Bitcoin - Must go down to retest this pattern + new ATH soon!Bitcoin recently broke out of the head and shoulders pattern and made a pretty strong uptrend. That's a sign of strength that Bitcoin will be ready to continue in the uptrend and go to a new all time high, but not yet! I still think that Bitcoin should retest the previous Head and Shoulders pattern at around 113,300 USD. It's because this is an important liquidity level and there are a lot of orders from traders, in other words - it's a strong point of interest.
Alt season continues, so is it still good to hold Bitcoin? Not really, in my opinion you should be selling Bitcoin and prepare for a huge 2026 bear market. I expect Bitcoin to go down to 60k - 70k, but this is for another analysis. I really do not recommend buying Bitcoin, rather focus on altcoins, such as LINK or ADA. There is a potential of 50% to 200% profit in the next weeks, this is not possible on Bitcoin!
Bitcoin is relatively weak, that's why a retest of the pattern makes so much sense. In a strong bull market it may go up, but in a weak bull market we see a lot of retests. It's even possible that Bitcoin will go a little bit below the head and shoulders neckline to test the 112k level or so. So be prepared for it!
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC has formed an Ascending Triangle in a DowntrendWhat is Happening Here?
If we take a look at Bitcoin, it's pretty interesting right now: we can observe an ascending triangle just formed. But this pattern took shape after a sharp drop in price.
An ascending triangle is a bullish continuation pattern:
- The resistance line stays horizontal (flat top).
- The support line is rising, creating higher lows.
So what does this mean?
This indicates that buyers are gradually pushing prices higher while sellers are consistently defending the resistance level.
And often with this pattern, the buying pressure overwhelms the sellers, causing a breakout to the upside.
🔹 Breakout expectation:
- Wait for breakout confirmation always! (strong candle close above resistance with volume), and/or on a retest of the broken resistance (now acting as support).
- With this pattern, if it breaks above strongly, the target can typically be measured by taking the height of the triangle and adding it to the breakout level.
🔹 Risk Factors:
- False breakouts can occur (price temporarily breaks resistance but falls back inside).
- If the pattern fails and price breaks below the rising trendline, it may signal bearish weakness.
✅ The reliability of the pattern increases on higher timeframes and with strong breakout volume.
In summary
An ascending triangle shows the following: Buyers are showing strength with rising lows, while resistance is being pressured repeatedly. A confirmed breakout above resistance could drive price toward a psychological target. Waiting for a strong breakout and possibly a retest helps reduce false signal risk.
Not financial advice, just sharing my thoughts on the charts.
Trade safely 😊
16,532% growth in just 37 days! A new star in the crypto world!MYX Finance: Understanding the Crypto Star that Soared Over 16,000%
BINANCE:MYXUSDT.P
In the fast-moving world of cryptocurrency, stories of incredible growth often capture our imagination. Recently, a new star has emerged, producing a truly breathtaking performance. In just 37 days, the MYX Finance token (MYX) experienced a massive price increase of over 16,532%. This kind of rocket launch makes everyone ask two simple questions: What is MYX Finance, and how did its price rise so fast?
This article is your guide to understanding this exciting story. We will explore what makes MYX Finance a special project in the crypto universe. Then, we will uncover the key reasons behind its recent, explosive growth. This is more than just a story about numbers; it’s a look into the innovation and energy that makes the world of digital finance so exciting.
Part 1: What is MYX Finance? A Simple Guide to a Powerful Platform
Before we understand why MYX grew so quickly, we first need to understand what it is. At its heart, MYX Finance is a new type of crypto trading platform designed to be powerful, fair, and easy for everyone to use.
The Best of Both Worlds - A New Kind of Crypto Market
In the crypto world, there are two main types of exchanges. Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) are like big, traditional banks. They are fast and easy to use, but you have to trust them to hold your money safely. Decentralized Exchanges (DEXs) are more like a community market. You always control your own money, but they can sometimes be slower and more complicated. MYX Finance combines the best features of both. It’s a DEX, so you always have control of your funds, but it’s designed to be as fast and easy to use as a CEX. It achieves this with a special system that lets trades happen instantly and with a feature they call “zero-slippage.”
The Magic of "Zero-Slippage"
Imagine you want to buy a crypto token for $100. On many platforms, by the time your order is processed, the price might have changed to $101. That $1 difference is called “slippage.” It can be very frustrating for traders. MYX Finance has built a system to eliminate this problem. Zero-slippage means the price you see when you click “buy” is the exact price you get. This makes trading fairer and more predictable, which is a huge advantage for traders of all levels.
More Than Just Trading - A Multi-Chain Universe
MYX isn't limited to just one blockchain. It operates across more than 20 different chains, including popular ones like Ethereum, BNB Chain, and Arbitrum. This means users can trade a huge variety of tokens without having to move their funds between different platforms, saving them time and money.
Part 2: The Perfect Storm: Four Key Catalysts for Explosive Growth
A 16,532% price increase doesn't happen by accident. It takes a “perfect storm” of technology, timing, and community excitement. For MYX, four main factors came together to create this incredible rally.
Excitement for the V2 Upgrade: Before the big price surge, there was a lot of positive talk in the MYX community about a major platform upgrade called V2. This upgrade promised to make the platform even better, faster, and more powerful, creating a strong foundation of positive sentiment.
Major Exchange Listings: The real explosion began when the MYX token was listed on popular crypto exchanges, especially Binance Alpha. This exposed the token to millions of new potential buyers. In one day, trading volume surged by 710%, reaching an incredible $354 million.
The "Short Squeeze": When the price started to rise, traders who had bet against the token (shorting) were forced to buy it back to cover their losses. This created a rapid buying frenzy called a “short squeeze.” In just 24 hours, over $14.6 million in these short positions were liquidated, adding even more fuel to the rally.
Industry Recognition and Awards: Finally, MYX Finance received a prestigious award from the BNB Chain, one of the biggest networks in crypto. They were named a “Volume Powerhouse,” which served as a powerful endorsement and gave new buyers more confidence in the project.
Part 3: The Big Picture - Why This Matters for Crypto
The story of MYX Finance is more than just one token's success; it shows us some important trends in the world of crypto.
Innovation Matters: MYX didn’t just grow because of hype; it grew because it offers a genuinely better trading experience with its zero-slippage feature. This shows that projects with strong technology can achieve incredible things.
The Power of Community: The excitement and support from the MYX community played a huge role in its success. In decentralized finance, a strong community is one of the most valuable assets a project can have.
Opportunity Still Exists: It reminds us that the crypto market is still young and full of opportunity. While there are always risks, stories like MYX show that there is still massive potential for growth.
Conclusion: Your Adventure in the World of Crypto Begins
The incredible 37-day journey of MYX Finance is a powerful reminder of how dynamic and exciting the world of digital assets can be. We’ve seen how a project with innovative technology, strong community support, and perfect timing can capture the attention of the entire market.
As the Founder of ForecastCity and the creator of the 4CastMachine AI software, my mission is to help traders navigate this exciting market with better tools and insights. The crypto world is full of opportunities like this one. To stay ahead of the curve and continue your learning journey, make sure to follow me! Let's explore the future of finance together.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
What is MYX Finance in one sentence?
MYX Finance is a next-generation decentralized exchange (DEX) that makes trading crypto fast, easy, and fair by offering zero-slippage trading across more than 20 different blockchains.
What does "zero-slippage" mean?
It means the price you see when you make a trade is the exact price you get, which prevents you from losing money to sudden price changes during your transaction.
Why did the MYX token price rise so fast?
It was a "perfect storm" of four main factors: excitement for a major platform upgrade (V2), listings on popular exchanges like Binance, a "short squeeze" that forced rapid buying, and a prestigious award from BNB Chain that boosted confidence.
Is MYX a good investment?
Like all cryptocurrencies, MYX is a high-risk, high-reward asset. Its recent performance has been incredible, but the market is very volatile. This article is for educational purposes, and you should always do your own research (DYOR) and assess your personal risk tolerance before investing.
For ongoing analysis and to discover more exciting projects in the crypto space, don't forget to follow me!
Trade Smart!
Navid Jafarian
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin break out of range?!Bitcoin is above EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If the downward trend continues towards the specified demand range, we can buy Bitcoin with appropriate risk-reward.
Bitcoin’s rise to around 121,000 and its arrival at the specified supply range will provide us with its next selling position. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
Bitcoin continues to fluctuate within the $110,000 to $117,000 range, as reduced capital inflows into ETFs combined with intensified profit-taking exert mounting pressure on its upward momentum. In this environment, the derivatives market—driven by the strong presence of futures and options contracts—plays a central role in balancing and shaping market direction. Profit-taking by 3–6 month holders, alongside losses realized by recent buyers at price peaks, has fueled selling pressure across the market.
On-chain liquidity still maintains a constructive structure, but signs of gradual weakening are evident. Meanwhile, net ETF inflows and outflows have declined to around 500 BTC per day, significantly undermining demand from traditional finance (TradFi), which had previously been a key driver of rallies in March and December 2024.
Following the mid-August all-time high, market momentum steadily weakened, dragging Bitcoin below the cost basis of recent buyers at the top and pushing the asset back into a range-bound structure. The critical question now is whether this reflects a healthy consolidation phase or the beginning of a deeper corrective cycle.
While dip-buyers provided some support, the primary selling pressure originated from experienced short-term holders. Data shows that 3–6 month holders have been realizing approximately $189 million in daily profits (based on the 14-day moving average), accounting for nearly 79% of total short-term holder realized gains. These figures indicate that many investors who entered the market during the February-to-May correction used the recent rally as an opportunity to lock in profits—creating considerable resistance against upward continuation.
In addition to profit-taking from seasoned short-term holders, recent peak buyers also capitulated by realizing losses during the pullback, further amplifying selling pressure. Alongside on-chain dynamics, assessing external demand through ETFs remains crucial, as these instruments have been pivotal in driving the current market cycle.
Since early August, net inflows into U.S. spot ETFs have sharply declined, currently averaging around 500 BTC per day (14-day moving average). This is far below the levels of capital inflows that had previously supported the bullish phase of the cycle, reflecting weakening momentum from TradFi investors. Given the central role of ETFs in fueling Bitcoin’s recent uptrend, the slowdown in flows makes the market’s current structure noticeably more fragile.
Meanwhile, blockchain-based prediction platform Polymarket has announced a new collaboration with Chainlink. The partnership aims to launch 15-minute crypto prediction markets featuring rapid settlement and industry-leading security standards.
The integration of Chainlink’s oracle technology with Polymarket’s trading infrastructure is expected to enhance user access to accurate and reliable data, delivering a new experience in short-term prediction markets. This collaboration could mark a turning point in the development of innovative trading instruments and price forecasting tools.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Strong Bullish Price ActionIt appears that there are two strong bullish confirmations for 📈BITCOIN after testing a significant daily support cluster.
The price has violated a trend line within a falling channel, along with the neckline of a double bottom pattern, as indicated by a single, robust bullish candle.
It is possible that the pair could continue to increase in value, potentially reaching the 113,242 level before encountering the next resistance.
BTCUSD: Consolidation will ContinueHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the market for Bitcoin has shifted from a trending phase into a wide consolidation Range. This occurred after the price broke down from a prior Upward Wedge, signaling a pause in the bullish momentum and establishing the current boundaries between the 107700 Support and the 119000 Resistance.
Currently, the price has completed a full rotation from the bottom of this Range and is now approaching the major horizontal Resistance at the 119000 level. This is a historically significant area that has repeatedly capped rallies and acted as a strong barrier for buyers.
My Scenario & Strategy
I'm anticipating that the price will make a final push into the 119800 - 119000 Resistance Zone. The key signal I'm watching for is a clear rejection from this area, confirming that sellers are still in control at these prices and that another rotation downwards is likely.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this rejection at the top of the Range. A confirmed reversal would validate the short scenario. The primary target for this downward rotation is 111000 points, an intermediate level within the Range where a price reaction could be expected.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BITCOIN vs GOLD Is something like that inevitable?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been often described as the digital Gold, mainly due to its scarcity (fixed supply), compared to Gold's value as a safe haven asset. So what's the deal with this comparison chart?
If you follow us for long, you should know that we are strong believers of BTC's 4-year Cycle theory, which has served us so well and helped us buy and sell near cyclical bottoms and tops respectively.
However, as the market matures (remember Bitcoin is 'only' 16 years old), it could/ should eventually break this pattern upwards into aggressively higher valuations, which could be the shift to a new paradigm as mass adoption kicks in.
As a result, could it make a vicious bullish break-out above this Triangle in a similar way as Gold past 2024? Essentially, can we argue that Gold is leading the way as the traditional asset? Or the 4-year Cycle will go on for much longer than many think?
We are very interested in your thoughts. Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC/USD (4H chart Pattern).BTC/USD (4H chart) with Ichimoku cloud, breakout from a descending trendline, and projected targets marked.
Based on the chart I have shared:
Immediate support zone: around 113,500 – 114,000 (aligned with cloud support).
First target point: around 120,000 USD.
Second extended target: around 124,000 USD.
So, the bullish path shown is:
👉 Support at 113,500 → Break above 116,000 → First target 120,000 → Next target 124,000.
Bitcoin: Bullish Engulfing Setup Into FOMC Week.Bitcoin has formed a minor impulse structure and is currently showing a potential wave 4. The fact that it has initially rejected the 116K area resistance, but has barely retraced is a sign of strength. No wave 1, wave 4 overlap lap means a bullish wave 5 is more likely. A 5th wave can see price testing the 118 to 120K area this week. This puts my B wave scenario that I spoke about a week earlier into question which is the nature of subjective wave counts and why it is important to stay flexible.
This week we have the FOMC meeting where the FED is expected to cut interest rates by AT LEAST 25 basis points with an increasing possibility of a greater cut. Keep in mind the 25 point scenario is priced in. If they cut as expected, the focus will be on the press conference and how Powell responds to questions. This is where the market can fluctuate wildly depending on what hints he provides about future rate cuts, etc. Such a catalyst can be substantial enough to push Bitcoin into the 120K area, which will also move the other major markets dramatically as well.
What will invalidate the current bullish setup is a break back below the 113K support. IF this occurs as a result of the upcoming meeting, or any other reason, it will strengthen my B wave argument that I made the week earlier. So at this time, swing trade longs make sense, just be prepared for a dramatic change. IF for whatever reason price tests the 123Ks or higher, that will point to a potential run to the 130KS because it will confirm the current formation is still part of a broader wave 4. Yes it can be confusing, and when it is, focus more on the market structure itself.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC – Base Before Break?After the ATH at 125k on 25 Aug, BTC pulled back to 107k and has been consolidating. The latest structure looks more like a base for reversal than a continuation pattern: price is back into the 113.3k zone, which coincides with resistance, and we’ve printed a sequence of higher lows—a classic pressure build under supply.
What I’m watching
• Bullish trigger: A clean break/close above 113.3k opens the path toward 120k (both a technical target and a psychological level).
• Continuation potential: If 120k is reclaimed with momentum, a 123–125k retest comes into play.
• Support: 110k is the line in the sand; below it, risk shifts to 100k zone (the correction low).
Trading plan
• Breakout: Look for acceptance above 113.5k and a successful retest to validate upside toward 120k.
• Buy-the-dip zone: If we pull back, watch 111–112k for signs of bid absorption and continuation.
Bias: I’m bullish while 110k holds. A failure below 110k would likely send us back to 107k and even 100k.
Bitcoin –> Inverse Head & ShouldersHello guys!
On the 4H chart, Bitcoin completed an inverse Head & Shoulders.
The measured target of the pattern lies near $118K, aligning with a strong resistance zone.
This level should be watched closely, as it may act as a potential reversal area.
If price rejects around $118K, we could see a pullback towards $115K – $114K.
A confirmed breakout above $118K with volume would invalidate the reversal scenario and open the way for higher levels.
Key zones:
🎯 Target / Resistance: $117.5K – $118K
Possible Reversal Zone: $118K
📉 Support: $115K – $114K
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BTCUSD Short: A Corrective Decline is AnticipatedHello, traders! The price auction for BTCUSD has been clearly defined by a large ascending channel. This bullish structure has guided the price higher through a series of higher highs and higher lows, with the demand zone 2 at the 110000 level acting as a major foundational low. The initiative has remained firmly with the buyers throughout this trend.
Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point, having reached the upper supply line of the ascending channel. This test of the highs comes after a sustained rally, and the market is now in a key area where selling pressure is expected to emerge. This price action could indicate a phase of trend exhaustion.
The primary scenario anticipates a short-term corrective move from these highs. The expectation is that after a potential final push higher, the price will be rejected from the channel's resistance. A confirmed reversal would signal a temporary shift in control to sellers. The take-profit for this corrective play is therefore set at the 113400 level, targeting the major horizontal demand zone. Manage your risk!
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Bullish Wave is Coming?!
Quick update for Bitcoin.
Earlier, I already warned about a potential bullish accumulation
after a test of a demand zone.
The price is now testing an important supply cluster and we may
see a breakout of that today.
In case of a daily candle close above 113600, a bullish reversal
will be confirmed, and we will expect a growth at least to 116800.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Unlocking the Power of Ascending Triangles in Bitcoin Trading!Hello everyone! 👋
In this analysis, we will explore a popular technical pattern in Bitcoin trading called the Ascending Triangle 🔺 . This is a useful tool that helps us identify potential trading opportunities, especially when the market is in a consolidation phase. Let's dive deeper! 🚀
1. Ascending Triangle Pattern 📊
An Ascending Triangle forms when the price consistently creates higher lows but faces resistance at a fixed price level. This indicates that buyers are in control, but the market needs a strong push to break through the resistance.
2. How to Identify and Read the Pattern 🔍
Higher Lows : In an ascending triangle, the price's successive lows create rising support levels. This shows increasing buying pressure and indicates that the price can’t drop below the established support. 📈
Horizontal Resistance: The resistance level is the area where the price fails to break through for an extended period, creating a horizontal line. For Bitcoin, the current resistance level is 113,000 USD. 🚧
3. Trading Strategy 💡
Wait for a breakout: This pattern typically leads to a breakout when the price exceeds the resistance level. However, it’s crucial not to enter the trade immediately when the price approaches resistance. You should wait for confirmation when the price breaks through the resistance and is followed by a strong candlestick. 🕯️
Enter after confirmation: When the price surpasses the resistance with high volume and a strong candlestick, that’s the ideal time to enter a buy position. This reduces risk when trading. ✔️
4. Support and Resistance Levels 🔄
Resistance: The current resistance at 113,000 USD is critical. If the price breaks this level, we can expect a strong bullish movement. 💥
Support: If the price fails to break through the resistance, keep an eye on support levels like 110,000 USD or lower. When the price returns to these levels, look for signs of a recovery to find a potential buying opportunity. 💪
5. Risk Management ⚖️
Use Stop-Loss: To protect your capital, place a Stop-Loss below the nearest support level. This helps minimize risk if the price doesn’t move as expected. 🔒
Reasonable Profit Target: Set your profit target at the next resistance levels, such as 113,000 USD, 115,000 USD, and even 120,000 USD, which is currently in focus. Always control the risk-to-reward ratio in every trade. 🎯
6. Conclusion 🎓
The Ascending Triangle pattern is a powerful tool for identifying trading opportunities. However, it’s important not to rush into a trade but to wait for confirmation from the market before making a decision. Always remember to manage risk appropriately and follow your trading strategies.
Now, it’s your turn to apply this knowledge in practice. Please like this post if you’ve understood everything and are looking forward to the upcoming lessons—it will be a huge motivation for me. 👍
Wishing you all the best on your journey to becoming an expert! 🌟 Trade safely! 🛡️
BTCUSD: Rully Continue in Upward ChannelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, we've seen a significant shift in the market structure for Bitcoin. The price has successfully broken out of a prior Downward channel, a key event that signaled a reversal and shifted control from sellers to buyers, establishing a new bullish phase.
This new bullish phase has since formed a well-defined Upward Channel. The price has been making a series of higher highs and higher lows within this structure, but is currently in a corrective pullback, heading towards the channel's ascending support line, which is a key area to watch.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is based on the expectation that this newly formed Upward Channel will continue to be respected by the market. I'm looking for the price to complete its dip and test the ascending support line. A confirmed bounce from this dynamic support would be the key signal that the correction is over and the next impulsive move up is beginning.
A successful rebound would validate the long scenario, with the price then expected to rally towards the top of the channel and break the intermediate Resistance at the 116700 level. The primary target for this move is 118500.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Bullish Rally Confirmed?!
As I said yesterday, Bitcoin managed to violate a key daily
resistance cluster, and we have a confirmed bullish Change of Character CHoCH now.
Analyzing intraday time frames, I see a strong bullish confirmation
after a retest of a broken structure on an hourly time frame.
We can expect growth now.
First goal will be 115000.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Playing the Short-Term Setups with Clear Risk/RewardPlaying the Short-Term Setups with Clear Risk/Reward
Is BTC going to rally or are we living the end of a cycle? Would love to read your opinion in comments :)
I’ve mentioned before how crucial the $107k level is in the bigger picture, and I still stand by it.
It’s a major support zone and losing it could open the door for deeper corrections, as stated in the previous idea.
But as traders, we don’t need to predict the future months ahead. What makes me smile is finding clear, short-term opportunities with solid margins.
Right now, price is testing a local resistance.
🚀 If we get a clean breakout, I’m looking to go long , aiming for about +5.5% upside with just 1.5% risk (stop loss). That’s the kind of asymmetric setup I love.
📉 On the flip side, if Bitcoin slips below $107k, instead of panicking, I’ll look for the fast and easy short trade.
The idea is to capture a quick 5% downside move with again a tight 1.5% stop loss , knowing that volatility and rebounds in these zones make hard to hold a long term bearish position.
👉 I’m not here to predict the “final direction” for the long term.
I like to focus on trading with safety, confidence, and wide profit margins in the short term. That’s where my consistency is built.
On-Chain Analysis: Understanding the Real Behaviour of BTC & ETHHello everyone, trading crypto isn’t just about looking at charts. To stay ahead, you need to understand the actual behaviour of holders, large capital flows, and buying/selling pressure – and that’s the power of on-chain analysis.
1️⃣ MVRV – Profits Reveal Market Sentiment
MVRV = Market Value / Realized Value. Simply put, it shows the average profit/loss of holders.
High MVRV → many holders are in profit → risk of selling increases.
Low MVRV → many holders are at a loss → the market is more likely to bounce.
Practical example: BTC dropping to a low MVRV zone during a long-term uptrend is often a good entry, because weaker holders are less likely to sell and price can rebound.
2️⃣ NUPL – Market Psychology in a Single Number
NUPL = Net Unrealized Profit/Loss, measuring total unrealized gains or losses of holders.
NUPL > 0.6 → market is greedy, pullbacks likely.
NUPL < 0 → market is fearful, cheap buying opportunities emerge.
Combining NUPL with price action and volume helps you choose buying/selling moments wisely and avoid FOMO.
3️⃣ Whale Activity – Tracking Big Players
Monitor large wallets (usually ≥1,000 BTC/ETH).
Moving coins to exchanges → potential selling → price under downward pressure.
Moving coins to private wallets → supply decreases → price may rise.
Watching whale activity ahead of major moves helps spot real trends, which ordinary charts might not reveal.
4️⃣ Exchange Inflow/Outflow – Let the Money Speak
Large inflow → more BTC/ETH on exchanges → higher selling pressure, price drops.
Large outflow → coins withdrawn → supply tightens, price tends to rise.
Combine this with trend, breakout points, and crypto news to confirm upcoming moves.
5️⃣ Application Tips
No single on-chain metric is a guaranteed signal. The strength lies in combining them: MVRV + NUPL + whale activity + inflow/outflow + price action + volume.
Example: BTC enters a low MVRV zone, NUPL < 0, whales withdraw → potential buying zone, confirmed by H4/D1 chart breakout.
Wishing you all successful trading and profitable sessions!
BTC/USD Sell Setup: Overbought Signals a Pullback!COINBASE:BTCUSD The price is currently approaching a key resistance zone at the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This level often marks the point where a pullback could occur, especially as the price nears the top of the channel. If a correction takes place, the next key support level to watch is 113,500 USD.
Should buyers manage to defend this support, the bullish trend could continue, with potential for the price to break through previous highs. However, if the price breaks below the support level, we may see a deeper retracement back to the lower part of the channel.
This setup offers a potential opportunity to enter if a pullback occurs, especially with confirmation from price action, candle patterns, and volume around the key levels. Make sure to manage risk appropriately and only take trades when your setup is validated.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Drop your comments below, and let’s discuss!
Wishing you successful trades!
The 5+1 Fears Every Investor Faces And How To Overcome themThe 5+1 Fears Every Investor Faces And How To Overcome them
Trading isn’t just about charts and numbers, it’s about handling emotions.
I would love to read about your fears in trading and how you are overcoming them.
I choose the 5 most common fears, some affected me a lot in the past and others not that much, but I know are all very common in the Traders community.
#1 Fear of Losing Money
The obvious one.
Every loss used to feel like failure . I’d hold trades too long, hoping they’d turn around while loses kept accumulating in the trade.
This is essential, is like understanding that the most important thing when you drive is avoiding a collision! If you have a big accident, you are out. The game is over.
Trading is the same, a big accident means you are out. Your account is wiped and you can’t do anything to reverse tha t.
To stay alive in the market , I learned to risk small (1–2% max), diversify across sectors, countries, tight stops, steady take profits and different trade directions. That way, even if I lose, I can move on without blowing up my account.
This is an example:
Today, If I do a Montecarlo simulation into my account the risk of losing a 25% is under 0,1%. You can learn how to do so in my profile newsletter.
#2 Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)
I used to chase breakouts just because everyone else was already in , usually at the worst possible price, on the worst possible day.
Now, if I miss the move, I simply let it go.
I remind myself there are countless stocks, currencies, metals, and cryptos out there waiting for me.
Why waste money on expired opportunities?
My rule is simple: it’s always better to miss a trade that’s already gone than to miss the next one that’s just around the corner.
So I keep searching.
#3 Fear of Being Wrong
This is my favorite !
Once I understood that t rading is about balancing wins and losses in a healthy way, everything changed.
Mistakes stopped feeling like failures and started to look like what they really are, necessary steps forward, even if you can’t see it in the moment.
For me, it’s just like sports : no basketball team wins a game without the rival scoring points. No football team wins a championship without losing some matches. No tennis player wins every single point.
So yes, you must make mistakes . They’re simply part of the process . The key is not to let them wipe out your account and trigger Fear #1.
#4 Fear of Overtrading / Freezing
This is an unknown fear for most traders. But must be a big one for you all.
If you trade so often, you are probably entering at tons of unnecessary trades which are undermining your returns, but if you never decide to trade you are missing big opportunities.
So having clear entry and exit reasons helped me a lot to hold a reasonable investment rithm.
#5 Fear of the next big crisis
The market is rallying … and that little voice kicks in: What if I’m the one who doesn’t see the crash coming? What if I get stuck in a bear market for years? Are we heading toward a crisis worse than 2009, or even 1929?
Trust me, that fear is more common than you think . You are not alone!!
In my case, trading short-term has given me the freedom to hold long-term positions without hesitation. In fact, I actually get excited when markets decline , it means I can move more money into long-term opportunities.
Right now, most of my portfolio is in short-term trades, some of which I’ve already shared with you here. The results? They’re fully transparent and published on my website (coming soon).
An example of short term trade even though knowing it was a super good long term entry.
#6 The Bonus: Fear of Success
Yes, this one is wild.
I was two years knowing exactly how to make money in the market , but somehow, I couldn’t succeed.
I kept sabotaging myself and my investments by doing stupid things outside my strategy.
You need to believe in yourself, and stay cold as ice. Avoid news, avoid gurus. You vs the market!
Follow your rules, and review them regularly. If a rule isn’t adding value, feel free to tweak or remove it, but never change nor break your rules in the middle of a trading day.
Day after day, you’ll start to realize that yes, it is possible to earn money in the market. Gradually, your confidence grows, and eventually, it feels effortless, like riding a bike on a sunny day. Pure joy.
Final Thoughts
Fear doesn’t disappear, but you can manage it.
Taking small risks, following clear rules, and accepting that you’ll never catch every market move may sound obvious, but they’re far from common among traders.