XAU/USD: Retest of 4,150 Holds as Bulls Eye Channel ExtensionXAU/USD is reclaiming ground above the broken range, retesting the 4,150 zone while maintaining bullish momentum from the recent breakout. Price is forming higher lows along the upward trendline, beneath the descending resistance line.
A sustained move above 4,150 keeps the path open toward 4,285, as long as buyers defend the retest. Momentum remains bullish, with potential for further extension into the upper resistance zone.
❗️ Risks:
– H4 close below 4,150 weakens the setup.
– Strong USD data may trigger a pullback.
– Rejection from the descending trendline could stall momentum.
Futures market
Brent Oil Under Pressure – Key Resistance Zone Holding Strong!🔥 UKOIL / BRENT Energies Market Opportunity Blueprint (Day & Swing Plan) ⚡️
📉 Plan Overview:
Thief is spotting a Bearish Blueprint on UKOIL / Brent — price confirming rejection around the Triangular Moving Average (TMA) zone 📊. A clean pullback and retest structure are forming — time for a layered sell approach to capitalize on energy market volatility ⚙️
🎯 Entry Idea:
Thief enters with multiple limit layers (Layering Strategy) — scaling in smartly with precision entries:
🔹 Sell Limits @ 64.500 / 64.000 / 63.500
(You can increase or adjust the layers based on your own conviction & market timing 🕰️)
🛑 Stop-Loss Guidance:
This is Thief’s SL @ 65.000 💣
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), adjust your stop loss based on your risk appetite and confirmation setups. Risk management is the crown 👑 of consistency.
💰 Target Zone:
Watch out for the Police Barricade Zone @ 60.500 — this level aligns with strong support, potential oversold condition, and a trap + correction scenario 🔦
Escape with profits before liquidity hunts you — take money when you see money 💵
📘 Note to Thief OG’s:
I’m not recommending my SL or TP as mandatory levels — it’s your chart, your strategy, your risk, your reward. Trade smart, not emotional 🧠
🧩 Related Market Pairs to Watch:
🔸 WTI Crude (USOIL/USD) – Highly correlated with UKOIL. A bearish structure here often confirms momentum for Brent.
🔸 USD/CAD 💵 – Inverse correlation! A rising USD/CAD often strengthens the bearish sentiment in crude markets.
🔸 XLE (Energy ETF) – Keeps track of energy sector performance; confirmation of trend strength adds confluence to your trade.
📊 Key Market Correlations:
Oil reacts strongly to USD strength, global demand outlook, and OPEC sentiment. Keep an eye on DXY (US Dollar Index) — stronger dollar usually pressures Brent prices lower 💹
🚀 Thief Quote of the Day:
"Patience pays more than panic — layer in silence, exit in profit." 🕶️
#UKOIL #Brent #EnergyMarket #ThiefTrader #BearishSetup #LayeringStrategy #SwingTrade #OilMarket #WTI #USD #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis
ES - Buy The Dip ?NQ1
Indexes have begun to slump with impulse today.
Previously S&P bounced hard from the 1:1 extension.
That completed a 3 wave correction where the first impulse wave down began after news of a Trump tariff threat against China was reported on.
So with plenty of impulsive chop for some time, this current wave down may well be the tail end of a fairly long correction phase.
Notice that S&P Futures has slumped below support - into higher liquidity.
This could well trigger a reversal.
If it does then we may be on the brink of the next bounce and into the next bullish phase.
Stocks / assets showing strength may do well if a bounce arrives.
And this may also be an opportunity to catch knives in stocks in confluence zones of support / RSI / ratio 🧐.
Gold prices have pulled back; consider buying around 4180.Gold prices have pulled back; consider buying around 4180.
As shown in the 30-minute chart:
Current Strategy:
BUY: 4170-4180 (limit)
SL: 4150
TP: 4200+
Gold prices are clearly experiencing selling pressure and a correction; the sharp drop presents a buying opportunity.
Current Support Range: 4170-4180 (Optimal Buying Range)
Strong Support Range: 4150
Trend Support: 4100-4120
Current Resistance: 4250-4280
Pullbacks are buying opportunities.
Just go for it!
Gold BubbleI think we are in an "everything bubble" presently.
The type of growth seen since 2020 has not been warranted in any sector, even with all the bonus money printed factored in...
That said, I think price will continue to rise rapidly afterward, since I believe we also hit the hyperinflation threshold some time ago.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Bulls Eye 4285 After 4153 BreakoutAfter a short consolidation phase, gold broke above the 4153 resistance and extended higher, now trading around 4236. A clean break and hold above 4234 could open the path for the next resistance at 4285.
If bullish momentum fades, watch the MA50 for potential dynamic support and the Pullback Zone (4153–4115) for a possible retracement area.
Failure to hold that zone could trigger a deeper move toward lower support levels.
📌Key Levels to watch:
Resistance:
4234
4285
4322
Support:
4197
4153
4115
4074
4027
🔎Fundamental Focus:
Today’s calendar is light on major economic data, but multiple FOMC members are scheduled to speak, which could provide hints on future monetary policy direction.
Gold Bullish Strategy AnalysisGold has ended its three-week consolidation phase, and the technical trend remains upward. The daily chart shows a strong six-day winning streak, with the 10-day and 7-day moving averages (MA10/MA7) trending upwards to their current levels of 4053/4083. The 1-hour and 4-hour charts show the Bollinger Bands widening upwards, with the price trading in the upper half of the bands. The moving average system is also trending upwards, the MACD histogram is showing increasing momentum, and the RSI is hovering near 70. The trading strategy for gold remains unchanged: buy on dips!
Looking at the current 4-hour chart, short-term moving averages are turning upwards. The key is whether positive news can sustain the upward momentum. A further upward breakout is possible on Thursday and Friday, but we need to pay close attention to the strong resistance area above 4250. Short-term support is around 4150. If the price continues to trade above 4150, it indicates that the bullish trend remains intact.
Key Levels:
First Support: 4180, Second Support: 4153, Third Support: 4131
First Resistance: 4210, Second Resistance: 4248, Third Resistance: 4266
Gold Trading Strategy:
Buy: 4160-4165, SL: 4150, TP: 4180-4190;
Sell: 4250-4255, SL: 4265, TP: 4230-4220;
More Analysis →
Gold Maintains Uptrend, Watch for Pullback to Buy with Cash Flow🔍 Context & Market Structure
After a strong upward impulse from a low liquidity area, the price has broken the downtrend structure and formed a bullish BoS on H1.
Currently, gold is accumulating above the Support Zone at 4,183 USD after creating a new peak and leaving a FVG just below the current price .
Above is the Liquidity Zone $$$ around 4,232 USD – a concentration of sell-side stop losses and buy-side profit-taking orders, likely to create a “final push” that attracts liquidity.
=> Overall: the main trend remains bullish , prioritising waiting for a pullback to discount levels to buy with the trend rather than chasing orders at high levels.
💎 Key Technical Zones
Liquidity Zone $$$: around 4,232 USD – upper liquidity area, prone to profit-taking reactions.
Current FVG: price gap area just below the current price (around 4.20x) – expected to “fill the gap” before continuing.
Support Zone 1: 4,183 USD – nearest support, confluence with the area where the upward impulse began to slow.
Support Zone 2: 4,140 USD – stronger support, aligning with the old structure.
Liquidity Clear: 4,101 USD – lower liquidity area, if swept, it would be a very attractive discount for swing buyers.
📈 Proposed Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Buy with the trend at FVG / 4,183 USD
Priority to wait for the price to:
Either fill the FVG around 4.20x and show a rejection candle,
Or clearly retest Support 4,183 USD with a bullish reversal signal on M15–H1.
When a confirmation signal appears:
→ Consider buying (BUY) around 4.19x – 4.18x .
Stoploss: below 4,175 USD (below the nearest low and support).
TP reference:
TP1: 4,210 USD
TP2: 4,232 USD (Liquidity Zone $$$)
TP3: trailing if the price breaks through 4,232 and maintains the bullish structure.
2️⃣ Alternative Scenario – Deeper Pullback Before Continuing Upward
If the price clearly breaks 4,183 USD and closes an H1 candle below:
→ Avoid buying hastily, wait for the price to continue adjusting to Support 4,140 USD or even Liquidity Clear 4,101 USD .
At these zones, if there appears:
strong rejection candles,
or small reversal structures (bullish ChoCH on M15),
→ Then consider buying at a discount with better RR, targeting a return to 4,183 → 4,210 → 4,232 USD.
3️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario (for experienced scalpers only)
If the price hits Liquidity Zone 4,232 USD but shows strong rejection (long wick, high sell volume):
→ Consider short-term sell scalp back to the 4.20x – 4,183 USD area.
This is a counter-trend trade, so:
keep the volume small,
short TP,
tight SL above the newly formed peak.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Do not FOMO buy when the price is testing near the 4.23x area – this is a prone-to-sell area.
Prioritise waiting for a pullback to FVG / Support for a better entry point and RR.
Always adjust volume according to actual SL, avoid over-leverage during strong market volatility.
“Buy the dip in liquidity zones, do not chase orders at the peak – that's how to go with the big money flow.”
SILVER Down Trend breakout bullish from support zoneSilver Bullish Breakout Alert! 💥
📉 After a strong downtrend, Silver has shown a bullish move from the key support zone at $48.200 🪙
📊 Timeframe: 1H
🎯 Technical Targets:
1️⃣ $49.400
2️⃣ $50.600
3️⃣ $52.500
⚙️ Setup:
✅ Buying from support
✅ Breakout confirmation
✅ Trend reversal signs visible
💡 Tip: Always use proper risk management and stick to your trading plan! 🧠💰
📈 Stay patient, stay disciplined, and let the chart do the talking.
🔥 Like | 💬 Comment | 📤 Share if you found this helpful!
#Silver #XAGUSD #BreakoutTrading #BullishMove #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup
XAU/USD OUTLOOK – TODAY 11/13/25The U.S. House has approved the reopening of the government, now awaiting President Trump's signature. This means U.S. economic data will gradually be released again, promising a week of strong and unpredictable volatility.
Technically, gold maintains an upward trend after breaking the H4 sideways boundary, but signs of overbought conditions and H4 peak divergence are emerging.
In smaller frames (M30 – H1), light divergence is also starting to appear, so BUY positions need to select favorable zones and avoid FOMO. SELL should only be short reactive trades.
🎯 Daily Scenario
Morning
Expect sideways movement ~30 points within the 4180 – 4212 range
You can WATCH FOR TRADING WITHIN THIS RANGE
if the price breaks through 4212, consider waiting for a retest back to 4205 to buy up.
Afternoon
Wait for gold to adjust to reasonable BUY zones:
4160 – 4162
4152 – 4148
4123 – 4120
If there is a strong adjustment:
Beautiful BUY at 4070 – 4040 (deep support zone).
🎯 Target increase:
4280 – 4285
4300 – 4305
🎯 Reactive SELL:
4255, 428X, 430X
(SL 10 – TP 10)
⚠️ Important Note
The overall trend remains uptrend, but attention is needed:
H4 shows signs of overbought + peak divergence.
M30 – H1 shows light divergence, indicating the market may have a short adjustment before continuing to rise.
BUY should only be entered at beautiful support zones, if you see a bad candle → close short and exit quickly.
SELL is only reactive at strong resistance zones, do not hold long.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Price Stalls at Key SupplyGold (XAU/USD) – Price Stalls at Key Supply, Compression Signals Imminent Breakout Move
Gold continues to remain capped under the 4,148 supply zone, with price forming a tight consolidation range right below resistance. The recent impulsive rally has brought buyers into control, yet the failure to break above the ceiling highlights growing exhaustion and a potential reversal if momentum weakens.
From a structural view, price retested multiple demand zones on the way up, respecting bullish orderflow and EMA alignment. However, the current sideways compression at the top suggests that the market is deciding the next directional leg.
Key Technical Levels to Watch
Immediate Resistance: 4,148 – critical supply where rejection has occurred multiple times
Nearest Support: 4,120 – minor demand zone created after the breakout
Deeper Support: 4,075 – strong accumulation area
Major Support: 3,985 – previous base of the rally
Trading Outlook
As long as gold remains below 4,148, upside momentum is limited and short-term pullbacks remain possible. A clean break above this level would invalidate the bearish structure and open the door for continuation toward new highs.
Conversely, a break back below 4,120 could trigger a deeper correction, with 4,075 as the next logical downside target.
The current H1 price compression near supply suggests a high-probability breakout setup is forming. Traders should watch how the next candles react around these key levels to determine the intraday bias.
If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow for more daily strategies and market insights.
Gold prices rose further, with the next target at $4,200.
During the US session, gold prices once again demonstrated strong upward momentum, with bullish forces continuing to exert their strength, pushing gold prices to launch a new round of attacks. With improving market sentiment and a relatively weak dollar, gold prices are further refreshing their intraday highs, gradually approaching a key resistance area. The dense resistance zone of $4,140 to $4,160 that we previously focused on has now entered a substantial breakout phase. From the market perspective, the bulls have clearly strengthened, and the trading volume has increased accordingly, indicating that funds are actively entering the market. If gold prices can successfully hold above this area, it is expected to open up further upside potential, with the next target potentially pointing directly to the $4200 level.
Looking back at today's overall market trend, gold's performance can be described as steady and strong, perfectly in line with our previous technical predictions and trading strategies. Whether investors placed long positions near the low of $4100 or those who added to their long positions when prices rebounded to $4130, they are currently in a clear profit state. This not only demonstrates accurate timing but also verifies the clarity of the current market trend. Every successful trade is a reward for patience and discipline, and it is a great honor and joy to be able to share opportunities and reap the rewards together through professional analysis.
Regarding trading, we continue with a long strategy, moving the entry area for long positions up to the 4140-4160 range.
The above is my personal analysis and is for discussion and reference only. If you agree with this approach, please like and follow to show your support! It should be emphasized that any strategy is time-sensitive and should not be applied rigidly. It is essential to adjust it flexibly in light of real-time market conditions. I will continue to monitor market changes and update trading notifications in the channel in a timely manner.
SI - hourly chartT.A explained -
BackSide (BS)
FrontSide (FS)
Inverse BS (Inv.BS)
Inverse FS (Inv.FS)
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: XAGUSD
Date: Thu 6 Nov 2025
Session: Tokyo → London → NY PM overlap
Direction: Buy-side Trade
Timeframe: 1 Hour
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 48.1296
Take Profit (TP): 52.9400 (+9.94 %)
Stop Loss (SL): 47.9743 (–0.30 %)
Risk / Reward (RR): 33.30 R
🔹 Market Context
🧾The broader structure shows a reaccumulation base forming between 47.9 – 48.4 following an extended markdown in late October.
🧾Multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) stacked between 48.2 – 49.0 serve as bullish continuation footprints.
🧾The KAMA (Adaptive MA) has turned upward, confirming regained momentum and transition into a markup phase.
🧾Consecutive session overlaps (Tokyo, London, NY) displayed defended lows with consistently higher lows, validating institutional accumulation.
🧾The premium liquidity objective sits within the 52.9 imbalance zone — an unmitigated HTF supply area.
🔹 Model Type
Re-accumulation → Breaker Block → FVG Continuation Model
Market structure shifted bullish after a CHOCH above 48.4.
Entry positioned within the re-test of the mid-range FVG / OB confluence zone.
Target seeks completion of the macro inefficiency left from October’s selloff.
🔹 Execution Notes
Trade executed on the retest of the bullish FVG with session volume confluence.
Stop anchored below the protected low (47.97). TP mapped just below the imbalance ceiling (52.94) for precision exit ahead of the premium liquidity pool. Entry aligns with breakout-retest structure and confirmed KAMA slope reversal.
🔹 Trade Narrative
This Silver trade captures a continuation leg out of accumulation — transitioning into a mid-cycle markup. Price action presented a classic discount entry within structural demand, supported by rising volume and session timing alignment. The 48.1–48.3 entry zone represents optimal efficiency entry within a clear bullish shift, projecting a move toward the higher-timeframe imbalance at 52.9.
XAU/USD | Watch Gold at $4100 – Pullback or Continuation Ahead?By analyzing the Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after the last analysis, the price dropped from $3997 to $3984, then quickly found strong demand and started a powerful rally, breaking the $4040 resistance.
At the moment, Gold has reached the $4100 zone. A short-term pullback from this level is likely, but after a brief correction, I expect the uptrend to continue. The next bullish targets are $4140, $4156, and $4162.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban






















