TSLA-Bulls Fighting for Expansion (Nov. 3–7)TSLA Weekly Grind Into Call Walls – Bulls Fighting for Expansion (Nov. 3–7)🚀
WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
1. Market Structure
TSLA continues its broader bullish expansion on the weekly, confirming a strong BOS over prior swing highs. The previous CHoCH signal was neutralized quickly, and price reclaimed its multi-month trend. This behavior suggests smart money has been accumulating below $400, not distributing. Every dip toward structure is met with aggressive absorption.
Liquidity remains stacked below $368–$380 — that’s the major sweep zone if the market wants to reset. Above, we’re probing into fresh supply pockets where early profit-taking tends to show up.
2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks
Key weekly demand sits at:
• $368–$380
Next deeper mitigation zone:
• $214–$240 (nuclear flush level, unlikely near-term)
Supply is forming in the $470–$490 band. That’s where we saw previous structural stalling and stop-hunts. A breakout through that area tends to squeeze because overhead liquidity thins dramatically into $500+.
3. Indicator Confluence
The 9EMA is pressing above the 21EMA with a positive slope. Momentum remains constructive. MACD histogram is gaining green bars — sign of acceleration rather than exhaustion. Stoch RSI is elevated, but trending with price rather than diverging.
Volume is rising on bullish candles, falling on red — healthy expansion.
4. Weekly Tone
As long as price holds above $450, bulls maintain continuation potential. Below that, sentiment can shift quickly.
DAILY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
1. Market Structure
Daily structure remains bullish inside a rising channel. We’ve seen clean swings respecting both upper and lower bands. A minor CHoCH attempt formed last week but failed — price reclaimed structure and printed another bullish push.
Smart money likely accumulated around $443–$447, intentionally sweeping intraday liquidity.
2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks
Demand blocks:
• $443–$446 (recent defense cluster)
• $420–$425 (major re-accumulation base)
Supply blocks:
• $470.75 and $488.54
These levels are littered with trapped short sellers — perfect squeeze fuel if reclaimed.
3. Indicator Confluence
9EMA is curling upward again after a brief flattening. This typically telegraphs another leg. 21EMA remains supportive. MACD histogram is transitioning with softer red bars — momentum is attempting to flip. Stoch RSI just curled from the bottom band — a strong short-term tailwind.
Volume is building — no signs of distribution.
4. Daily Tone
As long as we hold the mid-channel, upside targets remain active. A close above $470 opens the door to $488+ momentum rotation.
15-MINUTE INTRADAY STRUCTURE
1. Market Structure
On the 15m we printed a clean CHoCH → BOS sequence into the afternoon. Buyers responded aggressively after sweeping liquidity near $444. That wick was engineered — too clean to be random.
We’re currently compressing into a small consolidation shelf just below $457.80. A breakout from this range can run quickly, especially during the morning session when algo volatility peaks.
2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks
Demand intraday:
• $453.50–$454.30 (first bounce zone)
• $443.70–$444.50 (deep retest)
Supply intraday:
• $457.50–$460.00 (thin liquidity + short triggers)
Above that, things get slippery.
3. Indicator Confluence
9EMA has crossed above 21EMA on the micro timeframe. MACD histogram is curling back toward zero, preparing for potential bull expansion. Stoch RSI is lifting — early signal before momentum enters.
4. Intraday Tone
Expect a morning liquidity grab — minor dip, then reversal if demand holds. If price immediately rejects from $458 with heavy volume, avoid chasing.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) & OPTIONS SENTIMENT
Gamma structure favors upside skew. Notable call walls:
• $467
• $480
• $500
These behave like resistance magnets — price accelerates into them, but sticky walls can cap continuation.
On the downside:
• $435 is serving as major put support
Break it, and dealer hedging flips negative.
Dealer behavior this week:
• Above $457 → hedging becomes supportive, fueling squeezes.
• Below $445 → hedging flips bearish, accelerating direction.
Max pain gravitates toward $450. That’s why price keeps pulling back into that zone — the options market likes to magnetize into pain.
Best ways to play inside this structure:
• Directional call scalps above $457.50
• Debit spreads for controlled risk
• Neutral premium if price chops $450–$456 midweek
TRADE SCENARIOS (Nov. 3–7)
✅ Bullish Setup
Trigger: Break and hold above $457.80
Entry: Retest $457–$457.30
Targets: $467 → $480 → possible $488 wick
Stop: Below $454.00
Invalidation: Failure to reclaim 9EMA on 15m after breakout
✅ Bearish Setup
Trigger: Breakdown below $445** with volume**
Entry: Retest $445–$446
Targets: $435 liquidity sweep → $420 OB
Stop: Above $448.50
Invalidation: Strong reclaim of 15m structure
CLOSING OUTLOOK
TSLA is setting up with bullish intent, but it’s running into layered supply and options-driven friction overhead. If bulls can convert $457 into support, this can squeeze into $467 and potentially push $480 where call walls cluster.
If the market decides to hunt liquidity, $445 is the first trapdoor.
Personally, I’m watching the channel midline. If buyers defend it, momentum strategies are favored. If we break it, expect a multi-day rotation lower.
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade your plan, manage your risk, and stay disciplined.
