearish Scenario
If support breaks:
Trigger: daily close < 0.33 (0.618 Fib).
Downside Targets:
First = 0.27
Next = 0.23
Extended = 0.17 (historical swing low).
Strategy: short on breakdown + retest (support turned resistance).
Invalidation: price reclaims trendline & closes above 0.4520.
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📊 Trading Plan Summary
The 0.33–0.3625 zone is the golden decision point:
Holding → potential bullish rally.
Breaking → deeper bearish continuation.
The descending triangle clearly shows where pressure is building.
Always manage risk tightly, as this pattern often creates false breakouts before the real move.
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XLM is sitting at a critical crossroads. A descending triangle has formed exactly on the golden pocket Fibonacci (0.33–0.3625). A breakout could trigger upside targets at 0.45 / 0.50 / 0.56, while a breakdown could lead to 0.27 / 0.23. Wait for daily close + volume confirmation. This golden zone will decide XLM’s next big move.
#XLM #Stellar #XLMUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #Altcoin #DescendingTriangle #SupportResistance #Fibonacci #Breakout #BearishOrBullish #SwingTrade
TOTAL - total cap crypto "this looks bad," Not saying I've done trivial work in effort to determine the end of an Elliott wave phase peak; so, the chart looks like an Elliott wave does it not? The previously major halving did not have a similar chart where an Elliott wave 1,2,3,4,5 happened. This time it does look like that. Is it possible to have 6,7 phase inclusive to the chart albeit from the idea that Elliott wave means nothing to the new community of virtual currency digital money defi tropes meme derivative foreplay variable online meta landscape of the future? If I was betting on history repeating itself and the looks of the chart here for all cryptocurrency I would say this is not good looking for me, a guy who has made literally no money on cryptocurrency since the last halving despite trying so many times. The world is against me, the trends are fake, the people in society are all brainwashed by propaganda war machine rhetoric political asylums and the minority reports of mainstream majority peoples. Why now? Why not? I'm not looking forward to losing more money then I already have. I haven't made money. Online news doesn't help. Content creators don't help. My family does not help. These indicators which I feel I have a strong understanding of, do not help. Cryptocurrency is too volatile and unpredictable in ways that prevents mathematical decision making becoming profitable. The major players that control the phases of time are established based on the backs of working class people, and savings. We created a monster(s). Now those monsters are eating cryptocurrency for lunch. Cryptocurrency ≠ main course.
XLM - Stellar Lumens - Zero to Hero Chart... $138...After a long silence, I return—not with the same voice you once knew, but with a vision sharpened by time and transformation. Welcome back to AriasWave, where charts are more than technicals—they are echoes of cycles, whispers of the unseen rhythm guiding both markets and empires.
For those gripped by bearish doubt, prepare to enter paralysis… because what I now see is far greater than just XLM’s price action. My eyes have opened beyond M2 money supply, beyond the surface stories of economics, into a deeper current—an unfolding pattern etched into the very fabric of the global system. AriasWave has revealed to me the coming sequence of peaks and troughs, not only in crypto but across the arc of history itself, stretching 20… 30… even 40 years ahead (much more actually).
But first, we must face the shadows. The near term carries darkness, volatility, uncertainty—but hidden within is the seed of renewal. This chart, though only a fragment of a vast fractal structure, is where I begin to share these revelations. It is simple, yes, yet profoundly niche, and it carries the pulse of what is to come.
Step into this journey with me. What lies ahead is not merely analysis—it is prophecy written in waves.
I will explain this target in a video shortly... stay tuned...
XLM/USDT Secondary trend. 14 04 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. After a big pump "with a stick" (so that the "waiters" who want "a little cheaper" would not have time to buy) +8.5X from the accumulation zone of 2.4 years, now a descending wedge is forming on the rollback, similar to 2017. Breaking through its resistance (breaking the downward trend) - the second wave of price growth:
1) through consolidation and sideways movement (cutting the zone, dumping "in waves").
2) aggressive pump as in 2017 "with a stick" and entry into the main distribution zone (late autumn 2025)
The previous idea of the secondary trend was published on 14 01 2024 Exactly when the position was being collected in the horizontal channel in the 4 zones shown, as well as the reversal zone and the percentage of this first strong pump (under XRP).
XLM/USDT Secondary trend. 14 01 2024
XLM/USD Main trend. Timeframe 1 week. Channel. Publication in 2022.
Local wedge breakout zone.
XLM/USDT - Bullish Momentum Gaining Strength🚀 Trade Setup Details:
🕯 #XLM/USDT 🔼 Buy | Long 🔼
⌛️ TimeFrame: 1D
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🛡 Risk Management (Example):
🛡 Based on $10,000 Balance
🛡 Loss-Limit: 1% (Conservative)
🛡 The Signal Margin: $375.52
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☄️ En1: 0.336 (Amount: $37.55)
☄️ En2: 0.303 (Amount: $131.43)
☄️ En3: 0.2815 (Amount: $168.98)
☄️ En4: 0.2615 (Amount: $37.55)
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☄️ If All Entries Are Activated, Then:
☄️ Average.En: 0.2929 ($375.52)
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☑️ TP1: 0.4316 (+47.35%) (RR:1.78)
☑️ TP2: 0.5206 (+77.74%) (RR:2.92)
☑️ TP3: 0.6607 (+125.57%) (RR:4.72)
☑️ TP4: 0.8946 (+205.43%) (RR:7.71)
☑️ TP5: 1.2501 (+326.8%) (RR:12.27)
☑️ TP6: Open 🔝
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❌ SL: 0.2149 (-26.63%) (-$100)
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💯 Maximum.Lev: 2X
⌛️ Trading Type: Swing Trading
‼️ Signal Risk: 🙂 Low-Risk! 🙂
🔎 Technical Analysis Breakdown:
This technical analysis is based on Price Action, Elliott waves, SMC (Smart Money Concepts), and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts. All entry points, Target Points, and Stop Losses are calculated using professional mathematical formulas. As a result, you can have an optimal trade setup based on great risk management.
📊 Sentiment & Market Context:
Stellar (XLM) is showing strong bullish momentum amid a growing demand for scalable, fast cross-border payment solutions. With the expanding adoption of Stellar’s blockchain technology in financial institutions and partnerships driving real-world use cases, market sentiment is turning increasingly optimistic. This fundamental strength combined with solid technical setups makes XLM/USDT a compelling long opportunity.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly.
💡 Stay Updated:
Like this technical analysis? Follow me for more in-depth insights, technical setups, and market updates. Let's trade smarter together!
TradeCityPro | XLM: Key Support Holding Amid Seller Pressure👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to review the XLM coin for you. It is one of the RWA projects with a market cap of $12.76 billion, currently ranked 13th on CoinMarketCap.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, this coin has reached a Maker Seller zone. So far, it has tested this zone twice and has been rejected both times.
🔍 In the second rejection, a lower high was formed, which shows weakness in the bearish trend. There is an important support level at 0.3629, and as long as the price remains above this level, the trend of this coin will stay bullish.
⚡️ If 0.3629 is broken, a deeper correction could extend to 0.3142. If the price continues to drop further, the main support of XLM will be around the 0.2244 zone.
✔️ However, if the price does not break below the 0.3629 level, I will try to open a long position with a breakout above the zone, because this level is very important, and its breakout could start a new bullish trend.
💥 The breakout trigger for this zone is currently at 0.4896, but in lower timeframes, we can find better triggers when the price reaches this level.
🔽 For a short position, we can open one if 0.3629 is broken, but for now, I will not open a short position, and if I take long positions, I prefer to do so on other coins instead of XLM.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Stellar Falls To $0.40; But Parabolic SAR Flags Deeper DeclineAt the time of writing , BINANCE:XLMUSDT trades at $0.409 and faces a risk of slipping lower. Technical factors point to a potential drop toward $0.393 support, a level that may determine whether bearish control continues to strengthen in the coming sessions.
From a technical perspective, BINANCE:XLMUSDT momentum is leaning bearish . The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has confirmed a bearish crossover, signaling growing downside pressure. The crossover reflects weakening strength among buyers and indicates a market environment increasingly favorable for sellers.
Adding to the concern, the Parabolic SAR indicator is positioned above candlesticks, acting as resistance. This placement confirms a downtrend, suggesting BINANCE:XLMUSDT could face additional declines. If bearish sentiment dominates, the cryptocurrency might even test deeper support near $0.359, worsening investor confidence further.
However, if traders shift toward a bullish stance, Stellar has recovery potential. Reclaiming $0.424 as support could allow BINANCE:XLMUSDT to climb toward $0.445. Achieving this move would negate the bearish outlook, signaling renewed strength and stabilizing the asset after recent declines.
Xlm - More short term upside. Should we be medium term bearish?There is a high probability that Btc will go lower (see my Aug 16 Btc chart). Does that mean alts will too? I hope not, but I need to protect my gains. Being too bulish can get me in trouble, especially if I'm not taking profits.
Being aware of inflection points has proven to be extremely helpful in retaining my gains. If I'm wrong and the asset pumps, that's OK too. Because I have learned that losing out on "potential gains" (FOMO) is NOT the same as losing my capital.
May the trends be with you.
How did I know that Xlm would retrace...then bounce off $0.38?On Aug 5th I suggested that Xlm was apporaching an "inflection point", indicated by my green and red arrows converging at $0.38. See chart below from Aug 5th.
In mathematics an "inflection point" is a point in the curve at which a change in the direction of curvature occurs. These price charts are merely graphs, with coordinates and reoccuring patterns. Anticipating inflection points allow me to determine directionality. Knowing where direction may change allows me to either make quick profitable decisions and/or where to set appropriate stops (invalidation).
TA works!
XLMUADT Ready for Another Moonshot After Bullish Flag Breakout!$XLMUADT has just broken out of a well-formed bullish flag pattern, signaling the potential start of a strong upward move. This comes after its earlier breakout from a rising channel, which delivered impressive gains to traders who caught the move. The current breakout setup mirrors that previous rally, and if history repeats, we could be looking at another powerful uptrend in the making.
With momentum building and technicals aligning, buyers seem to be taking control again. However, as always, risk management is key, keep a strict stop loss in place to protect capital and lock in profits as the move unfolds. The market has already shown us what CRYPTOCAP:XLM can do, and this breakout might just be the next big opportunity.
$XLMUADT Currently trading at $0.44
Buy level : Above $0.415
Stop loss : Below $0.35
Target 1: $0.522
Target 2: $0.6
Target 3: $0.8
Max leverage 5x
Always keep stop loss
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Stellar (XLM): Proper Break of Structure (BoS) | Bullish We had a clean breakout on the XLM coin where the price did form the Break of Structure, and now we are aiming for that resistance zone near $0.50.
Even that zone is not the final stop for us; we look for that major target zone (which is major resistance on a bigger timeframe) to be reached!
Swallow Academy
You will ask yourself "how did he know Xlm would do that"?Here's a simplified summary of my prediction made on 7/23 & 7/29 for my ideal entry.
Feel free to review my Xlm charts on those days to confirm.
I keep stats on my accuracy and so should you.
How else would you know what influencer to actually follow?
Bullish on XLMUSDTStellar / XLM turns bullish again, retracement is over. We have an EMA cross, we have passed an high volume node and now we try to move above EMA200. As soon as we manage to stay above we will head for the targets around 0.46$ and 0.52$.
For more trade ideas check and insights check our profile.
Disclamer: only entertaining purpose, no financial advice - trading is risky.
Stellar (XML) Price Ends 2-Week Downtrend As Inflows SpikeBINANCE:XLMUSDT price is currently trading at $0.41 1, just under the resistance level of $0.424. Breaking this resistance will be key for XLM to recover the recent losses and continue its upward trajectory. The Parabolic SAR moving below the candlesticks after two weeks signals that the downtrend is coming to an end.
Ethereum’s technical indicators also suggest a return to bullish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved back into the positive zone, above the neutral 50.0 mark, after briefly dipping into bearish territory. This reversal from the prior downtrend shows that BINANCE:XLMUSDT is regaining strength.
The RSI indicates that investor sentiment is improving . The brief period of bearishness was likely caused by broader market uncertainty and skepticism. However, with the RSI back in the positive range, the likelihood of further price increases has increased.
If Stellar can flip $0.424 into support , it could pave the way for a rise past $0.445 and possibly reach $0.470 . This would allow BINANCE:XLMUSDT to recover a significant portion of the losses it sustained over the past two weeks and continue its uptrend.
However, if broader market conditions fail to remain bullish and investor sentiment turns negative, BINANCE:XLMUSDT could face a decline. A failure to maintain support at $0.424 could lead XLM to drop to $0.393 , with further bearish momentum pushing the price to $0.359, invalidating the bullish outlook.
Stellar (XLM) Shoot Up 11%, Aims To Cross This Barrier
BINANCE:XLMUSDT price has increased by 11% over the last 24 hours , positioning it among the top-performing altcoins. Trading at $0.4077 , the altcoin remains under the resistance of $0.4245. This indicates potential for a breakout if broader market conditions stay favorable and support the bullish trend.
The 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) provides strong support, signaling that the broader market momentum is bullish. This support could propel BINANCE:XLMUSDT towards $0.4450 , with further gains potentially pushing it to $0.4701, confirming the continuation of its positive trajectory in the market if conditions remain favorable.
However, if market conditions worsen , especially with the upcoming August 7 announcements, XLM might fail to breach $0.4245 . In this case, the price could fall to $0.3597 , and losing this support would invalidate the bullish outlook for BINANCE:XLMUSDT , signaling potential downside risks in the coming days.
XLMUSDT 1H Market OutlookBINANCE:XLMUSDT
Trade Setup:
Target 1: 0.4513
Target 2: 0.4872
Target 3: 0.5231
Target 4: 0.1808
Stop Loss: 0.3795
Pattern: The chart indicates a "CHOCH" (Change of Character) pattern, suggesting a potential trend reversal or continuation depending on context.
Trend: Recent price action shows an upward movement after a dip, with the price approaching the entry level.