Trade ideas
USNAS100 – Nasdaq Awaits GDP Data as Bears Hold ControlUSNAS100 – Overview
The Nasdaq 100 holds a bearish bias ahead of today’s key U.S. GDP release, with price action leaning lower as traders brace for potential volatility.
A stronger-than-expected GDP print would likely reinforce downside momentum by reducing Fed rate-cut expectations, while weaker data could provide a bullish lift for tech indices.
Technical View
Bearish Scenario:
The index remains bearish while trading below the 24,560 pivot zone.
Immediate downside targets are 24,385 → 24,140 → 23,870.
🔻 A confirmed 1H close below 24,385 would strengthen momentum toward deeper supports.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed 1H close above 24,570 would invalidate the bearish setup and support a move toward 24,660 → 24,810.
Key Levels
Pivot: 24,500
Resistance: 24,570 – 24,660 – 24,810
Support: 24,380 – 24,140 – 23,870
The Nasdaq remains in a data-driven range, with GDP results likely to decide whether price breaks below 24,385 to extend losses or rebounds above 24,570 to retest higher resistance.
Beyond the Chart - NAS100 Through Technicals & FundamentalsCAPITALCOM:US100 Update 📉
The trendline I drew yesterday played out perfectly. After the Bearish FVG + rejection, the trend broke and a second Bearish FVG formed right after.
NASDAQ Daily Analysis 📊
On the daily chart, the FVG formed on Sep 15th has been revisited, but price couldn’t hold in this zone and was quickly rejected. The trendline I’ve drawn is still active and guiding the move.
👉 If a bullish candle forms above the trend, I’ll be looking at 24,543 as a buy point.
👉 If sellers take control and push price below the trend, we could see a move down toward the FVG region at 24,340.
⚡Bottom line:
• If Core PCE cools off → bullish continuation fits.
• If Core PCE runs hot → expect sellers to take control.
Nas100 Trading ZonesZone 1 – Shallow Overhead Supply
This area has acted as resistance, but with limited data at all-time highs, its reliability is questionable. Sellers may step in here, yet it should be treated as a soft reference point rather than a strong supply zone. Any breakout could easily invalidate it.
Zone 2 – Fragile Support / Momentum Pivot
This level has shown price reactions, but lacks the characteristics of a strong buy zone. It’s better viewed as a short-term pivot area. If broken, it could attract further selling pressure, but traders should avoid relying on it as solid support.
Zone 3 – Yesterday’s Low / Liquidity Pocket
Yesterday’s low provides a natural liquidity zone where buyers may attempt to step in. Still, the strength of this level is limited. Reactions may be sharp but unstable, and a clean break lower could fuel further downside momentum.
The sharp pullback in the Nas100 yesterday looks to be driven by profit-taking after the Fed’s rate cut, combined with Powell’s cautious tone on inflation and growth. With the index trading at record highs, volatility was elevated and many traders used the news as an opportunity to lock in gains. For now, the move appears more like a healthy correction within an uptrend, but key support zones will need to hold to prevent a deeper reversal.
NASDAQ US100 Long
Entry Zone: 24,542.
Stop-Loss: 24,360
Take-Profit: 24,717
Risk (Stop distance): ~182 points (24,542 – 24,360).
Reward (Target distance): ~175 points (24,717 – 24,542).
RSI Trend: Recently dipped sharply, showing selling pressure, but possible rebound if support holds. Price is respecting a long-term trendline.
NAS100 Technical Analysis 1 Hour Chart📉 NAS100 Technical Analysis (1H Chart)
NAS100 is trading around 24,374 and continues to respect a strong descending channel, signaling bearish momentum.
• Trend: Price rejected the previous supply zone (24,470 – 24,500) and failed to break above resistance, confirming sellers are still in control.
• Entry Zone: The retest of broken support turned resistance around 24,387 – 24,479 shows bearish rejection with downside continuation likely.
• Target Levels:
• First target: 24,154 (mid-channel support)
• Next target zone: 23,960 – 23,827 (lower channel support)
• Invalidation: A clean 1H close above 24,500 would invalidate this bearish structure and could trigger a corrective move higher.
👉 Short-term bias remains bearish while under 24,500 with room for continuation toward 24,150 – 23,900.
NasdaqToday's price action can tell us a lot about the trend and future movements. After the drop to 24200, an uptrend line formed and resistance at 24470. If this trend continues, we can expect a breakout of this resistance and the key 24500 level. After confirmation, the Nasdaq could reach its highs again. Remember that on the daily chart, we are still in a strong bullish trend. Happy trading!
NAS100 -Head and Shoulders Formed. Price Sitting at the NecklinePrice had been climbing steadily and consistently till now. See my previous analysis:
Or click on the attached idea on my chart.
But momentum is starting to be fading.
And if we look closely, we could recognize a head and shoulders pattern. We have the first peak, the left shoulder. Then a taller peak, the head. And finally, a lower high, the right shoulder.
And right now, price is sitting right at that neckline. So the market is at decision point:
A strong break below would confirm the Head and Shoulders and trigger the reversal.
- If price will break below this neckline with momentum, the pattern is confirmed. And that would be our short signal anticipating a move down, towards 24.400.
- But if buyers step in here, the pattern could fail.
The target is measured from the head to the neckline, and projected below the breakout.
It’s a key moment and the next move will decide the outcome.
Nasdaq records near critical resistance! More to go or crash?Strong economic data suggest the soft landing scenario remains intact. Manufacturing strength, combined with improving employment data, appears to provide support. The Fed's dovish pivot also offers liquidity tailwinds, while the Nvidia-Intel partnership signals continued investment in US stocks.
But is the market reading the signals?
Strong employment data could actually be bearish for equities since it reduces the urgency for the Fed to cut. The Fed's dot plot already shows fewer 2026 cuts (only one instead of three) with higher growth and (slightly higher) inflation projections. The Nvidia-Intel deal also excludes Intel's struggling foundry business, a core problem for the company.
Technicals are not too promising either. Multiple resistance factors converge just a tad higher if not at current levels:
Long-term trendline from November 2021
138% Fibonacci level
Triangle pattern measured move completion
100% Fibonacci expansion target
Indicators flash warnings too:
RSI second divergence since May (price up, momentum flat)
Volume oscillator 13% below zero - lack of institutional buying
Missing third-wave volume surge - typical bull pattern absent
Fifth-wave characteristics suggesting impulse completion
As we trade in the historically worst month for equities, where the NASDAQ typically underperforms the S&P 500 during September selloffs, a high-probability short setup could be underway:
Entry : 24,700-24,750 area (resistance test)
Stop : Above 25,000 (avoid false breakout)
Targets : 23,700 → 22,730 → 22,200
Risk-Reward : Approximately 2.6:1 to first major support
Prefer a 5-wave decline if bear case confirms, followed by a 3-wave up, then continuation lower.
Watch 24,500 as it appears to be a decision point where multiple technical and fundamental factors converge.
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NAS100 Price has dipped into an H4 Demand Zone Price has now retested a demand zone. Look for long confirmations from here. If it reaches supply or retests that broken trendline and gives sell confirmations, then we will short it. However, if momentum to the upside continues, then we long to new ATHs.
NASDAQ index- Correction alertThe price has reached the yellow trendline, and in the previous two instances this led to significant short-term corrections:
📉 July 2024: -15.6%
📉 December 2024: -7.1%
Currently: optimistic correction target at 23,970 (-3.2%), and if that doesn’t hold – strong support at 22,223 (-10.2%).
USNAS100 Range Bound Price action price likely to continueThe US NASDAQ 100 (USNAS100) is currently exhibiting range-bound price action, with consolidation likely to continue until a clear breakout occurs.
Technical View:
On Wednesday, the index edged slightly higher as investors weighed the measured comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and looked ahead to key U.S. economic data due later this week.
A confirmed breakout above the current consolidation zone could open the path for further upside, with potential resistance seen near the 24,900 level.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
NAS100 (15-Minute Timeframe)🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Bullish Setup 👇: After a dip in price, we've seen potential accumulation at the 15-minute FVG (Fair Value Gap), setting up for a possible bounce. 🟢
Bearish Resistance ⬆️: Price is currently interacting with a 1-hour Bearish FVG, with potential for further downside if resistance holds. ⛔️
🔵 Potential Trade Plan:
Look for a Pullback: Price could retrace to the higher time-frame resistance zones around 24,791.45 (HTFL) or 24,786.45.
Key Entry Points: Focus on price action near the 15-minute FVG, which may give us a clearer bullish confirmation. 🟢
Target Zones: Aiming for 24,791.45 and higher based on overall momentum.
🔥 Stay alert and trade wisely! Always use proper risk management.
Greetings,
MrYounity
NAS100 Bullish Scenario, Will The Trend Be Followed?The US100 (NASDAQ) daily chart shows a very strong bullish structure. Since April, the index has been in a steady uptrend, creating higher highs and higher lows. Recently, price broke through the important 24,000 zone and is now consolidating just under 24,542. This consolidation at the highs is a healthy sign of strength, suggesting buyers are preparing for the next leg up.
The zone between 24,000 and 24,200 is now a major support base. As long as the market holds above this region, the bullish outlook remains intact. The next major target sits near 26,551, which lines up with an 8% projected upside move. Momentum remains with the bulls, and dips toward support are likely to be bought up quickly.
📌 Trade Setup (Bullish)
• Entry: 24,500 (current market or on breakout above 24,542)
• Stop-Loss: 23,364
• Take-Profit: 26,551
• Risk/Reward: ~1:1.7