Liquidity Sweep: All the Info You Ever Need to ConquerHi whats up guys, today lets try to do it in a bullet points instead of writing my stories.
• Liquidity is the reason price moves.
• Markets move toward areas where orders are stacked.
• Most orders sit above highs and below lows.
• That’s why price keeps attacking those areas again and again. 🧪 What a liquidity sweep really is
• A liquidity sweep is a move beyond a clear high or low.
• Its purpose is to trigger clustered stop losses.
• It is not personal and not about your stop.
• It is required so larger players can enter or exit positions. 🧪 Why most traders get caught
• Traders enter at obvious levels inside ranges.
• They usually use tight stop loss
• These areas become liquidity pools.
• Price must visit them before a real move starts. 🧪 Double tops and bottoms
• Repeated reactions are not strength.
• They are preparation.
• Every touch builds more resting stops.
• Triple tops and bottoms are even more attractive.
• Never enter before price runs into them. 🧪 How I read market structure
• I don’t focus on patterns in isolation.
• I focus on where liquidity is being collected.
• Structure is simply the path price takes to grab orders.
• The real move usually starts after the sweep.
1️⃣ USDCHF Sweep and Long - CIOD confirmation click picture👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDCHF/2AbnD2TR-USDCHF-I-Daily-CLS-range-I-Key-Level-FVG-I-HTF-CLS/ 2️⃣ USDJPY Sweep andLong - CIOD confirmation - Click picture 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDJPY/j18Eh18R-USDJPY-Weekly-CLS-I-Key-Level-OB-Model-1/ 3️⃣ AUDUSD Turtle Sweep and short - CIOD confirmation click picture👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AUDUSD/YzC7vNOf-AUDUSD-I-Daily-CLS-range-I-Manipulation-I-Short/
📌 Up Trend - Trade Stop Hunt (LQ Sweep) buy below the lows
– Highs are broken
– Lows are respected
– Liquidity below is being cleaned 📌 Down Trend - Trade Stop hunts (LQ Sweep) sell above the highs
– Lows are broken
– Highs are respected
– Liquidity above is being cleaned 🧪 Stop hunts are not random
• Quick wicks at range extremes are intentional.
• Trendline breaks often appear before reversals.
• Breakout traders provide liquidity.
• The move after the stop hunt is what matters.
1️⃣ EURUSD Short Click picture below to see how price action formed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/vgXOeYfG-EURUSD-Daily-Range-LQ-taken-Rates-cut-was-priced-in/ 2️⃣ GBPUSD Short Click picture below to see how price action formed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GBPUSD/FKtc84k9-GBPUSD-Daily-CLS-Liqudity-taken-Model-1-Oposing-side-target/ 3️⃣ USDCHF Long Click picture below to see how price action formed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDCHF/WrvLuU3j-USDCHF-Daily-CLS-Model-Long-from-KL-rates-cut-is-priced-in/ It's effective because it capitalizes on the retail traders classic mistakes- FOMO and trading break out of the highs and selling the lows. While market makers are doing the opposite (don't get me wrong, Im also retail trader and you are too) trading so called smart money concepts doesn't make us smart money traders.
🧪 How I use stop hunts
• I never enter at the first touch of a level.
• I wait for price to go through it.
• Only after the sweep do I look for entries.
• This gives better timing and tighter risk.
📌 Bearish Scenario - (LTF view) - price (yellow has structured movements and should be crating AMD profiles on the edge of the range. We need to drop to LTF to read the structure. 📌 Bullish Scenario ITF view - Price should not have candle close below the range on the same timeframe otherwise setup is invalidated and new range created. 🧪 Where liquidity sweeps matter most
• Range highs and lows
• Previous week high or low
• Clear swing extremes
• Higher-timeframe key levels
• Daily and weekly ranges 🧪 CLS strategy connection
• Liquidity sweep is the foundation of my CLS approach.
• Fake breakouts create urgency and FOMO.
• Late buyers and sellers get trapped.
• I trade against that behavior.
🧠 Having mechanical system with backtested data is your EDGE.
💪 That is what makes you DISCIPLINED TRADER.
📌 Bullish continuation setups
Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target
Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback 📌 Bearish Continuation setups
Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target
Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback 🧪 Manipulation phase
• No manipulation means no institutional move.
• Liquidity must be taken first.
• Big candles after sweeps signal readiness.
• That is where opportunity appears.
🧪 Basic CLS workflow
• Define higher-timeframe trend
• Define the range near a key level
• Wait for price to sweep the high or low
• No candle close outside the range on that timeframe
• Enter only after manipulation
📌 Bullish LTF Range within HTF Range
Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. 📌 BearishLTF Range within HTF Range
Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. 🧪 Why this approach fixes psychology
• Rules remove hesitation
• Backtesting builds confidence
• Losses become expected data points
• Overtrading naturally disappears
🧪 Brief note on SMT
• Sometimes price moves without LQ sweep its because of SMT
• In other words Sweep has happen on correlated pair so it doesn't have to happen on the we are looking for.
• If it’s not at a key level, I ignore it.
📌 SMT EURUSD and GBPUSD Example
GU - just shallow manipulation but creates clean OB
EU - Deeper manipulation but OB created later.
🧪 Final perspective
• Liquidity is sweep / Stop hunt / manipulation is happening ona key levels where mostly traders enters false break to the wrong side and those who has been right are now taken out.
📌 Example of manipulation
Less informed traders bought early and other group of Turtles selling the break out of the lows, they are wrong on the lows. Sellers were used as liqudity and buyers are now trapped in the long where price reverse against them.
I promised myself I’d become the person I once needed the most as a beginner. Below are links to a powerful lessons I shared on Tradingview. Hope it can help you avoid years of trial and error I went thru.
📊 Sharpen your trading Strategy
⚙️ 100% Mechanical System - Complete Strategy
🔁 Daily Bias – Continuation
🔄 Daily Bias – Reversal
🧱 Key Level – Order Block
📉 How to Buy Lows and Sell Highs
🎯 Dealing Range – Enter on pullbacks
💧 Liquidity – Basics to understand
🕒 Timeframe Alignments
🚫 Market Narratives – Avoid traps
🐢 Turtle Soup Master – High reward method
🧘 How to stop overcomplicating trading
🕰️ Day Trading Cheat Code – Sessions
🇬🇧 London Session Trading
🔍 SMT Divergence – Secret Smart Money signal
📐 Standard Deviations – Predict future targets
🎣 Stop Hunt Trading
🧠 Level Up your Mindset
🛕 Monk Mode – Transition from 9–5 to full-time trading
⚠️ Trading Enemies – Habits that destroy success
🔄 Trader’s Routine – Build discipline daily
💪 Get Funded - $20 000 Monthly Plan
🛡️ Risk Management
🏦 Risk Management for Prop Trading
📏 Risk in % or Fixed Position Size
🔐 Risk Per Trade – Keep consistency
Adapt what is useful. Reject what is not. Add something of your own.
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
Community ideas
You Don’t Lose by Being Wrong — You Lose by OveranalyzingYour problem isn’t that you don’t understand the market.
In fact, most losing traders understand the market fairly well. They know what a trend is, where key levels sit, and which side the structure is leaning toward. But when it’s time to make a decision, they sabotage that edge with something very familiar: just a little more analysis.
At first, everything is clear. The chart tells a simple story.
Then doubt creeps in. You zoom into another timeframe. Add another zone. Add another tool. Not because the market demands it, but because you’re not ready to accept the risk of a decision. And with every extra layer of analysis, you don’t gain more certainty — you create another narrative.
This is the key point many traders miss:
the market hasn’t changed — the story in your head has.
When you overanalyze, you’re no longer reading the market; you’re negotiating with yourself. One timeframe says buy, another says wait. One level looks valid, another suddenly looks dangerous. In the end, you’re no longer searching for a good opportunity — you’re searching for reasons to delay or reverse a decision. And by the time you enter, you’re either late or lacking conviction.
Overanalysis also destroys your sense of informational weight.
On a chart, not all data carries equal value. A price level in the right context is worth more than ten minor signals. But when everything is marked, everything looks “important,” and you lose sight of what’s actually worth risking money on. The market needs prioritization, not enumeration.
Here’s an uncomfortable truth:
Many traders overanalyze not because they’re curious, but because they’re afraid to commit. They fear being wrong, so they look for more confirmation. But the market doesn’t reward the trader with the most confirmations. It rewards the trader who accepts risk at the right location. Every time you delay a decision through analysis, you move yourself further away from that location.
I only started trading better when I realized this:
analysis is not meant to make decisions certain — it’s meant to make them reasonable.
Beyond that point, what matters is discipline and acceptance of outcomes. The market doesn’t require you to be right 100% of the time. It only requires that you don’t break your own structure.
If you often find yourself “right on direction but wrong on results,” try cutting back on analysis. Not to oversimplify the market, but to clarify what truly matters. When the picture is already clear, adding detail doesn’t make it better — it just makes you hesitate.
And in trading, hesitation is often more expensive than being wrong.
| This Chart Shows How We Look at BTC Halving & Market Cycles | This chart shows how we look at BTC halvings and market cycles. Every cycle follows a similar structure — accumulation, expansion, distribution, reaccumulation — but the way it plays out is never the same. That’s the key part most people miss.
Yes, around 539 days have already passed since the last halving, but so far what we’ve really seen is BTC printing a new ATH. And that alone does not define the start of a bull market. BTC making an ATH has happened before without a proper broad market expansion right away.
For us, the real confirmation comes from ETH. Once ETH prints a new ATH — or at least starts hovering close to it — that’s when we can say the bull market has actually started. Only then do we expect the kind of expansion most people are waiting for, especially on alts. Until that happens, everything before it is just positioning and volatility.
We’ve said it before and we’ll say it again: every bull run is different. This one is no exception. Too many people were waiting for the bull run to “just work” the same way it always did. When expectations become that obvious, markets rarely deliver in a clean way.
The most logical outcomes in that case are either delaying the bull run or aggressively taking liquidity — exactly like the recent dip that wiped out a lot of positions and shook people out. Bigger players need fuel, and that fuel comes from impatience.
So no, this doesn’t mean the bull run is cancelled. It means it’s evolving differently. BTC did its part by making a new ATH. Now the market is waiting on ETH. Once that happens, the smaller bull run most people are hoping for can finally kick off.
Until then, patience, positioning, and understanding the cycle matters more than hype.
How Emotions Destroy Profitable TradersHow Emotions Destroy Profitable Traders
🧠 How Emotions Destroy Profitable Traders | Trading Psychology Explained
Most traders don’t fail because of strategy.
They fail because they can’t control emotions.
Even a profitable system becomes useless when emotions take control of decision-making. Let’s break it down 👇
😨 Fear: The Profit Killer
Fear appears after losses or during volatility.
What fear causes:
Closing trades too early
Missing high-probability setups
Moving stop losses emotionally
📉 Result: Small wins, big regrets.
Fear stops traders from letting probabilities play out.
😤 Greed: The Account Destroyer
Greed appears after wins.
What greed causes:
Overleveraging
Ignoring risk management
Holding trades too long
📈 Traders want “more” and end up losing everything.
Greed turns discipline into gambling.
😡 Revenge Trading: The Fastest Way to Blow an Account
After a loss, many traders try to win it back quickly.
Revenge trading leads to:
Random entries
No confirmations
Breaking trading rules
🔥 One emotional trade often leads to many bad trades.
🤯 Overconfidence After Wins
Winning streaks create false confidence.
Overconfidence causes:
Larger position sizes
Ignoring market context
Believing losses “won’t happen”
Markets punish ego — always.
😴 Impatience: Silent Consistency Killer
Good trades require waiting.
Impatience leads to:
Forcing setups
Trading low-quality zones
Entering without confirmation
⏳ The market rewards patience, not speed.
🧘♂️ How Profitable Traders Control Emotions
Professional traders don’t eliminate emotions — they manage them.
Key habits:
Fixed risk per trade
Pre-planned entries & exits
Accepting losses as part of business
Waiting for confirmation
Trading less, not more
🧠 Discipline > Emotion
📊 Process > Outcome
📌 Final Thought
If emotions control your trades, the market will control your money.
Master your psychology, and your strategy will finally work.
Trade the plan.
Respect risk.
Stay patient.
Market Panic: Gold or Crypto?When the market enters a state of panic, the question is no longer “How much profit can I make?” but rather “Which asset helps me survive and protect my capital?”
In moments like these, gold and crypto are often placed side by side. Both are seen as safe havens—but in very different ways, and that difference is the key to making the right decision.
1) Gold – Where Capital Flows When Confidence Breaks
Gold has existed for thousands of years with one core purpose: preserving value.
When inflation rises, geopolitical tensions escalate, or the financial system shows signs of stress, large capital tends to move into gold first.
Why gold performs well during crises:
High global liquidity, accepted across all markets
Relatively “orderly” volatility, suitable for defensive positioning
Often benefits when real interest rates fall and the USD weakens
In other words, gold won’t make you rich overnight, but it helps you avoid being washed away when the storm hits.
2) Crypto – An Asset Driven by Expectations and Emotion
Crypto represents a new generation of assets, where value is heavily influenced by future expectations, technology narratives, and speculative capital.
In normal or euphoric market conditions, crypto can rise very quickly.
But when panic sets in, the story changes.
Here’s the reality we need to face:
Crypto reacts extremely sensitively to “risk-off” sentiment
High leverage + thin liquidity during stress periods can trigger chain liquidations
In major shocks, crypto is often sold alongside growth stocks, rather than acting as a true safe haven
Therefore, crypto is not a defensive asset in the traditional sense—it is an asset of belief and market cycles.
3) When Should You Choose Gold? When Should You Hold Crypto?
The answer is not “which is better,” but what the market context is.
True panic (systemic risk, war, financial crisis):
➡ Gold is usually the preferred choice.
Capital seeks certainty, not stories.
Short-term crisis followed by monetary easing:
➡ Gold often leads the first wave,
➡ Crypto tends to recover more aggressively after a psychological bottom forms.
Stable markets with abundant liquidity:
➡ Crypto performs at its best.
4) My Perspective: Don’t Choose with Emotion
From my experience, the biggest mistake traders make during panic is choosing assets based on personal belief instead of capital flow and market behavior.
A professional trader asks:
Where is large capital taking refuge?
Is current volatility suitable for my trading style?
Is my goal capital preservation or outsized returns?
If your priority is safety and stability, gold is usually the more reasonable choice.
If you accept high risk in pursuit of high reward, crypto should only be approached after clear confirmation, not during extreme panic.
What Is the Bull Side – and What Is the Bear Side?In trading, there are concepts that everyone has heard of , but not everyone truly understands correctly . “ Bull side ” and “ Bear side ” are two such terms. Many traders use them every day, yet often assign them overly simplistic meanings: bulls mean buying, bears mean selling.
In reality, behind these two concepts lies how the market operates , how capital flows think , and how traders choose which side to stand on .
What Is the Bull Side?
The Bull side (bulls) represents those who expect prices to rise . However, bulls are not simply about buying .
The true essence of the bull side is the belief that the current price is lower than its future value , and that the market has enough momentum to continue moving upward .
The bull side typically appears when:
Price structure shows that an uptrend is being maintained
Active buying pressure controls pullbacks
The market reacts positively to news or fresh capital inflows
More importantly, strong bulls do not need price to rise quickly . What they need is a structured advance , with healthy pauses and clear support levels to continue higher.
What Is the Bear Side?
The Bear side (bears) represents those who expect prices to fall . Like bulls, bears are not merely about selling .
The core of the bear side is the belief that the current price is higher than its true value , and that selling pressure will gradually take control .
The bear side tends to strengthen when:
An uptrend begins to weaken or breaks down
Price no longer responds positively to good news
Every rally is met with clear selling pressure
A market dominated by bears does not always collapse sharply . Sometimes, it shows up as weak rebounds , slow and extended , but unable to travel far .
When Does the Market Lean Toward Bulls or Bears?
The market is never fixed to one side . It is constantly shifting .
There are periods when bulls are in control , times when bears dominate , and moments when neither side is truly strong .
Professional traders do not try to predict which side is right . Instead, they observe:
Which side controls the main move
Which side is reacting more weakly over time
What price is respecting more: support or resistance
These price reactions reveal who is in control , not personal opinions or emotions.
Common Mistakes When Talking About Bulls and Bears
Many traders believe they must “ choose a side ” and remain loyal to it . In reality, the market does not require loyalty .
The market only demands adaptation .
Today’s bulls can become tomorrow’s bears .
A skilled trader is someone who is willing to change perspective when the data changes , rather than defending an outdated view .
How Emotions Sneak Into Your Trades (and How to Catch Them)Because the market doesn’t care how you feel — but your portfolio absolutely does.
Every trader likes to believe they’re rational. Calm. Data-driven. A master of charts and probabilities.
And sometimes that’s true — at least until price starts moving faster than expected, your P&L flickers red, and suddenly you’re “just making a small adjustment.”
Emotions rarely kick the door down in trading. They sneak in quietly, wearing sensible shoes and carrying very reasonable arguments. By the time you notice them, they’ve already rearranged your trade plan.
🕵️ Emotion’s Favorite Disguise: Logic
The most dangerous emotions don’t announce themselves as fear or greed. They show up as logic.
“This breakout looks stronger than usual.”
“I’ll give it a little more room.”
“It’s only falling because of low volume.”
Each sentence sounds responsible. Each one is also a potential emotional leak. By the time the trade goes wrong, it feels like bad luck — not emotional interference.
📉 Losses Hurt More Than Gains Feel Good
Behavioral finance has a name for it: loss aversion. Traders experience losses maybe twice as intensely as equivalent gains.
That’s why a small drawdown can hijack your focus while a string of solid wins rarely registers as a lesson. It’s also why traders hesitate to close losing trades, but happily take profits early.
Emotionally, it feels safer to wait than to admit defeat — even when waiting is the riskier choice, especially if you’re deep into volatile crypto markets .
🧠 The Subtle Art of Revenge Trading
Revenge trading rarely looks dramatic. It doesn’t start with yelling at screens or slamming desks.
It usually begins with a quiet thought: “I’ll win the next one.”
That’s when trades get larger, setups get looser, and discipline takes a coffee break. The trader isn’t angry — they’re determined.
The market, unfortunately, doesn’t reward determination. It rewards discipline . Revenge trading isn’t about making money back. It’s about repairing a bruised ego — and markets have a way of charging interest for that.
🎢 Winning Can Be Just as Dangerous
Emotions don’t only sneak in during losses. They love winning streaks, too.
After a few good trades, confidence creeps up. Position sizes grow. Rules bend “just a little.” Suddenly, the trader isn’t following a system but a feeling.
This is how consistency quietly breaks down. Not in chaos, but in comfort.
🧰 Catching Emotions Before They Trade for You
The goal isn’t to eliminate emotion — that’s impossible. The goal is to spot it early, before it gets a vote.
Professional traders use simple, boring safeguards:
Repeating the same setups
Reviewing decisions away from the screen
Noting why a trade was taken, not just the result
Paying attention to behavior, not just outcomes
Emotion leaves footprints. The more familiar you are with your own patterns, the easier it is to catch them mid-step. “When you're centered, your emotions are not hijacking you.” - Ray Dalio.
🎁 The Takeaway
The real edge in trading comes from awareness — understanding how emotions quietly enter the process, recognizing their disguises, and catching them early before they influence your decisions.
Build that awareness, and emotions stop being obstacles — they become signals you know how to manage.
Off to you : How do you manage your emotions when you're trading? Share your strategy in the comments and let's get talking!
Gold vs Real Estate: Which Is Safer?Gold vs Real Estate: Which One Truly Keeps Your Money Safe in Uncertain Times?
When markets turn unstable, the first question that always comes up is: “ How do I keep my money safe ?”
Almost immediately, two familiar names are put on the scale: gold and real estate .
One is a globally recognized defensive asset.
The other is a tangible asset tied to land and long-term growth cycles.
But safety does not lie in the name of the asset — it lies in how you use it .
Safety does not mean “never going down”
Many people mistakenly believe that a safe asset is one that never declines in price. In reality, every asset goes through corrections .
True safety means:
When you need cash, can you actually convert it?
When markets deteriorate, can you withstand the psychological and cash-flow pressure?
When the cycle shifts, does that asset help you survive?
And this is exactly where gold and real estate begin to diverge.
Gold — safety through liquidity and defense
Gold is considered safe because it does not depend on a single economy . When inflation rises, crises emerge, or confidence in fiat currencies weakens, gold is often chosen as a safe haven.
Gold’s greatest strength is liquidity . It can be converted into cash almost instantly, nearly anywhere in the world. This makes gold an effective defensive tool during periods of strong market volatility.
However, gold does not generate cash flow . Its price can also move sideways for long periods, requiring patience and a capital-preservation mindset rather than a get-rich-quick mentality.
Real estate — safety through tangibility and long-term value
Real estate feels safe because it is tangible and familiar . The land remains. The property remains. Over the long term, real estate tends to appreciate alongside economic growth and urbanization.
In addition, real estate can generate rental income , something gold cannot offer. For investors with stable capital and no pressure to rotate funds quickly, this is a major advantage.
The trade-off, however, is low liquidity . When markets weaken or credit conditions tighten, selling property can take a long time. If leverage is involved, this so-called “safe asset” can quickly become a financial burden.
The core difference: time horizon and flexibility
Gold suits investors who value flexibility and fast response .
Real estate suits those with long-term vision, substantial capital, and the ability to endure cycles .
Gold helps you defend in the short to medium term .
Real estate helps you build wealth over the long term .
No asset replaces the other.
They differ only in their role within your financial strategy .
After the Win: When Ego Takes OverAfter the Win: When Ego Takes Over
“Losses hurt the account.
Wins test the mind.”
A good trade works.
The plan was followed.
The market respected your level.
And then something subtle happens.
Confidence rises.
Rules soften.
The next trade feels easier to take.
That’s not growth.
That’s ego quietly stepping in.
Why Wins Are Dangerous
A win rewards behavior — but it also rewards emotion.
The brain links profit with personal ability.
You start trusting yourself more than your process.
Thoughts begin to shift:
• “I’m in sync with the market.”
• “I can see it clearly now.”
• “This one will work too.”
This is how discipline slowly erodes.
Confidence vs Ego
Confidence is calm.
Ego is loud.
Confidence respects rules.
Ego bends them.
Confidence accepts uncertainty.
Ego assumes control.
The moment a trader feels “special,”
the market prepares a lesson.
The Common Pattern
Many traders lose money not after losses,
but after a strong winning trade.
Why?
• Position size increases
• Entries become aggressive
• Confirmation is skipped
• Patience disappears
The account doesn’t collapse immediately.
It leaks slowly.
How to Stay Grounded After a Win
• Treat wins like losses — review them
• Take a short pause after big profits
• Reset size to default
• Ask: “Did I follow process, or did I get lucky?”
Your edge is consistency, not confidence.
The market doesn’t punish success.
It punishes arrogance.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Do you feel more disciplined after a win…
or more confident than your rules allow?
Risk Management Is Not Protection... It’s Your Edge!!!Most traders treat risk management like a seatbelt.
Something you use just in case.
🧳Professionals treat risk management as their main edge.
Because in trading, you don’t get paid for being right...
you get paid for staying in the game long enough for probabilities to work.
1️⃣ Risk Is Defined Before the Trade Exists
Before you think about entries or targets, one question must already be answered:
Where am I wrong?
If you don’t know where your idea fails,
you’re not managing risk... you’re hoping.
Professionals define risk first.
The trade only exists after invalidation is clear.
2️⃣ Small Risk Creates Big Freedom
When risk is small and predefined:
- hesitation disappears
- emotions calm down
- execution improves
Why?
Because no single trade matters anymore.
You stop needing trades to work, and that’s when trading becomes objective.
3️⃣ Risk Management Turns Losses Into Data
Losses are unavoidable.
Damage is optional.
A controlled loss is not a failure; it’s information.
Every loss tells you:
- the market condition wasn’t right
- the timing was early
- or the structure changed
When risk is managed, losses educate instead of punish.
4️⃣ Consistency Is Built on Risk, Not Wins
Winning streaks feel good.
They don’t build careers.
Surviving losing streaks does.
Proper risk management ensures:
- drawdowns stay shallow
- confidence stays intact
- discipline stays repeatable
That’s how traders last long enough to improve.
💡The Real Truth
You don’t need a better strategy.
You need better control over downside.
Risk management is what allows:
- imperfect strategies to work
- average win rates to grow accounts
- traders to evolve instead of quit
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Swing Failure Pattern (SFP): When Price ReversesThe swing failure pattern is a liquidity event, not a candle pattern. It marks the moment when the market reaches for obvious stops, absorbs them, and reveals true intent.
An SFP forms when price trades beyond a well-defined swing high or low and then fails to hold acceptance outside that level. The extension triggers breakout entries and stop losses. The immediate rejection back inside the range confirms that the move was used to collect liquidity rather than to continue.
What the structure tells you
The key information is not the wick itself, but the context around it. The prior high or low must be obvious and widely watched. Equal highs, range extremes, or clean swing points carry the most liquidity. When price briefly breaks that level and closes back inside, the market signals that opposing orders have been filled.
This failure traps late participants. Breakout traders are positioned in the wrong direction, while stop losses from earlier positions have already been taken. That imbalance becomes fuel for the next move.
Why SFPs matter
SFPs often appear at major range boundaries or after extended directional moves. In ranges, they define the edges where reversals are most likely. In trends, they frequently mark local distribution or accumulation before a deeper retracement or full reversal.
The move after the SFP is usually cleaner than the move into it. Once liquidity is taken, price no longer needs to revisit the level. Structure shifts, momentum changes, and expansion follows away from the failed breakout.
How to use SFPs correctly
An SFP is not a signal by itself. It requires confirmation through acceptance back inside the range and alignment with higher-timeframe context. When combined with structure, it provides precise locations where risk can be defined tightly and intent is clear.
The market does not reverse because price touched a level. It reverses because liquidity was collected and the objective at that level was completed. The swing failure pattern is the footprint of that process.
Understanding Candlesticks Within Market Structure | Tutorial #1Candlesticks + Support & Resistance in an Uptrend (Contextual Analysis)
In this tutorial, we developing an understanding of market context by observing how candlesticks behave within a bullish market environment.
Rather than viewing candlesticks as independent signals, this lesson focuses on how price behavior interacts with Support & Resistance levels during an uptrend , from a purely analytical and educational perspective.
The goal is to explain market behavior and structure , not to instruct or encourage any form of trading activity.
⚠️ Important Note
If anything on the chart is unclear, feel free to ask questions in the comments, and I will clarify the conceptual logic behind the price behavior shown.
If the material feels complex at first, that is completely normal.
This series is focused on building foundational understanding step by step , not on decision-making or execution.
📌 Chart Explanation (EURJPY Example)
On the chart, the following elements are highlighted:
1️⃣ Candlesticks
→ Illustrate how price reacts after pullbacks and pauses within a broader upward structure.
2️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones
→ Areas where price has historically shown repeated reactions.
3️⃣ Market Structure
→ Higher highs and higher lows, which define an upward structural environment.
4️⃣ Directional Arrows
→ Visual references to help distinguish between impulsive movements and corrective phases within the trend.
These elements are shown solely to explain market structure and price interaction , not to imply or suggest any action.
🧠 Why Context Matters in an Uptrend
👉 Support & Resistance as contextual reference points
Candlesticks, on their own, do not carry inherent meaning.
They become informative only when analyzed within market structure and key price areas.
In an uptrend, price often displays different behavior during pullbacks compared to trend reversals.
Understanding this distinction is essential for accurate market interpretation , not for execution.
📊 Step-by-Step Market Interpretation
1️⃣ Recognizing an upward market structure
→ Higher highs and higher lows
2️⃣ Identifying relevant Support & Resistance areas
→ Zones where price previously reacted
3️⃣ Observing candlestick behavior near these areas
→ Sequences, momentum shifts, and pressure buildup
These steps are presented to organize analytical thinking , not to guide participation in the market.
🔍 Additional Observational Elements
When certain candlestick formations appear after a pullback—such as stronger momentum candles or engulfing structures—they are often discussed in technical analysis literature as signs of renewed buying pressure.
It is important to understand that:
No single candle has predictive power on its own
Observations are probabilistic, not deterministic
Market behavior is interpreted, not guaranteed
🛡 General Risk Awareness (Educational Context)
No market pattern guarantees any outcome.
Financial markets involve uncertainty by nature.
Anyone studying these concepts should understand that:
Analysis does not equal results
Knowledge does not remove risk
Learning should always precede real-world application
This content does not encourage participation , but rather explains analytical frameworks used in market study.
👀 What’s Next?
In the next tutorial, we will introduce the concept of areas of confluence in an uptrend.
We’ll focus on how different forms of analysis can align in the same region on the chart , increasing its structural relevance from a technical perspective.
The goal is to improve contextual understanding of price behavior , not to provide trading instructions.
Follow to continue learning about market structure and price behavior
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This content is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice, trading instruction, or a recommendation to engage in any financial activity.
The author does not provide personalized advice.
Any actions taken based on this content are solely the responsibility of the individual.
Quantitative Algorithmic Trading in the Global MarketData-Driven Strategies for Modern Finance
Quantitative algorithmic trading, often called quant trading, represents the convergence of finance, mathematics, statistics, and computer science. In the global market—spanning equities, commodities, forex, fixed income, and derivatives—quantitative trading has transformed how capital is deployed, risks are managed, and opportunities are identified. Instead of relying on intuition or discretionary decision-making, quant trading uses data-driven models and automated algorithms to execute trades with speed, precision, and discipline across international markets.
Understanding Quantitative Algorithmic Trading
At its core, quantitative algorithmic trading involves creating mathematical models that identify trading opportunities based on historical and real-time data. These models are translated into algorithms that automatically place buy or sell orders when predefined conditions are met. The trader’s role shifts from manual execution to designing, testing, and refining strategies.
In global markets, quant trading operates across multiple exchanges, time zones, and asset classes. This global reach allows algorithms to exploit inefficiencies arising from market fragmentation, differing regulations, currency fluctuations, and regional economic cycles.
Evolution of Quant Trading in Global Markets
Quantitative trading began with simple statistical arbitrage strategies in developed markets such as the United States and Europe. Over time, advances in computing power, access to large datasets, and the growth of electronic exchanges expanded its scope. Today, quant trading dominates volumes in major global markets, particularly in equities and foreign exchange.
Emerging markets have also seen rapid adoption as infrastructure improves and liquidity deepens. Global hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, and institutional investors deploy algorithms that operate 24 hours a day, adapting to market conditions in Asia, Europe, and the Americas.
Key Components of a Quant Trading System
A successful quantitative trading system typically consists of several interconnected components. First is data acquisition, which includes price data, volume, order book information, macroeconomic indicators, corporate fundamentals, and alternative data such as news sentiment or satellite data. In global markets, handling data from multiple sources and ensuring consistency across regions is a major challenge.
Second is model development, where statistical techniques, machine learning, or econometric models are used to identify patterns and predict price movements. These models are backtested using historical data to evaluate performance under different market conditions.
Third is execution logic, which determines how trades are placed to minimize costs such as slippage and market impact. In global markets, execution algorithms must account for varying liquidity, trading hours, and regulatory constraints.
Finally, risk management is embedded into the system to control exposure, limit drawdowns, and ensure capital preservation across volatile global environments.
Types of Quantitative Trading Strategies
Quantitative strategies in global markets can be broadly classified into several categories. Statistical arbitrage strategies exploit pricing inefficiencies between related instruments, such as pairs trading across international exchanges or ADRs versus local shares.
Trend-following strategies identify and ride sustained price movements across global asset classes. These strategies are popular in futures and forex markets, where macroeconomic trends often play out over long periods.
Mean-reversion strategies assume that prices revert to historical averages. These are commonly used in equity markets and volatility trading.
High-frequency trading (HFT) focuses on extremely short time frames, using speed and micro-price movements to generate profits. While controversial, HFT plays a significant role in global market liquidity.
Machine learning-based strategies use advanced algorithms to detect complex, nonlinear relationships in data. These approaches are increasingly popular as data availability and computing power expand.
Advantages of Quant Trading in Global Markets
One of the biggest advantages of quantitative algorithmic trading is objectivity. Decisions are based on data and rules, reducing emotional bias. This is particularly important in global markets, where geopolitical events, policy decisions, and sudden shocks can trigger extreme volatility.
Another key benefit is scalability. Algorithms can simultaneously monitor and trade hundreds of instruments across multiple countries, something impossible for manual traders. This allows firms to diversify strategies and reduce dependence on a single market.
Speed and efficiency are also critical advantages. Automated systems can react to market changes in milliseconds, capturing opportunities before they disappear. In global markets with overlapping trading sessions, this speed is a competitive edge.
Challenges and Risks
Despite its advantages, quantitative trading faces significant challenges. Model risk is a major concern—strategies that perform well in historical tests may fail in live markets due to changing conditions. Global markets add complexity due to differing regulations, political risks, and currency exposure.
Data quality and availability can also be problematic, especially in emerging markets where historical data may be limited or unreliable. Poor data can lead to flawed models and unexpected losses.
Technology and infrastructure risk is another factor. System failures, latency issues, or cyber threats can disrupt trading operations, potentially leading to large losses.
Regulation and Ethical Considerations
Global regulators closely monitor algorithmic trading due to its impact on market stability. Different countries impose varying rules on order types, position limits, and reporting requirements. Quant traders operating globally must ensure compliance with multiple regulatory frameworks.
Ethical considerations also arise, particularly around market fairness and transparency. Responsible quant trading emphasizes liquidity provision and risk control rather than exploitative practices.
The Future of Quantitative Algorithmic Trading
The future of quant trading in global markets is closely tied to technological innovation. Artificial intelligence, alternative data, and cloud computing are reshaping how strategies are developed and deployed. As markets become more interconnected, cross-asset and cross-border strategies will gain importance.
At the same time, competition is intensifying. Alpha is becoming harder to find, pushing quants to focus on better risk management, execution efficiency, and innovation rather than pure prediction.
Conclusion
Quantitative algorithmic trading has become a cornerstone of modern global financial markets. By leveraging data, technology, and systematic processes, it enables traders and institutions to operate efficiently across borders and asset classes. While challenges such as model risk, regulation, and market complexity remain, the disciplined and scalable nature of quant trading ensures its continued dominance in the global market landscape.
Cybersecurity Risks in the Global Trading SystemThreats, Vulnerabilities, and Strategic Defenses
In today’s highly interconnected world, the global trading system relies heavily on digital infrastructure. From stock exchanges and commodity markets to forex platforms and cross-border payment systems, technology is the backbone of modern trade. While digitization has improved speed, efficiency, and accessibility, it has also exposed global markets to significant cybersecurity risks. Cyber threats now pose one of the most critical non-financial risks to the stability, trust, and integrity of global trading systems.
Understanding the Global Trading System’s Digital Dependency
The global trading system includes stock exchanges, clearing corporations, depositories, brokerage firms, banks, commodity exchanges, logistics networks, and regulatory systems. These entities are interconnected through real-time data feeds, cloud services, APIs, and payment networks such as SWIFT. Even a minor cyber incident in one node can trigger a cascading effect across global markets.
High-frequency trading (HFT), algorithmic trading, and automated settlement systems depend on uninterrupted data flow and low latency. This dependency makes the system extremely sensitive to cyber disruptions, where milliseconds of delay or data manipulation can result in massive financial losses.
Major Cybersecurity Risks in Global Trading Systems
1. Data Breaches and Information Theft
One of the most common cybersecurity risks is data breaches. Trading platforms store sensitive information such as client identities, bank details, trade positions, proprietary algorithms, and market strategies. A successful breach can lead to insider trading, front-running, identity theft, and financial fraud.
State-sponsored hackers and cybercriminal groups often target financial institutions to steal market-sensitive data, which can be exploited for unfair trading advantages or sold on the dark web.
2. Market Manipulation Through Cyber Attacks
Cyber attackers can manipulate markets by altering data feeds, hacking trading algorithms, or spreading false information. For example, compromising a price feed can trigger automated buy or sell orders, leading to artificial volatility or flash crashes.
In algorithm-driven markets, even small distortions in data can cause massive ripple effects. Attackers may exploit vulnerabilities to manipulate liquidity, inflate volumes, or disrupt price discovery mechanisms.
3. Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) Attacks
DDoS attacks flood trading platforms or exchanges with traffic, making systems unavailable to legitimate users. During critical market hours, such attacks can halt trading, delay order execution, or prevent access to risk management systems.
DDoS attacks are often used strategically during geopolitical tensions, economic announcements, or high-volatility events to destabilize markets or undermine confidence in financial institutions.
4. Ransomware Attacks on Financial Infrastructure
Ransomware attacks have become increasingly sophisticated. Hackers encrypt critical trading and settlement systems and demand ransom payments to restore access. If clearing and settlement systems are compromised, it can delay trade confirmations, margin calculations, and fund transfers.
Such attacks not only cause financial losses but also damage reputations and erode investor trust in the reliability of global trading systems.
Systemic Risk and Cascading Failures
Cybersecurity risks in global trading systems are not isolated threats—they represent systemic risk. A successful cyberattack on a major exchange, clearing house, or payment network can disrupt multiple markets simultaneously.
For example:
A compromised clearing corporation can delay settlements across thousands of trades.
A hacked forex trading platform can affect currency stability.
A cyberattack on a major bank can freeze liquidity across regions.
These cascading failures can amplify market panic, trigger margin calls, and even lead to broader financial instability.
Geopolitical and State-Sponsored Cyber Threats
Cybersecurity has become a tool of geopolitical conflict. Nation-states increasingly use cyber warfare to target financial infrastructure of rival economies. Global trading systems are prime targets because disrupting financial markets can weaken economic stability without direct military confrontation.
State-sponsored cyberattacks may aim to:
Undermine confidence in a country’s financial markets
Steal economic intelligence
Disrupt trade during sanctions or conflicts
Manipulate commodity or currency markets
This elevates cybersecurity from an IT issue to a matter of national and global economic security.
Third-Party and Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
Global trading systems rely on third-party vendors for cloud services, data analytics, trading software, and connectivity. A vulnerability in any third-party provider can expose multiple institutions simultaneously.
Supply chain attacks—where hackers infiltrate a trusted vendor to access clients—are particularly dangerous. Since vendors often have privileged system access, attackers can bypass traditional security controls and remain undetected for long periods.
Human Error and Insider Threats
Despite advanced security technologies, human error remains a major risk factor. Weak passwords, phishing emails, poor access controls, and lack of cybersecurity awareness can open doors to attackers.
Insider threats—whether malicious or accidental—are equally dangerous. Disgruntled employees or compromised insiders can leak sensitive data, sabotage systems, or provide access credentials to attackers.
Regulatory and Compliance Challenges
Global trading systems operate across multiple jurisdictions, each with different cybersecurity regulations and standards. Inconsistent regulatory frameworks create gaps that attackers can exploit.
Additionally, rapid technological innovation often outpaces regulation. New trading technologies such as decentralized finance (DeFi), blockchain-based trading, and AI-driven systems introduce fresh cybersecurity risks that regulators may not fully address yet.
Impact on Market Confidence and Trust
Trust is the foundation of global trading. Cyber incidents erode investor confidence, reduce participation, and increase risk premiums. Repeated cybersecurity failures can push investors away from affected markets and lead to long-term reputational damage for exchanges and financial institutions.
In extreme cases, loss of trust can cause liquidity shortages, capital flight, and prolonged market instability.
Strengthening Cybersecurity in Global Trading Systems
To mitigate cybersecurity risks, a multi-layered and proactive approach is essential:
Advanced Threat Detection: Use AI and machine learning to identify abnormal trading behavior and cyber intrusions in real time.
Zero-Trust Architecture: Assume no system or user is automatically trusted; verify every access request.
Regular Stress Testing: Conduct cyber stress tests and simulations to assess resilience against large-scale attacks.
Encryption and Data Protection: Secure data at rest and in transit using strong cryptographic standards.
Employee Training: Build cybersecurity awareness to reduce phishing and social engineering risks.
Global Coordination: Regulators, exchanges, and financial institutions must share threat intelligence and coordinate responses to cyber incidents.
Conclusion
Cybersecurity risks in the global trading system represent one of the most significant challenges to modern financial markets. As trading becomes faster, more automated, and more interconnected, the potential impact of cyber threats grows exponentially. These risks go beyond financial losses, threatening market integrity, systemic stability, and global economic trust.
Addressing cybersecurity is no longer optional—it is a strategic imperative. Only through continuous investment in technology, strong governance, international cooperation, and a culture of cyber resilience can the global trading system remain secure, stable, and trustworthy in an increasingly digital world.
Bank of Japan Policy Decision: Global Market Impact AnalysisBank of Japan Interest Rate Decision (December 19)
Introduction : Why Japan’s Interest Rate Policy Matters
Japan’s monetary policy plays a critical role in the global financial system. For decades, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained ultra-loose conditions, turning the Japanese yen into the world’s primary funding currency. Global investors borrow cheaply in JPY and deploy capital into higher-yielding assets such as equities, bonds, and cryptocurrencies.
Because of this structure, even a small shift in BoJ policy can trigger large cross-market reactions. The BoJ’s interest rate decision on December 19 is therefore a high-impact macro event with potential consequences for forex, global equities, bonds, gold, and crypto markets.
Scenario 1: If the Bank of Japan Raises Interest Rates
A rate hike would represent a historic policy shift and signal the early stages of monetary normalization.
Impact on Forex (USD/JPY & JPY Pairs)
* The Japanese yen (JPY) is likely to strengthen due to improved yield appeal
* USD/JPY may face strong bearish pressure
* Carry trades funded in JPY could unwind rapidly, increasing volatility
JPY crosses such as EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, and AUD/JPY may also decline as risk exposure is reduced.
Impact on Global Equity Markets
* Japanese equities: Mixed to bearish bias due to a stronger yen hurting exporters
* Asian markets: Short-term weakness as financial conditions tighten
* US & European equities: Increased volatility and pressure on growth stocks
Overall, a rate hike may trigger a short-term global risk-off reaction driven by liquidity repricing rather than economic deterioration.
Impact on Crypto Markets (Bitcoin & Altcoins)
* Bitcoin: Short-term bearish pressure and higher volatility
* Altcoins: Likely underperformance due to higher risk sensitivity
* Macro-driven selling could create longer-term accumulation zones once volatility settles
Impact on Bonds, Gold & Risk Sentiment
* Bonds: Japanese and global yields may rise
* Gold: Short-term pressure from higher yields, medium-term support if risk aversion increases
* Risk sentiment: Shift toward defensive positioning and reduced leverage
Scenario 2: If the Bank of Japan Does NOT Raise Interest Rates
If rates remain unchanged, markets may view the decision as continued policy caution.
Expected Market Reactions
* JPY: Continued weakness
* USD/JPY: Bullish continuation
* Global equities & crypto: Supported by ongoing liquidity
* Risk sentiment: Risk-on behaviour likely to persist
Short-Term vs Medium-Term Outlook
Short-Term
* Rate hike: Sharp volatility, risk-off moves
* No hike: Relief rally in risk assets
Medium-Term
* Gradual tightening allows controlled market adjustment
* Continued loose policy supports assets but increases structural risks over time
Markets typically shift from news reaction to trend confirmation within weeks.
Educational Entry–Exit Examples (Not Financial Advice)
USD/JPY (Rate Hike):
* Bias: Bearish
* Concept: Breakdown → pullback → continuation
* Invalidation: Above recent swing high
Bitcoin (No Hike):
* Bias: Bullish
* Concept: Pullback after impulse
* Risk Note: Reduced size during news volatility
US Indices:
* Rate hike: Sell rallies near resistance
* No hike: Buy dips in confirmed trend
Conclusion: Key Takeaways for Traders
The Bank of Japan’s December 19 interest rate decision is a major global liquidity event. A rate hike would favour the yen while pressuring risk assets, whereas a no-change policy would support equities, cryptocurrencies, and carry trades. Traders should prioritise volatility management, confirmation from price action, and cross-market correlations over predictions and forecasts.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)
Examples of How to Determine When to Trade
Hello, fellow traders!
Follow us to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day!
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How can you profit from trading with charts that show the above movements?
To trade, you need a basic trading strategy.
This basic trading strategy varies from person to person, so it's important to create a basic trading strategy that suits you.
The basic trading strategy I'm suggesting is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range rises, a step-up trend is likely, while if the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range falls, a step-down trend is likely.
Therefore, you should trade using a segmented trading method.
Looking at the chart, you can see that a step-down trend is occurring, and the HA-High indicator has been created for the first time.
Therefore, if the current HA-Low indicator level of 0.01566 is supported and the price rises, the wave will end around 0.03230.
If you zoom in on the chart, you can see that the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart has risen above the HA-Low indicator and has broken above it.
Therefore, we can see that short-term trading is possible.
The following evidence supports this:
1. The TC indicator has risen above the 0 level.
2. The StochRSI indicator is showing an upward trend.
3. The OBV indicator is showing signs of rising above the High Line.
Therefore, we can initiate a trade around the HA-Low indicator level of 0.01566, depending on whether there is support.
However, since the price is in a stepwise downtrend, if it falls below 0.01566, we should cut our losses or sell in installments to secure funds for future purchases.
A full-scale uptrend is likely to begin when the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart rises above it.
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Unlike the TST chart, the CHZ chart has the M-Signal indicator from the 1M chart.
Therefore, to sustain a long-term uptrend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Currently, the price is in a stepwise downtrend, but it has risen above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, if the price remains above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, an uptrend is expected.
As mentioned earlier, the basic trading strategy considers the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range as a sell zone.
Therefore, we should respond based on the presence of support around the 0.04363-0.04631 range.
If the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range supports the price and rises, a stepwise uptrend is likely.
At this point, the key is whether the price can sustain itself by breaking above the M-Siganl indicator on the 1M chart.
-
To continue the uptrend by breaking above a key point or range, the following conditions must be met:
1. The TC indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the zero level.
2. The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should not enter the overbought zone.
3. The OBV indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the High Line.
Based on the above conditions, the current price movement appears highly likely to continue upward.
However, if the price breaks above the next important level, the 0.04363-0.04631 range, we must reassess whether the above conditions are met.
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To trade, we strive to gather as much information as possible.
This information includes issues beyond the chart itself.
However, if you identify issues outside of the chart before the chart analysis is complete, you may end up analyzing the chart subjectively. Therefore, it's best to explore other issues after the chart analysis is complete.
The most important thing when looking at a chart is the flow of funds.
However, it can be difficult for individual investors to understand this flow.
Analyzing trading volume can also be difficult, so to simplify this process, we created the TC indicator, which utilizes the OBV and PVT indicators.
Furthermore, the DOM indicator, which comprehensively evaluates the DMI, OBV, and MONENTUM indicators, also includes trading volume and displays support and resistance points.
Additionally, you can activate the StochRSI 20, 50, and 80 indicators, as well as the OBV High and Low indicators.
You can utilize these indicators to further refine your trading strategy.
However, you should first check the movement and alignment of the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Next, you should check the location of the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low or HA-High ~ DOM(-60) range and determine whether there is support near those areas.
Using other people's indicators or chart analysis requires significant time and observation.
Otherwise, you are more likely to misinterpret the data and fail to trade.
To utilize my charts, it's recommended to activate the indicators as follows:
1. Activate only the M-Signal and HA-Low/HA-High indicators on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts to check and observe the basic chart movements.
You can trade with these indicators alone.
However, if volatility occurs, the high and low points are not clearly defined, which can delay response times.
2. To prevent this, activate the DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators. The DOM(60) indicator represents a high, while the DOM(-60) indicator represents a low.
Therefore, you can buy around the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range depending on whether there's support, and sell around the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range depending on whether there's support.
3. If you're comfortable interpreting steps 1 and 2, you can use the movements of the auxiliary indicators TC, StochRSI, and OBV.
Steps 1 and 2 can be thought of as indicating support and resistance points. When determining support near these points, refer to the movements of the auxiliary indicators TC, StochRSI, and OBV to help you determine whether there's support.
Becoming proficient at interpreting steps 1 through 3 will greatly aid you in identifying trading opportunities.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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The Hidden Signal of the Rectangle PatternWhat Is the Rectangle Pattern?
The Rectangle Pattern is one of the classic technical analysis patterns. It forms when the market enters a consolidation or ranging phase. Price moves between a horizontal support and a horizontal resistance, and the market hasn’t decided which direction to move yet.
🧠 Simple Concept
Buyers prevent price from dropping below support
Sellers prevent price from rising above resistance
Result: Price oscillates inside a horizontal box 📦
This phase usually happens before a strong move.
📐 Structure of the Rectangle Pattern
For the pattern to be valid, we usually need:
At least 2 touches on resistance
At least 2 touches on support
Lines should be mostly horizontal (not sloped)
🔄 Types of Rectangle Patterns
1️⃣ Continuation Rectangle (Most Common)
Forms after a strong trend
Market takes a breather 😮💨
After the breakout, the previous trend continues
📈 Uptrend → Breakout upward
📉 Downtrend → Breakout downward
2️⃣ Reversal Rectangle (Less Common)
Breakout happens against the prior trend
Requires strong confirmation
🚪 How to Identify a Valid Breakout?
A good breakout should have:
🕯 Candle close outside the range
📊 Increase in volume
🔁 Preferably a pullback to the broken level
⚠️ A wick-only breakout is not valid.
🎯 Price Target of the Rectangle Pattern
Very simple calculation:
Rectangle Height = Resistance − Support
Project the same distance from the breakout point.
📌 Example:
Support: 100
Resistance: 120
Height: 20
🔼 Bullish breakout → Target = 140
🔽 Bearish breakout → Target = 80
🛑 Stop Loss Placement
Bullish breakout 📈 → SL below former resistance
Bearish breakout 📉 → SL above former support
Or:
Behind the last swing high/low inside the rectangle
🧩 Role of Volume
Low volume inside the rectangle → Healthy consolidation ✅
High volume on breakout → Pattern confirmation 💪
Breakout without volume → Suspicious ❌
⏱ Best Timeframes
The pattern appears on all timeframes, but works best on:
1H
4H
Daily
⚠️ Very low timeframes = more fake breakouts
❌ Common Trader Mistakes
Entering before the breakout
Ignoring volume
No stop loss
Trading inside the box 😬
✅ Golden Tips for Success
Be patient and wait for the breakout 🧘
Always confirm with volume
Pullbacks offer the safest entries
Risk-to-reward should be at least 1:2
🧠 Professional Rectangle Trading Strategies
🎯 Entry Methods
1️⃣ Aggressive Entry
Enter immediately after breakout candle closes
Suitable for strong momentum markets
Higher risk, faster profit
📌 Best for experienced traders
2️⃣ Conservative Entry (Recommended)
Wait for pullback to the broken level
Enter after price confirmation
Higher win rate ✅
📌 Best choice for most traders
🧯 What Is a Fake Breakout & How to Avoid It?
A fake breakout happens when price briefly exits the rectangle and quickly returns inside 😵
Warning Signs:
❌ No volume
❌ No candle close outside the range
❌ Breakout against higher-timeframe trend
Professional Solution:
Wait for candle close
Confirm with Volume or RSI
Enter on pullback, not the first impulse
📊 Trade Management
🎯 Multi-Target Strategy
Instead of one target:
TP1 = 50% of rectangle height
TP2 = 100% of rectangle height
Trail the remaining position
📈 This reduces psychological pressure
🛑 Smart Stop Loss Techniques
Advanced methods include:
Above/below breakout candle
Behind VWAP or EMA 20/50
ATR-based stop (volatility-based)
🧩 Combining Rectangle Pattern with Other Tools
📉 With RSI
Bullish breakout + RSI above 50 → Strong confirmation
Divergence inside rectangle → Trend change warning
📈 With EMAs
Price above EMA 50 → Long bias
Price below EMA 50 → Short bias
📊 With Volume Profile
Breakout from High-Volume Area → More reliable
⏳ Higher Timeframe Analysis (Top-Down)
Before entering a trade:
Identify the higher-timeframe trend
Align the rectangle breakout with it
📌 Rectangle against the major trend = higher risk ⚠️
🧪 Real Trade Scenario Example
Overall trend: Bullish
Rectangle forms on 4H
Low volume inside the box
Bullish breakout with volume
Pullback to broken resistance
🎯 Long entry | SL below box | TP = rectangle height
❌ Even Pros Make These Mistakes
Overtrading inside ranges
Drawing the rectangle too wide
Ignoring major news events
Risking more than 1–2% per trade
✅ Golden Pre-Trade Checklist
☑️ At least 2 touches on support & resistance
☑️ Low volume inside the rectangle
☑️ Breakout with candle close
☑️ Aligned with higher-timeframe trend
☑️ Risk-to-reward ≥ 1:2
📌 Final Summary
The Rectangle Pattern means:
“The market is building energy” ⚡️
If you:
Stay patient
Filter fake breakouts
Follow proper risk management
This pattern can become one of the most reliable tools in your trading system 🚀
Why Reducing Trading Fees Is The Foundation of Risk ManagementMost traders obsess over entries, exits, indicators, and leverage.
Very few obsess over fees .
That’s odd; because unlike your strategy, your psychology, or the market itself, trading fees are guaranteed . They apply to every trade, in every market condition, whether you win or lose.
If risk management is about controlling what you can, trading fees should be the first place to start.
Trading Fees Are a Permanent Tax on Activity
Maker vs taker fees, VIP tiers, and exchange comparisons are well-known topics.
What’s often missed is the cumulative effect:
High-frequency trading multiplies fees rapidly
Lower timeframes amplify churn
Leverage magnifies fee impact on ROI
You can make correct directional calls and still watch profits evaporate simply due to volume-based costs.
Fees don’t care if your trade was “good”.
Why Traders Mentally Ignore Fees
Fees are usually framed as:
“The cost of doing business”
“Small enough not to matter”
“Something I’ll optimize later”
But later rarely comes.
Most traders optimize strategy first and infrastructure las t, even though infrastructure compounds quietly over time.
This is the same reason many traders focus on win rate instead of expectancy.
Referral Codes Aren’t Just Marketing Gimmicks
Here’s an under-discussed mechanic:
Exchanges pay affiliates a share of the trading fees generated by referred users.
Structurally, nothing forces affiliates to keep that commission.
Some setups return a portion of those fees back to the trader as ongoing rebates , effectively lowering trading costs indefinitely ; not as a one-time bonus, but as a permanent modifier.
That makes referral mechanics less about marketing and more about cost structure.
Fee Reduction Is Risk Management, Not Optimization
Reducing fees:
Improves expectancy without changing strategy
Reduces drawdowns during choppy conditions
Increases survivability during high-volume phases
Compounds positively over time
Unlike indicators, it doesn’t introduce noise.
Unlike leverage, it doesn’t increase risk.
It simply removes friction.
Why This Matters More for Active Traders
If you:
Trade frequently
Use algorithmic or semi-automated strategies
Operate on lower timeframes
Manage multiple positions
…then fee drag is one of the largest silent variables in your system.
Ignoring it is equivalent to ignoring slippage or execution quality.
Making Fee Reduction Part of Your Setup
Some traders handle this by:
Reaching higher VIP tiers
Negotiating institutional rates
Using rebate or cashback mechanisms
The key shift is treating fee reduction as infrastructure , not an afterthought.
If you already track risk, exposure, and performance metrics, fees deserve the same level of attention.
Final Thought
You can’t control the market.
You can’t guarantee execution.
But you can control how much friction you accept per trade.
If risk management is about stacking small, permanent edges, then reducing trading fees isn’t optional; it’s foundational.
For those curious about how traders automate fee rebates and make this part of their infrastructure, educational resources exist that break down the mechanics step by step (for example, how Bybit referral rebates work and how they can be applied even after account creation).
How to Use Candlesticks in a High-Probability Way | Tutorial #4Candlesticks + Support & Resistance in a Downtrend (Context Matters)
In this part, we move beyond isolated candlesticks and place them into real market context.
This tutorial focuses on combining candlesticks with Support & Resistance within a downtrend , which is where high-probability setups are actually formed.
⚠️ Important note:
This part is slightly more advanced than the previous three tutorials.
If something on the chart is unclear, feel free to ask in the comments — I’ll do my best to answer everyone.
Don’t worry if it feels complex at first.
We are just scratching the surface — from here, the real trading logic begins.
Strongly recommended:
Review Tutorials #1–#3 first.
Each part builds on the previous one, and this structure will continue throughout the series.
📌 Chart Explanation (NZDUSD Example)
I’m using NZDUSD again , the same pair from Part 1, to keep everything consistent and easier to follow.
On the chart, you can see:
1️⃣ Candlesticks
→ They show price reactions when reversals or rejections occur.
2️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones
→ Key areas where price previously reacted.
3️⃣ Numbers (1–3)
→ Represent multiple touches of support and resistance, increasing their importance.
4️⃣ Market Structure
→ Lower Highs + Lower Lows = Downtrend context
5️⃣ Directional Arrows
→ Visual guidance for trend direction and corrections.
🧠 Why Context Changes Everything
Up to now, we worked mainly with candlesticks and trend direction.
Now we add the most important missing piece for high-probability trading:
👉 Support & Resistance
Candlesticks do not create signals on their own.
They become powerful only when they appear at the right location within market structure.
(If Support & Resistance is not fully clear yet, I’ve already published Part 1 of that tutorial — feel free to ask in the comments, and I’ll gladly make Part 2.)
📈 Finding Trade Opportunities — Step by Step
(Using all 4 tutorials together)
1️⃣ Identify a downtrend
→ Lower highs & lower lows
2️⃣ Draw Support & Resistance zones
3️⃣ Wait for candlestick stacking
→ As explained in previous tutorials (clusters, sequences, pressure buildup)
🔥 Bonus Confirmation
If, after candlesticks stack together, you see:
an Engulfing candle , or
a Momentum candle
that’s a strong sign that buyers or sellers are stepping in aggressively.
This is where probability increases , not because of one candle — but because everything aligns.
🛡 Risk Management Reminder
No setup is guaranteed.
Always apply proper risk management and position sizing.
If you’re still learning or testing these concepts, it is strongly recommended to practice on a demo account first before risking real capital.
Trading is a process, not a shortcut to fast profits.
Focus on consistency, discipline, and execution — not outcomes.
🧠 Continuing the Series
If anything on the chart is unclear, feel free to ask in the comments — I’ll do my best to help.
This tutorial is part of a structured series where each part builds on the previous one.
Following simply helps you keep track of future lessons.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves risk — always conduct your own analysis.
I am not responsible for any decisions or losses based on this material.
Last week Expected Ranges levels in actionQuick Recap: Last week Expected Ranges levels in action
What is Expected Range Volatility (ER)?
The Expected Range (ER) is a framework that helps traders understand how much an asset is likely to move within a specific timeframe. Based on CME market data and Nobel Prize-winning calculations, price movements within the expected volatility corridor have a 68%-95% probability of staying within those boundaries.
Crude Oil - 6 reactions to levels🔥
EUR - 4 reactions to levels
BTC - 3 reactions
GOLD - 1 reaction to levels
It's really an amazing tool to enhance your market entry💲
!!! - It doesn't guarantee trades every day.
!! it's better to combine it when working with the trend and when there's a clear sideways movement.
Ganbit note: TS2025.12.19 homework
Ganbit brother share his homework.
In this homework, CISD, MSS, and most importantly TS were marked. Teacher Diva shared her opinion on this work, gave valuable feedback. Hope all that must mention things applied here.
Key:
if downtrend's already known, marking CISD toward current trend is not necessarily.
So, in this circumstance, what to notice?
How to Stop Guessing and Start Trading with IntentThe Psychology Behind Trading Decisions
Estimates suggest that only about 5% of human brain activity is conscious . The remaining 95% operates at a subconscious level — outside our direct control and awareness. If this is true, then in trading, most decisions are also made unconsciously.
As Somerset Maugham once said:
“ Money is a sixth sense — without it, you cannot fully use the other five. ”
Money goes far beyond being a simple medium of exchange. It becomes an emotional and psychological factor that directly affects our sense of security, freedom, and control .
Investing and trading are among the few fields where participants work directly with money for the purpose of increasing it . And this is exactly where the trap lies — one that almost all beginners, and even experienced traders, fall into.
Why Trading Is Psychologically Different from Business
When the object of activity is not a product, not a service, and not a process, but money itself , the psyche begins to respond differently.
Consider a motherboard manufacturer. Their activity generates income only after the product is sold. There is always distance between the action and the money :
development
production
logistics
marketing
distribution
time
Profit in such a business is the result of a well-built system , not the outcome of each individual action.
In trading and investing, this distance disappears.
Money is no longer the result — it becomes the direct object of work.
Every decision is instantly reflected in the account balance
Every mistake becomes an immediate loss
Every winning trade delivers instant emotional reward
At this point, money ceases to be a neutral tool and turns into a psychological trigger .
How the Market Hijacks Decision-Making
Fear of loss intensifies.
Greed increases.
Decision-making accelerates.
Choices are no longer driven by logic, but by automatic reactions :
fear of loss
greed
the need to be right
the urge to quickly recover losses
The market constantly provokes these reactions. Without structure, a trader begins to act impulsively — even while believing that everything has been “ carefully thought through .”
The Illusion of Rationality
A sense of rational process emerges:
the chart is analyzed
arguments for entry are found
exit levels are reconsidered
Yet without pre-defined rules , these actions are not logic. They are attempts to justify a decision made under the influence of the moment.
Trading turns into a sequence of chaotic market decisions:
mental pressure builds
motivation fades
fatigue sets in
internal tension accumulates
Each new trade begins to feel like a way to “ fix ” the previous one.
In such an environment, the trader stops managing risk and starts being managed by emotions .
An illusion of control appears:
just a bit more analysis, one more argument — and the market has to respond correctly.
If this sounds familiar, you know the feeling.
Why Most Losses Actually Happen
Most losses occur not because of poor analysis, but because the plan was not fixed before entry .
When trade management is no longer handled by a strategy, it is taken over by the psyche.
And the psyche cannot work with probabilities — it can only:
avoid pain
seek pleasure
Where Logical Trading Begins
Logical trading begins where the subconscious has nothing left to decide .
All key questions are answered in advance:
What is a valid trigger and confirmation for entry?
When and how will I exit?
How do I interpret mistakes?
Under what conditions do I not trade?
How is risk managed?
At the moment of execution, the trader does not think — he executes .
And the fewer decisions that must be made while in a position, the lower the chance that those decisions will be driven by fear or hope .
The Role of a Trading Strategy
So how can this be achieved?
The answer is a trading strategy.
A trading strategy is not :
a set of indicators
a “favorite setup”
A trading strategy is a formalized logic of actions that exists before entering the market.
It answers all key questions in advance and leaves no room for improvisation at the moment when pressure is highest.
Crucially, the strategy must be documented — not only in your head, but on paper or in digital form — so the market has no chance to confuse you.
What a Solid Trading Strategy Defines
A complete strategy clearly specifies:
which method of analysis is used
under what market conditions trading makes sense
how a trade idea is formed
what time of day trading is conducted
which analytical tools are used and how they are interpreted
where the trade idea is proven wrong
specifics of trading different assets
how risk and position size are calculated
how the trade is managed after entry
how mistakes are reviewed and analyzed
A strategy is not something you “feel”
If it can be changed during the trade — it is not a strategy
Strategy vs. Losses
It is important to understand:
A strategy does not eliminate losses. It eliminates chaos.
A loss within a strategy is a planned expense , not a mistake.
A mistake is a rule violation driven by emotion .
When a strategy is clearly defined and tested, the trader’s role is reduced to execution .
At this point:
you stop “feeling the market”
you start working with probabilities
A single trade no longer matters.
What matters is the series , the statistics , the long run .
That is why professionals think not in terms of profit or loss, but in terms of process .
Final Thought
A trading strategy takes over the 95% of decisions that were previously made subconsciously.
The trader is left with only one task:
Follow the system..
Enjoy!






















