Ebay Bearish Trade due to normal pullbacksIt is normal for the market to make corrections when things get to high up and for people to start profit taking once earnings are announced. I know ebay as a stock that is volatile when it comes to earnings. So due to the big upswing this has been in it is natural to expect a downward swing to come bring others to reality. It can always go against me, that I do know. But I believe the chances of me winning out weight the chances of me losing on this trade which is a bearish credit spread with a credit taken in of $105.01 after commissions with this particular trade I went ahead and loaded up twice on the same trade so I took in around $209. With a risk of around $188, and max return of $209. Wish me luck. This strategy will set the precedent for the Macy's trade I have outlined in my "ideas" section on tradingview. I told my significant other that I am a bit afraid of this trade going against me because it is ecommerce, and I believe so much in ecommerce that I find this risky to bet against. BUT in the short term (which is what i'm doing) I would believe this can go down on earnings.
EBAYD trade ideas
Calling the Top of EBAY.Played $ebay to the short side today with options.
Play
Bought 34.5/33 Put Spread for .57
Reasoning
Competition of Daily Elliot Wave 5 count inside of Weekly Elliot Wave 5.
Held .786 Fib Extension of Wave 3 resistance.
50SMA was left in the dust. Looking for a convergence before continuation.
I will posting updates to the trade as I adjust my position.
EBAY- Earnings play- $31 October puts EBAY looks very bearish after a nice run. Price crossed below MA 50 & huge divergence in moneyflow.
It had quite a bit of selling in August at $30 level, and price to earning ratio is high at 18.9 . So we think it will decline with the earnings report.
For earnings play we would consider $31 October puts, last traded for $0.89
You can check our detailed analysis on EBAY in the trading room/ Executive summary link here-
www.screencast.com
Time Span: 22:30"
Trade Status: Pending
Trade suggestion date: