Daily Close on Gold Friday favors bullsThe close suggests early week coming up favors a bullish gold sentiment.
XAUTRY1! trade ideas
GC TRADE IDEAGold has been uptrend, but gold today run into daily FVG and on 4hr rejection with 1hr breakout, I am looking to buy if we trace back to that zone I marked belowGold has been uptrend, but gold today run into daily FVG and on 4hr rejection with 1hr breakout, I am looking to buy if we trace back to that zone I marked below
Gold Futures Weekly Outlook (MGCZ5)📍 Key Levels on Watch
Friday’s High (D-H): 3814.5
Friday’s Low (D-L): 3764.2 → New support
Weekly High (WFH): 3824.6
Weekly Low (W-L): 3717.7
Daily FVG Below: 3746.3–3735.2
🧭 Technical Outlook
Price is currently sitting right at the 50% midpoint of Friday’s move.
Friday’s Low (3764.2) is the key inflection point:
If defended → bullish continuation toward 3814.5 and possibly 3824.6.
If broken → expect a quick flush into the Daily FVG (3746–3735) before buyers step back in.
Volume profile shows a low-volume pocket below 3770, which could accelerate moves down into that Daily FVG if support fails.
🌍 Macro Context
De-Dollarization trends continue to support Gold in the longer term.
Geopolitical tensions (military leadership meetings this Tuesday + ongoing global conflicts) = potential safe haven demand.
US Political Risk: Government shutdown threats and loss of traction for the Trump administration add uncertainty → historically supportive for Gold.
Safe Haven Flows: When global stability is questioned, Gold is a direct beneficiary.
🎯 Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Case:
Friday’s low holds → retest of 3814.5 and possibly new weekly highs above 3824.6.
Bearish Case:
Break of 3764.2 → fast move into Daily FVG (3746–3735).
Watch for liquidity sweep & reversal setup inside that FVG.
📌 My Plan
Bias leans bullish this week given the macro backdrop.
BUT — I’ll wait for price to show its hand around Friday’s low before committing to either continuation or discount entries.
Staying flexible: both scenarios mapped, execution will be clean.
Gold - A shifted move in play and up to 4K🔱 Here’s a shifted move in play 🔱
What exactly is a shifted move?
You see the parallel lines next to the white fork?
Those are the shifted lines.
Now, if you observe how price behaved at the white fork, you’ll notice it was a bit sloppy at the L-MLH, and again at the Centerline after reaching it.
But when we add the dotted parallel lines to the chart and measure the distance from the overshoot at the L-MLH, we find a beautiful support at the Shifted Centerline.
The usual target would be the U-MLH.
So, could the target also be shifted?
And what does that tell us?
Well, if you’re long on Gold, you might want to take some profit at the Shifted U-MLH and let the rest ride up toward 4K—if there’s enough gas in the goose.
For me, a re-entry long would be a pullback to the Centerline—either the original or the shifted one—with a small stop just below some structure.
Let me know what you think ho far Gold will go in the comments.
😊 Thanks for boosting, thanks for following 🙏
Long trade Trade Journal Entry
Pair: MGC1! (Micro Gold Futures)
Trade Type: Buy-side trade
Date: Sun 29th June 2025
Session: 6.00 PM
TF: 1H
Trade Details:
Entry: 3,904.5
Profit Level: 4,134.5 (+18.47%)
Stop Level: 3,793.0 (–1.18%)
RR: 127.17
Wyckoff Narrative & Structure:
Phase A (Preliminary Support / Selling Climax): Market sold off into spring lows, where high volume absorption signalled potential accumulation.
Phase B (Building the Cause): An extended consolidation range is formed, marked by tests of support and resistance. Smart money accumulated positions while shaking out weak hands.
Phase C (Spring & Test): Price wicked below support to collect liquidity (spring event) before reclaiming the range. The test confirmed demand returning.
Phase D (Markup Initiation): Breakout above resistance with strong volume, creating a Sign of Strength (SOS) and retest zones acting as Last Points of Support (LPS).
Phase E (Trend Continuation): The current price action indicates a bullish continuation, in line with the long-term markup phase, which targets higher extensions (Fib 1.618 and above).
Feeling really good about this trade tbh.
Gold | 9/30Gold is acting golden. 4hr fib levels on chart to guess at price movements but the data on the screen that is relevant is a daily candle from yesterday that is holding price in a daily range so far as of writing this.
15min trends marked to track price through a reversal possibly to lower ranges and yesterday median to gain some supportive structure and levels for later this week.
GC pullbackMy setup here I will consider shorts
The best trades come to the patient, not the impulsive. Heaven rewards the same!
We Trade for Christ not profits. Profit is temporary, you cant take it with you.
and in doing so, trading becomes very easy.
Gold Futures (MGCZ5) – H4 Gap in PlayPrice pushed aggressively bullish all day yesterday with little to no pullbacks. That momentum left behind a fresh H4 Fair Value Gap (FVG) sitting just above the Weekly High (WH) level.
If we see a pullback into this area, it could offer a solid setup for continuation higher.
⚠️ Key considerations:
If buyers stay strong, price may run liquidity above 3863.7 (D-H) before any meaningful retracement.
If sentiment shifts, a deeper draw into the Daily FVG below 3764 remains on the table.
With global uncertainty (military meetings, de-dollarization, possible U.S. shutdown), volatility risk is elevated.
🎯 Game Plan:
Watch the H4 FVG near WH for rejection / entry signals.
Bias remains bullish while above 3785 (D-L).
Break below D-L opens the door toward the Daily FVG.
GC 9/2615min TimeFrame.
I didn't post yesterday but I updated the levels as if I did and made them dotted as "tested"
dashed lines = "untested"
dotted 2x = origin levels where trends originate / bridge&Flip scenarios.
Yesterday we saw how pandora's box operates by laddering into a wedge. We'll watch as it breaks tomorrow.
at a quick glance it looks like a 15min timeframe is where $ is at. I didn't follow the breadcrumbs into the 5min timeframe but sure there are levels down there influencing price and break out scenario better than the 15min timeframe but we'll still see it breakout.
GC Futures 15m: 6.6:1 trade executed using Sigma Trading SystemStep 1: wait for a sweep of daily liquidity
Note: the sweep must be confirmed for any of the other confluences to be valid
Step 2: wait for a bullish marker to be drawn by the Reversal Print indicator
Tip: set an alert if you don’t want to spend all day staring at the chart
Step 3: look for a divergence with either the PowerDelta Oscillator or, in this case, the Manipulation Ribbon
Info: the Manipulation Ribbon detects areas of price manipulation by Market Makers vs areas where it is trading in a natural, price-driven state
Step 4: the entry is a tap of the most recent confirmed FVG
FYI: all the drawings on the main chart are created by the Sigma 5-in-1 indicator
SL: low of first candle that forms the entry FVG
Tip: for a more conservative approach the recent swing low could also be used
TP: bearish divergence with the PowerDelta Oscillator
Note: gold was at an all-time high so anything beyond the Previous Day High (PDH) posed a risk however for a more conservative approach you could exit half your position at the PDH
Global news might have us Stalling on Gold! Chart Context (MGC Futures, H1/H4)
Price stalled out after rejecting the H4 bearish zone (3791.4–3769.9).
Yesterday’s downside move lost steam before fully reaching the deeper H4 bullish demand (3746.3–3735.2).
We’re now compressing between Daily High (3792.1) and Daily Low (3752.0).
Fundamentals:
U.S. geopolitical/military headlines (Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth ordering hundreds of generals/admirals to an urgent meeting at Quantico, Sep 30) are creating uncertainty, which could trigger safe-haven flows in gold.
Bias Going Into Friday:
Watching for liquidity sweep of yesterday’s lows (~3752/DL). If swept and reclaimed, could trigger bullish continuation.
Alternatively, a clean break & hold above yesterday’s high (~3792/DH) sets up momentum longs targeting 3812+ (previous imbalance).
No trade in the middle of the chop — patience until liquidity is taken on one side.
quick selloff entry opportunity
* posting quickly so less explain.
* number 3 closed below 1= sellers
proof. Number 2 is proven sellers, stop
must therefore be there logically.Aim for
the previous major low
* look delta footprint, the green bar
before current is negative delta
* oversold + divergences
* obv break trendline
*+4 other tools in group 1 in drawings.
GOLD FUTUREs near its resistanceThe unprecedent rally in GOLD nearing its peak as per Elliott WAVE cycle.
Wave 'C' of ABC wave will terminate its golden ratio of expansion 1.62 time of wave A.
IF $4122 is not breached then you may see a great fall in price as there is huge runup in this metal.
Investors; don't do anything
Traders; BOOK PROFITs before the price falls
Gold long at 1hr Wick CE lvlBased on the 1hr 9pm wick CE lvl, entering at 50% consequent encroachment
Friendly analysis Can Gold reach 4090 level or more if it bounces off the 4070 level a good chance and the Government lockout continues or will it go on a selling frenzy??? Be careful 😎😎😎 keep your stop loss tight…… for entertainment purposes only not financial advice.
Gold silver dxyThe date is 10 1825 I'm concerned about the DXY and what it might mean and yet the market is very bullish for gold and silver and I would be thinking of reducing a position or getting out of a pattern that looks like gold or silver because I think they're overbought and that's an invitation for smart money to short the market to take out the breakout traders moving to new highs.
Target areas - GC price for Market open.10/8/25 - These are the target areas - GC price for Market open depending if price moves up or down. Will look for trades into these areas.
Gold!! Support and ResiistanceGold breaks above $4k an oz. It’s just simple support and resistance now
Gold - weekly RSI now in topping zoneWeekly RSI now at zone (and higher) from where major bull moves have topped out
Try contrarian shorts here via puts
Can it happen?Disclaimer
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. The author is not a registered financial advisor. Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.
3700This channel is not providing individualized trading or investment advice, nor is it a banking service, brokerage service, trading service, investment service or money management service
GC - Hourly ideaJust marked the hourly resistance levels as Inv.FS and the solid line BS
support is below price BS dashed line is the hourly level and the green dashed line is the 5min timeframe FS
