NASDAQ 100 – Technical Breakdown Meets Fundamental RealityAfter months of relentless buying, the tech sector’s engine is finally sputtering.
The recent sharp drop from the highs wasn’t random — it reflects growing macro tension and liquidity tightening that’s starting to bite risk assets.
🧩 The Fundamental Story
Yields & Liquidity:
Long-term Treasury yields remain stubbornly elevated despite the Fed’s cautious tone. This indicates the market is pricing in structural inflation rather than trusting the “soft landing” narrative. Higher yields mean tighter financial conditions — bad news for richly valued growth stocks.
Earnings Fatigue:
Recent earnings season showed early cracks: slowing cloud growth, cautious forward guidance, and shrinking profit margins. Even AI-related optimism can’t offset the broader deceleration.
China & Trade Risks:
Renewed U.S.–China trade friction and export restrictions on high-end chips are dampening sentiment in the semiconductor and tech hardware sectors — key NASDAQ components.
Fed Policy Uncertainty:
With inflation sticky above 3% and unemployment starting to rise, the Fed is cornered. A rate cut could come late — but only after more market pain.
📊 Technical Outlook (4H Chart)
The chart structure shows a clear break of the bullish sequence.
Support lost at 24,580 triggered heavy volume selling.
Current price is consolidating near 24,000 — the make-or-break zone.
Below 23,650, momentum sellers could accelerate the drop toward 23,000–23,050 (next key demand).
Any short-term bounce into 24,460–24,580 may act as a retest before another leg lower.
🎯 Trading Plan
Bias: Bearish below 24,460
Possible retest zone: 24,260–24,580
Main target: 23,050
Invalidation: Close above 24,880 with renewed bullish momentum
⚠️ Why It Matters
This isn’t just a pullback — it’s a repricing of risk driven by real-world fundamentals:
tightening liquidity, weak earnings, and policy uncertainty.
If the macro backdrop doesn’t shift fast, the NASDAQ could unwind a significant portion of its 2025 gains before year-end.
💬 Discussion
Do you think the Fed will pivot soon enough to save tech stocks from a deeper correction?
Or are we entering a new phase of the cycle where fundamentals finally catch up with price?
👇 Share your thoughts below and follow for more macro + technical insights every week.
Trade ideas
NASDAQ Bullish Continuation PatternsNAS100 is still pushing to the upside.
Currently on the H1 TF I am spotting a bullish flag. Confirmation to enter is on a breakout and a retest. Now, the thing about indices is that they love a nice false breakout, so expect the unexpected. Hence, the arrow points to the downside after the breakout and possibly retesting a support zone before we get a final bullish momentum.
Patience will pay you in this market.
The trend is still your friend.
USNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Pressure Below 24,855USNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Momentum Below 24,855
The index shows bearish momentum today as long as price trades below 24,855, after testing the resistance zone twice.
Failure to break higher keeps the pressure on the downside, with potential to drop toward 24,510 in the near term.
A 1H close above 24,855 would invalidate the bearish setup and trigger a strong bullish continuation toward the all-time-high (ATH) region near 25,035 → 25,200.
Pivot: 24,855
Support: 24,660 – 24,520 – 24,350
Resistance: 25,035 – 25,200 – 25,400
NAS100 Forecast: A Fresh Bullish Impulse Toward New HighsThe NAS100 index is currently moving within a classic Elliott Wave structure. After completing wave (3), the market entered a correction phase that formed wave (4). This correction appears to have ended in the highlighted support zone, where buyers stepped in strongly. The five-wave pattern before wave (4) confirms a solid bullish trend. Now, the index seems to be preparing for the final upward move wave (5). This wave often represents the last push of a rally before a larger correction starts. As long as the price stays above the recent support near 24,400 , the next targets could be seen around 25,200–25,600 . In simple terms, the market is expected to continue its uptrend after a short pullback, following the typical Elliott Wave sequence of five upward waves and three corrective ones.
I’m getting ready for potential short position |October 16 2025If today the price goes up and hunts the high from 10 AM yesterday (New York time) — meaning it grabs the liquidity and takes out the stops above that level — and then forms a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) followed by signs of weakness or a rejection structure (like a lower-timeframe break, divergence, or bearish confirmation candle), that scenario would be one of the best short setups of the day.
NASDAQ Faces Downside Risk Amid Tariff and Shutdown UncertaintyUSNAS100 – Technical Outlook Aligned with Fundamentals
The Nasdaq 100 fell sharply on Friday, losing nearly 1,200 points within six hours as it retreated from its all-time high.
The drop came amid renewed U.S.–China tariff tensions and growing uncertainty from the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which has delayed key economic data releases and weighed on sentiment ahead of third-quarter earnings season.
Technically, the index is showing clear bearish pressure, and sellers will likely maintain control while the price remains below 23,930.
A short-term corrective rebound toward 24,160 – 24,350 is possible before renewed downside momentum.
If the price closes a 1H or 4H candle below 23,930, it would confirm a continuation of the bearish trend, opening the way toward 23,700 → 23,500 → 23,350.
Conversely, as long as the index trades above 23,930, limited corrections may occur, but overall bias remains weak under current macro headwinds.
Pivot Line: 23,930
Support Levels: 23,700 / 23,500 / 23,350
Resistance Levels: 24,160 / 24,340 / 24,480
Summary:
Fundamental headwinds — from tariff threats to the shutdown’s data vacuum — are fueling pressure on tech stocks.
Technically, bias stays bearish below 23,930, with a potential correction toward 24,350 before continuation to the downside.
USNAS100 Extends Losses After Resistance RejectionUSNAS100 – Overview | Bearish Momentum Below 24,510
The index maintains a bearish momentum after dropping from its recent resistance zone.
As long as price trades below 24,510, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 24,350 → 24,150.
A confirmed 1H close below 24,150 would extend losses toward the 24,000 area.
On the other hand, a 1H close above 24,550 would shift the structure bullish, opening the path toward 24,770 → 24,850.
Pivot: 24,510
Support: 24,350 – 24,150 – 24,000
Resistance: 24,700 – 24,850 – 25,000
NQ,1H,wait for hunt yesterday high |October 14 2025I’ve decided that during this downtrend, if the market doesn’t go sideways and the bearish trend actually takes shape — because believe it or not, I’m not a fortune teller — I’ll share every single trade with you, whether it ends in profit or loss.
so my short vision is up but in higher timeframe is down
I'll wait for a short position
In about a month, I’ll also start accepting around 20 members to collaborate with me.
So if you don’t want to lose track of my page, make sure to follow.
NAS100 4h Bearish move confirmed across multiple timeframes
Based on the breakout observed on the 4-hour timeframe and its confirmation on the 30-minute chart — which itself was validated by the M5 structure break within the highlighted golden zone — we expect the price to continue its decline toward the first daily support level.
This setup provides a strong risk-to-reward ratio, as illustrated on the chart.
As always — stay patient, follow your plan, and trust your analysis.
US100: Potential reversal from overbought zone
Symbol: SKILLING:US100
Timeframe: 30 Minutes
Indicators: OB/OS Overlap (RSI, MFI, Stochastic) + S/R
________________________________________
🔍 Quick Summary
After a strong rally 🚀 from the 24,750–24,800 support area, US100 has reached the 25,280–25,300 resistance zone — where multiple oscillators are showing overbought signals.
This suggests potential profit-taking or a technical correction may occur soon.
________________________________________
📊 Price Structure
• Price formed a temporary top after tapping the overbought area, with clear rejection candles near resistance.
• A pullback toward the first support zone around 25,000–25,050 could occur before the next move.
• If selling pressure continues, the next target area lies near 24,800–24,850, where previous structure and demand overlap 📉.
________________________________________
🧩 Technical Highlights
• OB/OS Overlap: RSI, MFI, and Stochastic are all in overbought territory (3/3 alignment) — a strong early signal of potential short-term exhaustion.
• Price Action: A minor double top or bearish divergence may be forming if momentum indicators continue to decline.
• Key Zones: Blue zones on the chart mark areas of potential buyer reaction (demand).
________________________________________
🧭 Scenario Outlook
Main Scenario (🔻 Pullback Expected):
Price could retrace toward 25,000–24,850 before buyers attempt a rebound.
Alternative Scenario (🚀 Continuation):
If the price holds above 25,100 and breaks 25,280, the bullish momentum might continue short-term.
________________________________________
⚙️ Risk Note
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Always manage risk carefully and align your trade plan with your own strategy 📘💡.
Market conditions can change rapidly — stay flexible and objective!
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
US100: Pullback to fill the GAP below
🧩 SKILLING:US100 – Pullback scenario targeting the GAP support zone
📊 30-Minute Chart Analysis
On the 30-minute timeframe, US100 is showing signs of a short-term corrective move after failing to hold its previous support zone.
Price is currently trading below the Trend indicator’s resistance area, suggesting that sellers have regained temporary control.
After a strong drop, the market is forming a technical pullback to retest the resistance zone. This is often where traders look for opportunities to continue following the prevailing bearish momentum.
________________________________________
🧭 Trading Scenario (For Analysis Purposes Only)
• Potential SELL Zone: 24,650 – 24,740 (resistance and Trend zone)
• Target Area: 24,250 – 24,350 (GAP support area below)
• Invalidation Level: Above 24,750 — if price closes above this level, the short-term bearish structure could be invalidated.
________________________________________
🔎 Technical Outlook
• Short-term trend: Bearish
• Market structure: Forming a pullback–continuation pattern
• Trend indicator: Has flipped bearish, confirming renewed selling pressure
• GAP support: Likely to act as a key area for potential stabilization or reaction from buyers
________________________________________
⚠️ Important Note
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Traders should combine this view with their own risk assessment, price action, and macroeconomic context before making any trading decisions.
________________________________________
💡 Summary:
US100 is in a short-term correction phase. If price continues to reject the 24,700 resistance area, the downside scenario toward the 24,250–24,350 GAP support zone remains valid.
________________________________________
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Harry Andrew @ ZuperView