US30 trade ideas
US30 – Retest at 44,922.00After touching 45,280.00 resistance, US30 is pulling back and testing the 44,922.00 level. A hold here could keep bullish momentum intact, while a break lower may open the way toward 44,700.00 and 44,507.30.
Support at: 44,922.0 🔽 | 44,700.0 🔽 | 44,507.3 🔽
Resistance at: 45,280.0 🔼 | 45,500.0 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Holding above 44,922.0 could lead to another attempt at 45,280.0.
🔽 Bearish: A breakdown below 44,700.0 would weaken structure and expose 44,300.0.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
US30 BUY SETUPAccording to SMC, US30 is in a bullish trend, and there is an inducement at approximately 45,175. If order blocks are observed before the inducement, there is a valid order block at 44,798 and a valid fare value gap. A buy setup trade could be executed if the market reaches 44,798. Before executing the trade, wait for confirmation from ChoCH, candlestick analysis, or divergence.
Technical Analysis for US30 (Dow Jones) Closing Price: 44,935.4 (16th Aug 2025, 12:50 PM UTC+4)
Analysis Methods: Japanese Candlesticks, Harmonic Patterns (ABCD, M/W), Elliott Wave, Wyckoff, Gann Theory (Time/Square of 9/Angles), Ichimoku, RSI, Bollinger Bands, VWAP, Moving Averages (MA/EMA/SMA/WMA).
1. Long-Term Trend (Weekly/Monthly)
Elliott Wave:
US30 is in Wave 5 of a bull cycle (Wave 3 peak: 45,500, Wave 4 correction to 42,800).
Target: 46,200–46,800 (1.618 extension of Wave 1).
Gann Price Forecasting:
Square of 9: √44,935.4 ≈ 212.00 →
Key resistance: 213² = 45,369, 214² = 45,796
Critical support: 211² = 44,521, 210² = 44,100
Break above 45,369 targets 46,000 (psychological level).
Ichimoku (Monthly):
Tenkan (9): 43,800 > Kijun (26): 43,200 → Bullish crossover.
Price above thick Senkou Span (42,500–43,000) – structural bullishness.
Moving Averages:
Weekly EMA(100): 43,000 (major trend support).
Swing Outlook: Bullish. Wave 5 targets 46,200–46,800.
2. Medium-Term Swing (4H/Daily)
Harmonic Patterns:
Bearish ABCD on Daily:
A: 45,200 → B: 44,300 → C: 44,900 → D: 45,050–45,150 (1.272 BC extension).
Bullish Crab (W Pattern) near 44,400 (0.886 XA retracement).
Wyckoff Phase:
Distribution above 44,900:
Upthrust rejection at 45,000 (16th Aug) on fading volume.
Weakness in rallies above 44,950.
Gann Theory:
Time Window: Aug 19–22 (Square of 9 reversal cluster).
Gann Angle: 1x1 support at 44,800 (45° angle from Aug 14 low).
Price-Time Squaring: 44,935 aligns with Aug 16 – consolidation expected.
Indicators:
RSI(14) + Bollinger Bands (Daily):
RSI: 65 (neutral-bullish, no divergence).
Price testing upper BB(20,2) at 45,050 → band expansion signals volatility.
VWAP (Weekly): 44,600 (swing support).
Swing Trade Setup:
Short near 45,050–45,150 → Target 44,500. Stop-loss: 45,300.
Long near 44,400 → Target 45,500. Stop-loss: 44,200.
3. Intraday Outlook (5M–4H)
Key Levels:
Resistance: 45,000 (psychological), 45,100 (Gann 1x1), 45,200 (ABCD target).
Support: 44,850 (VWAP), 44,750 (Ichimoku cloud), 44,600 (200-EMA).
Indicators:
Ichimoku (1H):
Tenkan: 44,920, Kijun: 44,860 → Price above both (short-term bullish).
Cloud: Bullish (44,780–44,840) – intraday support zone.
RSI + Bollinger Bands (4H):
RSI(14): 61 (neutral).
Price near mid-BB(20,2) at 44,900 → break below signals bearish momentum.
VWAP + MAs:
VWAP: 44,880 (intraday pivot).
EMA(20): 44,940 (resistance).
Candlestick Patterns:
4H Shooting Star at 45,000 → Bearish reversal signal.
1H Bearish Harami below 44,950 → Confirms selling pressure.
Gann Intraday Squaring:
Time Cycle: 14:00–16:00 UTC+4 (NY open) for volatility surge.
Price Harmony: Close below 44,900 targets 44,800 → 44,700.
Intraday Trade Plan:
Sell below 44,900 → Target 44,800 (VWAP) → 44,700 (Gann support).
Buy above 45,050 only if RSI <65 → Target 45,150.
Stop-Loss: 40–50 points.
Summary of Key Signals
Time Frame Bias Entry Target Stop-Loss
Intraday Bearish <44,900 44,880–44,900 44,700–44,800 45,000
Swing Bullish 44,400–44,450 45,200–45,500 44,200
Swing Bearish 45,050–45,100 44,500–44,600 45,300
Critical Events:
Gann Reversal Window: Aug 19–22 (watch for Fed minutes/retail data).
Daily Close >45,200 invalidates bearish patterns and targets 45,796.
Risk Note: US30 is sensitive to Dow components’ earnings and USD moves. Use tight stops during NY session.
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I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
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Shunya.Trade
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
US30 - Potential Targets Dear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
As long as price maintains above PIVOT-POC area, potential for
bullish continuation remains high.
Key resistance to breach @ 45140 for new ATH's
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
Backtesting Saturday :)oday I’m doing backtesting, putting into practice some concepts that I’ve identified as having worked correctly. I like this format of recording because it gives me the opportunity to review concepts we sometimes overlook, and it also reminds us how well we can perform technical analysis.
Heist Alert: Dow 30 Bullish Surge Incoming – Lock In Targets🦹♂️💎 “US30 Gold Vault Heist” – Thief’s Bullish Break-In Plan! 🚨📈
(Brought to you by Thief Trader – Layered Entry. Zero Mercy. Big Bags.)
🌍 Welcome to the Heist Floor, Global Market Bandits!
🎯 US30 is the next vault on the hitlist – and we’re going in loud but calculated.
💣 The Setup: Bullish Raid in Progress!
The Thief has eyes on Wall Street's armored vault — US30 Index — gearing up for a multi-layered bullish assault.
💼 Using limit orders like C4 on the door hinges, we’re stacking precise entries for maximum loot extraction. This isn’t gambling — this is organized market crime.
🔓 Entry Protocol – Any Price Level Is Breachable
🪜 Layered Limit Orders: Entry at any market level, multiple orders spread like a thief’s toolkit.
No sniper candle required — we work the shadows and stack with precision.
(Use the 15m-1H TF to tighten your strike zone.)
🛑 Stop Loss – The Getaway Hatch
📍 SL parked at 43300.0 – if the mission fails, we vanish clean.
No chasing losses — the next heist awaits.
📈 Take Profit – The Loot Vault
🎯 Target: 45600
That’s the gold room, the top floor, the getaway car location.
Use trailing SLs to secure the bag mid-run if resistance agents start showing up.
🧠 Behind the Heist – What’s Fueling This Move?
Global risk-on tone? ✅
Dow futures resilience? ✅
Thief’s sentiment meter flashing GREEN? ✅
Index rebalancing & sector flow favoring bulls? ✅
We don’t just trade the chart. We rob the macro narrative.
🚫 News Caution – No Sudden Sirens
Avoid entering during red folder data drops or FOMC speeches.
Stay ghosted. Let the volatility settle, then strike. 🕵️♂️
💥 Smash the BOOST Button 💖 If You’re With the Crew!
Let’s run this like a proper cartel of information — share it, save it, tag your trader circle.
Every like supports the next robbery plan.
No signals. No fluff. Just pure market exploitation.
📌 Disclaimer: Educational analysis only. No financial advice. Manage your risk like a true thief — never expose the whole bag.
💼📊 Thief Trader Out — More heist maps coming soon.
🔐 Rob Smart. Stack Heavy. Run Fast. 🦹♂️💸📈
US30 Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on US30 and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 44925 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 45074
Safe Stop Loss - 44843
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
DJ30/US30 LONG Reason for trade:
1. Expanding flat in play
2. Equal highs (LIQUIDITY)
3. Currently at the order block area (Ready)
Entry: 43647
Stop Loss: 43386
Take Profit: 45246
Strategy: Wait for a 30 minute engulfing candle closure.
Once in profit of 1:1 R, place the trade at BE
Blessings, in CHRIST.
08/15 Sell Trade Good explanation 1. Variation: Yellow
Let me explain this deeper. Variation is when there is a variety of candles in a trend that is losing momentum. In this case the bullish trend was losing strength.
But to be sure and avoid looking at a negative amount for a while just wait for the second step which is:
2. Wick rejecting the opposite site: Blue
Usually when you see a wick in the moment that that wick was being created it looked like a big candle going up. To avoid headaches is better to wait for the candle to close creating a wick that rejects the opposite side of the trend. Because if you look a big candle going up for example you get excited and jump at the buy just because of FOMO but imagine that you get in that trade and your big candle closes with a big wick ( bad news you played yourself). To avoid that, I was looking for sells so I needed a good wick saying that the bulls ( buyers) had no power left.
3. Volume: Red
The volume going down an it was still less than 10 am told me what I needed to do to enter confidently. I put the stop loss just where the big bearish opened to be sure.
So in simple words :
Look for variation telling you that the trend is coming to an end.
Look for a big wick rejecting the opposite side so you can enter more confidently.
Wait for good volume to go exactly where you needed to go to enter . In this trade I waited for the sellers to show some strength ( volume ) and bulls to show some weakness ( wicks , variation coming to an end)
DJI Looking BullishDJ:DJI made a inverted head and shoulder. Looks like it may achieve a target of 53000.
But for that it has to sustain above 45100. Else this level will work as resistance.
Lets wait and watch what happens. If this pattern fails or we will new high for DJI.
Thanks
This post is just my perception and for study purpose only.
I will not be held responsible for loss in the stock market.
US30: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 44,970.50 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 44,851.83 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US30 - potential head and shoulders on 30min chartWatching the US30Cash for a potential short setup.
A head and shoulders pattern may be forming on the 30-minute timeframe. I’m still waiting for confirmation on some key variables before entering the trade.
Trade Details:
📊 Risk/Reward: 2.7
🎯 Entry: 45 224
🛑 Stop Loss: 45 261
💰 Take Profit 1 (50%): 45 141
💰 Take Profit 2 (50%): 45 084
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Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
DowJones uptrend supported at 44380Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45400
Resistance Level 2: 45660
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 44380
Support Level 2: 44080
Support Level 3: 43675
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 Long Position US30 has broken passed the major resistance level at $45000 finally and is currently priced at $45200. The Bullish trend from the past week has created strong bullish confluences with price trading above the 21 and 50 day Moving Averages and in the bullish region of the RSI, expecting further upside potential.
With the break of the $45000 barrier, we can expect price to retrace and test this point sometime in the future and with that see a bounce from this level with the resistance turning support.
Will also be looking at other keys levels such as $44980 and $44730 should price have a deep retracement before the bullish trend resumes.
Will The Prospect of Fed Rate Cuts Continue to Support US30?Fundamental approach:
- US30 has been pushing toward a fresh high this week, aided by softer CPI and growing confidence in a Sep Fed cut. On Wed, it was within about 1% of a record and posted substantial gains earlier in the week.
- The US Jul PPI rose 0.9% MoM and 3.3% YoY, well above forecasts, reviving tariff-driven inflation worries and pressuring cyclicals. Earlier CPI relief had supported a midweek bounce and fresh risk-on tone in parts of the market. Headlines flagged mixed mega-cap moves, and Dow heavies like Apple (AAPL) and Caterpillar (CAT) fluctuated with growth and trade sensitivity as traders reassessed the rate path.
- US30 could remain supportive as markets weigh amid Fed policy expectations that could shift based on next week's flash PMIs and further data signals on pricing and activity. Traders may also react to guidance updates and sector rotations if inflation surprises persist, potentially delaying aggressive easing prospects.
Technical approach:
- US30 created a new swing high, closing above the resistance at 45000. The index is above both EMAs, indicating upward momentum.
- If US30 remains above 45000, it may approach the 100% Fibonacci Extension at around 46670.
- On the contrary, staying below 45000 may prompt a retest of the EMA21 and the ascending channels' lower bound.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Dow: Fourth Attempt at the CeilingThree times since late 2024, the Dow has run head-first into the same resistance zone around 45,092 — each time pulling back, but each time finding higher lows and quicker recoveries.
Now we’re at attempt #4. The prior pullbacks have been smaller, and breadth is improving — only 5 out of 30 Dow components are negative since December 24, 2024.
Yes, there are plenty of unknowns — macro headwinds, earnings gaps, global geopolitical and tariff risks — but the chart says one thing loud and clear: the bulls are still in control.
A clean breakout here could open the door to new highs. Until proven otherwise, momentum belongs to the buyers.
US30 TCBFlow Plan📌 TCBFlow Plan – US30
Bias: Bullish (Trend + Breakout Phase)
Setup Quality: A (High Probability)
1️⃣ 4H Timeframe – Structure Confirmation
Main Zone: 44,800 (old resistance, now potential support)
Bullish Confirmation Triggers:
Bullish engulfing candle closing above the retest low
Long-tailed rejection wick that holds above 44,800
Invalidation: 4H close below 44,650
2️⃣ 1H Timeframe – Precision Entry
After 4H confirmation, drop to 1H for exact entry.
My Entries:
EP1: 45,055.4 → Aggressive entry (anticipating bounce before full retest)
EP2: 44,988.6 → Ideal zone touch entry
EP3: 44,854.9 → Deep retest entry near demand base
Stop Loss: 44,650.0
Below rejection wick / structure low (~80–120 pts risk depending on entry)
Take Profits:
TP1: 45,600 → Partial close + SL to breakeven
TP2: 46,200 → Measured move from breakout
3️⃣ Trade Management
At 1:1 RRR → Move SL to breakeven
Trail SL behind 1H swing lows as price climbs
If stopped at BE but structure holds → re-enter on next 1H bullish signal
4️⃣ Risk Notes
Avoid entering if price rallies straight to 45,600 without retest (chasing)
No trade if price breaks below 44,650 (failed breakout)
💬 Drop your comment below if you’re also looking at the exact same setup!