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NSDQ100 awaits FOMC minutes and Fed commentaryMarkets saw a cautious tone yesterday, with risk sentiment softening amid political uncertainty in France and ongoing concerns about a US government shutdown. The S&P 500 fell -0.38% from Monday’s record high, while Treasury yields eased, reflecting a mild flight to safety. Safe-haven demand surged, with spot gold breaking above $4,000/oz for the first time ever, extending a rally of more than 50% this year. Silver is also nearing record highs. The moves highlight growing investor anxiety over the macro backdrop, despite resilience in equities overall. In tech news, AI-related headlines continued to dominate sentiment. Elon Musk’s xAI is reportedly expanding its funding round to $20 billion, with backing from Nvidia, reinforcing market enthusiasm around the AI theme. Meanwhile, Anthropic announced plans to open its first office in India, underscoring the sector’s global expansion. For today, Nasdaq 100 traders will watch how the AI rally balances against broader risk aversion, with the FOMC minutes and Fed commentary later in the session likely to drive direction. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25090 Resistance Level 2: 25200 Resistance Level 3: 25300 Support Level 1: 24730 Support Level 2: 24590 Support Level 3: 24460 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
Rising Inflation Expectations Put the Fed’s Credibility to the T Rising Inflation Expectations Put the Fed in a Tight Corner The latest release of the U.S. Consumer Inflation Expectations came in hotter than anticipated, rising to 3.4% in September, compared with 3.2% previously and a 3.1% consensus. This seemingly small uptick carries significant weight. It suggests that American households increasingly believe inflation will stay elevated, posing a new challenge for the Federal Reserve, just weeks after its controversial decision to cut rates. For a central bank whose credibility hinges on anchoring inflation expectations, this is a warning sign. Rising expectations imply that monetary policy may already be too loose relative to price pressures, leaving the Fed with little room to maneuver between supporting growth and restraining inflation. What It Means for the Fed The Fed’s recent hawkish cut, a 25-basis-point reduction paired with strong rhetoric on price stability, was designed to balance two mandates: sustaining a slowing labor market and restoring confidence in inflation control. But this new data complicates that message. A move from 3.2% to 3.4% may seem modest, but it represents an unanchoring risk. Once inflation expectations drift upward, they tend to reinforce real inflation through wage negotiations, spending decisions, and business pricing. Historically, the Fed has treated such shifts as policy alarms, often responding with tighter stances or more cautious forward guidance. If expectations continue to rise, markets may start questioning whether the Fed’s current stance is adequate. Instead of debating “how soon” the next cut will come, investors may pivot toward “whether the Fed can cut at all” in the near term. Implications for U.S. Markets The reaction in financial markets could be twofold: Read full analysis on my website darrismanresearch com
IG:NASDAQ
by mrifkidrn
NAS100 Analysis: Trend, VWAP, Three-Drive Pattern, and Fibonacci📹 In this video, we take a detailed look at the NASDAQ/NAS100, which is currently in a strong bullish trend 📈. While the momentum is impressive, price may now be overextended, so caution is important ⚠️. 🔎 I share how I incorporate the VWAP, three-drive patterns, and the Fibonacci retracement tool to help plan high-probability trades 🎯. 📊 We also cover trend analysis, price action, and market structure, giving you a full breakdown of how these indicators work together to identify potential setups 🚀. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
FX:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
Nasdaq Nears ATH as Volume DivergesFenzoFx—Nasdaq is up by 0.20% today. The majority of the gains were in the London session. As we approach the NY session, the price is getting closer to the $25,080.0 all-time high. However, the cumulative volume profile signals caution. The indicator is making lower lows, while the price is in an uptrend. Therefore, we expect the price to dip in today's NY morning session. In this scenario, we expect the price to close the opening gap, which rests at $25,000.0. The next support in focus is the October 2 and October 3 close price, $24,924.0. Please note that these levels can provide a discount price to plan long strategies.
FX:NAS100Long
by FenzoFxBroker
NAS 100 CORRECTIVE MOVE Analysis: 4H timeframe showing a clean Head and Shoulders formation, confirming momentum shift after the right shoulder rejection. Price has pushed back into the previous sell zone, showing signs of exhaustion at resistance. If bearish structure holds, expecting continuation to the downside as momentum aligns with higher-timeframe bias. Summary: • Structure: Head & Shoulders (Bearish Reversal) • Zone: Retesting previous sell zone / supply area • Bias: SELL • Confirmation: Rejection + bearish pressure building
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by TaiPipSNIPRESS
ict rading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose. There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency. Investments in foreign exchange speculation may also be susceptible to sharp rises and falls as the relevant market values fluctuate. The leveraged nature of Forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. Not only may investors get back less than they invested, but in the case of higher risk strategies, investors may lose the entirety of their investment. It is for this reason that when speculating in such markets it is advisable to use only risk capital.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by SiyaVK
ict in the mixrading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose. There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency. Investments in foreign exchange speculation may also be susceptible to sharp rises and falls as the relevant market values fluctuate. The leveraged nature of Forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. Not only may investors get back less than they invested, but in the case of higher risk strategies, investors may lose the entirety of their investment. It is for this reason that when speculating in such markets it is advisable to use only risk capital.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by SiyaVK
Wall Street pauses after record highs as investors await Fed sigWall Street pauses after record highs as investors await Fed signals U.S. stocks were little changed Oct 7, easing after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs, as traders looked to upcoming Federal Reserve remarks for policy cues. Gains have slowed amid stretched valuations and uncertainty caused by the government shutdown, now in its seventh day. Markets continue to price in a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut later this month, supported by signs of labor market softness, though the data blackout has limited visibility. Analysts say the absence of official reports leaves the Fed leaning dovish unless future labor data show improvement. Investor focus is also shifting toward the upcoming earnings season, where forecasts and corporate commentary may play a larger role in shaping sentiment. Fed officials including Michelle Bowman, Raphael Bostic, Stephen Miran, and Neel Kashkari are set to speak this week.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by ProfessorSingapore
Stop Guessing Risk — Start Measuring It Like a QuantStop deciding risk based on emotion or setup. Do what quants do. Measure volatility and let it define your risk. Most traders size positions emotionally: • "This setup looks strong, I’ll double size." • "I’m not sure, so I’ll go small." → Both are inconsistent and lead to unstable performance. Professionals and systematic traders use a simple principle: Risk is not a feeling, it’s a function of volatility. ⚙️ The concept Markets breathe in volatility cycles. When volatility expands, risk should contract. When volatility contracts, risk can expand. Your position size should adapt automatically to those cycles. This Idea demonstrates the logic behind the new 📊 Risk Recommender — (Heatmap) indicator, a tool that quantifies how much of your equity to risk at any time. 🧮 How it works The indicator offers two complementary modes: 1️⃣ Per-Trade (ATR-based) • Compares current volatility (ATR) to a long-term baseline. • When market noise increases, it suggests smaller risk per trade. • When conditions are quiet, it recommends scaling up—within your own floor and ceiling limits. 2️⃣ Annualized (Volatility Targeting) • Computes realized and forecast volatility (EWMA-style). • Adjusts your base risk so your overall exposure stays near a target annualized volatility (e.g., 20%). • The same math used in institutional risk models and CTA frameworks. 🎨 Visual interpretation The heatmap column acts as a “risk thermometer”: • 🟥 Red = High volatility → scale down • 🟩 Green = Low volatility → scale up • Smoothed and bounded between your chosen floor and ceiling risk levels. • The label shows current mode, recommended risk %, and volatility context. 💡 Why this matters Risk should *never* depend on how confident you feel about a trade. It should depend on how loud or quiet the market is. Volatility is the market’s volume knob and this indicator helps you tune your exposure to the same frequency. 📈 Example use case • NASDAQ volatility spikes → recommended risk drops from 3.0% → 1.2% • SPX volatility compresses → risk rises gradually → 4.5% You stay consistent while others overreact. 🚀 Automating it My invite-only strategy applies this logic automatically to manage exposure in real time. Combine it with the Risk Recommender indicator for full transparency and adaptive position sizing. 🎯 Summary ✅ Stop guessing risk size. ✅ Let volatility guide you. ✅ Keep risk constant, results consistent. That’s how quants survive. That’s how traders evolve. #RiskManagement #Volatility #ATR #PositionSizing #Quant #TradingStrategy #AlgorithmicTrading #SystematicTrading #Portfolio #EWMA #RiskControl
VANTAGE:NAS100Education
by Algorific
US100 Trading Plan ¦ Layering Strategy + Macro Sentiment Drivers🚀 NASDAQ100 / US100 Index – Thief Money Heist Plan 🎭 📌 Plan: Bullish Swing / Scalping Setup Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), here’s the heist-style breakdown for US100 🔑: 🏴‍☠️ Entry Style (Thief Layering Strategy) Using layered limit orders for flexibility & precision: • 23200.0 • 23250.0 • 23300.0 • 23350.0 (You may increase limit layers based on your strategy & risk appetite) 📉 Moving Average Pullback Entry Plan • Buy entries on pullbacks to the Fibo level 382 Triangular Moving average zone. • Look for bullish candles confirming the bounce from these MAs. • This offers better risk-to-reward by catching momentum on retracements instead of chasing highs. ❓ Why This Works? • Moving averages often act as dynamic support/resistance in trending markets. • Institutional traders & algos track them heavily, making them high-probability zones. • Combining with layering entries = higher flexibility + reduced risk of mistimed single entry. 🛡️ Stop Loss (Protect the Vault) • Thief SL: @23000.0 • Reminder: Adjust your SL based on your own strategy & risk tolerance. 🎯 Target (Escape Zone) • Overbought + Trap Zone ahead! • Escape target: @23750.0 • Note: Don’t rely only on my TP — secure profits at your own pace and risk. 📊 US100 Index CFD Real-Time Data Sep 03 📈 Daily Change: +133.47 (+0.57%) 📅 Monthly Performance: +0.76% 📆 Yearly Performance: +23.48% 😰😊 Fear & Greed Index 📊 Current Reading: 53/100 (Neutral) 🧐 Interpretation: Market sentiment is balanced, showing neither extreme fear nor greed. Investors are cautious but not panicked. 🧠 Retail vs. Institutional Sentiment 👥 Retail Traders: Moderately bullish (55% Long, 45% Short) 🏦 Institutional Traders: Slightly cautious (50% Long, 50% Short) 🔑 Key Drivers: Mixed signals from manufacturing data and upcoming labor market reports. 📉📈 Fundamental & Macro Score 📊 Macro Score: 6/10 Manufacturing PMI (48.7) still in contraction but improving. Labor market data (JOLTS) awaited for clarity. ⚡ Volatility Score: 5/10 (Moderate) VIX near average levels, indicating stable expectations. 💧 Liquidity Score: 7/10 Strong volume and breadth in large-cap tech stocks. 🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook ✅ Bullish (Long): 60% Supported by strong yearly gains and resilience in big tech. ⚠️ Bearish (Short): 40% Concerns over manufacturing contraction and inflation pressures. 💡 Key Takeaways 📈 US100 is trending mildly positive today (+0.57%). 😐 Sentiment is neutral—no extreme fear or greed. 📊 Macro data hints at cautious optimism but watch for upcoming labor reports. 🐂 Overall bias leans slightly bullish for long-term holders. 📊 Related Pairs to Watch FOREXCOM:SPX500 TVC:DJI TVC:VIX NASDAQ:NDX FX:USDOLLAR ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #NASDAQ100 #US100 #NDX #SPX500 #DJI #TradingView #SwingTrade #ScalpTrading #LayeringStrategy #MarketAnalysis
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The-Thief