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Amd - Here comes the major reversal!👺Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is reversing right now: 🔎Analysis summary: Over the course of the past couple of months, we witnessed a very expected rally on Amd of about +250%. But right now, Amd is retesting a major resistance trendline. If we actually see bearish confirmation in the near future, the next bearmarket will start quite soon. 📝Levels to watch: $250 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
20
What Does AMD's Chart Say Heading Into Earnings?Chip giant Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD , which reports earnings this week, has been on a tear of late – rising more than 100% year to date and making large deal after large deal with the likes of artificial-intelligence giant OpenAI. Let's see what AMD's chart and fundamental analysis show us. Advanced Micro Devices' Fundamental Analysis AMD plans to report Q3 earnings after the closing bell on Tuesday, with the Street currently looking for $1.17 adjusted earnings per share on about $8.8 billion of revenue. That would represent a 27.1% gain year over year from the $0.92 in adjusted EPS that AMD reported in Q3 2024, along with about 28.3% annual growth in revenue from $6.8 billion in the same period last year. In fact, 23 of the 37 sell-side analysts that I know of that cover AMD have revised their earnings estimates higher since the quarter began vs. just 12 who've lowered their forecasts. (Two have left their numbers unchanged.) Advanced Micro Devices' Technical Analysis Here's AMD's chart going back some 16 months and running through Tuesday afternoon: Readers will first note a large "inverted-head-and-shoulders" pattern of bullish reversal that stretches back more than a year. Marked with a red jagged line and three red boxes, this pattern bears a $189 pivot vs. the low $160s AMD traded at as recently as early October. Since then, the stock has broken out and run up some 55%, hitting a $267.08 all-time intraday high just last Wednesday. However, that run-up has left an unfilled gap in its wake that would require a print at $164.67 or lower to fill. What do we know about unfilled gaps? Simple -- they don't have to fill it, but they often do. So, what might an investor do here? Well, AMD is currently trading at what some might see as almost obscene premiums to all of its key moving averages. The stock is well above its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (marked with a green line above), 50-day Simple Moving Average (the blue line) and 200-day Simple Moving Average (the red line). That said, AMD's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is just north of what many would see as technically overbought territory. Still, the RSI also shows that AMD has been overbought for the better part of a month. Nonetheless, the stock's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," denoted by the black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom), is still sending bullish signals. The histogram of AMD's 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with blue bars) appears to have cooled recently, but remains in positive territory. Similarly, the stock's 12-day EMA (the black line) and 26-day EMA (the gold line) remain well into positive territory, with the 12-day line above the 26-day one. Now, the gold line appears to be gaining on the black line (a potentially bearish technical sign), but this is still a short- to medium-term bullish-looking set-up overall. In fact, this is still a bullish-looking chart in general, although the stock's run above the only visible technical pattern appears stretched. An Options Option Options traders who are long AMD might employ what's called a "bear-put spread" in this scenario to help protect their profits without giving up on potential future gains. This involves buying one put while selling another with a lower strike price and the same expiration date. Here's an example: -- Purchase one AMD $255 put with a Nov. 7 expiration date (i.e. after the earnings have come out). This currently costs about $3.65. -- Sell (write) one AMD Nov. 7 $230 put for roughly $0.65. Net Debit: $3 They would spend $3 to create a "safety valve" at $255 at expiration should AMD sell off after earnings. However, the trader has also sold a $230 put to reduce the net debit. If the stock falls that far, he or she will also extract a net $22 in capital from the equity trade. They might also decide to add a covered-call sale to the mix, which would pay for nearly the entire spread if the person is willing to take profits at the call's strike price should AMD run higher after earnings. Example: -- Sell one Nov. 7 AMD call with a $270 strike price for about $2.80. Net Debit: $0.20 (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long AMD at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Options trading is risky and not appropriate for everyone. Read the Options Disclosure Document ( j.moomoo.com ) before trading. Options are complex and you may quickly lose the entire investment. Supporting docs for any claims will be furnished upon request. Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved. Maximum potential loss and profit for options are calculated based on the single leg or an entire multi-leg trade remaining intact until expiration with no option contracts being exercised or assigned. These figures do not account for a portion of a multi-leg strategy being changed or removed or the trader assuming a short or long position in the underlying stock at or before expiration. Therefore, it is possible to lose more than the theoretical max loss of a strategy. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. 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NASDAQ:AMD
by moomoo
1
AMD Shares Rise Above $250 Ahead of Earnings ReportAMD Shares Rise Above $250 Ahead of Earnings Report Today, 4 November, after the close of the main trading session, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is set to release its quarterly earnings report and outline its plans for the near future. Market participants remain optimistic, as several key bullish developments last month strengthened confidence in AMD’s role in the AI infrastructure race: → AMD shares surged in early October following news of a multibillion-dollar deal with OpenAI. → Oracle Cloud chose AMD’s graphics processing units (GPUs) for its new AI supercomputers. → IBM announced a breakthrough in quantum computing made possible through the use of AMD chips. Buoyed by this wave of positive news and high expectations, AMD’s share price climbed above the psychological $250 mark (+61% since early October), reaching a record high. Technical Analysis of AMD Stock Price analysis shows that since April, the market has been forming a broad upward channel (shown in blue): → Strong news led to the correction phase (shown in red) being replaced by a resumption of the bullish trend in an aggressive manner; → Today, AMD’s price is testing the upper boundary of the channel. The thickened S/R lines indicate that the angle of ascent is becoming steeper. Much now depends on today’s earnings release. Traders are awaiting confirmation from CEO Lisa Su regarding the company’s revenue forecasts tied to new deals amid the ongoing AI boom. If bold expectations fail to materialise, a pullback could follow: → towards the lower thickened support line; → or deeper, towards the median line of the upward channel. Alternatively, we may see the bulls attempt to break above the upper boundary and extend the blue channel higher. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:AMD
by FXOpen
1
AMD's Long Awaited Reversal Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has maintained a well-defined long-term ascending channel since 2019, marked by cyclical touches at both the upper and lower bounds. The current setup signals a bullish reversal following a successful retest of the channel’s lower boundary AMD now shows a strong bullish reversal: ✅ Broke above a multi-year downtrend line with volume support 📈 Currently retesting resistance $128, a breakout zone historically met with selling 🎯 Channel target projection: $300, offering 140% upside from current price 🔄 Price action consistently respects this trend structure with rhythmically timed expansions every 18–24 months 🧾 Fundamental Tailwinds (2024–2025 Context) 🔥 1. AI Infrastructure & Data Center Dominance AMD’s MI300X AI GPU series has gained significant traction against Nvidia, with major cloud customers like Microsoft Azure and Meta adopting it for inference workloads. Revenue from AMD’s Data Center segment surged >80% YoY in Q1 2025, driven by hyperscaler demand and Genoa EPYC chips. Guidance for 2025–2026 includes double-digit YoY growth across AI and cloud sectors. 🧠 2. Product Roadmap Strength AMD maintains competitive momentum with Zen 5 CPU launches and RDNA 4 GPU architecture set to arrive late 2025. Management reaffirmed commitment to high-margin enterprise products and scalable AI inference. 📉 3. Valuation Reset + Earnings Reacceleration After correcting from $164 to under $100, AMD entered a consolidation phase, allowing for multiple compression reset. Now trading at ~35x forward P/E (down from 60x peak), with EPS expected to grow >25% YoY into FY2026. 💵 4. Balance Sheet & Buyback Support Over $5.7B in cash, near-zero debt, and an active $8B share buyback program reinforce shareholder value. Gross margin in Q1 2025 stood at ~51%, with continued improvements expected from data center mix shift.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by HernandezCapital
Elliott Wave Flags More Gains for AMDAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD) recently achieved an all-time high within an impulsive sequence that remains incomplete. The rally from the April 2025 low has thus far unfolded in only three waves. This implies that further upside potential is likely. In the near term, the cycle originating from the October 11 low continues to progress in the form of a diagonal structure. From the October 11 pivot, wave 1 concluded at $242.88, followed by a corrective wave 2 that ended at $224.85, as illustrated in the accompanying 30-minute chart. The stock subsequently advanced in wave 3, which subdivided into a clear impulsive pattern. Within this leg, wave ((i)) peaked at $232.30, and wave ((ii)) retraced to $227.25. Wave ((iii)) extended to $264.58, followed by a modest pullback in wave ((iv)) to $257. The final thrust in wave ((v)) reached $272, thereby completing wave 3 of a higher degree. Wave 4 unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. From the wave 3 peak, wave ((w)) declined to $252.31, wave ((x)) rebounded to $262.13, and wave ((y)) completed the correction at $235.50. Provided the $224.85 pivot remains intact, the stock is expected to resume its ascent in wave 5. The projected target for wave 5 lies between $280.50 and $294.40, corresponding to the 123.6%–161.8% inverse retracement of wave 4.
NASDAQ:AMD
by Elliottwave-Forecast
AMD AMD technical information. the rejection on the supply roof of the weekly ascending trendline could lead to strong correction and take profit after the massive bubble rally into 202.76 and my target is the 50% of the Fibonacci level which is around 150.20-149.879 AMD FUNDAMENTAL AMD and OpenAI finalized a landmark multi-year agreement for OpenAI to deploy up to 6 gigawatts (GW) of AMD GPUs, starting with an initial 1 GW rollout of the AMD Instinct MI450 series in the second half of 2026. This partnership is significant for AMD’s growth in the AI semiconductor market and has several advantages: Key Advantages of the AMD-OpenAI Deal: Massive Scale Deployment: The 6 GW commitment positions AMD as a core AI hardware provider for OpenAI’s next-generation AI infrastructure, significantly expanding its presence in high-performance computing for AI workloads. Multi-Generational Collaboration: The deal builds on prior cooperation with OpenAI using MI300X and MI350X GPUs, deepening AMD’s involvement over multiple future AI hardware generations. Financial Incentives: OpenAI holds warrants to buy up to a 10% stake in AMD stock tied to deployment milestones, aligning financial interests and incentivizing long-term collaboration. Strategic Market Credibility: Partnering with a leading AI research organization like OpenAI validates AMD’s technology and competitive positioning against rivals like NVIDIA in the generative AI chip market, which is forecasted to exceed $150 billion in value. Revenue Growth Catalyst: This deal could generate tens of billions in AI revenue over time, fueling AMD’s expansion into the rapidly growing AI data center sector. Ecosystem Synergy: OpenAI’s use of AMD hardware fosters optimized AI model development on AMD platforms, improving software-hardware integration and performance. AMD’s Q3 2025 revenue hit a record $9.2 billion, up 36% YoY, exceeding expectations. Strong sequential growth is expected in Q4 2025, with guidance around $9.6 billion driven by AI data center GPUs (MI350 series) and Ryzen client processors. The company foresees its AI data center business scaling to tens of billions in annual revenue by 2027 as adoption expands among hyperscalers, sovereign AI programs, and cloud providers. Key product launches on the horizon include the MI400 GPU family and next-generation EPYC server CPUs. AMD also emphasizes broadening its AI software ecosystem with ROCm 7 and partnerships with OpenAI and others. Business Model: AMD designs and sells high-performance microprocessors (CPUs), graphics processing units (GPUs), and adaptive computing chips, often licensing IP to OEMs and cloud providers. Key revenue drivers are client (PCs and gaming consoles), enterprise/data center (servers, AI accelerators), and embedded markets. The company leverages R&D for cutting-edge chips optimized for AI, cloud, gaming, and edge applications. AMD works closely with partners and customers to integrate hardware and software solutions (e.g., AI ecosystems, accelerated computing). Recent Acquisitions to Fuel Growth: Xilinx (2022, $49 billion): Expanded AMD’s portfolio into FPGAs, adaptive computing for telecom, automotive, cloud data centers, and industrial use cases. Post-acquisition, AMD integrated Xilinx’s AI engine technology into its Ryzen AI and planned EPYC CPU lines. Other smaller acquisitions include teams and tech from ZT Systems, Brium, Lamini, which bolster AI hardware and software capabilities. AMD's MI300X and M1450X GPUs are considered better than NVIDIA's H100 in several key areas, especially for AI workloads: Why MI300X and M1450X are Better: Memory Bandwidth and Capacity: The MI300X offers about 60% more memory bandwidth (5.3 TB/s) and more than double the memory capacity (192 GB HBM3) compared to NVIDIA’s H100 (80 GB HBM2e with 3.35 TB/s bandwidth). This higher bandwidth and capacity enable better handling of large AI models and data sets. Compute Performance: MI300X achieves peak FP16 performance of approximately 1.31 petaflops, outperforming H100's 0.99 petaflops. Benchmarks show the MI300X can deliver up to 5x faster instruction throughput and consistently 40%-60% better performance on AI inference latency with large models like LLaMA2-70B. Caching Architecture: AMD's CDNA 3 architecture in MI300X includes a massive Infinity Cache (256MB L3 cache), providing 3.5x greater bandwidth in L2 caching and 1.6x in L1 compared to H100. This improves efficiency in data access during computations. Scalability and Multi-GPU Performance: Early tests indicate the MI300X scales better in multi-GPU deployments, offering up to 60% higher peak system output throughput over NVIDIA setups. Software Ecosystem Growth: AMD’s ROCm software platform and AI optimization tools are rapidly maturing, improving real-world application performance for MI300X series GPUs. Caveats: NVIDIA's H100 has lower memory latency (57% less), which can benefit some workloads. H100 maintains advantages in some specific tensor operations and smaller batch sizes. NVIDIA’s ecosystem and software optimizations (including updates) remain strong competitive factors. Summary AMD's MI300X and M1450X excel over NVIDIA H100 mainly due to higher memory bandwidth and capacity, superior caching, and stronger compute throughput in large AI workload benchmarks. This makes them highly competitive leaders in AI data center GPUs, especially for large model Strategic acquisitions like Xilinx broaden product offerings and accelerate AI ecosystem development, positioning AMD as a major AI and adaptive computing player. #AMD #STOCKS
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Is AMD expensive? Earnings News!AMD just posted a double beat and reporting a record amount of revenue. crossing the $9billion mark. The company expects revenue of about $9.6 billion for the next quarter, plus or minus $300 million, compared with analysts' average estimate of $9.15 billion. AMD last month said it would supply AI chips to OpenAI in a multi-year deal that would bring in tens of billions of dollars in annual revenue and give the startup the option to buy up to roughly 10% of the chipmaker. The deal covers the deployment of hundreds of thousands of AMD's graphics processing units (GPUs), roughly equivalent to the energy needs of 5 million U.S. households, or about thrice the amount of power produced by the Hoover Dam. The stock still seems a bit expensive for my liking but a good solid report.
NASDAQ:AMD
by Trading-Capital
AMD Bull Flag: Breakout Above 262 Toward 286AMD on the 1D chart remains firmly bullish after its October surge, now pausing in a tight flag beneath the recent swing high at 262. Price is riding above the 20/60/120 MAs with all slopes positive, and Bollinger Bands have contracted after expanding during the rally—classic consolidation behavior. The prior ceiling at 240 has flipped to support, framing a clean structure for continuation. Primary path: a break-and-close above 262 confirms the bull flag and opens room toward 286, where measured move projections align with the first objective. Traders wanting earlier exposure can stalk dips into the MA20 buy zone at 245–255, but confirmation still matters—strength should be reflected by a daily close reclaiming 250s and then 262. If momentum extends post-breakout, consider trimming into 285–290. Alternative: if buyers fail to punch through 262, expect further range development between 240–262 while energy builds. The bullish thesis is invalidated on a daily close below 240, which would point to a deeper retrace toward prior October levels; risk should be sized with that line in mind. Trigger: daily close > 262 (breakout). Targets: 286 first, then manage into 285–290. Invalidation: daily close < 240. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by bbqgio
AMD Trade Setup | AI Leadership + Strong Earnings MomentumAdvanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD remains a key name in the ongoing AI and semiconductor rally. Just ahead of earnings, AMD announced a $1B partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) (Oct. 27), a major validation of its role in high-performance computing. This bullish development set the stage for strong momentum into the earnings release. 🚀 Earnings Recap: AMD delivered a solid Q3 report with 36% YoY revenue growth, margin expansion, and upbeat guidance. The Client and Data Center segments led the charge, while Embedded was softer. With macro support for semiconductors and increasing AI investment, market sentiment remains bullish. 🔧 Trade Plan: Entry: $224 Take Profit 1: $248 Take Profit 2: $267 Stop Loss: $211
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Richtv_official
AMD: Strong Q4 Growth Signals a Bullish Breakout Opportunity Current Price: $256.12 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $268.50 - T2 = $280.30 Stop Levels: - S1 = $246.50 - S2 = $240.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis leverages insights from thousands of experienced traders and market analysts to capture high-probability trading opportunities in Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). The consensus aligns with AMD’s long-term bullish potential, driven by advancements in AI and data center computing and bolstered by efficient product development cycles. Traders have identified AMD as a pivotal technology player in 2025, given its strategic market position, strong earnings growth trajectory, and ability to capture market share amid a competitive semiconductor landscape. **Key Insights:** AMD has consistently leveraged strength in high-performance GPUs, CPUs, and its rapidly increasing share in AI processing technology. Traders are particularly optimistic about AMD’s growing penetration into data center markets, where its EPYC processors are outperforming competitors. AMD’s multi-year investments in AI-focused products like the MI300 series have positioned it as a key beneficiary of enterprise-level adoption of artificial intelligence in 2025. Another key driver is AMD’s ability to sustain operational efficiency and compete on pricing, particularly against industry giants like Nvidia. Paired with robust scalability in its chip designs, AMD has managed to expand its revenue base while limiting costs, making quarterly financial results a compelling reason to go long. Additionally, AMD has shown resilience in volatile market conditions, signaling strong investor sentiment, compounded by reliable product launches and strategic collaborations. **Recent Performance:** AMD has seen significant upward momentum in Q3 2025, with the stock rallying nearly 18% over the last two months. The recent earnings report revealed a 24% year-over-year increase in revenue, attributed primarily to a surge in demand for AI and high-performance computing chips. Its market price responded favorably, breaking through key resistance levels at $240 and subsequently consolidating above $250, confirming the bullish sentiment. **Expert Analysis:** Technical indicators show strong momentum for AMD stock, with bullish signals on weekly moving averages and relative strength index (RSI) remaining comfortably above 60. Analysts have emphasized AMD’s successful execution in maintaining competitive gross margins while still driving innovation, producing positive free cash flow, and securing large-scale contracts with cloud service providers. Chart patterns indicate a positive breakout configuration, with AMD’s 2025 highs likely to surpass $280 if earnings are sustained. Furthermore, expert sentiment highlights AMD’s ability to deliver on strong guidance for the remainder of 2025, with sufficient upside potential tied to demand in the AI chip market. Traders observing institutional buying patterns have noted that hedge funds and mutual funds have increased their net positions in AMD leading into Q4 2025, adding evidence to the bullish case. **News Impact:** AMD’s recent announcements surrounding expanded partnerships with major cloud service providers, particularly Amazon’s AWS and Microsoft Azure, have fueled market optimism. Additionally, new research estimates confirming substantial growth in AI chip demand into 2026 further cement expectations of revenue growth for AMD. Importantly, competitive pressures against Nvidia may also ease following AMD’s accelerated release schedule for its MI300 GPUs. The semiconductor industry’s overall outlook remains positive, which could help lift AMD further this quarter. **Trading Recommendation:** With robust quarterly financial results, clear bullish technical signals, and positive industry drivers, AMD presents a strong buy opportunity for the mid-to-long term. As the company increases its share in the lucrative AI and data center markets, traders should look for a breakout above $268.50, with upside moving toward the next key resistance at $280.30. Set stops below S1 and S2 to manage risk effectively and capitalize on AMD’s growth momentum as it steers confidently toward year-end 2025 performance targets. Do you want to save hours every week? Register for the free weekly update in your language!
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
1
Amd - This is still not over yet!🚀Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) can rally another +25%: 🔎Analysis summary: This month alone, Amd has been rallying another +50%. All of this happened because of an expected rejection at a major confluence of support. Looking at the rising channel pattern though, Amd can still rally another +25% before this rally might actually be over. 📝Levels to watch: $300 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
23
AMD's Tsunami Hitting $10,000+ | 8-Decade Blueprint🔥 FOR OUR DEDICATED FOLLOWER: The AMD Upside Target Blueprint is HERE! 🔥 You asked for clarity on AMD's path forward. This is for you, and for every trader who wants to see the real roadmap. We've broken down the 3-week super-chart that tells the whole story. This isn't just about the next 10%; it's about the next 1,000%. 🎯 The Upside Target Hierarchy: From Tactical to Generational 1. The Wave 3 Target (~$1,000 by 2029) · This is the MAIN EVENT for the next 5 years. · We are currently inside this massive third wave. · It is being powered by AMD's undeniable dominance in the AI and high-performance computing revolution. · This wave represents the 161.8% Fibonacci Extension of the foundational Wave 1. The math is clear. 2. The Ultimate Wave 5 Target (~$10,000+ Beyond 2050) · This is the generational wealth target. · It represents the 261.8% Fibonacci Extension and is the final, parabolic peak of this entire 70+ year cycle. · This is driven by technologies that are still in their infancy: Quantum Computing, AI Singularity, and interplanetary tech stacks . 🧭 The Trader's Compass: Navigating the Now · Current Mission: Ride Wave 3 to $1,000 . · Key Support (The Buy Zone): Any pullback toward the $240 - $230 Fibonacci confluence is a gift within the larger uptrend. · The Catalyst: The AI boom is not a story; it's a fundamental shift . AMD is a primary architect of this new world. 🚨 NOW, WE TURN TO THE COMMUNITY 🚨 Our follower has their blueprint. Now, we turn to you, the TradingView family , to sharpen it. We're starting a Chart Battle to help our follower see EVERY angle. 👇 THE CHALLENGE IS LIVE: 👇 Drop YOUR AMD chart below and show us: · Your Wave Count: Do you agree with our ~$1,000 Wave 3? · Your Targets: What's your ultimate price and timeline? · Your Best Chart: Post your cleanest, most convincing technical analysis. The most insightful bull OR bear case gets pinned at the top. Let's build the most comprehensive AMD analysis on TradingView, together. Let's get it! #AMD #ElliottWave #SuperCycle #GenerationalTrade #1000AMD #10000AMD #TechInvesting #Stocks #TradingView #Fibonacci #Wave3 #MarketCycle #LegacyWealth
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by fibcos
4
AMD ShortOn the 15-minute chart for AMD, the broader market structure has been bullish over the past several sessions, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows. However, the most recent Break of Structure (BOS) occurred at $267.07, where price broke below a prior swing low, signaling a potential shift in trend or at least the beginning of a deeper corrective leg. This BOS indicates that buyers have weakened and sellers are starting to gain control, which puts the current structure at risk of transitioning from bullish to bearish. The nearest supply zone, highlighted around the small gray region where price recently reacted, has shown weakness; price did reject it, but only mildly, suggesting sellers are present but not aggressively driving price lower yet. Still, this zone remains the most immediate area where price previously stalled and turned lower, showing a short-term imbalance that sellers could defend again. There’s no visible strong demand in the current frame—recent drops show buyers stepping in with less conviction each time, leaving shallow reactions rather than sharp reversals. Within the marked region, price is currently climbing back toward that local supply. The move upward looks corrective and lacks strong momentum—candles are smaller, wicks are longer, and there is little impulsive follow-through. This behavior usually indicates that price is retracing into liquidity before continuing lower. The likely scenario is a push back into the supply zone, followed by a continuation down toward the lower liquidity levels near $254–$256, consistent with the structural BOS and weakening bullish momentum. The trade bias is bearish, with expectations of downward continuation after the pullback completes. The key invalidation level for this bearish setup would be a clean break and sustained close above $265.00, as that would invalidate the recent bearish shift and reintroduce bullish structure. Momentum currently favors sellers, as downward moves remain impulsive while upward moves are corrective.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by ProSignalai
AMD: Pre-Earnings 8% Surge Fuels 25% Upside in AI Chip MomentumAMD: Pre-Earnings 8% Surge Fuels 25% Upside in AI Chip Momentum – SWOT, Price Action, and Intrinsic Value Insights 📊 Introduction As of October 30, 2025, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is building pre-earnings momentum with a bullish uptick, gaining 8% over the last week to trade around $262 in pre-market after closing at $264.33 yesterday, on heightened volume amid analyst upgrades. This price action coincides with viral anticipation for Q3 earnings expected next week, with #AMDQ3 trending on social media over 500K mentions following TipRanks' AI analyst raising the price target to $295. Applying timeless investing principles to identify profitable setups, this highlights a potential mispricing in the semiconductor sector, driven by macroeconomic factors like $500B AI infrastructure investments and stable rates at 4.25%, while sector dynamics show AMD's AI GPU share rising to 20%, though challenged by supply chain tensions. 🔍 SWOT Analysis **Strengths 💪**: AMD's AI-focused innovations, with quarterly revenue growth at 31.7% YoY and earnings surging 229% per Q2 filings, support a solid balance sheet with debt-to-equity at 6.51% and TTM revenue of $29.6B. These metrics have propelled recent price highs near $264, aligning with strategies to exploit growth asymmetries for sustained returns. **Weaknesses ⚠️**: Reliance on third-party fabs like TSMC exposes to disruptions, contributing to 10-12% price corrections in volatile periods, while high R&D costs (25% of revenue) could pressure margins if growth moderates. **Opportunities 🌟**: Q3 revenue projections around $8.7B (28% YoY growth) and AI chip demand, backed by partnerships like Microsoft Azure, position for 20-30% price breakouts post-earnings, with valuation metrics like forward P/E at 28.57 offering re-rating potential to compound gains through market expansion. **Threats 🚩**: Intense competition from NVIDIA and potential earnings misses could trigger 15% pullbacks, as seen in prior downgrades, with regulatory export controls adding volatility—underscoring proven approaches to navigate threats for net-positive outcomes. 💰 Intrinsic Value Calculation Employing a value investing approach to estimate intrinsic value, we use weighted book value per share plus EPS multiples, incorporating a margin of safety as emphasized in classic methodologies to ensure actionable, money-making insights. Inputs from recent quarterly data: Book value per share $36.78, TTM EPS $1.67, assumed growth rate 45% (based on AI-driven CAGR and consensus projections). Formula: Intrinsic Value = (Book Value * Weight) + (EPS * Growth Multiplier) - Weight for book value: 0.3 (tech-adjusted) - Growth Multiplier: 98.5 (classic: 8.5 + 2*45) Calculation: (36.78 * 0.3) + (1.67 * 98.5) = 11.034 + 164.495 = 175.529 Adjusted for sector comparables (e.g., 40x P/E peers): Refined = 175.529 * 1.8 ≈ $315.95 Apply 20% margin of safety: $315.95 * 0.8 ≈ $252.76 At current ~$262 (despite the 8% surge), AMD appears fairly valued but undervalued by 20-25% to $316 fair value on growth realization—no major debt flags at 6.51%, with sustainability tied to EPS growth exceeding 40%. 📈 Undervalued. 🚀 Entry Strategy Insights Rooted in time-tested disciplines for compounding wealth, target support zones at $250-255 (near 50-day SMA) for unleveraged, long-term positions via dollar-cost averaging, scaling in during 5-10% corrections post-earnings hype. Emphasize non-repainting signals for breakouts above $270, tying to news-driven volatility like Q3 results for viral, profitable timing. ⚠️ Risk Management Cover position sizing at 1-5% allocation, diversification across tech and defensives, and long-term holding based on fundamental strength, drawing from principles that preserve capital while capturing upside. Include cautions on 15-20% swings from earnings reactions with ⚠️ for risks, to ensure sustainable profitability. 🔚 Conclusion AMD's pre-earnings surge, AI growth drivers, and undervalued metrics offer a principle-driven opportunity for 25%+ returns through mispricing and safety-focused analysis. Key takeaways: Focus on sustainable AI expansion for gains, verify earnings data independently. Share your thoughts in comments – does this Q3 buzz change your view? #ValueInvesting #AIChips #Semiconductors #EarningsSeason #StockAnalysis This is educational content only; not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.
NASDAQ:AMD
by DCAChampion
AMD Bullish Breakout: Flag Resolution Toward 278–290AMD on the 1D chart is pausing after a powerful October run from ~170 to above 260, with a clear Bullish Flag forming. The prior swing high near 264.58 is the immediate ceiling. Price holds above all key MAs, with the MA20 around 222.61 acting as nearest dynamic support, while the MA60 aligns with structural support near 183.87. Bollinger Bands remain expanded, and momentum is constructive but cooling—typical of a digestion phase before the next leg. Primary path: a break-and-daily-close above ~265 with rising volume would confirm the flag and open a push toward the upper band/prior extremes around 278 first, then 290, with a stretch objective near 300 if momentum expands. If buyers don’t get the close, a controlled pullback into 222–225 (MA20 area) could offer a higher-low retest before another attempt higher. Invalidate the short-term bullish thesis on a daily close below 220. That would shift risk toward the 185 area (183.87) where the MA60 and prior breakout structure converge. Until confirmation, position sizing should remain moderate; if the breakout triggers, trail risk under reclaimed levels to protect gains. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by bbqgio
2
AMD Is it approaching a multi-year top and turning into a Sell ?Almost 8 months ago (March 07, see chart below) we made a bold call (for the time) on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), expecting it to bottom on its 1M MA100 (red trend-line) and then rebound, targeting $320: Well the Bullish Leg of its 6-year Channel Up had been even more aggressive than we expected and is already approaching its top (Higher Highs trend-line), much earlier than we expected. This is technically the right time to book the amazing +240% profits from the April 07 bottom, as the 1W RSI just hit its 6-year Resistance, which has marked the Channel's two Tops. Even though the Bullish Leg can technically extend as high as +287% on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension (like the previous did), the focus of a long-term investor should now be to buy (much) lower, preferably as close to the 1M MA100 as possible. The last two Higher Lows of the Channel Up have been priced just above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, so our fair long-term Target is currently at $110.00. So do you also think AMD is approaching the end of the (long-term) road and is gradually turning into a Sell? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by TradingShot
8