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TSLA: Mild Pullback but Uptrend Remains IntactHello everyone, Tesla’s share price (TSLA) slipped slightly today, closing at 416.66 USD, down 5.78 USD or 1.37% compared to the previous session’s high. After a strong rally earlier, the market is now watching closely to see whether Tesla can sustain its upward momentum or enter a deeper correction. The main driver of this dip has been profit-taking after the stock approached the 430 USD level, creating selling pressure. Alongside this, Tesla’s prior upward moves have left several Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), which may serve as support zones if price revisits them, helping traders identify potential entry levels. In addition, trading volume has picked up significantly in recent sessions, showing strong inflows and active participation from major investors. Looking ahead, despite the current mild pullback, Tesla shares are expected to extend their uptrend if they can hold above the 416 USD support. This is a crucial threshold—if it holds, price could revisit 430 USD and potentially move toward 440 USD in upcoming sessions. The reasoning lies in the sustained capital inflows, the supportive role of FVG zones, and the Ichimoku cloud structure, which continues to back the bullish trend as long as price stays above it. So, what’s your view? Will Tesla keep pushing higher toward 430–440 USD, or is a deeper retracement likely?
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by EmmaChartist
9
TESLA - Expected drop to 350 area following newswassup guys its Tommy here, its been a while i know. With less time on my hands to scalp gold as i did, i have been looking at stocks and applying my skills in different areas like swing trading and investing short and long term. Its easier on the mind for me as i can research in my own time and not a slave to the charts as i once was. Tesla has faced some news today of the new model Y problems and falling of european sales, along with hitting major resistance, i think we can come down to lower prices. I have shares in tesla that i will be selling at this price and leaving the majority in just in case. Should we get the pull back to 350 i will buy again. Hope you're all good out there my beloved gold gang! im coming back for you soon Tommy <3
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by tommyXAU
9
TSLA path to 550/650 USD Breakout Still Pending🔥 What specifically drives TSLA into 550–650 📦 Deliveries + mix surprise If unit volumes beat whisper numbers and mix favors higher-trim/FSD attach, you get more gross profit per vehicle without needing price hikes. Watch the cadence of regional incentives and shipping vectors; strong NA/EU mix plus improving China utilization is the sweet spot. 🛠️ Margin stabilization → operating leverage Gross margin base effect + opex discipline = powerful flow-through. Even a 100–150 bps lift in auto GM, coupled with energy GM expanding as Megapack scales, can push operating margin into low-mid teens. That alone recodes the multiple market is willing to pay. 🔋 Energy storage stepping out of auto’s shadow Megapack/Powerwall growth with multi-GW backlogs turns “side business” into a credible second engine. As deployments and ASP/contract mix normalize, investors begin modeling $10–$15B annualized energy revenue with attractive GM — this is multiple-expanding because it looks more like infrastructure/software-tinted industrials than cyclical autos. 🤖 Autonomy & software monetization bridges Two things move the needle fast: (1) clear progress toward supervised autonomy at scale (drives FSD attach + ARPU), and (2) licensing (FSD stack, charging/NACS, drive units). Even modestly credible paid-miles/seat-based models (think $50–$150/month vehicles on fleet) transform valuation frameworks. 🦾 Optimus/robotics as a real option, not sci-fi The market doesn’t need commercial ubiquity — it needs line-of-sight to pilot deployments and unit economics where labor-substitute ROI < 3 years. A few high-credibility pilots (warehousing, simple assembly, logistics cells) can tack on optionality premium that pushes the multiple toward the top of the range. 💹 Options-market reflexivity Flows matter. Elevated call demand near ATH turns dealers short gamma, forcing delta hedging that lifts spot, which triggers more call buying → a familiar feedback loop. On breakouts, watch open interest skew to short-dated OTM calls, and put-call ratios compressing; these magnify upside in a tight float day. 🌍 Macro & liquidity If indices hold highs and the rate path doesn’t tighten financial conditions, growth duration gets rewarded. TSLA’s beta + story premium thrives in that regime. ________________________________________ 🧠 Outside-the-box accelerants 🛰️ “Software day” packaging A coordinated showcase that bundles FSD progress, energy software (fleet, VPP), service/insurance data, and Optimus pilots into a single capital-markets narrative could reframe TSLA as a platform. The Street responds to packaging; it compresses time-to-belief. 🤝 Third-party FSD/charging licensing headlines A single blue-chip OEM announcing software licensing + NACS deep integration reframes the competitive landscape. The equity market pays a software multiple for recurring seats. 🏗️ Capex signaling for next-gen platform without GM hit Announcing a modular, high-throughput manufacturing scheme (cell to structure, gigacasting tweaks, logistics compression) with proof that unit economics are accretive from ramp can flip skeptics who anchor to past ramp pain. ⚡ Grid-scale contracts + financing innovation If Tesla pairs utility-scale storage with project-level financing (think repeatable ABS-like channels for Megapack), you de-risk cash conversion cycles and unlock a new investor constituency (infrastructure/green income). That tightens the multiple. ________________________________________ 🏎️ Comparative playbook: RACE (Ferrari) & NVDA (NVIDIA) 👑 RACE — the scarcity & brand ROIC lens Ferrari’s premium multiple rests on scarcity, orderbook visibility, and brand pricing power. TSLA doesn’t have scarcity, but it can borrow the RACE lens via (a) limited-run, ultra-high-margin trims that anchor halo pricing, (b) waitlist-like energy backlogs that create visibility, and (c) bespoke software packages that mimic “personalization” margin. In bull phases, RACE trades as a luxury compounder rather than an automaker; TSLA can earn a slice of that premium when the energy + software story dominates. 🧮 NVDA — the flywheel & supply-constrained S-curve NVIDIA’s explosive run blended (1) clear demand > supply, (2) pricing power, (3) ecosystem lock-in. TSLA’s battery and compute stacks can echo that dynamic: limited 4680/cell supply + Megapack queues + proprietary autonomy data moat. The moment the market believes TSLA is supply-gated (not demand-gated) in energy/AI, it will award NVDA-like scarcity premia. Add toolchain stickiness (training data, fleet miles, Dojo/AI infra), and you get ecosystem multiples rather than auto multiples. 📊 What the comps teach for TSLA’s 550–650 zone • RACE lesson: visibility + pricing power boost the quality of earnings → higher P/E durability. • NVDA lesson: credible scarcity + platform control turbocharge EV/Sales and compress the market’s time-to-future state. • Translation for TSLA: blend of luxury-like quality (energy contracts + premium trims) and platform scarcity (cells/AI stack) → multiple rerate into our target band. ________________________________________ 🧾 Valuation outlook 🧮 Earnings path • Units up mid-teens % Y/Y; ASP stable to slightly higher on mix; energy + software up strongly. • Auto GM +100–150 bps; Energy GM expands on scale; opex +SMC disciplined → op margin 12–15%. • Share count glide modest. Forward EPS ≈ $9–$11. • Multiple: 50× (conservative growth premium) → $450–$550; 60× (software/autonomy visibility) → $540–$660. • Why the market pays up: visible recurring high-margin lines (FSD, energy software, services) + AI/robotics optionality. 📈 EV/Sales path • Forward revenue $130–$150B (auto + energy + software/services). • Assign blended EV/Sales 6.5–7.5× when energy/software dominate the debate. • Less net cash → equity value per share in $550–$650. • Check: At 7× on $140B = $980B EV; equity ≈ $1.0–$1.1T with cash, divided by diluted shares → mid-$500s to $600s. Momentum premium and flow can extend to upper bound. ________________________________________ 🧭 Technical roadmap & market-microstructure 🧱 Breakout mechanics A decisive weekly close above prior ATH with rising volume and a low-volume retest that holds converts resistance to a springboard. Expect a “open-drive → pause → trend” sequence: day 1 impulse, 2–5 sessions of rangebuilding, then trend resumption. 🧲 Volume shelves & AWVAPs Anchored VWAPs from the last major swing high and the post-washout low often act like magnets. Post-break, the ATH AVWAP becomes first support, then the $500 handle functions as the psychological pivot. Above there, $550/$590/$630 are classical measured-move/Fib projection waypoints; pullbacks should hold prior shelf highs. 🌀 Options & dealer positioning On a break, short-dated OTM calls populate 1–2% ladders; dealers short gamma chase price up via delta hedging. Expect intraday ramps near strikes (pin-and-pop behavior) and Friday accelerants if sentiment is euphoric. A steepening skew with heavy call open interest is your tell that supply is thin. ________________________________________ 🧨 Risks & invalidation 🚫 Failed retest below the breakout shelf (think: a fast round-trip under the $4-handle) downgrades the setup from “trend” to “blow-off.” 🧯 Margin or delivery disappointments (e.g., price-war resumption, regional softness) break the EPS/EV-Sales bridges. 🌪️ Macro shock (rates spike, liquidity drains) compresses long-duration multiples first; TSLA is high beta. 🔁 Flow reversal — if call-heavy positioning unwinds, gamma flips to a headwind and accelerates downside. ________________________________________ 💼 Trading & portfolio expressions for HNWI 🎯 Core + satellite Hold a core equity position to capture trend, add a satellite of calls for convexity. If chasing, consider call spreads (e.g., 1–3 month $500/$600 or $520/$650) to tame IV. 🛡️ Risk-managed parity Pair equity with a protective put slightly OTM or finance it with a put spread. Alternatively, collars (write covered calls above $650 to fund downside puts) if you’re guarding a large legacy stake. ⚙️ Momentum follow-through Use stop-ins above key levels for systematic adds, and stop-outs below retest lows to avoid round-trips. Size reduces into $590–$630 where target confluence lives; recycle risk into pullbacks. 💵 Liquidity & slippage Scale entries around liquid times (open/closing auctions). For size, work algos to avoid prints into obvious strikes where dealers can lean. ________________________________________ 🧾 Monitoring checklist 🔭 Delivery run-rate signals (regional registration proxies, shipping cadence). 🏭 Margin tells (bill of materials trends, promotions cadence, energy deployment updates). 🧠 Autonomy milestones (software releases, safety metrics, attach/ARPU hints). 🔌 Licensing/partnership beats (NACS depth, FSD/AI stack interest). 📊 Options dashboard (short-dated call OI ladders; put-call ratio shifts; gamma positioning). 🌡️ Macro regime (rates, liquidity, risk appetite). ________________________________________ ✅ Bottom line 🏁 The 550–650 tape is not a fairy tale — it’s a stacked-catalyst + rerate setup where energy/software/autonomy rise in the narrative mix, margins stabilize, and options-market reflexivity does the rest. Execute the breakout playbook, respect invalidation lines, and use convex expressions to lean into upside while protecting capital. esla (TSLA) — Breakout Playbook 🎯 Core Thesis • Insider conviction: Musk’s ~$1B buy. • Risk-on macro: equities at highs, liquidity supportive. • Options reflexivity: call-heavy flows can fuel upside. • ATH breakout (~$480–$490) = gateway to price discovery. ________________________________________ 🚀 Upside Drivers to $550–$650 • Deliveries & Mix: Surprise beat + higher trim/FSD attach. • Margins: GM stabilization + energy scaling → op margin 12–15%. • Energy: $10–15B rev potential with infra-like multiples. • Autonomy/Software: FSD attach, ARPU, licensing. • Optimus/Robotics: Pilot deployments → ROI < 3 yrs adds optionality. • Licensing Headlines: OEMs adopting NACS/FSD stack. • Capital Markets Narrative: Packaged “software + energy + robotics” story reframes Tesla as a platform. ________________________________________ 🏎️ Comparative Bull Run Lens • Ferrari (RACE): Scarcity, orderbook, luxury multiples. • NVIDIA (NVDA): Scarcity + ecosystem flywheel → EV/Sales premium. • Tesla Parallel: Blend of luxury quality (energy backlogs, halo trims) + AI scarcity (cells, fleet data, Dojo). ________________________________________ 📊 Valuation Bridges • EPS Path: $9–$11 EPS × 50–60× = $450–$660. • EV/Sales Path: $130–150B revenue × 6.5–7.5× = $550–$650. ________________________________________ 📈 Technical Roadmap • Breakout > $490 → retest holds → next legs: o $550 / $590 / $630 / stretch $650–$690. • Watch anchored VWAPs; ATH shelf flips to support. • Options chase accelerates above round strikes.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
55
TSLA: Likely to Continue Rising if Holding Above $440Hello everyone, Today, Tesla (TSLA) shares are trading at $442.87, up 0.77% from the previous close. After a strong rally recently, the market is closely watching whether TSLA can sustain its upward momentum or if a short-term pullback may occur. The slight retreat in recent sessions mainly stems from profit-taking as the stock approached the $450 mark, creating temporary selling pressure. However, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) formed during prior rallies are providing important support zones. These levels could serve as potential entry points if the price tests them again. Trading volume has increased significantly in recent sessions, indicating strong participation from large investors and reflecting long-term confidence in Tesla. As long as the stock holds above the $440 support level, there is a good chance it could rebound to $450 and potentially reach $460 in the coming sessions. Technical factors such as the Ichimoku cloud structure, combined with support from FVG zones, reinforce the bullish trend. On the macro side, although the Fed maintains a tight monetary policy, current interest rates still provide a favorable environment for tech stocks. Expectations of possible rate cuts in the future are adding further support for TSLA. In the electric vehicle sector, Tesla continues to lead with production expansion, technology upgrades, and new product launches. News related to these developments often directly impacts the stock price, driving further gains. Strong inflows from major investors, along with market attention on sales reports and technological progress, continue to support a positive short-term outlook for TSLA. What’s your view on Tesla’s stock in the coming days? Share your thoughts below!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by EmmaChartist
2
TSLA – Time & Price Relationships with ABC SetupThis chart highlights Tesla's price action through a potential ABC pattern, measured time cycles, and trend angles. The move from the April 2025 low to the recent September 2025 high spans 110 calendar days, mirroring a prior 110-day downswing — indicating possible time balance. Volume expansion supports the current uptrend, and we may be approaching a critical price/time resistance area. Watching for confirmation or reversal.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by ramona_monomia
1
$TSLA: Branching Effect🏛️ Research Notes Reaching branching effect through cross-cycle interconnection. Alongside I'll test some elements mentioned below. Local Progressions Rhyme and levels derived from apparent cycle compression. Added channels with darkening gradient that cover bullrun from mid 2019, driven by angle of tops. In the local scope, as price deepens into denser zone the probability of disproportional reaction gets higher. t would probably complete its intermediate and even longer-term cycles before escaping the boundary.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by fract
6
$TSLA: Let The Rally Speak For Itself - 9/16/2025Based on the analysis, it’s confirmed that NASDAQ:TSLA has initiated a new rally following the completion of a lengthy and complex corrective structure at $288. The stock bounced twice off the 50-week moving average, signaling strong support as the correction neared its end. Due to the depth and complexity of the structure, Wave 3 is expected to unfold with high momentum, potentially delivering an explosive rally. Key upside targets are displayed in the chart — we’ll be watching closely to see how price reacts at those levels. 📚 Note: The internal structure and labeling were intentionally left visible in the chart for educational purposes. This is especially useful for traders interested in Modern Trading Algorithms and their structural variations. Happy Trading, and let the rally speak for itself. 🚀
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by photomax
2
Tesla - Here we goooooo!🚗Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is finally breaking out: 🔎Analysis summary: Finally, after a consolidation of four years, Tesla is attempting another all time high breakout. With the bullish triangle coming to an end, bulls are dominating this stock. It just comes down to the next couple of months but a triangle breakout remains far more likely. 📝Levels to watch: $400 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
26
Every counter has a sweet spot. Every counter has a sweet spot. The only question: are you trading it at the right time? Most traders obsess over what to trade, but few stop to ask when to trade it. Timing is the difference between a setup that compounds consistently… and one that bleeds capital. That’s exactly why I built thenexxtradealpha — Adaptive Opening Framework. It’s designed to identify the optimal timeframe for any counter, so you’re not second-guessing whether you should be looking at the 5-minute, 15-minute, or daily chart. The framework adapts to the counter itself — helping you trade in alignment with its natural rhythm, not against it. Because once you know the right time, you stop forcing trades… And start trading with precision.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by nexxtrade
2
TESLA - Robotaxi will drive the price above 1000This is not a short-term trade as you know from me on FX, Crypto and Indices. This is buy and hold investment. I got already good bag of share and Im still adding without trying to time if perfectly, but now I think its time to buy bigger positions. Tesla is my 3rd biggest position after the Bitcoin and Strategy (MicroStrategy). Many people see it only as an EV cars company, but it's not all what they do, just read bellow to see why I see a huge potential in this company. 📍Why Tesla is Considered a Top Investment Tesla stands out as a leading player in the EV market, with a strong brand and a history of delivering innovative products. In 2024, it produced about 459,000 vehicles and delivered over 495,000 in the fourth quarter alone, showcasing its ability to meet growing demand Tesla Fourth Quarter 2024 Production, Deliveries & Deployments. 💾Financially, Tesla reported $97,690 million in total revenue for 2024, with the automotive segment contributing $87,604 million and energy solutions adding $10,086 million Tesla, Inc. Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2024. This diversification into energy, alongside investments in autonomous driving, positions Tesla for long-term growth, making it attractive for investors seeking exposure to future trends in sustainability and technology. 📍What Tesla Does Beyond EV Cars Beyond EVs, Tesla is deeply involved in energy solutions: 📍Solar Products: Offers solar panels and solar roofs for clean energy generation. 📍Energy Storage: Provides Powerwall for homes and Megapack for large-scale projects, helping stabilize grids and manage energy costs. 📍Charging Infrastructure: Operates a network of Supercharger stations, increasingly open to other EVs. Services: Includes vehicle maintenance through service centers and body shops. 📍Robotaxi: Plans to launch a fully autonomous ride-hailing service in June 2025 in Austin, Texas, potentially opening new revenue streams Tesla's robotaxis by June? Musk turns to Texas for hands-off regulation. 📍Tesla Optimus: Developing a general-purpose robotic humanoid for tasks like household chores or industrial work, which could lead to new markets. This expansion into energy and services, along with unexpected ventures like Robotaxi and Tesla Optimus, enhances Tesla's role in the transition to sustainable energy and technology, offering benefits like grid stability and potential robotics applications. The growth in the energy segment, with a 67% increase from 2023 to 2024, highlights Tesla's expanding role in sustainability, potentially attracting investors focused on long-term trends. Additionally, Tesla's commitment to innovation, particularly in autonomous driving technology, is noteworthy. The company is developing features like Full Self-Driving (FSD), which could open new revenue streams, such as robotaxi services, enhancing its investment appeal. 🤔I think Optimus and Robotaxi will exceed rapidly exceed their EV cars revenue. Elon musk is predicing over 1000% growth in 5 years. Which would be way above $2900 without stocks splits. I m a bit conservative and I think we can go somewhere between 3 - 4 standard deviations. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Perfectly nailed bottom around 200 and our positions are now 50% in profit good luck David Perk ⚔
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by David_Perk
117
TeslaIf you recall, last week I mentioned that I think Tesla gives us another high before it is all said and done. That would complete what I am calling an ED to finally finish off intermediate wave (B). Currently, price is trading @ $434.32 in the overnights according to Robinhood. This creates the new high I was looking for, and if correct, would conclude this move higher. Also, if this is an ED, then once it finally completes, it will move swiftly towards the $400-$405 area as that is where it started. That move lower would be considered the start of wave (C) and would either be wave a, or the start of wave 1. In short, I believe the high we got in the overnights should be the last leg of this move higher. Rather it finishes tomorrow or sometime in the upcoming week, I do believe this move higher is finally coming to an end. If this is correct, it would be a good area to short the stock...with stops of course. The ALT that I am watching for is that this high we're getting now in the overnights is just the last leg of micro-wave 3 with 4 & 5 yet to come. The strength in which it moves lower after completion will answer that question for us. A swift move to the above-mentioned price level = completion. A choppy lackadaisical move lower would likely mean the turquoise count is coming to fruition.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TSuth
TESLA 989 IN NOVEMBER 🧩 Method in short • Impulse + Midpoint → anchor the base geometry. • Mirror slope → project equal angles forward. • Octaves → copy slopes upward; price vibrates between them. • Confluence → all red rails meet at the Rome date. 🔑 Sniper Rules • ✅ Valid as long as TSLA stays above the white base slope. • ✅ Bounces on the midpoint diagonal confirm strength. • ❌ A close below the base slope cancels the 989 projection. 🎯 Targets • Midpoint retest → acceleration. • Upper octave → resistance. • Final convergence → 989 by Nov 20, 2025. ⸻ All roads lead to Rome. For Tesla, that Rome is $989. This is a geometry-based projection, not financial advice. Use your own confirmations and risk management.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TEPELENA
TSLA Sep 22 Game Plan – “Charging Toward 433 or Stalling at 425?1️⃣ Big Picture on the 1-Hour Chart * Price action: TSLA finished around 425.60, riding a rising channel that’s been building since last week. Price tested the mid-channel line and is now sitting slightly above the lower trend support. * Key levels: * Resistance: 430–433.25 (recent top & call wall) * Support: 416.8 → 412.5 (channel support & high-volume level) * Indicators: * MACD is flattening but still positive, suggesting momentum is cooling but not gone. * Stoch RSI near mid-range (~62) leaves room for a push higher or a deeper dip if sellers show up. The structure leans mildly bullish as long as price respects the lower trendline, but TSLA needs to clear 430+ with conviction for the next leg up. 2️⃣ GEX / Options Flow * Big call concentration sits near 433–435, then again up at 450 and 465. * Strong put support shows around 402–400, with a key HVL near 412.5 that often acts like a magnet if selling accelerates. * Options positioning shows about 83% calls vs puts, with an IVR of 20.3—liquidity is good and premiums are moderate. This options picture supports the idea that market makers could keep TSLA boxed between 420 and 433 early in the week. A decisive break over 433 could invite a gamma-driven squeeze toward 440–450. 3️⃣ Trading Thoughts & Suggestions * Scalp / day trade: A clean break above 430–433 with volume can target 440 quickly. Keep a tight stop under 426. * Support bounce: If the open dips toward 416–412.5 and holds, look for a bounce back to 425+. * Fade setup: A hard rejection at 433 with heavy sell volume opens room back toward 416 → 412.5. 4️⃣ Bottom Line TSLA is coiling inside a rising channel. Bulls want a decisive move over 433 to unlock higher levels, while bears need a break below 416 to gain control. The first hour Monday should set the tone for direction. Disclaimer: This is just market opinion for educational discussion. It’s not financial advice. Always manage your own risk before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Tesla: Robotaxi Hype and Breakout WatchNASDAQ:TSLA surged nearly +10% today, driven by growing anticipation around the upcoming robotaxi unveiling on August 8. Investors are positioning early, speculating this innovation could open new revenue streams for Tesla and redefine mobility. 📊 Technical Setup: • Price broke out of local resistance near $330 • Approaching major resistance at $370–371 (Bollinger Band + prior support) • If $370 is broken and held, the stock could enter a new trading range: $370–$440 • RSI and Stochastic are heating up, but no signs of reversal yet ⚙️ Robotaxi Catalyst: • Elon Musk confirmed the Robotaxi event set for August 8 • Analysts speculate this could boost valuation through AI and self-driving revenue potential • Option volume and retail interest are rising fast 📌 Levels to watch: • Breakout level: $370 • Target: $440 • Support zone: $330 • Invalidation: Close below $310 👀 Watch for pre-event momentum. A break above $370 could trigger a squeeze.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ALVO13_official