US30 trade ideas
Dow Jones buy to 46000Fundamentals
- Fed rate cut this September and November, supporting equities growth. Lower interest rates means lower borrowing cost.
- Bond yields down due to government debt to high. Lower yields reduce the discount rate on future earnings, make stocks more attractive than bonds
- Tech giants Google and Apple lifting the indexes performance recently
Technical (Price Action)
- Support level at 44809.3 refined to 44748.9 30 min support
Dow Jones Holds Pressure Under Pivot Zone 45,530–45,590US30 – Overview
The Dow Jones remains under bearish momentum, having stabilized in the bearish zone with downside potential toward 45,285.
Technical Outlook:
🔻 Bearish scenario: As long as price trades below the pivot zone 45,590 – 45,530, pressure will remain to the downside, targeting 45,430 → 45,285 → 45,100.
🔺 Bullish scenario: A reversal and stabilization above 45,590 would open the way to 45,680, and a confirmed breakout higher could extend toward 45,860.
Key Levels:
Pivot zone: 45,530 – 45,590
Support: 45,430 – 45,285 – 45,100
Resistance: 45,680 – 45,860
📌 Bias: Bearish below 45,530–45,590; bullish only above 45,590 with confirmation.
Possible buy opportunity on US30- after confirmation!Hello Traders,
I’m currently watching US30 for a potential long setup.
Price has tapped into a key dynamic level that has previously acted as both support and resistance. This zone also aligns with a rising trendline, where we just saw liquidity taken out below it, followed by multiple candle rejections.
This confluence makes me believe buyers could step in here. My confirmation trigger will be a close above 45,314, if that happens, I’ll be looking to enter long.
🎯 Target: 45,811.83 (previous high)
🛡️ Stop: 45,067
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: 1:2
I see good potential for upside from this level.
👉 What are your thoughts on this setup? Drop your insights in the comments and if you find this analysis valuable, a like would be greatly appreciated!
US30 Bounce at Channel Support, Bullish Rejection in PlayUS30 is respecting the ascending channel support on the 4H chart, showing a clean bullish rejection wick after tapping the lower trendline.
Technical Highlights:
Ascending Channel: Price is holding the upward trend structure.
Rejection Pattern: Clear bounce from the lower boundary, forming a potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern.
Key Levels:
Support: 45,000 – 45,200
Resistance: 45,800 – 46,200
Bias:
🟢 Bullish — As long as the 45,000 level holds, expect a retest of the upper channel boundary.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Off the channel support zone near 45,200
Target: 45,950 – 46,200
Invalidation: Break and close below 44,850
Sentiment:
Momentum favors continuation to the upside unless structure breaks below the trendline.
Dow Jones Falls from Record HighsOver the past two trading sessions, the Dow Jones index has declined by just over 0.7%, with selling pressure remaining constant. This move has been tied to the rebound in U.S. 10-year Treasury yields, which climbed to 4.27%, reducing the short-term appeal of equities. In addition, investors are awaiting the release of U.S. employment data at the end of the week, as the results could influence the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decisions.
Uptrend Remains Intact
Despite the recent pullback, the short-term declines have not been strong enough to break the uptrend that has remained in place for the past several months. This technical structure continues to be the most relevant in the short term. Unless selling pressure consolidates over more sessions, the upward trend is likely to remain dominant in the coming days.
Technical Indicators
RSI: although the RSI remains above the 50 level, it has begun to show a downward slope in the short term, which could indicate a shift in market momentum. If the line continues to decline, selling pressure could become more relevant in the sessions ahead.
MACD: the MACD histogram continues to hover around the 0 line, indicating that the average strength of the moving averages remains in neutral territory. This highlights the lack of clear direction in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
45,746 points – Relevant Resistance: corresponds to the Dow Jones record highs. A sustained breakout above this level could pave the way for a continuation of the uptrend.
45,023 points – Near-Term Support: coincides with recent lows and may act as a barrier for potential short-term pullbacks.
43,098 points – Critical Support: aligns with the 100- and 200-period simple moving averages. A move down to this zone could confirm a break in the uptrend and give way to a dominant bearish bias.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
US30: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 45,087.69 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dow Jones (US30) 4H AnalysisHey guys another quick one from me, here we see price is holding a strong upward trendline while consolidating between 45,160 support and 45,730 resistance level. Always look left because stucture leaves clues.
A retracement toward the 45,375 (50% Fib) level could offer a bullish entry.
If buyers hold above 45,160, price is likely to push higher toward 45,980 (127.2% Fib extension) and possibly 46,092 (141.4% Fib).
A break and close below 45,160 would invalidate this bullish scenario and shift momentum back to the downside.
📈 Bias: Bullish continuation as long as 45,160 holds.
🎯 Targets: 45,730 - 45,980 - 46,092.
🔑 Invalidation: Break below 45,160.
US30: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 45,228.37 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Us30 sell Trade Setup Observed
Entry: Around 45,609 (current price zone).
Stop Loss (SL): 45,659 (≈ 50 points above entry).
Take Profit (TP): Significantly lower, around 45,300 (green zone).
Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.12 → This is a good ratio (favorable reward relative to risk).
Position Size: Qty 2.
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📊 Price Action
1. Strong Upward Impulse: Prior to your trade, the market had a strong bullish rally (large green candles).
2. Consolidation Phase: After the rally, price is ranging in a tight band (sideways movement), marked by small alternating candles.
3.Manipulation is over and distribution si about to start
US30 Pullback Toward 45,100 as DXY Weakens on Dovish Fed ToneHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around the 45,100 zone. Dow Jones (US30) remains in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias is bullish, though price is retracing after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 45,100 — acting as a key zone within the ongoing trend.
Fundamentals: The US Dollar Index (DXY) faced strong rejection at 98.700 following the Fed’s dovish stance at the Jackson Hole symposium. This bearish dollar sentiment could support US equities due to their negative correlation.
Next move: Holding above 45,100 may keep US30’s bullish momentum intact, while a decisive break lower would suggest deeper retracement.
Monitoring price behavior at this level to gauge whether buyers step in.
Trade safe,
Joe.
US30 – 1H | Testing Rejection Block & LTF Confirmation
Dow Jones is reacting from a rejection block with lower-timeframe confirmation showing. Market structure shift suggests possible retrace setups.
**Bullish Scenario:**
* Hold above 44,950–45,000 zone (OB & FVG support)
* LTF confirmation aligns with rejection block
* Upside targets: 45,320 swing high → 45,520 strong high
**Bearish Scenario:**
* Lose 44,950 and break below 44,900 P1D Low
* Continuation toward 44,700 breaker block → 44,680 strong low
* Deep downside if OB rejection fails
**Key Levels:**
* Resistance: 45,320 / 45,520 / 45,600
* Support: 44,950 / 44,900 / 44,700 / 44,680
💬 Will US30 hold rejection block for upside push, or break lower into the breaker block?
Will US30 Reach A New Record High After Today's NFP?Fundamental approach:
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) rose this week amid cooling US labor signals that reinforced expectations for a Sep Fed rate cut, while upbeat ISM services activity tempered growth concerns.
- ADP private payrolls slowed and jobless claims ticked higher, bolstering bets for easier policy ahead of today's NFP release. This kept risk appetite supported through Thu record-setting close in broader indices.
- The ISM Services PMI accelerated to 52.0 in Aug, with stronger business activity and new orders, but continued employment contraction, a mix consistent with disinflationary growth that equity markets favored. Salesforce (CRM) underperformed on a cautious revenue outlook even as rate-cut hopes lifted cyclicals within the Dow complex.
- Looking ahead, the index could extend gains if payrolls and earnings metrics cool without signaling a hard landing, as this may cement Fed easing later this month. Today's jobs report and subsequent Fed communications could be key catalysts for rate expectations and index momentum.
Technical approach:
- US30 bounced up from retesting the ascending channel's lower bounce, confluence with the support at 45000, and EMA21.
- If US30 breaches the resistance at around 45700, the index may accelerate to retest the confluencing area of several Fibo Extension levels at around 46680-46900.
- On the contrary, closing below 45000 may prompt a further correction to retest EMA78.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
US30 WILL BLEEDWe are entering a short (sell) trade on US30 because the market failed to create new highs and reversed from a strong resistance/supply zone with good breakout, Structure and momentum now favor the downside. Targets are set at 44,770 and 44,020, with a stop above 45,740 to manage risk.
US30What is the US 30?
The US 30, commonly known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) or simply the Dow, is a stock market index that tracks the performance of 30 large publicly traded companies in the United States. It is one of the most widely followed equity indices and serves as a key indicator of the overall health of the US stock market and economy. The Dow includes companies from various sectors like technology, finance, health, and consumer goods.
How Do US 10Y Treasury Yield, DXY, and Fed Interest Rates Affect the US 30?
1. US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y)
The 10-year Treasury yield reflects long-term borrowing costs and investor confidence in economic growth and inflation.
Higher yields often mean higher borrowing costs for companies, which can reduce corporate profits and lower stock prices, including the Dow.
Rising yields can also make bonds more attractive relative to stocks, leading to a shift away from equities like the Dow.
Conversely, lower yields tend to support higher stock valuations as cheaper debt and less attractive bond returns encourage investment in equities.
2. US Dollar Index (DXY)
The DXY measures the strength of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies.
A stronger dollar can negatively impact Dow companies that earn significant revenue overseas by making their products more expensive internationally and reducing translated foreign profits.
A weaker dollar generally supports multinational companies’ overseas earnings, potentially boosting the Dow.
Currency strength also influences inflation and trade dynamics, indirectly impacting stock market sentiment.
3. Federal Reserve Interest Rate
The Federal Reserve sets the federal funds rate, which influences short-term interest rates and overall financial conditions.
Higher Fed rates typically raise borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, potentially slowing growth and leading to lower stock prices.
Rising rates can also cause investors to prefer fixed-income securities over stocks.
Lower or stable Fed rates encourage borrowing and investment, supporting higher equity prices.
Fed communications about rate intentions are closely watched as key drivers of stock market volatility, including the Dow.
Summary
The US 30 (Dow Jones) is influenced by interest rates, bond yields, and the dollar's strength. Rising US 10-year yields or Fed rate hikes generally create headwinds for the Dow by increasing costs and attractive alternatives to stocks. A stronger dollar can weigh on multinational earnings and lower the Dow’s performance. Conversely, lower yields, dovish Fed policy, and a weaker dollar tend to support gains in the Dow by making stocks more appealing.
These factors together shape investor sentiment, risk appetite, and valuation dynamics in the US stock market.The US 30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is a stock market index that tracks 30 large, publicly traded U.S. companies. It serves as a key indicator of the overall health and performance of the U.S. stock market.
The US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) affects the US 30 because it reflects long-term interest rates and economic expectations. When the 10-year yield rises, borrowing costs increase for companies, which can dampen profits and lead to lower stock prices, negatively impacting the Dow. Higher yields also make bonds more attractive relative to stocks, pulling investment away from equities.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) measures the strength of the U.S. dollar against other major currencies. A stronger DXY can hurt Dow companies with significant overseas revenue by making their products more expensive abroad and reducing translated foreign earnings, weighing on the Dow. Conversely, a weaker dollar tends to boost these companies and support the index.
The Federal Reserve interest rate sets short-term borrowing costs and influences overall financial conditions. Higher Fed rates raise costs for consumers and businesses, potentially slowing economic growth and weighing on stocks. Lower or stable rates encourage borrowing and investment, supporting stock prices. Market expectations of Fed moves heavily sway investor sentiment and the Dow's performance.
In summary, higher US10Y yields, a stronger DXY, and rising Fed rates often pose headwinds for the US 30, while lower yields, a weaker dollar, and accommodative Fed policy generally support it. These dynamics affect corporate profits, investment flows, and market risk appetite that collectively drive the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
U330 ,the structure is giving a pullback into my demand floor and to the moon us30.
if bulls keep the trend into the supply structure ,they could be selling from that zone.
#us30
US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/02/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/02/2025
US30 is pulling back after last week’s rally into 45,761 resistance. Price is now hovering around 45,400, caught between overhead supply and local demand.
The bullish momentum is slowing, with EMAs flattening, suggesting possible range-bound movement before the next breakout.
📊 Current Market Behavior:
🔄 Sideways chop between 45,750 and 45,400
📉 Lower highs forming below 45,761
📊 EMAs losing slope – momentum fading
⚠️ Breakout or breakdown could set the tone for September
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
45,600–45,760 → Intraday ceiling / supply zone
46,000 → Psychological barrier
🔹 Support Zones:
45,400 → Current demand + EMA zone
44,894 → Key floor
44,704 → Secondary demand
🧠 Bias:
🔄 Neutral to Slightly Bearish Intraday
Trend is stalling at resistance
Bulls need 45,760 breakout to regain control
Bears watching for breakdown under 45,400