Trade ideas
US30: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of US30 right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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Dow Jones Bulls Preparing Another Robbery — Are You In?🚨💰 US30/DJ30 Index CFD Market Heist Plan 🏦🎭
🕵️ Dear Thief OG’s, Ladies & Gentlemen of the robbery squad… the vault is wide open again! This time we’re sneaking into the Dow Jones (US30) for a Bullish Day/Swing Heist. 🔥
🎯 Robbery Blueprint
Asset: US30/DJ30 Index CFD (Day/Swing Trade)
Plan: Bullish 📈
Entry (Thief Style):
The thief never knocks once… we layer the doors! Multiple buy limit orders 🔐:
Layer 1 → 45,600.0
Layer 2 → 45,400.0
Layer 3 → 45,200.0
(You can expand the layers depending on your risk appetite 🕳️)
Stop Loss (SL) 🛑:
📍 Thief SL @ 44,600.0
(Adjust based on your own risk & startergy – remember, survival is key in every robbery 🏃💨)
Target (TP) 🎯:
🚓 Police barricade spotted @47,000.0! Our sweet escape is planned at 46,800.0 before sirens catch us. 💰
🏆 Thief Strategy
Multiple limit order entries (layering method / scaling in).
Enter at any price level if you’re fast, but layering is the OG Thief move.
Manage your SL & risk like a pro robber – no reckless moves, or you’ll end up behind market bars! 🚔
💡 Why This Heist? 💡
The US30/DJ30 is primed for a bullish run 📈, driven by real-time market signals:
Technical Analysis: Strong support levels holding firm, momentum indicators screaming bullish! 📊
Fundamental Outlook: Check global market data, COT reports, and sentiment analysis for confirmation. 🔗👉
Volatility Watch: Stay sharp for news releases that could spike volatility. 📰⚠️
⚠️ Thief’s Risk Management ⚠️
News Alert: Avoid new trades during major news drops to dodge wild price swings. 🚫
Position Management: Use trailing stops to lock in those sweet profits. 🔐
Risk Control: Adjust lot sizes and SL based on your layered entries and risk profile. 📉
🏆 Join the Heist! 🏆
💥 Hit the Boost Button 💥 to power up our Thief Trader crew! 🚀 Let’s make bank with ease using the Thief Trading Style! 💸😎 Stay tuned for the next heist plan, and let’s keep robbing the markets! 🤑🐱👤
US30 -Dow Jones Industrial Average Technical Analysis & ForecastCurrent Price: 46,785.30 | 4th October 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading at 46,785.30, showing consolidation near all-time highs. Multi-timeframe analysis reveals a bullish trend with caution signals emerging on shorter timeframes. Key resistance at 47,000-47,200 zone presents a critical decision point for continuation versus correction.
Bottom Line: Bullish bias remains intact on daily/weekly charts, but intraday traders should watch for potential pullback to 46,500-46,300 support zone before next leg higher.
MULTI-TIMEFRAME MARKET STRUCTURE
Monthly/Weekly Context (Swing Trading)
Trend: Strong bullish momentum maintained since October 2023 lows
Elliott Wave Count: Potential Wave 5 of larger degree impulse, suggesting final push before correction
Key Levels: Major support at 45,800-46,000 (previous breakout zone); resistance at 47,200-47,500
Daily Chart Analysis
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows pattern intact
Ichimoku Cloud: Price trading above bullish cloud; Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bullish cross active
Pattern Recognition: Ascending channel formation with upper boundary at 47,150
4-Hour Chart (Critical Timeframe)
Candlestick Patterns: Recent doji and spinning tops indicating indecision
RSI: Divergence warning - price making higher highs while RSI shows lower highs (bearish divergence)
Volume Profile: Declining volume on recent push higher suggests weakening momentum
1-Hour/30-Minute (Intraday Focus)
Microstructure: Double top formation developing at 46,850-46,900 zone
Bollinger Bands: Price touching upper band with band width expanding
VWAP: Trading 0.2% above daily VWAP (46,692) - moderately extended
TECHNICAL INDICATOR DEEP DIVE
Momentum Indicators
RSI (14):
Daily: 62 (neutral-bullish)
4H: 58 (declining from 72 two days ago)
1H: 54 (bearish divergence present)
Interpretation: Momentum cooling after recent rally; not yet oversold
Trend Indicators
Moving Averages:
20 EMA: 46,580 (immediate support)
50 EMA: 46,200 (critical support)
200 EMA: 44,800 (long-term trend support)
Golden Cross Status: Active and bullish (50 MA above 200 MA)
Volatility Indicators
Bollinger Bands (20,2): Price at upper band; squeeze releasing suggests increased volatility ahead
ATR (14): 285 points (elevated) - expect 250-350 point daily ranges
Volume Analysis
Volume Weighted Average Price: 46,692
Volume Trend: Declining on up-moves (distribution warning)
Anchored VWAP: From October 1st low at 46,450 - price 0.7% above anchor
HARMONIC & PATTERN ANALYSIS
Gann Analysis
Square of 9: Next resistance at 47,088 (90° from current cycle low); support at 46,488
Gann Angles: 1x1 angle from September low projects support at 46,550
Time Cycles: October 8-10 represents potential reversal window (45-48 trading days from last pivot)
Harmonic Patterns
Potential Bat Pattern: Monitoring for completion at 46,950-47,000 (0.886 retracement level)
Fibonacci Confluence: 1.618 extension of recent corrective wave targets 47,150
Wyckoff Analysis
Phase: Appears to be in Distribution Phase B (preliminary supply)
Spring/Shakeout Watch: False breakout above 47,000 could trigger sell-off
Elliott Wave Count
Primary Count: Wave 5 of Intermediate (3), targeting 47,400-47,800
Alternate Count: Wave B corrective triangle forming; expect breakdown if 46,500 breaks
SUPPORT & RESISTANCE FRAMEWORK
Immediate Resistance Zones
46,850-46,900 - Intraday double top / psychological
47,000-47,050 - Major psychological / round number / Gann level
47,150-47,200 - Channel top / Fibonacci 1.618 / weekly pivot
47,500-47,600 - All-time high extension target
Support Zones
46,650-46,700 - VWAP / hourly demand zone
46,500-46,550 - 20 EMA / Gann 1x1 angle / pivot
46,200-46,300 - 50 EMA / gap fill / strong demand
45,800-46,000 - Daily cloud / major breakout point
TRAP SCENARIOS
Bull Trap Alert
Setup: Break above 47,000 with low volume followed by immediate reversal
Confirmation: Close below 46,800 same day with volume spike
Target: Retest 46,300-46,500 zone
Bear Trap Potential
Setup: Quick spike below 46,500 followed by rapid recovery
Confirmation: Close above 46,650 with strong volume
Target: Resume rally toward 47,200+
INTRADAY TRADING PLAN (October 4-11, 2025)
Day Trading Strategy - Scalp Setups
Bullish Scenario (60% Probability)
Entry Criteria:
Pullback to 46,650-46,700 with bullish engulfing or hammer on 15M chart
RSI (15M) reaches 40-45 oversold region
Volume contraction during pullback, expansion on reversal
Trade Setup:
Entry: 46,680-46,720
Stop Loss: 46,580 (100 points risk)
Target 1: 46,850 (130 points, 1.3:1 R/R) - scale out 50%
Target 2: 47,000 (280 points, 2.8:1 R/R) - scale out 30%
Target 3: 47,150 (430 points, 4.3:1 R/R) - let 20% run
Optimal Entry Times:
9:45-10:15 AM EST (post-opening volatility)
2:00-3:00 PM EST (afternoon momentum)
Bearish Scenario (40% Probability)
Entry Criteria:
Rejection at 46,900-47,000 with bearish engulfing on 15M/30M
RSI (15M) overbought above 70
Break below 46,780 (short-term support)
Trade Setup:
Entry: 46,760-46,800 (after break confirmation)
Stop Loss: 46,920 (120-160 points risk)
Target 1: 46,650 (110-150 points) - cover 50%
Target 2: 46,500 (260-300 points) - cover 30%
Target 3: 46,300 (460-500 points) - trail remainder
Optimal Entry Times:
10:30-11:00 AM EST (if morning rally fails)
3:00-3:45 PM EST (late-day profit taking)
SWING TRADING PLAN (1-4 Week Horizon)
Primary Swing Setup - Bullish Continuation
Entry Strategy:
Ideal Entry Zone: 46,300-46,500 (if pullback materializes)
Aggressive Entry: Current levels with 46,450 stop
Pattern: Bull flag/ascending channel continuation
Position Management:
Entry: 46,400 (scale in 30% at 46,500, 40% at 46,400, 30% at 46,300 if available)
Stop Loss: 46,100 (300 points, daily close below)
Target 1: 47,200 (700-800 points) - reduce 40%
Target 2: 47,800 (1,300-1,400 points) - reduce 30%
Target 3: 48,500 (2,000+ points) - trail with 50 EMA
Timeframe: 2-4 weeks
Confidence Level: 65%
Alternative Swing Setup - Mean Reversion Short
Activation Criteria:
Daily close below 46,500 with volume above 20-day average
RSI daily breaks below 50
Break of ascending trendline from September
Trade Setup:
Entry: 46,450-46,500 (after confirmation)
Stop Loss: 46,850 (350-400 points)
Target 1: 46,000 (450-500 points) - cover 50%
Target 2: 45,600 (850-900 points) - cover 30%
Target 3: 45,200 (1,250-1,300 points) - trail remainder
Timeframe: 1-3 weeks
Confidence Level: 35% (lower probability setup)
WEEKLY ROADMAP (October 4-11)
Monday-Tuesday (Oct 6-7):
Expected Range: 46,500-47,100
Bias: Neutral to bullish - watch for pullback completion
Key Level: 46,700 (holding above maintains bullish structure)
Wednesday-Thursday (Oct 8-9):
Gann Time Window: Potential reversal period
Strategy: Reduce position size; let patterns develop
Watch: Economic data releases could spike volatility
Friday (Oct 10):
Weekly Close: Critical for swing positioning
Bullish Confirmation: Close above 46,850
Bearish Warning: Close below 46,600
RISK MANAGEMENT GUIDELINES
Position Sizing
Intraday: Risk 0.5-1% of capital per trade
Swing Trades: Risk 1-2% of capital per trade
Max Portfolio Heat: 4-5% across all positions
Key Risk Levels
Invalidation Point (Bulls): Daily close below 46,100
Invalidation Point (Bears): Daily close above 47,300
Correlation Monitoring
Watch US10Y yields (inverse correlation currently strong)
S&P 500 and Nasdaq leading/lagging analysis
Dollar Index impact on risk appetite
MARKET CONTEXT & EXTERNAL FACTORS
Macroeconomic Considerations
Federal Reserve policy stance remains influential
Q3 earnings season beginning - watch corporate guidance
Geopolitical tensions requiring monitoring (Middle East, US-China)
Sentiment Indicators
VIX below 15 suggests complacency - potential volatility spike risk
Put/Call ratios showing neutral sentiment
Institutional flows appear distributive near highs
Seasonal Patterns
October historically volatile (correction risk)
Year-end rally potential if correction occurs early month
FINAL TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS
For Intraday Traders:
Best Setup: Wait for pullback to 46,650-46,700 for low-risk long entries
Avoid: Chasing above 46,900 without confirmation
Focus Timeframes: 15-minute and 1-hour charts for entries; 5-minute for exits
For Swing Traders:
Patience Required: Current levels are extended; wait for 46,300-46,500 zone
Alternative: Small position at current levels with very tight stops (46,650)
Best Risk/Reward: Appears in the 46,300-46,400 region
Overall Market Outlook:
Bullish bias maintained with 60-65% probability of testing 47,200+ in coming 2-3 weeks. However, near-term consolidation or shallow pullback (5-7%) is healthy and would provide better entry opportunities. The combination of weakening momentum indicators and potential Gann time reversal window suggests patience will be rewarded.
TRADING PSYCHOLOGY NOTES
FOMO Warning: Resist urge to chase at current elevated levels
Discipline: Stick to predefined entry zones even if price continues higher
Flexibility: Be ready to flip bias if key levels break (46,100 bears / 47,300 bulls)
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Next Update: October 7, 2025 (Mid-week review with refined levels)
Analysis combines multiple technical methodologies for comprehensive market perspective. No single indicator should be used in isolation. Confluence of signals increases probability of success.
US30: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 46,903.31 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 46,721.37 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dow Jones Swing Trade Setup – Is 48,000 the Next Stop?📈 US30 "Dow Jones Industrial Average" CFD: Thief's Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🚨
🎯 Swing/Day Trade Setup: US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average CFD)
Get ready to sneak into the market with the Thief Strategy — a cheeky, layered limit-order approach to steal profits from the Wall Street shadows! 😎 This bullish plan is designed for swing or day trading, with a professional yet playful vibe to maximize your market heist. Let’s break it down! 🕵️♂️
🧠 Trade Idea: Bullish Heist on US30 🚀
Asset: US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average Index CFD)
Market: Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade)
Outlook: Bullish 📈
Strategy: The Thief Strategy — using multiple buy limit orders in a layered entry style to catch the best price levels. Think of it as setting traps for profits! 🕸️
📝 The Thief’s Plan: Layered Entry & Key Levels
🔑 Entry Strategy:
Deploy multiple buy limit orders to layer your entries like a master thief:
🎯 46,500
🎯 46,600
🎯 46,700
🎯 46,800
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite or market conditions. The more traps, the merrier! 😜
Flexible Entry: You can enter at any price level within this range, but layering helps you average into the position like a sneaky pro.
🔐 Stop Loss (SL):
Set at 46,300 — the Thief’s escape hatch! 🚪
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs 🕶️), this SL is my suggestion, but it’s your heist! Adjust based on your risk tolerance and account size. Only risk what you can afford to lose!
🎯 Take Profit (TP):
Primary target: 47,600 — a juicy profit zone before the Police Barricade (resistance) at 48,000.
Why 47,600? This level avoids the overbought trap and potential reversal at 48,000, where strong resistance and market shenanigans may lurk. 🕵️♂️
Note: Thief OGs, this TP is my call, but you’re the boss! Take profits at your own discretion and secure the bag. 💰
🔍 Why This Setup? Key Analysis Points
Market Context: The US30 is showing bullish momentum, supported by recent economic data and market sentiment (check social posts and financial news for real-time vibes).
Technical View:
The layered entry approach leverages potential pullbacks within a bullish trend, maximizing your entry efficiency.
The 46,300 SL is placed below key support to protect against sudden reversals.
The 48,000 level acts as a major resistance (overbought zone + psychological barrier), making 47,600 a safer TP.
Risk Management: The Thief Strategy spreads risk across multiple entry points, reducing the impact of volatility spikes.
💹 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlated Assets in USD)
To boost your market awareness, keep an eye on these correlated assets:
SP:SPX (S&P 500 Index CFD): Moves closely with US30 due to shared exposure to U.S. large-cap stocks. A bullish US30 often aligns with SPX strength. 📈
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 (Nasdaq 100 Index CFD): Tech-heavy index that can amplify or diverge from US30 moves. Watch for tech sector momentum. 💻
FX:USDJPY (Forex Pair): A stronger USD often supports bullish US equity indices like US30. Monitor for USD strength or Yen weakness. 💵
Key Correlation Insight: If SP:SPX and PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 show similar bullish patterns, it reinforces the US30 setup. Conversely, a sharp USDJPY drop could signal caution for US indices.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This Thief Style trading strategy is just for fun and educational purposes! 😜 Trading involves risks, and past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. Always conduct your own analysis, manage risk wisely, and only trade what you can afford to lose.
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#US30 #DowJones #ThiefStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #WealthStrategy
DowJones Key Trading levels Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46900
Resistance Level 2: 47000
Resistance Level 3: 47210
Support Level 1: 46490
Support Level 2: 46410
Support Level 3: 46270
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Us30 Trade Set Up Oct 3 2025Price is trading above PDH so still bullish. If this 4h FVG gets respected and SSL gets swept i will look for buys to BSL/ATH but price has changed state on the 15m and 1h so i price comes to retest the 15m CISD and respects it i will look for IFVG on the 1m to take to lower SSL
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Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance whch acts as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 46,363.54
1st Support: 46,125
1st Resistance: 46,723.87
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US30 TREND ANALYSISIn US30 there is a clear uptrend important areas are marked as always one is 50 percent area and the other one is 75 percent area .Once the market comeback for retest we will shift to smaller timeframe and look for trendshift after observing everything. When the market again comeback for the retest on smaller timeframe we will look for buy side trade.
important areas
50 percent zone(46245.3)
75 percent zone(46134.3)
bigger timeframe (30 minutes)
smaller timeframe(5 minutes)
Dow Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46580
Resistance Level 2: 46690
Resistance Level 3: 46850
Support Level 1: 46170
Support Level 2: 46040
Support Level 3: 45800
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 currently consolidating near a key resistance zone US30 is currently consolidating near a key resistance zone likely around the yearly high / major supply level. This resistance has already been tested once previously, where price reversed downward sharply — showing sellers are active here The current sideways movement suggests the market is indecisive or absorbing liquidity before a larger move. If bearish momentum builds, potential support zone we could expect downside target 46,100 – 45,900 falling Range.
You may Find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely Best Of Luck.
Ps. Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
US30: Key support breakdown signals potential sell opportunity
1. Current Market Overview 🌐
The SPREADEX:DJI index is approaching a significant resistance zone where selling pressure is expected to be strong. The price is currently consolidating and moving sideways around this area, preparing for a major move.
2. Technical Signals and Momentum Indicators 📊
Momentum indicators such as MFI, RSI, and Stochastic have all entered the oversold territory, while also showing signs of price compression (consolidation), indicating the market is waiting for the next breakout.
The strong resistance zone and the Overbought/Overextended (OB/OS) signals suggest that buying pressure is weakening, which is favorable for sellers.
3. Sell Scenario on Key Support Breakdown 🔻
If the price breaks below the important Key Support level shown on the chart, this will confirm the beginning of a downtrend.
Traders can consider opening sell positions as soon as the breakout occurs to take advantage of the downward momentum.
The price target is expected to move toward lower support zones where buying interest may emerge to cause a price correction.
4. Risk Management ⚠️
Place stop-loss orders above the resistance zone or the nearest recent highs to protect against unexpected market moves.
Adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance.
5. Conclusion 🔑
The sell setup on US30 is very clear with a strong resistance zone and momentum signals indicating a potential upcoming downtrend.
Main scenario: Breaking the Key Support will trigger a strong decline, providing a profitable trading opportunity for sellers.
Wait for a confirmed support break before entering the trade to ensure safety and effectiveness.
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Harry Andrew @ ZuperView