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$RACE into precision manufacturing.Been seeing a lot of automakers making some interesting moves. Base · fair value today 392 ~6–7% revenue, margin stable-to-up; ~8% FCF growth; multiple holds ~28× Bull · fair value today 665 +102% vs spot Scarcity pricing persists + Elettrica success; ~11% FCF growth; re-rates to 38×. other Catalysts, *AI widens the wealth equality gap, more people driving the luxury brand name cars. *Manufacturing in Robotics/Energy/electrical infrastructure - needs participation from major manufacturers. *Engineering *many catalysts, we've seen names like RollsRoyce do similar. Downsides? well there are many. this is not financial advise.
MIL:RACELong
by DillyDallyGally
Ferrari NV (RACE) Luca Cordero di Montezemolo on the new Ferrari Luce: "If I said what I really think, I'd harm Ferrari. We're risking the destruction of a myth, I'm very sorry about that. I hope they at least remove the Prancing Horse from that car". The new Ferrari Luce has been criticized worldwide, and there will certainly be consequences for the company and its profits. We believe the stock could fall further. Please check here and send a message on X for complete analysis --> @CharlesRault
MIL:RACEShort
by mgiuliani
1
ENEL Clean Acceptance Signals ContinuationAcceptance confirmed above the Value Triangle (VT). Structure remains valid above the Boundary Line (BL), with consistent triangle geometry supporting the move. T1 projected from VT; exit on close below BL. Sector context: European utilities remain supported by grid investment and renewable capital flows, providing a stable backdrop. Ticker-specific news: Enel’s 2026–2028 plan outlines ~€53B investment in grids and renewables, reinforcing long-term growth visibility.
MIL:ENELLong
by VMS-Phil
2
E‑Mini S&P Futures Showing Liquidity Expansion to the UpsideCurrent Price: 7204.25 (Analysis was generated on Monday Morning) Direction: LONG Confidence level: 85%(Trader consensus remains unified across group metrics.) Targets Target 1: 7300.00 Target 2: 7385.00 Stop Levels Stop 1: 7120.00 Stop 2: 7040.00 Key Insights: ES futures are currently trading near the upper portion of their recent consolidation, which suggests buyers are maintaining control of the short‑term structure. Futures markets often reveal institutional intent earlier than ETFs, and right now ES isn’t showing signs of aggressive distribution. One of the biggest clues is how the market reacted after the last selling wave. Instead of accelerating downward, the move slowed and reversed, suggesting buyers were waiting below to absorb liquidity. That’s usually a precursor to upward continuation. Another factor is the visible liquidity sitting above the market. Futures traders frequently push price toward those zones before any meaningful retracement occurs. This week’s price action could easily turn into a slow but steady upward grind. Recent Performance: ES saw sharp volatility recently but quickly stabilized after testing lower liquidity levels. Since then, price has held above short-term averages and continues forming higher intraday lows. Expert Analysis: Professional traders on YouTube emphasized the concept of liquidity pools forming above recent highs. According to their analysis, markets tend to move toward these zones because they contain clustered stop orders and breakout entries. Meanwhile, X sentiment shows traders waiting rather than aggressively shorting. That lack of strong bearish conviction often allows bullish momentum to build quietly. News Impact: Macro headlines in 2026 continue to influence futures markets, especially inflation data and interest‑rate expectations. But unless a major surprise hits this week, the current technical structure suggests the path of least resistance remains upward. Trading Recommendation: I’m tracking ES for a continuation move higher toward overhead liquidity zones this week, with pullbacks likely being bought by short‑term traders.
MIL:ESFLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
E‑Mini S&P Futures – Bearish Continuation Setup:Current Price: 6412.25 Direction: SHORT Confidence level: 85%(Trader consensus remains unified across group metrics.) Targets Target 1: 6325.00 Target 2: 6235.00 Stop Levels Stop 1: 6475.00 Stop 2: 6540.00 Wisdom of Professional Traders: Here's my take after combining the YouTube trader analysis with current X sentiment. Most professional traders discussing the S&P complex are leaning bearish right now. The technical structure they’re pointing out is pretty consistent: price has been trending along the lower Bollinger band with the 5‑day moving average below the 20‑day, which is classic downside momentum behavior. Several traders also highlighted that recent bounces are mostly short‑covering rather than true accumulation. That means sellers are still controlling the structure. What’s interesting is that X sentiment isn’t aggressively bearish — it’s mostly neutral. That actually reinforces the downside setup. When traders on social media aren’t panicking yet while professional traders are flagging structural weakness, the market often still has room to move lower before sentiment fully flips. The real story here is continuation risk. Selling pressure is still showing up in intraday structures, and the lack of confirmed reversal signals (like a sustained reclaim of short‑term moving averages or a structural base) suggests rallies are likely to get sold this week. With the new quarter starting in 2026 and liquidity still adjusting, I’m expecting sellers to test lower support zones before any meaningful recovery attempt. So for this week’s trading window (next 5–7 sessions), the bias across the entire S&P complex stays SHORT. Key Insights: ES futures often lead the cash index, and the current futures structure suggests downside continuation risk remains high. Price recently broke below key intraday support and hasn’t shown strong buying pressure on rebounds. The pattern that keeps showing up is a grind lower with brief short‑covering spikes. This type of structure typically appears when large traders are steadily unwinding long exposure while allowing small rebounds to attract liquidity for further selling. Another detail traders highlighted is the persistent presence of selling algorithms during intraday sessions. When algorithmic selling dominates early and mid‑session flows, downside continuation becomes more probable. Recent Performance: ES futures are currently trading around 6412.25 after a strong downward move into the end of last week. The session structure showed persistent selling pressure and weak attempts at recovery. Expert Analysis: YouTube traders analyzing ES are largely aligned on the bearish scenario. Many pointed out that futures have been respecting downward‑sloping resistance and that the trend will likely continue until buyers reclaim major moving averages. The collective view is that the market may still test deeper liquidity zones before stabilizing. News Impact: Futures markets are especially sensitive to macro catalysts and global sentiment. With investors adjusting positions early in Q2 2026, futures often lead downside volatility before the cash session confirms it. Trading Recommendation: Short setups remain favored while ES trades below key resistance zones. I’m targeting continuation moves lower this week with controlled stops above recent supply areas.
MIL:ESFShort
by CrowdWisdomTrading
ES Futures Leading Slightly Bullish:Current Price: 6873.75 (Analysis was generated on Monday Morning) Direction: LONG Confidence level: 85%(Trader consensus remains unified across group metrics.) Targets Target 1: 6945.00 Target 2: 7015.00 Stop Levels Stop 1: 6815.00 Stop 2: 6750.00 Key Insights: ES=F is where I pay the most attention, and this is where the bullish clue shows up. Futures traders are leaning slightly bullish, and ES continues to trade with better intraday bid support than the cash index. What’s interesting is how dips during overnight sessions keep getting bought. That tells me institutions aren’t positioning for a breakdown this week. Recent Performance: ES has respected higher lows throughout recent 2026 sessions, with sellers failing to gain traction below key intraday levels. Expert Analysis: This is the one asset where YouTube trader consensus leans bullish. On X, sentiment is neutral, but that’s fine — futures leadership plus calm sentiment usually favors upside drift. News Impact: No major futures-specific risk events are scheduled this week, keeping technicals in control. Trading Recommendation: I’m LONG ES for the week, using tight stops and aiming for measured upside rather than a breakout run.
MIL:ESFLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
E‑Mini S&P Futures Point to Higher Acceptance:Current Price: 6914.25 (Analysis was generated on Monday Morning) Direction: LONG Confidence level: 85%(Trader consensus remains unified across group metrics.) Targets Target 1: 6990.00 Target 2: 7070.00 Stop Levels Stop 1: 6850.00 Stop 2: 6760.00 Key Insights: ES=F is where I look for real intent, and futures traders aren’t pressing shorts here. Overnight sessions are holding gains, and pullbacks during cash hours aren’t accelerating — that’s important. Acceptance above the 6900 area suggests buyers are comfortable at these levels, at least for the short term. That keeps the weekly bias pointed up. Recent Performance: ES=F has been rotating higher with strong value acceptance, signaling that institutions aren’t exiting risk aggressively. Expert Analysis: Futures‑focused YouTube traders are mostly flat to lightly long, waiting for confirmation rather than fading the move. On X, futures sentiment mirrors that — neutral, but not defensive. News Impact: No major overnight shocks have hit futures markets, keeping the technical picture clean and tradable. Trading Recommendation: I’m LONG ES=F this week, targeting a measured upside extension.
MIL:ESFLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
S&P 500 E-mini Futures at major resistance as sellers press theCurrent Price: 6976 (Analysis was generated on Monday Morning) Direction: SHORT Confidence level: 62%(Based on repeated resistance references from professional traders, price sitting near a key ceiling, and limited upside conviction) Targets Target 1: 6970 Target 2: 6950 Stop Levels Stop 1: 7010 Stop 2: 7020 Key Insights: Here’s what’s really driving this setup. Multiple traders highlighted that ES is consolidating just under a well-defined resistance band between roughly 7,000 and 7,016. This zone has rejected price before, and traders keep emphasizing that the market failed to push cleanly through it. When price keeps stalling at the same level, that usually favors sellers in the short term. Another thing that stood out is how often traders mentioned indecision and poor positioning at highs. ES is already near record levels, while participation and conviction look weak. Several traders explicitly said the index is getting choppy and struggling to sustain upside, which aligns with a short-term fade rather than a breakout chase. Recent Performance: You can see all of this clearly in the recent price action. ES has been hovering around the 6,980–7,000 area, with repeated intraday pushes higher failing to hold. The contract is slightly below recent highs and hasn’t shown the kind of follow-through you’d expect if buyers were in control. This sideways-to-slightly-down behavior near resistance often resolves with a pullback before any meaningful upside attempt. Expert Analysis: Looking at the collective trader commentary, support around 6,970 and then 6,950 comes up again and again. Several traders pointed to the 6,944–6,950 zone as an important area tied to moving averages and prior consolidation. On the flip side, the 7,010–7,016 region is consistently described as a ceiling that needs strong momentum to break, which just hasn’t shown up yet. When traders across different analyses keep circling the same levels, I pay attention. News Impact: The news backdrop isn’t giving bulls much help right now. Traders are clearly cautious ahead of major Fed communication, inflation data, and early earnings signals. Rate-cut optimism looks fragile, and any hawkish surprise could quickly pressure equities. In this kind of environment, markets often drift lower from resistance as traders reduce risk rather than press longs. Trading Recommendation: Putting it all together, I’m favoring a SHORT position while ES trades below the 7,000–7,010 resistance zone. I’m looking for an initial move toward 6,970, with a deeper push toward 6,950 if selling accelerates. Risk is clearly defined above 7,010, and a break above 7,020 would invalidate this short-term bearish view. This isn’t about calling a major top, it’s about respecting resistance and trading what the professional traders are actually seeing right now.
MIL:ESFShort
by CrowdWisdomTrading
LDO runs higher off the back of defence stock fervour.A snippet from ForexTraderPaul's YT Channel Monday Market Update #211: Greenland is cold whilst Defence Stocks are hot. Back in Nov/Dec of last year price across many European defence companies had fallen back to the weekly 50MA (red MA on my chart) on the back of rumours of a Ukrainian Peace deal. My view was that if there was a deal then the support from the 50MA would likely crack and prices would fall quickly. Well, clearly there was no deal, and in fact we've gone the other way in 2026 with geo-political tensions rising, and this is now reflected across many European Defence Manufacturers, including Leonardo. We've now spiked to E60. Will this move be sustainable? Or is it just a knee-jerk spike? I think it might be the latter (certainly for the remainder of this week) before prices fall back. The trend remains up - I think this is just a bit of over exuberance. Points to note: - European defence spending tailwind continues, particularly in electronics and helicopters. - Operational discipline has improved after years of restructuring. - NATO-aligned procurement supports medium-term growth. What traders should be aware of: sentiment moves with European defence peers — correlation risk is high.
MIL:LDOLong
by FXTraderPaul
LVMH at a Turning Point: Testing Critical Resistance AheadWith HSBC improving its ratings about the Luxury Sector and upgrading OTC:LVMHF we could see a strong comeback and a great investment opportunity. Trend: - Price has been in a downtrend channel (the two pink descending parallel lines) since mid-2021. - It recently bounced from the lower channel and, after retesting the resistance line on several occasions, finally managed to break through. Support & Resistance (purple zones): - Around 540–570 = strong historical support zone (price bounced there recently). - Around 735–765 = major resistance. Fibonacci Levels: - Price has broken through the 23.6% level and, if momentum holds, could test the 38.2% Fibonacci level (which also aligns with the purple resistance). - If the stock manages to break through, it could rally further from there. Moving Averages: - The stock has broken above the 20/50 and 100 EMA, showing short- to medium-term bullish momentum, and is now approaching the 200 EMA — the real test. - The 200 EMA sits right at the resistance level mentioned above (purple zone / Fibonacci 38.2%), making this a highly significant area. Other technicals: - The MACD has turned positive with bullish momentum. - RSI is around 65, showing healthy bullish strength without being overbought. - No unusual volume spikes, which suggests the move is driven by steady momentum rather than a random spike.
MIL:1MCLong
by Vasileios_Kairaktidis
5
Saccheria F.Lli Franceschetti | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set Up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Saccheria F.Lli Franceschetti - Double Formation * (Diagonal Shift)) - *(A+)) - *50EMA - Short Entry - *50EMA | Subdivision 1 * (Range Allocation)) | No Size Up - *1.5RR | Completed Survey * 241 bars, 679d | Date Range Method - *Downtrend Argument)) - Triple Formation * (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2 * 2 Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition | Subdivision 3 - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100 * Stop Loss Feature Varies Regarding To Main Entry And Can Occur Unevenly - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 72.00 EUR * Entry At 63.00 EUR * Take Profit At 49.00 EUR * (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation - Continuation Pattern | Not Valid - Reversal Pattern | Not Valid * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
MIL:SACShort
by UnknownUnicorn87383881
Spain and the European Automobile Industry Under PressureSpain and the European Automobile Industry Under Pressure: China Tightens the Grip as Exports Sink Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The engine of the Spanish economy is starting to stall. The automotive industry, which represents 13% of national exports, is facing in 2025 a downturn driven by both external and internal factors: weaker demand across Europe and the rise of Chinese brands offering aggressively priced vehicles. Exports Falling, Surplus at Lows Between January and June, sector exports dropped 8.9% year-on-year to €25.66 billion. The trade surplus collapsed 55%, down to just €2.14 billion. Spain produced 111,601 fewer vehicles compared to the same period last year, reflecting weaker demand in Germany (–4.7%), France (–7.9%), and Italy (–3.6%). Manufacturers warn that the pressure is becoming unsustainable and are calling for “strong measures” to safeguard the competitiveness of the country’s 18 car plants. Europe: Mixed Results Among Giants First-half sales figures paint a mixed picture for Europe’s automotive leaders. Volkswagen regained the top spot in the continent with 1.8 million units sold (+3%), while Stellantis slumped to 1.04 million (–9%). Renault, meanwhile, managed a 6% increase to 700,000 units, supported by the strong performance of SUVs and electric models. In Spain, Stellantis (Vigo, Zaragoza, Madrid), Renault (Valladolid, Palencia), and Volkswagen/SEAT (Navarra, Martorell) plants concentrate nearly all production. Yet, not even the arrival of Chery—starting assembly at Barcelona’s Zona Franca with Ebro—managed to reverse the trend: export volumes dropped 10.8% to 1.04 million vehicles. Chery and the Chinese Offensive Chery’s arrival symbolizes a broader movement: Chinese carmakers, already selling massively in Europe, are now seeking to manufacture within the continent to avoid the tariffs imposed by the EU on imported EVs since October 2024. At the same time, Brussels is negotiating a minimum pricing system to ease downward pressure on European manufacturers. Stock Market: Three Distinct Strategies Financial markets reflect the industry’s fragmentation: Stellantis (NYSE: STLA) trades around US$10, after a semester marked by falling revenues and margin pressure. Renault (RNO.PA), at €33.5, offers one of the highest dividends in the sector (~6.5%). Analysts set its potential at around €47, implying 40% upside. Volkswagen (VOW3.DE), at €102.5, maintains a defensive profile with a low P/E (~6x) and a dividend yield of 6%. Within the group, SEAT/CUPRA remains pivotal: revenues rose 2.4% in Q1, though tariff tensions weigh on models like the Tavascan, built in China. Stellantis (Ticker AT: STLA) Current trend: consolidating, with a long-term bearish outlook but a short-term upward correction since early August. Moving averages (50, 100, 200) remain bearish, though a bullish crossover between the 50 and 100-day averages seems imminent. Mixed signals: In July, price crossed above the 20- and 50-day averages, with positive MACD and slightly above-average volume, suggesting a possible technical rebound. Key resistances at US$10.25–10.61; supports at US$9.89–9.53. Recent indicators: RSI at 58.81%, pointing to early overbought conditions. MACD suggests upward momentum, though still below the histogram. POC around €8.299, last week’s close at €8.646. Strong supports at €7.133 and the recent low at €6.890. Conclusion: Technicals indicate a balanced market with potential medium-term recovery if resistance at €9.812 and €11.488 is broken. For now, moving averages and oscillators advise caution. Renault (Ticker AT: RNO) Current trend: long-term bearish, short-term rebound forming a consolidation band between €31.13 (lows) and €35.59 (highs). A breakout above this could shift directionality. Supports/Resistances: Supports at €30.87–31.13. Resistances at €35.59, POC at €39.40, followed by €40.36, €44.59, and February’s high at €52.90. Recent indicators: RSI at 46.90%, recovering from deep oversold territory. MACD hints at upward momentum, though still below histogram. POC at €39.40, well above current price. Conclusion: Renault shows signs of technical recovery from oversold levels, but key ceilings remain. A move above €35–40 would be decisive, otherwise resistance could stall momentum. Volkswagen (VOW3.DE) Current trend: long-term neutral, forming a possible bullish pennant. Short-term outlook is positive, while medium to long term remains flat. Supports/Resistances: Supports at €78.86–79.82. Resistances at €114.20, €120.65, and €127.85. Recent indicators: RSI at 68.67%, suggesting strong bullish momentum with extended overbought conditions. MACD remains bullish, both signal and MACD above histogram in positive territory. POC at €120.65, far above current price. Conclusion: Volkswagen maintains short-term strength, but strong resistances and high volatility warrant caution, especially if it fails to surpass POC levels. The Challenge: Sustaining a Strategic Sector Spanish and European automotive face a decisive 2025: exports falling, trade surplus shrinking, and Chinese competition intensifying. With Stellantis still consolidating, Renault attempting a rebound, and Volkswagen showing limited strength, the sector’s survival hinges on institutional support, competitive electrification, and market diversification. Spain’s industrial and export engine risks losing traction without decisive adaptation. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
MIL:STLAM
by ActivTrades