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CAUTIOUS UPSIDE BUT BULLISH ON SPX500, NAS100 AND GOLDSPX500, NAS100 and GOLD are all reaching for higher price targets. They are all over stretched outside their normal ranges on the indicators but the divergences spotted on the charts are all not confirmed on a higher time frame suggesting that there could be an upside capitulation price action before a pullback occurs based on the divergences. Therefore cautious trading but Not opening new long positions at these level. Let's be patient and wait for the right opportunity. On the other hand if you're looking for a short entry then place on a lot of risk management for the overshoot before the pullback. Gold is an exception as it already done the pullback to the daily new POC zone and on 4 hours timeframe buyer have stepped up their buying activity defending the 55 EMA at $3,637. I hope my analysis helps you form your own opinion and I thank you for listening to my publication. Cheers!!!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RICHINVESTOR
Gold Trade plan 22/09/2025Dear Traders, XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – 4H Technical Analysis Gold is currently trading inside a rising wedge formation, showing clear interaction with both the upper and lower trendlines: Trendline Reactions Price has tested the upper boundary twice (points 1 & 2), forming lower momentum highs. A possible third test (point 3) could complete the wedge structure, after which a strong correction is expected. Key Support Zone (BUY Level) The 3573–3580 zone has been highlighted as a heavy support area. If price breaks below the rising trendline, this zone becomes the first major demand level for buyers. Bearish Scenario Failure to hold above 3653 may trigger a breakdown toward the strong support zone (3573). This aligns with a potential wedge breakdown and healthy correction within the bullish cycle. Bullish Scenario As long as price respects the rising trendline, gold may push for another attempt at the upper wedge resistance. A confirmed breakout above the wedge would invalidate the bearish outlook and could extend gains toward 3800+. 📌 Conclusion: Gold is approaching a decisive point inside a rising wedge. The 3573–3580 zone will be the key support to watch, while 3660–3680 remains the critical resistance zone. Breakouts from either side will define the next major move. Regards, Alireza!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by alirezak
ROADMAP FOR OIL: Volatility Now, a Geopolitical Spark LaterThis isn't an update because the outlook has changed—it's been remarkably stable for months and even couple of years. Instead, this is about connecting the dots as we potentially approach a major inflection point. Here’s the core idea: major geopolitical events aren't the drivers of crowd sentiment and price action. It's the other way around. Events like OPEC decisions or strikes on Iran happen when social mood has reached a tipping point, pushing politicians to act. These events cause volatility spikes on the chart but don't change the underlying trend; they simply create the corrective waves within it. The chart is telling us that after the upcoming decline we're anticipating (based on wave count and indicators), a very powerful rally is due. This implies a major geopolitical catalyst, likely in late 2025 or 2026. Crucially, this spike will itself be just a large corrective wave up, setting the stage for the next major leg down in price. The Technical Setup: We're inside a complex double zigzag - - correction. The current (X) wave should unfold as either a combination (W)-(X)-(Y) or a flat pattern (A)-(B)-(C). A key tenet is that the trendline connecting the tops of and shouldn't be broken. That line is hard to define right now, which tells me the high for wave isn't in yet. This points to sustained and elevated volatility in the coming months. The Big Picture (The Supercycle): COVID likely marked the absolute bottom for energy prices. We are now in a major multi-decade upward supercycle. However, this cycle is so vast that we are still in its very first large wave. The entire corrective phase we're in now began in 2022 and could last until the late 2020s, potentially culminating in a global crisis sparked by conflict, escalating into trade wars, and exacerbated by the financial system vulnerabilities everyone is now preparing for. Layer on top of that potential US production exhaustion and a post-2030 output decline across India and Asia, and you have a perfect recipe for a powerful oil rally in the future. But that story is for the next decade. For now, fasten your seatbelts for some turbulence. #Oiltrading #ElliottWave #Socionomics #Macro #Trading #Geopolitics #Energy #Supercycle #Commodities
TVC:USOIL
by Energeia_Charta
Weekly Gold Outlook | September 22-26 Hello traders, this week we zoom out to the weekly battlefield to see where gold really stands. Price has broken structure at 3480, pushing into premium territory and testing the top supply block. Let’s map the institutional zones step by step 👇 🔸 Weekly Structure Trend: Strong bullish, confirmed by the Weekly BOS at 3480. Price is now pressing inside the Premium Supply 3680–3730, a key resistance decision zone. Below, the Mid Demand OB 3370–3300 is the origin of the last impulsive leg. Further down, the Deep Demand OB 3000–3050 holds as the long-term structural base. Dynamic EMA flow (5/21/50/100/200): locked bullish, with EMA21 and EMA50 guiding momentum. RSI: stretched near overbought → signals the risk of corrective retracements from premium. 🔸 Named Zones 🟥 Premium Supply 3680–3730 → Current weekly resistance & decision point. 🟦 Mid Demand OB 3370–3300 → Structural demand zone from last bullish impulse. 🟦 Deep Demand OB 3000–3050 → Institutional long-term demand base. 🔸 Bullish Expansion Map (above 3730) 🔼 Magnet Zone 3800–3850 → first extension target (fib + liquidity cluster). 🔼 Expansion Zone 3920–3950 → next liquidity sweep region. 🔼 Psychological 4000 → ultimate round-number magnet if bullish momentum sustains. 🔸 Scenarios Bullish Path: Break & close above 3730 → opens the road to 3800–3850, with possible extension toward 3920+. Bearish Path: Rejection from Premium Supply → corrective move toward Mid Demand OB 3370–3300, with deeper liquidity grabs into 3050 if macro turns hawkish. 📌 Conclusion: Weekly bias remains bullish after the 3480 BOS, but price is stretched inside premium. The 3680–3730 supply will decide: continuation into 3800+ or rejection back into 3370 demand. ✨ Do you see gold breaking above 3730 into new highs, or is this supply ready to reject? Share your thoughts below 👇 Don’t forget to like, follow, and comment to stay in tune with our daily precision maps 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD – Gold Analysis & Trading Plan (Sep 21, 2025)1️⃣ Main Trend (H1) - The short-term downtrend on H1 has been broken after the trendline was breached. - Price is currently moving strongly toward the PW VAH zone at 3680–3685, confirming a bullish retracement. - Overall: Gold remains in a larger uptrend, but at this stage it is experiencing a recovery pullback after the decline from 3700. 2️⃣ Key Price Zones Near Resistance: - 3680–3685 (PW VAH + previous supply zone). - 3700 (previous top, strong resistance). Key Support: - 3640–3643 (PW POC – balance area & demand zone). - 3634 (PW VAL – last weekly support). 3️⃣ Price Action - After rebounding from 3640, price surged and broke the H1 downtrend line. - Currently, it is approaching the VAH 3680–3685, an area where selling pressure has frequently emerged in previous moves. - Buyers are in control, but the 3680–3700 zone may trigger profit-taking and spark new selling momentum. 4️⃣ Candlestick Patterns - Strong bullish H1 candles with long bodies confirm clear buying pressure. - The most recent candle touched VAH and left an upper wick → signal of supply pressure beginning to emerge. - Further observation needed: if a bearish pin bar/engulfing forms in 3680–3700, the probability of a short-term reversal increases. 5️⃣ Trading Plan * Scenario 1 – BUY at Support (priority setup) - Entry: 3640–3643 (PW POC) if price retraces. - Target: 3660 → 3680. * Scenario 2 – SELL at Resistance (less priority) - Entry: 3680–3685 or 3698–3700 if a bearish candlestick reversal forms. - Target: 3660 → 3640. * Scenario 3 – Breakout BUY (only if 3700 is broken) - Entry: Buy once H1 closes above 3700 with strong volume. - Target: 3715 → 3730. 🔓 Conclusion: In the short term, the recovery uptrend is dominating. However, 3680–3700 is a strong resistance zone. - Priority: Buy at support or upon a successful breakout above 3700. - Sell: Only when a clear reversal signal appears at resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by satoshi_trader_gold
XAUUSD New ATH!!!The chart might seem to be very confusing, but try an focus on 2 things. 1. Redbox, which is indicating a sideways market 2. Price has perfectly retested on fib levels, which I have marked using an arrow. On Friday's closing, the price has shown a huge move, and I am expecting a bullish move to continue because of price action and fundamental news. Later, the U.S. dollar is weakening, and although the Fed rate cut move trapped all the buyers and sellers, I am still expecting a bullish move on gold
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BlockchainAndPips
Gold Weekly ReviewGold Weekly Review: Gold Fluctuates at High Levels, with 3700-3615 Becoming a Key Demarcation Line Gold continued its upward trend on Friday, closing higher for the fifth consecutive week. Spot gold closed at $3684.93 per ounce, up 1.12% on the day and 1.15% for the week. December COMEX gold futures rose 0.7% to $3707.35, briefly hitting a record high. Analysis of Core Drivers: The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut on Wednesday, its first easing measure of the year. However, it also emphasized that inflation risks remain, signaling caution about the future policy path. Gold prices fluctuated sharply following the interest rate decision, reflecting market disagreement on the pace of subsequent rate cuts. Market expectations currently remain above a 90% probability of another Fed rate cut in October. Institutional Views and Expectations: Many institutions remain optimistic about gold's structural upward trend. Citigroup raised its gold price forecast for the next three months to $3,800 per ounce, citing cyclical support from a weak US job market, uncertainty about tariff policies, and concerns about fiscal sustainability. The bank believes that if stagflation or a hard landing occurs, gold prices could reach $4,000; if trade tensions rapidly de-escalate or the economy remains resilient, they could fall back to $3,400. Analysts generally believe that although the Federal Reserve has not been as dovish as some investors had hoped, the start of a rate-cutting cycle and the continued accumulation of gold holdings by many central banks remain key support in the medium and long term. Meanwhile, physical gold demand in India has risen to a ten-month high, reflecting market expectations for continued gold price increases. Risks and Uncertainties: In the short term, gold prices face pressure from a rebounding US dollar and rising US Treasury yields. Positive signals have emerged in the US-China trade talks, and a US government budget impasse leading to a shutdown could also disrupt market risk sentiment. Overall, gold is expected to remain volatile and positive, driven by the combined influence of monetary policy expectations, geopolitical risks, and physical demand. Technical Analysis and Strategy: Gold has recently been oscillating at a high level. The daily chart closed higher on Friday after a series of pullbacks, indicating valid support below. Currently, the bull-bear watersheds focus on the 3700 level above and the 3615 support level below. Trading within this wide range is challenging, so we recommend maintaining patience and waiting for entry opportunities near key levels. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart has broken through the short-term descending trendline. The previous resistance level of 3660 has become a significant support level, indicating a strong short-term trend. Consider entering long positions after a pullback to the 3660-3650 support area, maintaining strict risk management. In the medium to long term, while the weekly chart shows some deviations that require time to consolidate, the fundamental support remains clear. The Federal Reserve has begun its interest rate cut cycle, and market expectations for further rate cuts in October and December remain high, which will provide continued upward momentum for gold prices. Overall, gold remains in a volatile upward trend, with the center of gravity of support shifting upward, limiting the potential for a significant correction.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Pulse
NATGAS What Next? BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the NATGAS next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 2.918 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 2.997 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Gold Market Weekly ReviewGold Market Weekly Review: Gold Prices Rebounded After the Fed's Rate Cut, Remaining Resilient in the Short Term Market Review During the U.S. trading session on Friday (September 19), spot gold rebounded from its lows, ending a two-day losing streak and closing up approximately 1.12% at $3,685/oz. The U.S. dollar index stabilized and rebounded from its low of 96.22, its lowest point since February 2022, and is currently trading around 97.62, near a five-day high. The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut on Wednesday, lowering the target range for the federal funds rate to 4.00%–4.25%, in line with market expectations. Following the announcement, gold prices briefly surged to $3,707/oz, a record high. However, gains subsequently narrowed due to a less-than-expected dovish tone from Fed Chairman Powell, which triggered a rebound in the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields. Policy Expectations and Market Interpretation According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is pricing in a 91% probability of another 25 basis point rate cut in October and an approximately 80% probability of a further rate cut in December, consistent with the Fed's dot plot's guidance for another 50 basis point rate cut this year. Powell emphasized that this rate cut is a "risk management" measure aimed at addressing economic uncertainty, and noted that policy does not have a pre-set path and future decisions will be data-driven. Although a stronger dollar and high US Treasury yields are suppressing gold prices, market expectations of further Fed rate cuts continue to support gold, limiting its downside. Technical Analysis Gold's daily chart turned positive after a series of pullbacks, indicating a high-level consolidation pattern. Key resistance currently lies at $3,707, while support lies at $3,613. Caution is advised within this wide range. The weekly chart has deviated from its short-term moving average, requiring time for consolidation, but the broader trend remains supported by fundamentals. The 1-hour chart shows that gold has broken through its short-term downtrend line, re-establishing a relatively strong trend. $3,660 has transformed from a previous resistance level into support, becoming a key dividing line between bulls and bears in the near term. Market Outlook Gold is expected to maintain a volatile, but slightly stronger trend in the short term. We recommend primarily buying on pullbacks, while attempting to short with a small position if a rebound encounters resistance. Upward resistance is expected to be in the $3,702–$3,707 range, while downward support is expected to be in the $3,660–$3,665 range. Risk Warning Closely monitor speeches by Federal Reserve officials and economic data releases. Any changes to expectations of rate cuts could trigger significant fluctuations in gold prices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fibonacci_Gold
SILVER The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 43.096 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 42.342 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAGUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 21, 2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still declining → suggesting that early next week price may either experience a downward move or continue to range sideways. • H4: Momentum is in the overbought zone → likely to see a corrective move on Monday. • H1: Momentum is also in the overbought zone → during the Asian session on Monday, a short-term corrective decline is highly probable. Wave Structure • D1: o Scenario 1: Wave v (black) has already completed (refer to H4). This means the market is now in a larger corrective phase, and price is unlikely to break above 3709, the high set last week. o Scenario 2: Wave 4 (black) of wave v has completed, and Friday’s rally was wave 5 (black) of wave v. In this case, early next week we could see a breakout above 3709 with a daily close higher. • H4: Since D1 and H4 momentum still support a corrective move on Monday, I will keep the current wave labeling unchanged. Only if price breaks strongly above 3709 will I update the labeling to Scenario 2. • H1: On D1, the two scenarios are contradictory: o One scenario suggests a decline. o The other suggests a new high. Therefore, the best approach for now is to wait for more confirmation. On H1, the labeling from last Friday (the bearish scenario) has not yet been invalidated and is still supported by both D1 and H4 momentum, so I will continue to monitor this count. Trading Plan During complex corrective phases, when wave structures are not yet clear, I do not recommend trading solely based on Elliott Wave. For now, the prudent approach is to continue observing until more data becomes available. If trading is necessary, it’s better to focus on short-term scalps rather than larger swing positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD Long: Path to $3715 After Successful RetestHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been developing within a well-defined upward wedge for some time. This bullish structure has guided the price higher through a series of higher highs and higher lows, with the demand zone 2 at 3575 acting as a key pivot point low for the formation, establishing the underlying uptrend. Currently, the auction has reached a critical stage after a strong impulse resulted in a breakout above the key horizontal demand level at 3665. This move shows strong bullish initiative, but such breakouts are often followed by a retest to confirm their validity before the next major leg up. My scenario for the development of events is based on this breakout being successful. I expect the price to make a corrective pullback to retest the broken 3665 demand level from above. In my opinion, if this former resistance holds as new support, it will be a strong confirmation of the bullish trend. This should trigger a continuation of the rally towards the upper resistance line of the wedge. The take-profit is therefore set at 3715, just below this upper boundary. Manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by heniitrading
XAU/USD WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Here’s a professional breakdown of XAU/USD Weekly Chart and possible entry setups: --- 1. Market Structure Gold has broken out of a long consolidation between $3,280 – $3,410 (blue zones). The breakout was supported by strong bullish candles, signaling institutional accumulation below. Price is now trending above $3,537 and approaching the $3,700 zone, showing momentum continuation. --- 2. Key Demand Zones (Potential Buy Entries) $3,410 – $3,430 zone (fresh breakout retest) If price retraces back, this area could act as strong demand (institutional long re-entry). $3,280 – $3,300 zone This was a prior consolidation base and remains a secondary demand area if a deeper retracement happens. $3,020 – $3,050 zone Stronger long-term institutional demand. Only relevant if a major correction occurs. --- 3. Supply / Resistance Zones (Potential Sell or TP Levels) $3,700 – $3,750 zone → Current resistance area; possible short-term profit-taking. $3,790 – $3,800 zone → If reached, it may trigger institutional sell orders. --- 4. Entry Ideas Aggressive Long Entry: On minor retracement back to $3,537 – $3,550 zone, targeting $3,700 – $3,750. Conservative Long Entry: Wait for deeper pullback to $3,410 – $3,430 zone (previous breakout zone) for higher RR setup. Short-term Sell (Countertrend): If price rejects $3,700 – $3,750, possible scalp down to $3,550. Must be managed carefully since the trend is bullish. --- 5. Risk Management Place stops below $3,400 if entering long from breakout retest. Partial profit at $3,700, extended targets near $3,790 – $3,800. Trend bias remains strongly bullish, so longs are favored until structure breaks below $3,280. --- 📌 Summary: Trend is bullish. Best entries are buying retracements at $3,537 or $3,410 zones, targeting $3,700 – $3,790. Shorts only valid as countertrend scalps at strong resistance. NOTE: it is advisable to wait for a deeper retracement to the flip zone to buy because that area of the flip zone is safer and also the flip zone is where price broke resistance to the upside so from a smart money perspective price needs to retest that structure of resistance and turn it to support
TVC:GOLDLong
by enwemadufranklyn1989
Gold Forecast for Next WeekGold prices are currently hovering around the 3684 level and have generally been trading within a high-range consolidation zone. Focus on the resistance zone between 3700 and 3710.A breakout above this level is expected to open up room for a new round of upward movement. Next week, attention should be paid to the following scenario: if gold prices retrace to around 3660 and stabilize there, and a bottoming pattern forms on smaller timeframes, consider going long with a light position. Set TP 3710 and 3720, with a SL 3650.Currently, gold prices are in a phase of bull-bear rivalry, and the 3680 area is crucial as a central price level. From a personal perspective, short-term operations should focus on buying low and selling high within the 3630 – 3700 range. Medium and long-term investors may wait for a clear directional signal before making positioning decisions. Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CarterJordan